The End of Babies, and Other Misc.

Around the developed world, economic pressures are suppressing birth rates and rates of new family formation. In the US, student loan debt plays a large role. In China and Russia, general economic conditions are harsh. In Europe, a dark malaise of intangible fear hangs over much of the continent.

[Ms. Yuan and others were quick] to note China’s harsh economic conditions, a factor that rarely, if ever, came up in Denmark. She cited, for instance, the high cost of urban living. “Everything is super expensive,” she said, and quality of life, especially in big cities, “is extremely low.”

The factors suppressing fertility in China are present throughout the country: In rural areas, where 41 percent of its nearly 1.4 billion citizens still live, there is little enthusiasm for second children, and policymakers can seemingly do even less about it. In Xuanwei Prefecture, after the central government announced in 2013 that couples in which one spouse was an only child could apply for permission to have a second baby, just 36 people sought such approval in the first three months — in a region of around 1.25 million people. “Local family planning officials blamed economic pressure on young couples for the low take-up,” the authors of a study on China and fertility wrote. ___ https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/11/16/opinion/sunday/capitalism-children.html via PO

As countries grow older and their populations die away, their economies will crumble. What if they hold an economy, and no one shows up? That may be the future of the developed world.

In Japan, senior citizens are being forced to work well into their 70s. South Korea is wealthy, but it is losing 600,000 people a year to demographic factors. Russia is melting before our eyes. Iran is losing population at the same time its government is losing respect from its own people. Iran’s “revolutionary” future is dim.

A Hopeful Sign?

Brian Wang says we will soon be able to live 200 years or longer, so perhaps that will ease the impact from fewer babies being born to more advanced populations. But what about places such as sub Saharan Africa or Pakistan, where populations are exploding with new arrivals whose long-term prospects are dismal? Signs are mixed.

New evidence that the brains of women seem to be “rejuvenated” by pregnancy, may encourage some women to have babies — who might otherwise have abstained for various other reasons.

Other Stories

Chinese science is rife with fraud

Fossil fuels hold their ground

Campaign Slogan for US 2020 Election: Communists killed 100 million in the 20th century. Let’s give them another chance!

Impeachment Theatre Opens Window Into Workings of Deep State Swamp

US House of Representatives’ Impeachment Theatre losing respect: “No There, There”

Is it Really OK to be White? How an innocuous assertion becomes the stuff of “white supremacy” in the age of idiocracy.

The world is much too interesting to make grand predictions based on linear extrapolation. Everything you think you know, just ain’t so. It isn’t getting any easier. Hope for the best, prepare for the worst. It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood © .

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3 Responses to The End of Babies, and Other Misc.

  1. bob sykes says:

    America was a much better country when it had only 100 million people, and California was empty. It was a poorer country, but people were freer. If immigration and immigrant reproduction drive us to 500 million, we will again be poorer, and we will live in a socialist Hell.

    In principle, a falling population and a falling GDP are not problems as long as the per caput GDP remains the same. But we lack a functioning economic theory, and no one knows how to achieve that.

  2. Greg McDowall says:

    Look up Strauss and Howe’s work on generational cycles. The kind of period we’re in typically has low birth rates due to higher economic inequality and debt. Also, gender differences toward the end of the prior period are at their smallest in the cycle. So we still live with that effect even as the begin to grow. Though it doesn’t feel like it, even in areas where it seems the left it is strong, such as the metoo movement, which has some validity to it, their efforts are reinforcing a push towards more traditional roles–protect women at all costs. But it’s not being done in healthy ways s of yet, and the fullness of the correction is being stopped by the cheap debt created by unimaginative central bankers who fear deflation, which would make assets affordable for millennials to begin buying homes and forming families. If Strauss and Howe’s trend holds, birth rates should begin to rise sharply from their current low towards the end of the 2020s, lasting through the 2040s, just as the prior baby boom occurred from 1940s-1960s, and after the civil war in the prior century.

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