Top 25 Countries by Smart Fraction

Image Per Capita GDP vs National IQ: La Griffe du Lion

The Smart Fraction Theory as described by La Griffe du Lion and as elaborated by Michael Anissimov, suggests that a country’s economic prosperity is dependent upon the number of intelligent people who live there.

The rankings below of “The 25 Countries With the Most Brainpower” represents a slightly different way of estimating “smart fraction,” using PISA test scores in 15 year olds, and using the proportion of smart 15 year olds to estimate the total number of “smart people” in the country:

#1 The United States
On average, 1.7% scored at elite levels
5,336,300 brilliant people estimated

#2 Japan
On average, 4.05% scored at elite levels
5,167,800 brilliant people estimated

#3 South Korea

On average, 4.40% scored at elite levels
2,200,000 brilliant people estimated

#4 Germany
On average, 2.60% scored at elite levels
2,129,140 brilliant people estimated

#5 France
On average, 2.20 % scored at elite levels
1,445,400 brilliant people estimated

#6 Taiwan
On average, 5.85 % scored at elite levels
1,365,390 brilliant people estimated

#7 Canada
On average, 3.10 % scored at elite levels
1,081,280 brilliant people estimated

#8 Russia
On average, 0.65% scored at elite levels
932,750 brilliant people estimated

#9 The United Kingdom
On average, 1.4% scored at elite levels
885,220 brilliant people estimated

#10 Australia
On average, 3.3 % scored at elite levels
748,440 brilliant people estimated

#11 Italy
On average, 1% scored at elite levels
609,200 brilliant people estimated

#12 Poland
On average, 1.45% scored at elite levels
558,830 brilliant people estimated

#13 Singapore
On average, 9.10% scored at elite levels
483,392 brilliant people estimated

#14 Turkey
On average, 0.65 % scored at elite levels
481,000 brilliant people estimated

#15 Hong Kong
On average, 6.00% scored at elite levels
429,300 brilliant people estimated

#16 The Netherlands
On average, 2.55% scored at elite levels
427,635 brilliant people estimated

#17 Belgium
On average, 3.45% scored at elite levels
384,330 brilliant people estimated

#18 Spain
On average, 0.75% scored at elite levels
354,525 brilliant people estimated
Average score ranking: 35

#19 Switzerland
On average, 4.25% scored at elite levels
339,873 brilliant people estimated

#20 Brazil
On average, 0.10% scored at elite levels
198,700 brilliant people estimated

#21 The Czech Republic
On average, 1.80% scored at elite levels
189,180 brilliant people estimated

#22 New Zealand
On average, 4.1% scored at elite levels
181,753 brilliant people estimated

#23 Sweden
On average, 1.90% scored at elite levels
180,823 brilliant people estimated

#24 Finland
On average, 3.25% scored at elite levels
175,955 brilliant people estimated

#25 Austria
On average, 1.7% scored at elite levels
143,854 brilliant people estimated

(via Dennis Mangan)

China was not included in the rankings, since the authors did not believe that the results provided by China were representative of Chinese high schoolers overall.

Notice that the US, by virtue of its larger overall population, was judged to have more “brilliant people” despite the much lower percentage of brilliance displayed by the test results.

In fact, the methodology of the above research by Duke University psychologist and researcher Jonathan Wai is likely to underestimate the number of “brilliant people” in the US due to one glaring detail: A significant proportion of the most brilliant people living in the US come to the country well after high school. In other words, the US literally steals the brilliant people from other countries from college age onward.

Another reason to suspect that the US has more “brilliant people” than was estimated above, is that the nation is rapidly changing demographically, with a smaller proportion of intelligent people within high school aged cohorts than previously — due to both immigration patterns and very low birth rates among the intelligent and educated.

Finally, the culture of “dumbed down education” has thoroughly taken over government education from K to 12 and beyond. When latent intelligence is suppressed by an ideologically top-heavy educational system that focuses on indoctrination rather than empowered learning, test scores are likely to suffer.

These two images provide a glimpse of immigration flow in general (above), and flow of physician immigrants (below) in particular. (from an earlier article on the original Al Fin blog)

Which may be one of the reasons why the US tends to perform above its “IQ class” in national comparisons of GDP vs average IQ.

We have not heard the last word on the “smart fraction theory.” While we understand that pre-frontal lobe executive functions (EF) are more important to life success than IQ alone, we also understand that both IQ and EF are highly heritable, and positively correlated.

This topic is not politically correct, but it is crucially important to anyone who wants to pass on peaceful and prosperous living conditions to his progeny.

This entry was posted in Demographics, Economics, IQ. Bookmark the permalink.

8 Responses to Top 25 Countries by Smart Fraction

  1. bob sykes says:

    A very large majority of faculty in the humanities and social sciences (probably over 90%) are in effect evolution deniers. They are happy to acknowledge mankind’s physical evolution, but they are special creationists when it comes to mental evolution.

    The prime example is the otherwise great book by Cavalli-Sforza, Menozzi and Piazza “The History and Geography of Human Genes,” in which they prove the reality human races and deny it at the same time. No doubt the denial was required by the publisher, a la Galileo. The other classic race denier is Gould in “The Mismeasure of Man,” but it is now proven that his treatment of data in that book is deliberately fraudulent.

    There is a great deal of inertia in demography so the substantial influx of low IQ Mexicans and Africans will not have an immediate impact on America’s productivity. And we still attract large numbers of high IQ East Asians and Europeans immigrating. If the proposed Senate immigration bill passes (likely) then all those foreign graduate students in our STEM programs (75% of total enrollment) will get automatic HB-1 visas. This will greatly benefit them and our economy, but it will crush STEM salaries.

    The influx of Mexicans and Central Americans will, of course, crush native black American’s job and housing opportunities, but that seems to be the intent. Our Ruling Class seems to have tired of black shenanigans and is working to displace and replace them, especially in the Ruling Class’s favorite cities like Boston, New York, San Francisco and Los Angeles. LA is the black future–disappeared. Why black leaders support this is a mystery.

  2. alfin2101 says:

    Between gentrification and a massive influx of latinos, black populations of several cities are being squeezed. The only places with an abundance of inner city real estate are the majority black municipalities such as Detroit, where you can buy a house for a dollar if you’re stupid enough. As the Obama recession continues to drag on, the likely result is even more black crime — much of it of a violent nature as we have seen too much of recently.

    From the squeezing of STEM salaries to the squeezing of working class familes to the growing class of people who have simply given up due to loss of opportunity under Obama — the question to ask is: How much suffering can different humans withstand before they revolt?

    When the food stamp debit cards stopped working for a short time during the staged “US government shutdown,” many of a certain class revolted almost immediately. We seem to know the answer for those. But for most Americans of a more traditional and hard working nature, it is likely that they will withstand a good deal more hardship before they start looking for a latter day Moses who will stand up to the Pharaoh.

    I suspect that Obama’s policies are partly designed to force some type of revolt from the perennial enemies of the leftist overlords, so that Obama can enact a crackdown and usurp even more government power to himself. The Tea Party was too well behaved to suit the purpose, and was too easily suppressed via the IRS to boot. The regime will have to keep pushing and prodding until they get their equivalent of “9/11.”

    Things may get interesting. To general readers: Try not to give your enemies who are in power too much ammunition to use against you.

  3. Matt Musson says:

    I think you are giving Obama too much credit. I don’t believe he is provoking as much as stumbling through.

  4. alfin2101 says:

    Matt: Yes, the man himself can barely talk intelligibly without a teleprompter. He can’t even stay awake during cabinet meetings, gets bored by technical discussions. When I say “Obama” I am as often as not referring to his gang of thieves rather than to the incompetent clown himself.

    There is foul play afoot, Matt. Ignore it at your peril.

    • swampie says:

      SwampMan and I have talked at length about this. Something is definitely afoot, and I do not think this bodes well for us.

  5. Pingback: Randoms | Foseti

  6. threestars says:

    PISA scores are more of an indication of the state of the school system rather than national IQ. I see a lot of the nations with notoriously good education systems in the top 10. I don’t know of any study that found a disparity larger than 5 IQ points between Germany and S. Korea while the disparity in PISA scores seem to be dramatic. Germans and Swiss are highly similar groups genetics-wise, and again the disparity is dramatic.
    Since the state of a nation’s education system is generally transient, I don’t think these kinds of studies can offer any pertinent prediction.

    • alfin2101 says:

      The issue is certainly complex, and any predictions of the future are fraught with peril.

      Here are some interesting articles about national IQ, some of them correlating aptitude scores with national IQ:

      The assertion: “PISA scores are more of an indication of the state of the school system rather than national IQ, “ needs to be quantified in order to be meaningful.

      We know that nationl IQs correlate with test scores, and that “the state of the school system” tends to correlate with “national IQ.” This study makes a number of comparisons between test scores and national IQs.

      In Switzerland, French, Italian, and German are equal official languages, ignoring Romansh. The genetics of Switzerland is likewise mixed, beyond current immigration conditions. Germany itself is a conglomeration of ethnicities, and growing more topsy-turvy by the day. In fact, the ethnic history of Europe is complex, and is generally lost when making whole-nation comparisons.

      Statistics is a crude art, but generates hypotheses which can then be tested. “Maps are not the territory, models are not the reality….”

      The main point of the article above is that the US has attracted more brilliant people than its share, and that the methodology of the study probably understates the disparity. No prediction was intended other than to suggest that brilliance tends to follow the money, and the freedom (generally).

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