You Better Feel Oppressed, Dammit!

Leah McSweeney is a writer and a founder of a clothing line. She recently wrote an article in Penthouse describing problems she’d been having with her social justice-conscious and completely woke boyfriend:

While I was ranting about the insanity of the latest radical leftist protest, he stood there with a puzzled look on his face.

“But Leah, social justice is important.”

“I know,” I said. “But social justice warriors are making a mockery of social justice.”

“Social justice warrior has a negative condonation to it,” he said. “That’s what Republicans do, don’t you see? They take something that’s not a negative and play with language to make it become that way.”

I rolled my eyes. Yeah, no shit, I thought to myself. Because the social justice warriors are so fucking negative.

“Why are you always complaining about the left?” he asked. “What about the right?” ….

I don’t remember how we got on the subject, but what I do remember is that when I stated that being a woman wasn’t oppressing, he became flustered and irritated.

“Sexism is real,” he said to me in a way that can only be described as “mansplaining.” A knot the size of Manhattan developed in my throat. Rage coursed through my veins.

Finally, I couldn’t take it anymore. I jumped out of bed and stared him down so hard I felt like my eyeballs were going to pop out of my head. “You don’t get to tell me any of this,” I said. “I am well aware of sexism. I am the woman here! __ Leah McSweeney in Penthouse

In a later argument that almost ended their relationship, McSweeney’s boyfriend ranted about a Jordan Peterson video he had watched:

It all came to a head at 2 AM over a Jordan Peterson video.

“I saw a video of Bari Weiss interviewing Jordan Peterson,” he said one night. “She was really fawning over him.”

“That’s just her personality,” I replied. “She’s extremely charming and personable.”

“I don’t see why anyone would fawn over a racist Canadian professor,” he said, disgusted… [Ed: etc, …, and so on …]

The heated debate took a tailspin when I said, “Your argument is weak and obscure.” He broke up with me and hung up the phone. My relationship was over. Thanks, Dr. Peterson.___ Leah McSweeney

But sadly, the relationship was not really over, and the modern couple made a pact to avoid heated political arguments in the future. Good luck! [Ed.: Heh, Heh, Heh!]

Whenever the woman is the more objective and courageous thinker in a relationship, an integral imbalance is present. Particularly if her personality is the stronger of the two. Turbulence ahead.

Jordan Peterson is a Thorn in the Side of the Irrational Left

The left is very irritated that Professor Peterson exposed the irrationality of the Canadian government’s involvement in the trans pronoun societal hysteria. And then he had the gall to publish a bestselling book that in the past year has sold 3 million copies! And his ongoing world tour has delivered lectures on personal responsibility and life purpose to packed houses on 3 continents. What’s a deluded and thoroughly indoctrinated leftist to do?

The best thing for him to do is to ignore the man, so as not to seem such a fool in front of his girlfriend. But leftists are not known for their restraint, particularly not the modern variety of brainwashed.

The Debate is Now in the Open

Thanks to Jordan Peterson, the debate over the brainwashing of college students and broadcast media viewers has burst onto the wide open public scene. And the radical left does not enjoy exposure to the sunlight, where their ugly deeds and words can be judged by the wider global audience.

Check out the linked video to see how New Zealand is beginning to react to Jordan Peterson’s tour.

Posted in Jordan Peterson | Tagged | 1 Comment

“a mirage in a desert that will soon entirely collapse”

… about 80% of Chinese people’s wealth is in the form of real estate, totaling over $65 trillion in value — almost twice the size of all G-7 economies combined. A significant slowdown could, therefore, have a substantial impact on citizens’ financial health.

To him, Chinese people have “played around with leverage, debts, and finance, and eventually created a mirage in a desert that will soon entirely collapse.”

In December, [Ren Min University Professor] Xiang challenged the government’s official economic growth estimate of 6.6%, saying it was actually just 1.67% — or possibly even negative — in 2018. He then went on to warn of a potential crash in the property market.


Owning a house or apartment signifies that a man is eligible for marriage in today’s China. Home ownership also happens to be one of the last “safe” investments where Chinese people can park their excess income, in hopes of enjoying a tidy profit from property value appreciation. In China, investment options are severely limited — which distorts the entire economic system to the point of almost total inscrutability to outside analysts.

If Chinese Real Estate Values Collapse, What Then?

… almost half the bank loans are tied to housing assets that are neither being lived in nor churning out rental income. According to the stress test conducted by the professor, a 5% fall in housing prices would take away 7.8% of the actual asset value of occupied houses, but 12.2% for unoccupied houses. “If housing prices keep on falling, the damage to unoccupied residences accelerates even more than the occupied [ones],” Prof. Gan said in the report.

… Those who think China could experience a more difficult downward cycle point to a number of factors, including an aging population and unfavorable global environment, but high debt levels are a chief concern. It now stands around 270% to GDP, of which the corporate sector — especially in real estate — represents over 160%.

… The pause in the upward property cycle, according to Jin of Mizuho, has “dashed” the hopes of making quick profits in the housing market. As a result, “homebuyers’ sentiment can only get cooler.”

Zhang Zhaohui, a 30-year-old public relations specialist in Beijing, is among those whose appetite for buying a home has cooled. She had been planning to buy her first apartment sometime in the next year, but the recent downward moves in the property market have spooked her.

“It was quite scary to see that real estate prices in some cities had gone down as much as 20% last year, making me wonder if China’s property market is about to collapse,” she said. __

Even the hint of reduced property prices is enough to stir rumblings of insurrection inside today’s China. We have seen this time after time, striking fear deep into the hearts of China’s regional government officials. But the real estate bubble trap is too far along for governments and party officials to escape. It simply has to take its course all the way to collapse — unless someone with authority decides that a more disciplined form of deleveraging is necessary to reduce long-term political risk.

China Can Avoid Debt Crisis, But Not Economic Stagnation

China is guilty of the vast misallocation of resources, for which it must pay a significant price — just as the USSR before it.

… a growing number of analysts believe that this may be the year that China’s economy breaks. As always, I am agnostic. There is no question that China will have a difficult adjustment, but it is likely to take the form of a long process rather than a sudden crisis. __ Michael Pettis

The USSR was broken by internal forces of division and discontent. China — in its current form — has barely 40 years of development and decline leading up to its current problems. The USSR broke after 70 years. China may have a number of decades of stagnation and rising internal discontent to suffer through.

One Belt One Road (OBOR) Accelerates China’s Dilemma

The largest threat to the CCP’s control over the Chinese people has always been internal division between power players at all levels of party, government, and military control. Chairman Xi has attempted to remove all obstacles to one-man rule for life, but in China nothing is simple or final.

The global extension of Chinese power via the OBOR fiasco simply creates a large number of remote power centres where would-be strongmen and warlords can build their cadres of loyal henchmen. The traditional Communist Party method of controlling such impulses is by “making an example of the upstarts.” The rise and fall of Bo Xilai is instructive in this regard.

Now imagine a dozen or more Bo Xilais scattered from Greece to Panama to Sri Lanka to Kenya. If Chairman Xi continues along this expansionist path, the scattered harvest will be bitter in time.

Posted in China | Tagged

US Government Stuck in Deep Debt Rut

According to respected China economist Michael Pettis, US debt must continue to rise. In the article linked above, Pettis explains that the US has fallen into a debt trap from which it will be extrememly difficult to escape — although how long the trap will take to be sprung is open to debate.

Trump is Doing Far Better Than Obama

Even with this massive government debt, under US President Trump the American economy is showing many fresh signs of regeneration after the years of national malaise under Obama.

More people – 157 million – are employed than at any time in our nation’s history. And employers are still looking to fill 6.9 million additional job openings.

The unemployment rate is at a 20-year low… Over the past year, unemployment rates have hit lows not seen since the government began reporting the data for African-Americans, Hispanics, Asian-Americans and people with only a high school education.

… For women, the unemployment rate hit a 65-year low and for teenagers (ages 16-19) it hit a 50-year low.

For veterans, unemployment was its lowest level since 2000. Disabled Americans are entering or re-entering the labor force at the highest rates in years. For the first time in decades, it is harder to find blue-collar workers than it is to find white-collar workers.

With employers actively competing for employees, wages rose 3.2 percent in 2018 – the highest year-end increase in over a decade. __

It is not only for employment that Trump has brought a feeling of springtime to the American economy. The US has moved up from #18 to #12 in the Heritage Index of Economic Freedom. And wages have risen.

Wages for workers rose faster than wages for managers. Take-home pay was up even more (around 5 percent) because of the Republican tax cuts.

As a result, consumer spending – the main driver of our economic growth – is strong. Consumer spending over the holiday season was the highest in six years.

… As a result, and despite what you may have heard, the odds of our economy slipping into a recession next year are basically zero. The St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank publishes an economic model that predicts the probabilities of a U.S. recession. A reading below 20 percent indicates that there will be no recession. The January update put the risk at less than 1 percent.

In the first two years of the Trump presidency, we’ve gone from economic stagnation to economic boom. __

For the US Government, Debt is Here to Stay

Since long before the days of Ross Perot’s US presidential run (1992), economic prophets have been warning about US deficit spending and an inexorable rise in government public debt. But the US debt only became truly irreversible when Barack Obama doubled the debt from $10 trillion to $20 trillion in 8 short years.

Now President Trump is stuck with a situation where at least a third of every year’s budget must pay for interest on pre-existing debt — while borrowing roughly $1 trillion every year to continue to pay for actual government services and infrastructure. But Trump is doing much better with this debt in terms of US economic performance. Under Obama, it was almost as if the government was trying to destroy the hopes of American business and the American people.

Trump has worked hard to put more cash into the hands of the private economy, where it has a better chance of going to productive use. And he has been a workhorse in the task of eliminating destructive government regulations that do nothing positive and much that is negative.

Exponential Growth in Debt is a Reality

US debt will continue to grow until it cannot grow any longer. At that point something bad will happen inside the US economy which will have adverse effects for most Americans, and very harsh effects on a significant portion of those. Unfortunately, most of the advanced nations of the world are finding themselves in this predicament.

When one takes into account China’s government involvement in all aspects of its economy, it is clear that China’s debt predicament in the chart above is being grossly understated for the benefit of the peanut gallery.

Economist Michael Pettis explains why China is not likely to experience a debt crisis — but rather an extended economic stagnation. In the same article, Pettis explains why he does not expect the US to experience a debt crisis in the near future, although he does not rule such a thing out in the extended future. It all depends upon economic productivity and innovation — things that Trump is attempting to spur in the US, but that Obama did his best to crush.

Government Policies Make a Difference

Even with the same levels of debt, different presidential policies can lead to very different economic outcomes — as we are seeing in the Trump:Obama juxtaposition. This should come as no surprise, given Trump’s background in the cutthroat real-estate business, which is all about handling debt while trying to fend off greedy politicians, union bosses, organised crime bosses, political activist groups, citizen protests, and the ravages of time on projects which have to be finished on the clock.

Obama never did an honest day’s work in his life. In his jobs in various senates, he was all about voting “present.” As US President, he was a wastrel who allowed his ideology-possessed aides to make his decisions and put words into his mouth.

This is a critical time in the runup to a possible debt crisis in the US and in many other advanced nations (and emerging nations). Electing imbeciles such as Obama and Ocasio-Cortez does not help to achieve anything good for constituents. But voters in democracies have always had a difficult time distinguishing between a candidate’s words — which are almost always lies — and a candidate’s record of accomplishment, which is at least partially true on some records that have been kept.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood © .

Posted in Donald Trump, Economics, Obama | Tagged

New Oil Discovery? Get in Line

They Keep Discovering Big New Oil Deposits!

To the vast annoyance of oil hedgers and peak oil doomers, large new oil fields are being discovered from Guyana to South Africa to Iran to Scotland to Texas to the Gulf of Mexico to Brasil. The only places where they are not finding new oil is the places where they are not looking — because for many traders there is already too much oil on the markets.

Since 2016, Exxon has made a dozen discoveries in Guyana that now total more than 5 billion barrels of recoverable reserves. This is enormous — for perspective, the industry calls a 1-billion-barrel field a “supergiant.”

Exxon plans to begin producing 120,000 barrels per day next year, and to bump that up six times to 750,000 by 2025.
At $60 a barrel, and a roughly 50-50 split of profits with Exxon, Guyana could receive a bonanza of more than $5 billion a year in revenue.
Given how fast energy is changing and an industry wide push to pull as much oil out of the ground as possible as fast as possible, experts think the company is likely to push production to 1 million barrels per day. __


Proved oil reserves are those discoveries which are economically feasible to extract at this time. If oil prices rise significantly, the proved oil reserves will also rise significantly, as more technically difficult reserves come within the “economically feasible to extract” category.

The recent mappings of the huge multi-layered Texas/New Mexico Permian Basin fields revealed oil basins which will continue to add significant quantities of oil to “proved reserves” as oil prices rise — and as the technology to extract all types of oil deposits more economically, improves.

Sitting on Large Discoveries of Oil Worldwide

Large undersea deposits of oil are being left undeveloped from South America to Africa to Southeast Asia to the Arctic to North America as oil companies wait for oil prices to rise high enough to justify development. This should tell us that even when US shale oil production begins to plateau — in 20 to 40 years — there are plenty of other more expensive oil deposits waiting in line to take up slack. And if the new discoveries off South Africa and Guyana are any indication, the line of oil discoveries is likely to get ever longer.

Peak Oil Demand?

We have seen predictions for peak oil demand from a wide range of analysts, due to take place anytime within the next 10 years to 50 years. “Peak Oil Demand” is designated as the time after which demand for oil will decline, perhaps rapidly.

Analysts at the Al Fin Institutes do not expect to see Peak Oil Demand until humans develop advanced new forms of nuclear power, in combination with electrical storage technologies far superior to what is currently on the market — or in the pipeline. If Elon Musk really wanted to divert human development away from fossil fuels, he would have promoted advanced nuclear energy before burning all that money on inferior electric battery technology and inferior electric vehicle production.

Gas to Liquids, Coal to Liquids, Plastic Waste to Liquids

Liquid hydrocarbon fuels can be produced from more than just crude oil. Liquid fuels can be made from natural gas, coal, plastic waste, and virtually any other carbonaceous material — with the right processes and catalysts. All of these things would be quite economical if only the price of oil would rise. But that will only happen when oil producers stop discovering new oil and stop developing more economical ways of getting at oil that is already discovered.

New forms of nuclear energy — very high temperature reactors for example — would make such unconventional production of liquid fuels far more economical. With cheap process heat from very high temperature nuclear reactors, unconventionally produced liquid fuels could compete with fuels from crude oil on many world markets.

Doomers Rarely Think So Deeply

During the Peak Oil fad of the late 1990s and early 2000s, doomers fantasised over the collapse of civilisation due to the exhaustion of world fuel supplies. But global reality did not work out to the satisfaction and titillation of the doomers’ expectations. That is because doomers are either unwilling or incapable of looking for solutions to the genuine problems that are posed.

Problem-solvers tend to be a different breed, and are more likely to achieve economic success through solving problems — instead of by selling doomer books and doomer newsletters.

Eventually Large-Scale Oil Production Will be Uneconomical

There are better alternatives for powering advanced human civilisations than by burning fossil fuels and fossil fuel substitutes. When power from such better alternatives is made economical, safe, and abundant, oil production will drop precipitously.

When that happens, fossil fuels will stay in the ground — indeed they will begin to build in quantity again in underground reservoirs. Hopefully humans will never fall back to the primitive levels that force them to utilise those huge reservoirs again.

Posted in Energy, Oil Prices, Peak Oil | Tagged | 8 Comments

Solution to Europocalypse: The Truman Show?

Europe is Dying

A number of mortal blows have fallen on Europe over the past 100+ years, including World War I, World War II, the Communist blight of the Warsaw Pact and the Soviet Union with its cold war and propaganda wars, die-off faux environmentalism and anti-rational post-modernism . . . But most threatening to the existence of Europe as a going concern is the combination of Europe’s indigenous baby bust with a devastatingly dysfunctional flood of low IQ/ high violence immigration.

Without the flood of low-aptitude and criminally prone immigrants, Europe’s demographic slump would eventually reverse itself. But as Europe’s natives are rapidly swamped in a violent deluge of biologically prolific and cognitively challenged invaders, Europeans will not be given a chance to rectify their many mistakes of the past century.

Saving Europe: Fight Fantasy with Fantasy

When third world illegal immigrants are asked why they risk everything to take themselves — and often their families — on a perilous journey to an unknown world, they tend to pour out fantasies and dreams for their futures, which could only have been birthed and reared on a diet of movies and television shows — including sports such as futbol and basketball.

But these fantasies crash quickly, as immigrants are left to beg on the streets and fall into the clutches of European welfare and justice systems. And what a shame that so many die and have their lives ruined based upon absurd Television/Movie driven dreams! Back in their home countries, many of these imaginative persons might have had half a chance to prosper and to contribute to their families, clans, and communities. In Europe, they are not suited to help anyone at all.

The Truman Show — A Way Out?

The Truman Show was a 1998 American movie starring the comic Jim Carrey. The show was filmed on a giant movie set featuring an artificial sun and artificial sky. The Carrey character was born on the set — which is surrounded entirely by water — and the entire show revolves around the life of the one character — Truman (Carrey).

Now, imagine thousands of “Truman Shows” scattered across the third world — not focused merely on one individual, but rather focused on one city or town, and all the people in them.

In this alternate world of Truman Shows, the money that would have been spent by host European countries on welfare and criminal justice in dealing with illegal immigrants from a particular region, would instead be spent in the filming of the local Truman Show, and in providing local props and improvements to the “set.”

Instantly, hundreds of thousands of local jobs would be created in the production of these small-scale extravaganzas. And local sports, entertainment, schools, and job training/local industry would all profit.

There is no pretense at raising up the third world to first world levels. Any attempt to do so would be absurd and ruinously expensive, while clearly doomed to fail. No, what would be created would be realistic fantasies that would be locally based.

Civil Wars, Tribal Wars, Religious Wars

Third world people are typically low in intelligence and high in tendency to be led into violent acts. Those are two reasons why the third world tends to stay the third world — unless there are hidden strengths that can be uncovered and developed (S. Korea, Taiwan, China, Japan and Germany after defeat in WWII, etc.).

Civil wars, tribal wars, religious wars, and other ways of acting out the low aptitude for productive action, will continue across the third world — although perhaps at a lower rate as all the Truman Shows come into production. All the ugly corruption and vile predispositions of leaders and headmen will be exposed for the world, after all — and particularly for all the local people who can judge for themselves.

Lauren Southern’s “Borderless”

Documentary filmmaker Lauren Southern has attempted to expose the world of the illegal immigrants to Europe and their enablers, to the public eye. It is an eye-opening experience to look into the hearts and dreams of these third world innocents as they explain to the camera how they were fooled into taking rash and futile actions in pursuing an impossible fantasy.

Unfortunately it is not just the lives of the misplaced immigrants that are destroyed, but the entire culture of Europe that is being demolished by the immigration policies of the EU and individual European Countries.

Again, the link:

Third World Truman Shows Need Not Be Elaborate

Human fantasies typically have a simple core, and are elaborated within the minds of each individual. Production values for third world Truman Shows will begin on a primitive level. Videos will be short — like short topical YouTube videos, for example. Distribution will be via cheap smartphone, which will have a coincidental effect of keeping each individual Truman Show “local.”

Video equipment need not be expensive, nor should distribution and broadcast equipment. The entire point is to focus on local dreams and local achievements.

Certainly there will be “breakout talents” from time to time, who will succeed on a larger stage. But they will be more likely to prove themselves at each stage of the climb, rather than to risk it all on one throw of the dice in the dangerous one-step transport to the first world.

Think Locally, Act Locally

In the first world we have a cliche’: “Think globally, act locally.” And for certain levels of intelligence and competence such a thing may make sense beyond a trite jingoism. But for most people of the third world — at least in the beginning of the giant step into the mass media age — it makes far more sense to think locally and act locally.

Keep it real.

Posted in Europe | Tagged | 4 Comments

China’s “S Curve” of Growth and Stagnation

Is China Already in Decline?

The Chinese economy is not growing at 6.5 percent. It is probably growing by less than half of that. Not everyone agrees that the rate is that low, of course, but there is nonetheless a running debate about what is really happening in the Chinese economy and whether or not the country’s reported GDP growth is accurate.

… The problems facing the Chinese economy, and the worries expressed by Chinese leaders, are so deep that it no longer requires much imagination to figure out that reported GDP in China simply does not represent what we think it represents elsewhere. __ Michael Pettis

And of course, the PPP adjustment is worse than complete nonsense — it is a sick fantasy.

It should come as no surprise to anyone who pays attention that China is naturally passing through some very predictable economic phases in response to choices made by past and current governments of China.

Natural and human systems tend to go through stages of expansion, stagnation and decline that follow what’s known as the S-Curve. __

The high water mark of China’s financialization orgy was 2018. From now on, adding debt simply adds more drag on the underlying economy, as income is diverted to service speculative debt and defaults start hollowing out both the official banking system and the shadow banking system.

By 2010 it had become clear that China was attempting to maintain its pre-2008 rates of economic growth using a debt-fueled infrastructure investment of absurd magnitude. It was about that time that Al Fin began to sound warnings about the Chinese government’s economic strategy.

In hindsight, we can see from the curve above that China added at least $40 trillion in debt over just ten short years from 2008 to 2018. Probably much more, once the shadow economy is brought into the light.

In a dictatorship, massive misallocation of capital can be hidden for a long time — as we saw in the USSR. Only a few of us foresaw the collapse of the USSR, and none of us had the timing right.

In the Boost Phase, policies that open the economy to credit and innovation generate virtuous cycles of expanding credit, markets, capital, employment and development. In the Boost Phase, everyone’s a genius; everyone joining the land rush can get a piece of the action.

… China entered 2008 with $8 billion in officially counted debt; 10 years later that debt is $40 trillion, plus unknown trillions more in the shadow banking system which expanded the options for risky speculation and massive expansions of credit.

The high water mark of China’s financialization orgy was 2018. From now on, adding debt simply adds more drag on the underlying economy, as income is diverted to service speculative debt and defaults start hollowing out both the official banking system and the shadow banking system.

All the policies that worked in the Boost Phase no longer work. the policy tool chest is empty, and so China’s leadership is doing more of what’s failed: burying bad debt off the visible balance sheets, re-issuing new loans to pay off defaulted debt, and all the usual tricks of a failed banking/credit system. __

China Slowdown and Employment Stagnation

Note: The “S Curve” is prominent in all types and scales of growth and innovation. It will pay dividends to become familiar with the S curve in its many manifestations.

Posted in China | Tagged | 2 Comments

Mexico’s Blood Wars: How to Stop the Hemorrhage

Almost 300,000 Dead in Mexico Alone

More than 250,000 people have been murdered and 35,000 have disappeared since the beginning of Mexico’s drug war. __

To stop the killing, it will be necessary to win the drug war.

Step 1: Declare an international emergency and create an “autonomous zone” under joint US:UN control between the Tropic of Cancer (roughly at the southern tip of Baja California) and the current US:Mexico border.

This will remove much of the corrupt influence of the Mexican government on currently entrenched border crossings, and allow intense patrolling on both sides of the future US:Autonomous Zone border. At the same time, strong walls — deep and tall — would be placed at both northern and southern borders of the Autonomous Zone.

Step 2: Disrupt US Supply Lines

The most certain way to disrupt current drug smuggling/transport/and distribution lines is to totally disrupt demand for illegal drugs — cut the legs out from under drug profits at the final place of sale.

This is done in the same way that any bad habit is disrupted — by substituting another habit that is not as bad in place of the worse habit. In theory, this should be relatively easily done, although resistance from conventional political and economic strongholds in the US would be fierce.

Step 3:

Create “The Perfect Drug”

Everyone is a drug addict, whether to coffee, tea, tobacco, alcohol, or to some other OTC or Rx crutch. It is time to get off the moral high horse and to accept what we are as humans thoroughly addicted animals.

If we are to be addicted anyway, why not become dependent upon “the perfect drug?” A drug that makes your hands and brain steadier, that makes the world seem brighter, that lets you breeze through the most difficult or odious tasks without effort or complaint? And a drug that lets you sleep deeply, soundly, and refreshingly — while waking up eager to face whatever comes.

I am not saying that this “drug” will be the same for every person on Earth, but almost without exception it seems that every person needs a “perfect drug,” whatever it may be for him or shim. 😉 (shim is my new pronoun that applies to everyone and everything but males)

A perfect drug will leave a person with no need or desire for other psychoactive drugs, except perhaps for an occasional caffeinated drink, celebratory cigar or champagne, or a refreshing beer on a hot day. Voila! No customers for illegal drugs.

Step 4: Devise Productive Ways of Life for Low IQ People

In Mexico, the average population IQ is near 90 points. The presence of a wealthy neighbor willing to pay richly for a product that results in Mexico hemorrhaging a river of blood makes it difficult for the Latin country to break out of counterproductive societal and economic structures — particularly with its low average population IQ.

The same low average population IQ trap plagues many of the main customer-base areas in the US. Without structural and institutional incentives that support a positive and productive way of life, those without obvious promise for successful conventional careers fall into the low IQ “no good reason to try to do better” trap that usually includes drug addiction and often violent crime.

Step 5: Raise a Better Crop of Children, Youth, and Young Adults

As it stands, young people in North America and much of the western world are not being trained to be effective problem solvers and self-motivated and competent builders of family, community, and positive wealth. Instead we see schools and society at large training young people to be grievance mongers and perpetual incompetents.

A better crop of young people would be devising hundreds of viable solutions for these seemingly unsolvable problems, every single day.

A River of Blood Flows Through Mexico

Mexico is experiencing the equivalent of an ongoing civil war that has lasted over 30 years. It is getting worse. The violence of this war extends all the way through the US and into Canada. And yet no one seems to be taking it quite seriously. It is almost as if all the important people in the relevant bureaucracies are being paid off in whatever currency they value most.

We cannot afford to face this growing tsunami of blood and violence, not without devising realistic ways of diverting its flow to more harmless basins while the ultimate sources of the problem are being dealt with firmly and wisely.

Human nature underlies every link in the chain of dysfunction and violence, from South America through Central America and the Caribbean, and into the US and Canada and beyond.

If schools and universities are not giving us the creative and intelligent thinkers we need to solve our genuine (not phantom) problems, then we need to bypass the schools and all the other corrupt institutions of society that keep us bogged in the same futile dilemmas decade after decade.

It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood © .

Note: The above post has been edited slightly from its original form.

Posted in Crime, Drug War | Tagged | 4 Comments

Jordan Peterson and the Dead Poets Society

Carpe Diem, Non-Conformity, Lessons from Metaphor

  • Carpe Diem
    In the video above, Robin Williams reveals to the boys a secret for living an authentic life. Seize the day, take advantage of opportunities. In the video below, Jordan Peterson transmits a similar message:
  • Non-Conformity
    Both professor Peterson and Mr. Keating are immersed in treacherous academic seas of political correctness. They both risk their livelihoods merely by taking their obligation to their students seriously — teaching them to be individuals alive to the world.
  • Lessons from Metaphor
    Mr. Keating taught the boys lessons from metaphor-rich poetry, diving deep down into the boys’ still developing resources of imagery and verbal imagination. Professor Peterson teaches lessons from metaphorical myth and story — providing applications for use in a broad range of settings and life stages.

The alternative to seizing your life’s opportunities is to leave behind unwoven weaves of potential — without which the world displays voids and cavities of “wrongness” and sad longing for what was meant to be.

The alternative to marching to your own inner beat is to lose your integrity and sense of special purpose, instead bowing to a relentless groupthink that grinds every beautiful thing into a bloody pulp.

The intense pleasure and expanding awareness of extracting insight from metaphor is a gift that resides within all good poetry, story, and myth. Unwrapping the gift is something that must be done ones’ self — sometimes with the aid of a kindly guide, sometimes by the goading of a provocateur, but often by fits and starts with little outside encouragement at all.

This Type of Learning Does Not Require University

Any decent public library will contain the high quality works and classic works that can open the doors to deep insights capable of enriching a person’s life, regardless of age or background.

When a person such as Jordan Peterson — who spent decades wading through many thousands of pages of highly metaphorical works — provides the fruits of his labour online and without any obligation to the seeker, the gift is potentially beyond price.

Any broadband internet connection can provide hundreds of hours of deep metaphorical — and sometimes very technical — learning free of charge. Most of these insights cannot be obtained at even the best of the world’s universities at any price.

Can Jordan Peterson’s “Truth” be Refuted?

It is amusing to come across YouTube videos — often of 30 minutes duration or less — which claim to refute “Jordan Peterson’s Truth.” Which truth is being refuted out of the hundreds of hours of lectures and thousands of pages of written material and research studies? Almost always something trivial said as an afterthought, and inconsequential to the larger body of work — and almost always not actually refuted at all.

To refute Jordan Peterson’s “Truth” one would have to walk through the thousands of hours of study, research, clinical work, corporate consulting, classroom teaching, and public lecturing, that have gone into Peterson’s body of work. This they cannot do, for they cannot even comprehend the breadth or depth of the thing.

The comparisons between “Dead Poets Society” and Jordan Peterson’s ideas are a bit hasty and rudimentary. But they begin to suggest how well-done fiction or drama can bring out valuable lessons, just as an intense life of philosophical scholarship, clinical work, academic research, classroom teaching, corporate consulting, entrepreneurship, and public lecturing/interacting can do.

Posted in Jordan Peterson | Tagged | 4 Comments

Lousy Chinese Schools Where “Everybody Cheats”

A quick search of the rankings of top world universities shows very few Chinese schools listed. Those which are ranked in the top 200 are very likely overrated due to the high levels of cheating which occur universally across China.

Cheating is a Social Norm in China

Each year, thousands of Chinese nationals are sent home from superior western universities due to cheating and poor scholarship.

In China, truthfulness is considered a defect and a handicap. This is not only true at the student level, but also among academic research and in society at large.

China Has No Good Samaritans

The very idea of coming to the aide or defence of a stranger is alien to the Chinese mind, where taking advantage of the weaknesses of others is almost universally practised.

There are charities in China — government charities that no one trusts, for example. As in Russia, in China charities are too often a pretense for the unscrupulous grifters to take advantage of the rare good intentions of the public.

Everything in China is Toxic

Ongoing problems with a toxic pharmaceutical supply chain is par for the course. No one in China trusts locally manufactured milk powder or baby formula, for example. Air, water, soil, food, drugs — all are poisoned or under threat of being poisoned.

China’s Infrastructure Loans to 3rd World a Pretense for Theft

As explained in an earlier post, China uses infrastructure loans to developing nations as a means of seizing valuable assets of those nations, when the primitive nations are unable to pay back the loans for infrastructure that is poorly built and poorly matched to the needs of the people.

In Other Words, China is an Amoral State

Why do I not say that the Chinese are an amoral people? Because some charitable and harmonious religions have made headway among the Chinese. Unfortunately the government too often jails practitioners of such beliefs and cuts out their organs while they are still alive and awake — for purposes of the giant Chinese transplant industry.

This is the China that Wants to Rule the World

Who is to blame for creating this monster? Bill Clinton, GW Bush, Barack Obama, and any other US president who did not stand up to Chinese cheating, stealing, and bullying. In addition, every western corporation that set up manufacturing plants in China that allowed China to steal intellectual property and to tap into their data networks to steal information from the company’s worldwide repositories of confidential data.

It is not simply naivete and shortsightedness. Some western government and corporate officials intentionally leave their data vulnerable to theft by foreign nationals who are given carte blanche to thieve and pillage. It is done in the name of “good international relations.” Unfortunately, that is the kind of good international relations that will cause those with lax supervision and easy access to go extinct.

US President Trump is the first western leader in many years to begin to come to terms with the unscrupulous and amoral CCP-led quasi criminal state. Time will tell what he is able to accomplish — against all the odds and most of his own society and government.

Hope for the best, but prepare for the worst. It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood © .

Posted in China | Tagged | 2 Comments

China’s Decline Hits Positive Feedback Territory

Chinese economic growth continues to decline and it is feared China might even suffer a major recession because of the continued economic problems.

__ Source

Positive Feedback Decline in China?

Slower growth in China means slower growth for the rest of the world…. with the headwinds from cooling global growth China’s economy is likely to weaken further before growth stabilises in the second half of the year.” __

You see the cyclic nature of China’s predicament: A slowing economy in China causes a slowing of economies in the rest of the world. At the same time, a cooling of the global economy is likely to further weaken China’s economy. A simple, straightforward positive feedback cycle of decline.

China seems to think it can wait for good growth numbers to return, like the last time. But this strategy won’t work this time…

To stimulate the economy, Beijing is cutting banks’ reserve requirement ratios and launching infrastructure initiatives. Neither is likely to revive growth. Chinese debt, unofficially 300 per cent of GDP, is too high for any debt-led growth policy to be effective. Currently, infrastructure spending is around one-fifth of GDP. It is hard to see how a few projects can move the needle. It appears the government’s goal is stability, especially in the financial system and the labour market, not growth. As the property market tips over, loan repayments become more sporadic. The goal of the monetary policy is probably to keep lending institutions liquid. This policy could be undermined only by massive capital flight. ___

Since the 2008 global economic meltdown, China’s economy is increasingly built upon bubbles — bubbles upon bubbles. There is not much that China can do to extricate itself from this predicament, and the path to war seems to be laid out more clearly with the passing days.

China’s Most Dangerous Misperception

Chinese emperors claimed they had the Mandate of Heaven over tianxia, or “All Under Heaven,” as they believed they were, in the words of Fei-Ling Wang of Georgia Tech, “predestined and compelled to order and rule the entire world that is known and reachable, in reality or in pretension.” As acclaimed journalist Howard French writes in Everything Under the Heavens, “One can argue that there has never been a more universal conception of rule.”

Unfortunately, the current Chinese leader harbors ambitions of imposing the tianxia model on others. As Charles Horner of the Hudson Institute told me, “The Communist Party of China remains committed to ordering the People’s Republic of China as a one-party dictatorship, and that is perforce its starting point for thinking about ordering the world.” In other words, a dictatorial state naturally thinks about the world in dictatorial terms. Tianxia is by its nature a top-down, dictatorial system.

Xi Jinping has employed tianxia language for more than a decade, but recently his references have become unmistakable. “The Chinese have always held that the world is united and all under heaven are one family,” he declared in his 2017 New Year’s Message. He recycled tianxia themes in his 2018 New Year’s message and hinted at them in his most recent one as well.

… The laser attack in the Horn of Africa, far from any Chinese boundaries, highlights Beijing’s unstated position that the U.S. military has no right to operate anywhere and that China is free to do whatever it wants anyplace it chooses. And let us understand the severity of the Chinese act: an attempt to blind pilots is akin to an attempt to bring down their planes and an attempt to bring down planes is an assertion China has the right to kill.

China has been called a “trivial state,” one which seeks nothing more than “perpetuation of the regime itself and the protection of the county’s territorial integrity.” This view fundamentally underestimates the nature of the Chinese challenge. China, under Xi Jinping, has become a revolutionary regime that seeks not only to dominate others but also take away their sovereignty.

Xi at this moment cannot compel others to accept his audacious vision of a China-centric world, but he has put the world on notice. __

The ruling Communist Party cannot placate its people with stagnant non-growth. Popular demonstrations against local and regional governments take place regularly, and as conditions deteriorate in China they will become more unruly. Eventually the running dog imperialists of communist China will be forced to war by the threat of popular overthrow and breakaway fiefdoms.

It is easy for those of limited perception and diminutive intellect to be persuaded by propaganda of the “Chinese supremacy” variety. Unfortunately for China, its foundations are “bubbles all the way down.” The backward nation can only hope to challenge the more advanced world by using theft of intellectual property and by copying what others have devised.

When war comes, the more advanced nations of Taiwan, Korea, and Japan will have several tricks to pull out of the hats which China had failed to see in time. As long as China does not resort to nuclear war, its damages should be limited — and easily repaired under a less expansionist regime.

Perhaps then the way will be paved for the rapid recovery and advancement of a free Chinese people.

More: Chinese slavery economy is booming, as is Russia’s

Posted in China | Tagged | 3 Comments

Welcome to the Real World, Suckas!

Smart Leaders Don’t Take Out Infrastructure Loans from China

China Repossessing the Ports of the World

What It Means to Borrow Money From China

Beijing readily loans money to country after country, making it possible for their governments to finance ambitious projects. But that also means that countries have become heavily indebted to Xi’s government to pay for their modernization goals… __ Pnut

Governments are temporary. But while they are in power they can create damages for their countries lasting a hundred years or longer. All the while officials are packing their Swiss bank accounts with under the table inducements and kickbacks.

The leaders of Sri Lanka and Malaysia who borrowed so much from China — they are gone now, out of office. The nation itself is left to face the consequences of default — and giving up valuable national assets to a foreign power, China, as loss of collateral.

If Kenya defaults on a 2bn euro debt to China, it may have to hand over Mombasa’s port to the Asian giant.

A leaked copy of the contract Kenya signed with China for the construction of the giant Mombasa-Nairobi Standard Gauge railway project is causing political shockwaves in the country.

This is amid revelations that the country could lose the port of Mombasa to the Chinese government, if the national Railway Corporation defaults in the payment of Sh227 billion owed to Exim Bank of China. __ AllAfrica

It costs the temporary leaders of these countries nothing to borrow $billions from China to pay for Chinese-built infrastructure. The people see the shiny new railways, stadiums, and highways, and for a while feel more positive about their “suddenly prosperous” country. But then the bill comes due, and their country is exposed as another debt slave and colonial asset to China.

Whatever profitable sector you have, the Chinese would agree to take it as a guarantee for the loans they provide in case of defaults; so they could take over those. In Zambia, reports have indicated that an energy producing firm has been taken over until the nation’s debt is settled. Similarly, when the government of Ethiopia defaults, there is a possibility that they would nationalize any profitable enterprise and Ethiopian Airlines might be one that fits their interest. Once you are indebted you end up being dictated. __ ReporterEthiopia

The world expects China to steal, pirate, cheat, poison, and copy its way to global power. Besides, journalists of the world’s great media outlets are paid not to say bad things about China — no matter what the nasty dragon has done.

China has invested heavily in African infrastructure projects over the past few years. More often than not, those projects were carried out by Chinese firms and staff. Sometimes China granted loans which were contingent on the fixed-price sale of natural resources. Experts have frequently branded such deals as being detrimental to the credit recipients.

It’s not that easy to find out exactly how much money the Chinese have pumped into Africa. This is because Beijing doesn’t transfer loans from banks or companies through any established channels such as the Creditor Reporting System, the OECD or the International Aid Transparency Initiative. In addition, Chinese banks are usually cagey about any credit agreement details. __

China wins in these deals coming and going. Chinese companies earn profits by building the infrastructure, and the Chinese government wins valuable assets in the default and repossession process of collateral, when the third world nation cannot pay according to the small print on the bottom line.

Sri Lanka, Kenya, Zambia, Ethiopia, Pakistan, and More . . .

All of these countries and more are playing the losing game of borrowing large sums of money from China to pay Chinese firms to build expensive infrastructure projects. The deals seem to be win-win for China, and lose-lose for the third world governments that make the fateful decision.

This alarming news item reported from Delhi, India says ‘Kenya could lose its Mombasa Port to China along the lines of Hambantota Port in Sri Lanka and International airport in Zambia. Kenya had obtained a loan of US$ 2.2 billion for the construction of a railway track from Mombasa to Nairobi and has failed to pay back the loan, hence this action by China to take over Mombasa port. It is also reported that Zambia had surrendered its national airport to China as it failed to pay back the loan. ___–161176.html

If this were the US or UK stealing strategic land from corrupt third world nations, the uproar about neocolonialism would be heard from pole to pole. But since it is only China — land of poisoned air, water, food, soil, drugs, etc. — it is simply par for the course. China has corrupted national leaders, media corporations, multinational manufacturers, and other large economic interests around the world — teaching them to dance to the dragon’s tune.

Don’t think it is only Africa and south Asia getting picked apart. Putin has been dependent on China since 2014, being forced to pay back loans in kind. Several nations of Greece are falling into the same trap to varying degree.

Watch closely, pay close attention. These things are happening quickly, and if you are not careful China will own your house and your children before you sit down for breakfast tomorrow morning.

Being Dangerous also means thinking Dangerously, and watching things with an eye for the Dangerous. Be Ready.

Posted in China | Tagged | 3 Comments

Adult Neurogenesis, and BDNF

Human brains generate new neurons throughout life. This miracle of lifelong brain regeneration allows lifelong learning, and is driven by complex interacting processes. One of the biological factors that can stimulate the formation of new brain neurons is the neurotrophic factor BDNF — Brain Derived Neurotrophic Factor.

The neurogenesis story is not a simple one, but by focusing upon one part of it — the BDNF part — we may begin to get a grip on what keeps humans in the game, even as they age beyond their prime.

Consistent with the hypothesis that BDNF is a proneurogenic factor is evidence that neurogenesis decreases in BDNF knockout mice [136] and that increasing BDNF levels in the SVZ by adenovirus [137] or icv infusion [138, 139] increases the number of neuroblasts and new neurons in the SVZ and OB. Direct unilateral intrahippocampal infusion of BDNF increases neurogenesis in the DG, but the effect must be indirect and not by direct stimulation of progenitor cells because increased neurogenesis is evident bilaterally while exogenous BDNF appears to remain restricted to the infused hemisphere [140]. The effects of BDNF on proliferation and neurogenesis also are influenced by other factors. __

In other words, when BDNF acts to cause new brain cell generation, it acts as a “trigger” for multiple other factors and events in the brain, and does not act alone.

Nevertheless, you may want to learn various ways by which you can increase the BDNF levels in your brain:

  • Intense exercise
  • Intermittent fasting
  • Reduce sugar and saturated fats
  • Increase sunlight exposure (Vitamin D)
  • Curcumin, Green Tea, Omega 3s, Resveratrol
  • Avoid Obesity
  • Antidepressants
  • Ampakines
  • Socially Rich Environment
  • Natural Anti-inflammatory Substances

Low levels of BDNF are found in the brains of persons with schizophrenia, depression, Alzheimer’s, and other conditions associated with neurodegeneration.

Psychedelics and BDNF

Two studies using LSD found that the psychedelic enhanced the rate at which rabbits learned a new conditioned behavior, and that higher doses resulted in faster learning. The same researchers found that MDMA, MDA, and DOM all did as well. A more recent study using psilocybin found similar results, albeit only at low doses. It’s hard to draw any strong conclusions from a handful of studies like this―it’s a long way from simple associative learning in a rabbit or rat, to a complex human behavior (like playing the piano), but it’s a start. For researchers interested in treating debilitating psychological conditions like depression using psychedelic medicines, these are enormously promising results. __

Other Intrinsic Factors Influencing Neurogenesis

  • Glucocorticoids w/ reduced neurogenesis
  • GH/IGF1 w/ increased neurogenesis
  • Fibroblast Growth Factor 2 w/ increased neurogenesis
  • Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor w/ increased neurogenesis
  • Epidermal Growth Factor w/ both increase and decrease
  • Transforming growth factor Beta w/ mixed effects on neurogenesis
  • Retinoic Acid w/ complex cell growth effects
  • Neurotransmitters w/ neurotrophic effects
  • Inflammatory factors w/ mostly negative effects on neurogenesis

When it comes to boosting neurogenesis and neuronal survival in the brain, moderate exercise is good, and it is inexpensive. Anti-inflammatory supplements such as curcumin are inexpensive and appear to be effective for preserving the brain into old age. One glass of red wine at night can’t hurt. 😉

An active social life helps, being sure to include persons younger than yourself — as well as some who are both older and more physically fit than yourself (inspiration).

Avoid depression whenever possible, remembering that when necessary antidepressants can boost BDNF levels and stimulate new nerve generation in the hippocampus and lateral ventricles.

New nerve cells throughout your lifespan can help you stay interested in your life and in new things and changing situations. An active and dynamic brain is less likely to become overwhelmed by the stresses and strains of daily life.

Sources: BDNF: Transducer for Antidepressant Effects Psychedelics and neurogenesis “Adult Neurogenesis” Wikipedia: BDNF

Posted in Cognition, Human Brain | Tagged | 4 Comments

Does Russian GDP Rank Higher than China’s GDP?

By some rankings, Russian GDP per capita ranks 62nd in the world while China ranks 73d.

According to World Bank statistics for 2017, Russia’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita ranks 62nd in the world.

__ Source

Keep in mind that GDP per capita is an average, and can be skewed by extreme outliers — like most averages. China continues to suffer from extreme poverty among hundreds of millions still living in the countryside. The large mass of poor rural Chinese brings the national average GDP downward.

Both Russia and China are badly fragmented, geographically, in terms of wealth. But looking at raw GDP numbers, China possesses far more wealth than Russia, of a more balanced nature. Russia’s wealth is concentrated in natural resources such as oil & gas, minerals, etc. China’s economy presents a more dynamic and varied picture — and is far more advanced than Russia in the most globally competitive technological fields.

In Fact, the Russian Federation is Under Threat

The unwieldy Russian Federation consists of 85 “federal subjects,” of which 22 are republics representing non-Russian ethnicities, including the North Caucasus and Middle Volga, and numerous regions with distinct identities that feel increasingly estranged from Moscow.

… Pressure is mounting across the country, with growing anger at local governors appointed by the Kremlin and resentment that Moscow appropriates their resources. Indeed, regions such as Sakha and Magadan in the far east, with their substantial mineral wealth, could be successful states without Moscow’s exploitation.

Emerging states will benefit from forging closer economic and political contacts with neighboring countries rather than depending on Moscow, whose federal budget is drastically shrinking.

… To manage the process of dissolution and lessen the likelihood of conflict that spills over state borders, the West needs to establish links with Russia’s diverse regions and promote their peaceful transition toward statehood.

… Some regions could join countries such as Finland, Ukraine, China and Japan, from whom Moscow has forcefully appropriated territories in the past. Other republics in the North Caucasus, Middle Volga, Siberia and the far east could become fully independent states and forge relations with China, Japan, the U.S. and Europe. __ TheHill

What the article excerpted above is saying, is that the Russian Federation is made up of dozens of different regions — and some of them are very interested in the idea of going their own way.

China has its own problems with Xinjiang and Tibet, and certainly Hong Kong is not 100% satisfied with being under the PRC’s iron hand. Yet, China continues plotting to add new unwilling territories — including Taiwan. And China’s OBOR policy of seizing valuable territories from sovereign nations such as Sri Lanka and Kenya speaks very badly of the dragon’s running dog imperialist policies under Xi. The OBOR debt slavery adventure is just getting started!

And so we have two dictatorships — Russia ranked 62 in the world, and China ranked 73. Both despotic regimes feel centrifugal forces tugging at their imperial territories, which are likely to grow much stronger in the near future.

Russia is already at war with Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia, and other nations and territories — in a vain attempt to rebuild the lost empire of the Tsars and the Soviets. China is engaged in border disputes with several neighbors, “internal” disputes in Xinjiang and Tibet, and is planning a war with Taiwan. China is also at war with international laws of the sea in its attempts to obstruct free navigation in international waters in the China Seas.

Two unpopular and not-so-wealthy nations (in per capita terms), arming for wars that they cannot afford. In China’s case, it is using economic policy to forcibly seize property from sovereign nations thousands of miles from China’s borders. This will not end well.

Plan for turbulence ahead. Be competent, and very Dangerous. And be resourceful, and versatile. The malevolence in the world is not confined to rogue nations on the far side of the world.

Note: I would prefer that no one refer to the nonsensical number GDP PPP in comments. There are an infinite number of ways that GDP PPP can be calculated, none of them particularly useful in the real world. To understand how corrupt a misconception GDP PPP is, one would have to have spent very little time in fantasyland (universities, government, media, economics, philosophy, liberal arts, etc.) and most of his time in the rough and tumble real world.

Posted in China, Russian Collapse | Tagged | 2 Comments

South African Power Company Eskom in Death Spiral

Eskom is now in a death or debt spiral – or arguably both – as it engages in a stand-off with the government. __ Antigone Miltiadous

A few years after South Africa changed to a popular rule system of government, its power system began having problems. Equipment that should have been replaced or overhauled was left in place until it failed. Critical positions of oversight in the power company Eskom were filled by political cronies, rather than by the experts who should have been placed. Funds meant for power system maintenance and upgrades were mysteriously siphoned away to unknown bank accounts. And the power system degraded more and more every day.

Without necessary maintenance, all man-made systems will deteriorate.

White rule in South Africa ended in 1994. It was about ten years later that power outages began, which eventually reached crisis proportions. The principle reason for this is simply lack of maintenance on the generating equipment. Maintenance is future-oriented, and the Zulu entry in the dictionary for it is ondla, which means: “1. Nourish, rear; bring up; 2. Keep an eye on; watch (your crop).” In short, there is no such thing as maintenance in Zulu thought, and it would be hard to argue that this is wholly unrelated to the fact that when people throughout Africa say “nothing works,” it is only [a slight] exaggeration.
_Gedaliah Braun __ Source: How Africans May Differ from Westerners

The problem continues to grow worse, year after year. If blackouts are not caused by failing equipment, they are caused by labour strikes. The government of South Africa keeps promising to do something about the problem, but their plans keep getting pushed back. And honestly, what can the government do to solve the problem when to a large extent it is the government itself — and its massive system of corruption — which is at the root of the problem?

Here is a news report from last week:

Eskom was in the spotlight again last month as the lights went out across South Africa. Unplanned outages at the electric utility’s ageing coal-fired power stations resulted in almost two weeks of power cuts.

The unexpected load shedding was a direct consequence of years of mismanagement, corruption allegations and under-investment in the state-owned company.
__ Why do the Lights Keep Going Out in South Africa?

The problem of power blackouts and shortages is common across all the nations of sub Saharan Africa. When he was US President, Barack Obama wanted to help African nations to install gigawatts-sized wind farms and solar arrays. But anyone who understands power grids knows that such an approach is like pouring gasoline on a fire. Adding large amounts of intermittent energy sources to a grid only makes the grid more unstable and more likely to fail. But do not be surprised if the South African governments decides to walk down that slippery path to power perdition.

Still, installing large wind farms and watching the grid fail even more frequently may be a better solution than giving South Africa a nuclear power plant, as some nations in the BRICS group have suggested. If poor maintenance is causing problems with the current coal plants, imagine the possible complications from a nuclear power plant that is poorly maintained! No, please, China and Russia. Do not build nuclear power plants in a place where the people have no basic concept of maintenance.

It is no coincidence that a nation’s GDP and its population average IQ are correlated so closely and consistently.

Economic Success Correlates With National Average IQ
More at VDare

The average population IQ of South Africa is roughly “72.” Taking this number at face value, South Africa would have a difficult time finding enough qualified engineers and technicians to keep a modern power grid operating.

IQ and Capacity for Different Types of Work
via Gottfredson

To understand, maintain, refurbish, and modernise an advanced power grid, a minimum IQ of 115 is necessary for engineers, and a minimum IQ of 105 to 110 is needed for highly skilled technicians. A country with an average IQ of 70 could call on fewer than 4% of its population to train as engineers and barely more than that to train as power technicians. But that same 4% would also be needed to keep the country’s medical, legal, banking, transportation, fuel, agricultural, and other vital systems operating — to say nothing of critical government positions.

Sadly, South Africa awards its crucial staffing positions to the politically connected rather than to the qualified and competent. Hence the rapid downward spiral of South Africa’s once-proud ranking as Africa’s wealthiest and best run country.

Competence Hierarchies are Anathema to Socialists

South Africa is a “socialist” nation, like Zimbabwe, Cuba, Venezuela, North Korea, and a long list of other failed and failing states. Competence is rarely considered when high positions in government or (nationalised) industry are appointed. If a nation’s government and industries are run by incompetents, it is unlikely that the necessary maintenance and upgrades will be performed on the various systems within the nation. And so it is with South Africa’s nationalised power company, Eskom.

In future, expect more of the same, only worse.

More on maintenance in Africa

More on incompetence in relation to affirmative action

Arabs hold a similar attitude toward maintenance

Posted in Africa, Electrical Power Grid | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Stock Markets and Oil Prices Rise in Synchrony

Stocks and Oil Rebound on the Fourth Day

As of noon Eastern Standard Time, stock market indexes had risen 2 – 3 % while oil prices had risen roughly 2%, from their lower levels in late 2018 and early 2019.

This synchrony between oil prices and stock market indexes is to be expected in times of (propaganda-driven) economic uncertainty, such as in recent times.

Meanwhile, the US economy added 312,000 jobs in December 2018, a 10-month best. In other words, the US economy has been doing well, but the political opposition — which largely controls the US media — will do everything including dancing on its head while reciting Das Kapital, to conceal good economic or political news from the public.

The Market is Not the Economy

It is crucial to remember that “the map is not the territory,” the stock market is not the economy, and the model is not the reality (eg as in climate). Market volatility such as has been seen recently is caused in part by large institutional investors who are typically skittish in nature, and rely on computer models and lightning-fast computer trading schemes.

It is interesting to watch as international markets swing to and fro — often in tandem with several other markets, and in opposition to yet others. Market reporters tend to attribute buying and selling to transitory and ephemeral phenomena such as government reports, central bank announcements, etc. I have seen them use the identical event to justify both a rise in prices and a subsequent fall in prices.

Investors are a herd species, often stampeding in large masses. Humans are irrational beasts, after all, and can in certain situations be easily goaded to act without thought.

Try to make yourselves more singular in thought and action. Watch for opportunities, for patterns in the flow. Be very Dangerous and seek out others of like kind, particularly in situations where power laws apply — where joint action has exponential effect.

Interesting note: The website describes today’s upswing in market activity as “panic buying!” I have often heard the term “panic selling,” which makes a certain amount of sense. The phrase “panic buying” sounds like something that someone would say when their predictions had gone to hell. Market and economic commentators and journalists tend to be idiots, like most journalists and commentators in the mainstream.

Oil is an energy source and an asset class. It also sits at the heart of one of the most active doomer religions of the past 50 years. And it finances more dictatorships around the world than any other single commodity. It is worth learning a little bit about the 1st world phenomenon that upset all those third world and emerging world applecarts:

US Tight Oil & Gas Changed the Oil Price Equations

With the Addition of US Tight Oil:

At prices near $60 bbl, oil is plentiful worldwide. When the price of oil drops below $40 bbl (as in the 2008 global economic meltdown), many oil fields become unprofitable, and decrease their production — so that oil prices naturally rise in negative feedback fashion. When oil prices rise above $70 or $80 bbl, OPEC discipline breaks down and the relative oversupply becomes unstable. Oil prices drop until supplies better match demand.

It is important to also remember that the Chinese economy began to slow around 2009, when US tight oil & gas began to have a noticeable impact. Higher tight oil production by the US was ramped up over the years, and that effect plus the effect of lower demand due to the Chinese slowdown led to a radical price drop right about the time that Russia invaded Crimea and east Ukraine in 2014. Since then, prices have been naturally volatile, but have stayed largely within the $45 to $65 bbl range for WTI.

We are now in a period of ebb and flow, between global demand and supply. There is a relative oversupply in terms of potential production which is being intentionally held back by international interests — this is true from North America to South America to sub Saharan Africa to MENA to Central Asia to Southeast Asia to Russia. (It is important to keep in mind that Russian oil production is now mildly impaired by economic sanctions.)

Posted in Economics, Oil Prices | Tagged

Is Xi Jinping Bright Enough to Avoid War?

Highly placed members of the Chinese military are urging communist party leadership to attack the US Pacific fleet in a surprise “Pearl Harbor” style attack.

“The United States is most afraid of death,” said Rear Admiral Luo Yuan on December 20, 2018, to an audience in the southern Chinese city of Shenzhen. “We now have Dong Feng-21D, Dong Feng-26 missiles. These are aircraft carrier killers. We attack and sink one of their aircraft carriers. Let them suffer 5,000 casualties. Attack and sink two carriers, casualties 10,000. Let’s see if the U.S. is afraid or not?” __ National Interest

This kind of talk is no longer unusual among high military officials of the Chinese PLA, which is a military force entirely beholden to the party, not to the actual people of China.

China Factory Activity Shrinks

Despite being boosted by record levels of debt financing, China’s factories have been cutting production significantly because of decreased demand.

Foreign-owned factory departures have also increased in the uneasiness over an ongoing trade dispute with the US — regarding China’s dangerously dishonest trade practises toward foreigners. Most factories that leave China are relocating to Southeast Asia, but some are moving to North America.

Chairman Xi has inexplicably chosen not to convene the Fourth Plenum of the 19th Congress, as was traditionally expected. Some observers suspect that internal discord has caused this most irregular departure from normal protocol.

… Xi’s position is increasingly precarious. As SinoInsider observed early this month, “If no Fourth Plenum is held, this means that the factional struggle is extremely intense and Xi is in grave danger.” __ National Interest

And there is this:

…. at least some Chinese citizens are cheering on Trump’s hard-line approach, as the pro-democracy activist Chen Guangcheng recently suggested in The Washington Post: “It might seem counterintuitive to many Americans that people in China would call for more tariffs, as though welcoming economic damage at home. But most ordinary Chinese people don’t see it that way. They commonly believe tariffs will hurt the Communist Party far more than regular people, since it’s the party that manipulates trade to line its pockets and prop up the economy.” __ Atlantic

The Chinese people do not report an increased sense of well-being, in general. China’s rich seem to be keeping an increasing share of China’s wealth — just as happened in Russia over the past 30 years.

In a chapter for the 2017 World Happiness Report, Richard A. Easterlin, Fei Wang, and Shun Wang make a convincing case that while China’s GDP has skyrocketed, its citizens’ reported subjective well-being has declined, especially among poorer and older cohorts. Even more surprising… Chinese subjective well-being remains below its 1990 level.. __ MW

War and Militarism are Dead-Ends for China

Xi seems to be painting the dragon into a corner, where only war offers him a chancy escape.

If the Chinese space agency can successfully land its moon probe — which has been trying to position itself to land on the far side of the moon for several days now — such an accomplishment might boost Xi’s credibility and status in these uncertain times for China.

But a failure would be seen as confirmation of all the doubts that have been building over these years that Xi has been positioning himself as “dictator for life.”

Parallels with Russia’s Putin

Russia’s Putin has committed a similar error as Xi, as he is painting Russia into a “Russia against the world” militant stance. But Russia has far less wealth and human capital to back up Putin’s risky militancy. Is it possible that each dictator is cheering the other on to “jump the shark” of war soonest?

Here, it is the bystander who holds the firmest ground should war break out (Russia vs. Ukraine, or China vs. Taiwan).

Time is Not on the Side of Either Dictator

Both despots have rigidly set up their countries for war, although neither nation is truly prepared for the aftermath. Nevertheless, if both men balk too long, the unexpected — but perhaps inevitable — war between Russia and China over resources may be the end result.

The end result of that conflict is anyone’s guess.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. Learn to make yourselves Dangerous to those who want to take you down. Pay attention.

Posted in China | Tagged | 8 Comments

Coal is Hot! Winter is Cold! Wind is Crap! Climate is Cyclic!

US Coal Power Production Beats Out Natural Gas

Natural gas prices have been higher lately, giving the stage to lower-priced coal as biggest producer for now.

With higher gas prices, “preliminary data suggests a pickup in both coal demand (from gas to coal switching) and supply,” Jeremy Sussman, an analyst at Clarksons Platou Securities, said in an email. Coal’s largest gains over gas were in the Midwest, Southeast and Southwest. __

Coal offers some notable advantages over natural gas, including the ability to store a large amount of fuel on-site at the power plant. More stable pricing for coal is another advantage.

One key advantage that coal offers is its ability to store fuel on-site, which becomes very handy in winter when getting access to piped gas, for instance, becomes more difficult. During these tough times, it is inarguable that coal gives the grid a higher level of reliability. Again, this was clearly demonstrated in the winters of 2018 and 2014… __ Coal Value

Closing all coal plants is a fool’s play — something for the likes of California’s Jerry Brown. But remember that California still buys coal-generated power that is produced out of state, the hypocrites!
Polar Vortex

Brace for a Brutally Cold Winter!

The possibility of another brutal polar vortex dipping into Eastern North America and Northern and Western Europe looms dark on the horizon. Get your winter gear ready for use.

A split in the polar vortex can give rise to both sudden and delayed effects, much of which involves declining temperatures and extreme winter weather in the Eastern US along with Northern and Western Europe. __ Source via WUWT

Another reason to be concerned about colder winters in the coming years, is the continuing change in solar cycles, possibly leading to another mini-ice age sometime before 2050.

Wind Turbines Wear Out Almost Twice as Fast as Advertised!

Countries that build too many wind farms will soon learn that the price was far too high!

Older turbines will need to be replaced more quickly than the industry estimates while many more will need to be built onshore if the Government is to meet renewable energy targets by 2020.

The extra cost is likely to be passed on to households, which already pay about £1 billion a year in a consumer subsidy that is added to electricity bills. __ via WUWT

This information from a British study confirms earlier findings from a Danish study. This blog and its predecessors have been relaying these findings to readers for nearly 10 years, but the mainstream press is slow to admit to blatantly lying for the wind industry.

Examining the tolerance of power grids to the destabilising effects of intermittent wind/solar energy

…the wind and solar plants that many in the renewable business vehemently insist are perfect substitutes for coal are naturally intermittent, resources that are typically only available to generate electricity 20-35% of the time. This means that renewable build-outs are not giving us nearly the surplus capacity being claimed. __ Jude Clemente

Intermittents like grid-scale wind and solar are ideological traps — causing societies to shut down more reliable forms of power generation, while they consume vast quantities of land and resources with very little useful power given in return.

Climate Doom Hysteria in the Mainstream Press is Criminally Misleading

The IPCC’s “Special Report 15” (SR-15) was the object of much angry argument and invective at the Poland climate talks recently. Sadly, when it comes to today’s IPCC report, there is no “there” there. No science, just rehashed political power grabbing.

To put it bluntly, there’s a lot less here than meets the eye. The report argues that the Paris Accord target of a 1.5C increase is better than a 2C target. But the farther one reads, the more it appears the IPCC’s report is not really about climate change. It’s less a scientific report and more a political platform, driven by ideology, not science.

This would seem a wild accusation, but for two things. First, SR15 doesn’t actually attempt to quantify either the possible costs of warming or how much it would cost to avert warming. In fact, there’s no serious attempt even to show the likely consequences of proposed actions; it’s simply assumed they will work and be desirable.

Second, SR15 clearly proposes radical, global transformation of society. It calls for “rapid and far-reaching transitions in energy, land, urban and infrastructure (including transport and buildings), and industrial systems…,” “unprecedented in terms of scale…,” “fundamental societal and systems transitions and transformations….” These are direct quotes from IPCC. What do they mean?

Looking closer, these fundamental transformations are less about global warming and more about promoting “social justice,” as embodied in the UN’s “Sustainable development Goals.” The report makes no attempt to conceal this; in the summary, it argues “Social justice and equity are core aspects of climate-resilient development pathways for transformational social change.”

It goes on to contend that we must “eradicate poverty” and reduce inequality across nations. __ RealClearEnergy

These pretend-scientists want to redistribute the wealth of the world to eradicate poverty, promote social justice, promote intermittent energy sources, and have essentially no effect on climate — all under the flag of climate change.

Just follow the money, and it all becomes much easier to understand.

The world is nothing like the picture the media tries to paint for you. The smart Earthling is highly sceptical — and very, very Dangerous.

Posted in Climate, coal, Energy, Wind | Tagged | 1 Comment

China: Heavenly Mandate of Copper into Gold

Chinese Alchemy Symbolic of National Transformation?

Chinese scientists achieved a feat of modern alchemy by transforming small quantities of copper into bacteria-sized grains of metal with catalytic properties similar to those of gold. This process may eventually produce enough “transformed copper” catalyst to enable more economical industrial processes in some areas of industry.

On a Larger Scale, China Needs an Economic Miracle

China is facing a bleak new year, as the bite of US tariffs begins to eat away at industrial profits that have already begun to deteriorate. At the same time, the critical China real estate market is showing signs of decay and pre-collapse.

China is not the economic superpower that most westerners assume. It is particularly unprepared for any trade conflict with importing powers such as North America or Europe.

China has been brazen in using access to its enormous domestic market as a means to bully other countries and firms. Its aggressive trade practices, from theft of intellectual property to its heavy use of industrial subsidies, undercut faith in a rules-based economic order. Meanwhile, it has become more assertive on the world stage, using a combination of hard and soft power to build an expanding sphere of influence.

… The pace of Chinese economic growth has fallen by more than half since 2007 and has become increasingly dependent on unsustainable growth in debt. The demographic picture, too, looks forbidding. China’s working-age population is declining and expected to fall by roughly 25 million people by 2030. And although lots of countries have suffered from anemic growth in productivity over the past decade, productivity in China appears to be declining and shows few signs of reviving.

Falling productivity, in particular, reflects serious structural weaknesses in the Chinese economy. Economies can boost growth for a while by pushing more workers into the labor force or investing in factories and equipment. But long-run growth is possible only by coming up with new, better ways to use capital and labor.

China is running out of room to borrow well-established technologies and techniques from countries that have already industrialized.

__ WaPo

China has one important trick up its sleeve — the debt-slave imperialism of the One Belt One Road scheme. China has already seized a large port in Sri Lanka in a “development loan default” scheme. Now it has done the same in Kenya — and is lining up to do the same in several indebted nations across Asia, Africa, and Latin America.

By seizing critical real estate from weak and impoverished third world nations around the world, China obtains forward-placed military bases almost “for free.” Unfortunately for China, the nation is in a race against time to stabilise its economic base and domestic tranquility before all sh-t hits the fan, and national foundations start cracking and crumbling.

Posted in China | Tagged | 2 Comments

Higher IQ Necessary but Not Sufficient

Since the days of Arthur Jensen, scientists have known that a high IQ is necessary for succeeding in difficult fields — but is not sufficient. (via)

We continue to be reminded over the years that something “extra” in addition to high IQ is necessary for success in complex disciplines.

Most recently, polymath Nicholas Nassim Taleb initiates a long and interesting twitter thread on the topic, where he may go a bit overboard in denigrating the importance of IQ for high achievers.

Nassim Taleb vs. Jordan Peterson on IQ

Another polymath — Jordan Peterson — considers IQ to be of immense importance for carving out a meaningful human future. Taleb seems to take aim at Peterson in suggesting that if “IQ is the most rigorously studied factor in psychology” (as Peterson often says), then psychology is a meaningless discipline.

But the basic logic of distinguishing between “necessary” and “sufficient” conditions makes the controversy evaporate almost instantly.

In arguing that IQ is not needed for success simply because IQ alone is not sufficient for success, Taleb makes a sloppy and invalid argument. Peterson, as a psychologist, certainly understands better than Taleb, that sucess in difficult fields requires multiple factors — of which IQ is just one. But without a reasonably high IQ, the human mind cannot retain enough interacting ideas long enough in focus to construct useful logical chains of argument and causation.

IQ Scores and SAT/PISA Scores Highly Correlated

College aptitude tests seem to predict future success in college reasonably well, and ultimate success in careers somewhat well. Roughly speaking:

If you take a “real” IQ test (see comments below), then the result is a strong statistical predictor of multiple future life outcomes – income, education level, health, even longevity. There are hundreds of studies that confirm these correlations. So in that sense, it “predicts” your future “success”. __

The prediction does not hold for everyone, but if a person’s IQ is quite low the correlation is almost perfect. If your IQ is quite high, the correlation is moderately high. The IQ score is three times more accurate in predicting success than a person’s SES (socioeconomic status). But — and this should keep an IQ proponent humble — knowing a person’s IQ AND his SES will only explain about 14% of his future outcome.

Extra Factors are Needed Beyond IQ to Create Genius

From IQ pioneer Arthur Jensen:

… the outstanding feature of any famous and accomplished person, especially a reputed genius, such as Feynman, is never their level of g (or their IQ), but some special talent and some other traits (e.g., zeal, persistence). Outstanding achievements(s) depend on these other qualities besides high intelligence.

… Most very high-IQ people, of course, are not recognized as geniuses, because they haven’t any very outstanding creative achievements to their credit. However, there is a threshold property of IQ, or g, below which few if any individuals are even able to develop high-level complex talents or become known for socially significant intellectual or artistic achievements. This bare minimum threshold is probably somewhere between about +1.5 sigma and +2 sigma from the population mean on highly g-loaded tests. __ Arthur Jensen quoted in …

It is important to take a more nuanced view than is normally accepted, when discussing the importance of IQ test scores in predicting the success of individuals, nations, or cultures.

South Africa, for example, was much more affluent 30 years ago than it is at present — although the average population IQ has not changed appreciably. South Africa has lost something “extra” which it possessed in the 1980s, but no longer possesses. (See “Smart Fraction“)

Countries such as South Africa, Mexico, Indonesia, the Philippines, and many other nations can economically outperform their national average IQs thanks to the smart fraction of high achieving high IQ people living amongst their less intelligent countrymen.

Economic Success Correlates With National Average IQ
More at VDare

IQ is Important, But We Are Still Learning Why

We have only had IQ tests for a little over 100 years. These test scores provide important information, as long as we understand that IQ scores are just a piece of the personality puzzle. High IQ scores can open many doors, but they do not guarantee successful entry or performance in difficult career fields.

For success in demanding fields, high IQ is necessary, but not sufficient. But modern political correctness forbids the open consideration of IQ scores — particularly relating to differences in average scores between various cultures, races, genders, social strata, etc.

Solving the puzzles of life success for future generations is now made all the more difficult because of the blatant obstacles placed in the way by our politically correct monocultural political elite. Universities are at the heart of this self-defeating problem facing the human future.

There has never been a better time to form parallel “shadow societies,” to keep the hope of an abundant and expansive human future alive. It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood © .

Posted in IQ | Tagged | 8 Comments

The New Al Fin Human Breast Milk Diet

Most have heard of the Atkins low carb diet, the ketogenic diet, the Jordan Peterson all meat & greens diet, and the Masai ox milk & blood diet. In today’s piece, Al Fin introduces the fresh human breast milk diet for adult male peak performance. Remember, the human breast milk must be consumed fresh.

The many benefits of human breast milk for human infants are impressive, varied, and too numerous to mention. But some readers may not be aware of the benefits of breast milk in the toddler years.

The graphic below provides a few of the health boosting effects of human breast milk for the young human:

Human Breast Milk for Adult Males

When explaining the benefits of the patented Al Fin Breast Milk Diet © , one of the most difficult ideas to get across is why the diet is recommended for adult males — but not to adult females. The reasons are quite clear. The androgenic hormone testosterone is quite demanding of the human body — and adult human males have blood levels of testosterone that are roughly an order of magnitude higher than testosterone blood levels in adult human females.

Testosterone performs many tasks for the human male. Among other functions, testosterone drives males to high achievement in the attempt to win the contest for the most desirable female(s). Human males are driven by their hormones to work long hours, take dangerous jobs, commute long distances for better work, and perform risky and daring “show-off” feats to impress members of the fairer sex.

All of these things take a toll on the male body, and men tend to die several years younger, on average, than human females.

Scientists at the Al Fin Institutes have discovered that if adult human males consume fresh human breast milk three times a day, most of the adverse effects of testosterone can be mitigated — leading to a longer and healthier lifespan for human males.

How Can Society Provide Enough Lactating Females for This Need?

The healthiest and most reliable way to bring an adult human female to lactation, is through pregnancy. But lactation can also be induced using exogenous hormones in the proper amounts, at the proper time. Either naturally induced lactation or artificially induced lactation will result in the same, health-giving breast milk.

Women who choose the career of “Breast Milk Provider” need never be out of work for as long as her breasts continue to respond to the hormonal inducers of lactation.

One of the many unexpected benefits of the fresh breast milk diet is that adult males who previously suffered from the unfortunate habit of thumb-sucking, are almost instantly cured of that unmanly addiction. The eyesight of men on the diet grows stronger and clearer as well, particularly when judging a woman’s breast size and bra cup from great distances.

Eat, Drink, and be Merry

Today’s modern societies suffer from an unfortunate “up-tightness” that restricts men and women from enjoying all the many aspects of being alive “in the best of all possible worlds.”

Here at the Institutes, we have found that men who practice the fresh breastmilk diet — and coincidentally women who supplement their normal diets with fresh human semen — are able to better relax and enjoy both the simple and the complex pleasures of being alive.

Humans are biological creatures, closely tied to nature at many levels. It should be no surprise that human males never truly outgrow their need for natural, wholesome human breast milk.

Breast Milk Everywhere

We are recommending that corporations provide a special “fresh breast milk bar” at the job, to allow male workers a quick pick-me-up during breaks. We also anticipate the emergence of drive-thru lanes for fresh breast milk at McDonalds and other fast food places. More thoughtful wives will have a fresh quad-copter delivered mug of still-warm fresh human breast milk waiting for their hard-working man, when he gets home. Even better, if the wife happens to be lactating she can provide an even fresher boost of breast milk for her mate.

The global market for dietary supplements is expected to reach almost $300 billion annually by 2024. Human breast milk is more than a supplement, more than a diet — it can easily become a way of life for both partaker and provider.

Remember, whether for you or for that peak-performing adult male in your life: Breast is best. Thanks to all the hard-working scientists at the Al Fin Institutes who developed this ingenious and creative new diet.

Posted in Biomedicine, satire, Sex Differences, Testosterone | Tagged | 8 Comments

Women Not Dying on the Job Quickly Enough? A Question of Gender Parity

The Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that, in 2015, men dominated the 20 most dangerous occupations in the United States. Logging is the most dangerous job in the U.S., followed by fishing. Mining is the 20th most dangerous profession. More men than women occupied these jobs by anywhere from 85.4 to 99.9 percent. __ WashingtionExaminer

Job Deaths via BLS
via JBP

Gender Labour Parity is About More than Salary

Men dominate the dangerous jobs, because they are willing to take the risks for the pay. Modern western women are typically averse to physical risk on the job — and besides, the pay for most of these jobs is not especially high, for the average person in the particular occupation. But if a man develops his skills — and is willing to put in overtime — he can earn enough to support a small family comfortably.

Several occupations in and around the oil & gas industry can earn a person in excess of $100,000 a year — and no need for a college diploma. During boom years for oil & gas, the salary boom tends to cascade outward from the oil fields to boost the pay for many other occupations, many of them quite mundane and perfectly safe. The same salary-boosting effect is seen in the vicinity of large construction jobs — especially around multiple construction jobs.

Why the Job Choice Differences Between Men and Women?

Even when men and women are most different —in those cultures where they differ most, and along those trait dimensions where they differ most — they are more similar than different. However, the differences that do exist are large enough so that they play an importance role in determining or at least affecting important life outcomes, such as occupational choice. Here’s a paper, for example, indicating that more gender-equal countries produce comparatively fewer women in the STEM fields. Here’s another, showing that at least some of the much-vaunted gender gap in pay, which is caused by many factors, can be attributed to male/female personality differences and not to simple discrimination.

Where are the largest differences? Men are less agreeable (more competitive, harsher, tough-minded, skeptical, unsympathetic, critically-minded, independent, stubborn). This is in keeping with their proclivity, also documented cross-culturally, to manifest higher rates of violence and antisocial or criminal behavior, such that incarceration rates for men vs women approximate 15:1. Women are higher in negative emotion, or neuroticism. They experience more anxiety, emotional pain, frustration, grief, self-conscious doubt and disappointment (something in keeping with their proclivity to experience depression at twice the rate of men). These differences appear to emerge at puberty. Perhaps it’s a consequence of women’s smaller size, and the danger that poses in conflict. Perhaps it’s a consequence of their sexual vulnerability. Perhaps (and this is the explanation I favor) it’s because women have always taken primary care of infants, who are exceptionally vulnerable, and must therefore suffer from hyper-vigilance to threat.

There are other sex differences, as well, but they aren’t as large, excepting that of the aforementioned interest: men are comparatively more interested in things and women in people. This is the largest psychological difference between men and women yet identified. And these differences drive occupational choice, particularly at the extremes. __ JBP

It is not the dangerous jobs that boost the average pay for men, necessarily. It is the top executive & business jobs, the top tech jobs/careers, the fastest track/high pressure law careers, the high-achieving engineers, and the most intense medical/surgical categories tend to be dominated by men — because many men tend to be willing to work the 60 to 80 hour a week jobs that women quickly grow tired of, the jobs that women tend to quit in their mid to late 30s if they want any chance of a family.

Feminists Use Women as Cannon Fodder in Pursuit of Personal Power

Radical power feminists do not care what young women want to do with their lives. They only want to seize upon areas of “disparity” to acquire powerful contracts and positions for themselves and their associates. But here is the simple truth:

Men and women are similar. But they are importantly different. The differences matter, particularly at the extremes, particularly with regard to occupational choice and its concomitants. There are going to be more male criminals, and more male engineers, and more females with diagnoses of depression and anxiety, and more female nurses. And there are going to be differences in economic outcome associated with this variance. __ JBP

Occupational disparities arise naturally via personal choice. Men are more likely to choose jobs that are more dangerous and jobs that are more demanding in other ways. Women tend to be risk-averse, and to be more interested in people and less interested in “things” such as machines and complex technical systems. Also, women tend to want to have a family while there is still time — before the age of 40 if possible. Many of the high paying careers do not allow a woman time to play a meaningful role in a family.

So what should be done with the feminists in academia, journalism, government, foundations, activism, and other parasitic sectors who are determined to destroy the foundations of the planet’s most successful societies, based upon phantasmigorical and meaningless disparities? That may be one of the greatest challenges of the day.

Hope for the best, prepare for the worst. It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood © .

Posted in careers, Demographics | Tagged | 4 Comments

Higher Education Cannot Go On Like This

Higher education needs to change, and falling enrollments are beginning to make that clearer to key players in the collegiate milieu. __ Richard Vedder

Colleges are being forced into closure at increasingly rapid rates. The reasons are many, and vary wildly.

  • Today’s vast US fleet of colleges was built to meet the demand of the baby boom generation, when young people were far more common as a proportion of the population.
  • Costs for a college education have soared out of control and far beyond the benefits of higher ed.
  • Colleges are geared to produce radicals and mind drones, rather than persons capable of thinking for themselves and meeting real world challenges

… the prevailing view that “a college education is vital if you are going to be at least modestly successful financially” seems to be changing as the media tells us about former college students suffering from mountains of student loan debt, or students who are underemployed working as baristas or retail sales clerks at wages no higher than what high school graduates make. And the public is impacted by stories of welders making six-digit salaries, or about the desperate need for drivers of long-distance trucks. Mike Rowe of “Dirty Jobs” is viewed as a positive role model. The earnings advantage associated with a college degree has been stagnant for years, even as college costs continue to rise.

Adding to the woes of the state universities that educate the vast majority of America’s students, public support for traditional university training seems to be waning. Legislators are fed up with soaring tuition fees, low graduation rates, mediocre job outcomes at some schools and a lack of academic diversity on campuses, so state subsidy payments are not growing particularly robustly. Rising health-care costs are also crowding out state government spending on higher education. __

College Tuition and Fees

Moody’s is forecasting the imminent closure of hundreds of US colleges over the next several years.

Frankly, there are many less expensive ways for young people to acquire an excellent and well-rounded education, without the risk of forced indoctrination which is ever present on most college campuses. In fact, 9 out of 10 US colleges infringe students’ rights under the 1st amendment of the US Constitution. Only a fool would reward such arrogant tyranny.

The current system of “higher education” in the US is economically unsustainable. It is also morally unsustainable, and creates a society that will itself be unable to sustain its high tech infrastructures over time. Such countries tend to either fall into poverty, or are taken over by more robust peoples capable of focusing upon competence and merit — rather than ideology — in the incentives which lead to the spontaneous formation of their inevitable hierarchies.

Student loan debt vs other household debt


Special FIRE report on free speech at US campuses

The need for alternative credentials for demonstrating skills and competence

Posted in Education, University | Tagged

Flee the Cult: Sad Radicals of Inbred Intellectualism

Excerpted from “Sad Radicals” by Conor Barnes (Quillette Dec 2018)

…The ideology and norms of radicalism have evolved to produce toxic, paranoid, depressed subjects. What follows is a picture of what happens in communities that are passionately, sincerely, radically woke, as seen from the perspective of an apostate.

When I became an anarchist I was 18, depressed, anxious, and ready to save the world. I moved in with other anarchists and worked at a vegetarian co-op cafe. I protested against student tuition, prison privatization, and pipeline extensions. I had lawyer’s numbers sharpied on my ankle and I assisted friends who were pepper-sprayed at demos. I tabled zines, lived with my “chosen family,” and performed slam poems about the end of the world. While my radical community was deconstructing gender, monogamy, and mental health, we lived and breathed concepts and tools like call-outs, intersectionality, cultural appropriation, trigger warnings, safe spaces, privilege theory, and rape culture.

Deep and sincere engagement with opposing points of view is out of the question. Radicalism is like a clan too suspicious of outsiders to abandon cousin marriage, and, like incestuous offspring, radicalism’s intellectual offspring accumulate genetic load. Narrow theories must perform increasingly convoluted explanations of the world. For example, Montgomery and Bergman describe Michael Hardt and Antonio Negri’s use of the term “Empire,” in their book of the same name, as both a miasma that “accumulates and spreads sadness” and an anthropomorphized figure that “works to usher its subjects into flimsy relationships where nothing is at stake and to infuse intimacy with violence and domination.”

As radicals, we lived in what I call a paradigm of suspicion, one of the malignant ideas that emerge as a result of intellectual in-breeding. We inherited familial neuroses and saw insidious oppression and exploitation in all social relationships, stifling our ability to relate to others or ourselves without cynicism. Activists anxiously pore over interactions, looking for ways in which the mundane conceals domination. To see every interaction as containing hidden violence is to become a permanent victim, because if all you are is a nail, everything looks like a hammer.

Abusers thrive in radical communities because radical norms are fragile and exploitable. A culture of freewheeling drug and alcohol use creates situations predators are waiting to exploit. A cultural fetishization of violence provides cover for violent and unstable people. The practice of public “call-outs” is used for power-plays far more often than for constructive feedback. Radicals value responding to claims of harm with compassion and belief. But abusers exploit this the way children exploit parents and teachers—crybullying becomes a way of punishing opponents or prey. While norms such as “believe claimed victims” are important in families and close friendships where trust and accountability are real, they become weapons in amorphous communities.

Young adults often become radicals after they realize the immensity of the cruelty and malevolence in the world. They reject a society that tolerates such suffering. They sanctify justice as their telos. But without truth to orient justice, seekers of justice will crash and crash again into reality, and will craft increasingly nightmarish and paranoid ideological analyses, burning out activists, destroying lives through jail or abuse, and leaving the world an uglier, more painful place. To paraphrase Alice Dreger, there is no justice without wisdom, and no wisdom without surrender to uncertainty in the pursuit of truth.

Conor Barnes is a student, writer, and poet. His writing has also appeared in Areo Magazine and the Mantle. You can follow him on Twitter @ideopunk

The excerpts above are taken from the original Quillette article, Sad Radicals, by Conor Barnes. Published December 2018 in Quillette My recommendation is to read the entire article at least once.

The phenomenon of the “sad radical,” or the “inbred intellectual” of modern times, is worth studying and learning about. It points to the only genuine and demonstrable doom that modern human societies face today — a self-immolation of the western world from the academy outward.

Every high school student should be allowed to read this article and other broad perspective views on modern inbred radicalism long before going away to college. The parents of high school students and college students should also inform themselves about the culture which dominates college campuses.

When universities bankrupt hundreds of thousands of families without providing value for cost, it is a tragedy. When universities lobotomise millions of young minds without providing intellectual value to compensate, it is a crime.

It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood © .

One antidote to inbred intellectualism: Heterodox Academy

Brief note on “ideological possession:” Jordan Peterson often uses the term “ideological possession” to refer to people who have been so caught up in a particular ideology as to have lost their individual identity and judgment in certain situations. It is analogous to “demon possession” in the sense of having been taken over by an outside malevolent intellect (or pseudo-intellect). The outside force acts and speaks from within the person’s body and voice, taking complete control. “The person may as well not even be there, only the ideology.”

Posted in Ideology | Tagged

Zombie Horde Holds No Terror for the Prepared

Here is another multi-copter meant to be marketed to the public. Named the “Hexa” copter, it is meant as a rental, probably for tourist markets. Each rotor has its own motor — and its own battery! It is capable of flying with up to six of the rotors down. The device also has an emergency parachute in case of total failure — a rare occurrence. It is capable of landing on land or on water.

Only a Toy in Current Form

Each battery only provides 10 to 15 minutes of flight time. In this form the device is just a gimmick to provide a brief “adventure” flying experience for dilettantes. To make the copter a true survival vehicle, it would need the addition of a small internal combustion engine for in-flight battery charging, or an onboard fuel cell stack for the same purpose.

The 18 battery configuration provides redundancy, but it complicates the wiring configuration when the copter takes that necessary step from being an “adventure toy” to being a serious man’s escape vehicle from the zombie horde.

As the Hexa will be flying under the ultralight classification (meaning it requires no certification or pilot’s license), you’ll be limited to flying under 700 feet, or 1200 feet in some locations, and not over any populated areas. Maximum speed for ultralights is 55 knots, or about 63 mph/101 km/h in terms of ground speed, and Chasen says if the Hexa turns out to be capable of going faster than that, it’ll be electronically restricted from doing so. The aircraft will also be geofenced to a permitted flying area.

… The aircraft should be fine for any pilot over 18, under around 250 lbs (113 kg) and shorter than around 6 foot 7 (200 cm). It could carry heavier pilots, says Chasen, but “we’re doing a tradeoff between weight and flight time there, we don’t want people to have too short a flight time, and it does trail off quite quickly with additional weight.”

The price? “We’re going to charge around about the same price as for other similar adventure-type activities, like skydiving, hang gliding, those sorts of things,” says Chasen. “It’s gonna be in the area of US$150 to $250.” __

The Hexa is a drone with limited onboard piloting capabilities. In current form, it is an adventure toy. But any self-respecting purchaser of the copter will do some extensive hacking to enable full pilot control.

Unlike a helicopter, which is complex and finicky to fly, the 432-lb (196-kilo) Hexa really is just like a big drone with a seat in it; a flight controller and a raft of sensors do most of the flying for you. It can take off and land at the touch of a button, and if a pilot lets go of the stick, it will hover in a GPS-locked position and stable altitude. If a pilot really freaks out or starts causing trouble, ground staff can take over with hand controllers and bring them back down. __

The safety and reliability of the Hexa is appealing, since almost anyone can fly it safely with only minimal training. But the limited flight time and range will have to be modified for future models — or self-modified by owner-pilots.

The Multi-Rotor Drone Concept Has Potential

Multiple rotors increase complexity in design, but if done right they can reduce the complexity of piloting the craft and improve safety. Clever designers have barely begun tweaking the specs on human-carrying multi-rotor drones. But the ultimate payoff from hitting on the magic design for the middle class market should be immense. Banks and insurance companies may be slow to welcome these new flyers, which only creates new opportunities for those willing to take on risk.

Independence of movement is a heady feeling. Tomorrow’s flyers can escape not only zombies, but the bottlenecks of highways, bridges, and tunnels. And the bumper to bumper commutes.

Posted in Transportation, Zombies | Tagged

Looks Like France is Gonna Need a Lot More Guillotines

Emperor Macron Reaps Whirlwind w/ Unpopular Climate Tax

Demonstrators stand behind a burning barricade during clashes, Saturday, Dec. 8, 2018 in Marseille, southern France. Yellow-vested protesters vented their anger against the government climate tax.
(AP Photo/Claude Paris)

For weeks, yellow-vested protesters have been on the streets of Paris, protesting new climate taxes proposed by the man who has been proclaimed France’s new “Sun King.”

The New French Revolution:

In launching their now successful protests against President Emmanuel Macron’s gas hike, the French gilets jaunes (yellow jackets) have revived their country’s reputation for rebelling against monarchial rule. It may well foreshadow a bitter, albeit largely avoidable, battle over how to address the issue of climate change.

Macron’s approach may have made him a favorite of editorial writers, who see him as the new “sun king,” but he is far more disliked by his own people than Trump is by Americans. The new French rebellion parallels the revolutionary resentments that ultimately overthrew aristocratic and clerical privilege that allowed them to live in splendor while the Third Estate, the middle class, suffered. __ The first shot in the coming climate wars

Emperor Macron’s Climate Tax is Bitterly Opposed

Macron’s virtue-signaling to the outside world by slapping an onerous climate tax on the French people, is something one would expect from a teeny-bopper such as Justin Trudeau. Perhaps Trudeau is the one who gave Macron the idea at the recent G20 summit in Argentina?

The insurrection in France is a small hint of what is to come when government officials in other democratic nations attempt to finance their own virtue signalling to fellow elites with the blood of their ordinary citizens.

This tax was inappropriate for several reasons. First, because it’s based on a falsehood: the idea that by upping taxes on the estimated 40 million motorists in the country — representing less than 1% of the world’s population — France will contribute to the fight against global warming. The latest forest fires in California alone represent one year of CO2 emissions from France.

This tax was also inappropriate because it was deeply socially unjust. It would have hit millions of French people, especially large families, who were pushed tens of kilometers away from our cities because of the high housing costs in metropolitan areas, and who have no choice but to drive tens of kilometers to work, live or survive. __ Revolt Against Injustice

To every thing there is a season, and a time to every purpose under heaven. __ Ecclesiastes 3:1

The public elites of the west — academics, journalists, media personalities, government officials, large foundations, ultra-wealthy activists, etc. — believe that the world is their private oyster to do with as they wish. It is only at times when average people make their voices heard, that a small amount of sane reason is made audible to these elites — should they wish to listen.

The first French revolution toppled a rotten and bankrupt monarchy. Today the French face something far worse: a global elite that is just as non-democratic as the Bourbon kings. Macron is serving as the cut-out figure for EU power, and the power of the international elites. He expected to be able to waltz in and make the dramatic changes that would earn him a place in history as a global saviour. Enter street democracy.

Macron’s policies rest on the notion on-going climate catastrophe embraced by media, the academy and the intelligentsia. Every time weather takes a nasty turn as it often does — heat waves, downpours, forest fires, floods — it’s often attributed to climate change.

This leads to the notion that we need to embrace climate “hysteria,” as one New York Times reporter suggested recently. This does not seem the best basis to create an enduring and workable policy. __ Joel Kotkin

The Germans Should Have Been The Ones to Take to the Streets

The German people have been extraordinarily long-suffering under the climate policies and immigration policies of the Merkel government. They now pay much more for their electric power, they must live under a constant threat of violence in public places, and they must now worry about the threat of cascading power failure due to Merkel’s bloody stab into the heart of Germany’s formerly reliable electric power system.

Germans should have taken to the streets years ago, and stayed there until all the Merkels, all the Schroeders, all the Greens, and the rest of the virtue-signalling, hardship-bringing posturers in the government were thrown out on their fat posteriors.

Like the revolutionaries of 1789, people are enraged by the hypocrisy of their betters. In pre-revolutionary times, French aristocrats and top clerics preached Christian charity while indulging in gluttony, sexual adventurism and lavish spending. Today they see the well-off and well-connected buying their modern version of indulgences through carbon credits and other virtue-signaling devices. Meanwhile, as many as 30 percent of Germans and as many as half of Greeks are spending 10 percent or more of their income on energy, the definition of “energy poverty.” __ Kotkin

There is nothing pleasant or civil about rioting in the streets, or confronting the lawful enforcers of civil and criminal law. At the same time, there is nothing democratic about what the governments of France, Germany, Sweden, and other nations of the EU have been doing “in the name of the people.” At least one US state — California — seems determined to follow in the footsteps of Macron and Merkel.

No democratic society can be expected to openly impose a radical decline in living standards; that has already been made clear in France, and may be shape politics here in the US, and even here in California, for years to come. __ Joel Kotkin

Citizens of Germany, France, and California should be aware that the dysgenic immigration policies of their jurisdictions serve not only for virtue signaling — they also make it easier for their leaders and elites to foist destructive and non-democratic policies of taxation and regulation on them. Because beggars are easier to please, these “green” governments want to make beggars of all the people.

Apparently, at least some of the French have other ideas.


Claire Berlinski suggests that the protestors in France are not easily labeled, but that some of the violence in France is coming from an alliance of convenience between Antifa/left anarchists from the city, the French far right from Paris and other cities, and ordinary French populist anti-immigrant citizens from the countryside — or something like that. If that is the case, than the methods of countering riot police tactics seem to be spreading between activist groups across the political spectrum, to fit with whatever grievance the disparate groups may hold. This suggests that these riots are likely to spread to other countries.

Posted in Climate, Politics