Germany says it wants to generate 80% of its energy from intermittent unreliable “green” sources, by 2050. Policy-makers have leapt blindly into a set of energy policies that threaten the very future of Germany. Ominous consequences of Germany’s Energiewende plan for green energy suicide are beginning to reveal themselves.
Full PDF report
The problem with the “renewable” power sources of wind and solar is their intrinsic volatility coupled with their poor capacity utilization rates of only 17.4% for wind and 8.3% for solar (average values for Germany).
That poor utilization rate means one has to build up huge overcapacities in order to achieve a certain amount of power production. Worse, the power source fluctuates wildly according to weather conditions. As a consequence, Germany has to maintain a dual power generation infrastructure that comprises a grossly overinflated capacity of “renewable” wind and solar power plants shadowed by a full scale backup set of conventional plants. These conventional power sources must always be on standby, ready to take over when weather conditions aren’t favorable. The production-fluctuation range of the “renewables” wind and solar is incredibly wide and volatile. For example in Germany there is an installed nameplate capacity of nearly 73,000 MW. Yet the minimum power output in Germany in 2014 from both sources was a meager 29 MW (only 0.04% of installed capacity) while the maximum value was 38,000 MW (48%). __ Energy Suicide by Energiewende
Their intentions were good, if more than a little self-serving and corrupt. But the results are to prove devastating for the German economy and the German future.
The graph above depicts German electric supply and consumption over a recent 31 day period. The erratic and unpredictable energy generation from “green” sources creates a nightmare for those who must assure the reliability, quality, and affordability of electrical power for Germany’s power consumers. The “mismatch” between erratic green supply and crucial consumer demand makes the entire intermittent green energy crusade an expensive, corrupt, quasi-criminal farce.
The above chart was prepared by Rolf Schuster, an industrial engineering designer, who during his free time has started a wind power databank in order to check the rosy claims being made by the wind power lobby. The results are not something any fast-talking salesman would want any potential buyer to see. The power that was input (blue) is a mere fraction of the rated capacity (green).
“If you divide the power fed in (blue) by the rated capacity (green) you get the percent of the rated capacity that actually gets fed into the grid. The linear trend shows a negative tendency – towards 20 percent of the rated capacity. That means: Despite the massively increased capacity in 2014, hardly more power has ended up getting delivered compared to the start of the year. Only one fifth of the rated capacity actually gets fed in.”
Many proponents used to argue that the wind is always blowing at the North Sea, and so a steady supply was a sure thing. Now we have real results coming in. That “steady” wind is only delivering 20% of the installed rated capacity. A fiasco.
Schuster also says that offshore turbines have serious technical problems as well. Foundations are being washed out from underneath; there’s corrosion, and overloads that lead to turbine shutdowns. The harsh conditions of the North Sea a proving much tougher to handle. __ German Energy Suicide
Modern wind turbines are wonders of mechanical design and construction, but the intermittent and unreliable nature of natural wind flows makes their wide-scale installation unwise. The fact that they tend to break down so quickly under the harsh conditions of nature — both onshore and offshore — makes their large-scale use almost criminal.
The growth in intermittent green energy is slow, but it would be much slower without corrupt government mandates and incentives.
Fossil fuels still dominate world energy consumption and are actually accelerating faster than everything else, according to these figures from BP’s 2014 Statistical Review of Energy. Coal, oil, and natural gas have all increased their share while the contribution of renewables remains extremely small. Nuclear power and hydroelectricity have both held their own but are not advancing. Together hydro, nuclear and renewables – the non-carbon sources – barely make up 1/6th of the world total. Natural gas is growing the fastest and coal is still expanding. _RCE
Intermittent, unreliable green energy from wind and solar cannot supply abundant, high quality electric power on demand to western consumers. Unless political mandates and incentives force taxpayers to subsidise green energy — and force power grids to give priority to green energy over more reliable and higher quality forms of electric energy — big wind and big solar would die a natural death, putting themselves out of the world’s misery.
“Over the last decade, well-intentioned policymakers in Germany and other European countries created renewable energy policies with generous subsidies that have slowly revealed themselves to be unsustainable, resulting in profound, unintended consequences for all industry stakeholders. While these policies have created an impressive roll-out of renewable energy resources, they have also clearly generated disequilibrium in the power markets, resulting in significant increases in energy prices to most users, as well as value destruction for all stakeholders: consumers, renewable companies, electric utilities, financial institutions, and investors.” __ German Green Energy Suicide
The German economy relies upon industrial exports for jobs, profits, and taxes. Industries that generate power or consume large amounts of power, are being squeezed. The government-engineered decline of the German power sector can only result in economic suicide.
Nuclear power plants in Germany continue to be shut down, removing crucial supplies of reliable power. Established German power producers are finding it more and more difficult to stay profitable — with some of them shutting down or re-locating away from Germany. Industries that
An alarming decline of Germany’s infrastructure parallels the Energiewende misstep
Obama’s green corruption may lead the US down the same deadly path that Germany has taken. Like the modern European ruling classes, an effeminate Obama projects the image of weak-minded helplessness when dealing with crucial policy issues and dangerous threats.
Canada’s dalliance with green energy causing pain in Ontario