Russia Could Use Some Help

The economy continues to have problems. GDP growth is currently about one percent a year which, combined with many other negative economic indicators, confirms that despite optimistic government propaganda, living standards and employment opportunities continue to decline, along with manufacturing activity and so much more.

… deficit spending and poor infrastructure have made Russia less attractive to economic partners (even China). The lower standard of living comes with higher unemployment and a growing number of younger and well educated Russians are unable to find work and emigrating … Russia still has one of the worst road networks in the world and the railroad system is still awaiting delayed (for decades) maintenance and upgrades. __ Don’t Mention It

Table 1. Out-Migration from Russia, 1997-2016.

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Year .                     Number Emigrating

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1997                               232,987

1998                               213,337

1999                               214,963

2000                               145,720

2001                               121,166

2002                               106,685

2003                                 94,018

2004                                 79,795

2005                                 69, 798

2006                                 54,061

2007                                 47,013

2008                                 39,508

2009                                 32,458

2010                                 33,578

2011                                 36,774

2012 .                             122,751

2013                               186,382

2014                               310,496

2015                               353,233

2016 .                             313,210

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SOURCE: See ‘Mezhdunarodnaya Migratsiya”, http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/ru/statistics/population/demography/#.

The Kremlin’s failure to provide competitive opportunity and lifestyle for Russian youth is driving a massive Russian brain drain abroad. Russia’s discontented, highly educated, highly skilled university graduates tend to move abroad to find suitable work. __ Source

It is estimated that at least 40,000 Russian scientists and engineers have emigrated yearly since 2012. But as the best of the best leave, those that remain tend to be second rate.

Even the Russian Military is Hurting

As mentioned in the article excerpted at the top of the page, the Russian military has been given the lion’s share of government funding during the ongoing Russian economic crisis. But that hasn’t prevented the armed forces from suffering some crucial setbacks in critical weapons systems.

Look over the excerpted articles below, and see if you can make a connection between the hundreds of thousands of Russian scientists, engineers, and technicians who have been leaving Russia since 2012 . . . and the problems that Russia is having fielding advanced weapons systems.

The cancellation of the Su-57 comes as no surprise… two Su-57 stealth fighters sent to Syria conducted two days of testing their sensors and countermeasures over Syria and returned to Russia by the end of February. The reality was that all the Su-57s could do was land and take off. There were no sensors and countermeasures to test.

The Su-57 design was flawed and fixes were not available. __ https://www.strategypage.com//qnd/russia/articles/20180713.aspx

Besides the cancellation of the much-vaunted Su-57, Russia is having problems supplying its Navy with the new stealth frigates it had been promised. The first of the Admiral Gorshkov-class stealth frigates will be over a year delayed due to ongoing problems experienced during sea trials. The second of the same class will likewise be delayed — probably by another year or more. And those two are the only Admiral Gorshkov-class frigates on the horizon, because Russia only had two left-over Ukrainian-made gas turbine engines on hand — and is still unable to make the engines in Russian factories.

The Admiral Gorshkov-class has had to deal with various technical issues, including performance and compatibility problems with its Polimut Redut air defense missile system and with its propulsion system. The entire Project 22350 program also suffered from periodic funding shortages since its inception.

… Two additional Project 22350 frigates have been laid down in 2012 and 2013 respectively. However, given that the Russian defense industry is still struggling with designing a new propulsion system for the Russian Navy’s surface combatants as it can no longer rely on Ukraine-made gas turbine engines (it still had two Ukrainian engines for Gorshkov-class destroyers in stock), it is unclear when or if either of the two ships will enter service. __ The Diplomat

Russia Needs Help

Russia has been getting some help from China during the last few years of “hard times.” But help from China always comes with strings attached. If the Putin misery continues much longer, Russia may not have credible claim to much of the Far East remaining. China needs Siberian resources desperately, and has Putin over the barrel economically as long as western sanctions hold.

In an article on AsiaRussia.ru yesterday, [Aleksandr] Khramchikhin argues that a Chinese invasion of Russia is almost inevitable because “objectively” China cannot survive “in its current borders. It must become much bigger if it does not want to become much smaller” and it needs resources Russia and Kazakhstan have but Southeast Asia does not (asiarussia.ru/articles/4864/). __ via WO2

Russians Should Hope for Best and Prepare for Worst

After Russia’s brain drain and womb drain continue to plateau and then subside — because no other country will take those who remain — what is left of a formerly impressive ethnic Russian population will barely be able to make a pretense of defending current national borders.

China already wields greater economic influence in Central Asia than does Russia, and as the One Belt One Road loans come due, China will begin exerting military influence there as well. Chinese business interests are taking over financial control of Russian cities in the Far East and across the Siberian border. Lake Baikal is slowly becoming a Chinese water supply for all intents and purposes. China is insinuating itself deep inside Russia’s oil & gas infrastructure — the very life’s blood of the Russian economy.

It has taken Putin roughly 20 years to accomplish this. And through it all, Russophiles have defended him in a staunch and stubborn manner. How easily they have been played. Time to pay the piper.

More:

Young Russian Men Dying at Historically High Rates

Is Donald Trump Putin’s Puppet?

Shame Mr. Trump! You are straying from the official media script

This entry was posted in Brain Drain, Russian Decline, Russian Womb Drain and tagged . Bookmark the permalink.

2 Responses to Russia Could Use Some Help

  1. bob sykes says:

    Give Putin a break. There is no doubt that Russia is in bad shape. But when Putin took over Yeltsin had allowed the Russian oligarchs, financed by Wall Street, to loot the country. The population was falling, death rates were very high, health was poor, the economy was a shambles, the military had collapsed and the people were in despair.

    Putin reversed all of that. Today Russia’s economy is somewhat larger than Germany’s (PPP). It military has been rebuilt. Russian health statistics have improved substantially. Go read Anatoly Karlin for detailed statistics. Putin has been the most effective, productive statesman of the last 10 to 20 years. During that same period, the leadership of the West has been a joke and utterly corrupt.

    You might also note that Putin has made major inroads in the Middle East, and Russia has at least as much influence, if not more, than the Soviet Union at its peak. And our influence has been lowered.

    Much of Russia’s and Putin’s bad press is financed by the Wall Street criminals who failed to loot Russia and who lost their control of Russia’s economy. That is the source of all the negative news.

    The real story is not Russia. Every White country in the world plus Korea, China and Japan has the same problem of population decline and staggering debt loads that threaten economic collapse.

    Would a young White man have a better future in Russia or the US? He will have more stuff in the US, maybe. Is death by vodka more common than death by opioids? Are young White men in Russia being displaced from their own country by government policy? Are young White men in Russia the objects of vilification and aggressive discrimination? Are White schoolboys in Russia drugged into stupefaction by women teachers to keep them quiet?

    • alfin2101 says:

      This web site: http://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/news/russia-vs-united-states-top-10-causes-of-death provides comparisons of mortality by cause between the US and Russia. Many of your comments on this topic are so over the top and conterfactual that if it were not for your insightful comments on any other topic, one might suspect the presence of troll genes in your ancestral background.

      A clear headed analyst might think that Putin was doing well until he blew it by invading Ukraine and illegally occupying Crimea. But Russian decline was under way years before 2014, when western sanctions combined with low oil prices knocked the bear to its knees (see emigration numbers in posting which reflect this). Smart Russians were growing tired of Putin’s schtick and so he was forced to play the ultra-nationalist card and go to war (inside and outside of Russia).

      Behind the scenes, things are getting pretty bad in the dictatorship of Putin. Bad roads, leaky pipelines, disappearing hospitals and clinics, exponential rates of abandoned villages, stealth takeovers of land and cities by China … Smart young men are leaving, the other young men are sickening and dying. If you care about Russia, focus on the central problem. He has a name.

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