Note to readers: Al Fin is neither a religious observer nor a religious believer. But any discussion of events in the middle east will impinge on issues of religion.
Protests continue in Iran against the corrupt, incompetent Islamic regime. Revolutionary Guard shooters have infiltrated protest crowds using ambulances, creating bloody confrontations.
Iran has been in decline for many years under the Ayatollahs. Illicit drug use is high, birth rates are low, the economic situation is dire, and respect for the government and its ugly religion has plummeted. And why not? Revolutionary Iran has always been about the apocalypse, never about making life bearable for its people.
Iran faces a demographic crisis over the next two decades as its population ages rapidly…
… Few countries have endured this level of deprivation outside of full war mobilization, and few have seen such a drastic decline in the number of births. The only modern comparison is Venezuela. Governments with a monopoly of economic resources and the willingness to kill significant numbers of their own citizens can stay in power for quite some time, but there seems no question that Iran’s regime is fragile and prone to destabilization. __ Spengler
Young Iranians are unhappy with the war-mongering, mindless rigidity, and bloody recklessness of the Iranian theocracy on the international stage. They do not want to fight another large-scale war in the manner of the Iraq-Iran war of the 1980s, when millions of young Iranians were slaughtered on and off the front lines. They are relieved that Suleimani is dead, putting a temporary crimp in the theocracy’s plans to induce a grand middle eastern conflagration on the scale of Armageddon.
The young of Iran protest on the streets, and agitate online for change. Millions of overseas Iranians join in the global conversation, and provide support. More of Iran’s best will defect and emigrate.
Meanwhile, Angst over the Killing of Suleimani Slowly Fades
Iranians are Happy that Suleimani is Dead
Soleimani was not popular with most Iranians because he had long been the guy Iranian leaders called on to suppress widespread protests. This brutally used to be called on once or twice a decade. But now the demonstrations have been constant since late 2017 have had to be repressed, with great brutality, several times. A side effect of these protests is even more resistance to the several days a year when mandatory “Death To America” and “Destroy Israel” rallies are held to remind foreigners what Iran is all about. Soleimani was a general in the IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps) whose main job was to keep the religious dictatorship in power. Thus while Soleimani spent most of his time causing mayhem in other countries (as commander of Quds Force), he was called in when unruly Iranians had to be pacified. In Iran, it is no secret that Soleimani was a hardliner when it comes to domestic unrest. The coercion to round up large crowds to mourn Soleimani made a lot of Iranians even angrier because they were happy that he was dead. __ Strategy
Nancy Pelosi and the Clown Car Brigade were the Most Sincere Mourners
Was Trump lucky, or did he know more than the average dog-mess journalist or Democratic politician? The Iranian response to the destruction of Suleimani has been far from what Nancy Pelosi and the pundits of CNN predicted. A few people are even questioning whether Obama’s policy of appeasement toward Iran may have made the situation in the middle east far worse than it should have been.
Is the Iranian Theocracy Naturally Apocalyptic?
And if the Ayatollahs and their puppets are apocalyptic, why would any responsible outside force let them have nuclear weapons? One could ask that question of the Russians and the Chinese, who seem to have no scruples about empowering the raving Ayatollahs to fulfill their fevered dreams of religious annihilation.
The apocalyptic republic of Iran has always intended to bring the world to the end of days, since the revolution of the late 1970s. Lacking the power to bring the world to the brink of destruction on its own, Iran has lately attempted to provoke others in such a way as to create some kind of “Armageddon” between itself and its Sunni neighbors — hoping to draw in Israel, the USA, and Europe (along with Russia!) for the final bloodbath.
The Hidden – or Twelfth – Imam plays a dominant role in one specific form of Shi’ite Islamic theology, called “Twelverism,” which happens to be the primary belief system of Iran’s leadership. There is a messianic belief that at the end of days, the Hidden Imam will appear in the midst of a violent apocalyptic scenario played out on a battleground stained with infidels’ blood.
… Preparing the ground for the reappearance of the Hidden Imam is the Islamic Republic’s raison d’etre. Ignoring it leads to misinterpretation of Tehran’s actions and miscalculation by Western policymakers.” __ https://www.jpost.com/Opinion/Irans-aggression-and-the-Shiite-apocalypse-598904
Another strong apocalyptic strain within Islam is ISIS. The doom-seekers of Iran and those of ISIS had diverging visions of apocalypse, of course — especially with regard to exactly who would be in charge after the infidels had been slaughtered or forced to convert to Islam.
The forces of apocalyptic Islam were empowered by the policies of Obama — and would have been further empowered by the policies of a President Hillary. But for now, the apocalypse is in temporary abeyance. In a sane world, Iran’s apocalyptic visionaries would be prevented from owning a significant arsenal of nuclear weapons for as long as possible.
Obama’s phony treaty would not have accomplished the postponement of the apocalypse, but would likely have hastened it. Strong pressure on the brutal theocracy from the outside may put off a middle eastern Armageddon for a short time.
Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. Learn to swim in the rising tide of Danger. Pay attention.