The Next Virus May Not Be So Kind

A Lot of It is Just Plain Luck

According to the CDC’s latest estimate, the coronavirus has an overall mortality rate of .4 percent for symptomatic cases (or .26 percent if you include asymptomatic cases)… __ Source

Pandemics come and pandemics go. Some are more infectious, some are more virulent, and some are both more infectious and more virulent — racking up far higher death counts than we have seen in a century or more. Our news media inflates the importance of the pandemic du jour in order to gain more readers and viewers.

The 1918 H1N1 flu pandemic, sometimes referred to as the “Spanish flu,” killed an estimated 50 million people worldwide, including an estimated 675,000 people in the United States.1,2,3,4 An unusual characteristic of this virus was the high death rate it caused among healthy adults 15 to 34 years of age.3 The pandemic lowered the average life expectancy in the United States by more than 12 years.3 A comparable death rate has not been observed during any of the known flu seasons or pandemics that have occurred… __ CDC

The recent H1N1 pandemic infected more people than coronavirus, but fortunately the most recent H1N1 viruses have not proven as lethal the 1918 H1N1 virus — not even as lethal as the accidentally escaped virus from Wuhan. The next virus from China may be more skillfully made and more cleverly deployed. China has active viral biowarfare programs along with detailed plans to cripple its global opposition. Such plans are likely to come into play, if the CCP dictatorship is ever in danger of collapsing.

“It is purely a fortuity that this isn’t one of the great mass casualty events in American history,” Klain said of H1N1 in 2019.

We Caught a Break

How lucky that the more recent H1N1 pandemic was less virulent than the escaped Wuhan virus, else millions — instead of thousands — might have died. And how lucky that the Wuhan virus is less broadly virulent than many other viruses — including some influenza viruses that could easily move into the pandemic queue.

The next viral pandemic out of China (or anywhere else) could be far more deadly to people of all ages. Who the media blames for it will depend a lot upon who is in power at the time.

… the media never held Obama accountable for botching the response to [the 2009 H1N1 pandemic so] we can safely say that such a sentiment, that we were losing the war on the H1N1 pandemic, would have never been a narrative pursued by the media.

Remember, even if a person died in a traffic accident or a violent robbery, the death will be attributed to the Wuhan virus if the person might have been infected. It is a political numbers game, and today’s public health officials have no shame or scruples whatsoever. That goes double for most politicians, journalists, and academics. As for the professional activists employed across all sectors of the nonprofit and for profit economy? Fuggetuhbowdit!

We’re gonna need a lot more guillotines.


Made in a lab

Sweden’s daily death toll from COVID has dropped precipitously, and its death rate/population is lower than many countries and US states which instituted strict lockdown policies.

We are just beginning to assess the toll in lives caused by the abhorrent lockdown policies.

Australian experts warn that lockdown-induced 50 percent jump in suicides could kill 10 times as many as the virus.

Second, with elective surgeries and routine screenings suspended, many diseases that are treatable if caught in time will dramatically elevate the death toll. How many of the nearly 2 million new cancers each year, as also heart, kidney, liver, and pulmonary illnesses, will go undetected in the United States? People at risk from these illnesses total 70-80 million. At 1 percent excess fatality in this group caused by shortages in personnel, supply and equipment resulting from the shutdowns, another 750,000 Americans will die from a policy that was meant to shield the health system but instead partially crippled it.

… Third, the PR campaigns were so successful in terrorizing people about the coronavirus threat that some refuse to go to hospital for fear of catching the virus. “Up to 20 percent of hospital patients in England got coronavirus while in for another illness,” said a recent Guardian headline. The U.K. has recorded a sharp rise in the number of people dying at home, including from cardiac arrests, because people are reluctant to call for an ambulance. They fear that beds may not be available, or that they might contract the virus in hospital.

Fourth, the lockdowns barred people from some healthy open air lifestyle options in parks, gardens and on beaches, instead cooping them up in high-risk environments like congested living complexes. In New York, two-thirds of new hospital admissions were infected at home while sheltering-in-place. Prolonged exposure in enclosed environments is high risk; in outdoor settings the risk is under 5 percent. The Guardian reported on May 9, 6,546 more non-COVID-19 deaths at homes across Britain compared with the seasonal five-year average.

Fifth, to protect the hospital system, patients were discharged into care and nursing homes to deadly effect. About half of America’s COVID-19 deceased were nursing home residents. An analysis published by the EU Center for Disease Prevention and Control on May 19 showed 50 percent to 66 percent of COVID-19 deaths had occurred in care facilities in five countries: France, Sweden, Belgium, Norway and Spain. Compared with hospitals, nursing homes suffer from inadequate training, PPE and medical supplies; not enough carers; and no rigorous separation and physical distancing of infected from other residents.

… Finally, the long-term impacts of the lockdowns will be deadly for the world’s poorest billion people over the next decade. The World Bank and the World Trade Organization warn of dramatic decelerations and contractions in GDP, with a resulting ballooning of poverty. Oxfam warns the pandemic could push another half billion people into poverty. The United Nations estimates the global economic downturn could cause “hundreds of thousands of additional child deaths in 2020.” The number of people suffering from acute hunger could nearly double to 250 million from the disruptions to crop production and global food distribution chains.

A study in South Africa suggests the lockdown could kill 29 times more people than it saves. A study by Johns Hopkins School of Public Health warns infant mortality could increase by 1.2 million this year in poor countries and maternal mortality by 56,700 because of ruptured health services. Professors Jay Bhattacharya and Mikko Packalen estimate the lockdown’s long-term global impact could “end up taking nearly six million young lives in the coming decade” in developing countries.

Deadly cost of lockdowns

Health authorities really screwed up.

Government flunkies must stop treating the Wuhan coronavirus as if it is the only problem we face

In the long run, lockdowns are deadlier than coronavirus.

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