Winter is coming, and Germany isn’t ready. The Deutschland government has crafted policies that are driving German industry out of the country, reducing German jobs, and stalling the German economy in its tracks.
… nearly a quarter of all companies in heavy industry are considering reducing production in Germany, according to a survey by the German Chambers of Commerce.
The falloff in German investment in industrial sectors, also including aluminum and glass production, is not the only reason for the worrying slowdown in Europe’s biggest economy. But it is certainly a factor. __ NewYorkTimes
… think tanks predict that projects undertaken by the coalition, including allowing people to retire at the age of 63 and the introduction of Germany’s first-ever national minimum wage, will cause around 300,000 jobs a year to disappear. __ German Economy Stalls . . . Der Spiegel
The German government has shackled the German economy to a disastrous project of energy starvation — labeled the “Energiewende,” or energy transition. It amounts to the total replacement of clean and reliable power sources such as nuclear power, with unreliable and intermittent wind and solar energy — to be accomplished by the year 2050. Other than a failed experiment in Spain, such a transition has never before been attempted by a large modern industrial economy for a very good reason: It is a perfect prescription for economic disaster. We are beginning to see the early stages in Germany today.
German industrial giants are beginning to look overseas to places where energy is less costly:
European companies are also being drawn to the United States.
Wacker Chemie, based in Munich, is building a $2 billion plant in Tennessee to make polysilicon, a material that is used to make solar panels. Wacker’s manufacturing process will rely heavily on chlorine, a chemical whose manufacture requires huge amounts of energy.
In September, the German industrial giant Siemens agreed to buy Dresser-Rand, a Houston-based maker of equipment for the energy industry, for $7.6 billion. Two Austrian steel makers, Voestalpine and Benteler, are building mills on the Gulf Coast in Texas and Louisiana.
“The bad thing from a European perspective, not from a company perspective but for the region Europe, is it’s not only BASF,” Mr. Schwager said. “It is many European companies which are energy-intensive. They are finding out that the benefits of shifting investment from Europe to the U.S. are significant.” _ NYT
Besides a dangerously precarious energy policy, Germany’s problems include an ongoing demographic decline, a suicidal dependency on Russia for heating fuels, counter-productive leftist economic policies, and the tendency to wallow in fantasy wish-fulfillment instead of hard-headed assessment and planning. Germany may have lost the best of its genomic complement in an earlier escape into fantasy — the Nazi experiment.
Germany abruptly turned away from nuclear power without putting anything economically sustainable in its place (instead touting that some day, somehow wind and solar will make economic sense) has left the country at a permanent, seemingly long-term economic disadvantage that simply cannot be overcome. German energy prices are fully three times as high industrially as those of their American competitors. As I say to my somewhat nervous German colleagues, “You are all talented, but you are not three times more talented than the Americans”. __ German Nightmare
A more sober analysis of Germany’s green “leap of faith” raises the expectation of a crushing hard landing at the bottom of the precipice. Why is Germany incapable of clear and simple logical evaluations, without the wishful thinking and false imperatives that lie behind the Energiewende facade? What false ideology is driving the formerly hard-headed and ambitious people of Germany to choose a cold, dead end?
Industry and commerce require large amounts of affordable energy on demand. Since wind and solar are unpredictable, intermittent, and unreliable, they cannot be counted upon to supply power — in any amount — on demand. And so, without nuclear, Germany is forced to turn to coal power. Do you understand the irony? In order to produce “green energy,” Germany must burn the dirtiest source of power available. 21st century German logic in a nutshell.
Germany has set itself up for a grand experiment that could have repercussions for all of Europe, which depends heavily on German economic strength. The country must build and use renewable energy technologies at unprecedented scales, at enormous but uncertain cost, while reducing energy use. And it must pull it all off without undercutting industry, which relies on reasonably priced, reliable power. “In a sense, the Energiewende is a political statement without a technical solution,” says Stephan Reimelt, CEO of GE Energy Germany. __ MIT TechnologyReview
Germany is already struggling to reconcile its wishful thinking with harsh economic and climatic reality. Winter is coming to Germany, in more ways than one… The country is not prepared.
US Shale oil will soon be profitable at an oil price of $50 bbl. And US natural gas production can only be described as “a glut” for the next few decades. Cheap, reliable, on-demand energy exerts a strong pull to the industries of Germany and Europe as a whole.
Dependency upon Russia could not have come at a worse time.
Europe is being over-run by fertile, unintelligent, unassimilable, uneducatable, violent immigrants from the third world of Africa and Asia. At the same time, European governments are intentionally making their societies weaker, less resilient, and more impoverished for reasons of incoherent, unsupportable ideology (eg the climate apocalypse).
Is it time to bring out, dust off, and lubricate the guillotines, before all of western Europe is overrun by this creeping Idiocracy?
For big wind energy in the UK, this PDF document from the Adam Smith Institute just about says it all.
Wind is, by its nature, intermittent and so the extent to which this affects the output of the fleet of wind turbines in a typical year is crucial in determining how much conventional generating capacity is needed by way of backup and thus what the overall system costs are. This study provides a rigorous quantitative assessment of wind variability and intermittency based on nine years of hourly measurements of wind speed on 22 sites across the country. The analysis is based on a model UK wind fleet of 10 GW nominal capacity.
The model reveals that power output has the following pattern over a year:
i Power exceeds 90 % of available power for only 17 hours
ii Power exceeds 80 % of available power for 163 hours
iii Power is below 20 % of available power for 3,448 hours (20 weeks)
iv Power is below 10 % of available power for 1,519 hours (9 weeks)
In other words, nameplate “capacity” for wind farms is meaningless. Wind doesn’t blow on demand. When wind energy is available, it is often not needed on the grid — and must be wasted in order to maintain grid stability. The entire scheme of “big wind energy” is both corrupt and destructive. But it is very well connected, politically, so it will continue to be foisted onto the grid and onto the public until decisive steps can be taken against the financial and political interests who are behind the gigantic scam.
Much more information in the PDF document: http://www.adamsmith.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Assessment7.pdf
Germany pays almost as much in subsidies as it gets from “renewables”. It is a scandal which will eventually result in heads rolling, the sooner the better.
This doesn’t help: Germany is still divided
Green idiots who try to take Germany’s Energiewende path will run headlong into the problem of unpredictable intermittency — anathema to a modern industrial society. Be very careful when considering re-locating to any jurisdiction that is in thrall to the green delusion.