Trying to Find Russia

Can You Find Russia in The Graphic Below?

(Click to enlarge)

If a Russian Wants to Make an Impact, He Should Emigrate

If a Russian Wants to Make an Impact, He Should Emigrate

The Russian Federation is the world’s largest single nation, by area. But in terms of economy, innovation, population of young healthy Russians, currency reserves etc., Russia is shrinking in alarming fashion. Much of this is because of an overall national ageing.

The share of Russia’s population participating in the civilian workforce continues to diminish: in 2005 it was 65 percent and last year it was 52 percent. In part, this is due to the fact that by law the country’s retirement age is comparatively low. And if that disincentive to remain in the workforce isn’t strong enough, average wages in real terms have been falling in Russia since 2002. __ Harry Broadman, Russophile

Russia’s population is growing older. A severe dropoff of young women of child-bearing age and young men of military age is sneaking up on the nation.

It is more and more difficult to find Russia’s economy, because most of it no longer resides within Russia’s national borders!

As much as 80% of Russia’s economy has been transplanted overseas to hide the identity of company and asset owners from the government’s prying eyes — threatening the country’s very financial future. __

Russia’s economy continues to contract, with reduced investment, and large numbers of workers not being paid their wages.

The economy is expected to contract by a whopping 3.5 to 4 percent in 2015 against bad, but not overly serious inflation of 15 percent. What’s more, experts from the World Bank, International Monetary Fund, investment banks, government agencies, the Finance Ministry, Economic Development Ministry and the Central Bank — all predict the same thing: another year of moderate economic decline followed by a slight recovery and then stagnation for the foreseeable future.

The contrast between the grandiosity of Putin’s military invasions and the sad reality of a shrinking Russia, is stark and sobering.

Now, the repercussions are becoming apparent. Without the support of high oil prices and hampered by Western sanctions, Russia is headed into a recession deeper than the U.S. experienced in 2009. Though the official unemployment rate remains low, other indicators suggest that hidden joblessness — including people going to work and not getting paid — is on the rise. Wage arrears were up 29 percent in September from a year earlier, according to the Federal Statistics Service. __

Everything Putin has done over the past year and a half, has made Russia’s predicament worse. The most recent invasion — the quasi-invasion of a Syria in the middle of civil war — is a menage a trois involving Iran as the third partner. Russian soldiers are rebelling against being sent to Syria, and the Russian people cannot comprehend what in hell Putin is up to.

Russia no longer has the entrepreneurs and the innovators capable of making and growing substitutes for prohibited western imports. The once-booming Russian private sector has either emigrated, become nationalised (looted by Putin’s inner circle) or shriveled to almost nothing.

The Russian economy is now smaller than that of Canada or Australia — and much smaller than that of California! Even violent, corrupt, and dysfunctional Mexico has a GDP to rival Russia’s.

Putin’s wars costing $100 billion a year, draining reserves at warp speed.

And that isn’t counting Putin’s coming war against Belarus

Russia is losing its naval fleet

Russian “spearhead stormtroopers” moved from Ukraine to Syria to do the dirty work on the ground. They are being replaced in Donbass with Russia-trained terror cadres — presumably made up of Russian orphans and street children. These young Russian hooligans-with-terror-training are unlikely to become endeared to civilians inside Donbass. Blowback to Russia herself is likely to be severe, as the violent young ones return home with their weapons, to a nation in deepening recession.

Russian homicide rates are 3X those in the US overall. Russian rates should eventually fall, due to the ageing of the Russian population. But over the next 5-10 years, we may well see a significant up-surge of deadly violence inside Russia, before the inevitable decline due to senescence and population fade-away.

Try to Find Russia in the Image Below

Russia is becoming harder to find, except when ranked by dysfunction. The modern decline started in 2003, and shows no signs of abating . . . .


Russia’s population may drop to half of present level by 2050

The systemic roots of Russia’s recession

This entry was posted in Demographics, Russia, Russian Decline and tagged . Bookmark the permalink.

2 Responses to Trying to Find Russia

  1. Dan says:

    Russian life expectancy is up from 65 to 70 since 2000. Still not great, but nevertheless not indicative of a collapsing country either.

    • alfin2101 says:

      You will need to update your statistics. Since the onset of the Putin financial crisis, Russia’s mortality rates for men have been going up — which means that life expectancy for men has gone down. And not just for middle-aged and older men.

      Excessive drinking of bootleg vodka may be to blame:

      If you can read a population pyramid, you can see that hard times are coming for ethnic Russians, demographically. The decline in Russia’s health service doesn’t help:

      In fact, Russia’s healthcare system is dying:

      I understand how frustrated Russophiles are becoming at the increasing likelihood of the disintegration of Russia, under Putin. It is a sad phenomenon. I am only reporting the facts, so don’t shoot the messenger! 😉

      The numbers of deaths from suicide or from alcohol poisoning, which had been declining until recently, are on the rise again, as are the fatalities attributed to untreated pneumonia among “asocial groups of the population,” Skvortsova said, Interfax reported.

      …”Forty percent of the deaths of children before the age of 1 year is the fault of drunken moms, who crush them with their bodies,” she was quoted as saying. __

      I would try to tell Russophile readers to stop believing Kremlin propaganda, but it’s just no use. Virtually everything they think they know about Russia has been tainted by Kremlin agitprop and troll factories. But some folks cannot live outside the echo choir, there is just too much cognitive dissonance in the larger world.

      As for Russian GDP, the decline is presented in the statistical box above. It has been declining — in US dollar terms — for 3 years now. This is quite meaningful in terms of outside debts needing to be financed, outside expertise needed to modernise oil & gas fields and to develop shale fields, and for a wide range of crucial imports of things Russia can no longer make for herself.

      Were you able to find Russia on the graphic of science and innovation, or on the graphic for top 500 world universities? I can’t blame you if you could not.

      A survey conducted in June 2012 by the LevadaCenter, an independent pollster, found that one out of every five Russians wants to emigrate compared to one in 20 in 1991, the year the Soviet Union dissolved.

      At that time, most emigrants were poor and unskilled. Today, they constitute a wide range of well-off professionals, artists and scientists.

      Of course, this generally highly productive group leaves the country largely for reasons having to do with the deteriorating political freedoms in the country.

      Failure to tackle Russia’s huge public health problems is likely to exacerbate the brain drain already under way. __

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