China Turns to Ukraine, CEE, and Finland/Scandinavia to Bypass Russia

Despite China’s close relationship with Russia, Ukraine’s rival, China has purchased outright and licensed a number of Ukrainian aviation and naval platforms, such as the ex Varyag aircraft carrier, the Zubr hovercraft and the An-178. Antonov itself has also provided design and technical advice for the Chinese ARJ-21 region jetliner and Y-20 heavy transport aircraft.

__ Source

China Turns to Ukraine Source

China Turns to Ukraine

China is deeply interested in what Ukraine can do for China, including building advanced and powerful jet turbine engines for the world’s largest jet aircraft — and the entire giant aircraft itself — for as long as China takes to build its own versions of the plane in China. But as for the turbines, China cannot build military quality jet turbines without outside help — and Ukraine is willing and able to lend a hand to the Middle Kingdom for as long as necessary.

There are other reasons why China is interested in Ukraine, among other nations of Central and Eastern Europe, and Northern Europe.

Some countries are of particular interest to China. Among them is Ukraine, where China’s interest is driven by several key factors. These factors include Ukraine’s geographic location and its potential to become a major transit hub within [the Silk Road], in addition to the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade agreement between Ukraine and the EU, and Ukraine’s agricultural industry. __ Why China is Interested in Ukraine

When combined with the increasingly Chinese-dominated economies of Central Asia, the economies of Central, Eastern, and Northern Europe will provide an “economic encirclement” of Russia by the dragon — providing significant leverage in future negotiations with the ailing bear.

China cannot keep up with the advanced world technologically, without big help from the west:

China continues to depend on technology from Europe and the United States… Chinese companies are good at incremental innovation, but they lag behind advanced countries when it comes to disruptive innovation.

Less than 6% of Chinese patents are protected by global patents, compared to 49% of U.S. patents. Fifty percent of total exports and more than 90% of China’s high-tech exports are produced by foreign companies operating there. __ Globalist

China’s Trade with Central, Eastern, and Northern Europe Grows

China Trade with Central and Eastern Asia

China Trade with Central and Eastern Asia

China is going to great lengths to create a grand economic encirclement of Russia, in order to better trade with a more vibrant and innovative Europe. It is clear that China prefers the better quality goods it can obtain from Europe to the shoddy goods offered by a corrupt and ailing Russia.

… what does it mean that China is making a special effort to engage with Central and Eastern Europe? China’s “march West” policy is even more ambitious than previously thought. The “New Silk Road” as envisioned by the new leadership could stretch all the way from China to Central Europe — much like the original Silk Road. This is especially relevant in light of recent research suggesting that China’s economic relationships often encourage its partners to lend their political support in international fora. The more countries that welcome and come to rely on China’s economic aid, the more powerful China could become in international bodies such as the UN. __ source

Poland is one of the key targets for Chinese trade and cooperation in CEE.

China eyes deeper financial and military ties to Finland.

… China is a very important cooperation partner of Finland, and that bilateral defense cooperation has a huge potential.

He said Finland was ready to improve exchanges and cooperation in such areas as personnel training and military drills. __ Source

Trade between China and other scandinavian countries such as Sweden is likewise robust.

Russia Should Consider itself “Encircled” — by China!

Combining ever-deeper Chinese involvement in the Russian Far East, Mongolia, Central Asia, Turkey, Central-Eastern-Northern Europe, and a more active Chinese presence in the Arctic, China is effectively bracketing Russia from every direction.

Future Global Stability Peter Zeihan

Future Global Stability
Peter Zeihan

This represents a huge gamble for China, with an economy that itself is built upon a rapidly growing inverse pyramid of bubbles. Forcing Russia to become China’s “comfort woman” may appeal to some sense of justice in China’s leaders, but if both nations break into clashing factions it will avail China little in the end.

Regardless, China’s grand Silk Road power scheme points at the heart of Europe, via Central Asia and CEE. China will need Europe’s innovations and dynamism for some time to come.

Russia is merely a source for raw natural resources, a competitor in global arms sales, and the future water supply and breadbasket of New China. Or so the plan goes.

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2 Responses to China Turns to Ukraine, CEE, and Finland/Scandinavia to Bypass Russia

  1. World Commenter says:

    Russia would have been smarter to treat its European neighbors better and focus on China and the Middle East. Russian chauvinism against Moldova, Georgia and Ukraine has reinforced the image of the aggressive “Russian Bear” trying to recreate the Russian Empire or the USSR by invading, occupying and annexing / controlling its geopolitical neighbors.

    Siberia and eastern Russia are culturally and linguistically much closer to the Chinese and Mongols then to Moscow Russians.

    • alfin2101 says:

      True. Blame it on Putin and his inflexible image of “Russia.” Not so different from Hitler’s grand image of Germany. And we know where that got der Fuhrer.

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