Category Archives: Russian Decline

Putin Smiles for All of Russia

Overall, Russia is far from economic collapse and losing governability, but it is slowly moving in that direction. If the authorities avoid dire errors, the country can survive at the margin of safety for at least six to ten years, … Continue reading

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Russia is Reshaping Itself

Update: Russian Economy Now So Bad That Russians are Losing Faith in the Future. Every day brings fresh indications that the Russian economy under Vladimir Putin is disastrous now and will become more disastrous in the future. The World Bank … Continue reading

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Coming for Your Women

Some claim that World War III is about capturing brains rather than territory, and there is some merit to the claim. But there are many ways to capture another nation’s brains. One way is to provide better working and living … Continue reading

Posted in Brain Drain, China, Russia, Russian Decline, Russian slavery, Russian Womb Drain, Siberia | Tagged , , | 5 Comments

It’s All Part of the Plan Part II

In part I of this series, we took a quick look at ways in which Russia is being actively dismantled by its historical victims. The Separatist Spirit is Strong in the Urals, Siberia, the North Caucasus, Russian Manchuria, Russian Occupied … Continue reading

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Imbalance Leads to Instability Leads to War

Weakness Feeds into Imbalance in Positive Feedback Loop Warning: For reasons mentioned in passing below — and for other reasons not mentioned — everything the would-be superpower tries to do to project strength, is simply making it weaker in every … Continue reading

Posted in Brain Drain, Demographics, Russian Decline | Tagged | 2 Comments

Multiple Paths to Russia’s Decline

Russia’s decline extends through most of its infrastructure, from its demography to its schools, health system, roads, housing, electrical power grid, to its economy and financial infrastructure. Conditions have declined so far that Russian officials fear that something as small … Continue reading

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Grand Triumphalism Against a Darker Background of Decline and Decay

High Speed Silk Road Routes to All of Asia and Europe Xi Jinping, 63, the president of China and general secretary of the Communist Party, wants to revive the myth and build a New Silk Road, in large parts along … Continue reading

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A Bridge Too Far

A Bridge to Who Knows Where? The prospects for Russia’s new bridge from the mainland to Crimea are unclear. In order to pay for the grand connecting link, Russia will have to forego much-needed bridge construction and repair elsewhere in … Continue reading

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Forget the Bread: Circuses and Wars are What Putin Offers

“Two things only the people anxiously desire — bread and circuses.” The government kept the Roman populace happy by distributing free food and staging huge spectacles. __ Dictionary.com Putin has taken a similar approach to placating the Russian people, with … Continue reading

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Once a Purveyor of Hope . . . Now a Bringer of Pain and Fear

We could be talking about “President Hope and Change Obama,” who has single-handedly set back US national and international relations and opportunities decades. But there is another former “president of hope” on the world stage who has transformed his country … Continue reading

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Russian Schoolteachers Face Difficult Challenges

[The] Kremlin is convinced that professionals who are paid more than $1,500 a month are a potential threat… Moscow Times To economize on teachers’ salaries is to condemn the country to serious problems in the future. That is obvious. It … Continue reading

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To Make Russia Better One Must First See it As it Really Is

41% of Russians say they do not have enough money to buy food and clothing, only 50% of water is potable and large parts of the food chain are tainted — and there is no accountability to be found anywhere. … Continue reading

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Mexico and Russia in Virtual Dead Heat in IMF GDP Rankings

Russia and Mexico: Not Usually Considered as Geopolitical Equals Rank Country/Economy GDP Nominal (billions of $) 2016 share 2017 2018 1 United States 18,558.130 25.081 19,285 20,145 2 China 11,383.030 15.384 12,263 13,338 3 Japan 4,412.600 5.963 4,514 4,562 4 … Continue reading

Posted in China, Economics, innovation, Russian Decline | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

A New Wave of HIV Emerges From an Unexpected Quarter

While Sub-Saharan Africa still has the highest number of people living with HIV – more than 24 million – it is Eastern Europe and central Asia that registered the greatest increase in the number of new cases. __ http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/russia-lack-hiv-prevention-fuels-rise-new-infections-1571155 A … Continue reading

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China’s Massive Economic Bubble Receives a Gigantic Bolus of Hot Gas

China Reports No Drop in GDP Growth So Far in 2016 China’s government has chosen to continue pumping credit into an already near-bursting financial bubble of mismanagement. This amounts to “kicking the can” down to road in order to present … Continue reading

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Hague International Court: No Justification for China’s Land Grab

China Out On a Limb China has a limited amount of time in which to assert its dominance over Asia. It must begin with East Asia, since that is its pathway to the blue Pacific and a larger projection of … Continue reading

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Russia Running Out of Time

In a few short years, Russia will degrade from having a very small and expensive skilled labor pool to not having one at all, forcing the Russians to choose which bits of their system to not maintain. __ Zeihan on … Continue reading

Posted in China, Economics, Russian Decline | Tagged | 6 Comments

Trying to Finance a First Class Military with a Third Class Economy

In USD terms, Russia’s economy is smaller than Italy’s, smaller than Canada’s, smaller than Australia’s, smaller than California’s. None of those nations (or states in the case of California) attempts to build and maintain a world-bullying sized military, but it … Continue reading

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Moscow Can’t Maintain Economic Dominance in Central Asia

Russia Losing the “Great Game” to China The world is supposed to believe that Russia and China are chumming it up, signing mutual commitments left and right. But the underlying reality is that Russia is being pushed back from large … Continue reading

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ISIS Cyber Caliphate Operates Out of the Kremlin

According to German experts, the so-called Islamic State is unable to carry out complex hack attacks. According to Der Spiegel, the truth is that Kremlin’s hackers are behind the cyber-caliphate. __ Der Spiegel Claims Russia Responsible FSB, GRU, and SVR … Continue reading

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Why Can’t China and Russia Innovate?

These days, China and Russia are more famous for stealing, pirating, and copying foreign technology than for meaningful homegrown innovation. Europe Can Innovate Over the past 6 centuries, Europe and its diaspora have been the global centre of innovation. European … Continue reading

Posted in China, Creativity, Economics, innovation, Russian Decline | Tagged , | 3 Comments

China and Russia on the Same Page: Geopolitical Risk

Revanchism in Russia and China Drives Out Investment and Threatens Economic Futures To understand the nature of such geopolitical risk, look no further than the debacle of revanchist Russia’s taking of the Crimea and large chunks of Eastern Ukraine at … Continue reading

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Russian Pharmaceutical Production and Sales Drop Amid Economic Crisis

Drug Production and Sales are Down; Abortions and Mortality are Up The manufacture and purchase of medicinal drugs are down sharply over the past two years, as spending priorities are shifted away from health care, over to more crucial issues … Continue reading

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The Hollowing Giant: Autophagy in the former USSR

autophagy: self-digestion; eating oneself Corrupt institutions and governments divert resources away from productive projects and enterprises, toward powerful insiders in government, and well-connected family, business, and criminal interests. This results in a “hollowing out” of the competence and productivity of … Continue reading

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China vs. Russia: Race to Implosion

China and Russia on Track to Disintegrate? Which will collapse and disintegrate first? China, or Russia? “From what I can see, and my Chinese wife can see, China will probably soon implode. Just what the catalyst will be is uncertain… … Continue reading

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