Scarcity of Wit and the Coming Age of Chaos

Ancient empires including Greece, Rome, Egypt, and India, left behind some magnificent ruins. I wonder how soon it can be said that our civilization did the same. At the rate we are moving into the age of chaos, it may not be long.

“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe.”
― Albert Einstein

“In politics, stupidity is not a handicap.”
― Napoleon Bonaparte

“What experience and history teach us is this—that people and governments never have learned anything from history, or acted on principles deduced from it.”
– Georg Hegel

Empires tend to decay, after early stages of expansion and stability. Some empires are very short — the Mongol Empire for example. But most great empires have lasted several human generations, providing enough time for some underlying population change.

Cycle of Civilization Without Dysgenics

As a rule, humans have never acted on an abundance of wit or wisdom. They tend to do better in the up part of the cycle than the down part, however. Sir John Glubb laid out the cycle of empire (or civilization) in this way:

  1. The age of outburst (or pioneers).
  2. The age of conquests.
  3. The age of commerce.
  4. The age of affluence.
  5. The age of intellect.
  6. The age of decadence.
  7. The age of decline and collapse.

__ From John Glubb’s The Fate of Empires, quoted here

John Glubb’s cycle of empire assumed that the underlying intelligence of a population will stay about the same, even after waves of immigration alter the genetic makeup a bit. In the early stages the people admire and imitate builders, pioneers, explorers. Then they admire inventors, entrepreneurs, and successful innovators. Finally in the decadent stages, they admire celebrities and entertainers — often the dregs of society in terms of wisdom and moral worth.

Cycle of Civilization With Dysgenics

In the historical cycle of geneticist Volkmar Weiss, changes in the genetic makeup of the underlying population are key to the decline of a nation, empire, or civilization.

… the power of a nation is directly proportional to the percentage of the available smart and capable [people] (Friedrich 2019). The smart and capable cannot be produced by school and training according to need; their number is rather genetic.

__ Weiss 2020

Dysgenics is a population-wide decline in genomic fitness. In human populations, it occurs when more fit and more intelligent humans forego the opportunity to breed, while less fit and less intelligent humans show no such reticence. Immigration of less fit and less intelligent humans into a country has a similar dysgenic effect.

The affluence that followed the industrial revolution of the 18th and 19th centuries has allowed dysgenic breeding practices to flourish, and subsequent government policies that make it more expensive and difficult for intelligent women to raise families, accelerates the process.

Social Spending Ratchet Effect Strips Infrastructure Spending

From 2000 to 2005, according to the annual municipal financial report of the German Association of Cities and Towns [Deutscher Städtetag], the share ofsocial benefits in municipal expenditure rose from 17.9% to 22.9%, remained at this level until 2009, reached 25.0% in 2015, and rose in the wake of the refugee crisis to about 30.0% in 2019. The proportion available for investments in buildings and equipment fell from 18.8 % in 1995 to 12.2 % in 2005, remained at this level until 2009 and for building projects remained only 7.5 % in 2015. As can be seen, social benefits and building measures add up quite constantly to about one third of the total expenditure of the municipalities, i.e. from year to year relatively less and less buildings, bridges and sports facilities are built or repaired.
In 2016 municipalities were already talking about an investment backlog of more than than 100 billion euros. __ Weiss 2020

The accelerating decline of critical infrastructure combined with the ongoing decline in genomic fitness, “locks in” the downward trend for the democratic society as a whole. The eventual result is an idiocracy, but not the happy kind portrayed in the movie.

Cycles All the Way Down

It should be clear that human societies experience cyclic periods of expansion and contraction, rise and fall. Some populations disappear from the Earth altogether, and others remain in a much altered and much diminished form. This is true even in a fit homogeneous population without significant immigration from less fit populations. Even without much immigration, dysgenic breeding is inevitable after social democracies have taken hold of governments and inflated the role of government to unmanageable levels.

The higher the qualification, the smaller… the time window for women to start a family. Driven by the fear of losing their professional connections, many highly educated women remain childless or have only one child. The small children have to attend kindergartens, where they become test subjects in the race between the evolution of pathogens and the development of new antibiotics. The hectic of professional requirements and forced changes of job and place to work, are poison for partnership and family. This is happening in all industrialised countries and is one of the main reasons, why fewer and fewer children are born, the higher the qualifications of women are. In this way too, industrial society is sawing off the branch on which it sits. __ Weiss 2020

Judging by the evidence collected in this book, societies cannot afford to let the favorable genes of its most qualified females go to waste.

The solution seems obvious: young women of high intelligence and sound character (executive functions) should be encouraged to marry and have children during the college-age years — and be given support appropriate to the contribution she is making. It has been shown that child-bearing and early child-rearing is far more feasible for younger women — even those who are simultaneously attending school.

Because most older women of child-bearing years tend to have no children — or only one — the alternative may be the inevitable decline of the society as a whole.

The age of chaos is not a mythical future age, it is what we are seeing right now in the name of unlimited intersectional “social justice”. And it will certainly get worse unless wiser heads devise a workable solution to the dysgenic contribution to the ongoing decline of western civilization.


Another reason for concern

This entry was posted in Demographics, Doom, Dysgenics, Empire. Bookmark the permalink.

2 Responses to Scarcity of Wit and the Coming Age of Chaos

  1. Gavin Longmuir says:

    From ‘Another reason for concern’: “the average Victorian would be placed comfortably in the top 15 percent of the modern population – probably higher.”

    Perhaps part of the postulated decline from Victorian times is an unfortunate side effect of the tremendous success (started by the Victorians) in reducing infant mortality? While a lot of disease is random, it is a reasonable guess that the stronger, better-developed children had a higher survival rate. It is also a reasonable guess that the children of smart parents who took care with hygiene & nutrition were themselves likely to be smarter – as well as having a higher probability of surviving.

    High infant mortality was long part of the human existence. Historically, nomadic tribes in Kazakhstan did not even give babies names until their first birthday. The removal of the pain infant mortality caused our ancestors is a wonderful achievement — but if may have had unanticipated consequences on the health & capabilities of the general population.

  2. Someone says:

    He pretty much gets it:

    This is on top of the psychopaths that inhabit these places. I’ve worked under such people. Then also consider that every large organization regards everyone as a ‘human resource’, so there is not much real reason to do more than the minimum.

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