Around the developed world, economic pressures are suppressing birth rates and rates of new family formation. In the US, student loan debt plays a large role. In China and Russia, general economic conditions are harsh. In Europe, a dark malaise of intangible fear hangs over much of the continent.
[Ms. Yuan and others were quick] to note China’s harsh economic conditions, a factor that rarely, if ever, came up in Denmark. She cited, for instance, the high cost of urban living. “Everything is super expensive,” she said, and quality of life, especially in big cities, “is extremely low.”
The factors suppressing fertility in China are present throughout the country: In rural areas, where 41 percent of its nearly 1.4 billion citizens still live, there is little enthusiasm for second children, and policymakers can seemingly do even less about it. In Xuanwei Prefecture, after the central government announced in 2013 that couples in which one spouse was an only child could apply for permission to have a second baby, just 36 people sought such approval in the first three months — in a region of around 1.25 million people. “Local family planning officials blamed economic pressure on young couples for the low take-up,” the authors of a study on China and fertility wrote. ___ https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/11/16/opinion/sunday/capitalism-children.html via PO
As countries grow older and their populations die away, their economies will crumble. What if they hold an economy, and no one shows up? That may be the future of the developed world.
In Japan, senior citizens are being forced to work well into their 70s. South Korea is wealthy, but it is losing 600,000 people a year to demographic factors. Russia is melting before our eyes. Iran is losing population at the same time its government is losing respect from its own people. Iran’s “revolutionary” future is dim.
A Hopeful Sign?
Brian Wang says we will soon be able to live 200 years or longer, so perhaps that will ease the impact from fewer babies being born to more advanced populations. But what about places such as sub Saharan Africa or Pakistan, where populations are exploding with new arrivals whose long-term prospects are dismal? Signs are mixed.
New evidence that the brains of women seem to be “rejuvenated” by pregnancy, may encourage some women to have babies — who might otherwise have abstained for various other reasons.
Is it Really OK to be White? How an innocuous assertion becomes the stuff of “white supremacy” in the age of idiocracy.
The world is much too interesting to make grand predictions based on linear extrapolation. Everything you think you know, just ain’t so. It isn’t getting any easier. Hope for the best, prepare for the worst. It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood © .