Russia has reportedly reached out to China to ask for military equipment and economic assistance to aid its Ukraine invasion — a development that comes as the White House national security adviser is meeting with his Chinese counterpart in Rome to discuss the war.
Russia sought out military equipment to press its attack on Ukraine as the country runs low on supplies, US officials told the Washington Post.Please Help Me!
How will China reply to Putin’s desperate plea?
China on Monday signaled it is not interested in providing weapons to Russia to use in Ukraine as President Vladimir Putin’s brutal military campaign there threatens to stalemate.G* F**k Y******f
It has never been entirely clear how far out on the limb China would go to assist the fumbling Putin. It is still not clear, but China does not want to identify too closely or publicly with Putin’s folly at this time. Putin would like Chinese troops to assist his invasion, but Xi is unlikely to permit this.
China had been experiencing profitable relations with a number of Ukrainian industries before that idiot Butcher Putin stepped in. China’s plans have now been unnecessarily complicated by the clearly inept dictator of Russia.
Russia Invasion of Ukraine Update
Russian forces continue to assemble reinforcements and attempt to improve logistical support in both the Kyiv and southern operational directions. Russian forces may intend to resume larger-scale attacks on both axes of advance in the coming week, but will likely take longer to (or may never) cohere the combat power necessary to complete the encirclement of Kyiv.Institute for the Study of War
Russia Has Failed to Fix Problems Going Back 30 Years
Putin’s inept invasion plan is bringing ruin to an already troubled part of the world. The Russian people are accustomed to suffering and being lied to, but they are dying off. Turbulent times lie ahead.
Many people have a mistaken notion that Russia has a superpower class military that is a match for the United States. Russia has not fixed problems that were revealed nearly thirty years ago in Chechnya and seen again 14 years ago in Georgia. Russia has not created a fully modern air capability and has not mastered precision warfare. Ukraine has a few modern Turkish drones, 17000 Javelin anti-tank missiles and 2500 Stinger anti-air missiles. This relatively small supply of military gear and a motivated army is proving enough to stalemate the Russian army in Ukraine. Ukraine has a population of 44 million and Russia has a population of 144 million.
Russians underestimated the will of the Chechens to fight and Putin has underestimated the will of Ukrainians to fight. Major problems with logistics, troop morale and airpower failure remain.Next Big Future
Russia is spending $20 billion a day on Putin’s bloody psychopathic adventure, and the backward country is running out of its more advanced weapons. The little dictator has been using Russian conscripts and Chechens as cannon fodder, and now claims to be bringing Syrian nationals to Europe to participate in his brutal genocide. What’s next, North Koreans, Iranians, Cubans, and Nicaraguans?
Russia Has Always Been a Relatively Poor and Weak Power
To understand how Russia has always been a relatively poor and weak power, I recommend the book by Paul Kennedy, The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers. Russia has always been rich in land, but for most of its history has squandered its human resources at the behest of tyrannical government.
“For half a millennium, Russian foreign policy has been characterized by soaring ambitions that have exceeded the country’s capabilities. Beginning with the reign of Ivan the Terrible in the sixteenth century, Russia managed to expand at an average rate of fifty square miles per day for hundreds of years, eventually covering one-sixth of the earth’s landmass.” You go on to describe three “fleeting moments” of Russian ascendancy: first during the reign of Peter the Great, then Alexander I’s victory over Napoleon, and then, of course, Stalin’s victory over Hitler. And then you say that, “these high-water marks aside, however, Russia has almost always been a relatively weak great power.”
You have an autocrat in power—or even now a despot—making decisions completely by himself. Does he get input from others? Perhaps. We don’t know what the inside looks like. Does he pay attention? We don’t know. Do they bring him information that he doesn’t want to hear? That seems unlikely. Does he think he knows better than everybody else? That seems highly likely. Does he believe his own propaganda or his own conspiratorial view of the world? That also seems likely. These are surmises. Very few people talk to Putin, either Russians on the inside or foreigners.
And so we think, but we don’t know, that he is not getting the full gamut of information. He’s getting what he wants to hear. In any case, he believes that he’s superior and smarter. This is the problem of despotism. It’s why despotism, or even just authoritarianism, is all-powerful and brittle at the same time. Despotism creates the circumstances of its own undermining. The information gets worse. The sycophants get greater in number. The corrective mechanisms become fewer. And the mistakes become much more consequential.Despotic Weakness
Putin took the Ukrainians much too lightly. While he claims that Ukraine is not a real country, he commits Russia to a course of action which may seal the doom of Russia at the hands of all of its neighbors who have been brutalized for so many centuries by the would-be superpower that wanted to be more than it was.
Over the centuries, Russia’s heart has been pulled in different directions by Europe and Asia. Putin’s mafiacracy is a combination of Asian autocratic rule with a Neapolitan/Sicilian criminal flair. The utter corruption of Russia leading to incompetence at all levels of government seems to be a necessary part of Putin’s leadership style, dating at least back to the late 1990s when he was still playing a supporting role. It is not likely that Putin understands any other way aside from brutality combined with corruption.
The ongoing Russian purge of top military and intelligence officers is reminiscent of Stalin’s paranoia, when things went wrong. Putin is beginning to feel the cord tightening, making it more difficult to breathe. Without absolute power, everything he has ever done is at risk in the Russia that he has made.
Russia is sending missiles that way, but it cannot afford to make war on Poland, a nation infinitely better armed and prepared to destroy Putin’s ambitions than Ukraine. If Putin intends for Poland to be next on the invasion itinerary, it is probably best for Russia and the world if the addled dictator is taken off the game board soon.