“We just die out as flies, and nobody remembers us.”

People who truly love a country will face up to its problems, rather than turning their backs and denying the fatal trends that eat away at a nation’s heart. Demographic decline affects all of the developed world, including Europe, the Anglosphere, East Asia, and Russia. Most of these nations have pulled back from expansionary geopolitical ambitions, but not all.

When a nation tries to extend its power and territory at the same time that its demographic and economic situations are deteriorating, the stress of this internal contradiction is felt throughout the land. If this nation also nominally controls almost half the world’s arsenal of nuclear warheads and delivery vehicles, internal stresses can explode outward very rapidly.

“Those who say that the demographic crisis… will end are charlatans … “One has to be a total idiot to expect the demographic crisis in Russia to end under such circumstances.

__ Pravda (see below)

Basic Demographic Picture

Russia 2015 Population Pyramid Source

Russia 2015 Population Pyramid
Fertile Female Dropoff
Source

…Russia is still looking for ways to reverse its negative demographic trend. The number of women of childbearing age is dropping, the elderly constitute a growing percentage of the population, the Health Ministry predicts a rising mortality rate through 2020, and government policies continue to fall short in their attempts to save the Russian population from its downward spiral… the government is cutting spending on healthcare and sports, both of which have a direct impact on the mortality rate of the working population. Russia lags especially far behind developed countries in these areas. __ Moscow Times – Pavel Aptekar

Birthrates are higher in regions containing larger numbers of muslims and Central Asian immigrants. These incoming persons are prolific enough to push up Russian birth rate statistics marginally, but can do nothing to improve the demographic future of “ethnic Russians,” who are the ones in danger of extinction.

HIV spreading more quickly in Russia than in many parts of Africa.

“Those who say that the demographic crisis in Russia will end are charlatans. They are no experts at all. In reality, the age structure in Russia will deteriorate further in 2017 and then till 2020. The number of potential parents will halve in comparison with their amount 10-15 years ago.

“One has to be a total idiot to expect the demographic crisis in Russia to end under such circumstances. __ Demographer Igor Beloborodov in Pravda

It is important to the Kremlin to drown out any negative news which reflects badly on the leadership. The best demographic information available projects a continuing downward demographic trend for ethnic Russians — low births, high deaths. Just as in Europe and the Anglosphere, the brightest women of highest achievement choose not to have children. Russia’s future will reflect this dearth of brighter ethnic Russians in the classroom, in the workforce, in the research labs, and in the military.

Russia’s population is today in major decline — with potentially catastrophic consequences for the country and its place in the world… The results could be nothing short of ruinous. The Russian government has attempted to project the image of revived greatness to the world. But Russia’s declining demographic health suggests that domestic realities will sooner or later serve to undermine the Kremlin’s global ambitions. __ Mortality, Abortion, Emigration

Russia will be particularly hard-hit by demographic shrinkage, since Russia is caught in the middle of an expansionist, neo-imperial phase. Demographic shrinkage is accompanied by economic shrinkage, a significant drop in innovation, and an ominous rise in corruption. The best people are exiting the country, and Russian women are increasingly refusing to have children with the low quality of men who remain.

According to the Brookings Institution, “Russian economic policy will face the very serious threat rapid depopulation in the coming decades,” with the likelihood of immigration failing to make up for the discrepancies due to an overtly anti-immigration and nationalist fervour sweeping the country in recent years. Furthermore, immigration concentrates from former CIS countries whose migrants are often poorly educated and lack the skills for a modern economy.

Fuelling the rapid decline in the country’s work force revolves around Russia’s refusal to acknowledge the basic scientific conclusions on HIV/AIDS, drug and alcohol addiction, and the rise in pollution-related deaths. Russia has an estimated 1.5 million people with HIV/AIDS out of a population of only 140 million. Recent surveys from the NGO Phoenix Plus found that the HIV rate among homosexual men has increased from 12% in 2012 to 22% percent in 2015 – a dramatic increase that is on par with Sub-Saharan Africa in terms of prevalence.

Russia is fast approaching an inflection point: its current trajectory is forcing itself to come to terms with growing internal socio-economic factors that could be antithesis to growth and prosperity. __ http://globalriskinsights.com/2017/01/russia-internal-issues/

Ethnic Russians are abandoning the peripheral regions, cities, and villages, and congregating closer to the central core of Moscow and St. Petersburg. But most of Russia’s wealth still resides in Siberia, the Far East, and along the vast steppe. As fewer and fewer ethnic Russians remain to guard and seize this wealth from non-Russians, the future of the Russian state grows dimmer.

Russia is in fact an unstable power, subject to a further dismantling far beyond the loss of republics and territories that occurred in the 1991 collapse of the USSR.

Source of title quote

More:

Russian warlords becoming too big for Putin to control

Russian news that got past the censors

Action begets reaction. Nations are beginning to react to Russia’s neo-imperialism — from Poland, from Ukraine, from a range of Russian frenemies from China to Turkey to Iran, and from powerful interests across Europe, East Asia, and the Anglosphere — who are watching closely and waiting for the inevitable props to begin falling.

Russia’s Health and Demographic Picture Deteriorate

Russia’s new demographic crisis

Vladimir Putin’s health optimization effort, a euphemism for massive closures, means that many Russians now cannot afford health care and that those who can often must travel hundreds of kilometers to get it, often dying on the way (rusmonitor.com/v-rossii-vrachi-poluchayut-menshe-chem-v-kenii-vy-udivleny.html and forum-msk.org/material/economic/12866052.html). (Use online translators for Russian language materials, as needed)

Given cutbacks in spending on anti-retro-viral drugs and the influx of heroin from Afghanistan, Russia today is now the largest generator of new HIV/AIDS cases in Europe (newsland.com/community/politic/content/rossiia-ostaetsia-osnovnoi-stranoi-sbyta-afganskikh-narkotikov/5712405 and versia.ru/spid-mirovaya-drama-o-borbe-za-dengi-i-zhizn).

Within Russia, residents of Moscow have better health care and live longer than most Russians. But if one compares the situation in Moscow with that of major cities around the world, Muscovites get sick far more often, have less access to medical care and die younger than do the others (iq.hse.ru/news/201928368.html). Moreover, health care in the Russian capital is collapsing with entire sectors, including those involved in mental health, now at risk of closing down (echo.msk.ru/news/1938938-echo.html and kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58BC77E6DC6C2). ___ Source

Posted in Demographics, Russian Collapse | Tagged ,

Climate Apocalypse Cult; Green Energy Swindle

Morpheus to Neo (via)

Morpheus to Neo (via)

The Mainstream Offers You Fantasy; The Reality is Much More Interesting

The corrupt scam begins to unfold

Climate Apocalypse Cult

More charts at source

A nice summary of the climate controversy

Green Energy Swindle

Adding More Erratic Intermittently Unpredictable Energy Just Gives You More Erratic Unpredictable Energy

It is believed by green energy advocates that if one throws enough erratic, intermittent, unpredictable, expensive, low quality energy at the power grid, that in the end society will be well supplied with ample, affordable, reliable, high quality electrical power. Perhaps one does not necessarily have to be a total imbecile to believe all that, but it certainly helps!

Germany’s Energiewende: The Dying Reich

Germany is an industrial export-driven economy. Without abundant and reliable electric power of an affordable nature, Germany will die. Sadly, the government of Germany is abandoning the very foundations of German industrial income and jobs. Diving blind into a turbid pool of uncertain depth often results in total paralysis for those unwise enough to do so. It appears as if this will be Germany’s fate as well.

Germany’s heavy industry is reluctantly packing its bags and heading overseas where electric power is still abundant and affordable. The deeper the penetration of big wind and big solar into a nation’s energy supply, the greater the chances that the foundational industry of electric power will falter, resulting in disastrous and long-term, repeated loss of lives, property, and livelihood.

Germany is forced to rely on quantitative easing to maintain an illusion of economic vitality — at least in comparison to Italy, Greece, and Spain. But the relentless effects of energy suicide will undercut the green energy delusions of the reich.

Of power demand totaling 69.0 gigawatts (GW) at 3 pm on the 12th, for instance, just 0.7 GW was provided by solar energy, 1.0 by onshore wind power and 0.4 offshore. At noontime on the 14th of December, 70 GW were consumed, with 4 GW solar, 1 GW onshore and somewhat over 0.3 offshore wind. The Agora graphs make apparent that such wide-ranging doldrums may persist for several days.

You do not need to be a technician, an energy expert, or a scientist to perceive the underlying futility of this basic situation. You simply need common sense, shelving expectations and prognoses for a moment, while extrapolating the current result to future developments. __ https://stopthesethings.com/2017/01/20/will-germanys-winter-wind-solar-power-collapse-mean-the-end-of-the-energiewende/

Germany has not closed all its nuclear plants, not yet. With the crucial assistance of neighboring national power utilities still using nuclear/coal/hydro/gas, the dwindling number of German nuclear and fossil fuel plants are able to struggle through without creating utter disaster, so far. But the deeper the nation presses its wager, the higher the odds of complete catastrophe.

Energiewende will be the death of Germany

… one cannot simultaneously rely on massive amounts of wind and sunshine, dispense with nuclear power plants… , significantly lower the supply of fossil energy, and nevertheless tell people that electricity will definitely be available in the future. Exactly that, however, is what politics largely does almost every day. It is quite irresponsible to persuade citizens that from 2030 onwards only electrically-powered new cars may be allowed, as has recently been propagated in the highest political circles.

You can wish for a lot and always hope for a good outcome. But as important as wishes and hopes are, they are not yet solutions

The example of Energiewende once again demonstrates that the traditional political approaches of our democracies are ill-equipped to solve such complex problems. Consequently, they pursue what I have recently called symbolic politics: democracies do something that is supposed to point in the right direction without thinking it through and without even taking note of the system-related consequences. If it goes wrong, the political predecessors were guilty and nobody feels responsible.

That is why citizens need to remain vigilant and critical. You can wish for a lot and always hope for a good outcome. But as important as wishes and hopes are, they are not yet solutions. We likewise have to use our minds when we would prefer to turn them off because the conclusions are so depressing. __
Energy Post Weekly

Climate Apocalypse Cult Spawns Green Energy Swindle

If one is foolish enough to allow himself to be herded by the strident bullhorns of media, academia, foundations, thinktanks, and government, he and everyone he influences will pay the price for his inability to think rationally for himself. Bad science generates bad policy. Bad policy creates a dystopian future. Such was the future under the Clinton-Bush-Obama cabal of corruption. US voters bought the world a bit of time.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood.

More — A revealing glimpse of the prevailing psychology inside the German mind:

Come to Germany and Rape Us!

European women live in fear of migrant sexual assaults

Germany is laying down its women to be raped by migrants. Any country that will destroy its demographic future in this way is not above abandoning its industrial infrastructure to to the trite slogans of “green” idiocy.

Posted in Climate, Electrical Power Grid, Energy, Germany, Green Quagmire | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Putin Smiles for All of Russia

Overall, Russia is far from economic collapse and losing governability, but it is slowly moving in that direction. If the authorities avoid dire errors, the country can survive at the margin of safety for at least six to ten years, or more. After that, urgent measures will be required to preserve Russia’s integrity and governability. __ Rundown

We won’t quibble over whether Russia has four years or ten years. The problems are not being acknowledged, much less addressed.

What Russians Want, What they Get

… Russians want economic and personal security and are willing to tolerate a police state to get it. That atmosphere, plus the anxiety generated by having troops fighting in Syria and Ukraine has scared away a lot of foreign investors and many Russian ones as well. Russia can downplay this in the state controlled media but without all that foreign and Russian capital the economy cannot grow. Meanwhile China, the only real threat to Russia, quietly makes progress in the east. There China has claims on much of the Russian Far East and is openly replacing Russia as the primary economic, military and political force in Central Asia. __ What Passes for Satisfaction

The news from Russia is both “good” and bad. Russia has not collapsed . . . yet. But looking under the facade of Kremlin agit-prop, fantasy TV, and trolls, existence for ordinary Russians is growing harder in terms of just getting by — much worse if one actually considers starting a family. Trump cannot save them. Reversing the economic sanctions will not save them. Even a strong jump in energy prices cannot make wise men out of the corrupt fools who have run the country into the ground.

… the number of Russians living below the poverty line has risen from 15.5 million in 2013 to 21.4 million last year.

And that’s going by the state’s definition of what it means to be “poor”. The actual number of Russians barely managing to get by is likely to be higher. __ Success Abroad? Rot at Home

Russia’s educational and medical systems are crumbling to shambles. Mostly Soviet-era housing, transportation, and domestic energy infrastructure are rapidly degrading. There is barely money to pretend to pay workers and pensions, and none at all to upgrade tragically fraying infrastructure. Russia’s best people are getting out, and those left behind take cold comfort wherever it can be found.

… the real average income of Russians has, as of the end of 2016, been declining 25 months in a row and the decline continues. With so many people seeing their income decline corruption is getting worse, despite vigorous efforts to curb it. The number of best educated and capable Russians who have left the country since 2014 has now reached 1.5 million. The poor are getting poorer and more Russians are slipping into poverty. __ No Country for Children, Men, or Women

Over the past year, Russia has scored significantly worse on measures of innovation, productivity, and corruption. Putin has solidified his grip on power, but at the cost of greater hardship across Russia.

Splendour in the ruins — master chefs of rock soup

Russia’s Best Leave Country; Investment Abandons Russian Industry

Over the last 17 years, the Putin regime has value stripped the country, relying far too heavily on existing equipment and not investing in new while taking out as much wealth as possible, a strategy that has enriched Putin and his entourage but at the expense of Russia and its future. __ 188 pp Report On Industrial Decline

Corruption erodes all industrial efficiency and productivity. This decay is now infesting military and strategic defence production in Russia, leaving its vaunted conventional systems and missile deterrence as rusting, empty facades. Russia’s space program and other programs relying on missiles and rocket engines are at growing risk of obsolescence.

Most of Russia’s Oil and Gas is Located Under Non-Russia Tribal Territories

Oil & gas incomes prop up Putin’s neo-imperial ambitions. But most of Russia’s energy wealth lies under ground that technically belongs to non-Russian tribal groups. As ethnic separatism takes firmer hold in Russia’s periphery, Moscow’s grip on remote oil production facilities and pipelines becomes weaker. Particularly as the demographic collapse of the ethnic Russian nation becomes less and less deniable. Ethnic Russian demographics are failing at both ends, as ethnic Russian birthrates remain low and death rates remain stubbornly high.

Central Asian muslims are filling in the openings that the disappearance of ethnic Russians leave behind — except in the extreme far east. In the Far East, it is the Chinese who are taking up the slack for the vanishing Russian population.

The most likely future for Russia is disintegration into several pieces, over a 20 year time span beginning sometime near the middle of next decade. If it happens slowly enough, nuclear fallout will be minimal over most of Europe and the Anglosphere.

Posted in Russian Decline | Tagged

Can Donald Trump Stop this Idiocracy from Happening?

Global average human IQ has been declining for decades. Scientists are just beginning to decipher the genetic code for why an Idiocracy is looming on the horizon.

A study from Iceland is the latest to raise the prospect of a downwards spiral into imbecility…

More

Idiocracy: Affluence Turns to Stupidity

Bright, affluent, educated young adults don’t want children anymore. Intelligent western women average fewer than one child apiece. It is left for the dull and impoverished underachievers to breed children for the future. Over time, that is the path to Idiocracy.

The more affluent a society becomes, several factors unleash. The birthrate declines sharply, for as people become wealthier, women prefer not to have children. The poorest cultures have the greatest number of births because children take care of their parents. In our new age of socialism, government has replaced the family unit. Ask a girl under thirty in the United States if she wants to have children today and you are likely to get the answer, “No.” __ https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/civil-unrest/are-we-getting-dumber/

This phenomenon of societal “dumbing down” is taking place on all scales, from the neighborhood level to the global level. Fertility rates in low-IQ Africa, for example, continue to be high. Meanwhile the brighter, more prosperous and innovative nations of the west are not fertile enough to replace themselves.

Today’s research — from Iceland — takes a somewhat indirect approach, by looking at human genes that predispose persons to achieve higher educational goals. But “IQ genes” by any other name . . .

A study from Iceland is the latest to raise the prospect of a downwards spiral into imbecility. The research from deCODE, a genetics firm in Reykjavik, finds that groups of genes that predispose people to spend more years in education became a little rarer in the country from 1910 to 1975.

… Those who carried more “education genes” tended to have fewer children than others. This led the scientists to propose that the genes had become rarer in the population because, for all their qualifications, better educated people had contributed less than others to the Icelandic gene pool. __ https://www.theguardian.com/science/2017/jan/16/natural-selection-making-education-genes-rarer-says-icelandic-study

This trend is not limited to Iceland, and has accelerated significantly since the genetic data in the study above was collected.

Bruce Charlton’s Online Book “The Genius Famine” explains more about the modern road to Idiocracy, and suggests some remedies.

Human reaction time (by mental chronometry) is slowing, over the decades. The correlation between reaction time and human intelligence is strong, providing a quick and easy way of measuring the ongoing decline in human IQ using mental chronometry.

The Future May Not Be Smart; But It Is Likely to Be Horny!

In the movie “Idiocracy,” it is the horny who inherit the Earth. Just so in real life. Higher fertility correlates with higher sex drive. And sex drive is one of the last functions to fade away in a declining brain — as long as the body is basically sound.

Give a human the choice between a drug that makes him horny and a drug that makes him think more clearly, and he will choose the horniness drug every time!

From research performed at Imperial College London:

The hormone kisspeptin can enhance activity in brain regions associated with sexual arousal and romantic love, according to new research. __ http://www3.imperial.ac.uk/newsandeventspggrp/imperialcollege/newssummary/news_23-1-2017-14-31-48

Scientists are closing in on the brain mechanisms of sexual desire, aphrodisia.

These days, drugs go from the research labs to the streets more quickly than government agencies can control. The combinations of working aphrodisiacs with virtual reality porn and high tech sexual devices, are likely to prove an irresistible temptation for modern youth — habits almost impossible to break. The inevitable result of stupid horny people is more stupid horny people.

In an Idiocracy, Voter Fraud is Commonplace

Under the US Clinton-Bush-Obama administrations, the dumbed-down Idiocracy has been building. Within corrupted states such as California, and cities-in-decay such as Philadelphia, Columbus, Cleveland, Milwaukee, St. Louis, Baltimore, DC, Chicago, etc., voter fraud has become routine in every election. Dead people and illegals are regularly registered and empowered to vote by precinct officials — often in close league with public labour unions and activist groups, such as the NAACP.

Public policies that have resulted from this Idiocratic and fraudulent voting system have accelerated the dumbing-down process appreciably. It has gone on for so long that we must now ask: “Is there anything that Donald Trump can do to stop this steamroller of an Idiocracy?”

The most important thing that Mr. Trump can do to slow the Idiocracy is to help create a more honest and rational society. Cleaning up corrupt government practises, reducing immigration from the third world, and making elections more secure and transparent would all be good places to start. Returning schools to their purpose as educational institutions rather than indoctrination centres would also be a useful change, as would exposing the partisanship of a mainstream news media that too often act as purveyors of grossly misleading propaganda. Finally, defunding institutions and organisations which promote violence, waste, and corruption — and destroy morale and honest ambition — should be a priority.

Having to correct the many mistakes of the dysfunctional US administrations of Clinton-Bush-Obama will slow the improvements to be made. On the other hand, Trump’s in-your-face approach to cleaning up government graft and intentional destruction by government policy, is a clear and refreshing contrast to government as the US has come to know it over much of the past 28 years.

How Can Trump Help the World Outside the US?

Most western nations have given up under the constant barrage of leftist propaganda, disinformation, and depraved policy of cultural demolition. For people in nations such as Sweden, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium, etc. to see the leader of a western government stand up proudly to defend western civilisation in the face of a leftist and Islamist onslaught, should be somewhat bracing — at least to those who still have some heart and backbone.

Likewise, the message to the nations of Europe and East Asia that they will need to be more responsible for their own defence and well-being, is a wakeup call that is long overdue — signaling the emergence from a prolonged post-WWII adolescence into a more grown-up approach to their own destinies. But is it already too late for Europe and East Asia?

Germany’s population is projected to fall by 10 million in less than 50 years, with nearly all of this fall concentrated within the working population. This is even after allowing for inward migration. On average, in many countries, families are having only slightly more than one child (for example, 1.4 in the case of Italy) and populations are in danger of collapse with far fewer workers supporting more pensioners. Portugal, Poland, Slovakia and Croatia are projected to see population falls of up to a quarter within the lifetime of today’s forty-year-olds. Outside the EU, Russia and Japan may see population implosion. Even over a shorter period, we can expect to see considerable population decline, and this is very much concentrated amongst the younger age groups. __ https://iea.org.uk/the-wests-demographic-crisis/ 18 Jan 2017

It isn’t clear whether Japan or Russia will disappear first. Russia is more likely to fragment, but Japan’s villages, small cities, and suburbs are disappearing a bit more rapidly.

In the mid-1990s Japan had a smaller proportion of over-65s than Britain or Germany. Thanks to an ultra-low birth rate, admirable longevity and a stingy immigration policy, it is now by far the oldest country in the OECD. And senescence is spreading to new areas. Many rural Japanese villages have been old for years, because young people have left them for cities. Now the suburbs are greying, too. __ Economist 7 Jan 2017

In the end, it comes down to the basic morale, competence, and sensibility of populations. If populations cannot learn to fend for themselves in the larger world without a big brother superpower watching over them, then perhaps they deserve to wither away over time, as is happening already.

Hope for the Best; Prepare for the Worst

The election of Donald Trump is not the crisis. Trump’s election is a belated response to a long-running crisis that has been purposely ignored by governments, media, universities, NGOs, foundations, political lobbies, environmental groups, churches, and other cultural institutions. Political correctness has made these institutions deaf and dumb, stupified and petrified. And so the coming Idiocracy was given a power it did not deserve.

Can enough people wake up and grow up in time to make a difference? In many nations of Europe and Latin America, we’re gonna need a lot more guillotines!

Or, perhaps a lot more phasers and photon torpedoes:

Posted in Cognition, Coming Anarchy, Demographics, Donald Trump, Fertility, Idiocracy, IQ | Tagged , | 6 Comments

Economically Stressed China Flirts With Nuclear War

A Chronic Economic Crisis Spurs Expansionist Impulses

Deep stresses within China’s bubble economy are building, forcing Beijing to take a neoimperial posture toward weaker nations in its vicinity. Inevitably, if China expands too forcefully, it risks war of a radioactive kind.

Some people ask themselves why [China] hasn’t collapsed yet. It’s been bad for a while. But it can be bad for a long time without collapsing. The ability of the [regime] to pull accounting tricks and move money around from the left pocket to the right pocket—that can go on for a long time.

First of all, there isn’t much happening on the good side. There is no evidence of any reform coming through. There is no evidence of embracing the market;… __ China Expert Fraser Howie

If China collapses, its citizens will revolt and the government will be in danger of falling. The Communist government would go to war to stop that from happening. Who is the likely dance partner in China’s first nuclear exchange? The answer may surprise you. If so, read on to trace the flow of power and trade from Shanghai to Dubai to Marseilles.

It’s a frightening prospect, India and China going to war.
The countries are home to 2.5 billion people, a long and sometimes disputed border — which they’ve fought wars over — and each have nuclear weapons. __ CNN

China talks a lot about the “new silk road,” often referred to here as the One Yellow Brick Road (OYBR). It is important for intelligent readers to understand that it is the maritime route that is far more crucial to Chinese trade and projection of military power, rather than the more discussed and deeply troubled land route. And it is the sea route that will most likely lead to nuclear war for the Middle Kingdom.

And It is Out There, Beyond the China Seas, Where the Greatest Threat of Nuclear War Looms

The hottest hot spot China faces now — beyond Taiwan and the China Seas — is the small island state of Sri Lanka. Situated in the middle of strategic shipping lanes — and a prime location for military bases against India — China is desperate to take total control of Sri Lankan territory in order to establish a permanent presence in the middle of the Indian Ocean.

Sri Lanka Shipping Lanes Stratfor

Sri Lanka Shipping Lanes
Stratfor
Much of the current political tumult in Sri Lanka stems from China’s growing influence in the country

… China… has proven to be a “friend in need”: Chinese aid and credit accounted for $5 billion after the [Sri Lanka] civil war. Moreover, China initiated large-scale infrastructure projects in the country, such as the Hambantota and Colombo ports. In these circumstances, Chinese support quickly became one of the underpinnings of Rajapaksa’s autocratic rule and Sri Lanka seemed to be inevitably and exclusively drifting toward China… __ China Pulls Out All Stops to Dominate Asia

Sri Lanka forced to pay over a third of revenues to service Chinese loans!

Under a US President Hillary Clinton, China would have felt much freer to press its rights to control Sri Lankan territory — just as it has felt free to assert its rights over territory claimed by Vietnam, Japan, Philippines, Indonesia, and other sovereign states in the China Seas region, under a weak president Obama.

China has come out of the closet as a fully multi-faceted neo-imperialist, and the global fallout from that decision has barely begun to register on the geiger counter — perhaps because China’s imperialism has been limited to the economic realm for the most part, so far. But never underestimate the mindless desperation of a communist dictator when pushed against a wall.

The China Seas Trap Highlights China’s Geostrategic Limits

China’s access to the Pacific is limited by two obstacles. The first is the small island chains in the South and East China Seas. When we look at this map, China’s motive in asserting control over these large rocks becomes clear. If China cannot control these islands and shoals, they can be used against China in a military conflict.

The second obstacle is that China is surrounded by American allies. Some such as Japan (and to a lesser extent South Korea and Taiwan) have significant military forces to defend themselves from Chinese encroachment. Taiwan sticks out as a major spur aimed squarely at China’s southeast coast. Those that don’t have sufficient military defenses, like the Philippines, have firm US security guarantees. China is currently at a serious geographic disadvantage in the waters off its coast. __ Source

China needs unrestricted access to all the world’s oceans if it is to be able to wield the level of global power and influence which it feels is necessary to meet its goals.

China's Cage, China Seas Image Source

China’s Cage, China Seas
Image Source


China’s access to the wide oceans is blocked by a cage of islands stretching from Japan to Indonesia. China has tried to mitigate its confinement by placing military weapons systems on illegally claimed ocean territories and on artificial islands in the China seas. But success in that aggressive venture is not guaranteed in the age of Trump.

China’s man-made islands encroach on the sovereign territory and Exclusive Economic Zones of the Philippines, Malaysia and Vietnam. The islets and Beijing’s claim to sovereignty also challenge Indonesian territorial sovereignty. Singapore is wary, and Singapore sits on the Strait of Malacca, the primary shipping route between the Indian and Pacific Oceans.

Every year, ships hauling goods worth some five trillion dollars traverse the South China Sea. China’s counterfeit islands disrupt this traffic. __ Confronting China over Illegal Territory Grabs

And even if China should succeed in its illegal grab of international waters and foreign sovereign islands, its problems with access to the wider world’s blue oceans would just be beginning.

India and China edge toward Nuclear War

China’s alternative facts

It is Clear that China Presents an Existential Threat to India

China is using economic bullying to take over control of small strategically placed nations from Sri Lanka to the Maldives to the Pakistan and beyond. A close look at sea maps in the Southeast and South Asia areas illustrate why China is so desperate to grab de facto control of such nations: China needs a clear sea path to the middle east, Africa, and Europe — which currently is obstructed by a plethora of inconvenient [to China] sovereign territories.

Will India Sit Still and Allow Neo-Imperial China to Encircle and Suffocate It?

India is a nuclear armed, highly populous nation on the economic and political ascendancy. It cannot allow itself to be subservient to China if it wants a meaningful future. The trajectory of China’s movements leads directly toward a nuclear confrontation with India. If China moves quickly, it hopes to intimidate India with a “fait accompli” in the region. But any complication which threatens to stall the dragon’s momentum calls China’s entire “One Yellow Brick Road” (OYBR) fantasy long-shot enterprise into question.

Both China and India are capable of building impressive high tech engines of advanced mass destruction. And both nations have displayed a rather casual attitude toward the possible loss of hundreds of millions of their citizens, in the cause of political advancement or survival. Easy come, easy go.

Sri Lanka is One Possible Flash Point

China represents an existential threat to all of East Asia, Southeast Asia, South Asia, and much of Russia. As such it is likely to earn a close look from newly elected Russian sympathiser Donald Trump — someone who has expressed antagonistic sentiments toward China on more than one occasion.

But Trump also comes across as something of an isolationist who would be extremely reluctant to go to war for the sake of foreign alliances. He is not likely to go to war with China in order to save Russia from territorial poaching, for example. But if China does continue to isolate itself through its blatant economic and military neoimperialism, the balance of global sentiment may support near unanimous pressure on China of a somewhat prejudicial nature. In the case of universal condemnation of China, Trump may sign off on limited and clearly defined joint action, so long as costs were widely shared between several other significant nations of influence.

Trump Has Other Priorities

In the earliest stages of his presidency, Trump intends to demonstrate the seriousness and potency of his desire to benefit “the forgotten man” who has been left behind by corrupt administrations of the past. Such domestic intent takes priority over any questionable and complicated efforts to discipline bad overseas actors such as Xi’s China.

Once progress is demonstrated on the domestic front, it is likely that US administration viewpoints will begin to coalesce in unexpected ways around challenges of a foreign nature.

If the US Takes a True Isolationist Approach, Multiple Wars are Likely

Southeast Asian Theatre of War http://zeihan.com/the-absent-superpower-maps/

Southeast Asian Theatre of War
http://zeihan.com/the-absent-superpower-maps/

China, Russia, and the Islamic nations are likely to take advantage of any pullback from the worldstage by an “Absent Superpower.”

More:

The part of the world population that has been productive and inventive for so long is suddenly shriveling away, leaving most of the world field to Africa, China, and India. Is this right?:

now we’ve come to “the future” where there are fewer of us to service the debt, buy homes, buy cars, consume our way to prosperity…or pay the taxes to keep the social systems solvent. Basically, we are doing our best Wile E. Coyote impression…we’ve gone over the cliff but somehow haven’t realized it quite yet.

In Peter Zeihan’s two books, The Accidental Superpower and the recent release The Absent Superpower, the 50 tonne gorilla in the room that is being ignored by international media is thoroughly discussed.

The demographic and geopolitical shift taking place behind the scenes should be on the lips and minds of any thinking person — but the world media pretends it isn’t happening. Fake news keeps the rubes occupied.

Hope for the best, prepare for the worst. You had best learn to become very dangerous, very quickly.

More:

Robert D. Kaplan on The Only Maritime Power

World’s Eight “Great” Powers of 2017

Without the US for ballast and stability, Asia lies naked before the Chinese marauder. Even an Eastern/Central Europe & MiddleEast – marauding Russia — due to its irrevocably worsening economic and demographic crises — needs the silent, invisible presence of the US as protection from China.

China is the most corrupt:

China Takes the Corruption Cake Source

China Takes the Corruption Cake
Source

China’s debt balloons ominously

Interesting times, Chairman Mao, interesting times. 😉

Posted in China, Economics, Empire | Tagged ,

Rolling Up the Sleeves and Getting to Work

Defunding the Obama Death Wish


Most of Barack Obama’s philosophy might have been summed up in a short sentence: The man had a death wish for America. And no wonder: Indoctrinated from childhood by a radical leftist mother and a father figure who was a member of the Communist Party USA, young Obama never had a chance to develop substantive ideas of his own separate from the pre-fab radical implants placed in his head from the earliest age.

The Trump Administration Has Its Work Cut Out For It

To repair the devastating legacy of the Obama administration — much of it still in operation due to the “flywheel” nature of bad government policy — will be a complex and exhausting task. It will require constant effort, 24/7, 365+ days a year for as long as possible.

Much of the job can be done via defunding of bad policy and by canceling as many of Obama’s executive orders as needed. But new orders must be given and new legislation must be written, passed, and signed. Federal judges who follow the US Constitution must be installed, and bureaucrats who work to sabotage the legitimate work of the US government must be ferreted out and disposed of.

In the future, many plans will come into the public eye, which aim to repair much of the damage caused by the vandal who previously occupied the oval office. Below is one example:


More here

When it comes to long-lasting government policies, the devil is in the details. If you get the details wrong — as in Obamacare — the results can be long-lasting confusion and devastation. In the Trump administration, most of the cabinet officials will be persons with a record of success inside and outside of government. This is in contrast to the ideologues, yes-men, and saboteurs who infested the Obama administration. The difference in approach should be clear within several months to a year, as the new grown-up administration pushes through the obstructionism placed in its path by the reactionary left in government, media, academia, think-tanks, foundations, and other largely dysfunctional cultural institutions.

Defunding Bad Policy, Canceling Bad Regulations, Re-writing Bad Law

You get more of what you subsidise and less of what you tax. For the past 28 years, US Presidents along with Congress have been subsidising failure and taxing success. That approach must be struck down as harshly and thoroughly as necessary. Tax policy toward individuals, small business, corporations, foundations, universities, political lobbies, Hollywood, news media, and other influential — and sometimes destructive — institutions needs overhauling.

The Left Has Thrown Nonstop Temper Tantrums Since the Election

The left will soon learn that there is a price to be paid when they operate on “maximum outrage” over every insignificant event in question. The public eventually turns them off, allowing the enemies of the left to pretty much act as they wish without having to worry about any outrage where it counts — in the public mind. “Outrage exhaustion” sets in, leading to a general apathy toward anything the left in media, academia, bureaucracy, foundations, think-tanks, and activist groups may say.

The climate apocalypse cult, for example, is likely to be one of the first victims of a more rational approach to budgeting and energy policy. The green energy scam has cost US taxpayers tens to hundreds of billions of dollars — and counting — thanks to the Obama administrations perverse insistence on funding unreliable, intermittent, exorbitantly expensive forms of erratic and low-quality energy production.

Obama’s commitment to the international climate cult of pseudo-science is set to cost the US into the $trillions, if it were actually carried through — to say nothing of the millions of jobs and entire sectors of industry that would be lost under the cult’s plans and policies.

The left will not allow these boondoggles and corrupt windfalls to be eliminated without hysteria, but then, no one expects the left to have a brain after all they have shown us up until now.

Saving the Nation Will Go a Long Way Toward Saving the World

An economic resurgence by the US will help boost overseas economies. But the hope of a new age in American political reform goes far beyond mere economics.

When the US saved Europe from itself in WWI and WWII, and then saved Europe from the Soviet Union in the cold war, much of the motivation came from the largely British origins of US law traditions and other institutions, and a strong immigrant connection between the old world and the new world.

In the 21st century, the turning away of the US from leftist death-wish policies can act as a positive beacon and example for Europe and other parts of the world that may have fallen into the suicidal leftist quagmire.

Hope for the Best; Prepare for the Worst

There are no guarantees in this life. If the leftist elite can do anything to make life more miserable for ordinary people, it will do so with delight. Do not count on anyone but yourself. The only way in which you can trust persons of power, is to trust them to follow what they see as their own interests. Try to anticipate what that may entail, so that you can take action accordingly.

Bonus Pictorial Section: Gender Differences When Marching Against Fascism

Men March Against Fascism

Men March Against Fascism Image Source

Men March Against Fascism
Image Source

Women March Against Fascism

Women March Against "Fascism" Image Source

Women March Against “Fascism”
Image Source

Not only are men more serious about their march against fascism — many of the men pictured died that day — but the fascism that men are marching against is genuine fascism. The women are taking a dress-up playtime holiday, in true girly fashion. The women’s march against pseudo-fascism may have set feminism back decades, in the minds of anyone with a working brain.

Posted in Donald Trump, Obama, Politics | Tagged

Revealing the Family of President Trump

Image:  Reuters Brendan McDermid

Image: Reuters Brendan McDermid via BI

Despite rumours to the contrary, Donald Trump is not Amish, not Mormon, not Jewish — but hey, nobody’s perfect! President Trump has done well under the circumstances, and if it required 3 wives to produce an amazing group of children and grandchildren, no one should begrudge the man his choices. So far, he is doing well.

Donald Trump’s Children

Image: GETTY via Cosmo

Image: GETTY via Cosmo

Trump’s oldest three children: Donald Jr., Ivanka, and Eric, were birthed by first wife Ivana, from Czechoslovakia. These three are powerhouses, with Ivanka shining the brightest up to now. They may have been devastated by the breakup of the marriage of their mother and father while they were still children, but they have bounced back with aplomb and verve. By all accounts these first three are becoming masters of the deal and behind the scenes adepts in the use of the flows of power.


Donald Jr. and his wife have five children already, making Donald Jr. a very prolific father indeed, taking after his father but at a faster rate and with a more stable family situation.


35 year old Ivanka has three children of her own with real estate developer and publisher Jared Kushner. As far as I know, she is the only one of the Trump progeny to choose the Jewish religion. She and her husband are in line for important advisory positions within the incoming Trump administration.

33 yo Eric Trump occupies important roles in the Trump family business empire.

He and his siblings are credited with the creation and management of the Trump Hotel Collection properties.[citation needed] Trump’s current management portfolio of global hotels includes Las Vegas, Chicago, New York, Toronto, Panama, Waikiki, Punta del Este, Washington D.C., Vancouver, the Philippines, and Rio de Janeiro.[6] He also executed the acquisition of the Kluge Winery and Vineyard in Charlottesville, Virginia, resulting in the creation of Trump Winery.[citation needed] In 2013, Trump earned Wine Enthusiast Magazine’s “Rising Star of the Year” Award.[7] __ Wikipedia Eric Trump

Tiffany is the fourth child, daughter of actress Marla Maples. She is the only one of the five to be raised away from New York (in California) by her mother without significant input from her father. She graduated from U. Penn. like Donald Jr. and Ivanka, has some talent for singing and acting, is taking the LSAT, and hangs out with other rich kids. In other words, 22 yo Tiffany is still a somewhat amorphous work in progress, and very much her mother’s daughter.

Unlike her half-siblings, Tiffany didn’t grow up playing in her father’s office — nor did she spend her summers helping him fix up the grounds of Seven Springs. Tiffany was raised by her mother, Marla Maples, outside of Los Angeles. There, she attended Calabasas’ Viewpoint School, where tuition is more than $30,000. __ BI

10 year old Barron is the baby of the family, but a baby who is being groomed to be comfortable with wielding power. He already likes wearing formal suits, and playing golf.

The baby Trump, Barron William, is the only child of Donald and his current wife, Melania Trump (née Knauss), a(nother) model from Yugoslavia. Like his mom, Barron is fluent in Slovene. According to ABC, Barron has the nickname Mini-Donald because he likes to wear a lot of suits and ties, and will occasionally go golfing with his dad at their estate in Mar-a-Lago. After finishing this semester of school in New York, he will reportedly move to the White House with his mother. __ Source

All in all, an interesting family that is likely to come more into the public eye over the next few years, at least. Clearly, whenever Donald Trump was allowed to have an impact on his children’s upbringing, he tended to have a beneficial effect as a father. This is not always the case with wealthy fathers or celebrity fathers, who often tend to be far too self-absorbed and distracted to be of any use as a mentor or caregiver.

Posted in Donald Trump, Politics | Tagged | 1 Comment

To Kill Zombies, Bring a Sharp Axe

Bringing the War to the Zombie’s Home Nest

Zombies have felt safe in Washington DC for almost three decades now. But all that is about to change. The only thing that DC Zombies understand is the sharp blade that cuts deep and hard.

Donald Trump is ready to take an ax to government spending… The departments of Commerce and Energy would see major reductions in funding, with programs under their jurisdiction either being eliminated or transferred to other agencies. The departments of Transportation, Justice and State would see significant cuts and program eliminations.

The Corporation for Public Broadcasting would be privatized, while the National Endowment for the Arts and National Endowment for the Humanities would be eliminated entirely.

Overall, the blueprint being used by Trump’s team would reduce federal spending by $10.5 trillion over 10 years… The administration’s full budget, including appropriations language, supplementary materials and long-term analysis, is expected to be released toward the end of Trump’s first 100 days in office, or by mid- to late April. __ The Hill

New Department Heads Will Learn to Work with Smaller Budgets

But Trump’s cabinet picks come largely from the successful private sector, where smaller government agencies are viewed as a good thing. Most cabinet members under Trump will cheerfully pick up axes themselves, and set about killing the DC Zombies with zest and glee. But they must learn to be completely ruthless in their duties, and not hold anything back.

Getting Rid of the Zombies Will Not be Quick or Easy

[DC Zombies] have their own interests. They’ll want to keep their jobs, above all, and they’ll be aligned to the kinds of policies that make their jobs more secure. [Zombies love the big government] that employs them and will seek to subvert an administration that threatens them. __ Threatening the Deep Zombie State

Killing Zombies: The Only Way to a Better World?

For the past 28 years, DC Zombies have made it their lives’ work to create misery and hardship inside the US and around the world. Cleaning out a zombie nest like DC is a violent job, but it is a job that must be done periodically, or the entire world suffers.

Somehow we have survived as a nation for the last eight years, but without a doubt a massive amount of damage has been done.

Many are hoping that Donald Trump will be able to start repairing that damage and will work hard to set this nation on a positive course once again. __ Sometimes Only a Zombie-Killer Will Do

Don’t Expect Too Much Too Soon

Changing from a DC Zombie government to a more rational government will take time, and require the killing of many Zombies. Trimming bloated government agencies and rejuvenating the American economy and American businesses will be a good beginning. But the rot of the corrupt DC Zombie oppression runs deep, and its vile consequences reverberate joltingly throughout US society, after 28 years of virtually unrestrained parasitism. Hunting down the Zombies and putting them down will be a full-time job for a veritable army of zombie hutter-killers.

If devoting your life to creating a better world through the killing of the Zombies-of-destruction appeals to your better instincts, consider applying to the crack corps of Zombie-killers. Wisconsin governor Scott Walker has been running a successful, but subdued, campaign against Wisconsin Zombies for a number of years. There is much to be learned from this and other successful anti-Zombie campaigns on different levels of government.

Meanwhile, There is Much Keen Work to be Done

Trump’s chief zombie killers

Each zombie-killing warlord will need to bring his best plans and most bloodthirsty intent to the war against DC Zombies. This will be a fight like no other, since not since Rome has a once-great nation alowed itself to degrade to such a state through top-down parasitic infestation.

Plans for serious Zombie killing from the start

 

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood.

More: Warren Buffett Tries to Put Distance between himself and the DC Zombie nest.

George Soros goes full-bore Zombie.

Soros has already lost $1 billion betting on Trump to fail, all accomplished prior to the inauguration of the new president. How much more will the old chap throw away trying to guarantee failure for the Trump goal to “make America great again?” Beware the bitter billionaire Zombie Soros, and his dystopian vision.

Soros financed at least 56 “partners” who produced the staged radical feminist march on Washington

Tom Steyer wants to be top Zombie.

Special Note: Zombies are mythical creatures incorporating cannibalism, parasitism, existential contagion, unthinking violence, horde behaviour, degradation leading to utter breakdowns of human societies, and other characteristics typical of the modern left in western societies. There have always been elements of dark comedy, latent sexuality, and bad habits, smells, and repulsive sights revolving about the zombie phenomenon. Those are a few reasons why the zombie ambience matches today’s leftist zeitgeist so well, in media, academia, bureaucracy, political activism, faux environmental cults, and the rest of the decadent flight from thought and meaningful invention.

Trump is something new in Washington, something radically different from the decades-old regime of corrupt rent-seeking and place-holding. Smart people would be willing to watch and see how things develop. As for zombie insiders, it may be too late to expect them to change their ways. Honing the axe to a sharp edge may be the only way.

Posted in Draining the Swamp, Government | Tagged , ,

Innovation, Productivity, and Enterprise: Wealth of Nations

Innovation Leads to Greater Productivity and Wealth

Both innovation in new products and innovation in new processes tend to contribute to higher productivity for both individual firms — large and small — and for nations. “Disruptive innovation” contributes more than “sustaining innovation” assuming the innovating party is capable of exploiting the innovation in timely fashion.

World’s Most Innovative Countries

2016 TOP 10
1. Switzerland
2. Sweden
3. United Kingdom
4. United States
5. Finland
6. Singapore
7. Ireland
8. Denmark
9. Netherlands
10. Germany

Government policy, strong R&D spending and coordination characterise groupings such as HBP and EUREKA. These factors also make countries more innovative. Switzerland yet again tops this year’s Global Innovation Index (GII), ahead of seven other European countries in the top 10, Singapore (ranked 6th) and the U.S. (4th). Switzerland and its peers got top marks across major pillars of our index, such as the strength of institutions, infrastructure, human capital and research and market sophistication.

… The index, a collaboration in itself between INSEAD, Cornell University and the World Intellectual Property Organisation (WIPO), finds that investments in R&D and innovation are central to economic growth; helping developed countries reinvent themselves in times of economic decline and emerging countries answer their societies’ growing needs. __ http://knowledge.insead.edu/entrepreneurship/the-worlds-most-innovative-countries-2016-4864

There are many ways to measure both innovation and productivity. Nations of Europe and the Anglosphere tend to stay near the top of such rankings, year after year. Here is a graphic assessment of science and innovation by nation:

In scientific innovation, a few East Asian nations such as South Korea and Japan rank well in comparison with European and Anglospheric nations. Russia does very poorly in innovation, however, suggesting that future Russian productivity is likely to fall.

World’s Most Productive Countries

Productivity is calculated by dividing each country’s GDP by the average number of hours worked annually by all employed citizens. Hours worked include full-time and part-time workers, excluding holidays and vacation time. __ Time

Most Productive Countries, 2015
Rank Country GDP per hour worked Employed Population GDP (USD) Average work week (hrs)
1 Luxembourg $ 93.4 405,600 $57b 29
2 Ireland $ 87.3 1,989,400 $302b 33.5
3 Norway $ 81.3 2,753,000 $318b 27.3
4 Belgium $ 69.7 4,601,200 $498b 29.8
5 United States $ 68.3 151,000,000 $18,037b 33.6
6 Denmark $ 67.6 2,829,000 $270b 27.2
7 France $ 65.6 27,523,000 $2,648b 28.2
8 Germany $ 65.5 43,057,000 $3,857b 26.3
9 Netherlands $ 65.4 8,792,000 $818b 27.4
10 Switzerland $ 64.2 4,962,600 $506b 30.6
11 Austria $ 60.2 4,290,700 $415b 30.9
12 Sweden $ 59.1 4,809,700 $458b 31
13 Finland $ 54.8 2,497,400 $225b 31.6
14 Australia $ 54.6 11,860,000 $1,101b 32.7
15 United Kingdom $ 52.1 31,293,000 $2,701b 31.9
16 Italy $ 51.9 24,476,100 $2,191b 33.1
17 Spain $ 51 18,490,800 $1,594b 32.5
18 Canada $ 50.9 18,285,700 $1,589b 32.8
19 Iceland $ 45.1 183,700 $16b 36.1
20 Japan $ 41.9 65,801,200 $4,741b 33.1
21 New Zealand $ 40.9 2,360,600 $170b 33.8
22 Slovenia $ 40.4 941,500 $64b 32.5
23 Israel $ 40.3 3,947,100 $300b 36.3
24 Slovak Republic $ 39.7 2,267,100 $158b 33.7
25 Czech Republic $ 38 5,179,700 $346b 33.8
26 Portugal $ 35.4 4,575,800 $303b 35.9
27 Greece $ 35.3 4,019,800 $288b 39.1
28 Hungary $ 33.5 4,327,500 $254b 33.6
29 Lithuania $ 32.6 1,334,700 $81b 35.8
30 Korea $ 31.9 25,936,300 $1,749b 40.7
31 Estonia $ 31.6 622,900 $36b 35.6
32 Latvia $ 28.3 887,900 $48b 36.7
33 Chile $ 25.9 7,802,200 $402b 38.2
34 Russia $ 25.1 72,187,700 $3,580b 38
35 Mexico $ 20.3 50,262,900 $2,188b 41.2
Source: OECD

Source: Time

The US is Not at the Top of Either List

The US is not ranked highest in either innovation or productivity, based upon most of the popular methods and indexes. But the US ranks near the top on all such serious rankings. Given the size of the US economy, and the ability of the US to attract top international talent, staying near the top in the various rankings of innovation and productivity is all that is needed to maintain competitiveness.

Entrepreneurship is a Crucial Ingredient of National Success

Enterprise is a crucial engine of economic growth. Without enterprise and entrepreneurs, there would be little innovation, little productivity growth, and few new jobs.

Entrepreneurial success does not take place in a vacuum. Entrepreneurs exist in the context of their particular geography – be that their local, national, or even supranational economy and society.

This mix of attitudes, resources, and infrastructure is known as the entrepreneurship ‘ecosystem’. The Global Entrepreneurship Index is an annual index that measures the health of the entrepreneurship ecosystems in each of 137 countries. It then ranks the performance of these against each other. This provides a picture of how each country performs in both the domestic and international context.

The GEDI methodology collects data on the entrepreneurial attitudes, abilities and aspirations of the local population and then weights these against the prevailing social and economic ‘infrastructure’ – this includes aspects such as broadband connectivity and the transport links to external markets. This process creates 14 ‘pillars’ which GEDI uses to measure the health of the regional ecosystem. __ Global Entrepreneurship and Development Index

2017 Global Entrepreneurship Index rankings

Showing 1 to 10 of 138 entries

Table Source

Adding Entrepreneurship to the Mix Helps Explain National Economic Achievement

For the particular entrepreneurial index shown above, the US ranks at the top of the list. But again, given the overall size of the US economy, ranking near the top would be good enough. It is not surprising that one must drop down the list to number 48 to find China, and to number 72 to find Russia. Both Russia’s and China’s national economies are highly corrupt, and distrustful of strong enterprises that arise outside of the total control of government.

The amount of economic freedom allowed within a nation combined with the average strength of pre-frontal executive functions — a highly heritable trait — will help one to predict innovation, productivity, and entrepreneurial strength of a nation.

Looking at National Corruption and Average Population IQ Further Clarifies the Picture

Transparency International Corruption Map 2015

Transparency International
Corruption Map 2015

Of course we expect to see different levels of corruption within different regions of the same nation. In US cities such as Chicago, Detroit, Washington D.C., Baltimore, Birmingham (Alabama), etc. levels of corruption probably approach those of nations such as Russia or Zimbabwe. Fortunately for the US, most legal jurisdictions at all levels have much less corruption, making the ease of doing business greater than in most of the third world.

Global IQ by National Average IQ Scores

Global IQ by National Average IQ Scores


The US national average IQ is only 98, but the nation has a significant “smart fraction” which does most of the heavy intellectual lifting for the rest, in terms of high end innovation and entrepreneurship. The smart fraction is also largely responsible for developing and providing the technological tools of production that make average workers more productive.

Innovation, Productivity, and Entrepreneurship Should All Be High

In an optimally competitive economy, innovators and entrepreneurs would work together to create high levels of productivity overall. Governments would ideally provide protection against fraud and violence, a stable monetary system, and avoid disincentives (taxes, excess torts, and regulations) that unduly restrict opportunity and business risk-taking.

In many areas, the US performs far below optimal levels, largely thanks to dysfunctional government policies. Obama played a huge role in making the US less friendly to small business and startups, but administrations going all the way back to Woodrow Wilson share much of the blame. If Trump is serious about “draining the swamp” of Washington, D.C., he has his work cut out for him.

Remember:

According to the pioneering work of Nobel Prize winner Robert Solow, technological innovation is the ultimate source of productivity and growth. It’s the only proven way for economies to consistently get ahead — especially innovation born by startup companies. Recent Census Bureau data show that most of the net employment gains in the United States between 1980 and 2005 came from firms younger than five years old. Without startups, the average annual net employment growth rate would actually have been negative.

Economist Carl Schramm, president of the Kauffman Foundation, which analyzes entrepreneurial economics, told us that “for the United States to survive and continue its economic leadership in the world, we must see entrepreneurship as our central comparative advantage. Nothing else can give us the necessary leverage.

__ Start-Up Nation from Introduction

More Reading: The 2017 INSEAD Global Talent Competitiveness Index (Talent and Technology) 359 pp PDF An excerpt:

As rich countries become more self-sufficient with robots and automation, many emerging countries are losing their main source of competitive advantage—namely cheap labour for manufacturing operations and call centres. Even China will be losing more jobs to automation than to competition from cheaper countries. __ Chapter 1

More on the simplicity of basic prosperity under wise government policy-makers:

Prosperity = Abundant Work + Low Cost of Living

This may seem obvious, but the conditions required for work to be abundant and the cost of living to be low are not so obvious. For work to be abundant:

It must be easy to start a business.
It must be easy to operate the new business.
It must be easy to make a profit so the business can survive the first few years and,
It must be easy to hire employees.

All these factors require an environment of low-cost compliance with regulations, low tax rates, low costs of transactions, reasonable transport costs, reasonable cost of money (but not near-zero), reasonable availability of capital for small enterprises, local and national governments that actively seek to smooth the path of new enterprises and existing enterprises seeking to expand, and a transparent marketplace that isn’t dominated by politically dominant cartels and subservient-to-cartels government agencies. __ MisesWire

Under wise and minimal government economic policies, investors and entrepreneurs work with inventors and other innovators to bring about both sustaining and disruptive innovations of all kinds — which quickly propagate across markets from pole to pole. Intellectual property rights, patents, contract law, reasonable constraints on tort suits and punishment for filing frivolous suits, all contribute to a sober and more productive climate for innovation — along with low taxes, minimal regulations, low to nonexistent levels of corruption, a stable and flexible monetary system, and populations with high average IQ and EF. The market will facilitate the rest.

A populist government may attempt to short-circuit market forces with a “Universal Basic Income,” but the market fallout from such an intervention would be dire — similar to the effect of an arbitrarily high government mandated “minimum wage.” Markets always have the final say, as one might surmise from a deep understanding of the bloody purges that animated and defined the French, Bolshevik, and Cuban revolutions — and the disastrous economic fallout that humbled all such bloody revolutions born of desperate folly.

Posted in Demographics, Economics, Europe, innovation, Technology, Wealth of Nations | Tagged

China: One Yellow Brick Road Falling Behind Schedule

Once Referred to as the “One Belt One Road” (OBOR) Plan; Now More Properly Called the One Yellow Brick Road (OYBR) Plan

Image Source

Image Source
From the Emerald City to the Hinterlands

One Yellow Brick Road (OYBR) Lost in the Poppyfields

More than three years after Xi’s unveiling of the policy, [OYBR] remains ill-defined and underfunded, and faces an uphill battle against many constraints like geography, Eurasian instability and current trade patterns.

__ Geopolitical Futures

Beijing’s bold new fantasy trade route is expected to cost more than $6 trillion over the next ten to fifteen years. As if China’s debt conundrum were not hopeless enough, along comes the One Yellow Brick Road to catapult China debt futures into the surreal. And initial expenditures are just the beginning. Costs for this project will likely come to resemble a bottomless pit before long.

The latest rail link between Beijing and London joins 38 lines already connecting about 30 cities in China and Europe…

… The dozens of existing rail links are not actually inter-connected at the moment. The rail systems in Kazakhstan, Russia, and Belarus use a wide gauge of 1.52 meters, a Soviet legacy, while the Chinese and European systems use a standard gauge of 1.435 m. That means that rail cargo has to be transferred between trains whenever crossing between the two regions of gauges, which occurs at least twice during the journey. Transferring cargo increases travel time and encourages the use of freight in standard containers, rather than bulky cargo such as crops.

… Unlike the high seas, rail lines are located in foreign sovereign terrains beyond Beijing’s jurisdiction, and the risk of disruption is also considerable. If any political turmoil occurs in a country along the rail routes (a not-improbable scenario in Central Asia), or even if a country simply sees souring relations with China, the rail links could be affected or cut. __ The Diplomat

China’s attempts to create an economic utopia in the middle of an impoverished dead zone is admirable, although not particularly realistic.

One Yellow Brick Road A Mirage of Gold and Emeralds

Eurasia is not the pivot of the world as it was when the ancient Silk Road was a vibrant and flourishing trade route. Today, most global trade happens by sea, which is the U.S.’ domain, and [OYBR] will not change that. [OYBR] as currently imagined, funded and directed by China is theoretically seductive, but when you examine the boring yet crucial facts of where the money will come from, who will oversee the overall scope of the project, who will buy Chinese steel shipped overland and why [OYBR] would make countries want to spend more to ship goods across unstable areas, it becomes clear that [OYBR] is more mirage at this point than game-changer.
__ https://geopoliticalfutures.com/one-belt-one-road-no-dice/

China Out On a Long, Thin, Limb

A Stronger US Dollar and Economy Becoming a Threat to Imperial China

At the end of 2016, the US dollar started rising, the yuan started weakening, and people started to quickly take money out of the country to keep their savings from losing value.

Now “we are in uncharted territory,” Charlene Chu, a famed China analyst at Autonomous Research, wrote in a recent note titled “The war on outflows.”

We are now seeing that as the US gradually ends its postcrisis monetary easing program, China will be forced, in some measure, to do so as well. In many ways, though, the country is not ready.
__ Strong Dollar Rocks China Back

China is not ready? That is putting it mildly. In truth,  China’s economic position is precarious. If the US industrial and manufacturing economy does rebound under new US President Trump, China’s economy will be under multiple threats — and not only to its currency.

If, for example, China continues to insist on maintaining its current unbalanced trade policies and tariffs toward US products, China will be the ultimate loser as the US chooses to import less from China and more from Latin America and other parts of Asia. The Trump administration is more likely to maintain a “tit for tat” policy on China trade, than previous presidents were willing to do.

Most of China’s Recent “Growth” Has Been Built On Bad Debt

When a growing proportion of new loans goes toward paying the interest on old loans, you know that an economic system is in trouble. This is the picture we are seeing in China, as the struggle to prop up failing State Owned Enterprises (SOEs) takes the Chinese economy closer to the tipping point. Lacking the economic checks and balances provided by a market economy, the state-dominated economic system of China has been a master of misallocation, overproduction, corrupt graft, and fantasy economic statistics.

Increasingly, economists think China will look like a poorer Japan, declining into drudgery in unexpected ways to ease its transition into a painfully slow-growing economy. __ BI

Some observers believe that China is barreling toward an economic crisis. Should that be the case, it is not unrealistic to expect China to adopt an increasingly war-like footing — up to the point where it may become impossible to prevent regional war, if not something much worse.

China’s Exports Already Falling; Trump Could Make Things Much Worse

China’s leadership has been acting “the tough guy” over the China Seas, Taiwan, and several other international issues. But China’s economic foundations — income from exports to Europe and North America and technology transfer from North America and Europe — are being threatened by China’s own belligerence and thieving ways. China behaves as if it has control of its own destiny, but that is far from being the case in reality.

In a trade war, China has much more to lose than does the US. Global markets belong to buyers, and the US is a buyer — China is predominately a seller. If the US and North America choose “retrenchment” under the Trump policy, China will be unable to find replacement markets for its products.

US Suddenly in the Market for New Suppliers to Replace China?

US Suddenly in the Market for New Suppliers to Replace China?

The US can find new suppliers far easier than China can find new buyers, in today’s markets. Mexico is becoming an excellent replacement location for manufacturers who wish to leave China, for example.

At this point the Chinese dependence on the United States is substantially greater than the reverse. In addition, the United States has a strategic advantage over China, demonstrated by Trump’s willingness to disregard the One China concept. The United States currently has the economic and strategic advantage to negotiate a new relationship with China, and to compel that negotiation. __ George Friedman

The issue is far more complex than presented here, with strong overtones of shadow banking, bad debts, a bubble/pyramid economic scheme, a deadly toxic environment, shrinking exports, growing economic crisis in Europe — an important export market for China, a covert but costly effort to encircle and control Russia, and much more. If the US chooses to pull back from China economically even more quickly than has been done, all of China’s pre-existing problems will be magnified. On top of all that, China’s rapid shrinkage in the size of its work force and youth cohort casts a shadow over all proposed grandiose plans for expansion.

Seen in this context, China’s loud proclamations about its “One Yellow Brick Road” plan can be seen as more than a little fantastical, much like the fictional series of books that made the Emerald City famous a hundred years ago.

A Note to President-Elect Trump

The US economy will benefit far more from incentive boosts to business startups and entrepreneurship than by attempting to recreate the “rust belt economy of old.”

According to the pioneering work of Nobel Prize winner Robert Solow, technological innovation is the ultimate source of productivity and growth. It’s the only proven way for economies to consistently get ahead — especially innovation born by startup companies. Recent Census Bureau data show that most of the net employment gains in the United States between 1980 and 2005 came from firms younger than five years old. Without startups, the average annual net employment growth rate would actually have been negative.

Economist Carl Schramm, president of the Kauffman Foundation, which analyzes entrepreneurial economics, told us that “for the United States to survive and continue its economic leadership in the world, we must see entrepreneurship as our central comparative advantage. Nothing else can give us the necessary leverage.

__ Start-Up Nation from Introduction

It has long been known that job creation is best accomplished via disruptive innovation and creative destruction that comes from smart economic policies, such as tax policies that favour investment in startups and small business, as well as policies that reduce taxes and expenses for industries that locate within a certain jurisdiction.

Threatening to apply 35% tariffs to foreign manufacturers who build products in Mexico is a tactic, which may be effective in the short term. It is certainly the case that large European and East Asian manufacturers are perplexed over what they can expect from the Trump trade team once it is in place. But “crying Wolf!” too many times can accentuate a pre-existing clownish aspect, which may not help one’s negotiating positions down the road.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood.

Before 2008, China’s rapid economic rise was based upon cheap labour, technology transfer, and massive export income from trade with Europe and North America. But that was then. This is now.

Since 2008, China has increasingly built its economy upon bubbles built on bubbles. The Ponzi pyramid scheme that is today’s China economy can only lead to war. Try to insulate yourself from that likely event as best you can.

 

More on China’s problems financing the One Yellow Brick Road

Measured in US dollars, the gap between America and China’s gross domestic product must have widened significantly in 2016 given a nearly 7 per cent fall in the value of the yuan against the greenback. In addition to currency weakness, funds have been fleeing China due to the country’s slowing growth, elevated debt loads, property bubbles and choking air pollution…

China’s economic success in the past few decades was based upon “integrating itself into the global system and cooperating with the US”, said Scott Kennedy, director of the Project on Chinese Business and Political Economy at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington-based think tank.

“Trump’s threats and the possibility of de-linking from the international system … could bring a lot of worries for [Beijing],” Kennedy said. __ South China Morning Post

Posted in China, Economics | Tagged , , | 4 Comments

Confidence, Oil, Sperm to Surge Under Trump

Surging Confidence by Consumers, Small Business, and Big Business

The change in US presidential administration seems to be signalling a significant boost in confidence toward the future at all levels of the productive sectors of the economy.

Consumer Confidence Surges Most in Ten Years

The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index, a leading national poll on consumer confidence, has reached its highest level since November 2006. It gained 0.8 points, or 1.5%, in January, posting a reading of 55.6, versus 54.8 in December 2016. __ Yahoo Finance

Small Business Confidence Surges Most Since 1980

Optimism among America’s small businesses soared in December by the most since 1980 as expectations about the economy’s prospects improved dramatically in the aftermath of the presidential election.

The National Federation of Independent Business’s index jumped 7.4 points last month to 105.8, the highest since the end of 2004, from 98.4. While seven of the 10 components increased in December, 73 percent of the monthly advance was due to more upbeat views about the outlook for sales and the economy, the Washington-based group said. __ Bloomberg

Big US Business Gung-ho on Prospects of Better Opportunities

“Business is optimistic because we see a once-in-a-generation opportunity to enact major reforms that could transform the American economy from a low-growth to a high-growth economy,” Donohue said in a largely buoyant address. __ Marketwatch

Peter Thiel’s clear vision

Prospects for North American Hydrocarbon Industries Surge

New Oil Drilling Techniques Signal New Surge in Oil Production

North American oil production is beginning to surge on the back of more efficient technologies and higher market prices for product.

In some cases, the amount of oil produced per dollar spent on drilling is going to more than double. There are significant chunks of the petroleum-producing parts of the United States where $40 oil will not be a barrier to drilling and new production.

Eventually—in a few years—these techniques will begin to show up in wells around the world, and there will be an explosion of oil. Even as many oilfields dry up, there will be new fields developed from previously unprofitable sources. __ John Mauldin in Forbes

Natural gas sales are also likely to surge as a new US administration approves new pipelines and natural gas export terminals on the coasts. This will be good for both Canada and the US. Mexico will experience a benefit from new US policies as well, since blossoming Mexican industries will need an ever-growing quantity of US and Canadian natural gas to run the growing Mexican manufacturing and industrial sector.

Coal is likewise due to experience new growth, due to a relaxation of the unconstitutional overreach of Obama’s rogue EPA. Far from being an oxymoron, “clean coal” will provide a significant part of the bridge to an energy future based on advanced nuclear technologies.

Sperm to Surge Under a Trump Administration

A rising confidence in the male population will correlate with rising testosterone levels, higher sperm counts, and better quality of sperm.

Sperm quality has traditionally been associated with testosterone levels, where a high sperm count equals a high level of testosterone and vice versa. If the hypothesis that testosterone is a deciding factor for death rates holds true, it would make sense that high sperm quality equals a low death rate, according to Jensen. __ Based on Study by Dr. Tina Kold at U. Southern Denmark

And this will be good news for the women of America, since we know that high quality semen is a natural anti-depressant for women.

Until recently, scientists believed that its sole purpose was to nourish and protect sperm on their way to fertilization. But now it appears that semen spurs ovulation and makes women feel happier. That might explain why many women report increased interest in sex around the time of ovulation.

An attractive couple playing around on the beach

The chain of logic proceeds as follows: A rise in male confidence spurs a surge in testosterone, which leads to improvements in quality and quantity of male semen. This high quality semen induces better mood in the female population and leads to more efficient ovulation. The combination of improved mood and more efficient fertility leads to a natural boost in demographics.

More on benefits of semen to women

Surging Confidence, Energy Production, Sperm Production, and Fertility

It looks as if the election of President Trump may have several significant benefits to North American society, contrary to the doomsaying of the “spoiled child depravity contingent” of leftists in media, academia, Hollywood, foundations, and other parts of the dysfunctional loud mouth sectors of society. George Soros, for example, lost about $1 billion betting on catastrophe following the November 2016 US elections. Sore losers should learn when to abandon failed fantasies and rejoin reality — before they squander their entire lives’ work.

“This new administration hates weak, unproductive, socialist people and policies, and it admires strong, can-do, profit makers.”

Ray Dalio

Weak, unproductive socialists have been setting policy for decades now — despite what they may have called themselves in public. No wonder confidence has shrunk, fertility has declined, jobs have fled, and a destructive “Carter-style malaise” has settled over much of North America for so long. And now, we hope it is time for North America to emerge from this long-standing malaise into a more confident age of expansion and abundance.

More on the Trump effect

Posted in Economics, Energy, Sex | Tagged , ,

The Obama Legacy: Culture of Depravity

… Obama’s America, one in which white kids are beaten while the black kids cheer. __

Obama the Racist

A Depraved Racist Culture of Torture and Murder More

A Depraved Racist Culture of Torture and Murder
More

Obama is doing his best to leave behind “a world in flames” and a nation plagued by depravity. Domestically and overseas, the Obama legacy is one of decay, neglect, and decline.

Inside the US itself, Obama has given a green light to black activists who have fueled a coast to coast wave of ethnic extortion, racist black violence, and an ear-splitting whine of victimism that never stops. But despite the whines of victimhood, the black culture of violence and depravity takes its toll on the broader civilian infrastructure.

Blacks, in other words, committed 85% of the interracial crimes between blacks and whites, even though they are 13 percent of the population. This data accords with the last published report on interracial crime from the Bureau of Justice Statistics; the Bureau stopped publishing its table on interracial crime after 2008, the first year of the Obama presidency.

Channon Christian and Christopher Newsom Information on this gruesome crime

Channon Christian and Christopher Newsom
Information on this gruesome crime


Some portion of those black-on-white crimes may be driven by the same racial hostility that gives rise to urban flash mobs and the knockout game. As Dead Prez rapped: “We gonna order take out and when we see the driver/We gonna stick the 25 up in his face . . . White boy in the wrong place at the right time.” Even if the higher rate of black-on-white violence is simply a product of blacks’ higher rate of violence generally, that violent crime rate is another fact suppressed by the mainstream media whenever possible. __ http://www.city-journal.org/html/window-depraved-culture-14929.html

There was already an ongoing trend of violence and depravity; but Obama helped finance and encourage the racist depravity from his earliest days in office. His apparently intentional sabotage of domestic tranquility and international stability are widely known and acknowledged, and will be remembered far beyond his lifetime.

Under President Obama, many black folks think racial division has increased, not decreased. A family friend, who is a Democrat and an Obama supporter, recently curiously remarked, “I’ll be glad when Obama is out of office.” He said this not as an affront to President Obama, but as an acknowledgement that the state of racial affairs seems to have gotten worse under him. ___ Obama leaves US more racially divided than ever

Obama has been hiding things from the American public ever since he began thinking about entering the world of politics. His two autobiographies, “Dreams of My Father” and “The Audacity of Hope,” were massive undertakings of disinformation that would have done the KGB proud, had they been involved in the writing and dissemination of such misleading propaganda.

Throughout his eight years in office, Obama has continued his program of generalised disinformation and propaganda, and not simply for self-promotion as is common with most politicians. Obama has reigned over an administration of sabotage by disinformation and bad policy, in a deliberate effort to be destructive and disruptive. This should not have been a surprise to anyone who looked beneath the surface of the Obama facade.

Perhaps it is now too late to open a window into some of Obama’s real formative influences? Or, perhaps not, if one is curious enough about what might have spawned a US president who both hated and tried to destroy the international standing and domestic tranquility of his own country.

Obama destroys public records and archives to avoid massive embarassment

Obama is likely the worst US president ever to hold office for a full term or longer. His legacy is one of fragmentation, instability, violence, and hatred — most of which was unnecessary, had better leadership been present. But the American voters were hoodwinked, bamboozled, defrauded, and cheated by the man with abundant links to organised crime, violent Islamic interests, and bona fide card carrying communists. The huge mess that Obama leaves as his legacy is the result.

Depraved Black Culture Was Already There, But It Just Got Worse


By any measure, black African nations are corrupt, violent, underachieving, diseased, impoverished, and all around basket cases. Wherever the black African diaspora has traveled — from North America to the Caribbean to the UK to Central and South America — the violence, poverty, corruption, and lack of achievement has naturally followed.

It is more politically correct to refer to “a culture of depravity,” but in reality we know that cultures do not arise in a vacuum. Particularly cultures of violence, corruption, poverty, and dysfunction which arise wherever large proportions of black African peoples crop up. Clearly with such widespread, portable, and ubiquitous black dysfunction, an innate element is present.

Is it in the genes? That is a reasonable question, given the perpetual association between black African populations and dysfunction — wherever in the world they may go.

This culture of depravity is not going away. Particularly after having received eight years of high dose steroids and big money assistance from a US president bent on mischief (not to mention his rich friend Mr. Soros). In addition, a coterie of complicit media, academia, and abundant political lobbies and foundations have all thrown their hands in to boost racial antagonism, hatred, and violence. Thanks, Mr. President, for fanning the flames of depravity — just as you had always intended to do.

At this point the American people are only hoping for some help from a heretofore complicit federal government in the effort to drain the swamp that helped facilitate all the many nests of depravity that Obama promoted and defended.

Obama’s Farewell Shout

Posted in Blacks and crime, Obama | Tagged ,

Can the West Break its Addiction to the Corrupt Nanny State?

It Will Take Care of You and Keep You Safe


And it will take care of you. Just not in the ways you really need.

Big Government Stifles Opportunity and Destroys the Future

The fear of big government is near a record high in the US, despite the election of populist presidential candidate Donald Trump.

As businessman Donald Trump prepares to become the nation’s 45th president, Americans continue to express more concern about the threat big government poses to the U.S. than big business or big labor. Two in three Americans (67%) identify big government as the country’s biggest threat. That is below the record high of 72% in 2013 but still on the higher end of the range since the mid-1960s. __ Mish

Big Government Kills Opportunity Image Source

Big Government Kills Opportunity
Image Source

It is Rational to Fear and Distrust Big Government

Big government siphons capital and talent away from the innovative and productive sectors, and dumps these valuable resources into the stagnant quagmire of corrupt crony rent-seeking. This can only create a long-term decay from massive debt and a decline of demographic quality — which is exactly what the US has been seeing under the Bush-Clinton-Bush-Obama cabal.

… the public and the private sectors compete for the same financial and human capital. That is to say, they compete for the same pile of money and the same group of innovative [people]… When profits are relatively easy to make in government contract work, there are fewer innovators willing to spend their time and their capital developing the next new innovation that could revolutionize an entire industry. __ Brendan Miniter “Why We Grow” in Chapter 1 of “Unleashing the Economic Growth America Needs”

After many years of living under an overbearing nanny government system, populations become dependent — with many of their natural competencies atrophying and diminishing to mere vestiges. Eventually, these lifelong adolescents cannot live without the things big government supplies them. Their brains become vestigial organs — sucking on the government breast becomes one of the few skills and competencies that most university educated persons retain.

Terrorist attacks by muslims and racially motivated attacks by violent blacks become more frequent and almost impossible to fend off, as a general helplessness settles over the perpetual children of the cradle to grave nanny state.

And Then There Was Trump

Crony Corruption and Its Enemies Image Source

Crony Corruption and Its Enemies
Image Source

And now we have Trump. He was elected to drain the swamp. He may be our last hope to tip the Big Club over a cliff. __ Canadian Radical Press

Something unexpected happened on the way to the eternal US nanny state. A populist candidate was elected on promises of “draining the swamp” and “making America great again” — instead of the usual promises of cradle to grave government guaranteed benefits, protections, and special preferences (eg “affirmative action” etc.). It is true that many dependencies on government are retained or renamed, but judging by the nature of many of Trump’s picks for cabinet positions, some serious “swamp-draining” activities are being set in motion.

Don’t Trust the Government — Trump or No Trump

The government is not the country. A prosperous and innovative society must be composed of competent citizens, capable of designing, building, and maintaining new and better infrastructures of living. That is the only pathway to an expansive and abundant human future. Those competencies cannot be mass produced by schools — government or private. They must be grown in a milieu of rich experimental opportunity, in an environment that fosters mastery of self and the immediate environment. Grit, self-reliance, independent thought free from the politically correct group-mind, must all be cultivated.

A wise government can best help by providing safety from fraud and violence, safe property rights, a stable monetary system, a transparent rule of law, and the freedoms which allow families and individuals to devise their own lives and futures. The US Constitution with its Bill of Rights was an excellent starting point.

But a wise, non-intrusive, minimal government can only be a starting point. Beyond that, it is up to the people themselves to build an abundant and expansive human future.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. It is never too late (or early) to have a Dangerous Childhood.

Posted in Blacks and crime, Competence, Government, Islam's Bloody Borders | Tagged ,

Advanced Brain Training Helps Make Dangerous Children a Potent Force

The following article is adapted from recent postings on The Dangerous Child

On “Videogames” That Help Dangerous Children become more Dangerous

Adam Gazzaley’s (MD, PhD) talk on optimising the human mind using advanced tools of cognitive neuroscience begins at about 6:10 in the video above.

Dr. Adam Gazzaley’s lab at UCSF designs video games that are based upon real-time neurofeedback. The player’s brain reacts instantly to events in the game — and the game reacts to what is happening in the brain. Gazzaley describes this videogame neurofeedback learning process as a “closed loop system” (see image below).

Closed Loop System Adam Gazzaley UCSF

Closed Loop System
Adam Gazzaley UCSF

Much of the experimentation with these neurofeedback videogames has focused on combat-oriented training, being funded by the US Pentagon. But a moment’s reflection suggests that this “closed loop neurofeedback videogame” approach to brain training could be readily applied — with appropriate adaptation — to humans at almost any age, for multiple purposes of enhanced development, enhanced performance, rehabilitation after injury or disease, or for mitigation of the effects of ageing and neurodegeneration.

Gazzaley’s published efforts are so far still quite primitive, but the possibilities for the future are impressive on many fronts.

Modern societies have grown stagnant and corrupted by a widespread philosophy of rent-seeking, of minimising risk for the sake of long-term security. “Playing it safe” through a politically correct “safety in numbers” is the opposite of what we at the Dangerous Child Institutes train and teach. We train contrarian thinkers to develop a broad range of skills and competencies which build self-confidence. This self-confidence fuels innovative thinking and risk taking — which are what drives societies to be great.

We are on record as opposing passive popular entertainments for children such as mainstream television and cinema. The developing mind has enough to do without being stuffed full of the low-quality nonsense that movie and television producers crank out for popular consumption.

We are also not enthusiastic about most popular video games and the modern obsession with electronic social media, which takes away from time that would be better spent developing competence in movement, music, language, pattern, and practical skills of all kinds. Electronic gadgets also tend to alienate children from their immediate environments, which can be a deadly failing in many situations.

But real-time EEG and MRI neurofeedback — particularly when combined with sophisticated virtual reality — are different, and hold the potential for enhancing brain function for general learning and for perfecting specific types of tasks.

The brains of children are naturally attracted to play and games of all kinds. The danger that the child will become lost in some types of game-playing is quite real, in the modern age of abusive commercial and ideological child baiting in movies, TV, and videogames. But if game-playing is used to drive learning and competence-building, the natural child’s drive to play can be used to motivate him to build parts of his brain that can bootstrap later learning which might have otherwise been very difficult to achieve.

Again, even videogames that are used in training skills and competencies should be used sparingly, so as not to create barriers between the child and the real world around him. The competence and confidence for working within the real world is what Dangerous Child training is meant to build.

Teachers, parents, mentors, and coaches cannot ignore developments in advanced applied cognitive neuroscience. Every child runs up against barriers to some subject area of learning or another. Clever and timely use of closed-loop videogame training can help move a child from one learning plateau to a higher plateau — enabling a new and higher world of competence on the road to mastery.

More on Neuroscience and Learning (PDF)

Sentic Cycles and Risk-Taking

Risk-Taking is at the Core of Any Effective Life

Life is inherently unpredictable. We must constantly act in the face of imperfect information, which means that we are always at risk of betting wrong — and failing. This is simply the nature of the universe, and the human condition. It is a reality that courageous humans learn to face head-on — but which cowardly rent-seekers attempt to evade by using the coercion of governments, gangs, and mobs.

Dangerous Children are best prepared to take advantage of new freedoms and opportunities that are likely to open up after numerous bureaucratic swamps are drained and overplentiful nests of corrupt cronies of the left are fumigated. While the debris is still being cleared away, Dangerous Children will begin to utilise their risk-taking skills to help open a more abundant and expansive human future. To help them do this, their training includes a broad range of competence building practises — most of which prepare the child for later risk-taking ventures.

Normal risk-taking ranges from the financial to the existential, and can be excessively stressful unless a child is prepared so as to carry a core of stability within himself. The development of such inner competencies are an essential part of Dangerous Child training.

Emotional Balance and the Sentic Cycles

Source

Emotional Spectrum

Source

Normal human emotions range across a broad and deep spectrum, and are experienced automatically in response to both internal and external events. These emotions can be pleasant, neutral, or unpleasant. In the Dangerous Child Method for training risk-takers, none of these normal emotions are denied or blocked. Instead, they are recognised and incorporated into everyday experience.

One of the most useful methods for utilising the broad range of emotions is called “Sentic Cycles,” developed by Dr. Manfred Clynes — a musician and neuroscientist. The Sentic Cycles are integrated into emotional exercises which persons regularly perform on their own, in order to better integrate and calibrate their emotions into their daily lives. More:

Sentic Cycles lets you generate and express your emotions in a series, as a spectrum, your emotion ‘symphony’, so you tend to become free from emotional rut – being stuck in one emotion
– and be in touch with your real self – not overwhelmed by single emotion (yet able to savour them all as in music).

It takes only 10 minutes to learn to do it – and then you may benefit from doing it anytime the rest of your life – as long as human nature does not change! Anyone can do it.

… We all tend to be prisoners of emotion more than we may wish to be. Emotions make life enjoyable and meaningful, but not if you are in an emotional rut, where a particular, most often negative, emotion takes over, and makes it hard to get out of, even temporarily. Often such negative emotions are suppressed, but still interfere with function and freedom of experience.

Sentic Cycles allow you to experience and express all such emotions more constructively, without being overwhelmed by them. Like music, like an artistic experience, the emotion becomes an example of your own humanity: it allows you to savour that emotion as one that is shared by humanity. At the end of the Sentic Cycle you may feel a sense of belonging, a sense of being glad to be alive.
__ http://senticcycles.org/faqs.html

It takes about 25 minutes to go through the entire cycle, if done according to the standard procedure developed by Dr. Clynes. As described on the website above, the Sentic Cycles are immensely useful for virtually everyone.

What is not always readily apprehended however, is that the cycles can be adapted for specific uses that are customised for each individual. This adaptibility to the individual is immensely useful for Dangerous Child training, since no two children are exactly alike, and no two trainings are precisely the same.

Here is an intriguing comment from Don O’Brien, a former trainer of Sentic Cycles, referring to the use of Sentic Cycles to treat addictions:

What causes any psychological addiction is unimportant. Perform Sentic Cycles at least five times. During the Hate phase hate every aspect about whatever addiction you want to stop. You will soon no longer have the urges, and will actually notice the absence of urges. As you continue to do cycles regularly, your mixed up emotions, often caused by lying to yourself, will sort themselves out very soon, too.

I worked for Manfred Clynes in Sydney in the eighties, and over the decades have taught dozens how to cure their own addiction quickly…without a relapse. While performing sentic cycles, you become your own best therapist, because you cannot lie to yourself comfortably while doing one.

__ https://alfinnextlevel.wordpress.com/2016/11/06/how-to-be-happy-in-an-unhappy-world/comment-page-1/#comment-5152

Here are the eight basic phases of the Sentic Cycles:

 

  1. No emotion
  2. Anger
  3. Hate
  4. Grief
  5. Love
  6. Sexual Desire
  7. Joy
  8. Reverence

Source

Each phase is experienced on its own, in its own particular way. The phases are placed in their specific order for a purpose, which is better understood after one has practised the cycles over a period of weeks or longer.

By calibrating and integrating these human emotions into a Dangerous Child’s everyday experience, he learns how to utilise them in the course of performing essential tasks — including risk-taking activities which might otherwise prove overwhelming for most untrained children.

The Dangerous Child Method integrates a few more emotions than the basic list above — depending upon the child — but maintains the basic order of experience, which has proven extremely useful. As mentioned in Don O’Brien’s comment, each phase can be modified to achieve specific goals within that particular emotion’s domain.

Entrepreneurs are Universal Risk Takers

All Dangerous Children are trained in the entrepreneurial skills. Entrepreneurship is best considered as a behaviour: “judgmental decision making under uncertainty.” (Source Peter Klein Chapt 9)

Since virtually all decision-making is necessarily done under conditions of some uncertainty, virtually the whole of meaningful life involves entrepreneurial risk, with some emotional overtones. And thus the importance of training Dangerous Children in the experience of the wide range of emotions at a very young age — to insert a core of emotional stability within the Child’s heart, well before it would generally be considered necessary by conventional child psychologists or early childhood educators.

 

Special Note:

For children before the onset of puberty, the “sexual desire” emotion is replaced by a “physical excitement” emotion such as what is experienced on a roller coaster, a zip line, an elevated rope swing, etc. This substitution reflects the malleable nature of the sentic cycles, which allows them to be customised to suit particular needs and goals.

 

Posted in Cognition, Human Brain, Knowledge, Learning Theory | Tagged ,

Secret to Survival in a World of Corrupt Dysgenic Decline

Four guys are standing on a street corner…
an American, a Russian, a Chinese man, and an Israeli…
A reporter comes up to the group and says to them:
“Excuse me… What’s your opinion on the meat shortage?”
The American says: What’s a shortage?
The Russian says: What’s meat?
The Chinese man says: What’s an opinion?
The Israeli says: What’s “Excuse me”?

__ Mike Leigh “Two Thousand Years

A World Without Risk-Taking Startups is a Corrupt World of Stagnation and Endless Decay

According to the pioneering work of Nobel Prize winner Robert Solow, technological innovation is the ultimate source of productivity and growth. It’s the only proven way for economies to consistently get ahead — especially innovation born by startup companies. Recent Census Bureau data show that most of the net employment gains in the United States between 1980 and 2005 came from firms younger than five years old. Without startups, the average annual net employment growth rate would actually have been negative.

Economist Carl Schramm, president of the Kauffman Foundation, which analyzes entrepreneurial economics, told us that “for the United States to survive and continue its economic leadership in the world, we must see entrepreneurship as our central comparative advantage. Nothing else can give us the necessary leverage.

__ Start-Up Nation from Introduction

We Had Better Learn from Cultures that Have More of What We Need While There is Time

Pound for pound, Israelis are the world’s champion technological innovators today. More

Why do Israelis discover and invent so far beyond their numbers? Does Israel cultivate a nation of risk-takers, innovators, and entrepreneurs that has allowed the tiny nation to survive with elan for so long in one of the world’s worst neighborhoods?


Sure, Israel has large numbers of high IQ Ashkenazi Jews. But high IQ is neither enough to assure survival from surrounding barbaric desert cultures nor to succeed in the global world of hard knocks big business. Several other things exist within the Israeli and Jewish cultures which give the high IQ smart fraction of Israel that “extra boost,” pushing it past its enemies and competitors.

Israelis took a barren desert and made it bloom. They built an oasis of modern, innovating civilisation in the middle of a primitive wasteland. To do that — and to survive and thrive for so long — requires IQ, prudent risk-taking, chutzpah, tolerance of reasonable failures, and an independent minded approach to innovation.

There is also a very high level of arousal in Israeli and Jewish cultures, which no doubt contributes to the active ferment of ideas, and motivates a great deal of higher baseline achievement.

According to Fischer’s proposed spectrum of arousal in the image above, everyday routine and relaxation occupies a relatively small part of the built-in potential spectrum — and creativity occupies an even smaller portion! To be creative, the human mind requires the proper internal and external milieus. And to be creative on a world-class level, the combination of genes and early childhood environment must be enhanced well beyond the ordinary.

To Understand Israeli Innovation, One Must Understand “Mashups”

Mashups are “when innovation is born from the combination of radically different technologies and disciplines.” This is the type of innovation that is most likely to create disruptive technologies which spawn new markets and spin-off entire new industries. And always remember that most Israelis are trained in the very unconventional and multidisciplinary Israeli Defence Force — the IDF. This often free-wheeling military training leaves an indelible imprint of “can do-ism” on large numbers of young Israelis passing through the system.

The Israeli penchant for technological mashups is more than a curiosity; it is a cultural mark that lies at the heart of what makes Israel so innovative. It is a product of the multidisciplinary backgrounds that Israelis often obtain by combining their military and civilian experiences. But it is also a way of thinking that produces particularly creative solutions and potentially opens up new industries and “disruptive” advances in technology. It is a form of free thinking that is hard to imagine in less free or more culturally rigid societies, including some that superficially seem to be on the cutting edge of commercial development. __

Start-Up Nation Chapter 12

In some ways, the rise of Israeli invention is reminiscent of “The European Miracle,” when small independent nations such as the Netherlands were forced to overachieve due to competition from more developed centres such as Paris, Vienna, London, etc. Singapore is another top innovator that reminds one of the frantic competition between city-states and small states during the rise of Europe.

It should be obvious that the world needs far more thriving, independent centres of innovation that are not completely under the thumbs of either Russia, the US, China, or any other of the so-called superpowers that have largely given themselves over to the corrupt, groupthink rent-seeking mentalities. Not that the more established nations should try to emulate Israel, Singapore, Hong Kong, or the Swiss cantons. But the massive monolithic bureaucratic structures of government that hobble large parts of Europe and North America can certainly be downsized, sliced, and diced, after careful study and preparation.

Perhaps a President Donald Trump can truly drain the swamps of US corruption and groupthink scattered along the seaboards and within media, academia, foundations, and faux environmental activist groups. But such things take time, and there are never really any guarantees for long-term success. The tendency toward a greedy corruption seems innate in much of human populations, and is thus almost certainly evolved into the species. Only strong and almost unbending incentive structures can push such populations back toward an honest risk-taking productivity. You get more of what you subsidise, and less of what you tax.

Posted in Economics, innovation | Tagged

Is it Time to Burn Universities to the Ground?

. . . it’s time to burn the universities to the ground … and start over from scratch. __ Robert Tracinski, Speaking Figuratively

How leftist professors and administrators are destroying young minds

Peter Thiel Exposes Corruptness of University System

The universities have done this to themselves. They created the whole phenomenon of modern identity politics and Politically Correct rules to limit speech. They have fostered a totalitarian microculture in which conformity to those rules is considered natural and expected. Now that system is starting to eat them alive, from elite universities like Yale, all the way down to, er, less-than-elite ones like Mizzou. __ Burn Them to the Ground

Education is Not the Same as College

Education is not the same thing as college. As many graduates of “party schools” will tell you, they had the time of their life, but attending class wasn’t their highest priority, nor did their degree have much to do with what they currently do for a living. If increasing their alcohol tolerance were a class, they might have to put it on their resume.

… Unfortunately, going to college these days leaves many students (and their parents) wondering what it’s all for. If it weren’t for employers demanding prerequisite, arbitrary bachelors degrees for their entry-level roles, I think the whole broken system would collapse. __ Joshua Waldman

College Was My Biggest Mistake

Success is sitting right in front of you. You don’t need to have a bachelors degree to reach out and take it- to think anything else is a limiting belief that exists solely in your mind. Hustling = passion + ability to sell yourself. No degree required.
“All college taught me was how to pay off debt. I’m still learning.” __ Steve Corona — College: Big Mistake

My Biggest Regret Was Going to College

If I hadn’t gone to college, I would be farther along in my entrepreneurial journey. I would have more businesses, more experiences, and more opportunities to make the world a better place. __ Regrets Over Going to College

Some people will never be able to pay off their student loans, at the wages that their degrees qualify them for. They would have been far better off investing the money in profit-making enterprises — using something much like the Thiel Foundation grant. For most youth, a more modest investment would be more than ample — given the necessary drive and ambition.

A More Extensive Discussion on the University Bubble from Peter Thiel

On-campus reactions to the election of populist candidate Donald Trump reveals the deep deficiencies of college preparation for young people:

The University of Michigan offered its traumatized students coloring books and Play-Doh to calm them. [Are its students in college or kindergarten?]
The University of Kansas reminded its stressed-out kids that therapy dogs, a regular campus feature, were available.
Cornell University, an Ivy League school, held a campus-wide “cry-in,” with officials handing out tissues and hot chocolate.
Tufts University offered its devastated students arts and crafts sessions. (OK, not kindergarten — more like summer camp.)
At campuses from elite Yale to Connecticut to Iowa and beyond, professors canceled classes and/or exams — either because students asked or because instructors were too distraught to teach.
__ NYP

These precious little snowflakes are barely strong enough to survive in an assisted-care facility, much less in the rough and tumble of real life. Parents who borrow up to $50,000 a year or more to send their children to such schools should reconsider.

“I’m preparing to spend some $100,000-plus on my daughter’s college education, and that’s despite loans and scholarships. It’s a major financial strain. I want her to succeed, but my fear is that the cost is not worth it. What do you think?”

… A chilling survey from Reuters shows that 42 percent of existing college graduates are underemployed, meaning part-time work and few opportunities to expand. A third are $30,000 in debt, and 17 percent owe up to $50,000. Only half of those who find full-time work are actually employed in their field of study. Some 40 percent of those surveyed believe that they will have to spend more time and more money on an advanced degree to get the job they really want.

We are going to see the emergence of more credible one- and two-year alternatives to college. These programs will combine real work experience with rigorous learning and cost a small fraction of what college costs. It can’t work for some professions like law and medicine, mainly because of government controls and guild-like admissions certifications. But in fields like technology, design, and business, this seems like a great idea.

__ Viable Alternatives to College Emerging

Universities have spent the past 55 years purging moderates, rightists, and libertarians from faculty and staff. The end result is a university system that cheats students of the opportunity to learn to consider a variety of well-considered points of view. Instead of teaching students to think for themselves, modern universities are indoctrinating students into “what to think” and how to think exclusively in politically correct terms. This approach has crippled the minds of generations while putting many students in lifetime debt — and will continue down this ruinous path unless something drastic is done to reverse course.

What should be done to these monotonic mind-cripplers of entire generations of youth, who infest universities, government bureaucracies, foundations dealing with educational issues, and the media apparatus that provides a constant flow of propaganda in support of the politically correct catastrophe? Proceeding on a case by case basis would be the most fair, but also time-consuming. It is something that deserves a great deal of consideration before proceeding.

More:

Academia must be destroyed

Slashing bureaucratic bloat might be a good place to start

2016 a year of disgrace for colleges

“Higher Education” part of the swamp that needs draining

Posted in Competence, Groupthink, Ideology, University | Tagged , | 4 Comments

$1 Trillion Runs Away from China

China Suffered $1 Trillion Net Capital Outflow

Reserves are Depleting Faster than Anticipated: Next Year Will be Worse

Beijing has been engaging in dubious practices designed to hide the depletion of reserves caused by the support of the renminbi. For instance, there is incomplete reporting of its use of forward contracts to mask its selling of dollars, a trick Chinese technocrats learned from Brazil in 2013.

More important, Beijing has used its reserves, which are supposed to remain liquid, for long-term investments, such as the so-called One Belt, One Road infrastructure projects, and for loans to Venezuela and other risky borrowers. The reserves have also been deployed to capitalize China Investment Corp., the country’s sovereign wealth fund. No one outside a small circle in Beijing knows the amount of these ill-liquid investments, but they amount to at least $400 billion.

China’s liquid reserves are, in all probability, substantially less than Beijing claims, which means the country may soon run out of ammunition to defend the sagging renminbi. The liquid reserves are almost certainly far smaller than the $2.8 trillion IMF guidelines recommend China maintains.

None of this would matter if China’s economy were growing fast. The official National Bureau of Statistics has announced that gross domestic product increased 6.7% in each of the first three quarters of the year. Many observers believe growth is more likely to be half that figure.

__ China’s Economy Tipping Point of No Return?

China’s bubble economy is pushing past a 400% debt to GDP ratio, and shows no sign of slowing. In fact, China’s leaders cannot slow the debt carnage or they risk losing total control of the unstable system.

Trump Shows Every Sign of Playing Hardball With Unwieldy China

President-elect Trump intends to re-invigorate US industry and manufacturing, even if it kills China — and many of the US CEOs who supported Hillary Clinton’s failed bid to become another in the long line of corrupt China enablers. The election of Trump signals an entire new international trade regime that has only begun to register on the seismic scale. China’s bombastic threats of trade war are likely to fall on deaf ears, resulting in very real pain and injury to the heart of China’s bubble economy.

Like Putin, China’s Xi is Attempting a Grand Global Bluff Using a Much-Diminished Hand

China’s troubled “One Belt One Road” initiative is struggling to gain outside investment and legitimate global partners. The project has been secretly funded by China’s “reserves” along with several other grand and risky Chinese initiatives and outreaches. Many of these projects have already failed, and several others are due to follow in turn.

The primary rationale of these projects is strategic, not economic, and the large external commitments that they potentially entail, conservatively estimated at $1trillion, sans escalation costs, pose an added risk to an already overextended economy. __ China’s Illusory Power

China’s Need for Clean Water and Pristine Farmland is Growing Desperate

China is steadily and stealthily expanding into Siberia.

China and Russia share about 4,300 km of common borders, partially limited by the Amur River. On one side of the river, there are 1.4 billion Chinese, ¼ of the world’s population owning only 7% of the world’s arable land[3] and having an extreme need for food resources (China is the largest importer of agricultural products[4]). The border region of Heilongjiang[5] alone has 40 million inhabitants. On the other side… the Russian Far East[6], numbering 6.5 million inhabitants with a distribution of 1.2 inhabitants per square kilometre. It is a very wealthy desert, almost totally untapped, but getting increasingly vacant, due to the decreasing birth rate in Russia and the migration of Siberian inhabitants (many of them are moving to western parts of their continent[7]).

… China offers very cheap labour (the Chinese wages being lower than those of the Russian workers) contributing to deserted and impoverished territories, abandoned both by Russians and their central government, obsessed with the declining splendours of the West.

China uses all possible means to ensure its expansion: exploitation of farm land, exploitation of forest areas[8], construction of road infrastructure and of high speed rail services connecting Chinese cities to Vladivostok[9], transportation lines for goods to Yekaterinburg[10], and also to other destinations in western countries like Germany, France, and Iran. In addition, these include border raisings along the Chinese-Russian road network[11], allowing the drawing of direct lines between China and Russia, bypassing Mongolia or less secure countries like Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan, multiplication of free border areas for commercial transactions[12], and massive investment in the construction of oil and gas pipelines bringing Russian oil and gas to China. Furthermore, it allows direct use of energy resources through windfall contracts[13], real estate investments, and so on and so forth. This policy is being strongly supported by the Chinese banks and institutions through financial transaction agreements in rubles[14], through bank loans given to Russian companies and individuals, or even the swap agreement between the central banks[15]…
__ Source

Russia cannot afford to hold onto its Far East, as its economy and infrastructures steadily crumble under Putin’s neo-imperial policies. China is already leasing large swathes of land and employing stealth immigration and economic takeovers of key Russian businesses in the Far East. China is buying significant shares of Russian energy and mining companies, and insinuating itself ever more deeply into Russian defence technologies — all the while China reverse-engineers Russian weapons and competes against Russia in the global arms sales markets.

As for Putin’s attempts to enlarge Russia’s “sphere of influence” to include Ukraine, forget about it. China has far too much invested in Ukraine and many of the other Eastern and Central European nations to allow Russia to re-occupy and rape those nations once again.

China is Russia’s Best Frenemy Forever!

We can recall the Hitler-Stalin pact and how that turned out. We all know the end of this story. So why is China using its dwindling reserves to gamble on acquisitions it may not be able to hold — and why is Putin putting so much of Russia’s vital future assets on the auction block? Desperation, on both counts. For China, it was always assumed that double digit economic growth rates would continue into the indefinite future. No one expected growth rates to plummet to 3% or less. For Russia, Putin’s slippery grip on power depends upon projecting an appearance of strength and global power to the people of Russia and to dim-witted westerners. He is using China’s economic clout — such as it is — to bolster his claim.

But in the end, both desperate frenemies have secret agendas which will come out into the open, in the end. That is when the sparks will fly.

China makes threats: “Appease me or I will kill myself!”

China’s banking system dying of cancer, threatens world

Chinese enterprises crushed by debt

Chinese dirty hacking tricks are too many and diverse to list. Example

China has had it easy under Bush-Clinton-Bush-Obama; Trump is going to show them a different side of trade reciprocity that they won’t like

Posted in China | Tagged , | 1 Comment

“White Supremacism” Takes on an Odd Complexion

White Supremacists Unmasked! Source

White Supremacists Unmasked!
Source

Playing the Victim Proves Impossible to Resist

The list of “fake hate crimes” is growing ever longer. People of the third world are being victimised at record rates, if claims are to be believed. But are the claims believable? Only, perhaps, if you are already wildly predisposed to believe in such things

Case in point:

Two white males ran out of a car, tore off her hijab, hit her and stole her wallet. One of these mysterious muggers was wearing a Trump hat.

The president of the Muslim Students Association claimed that the attack had rattled the campus. The ACLU was “outraged” and was as eager as the “victim” to connect the attack to Trump. It was even more outraged that the imaginary attackers had, “shouted slurs and wore Donald Trump clothing.”

It was only hours after the election and the media eagerly jumped on the story. But the 18-year-old Middle Eastern student had made it all up and police charged her with filing a false report.

A month later they stuck again. Yasmin Seweid, an 18-year-old Baruch College student in New York City, claimed that “three white racists” tried to tear off her hijab, shouted Trump’s name, along with, “Look it’s a fucking terrorist”, “go back to your country” and “take that rag off your head”.

“The president-elect just promotes this stuff and is very anti-Muslim, very Islamophobic, and he’s just condoning it,” she whined. CAIR got into the game. A hate crimes investigation was launched.

And the NYPD found that she had made it all up. Yasmin now faces charges for her deception. But her lies potentially endangered the “brown-eyed and brown-haired” man whom police had begun to suspect. A man who might have been arrested and charged for a crime that never happened.

What caused two 18-year-old Muslim women 1,400 miles apart to invent the same very specific attack? __ Fake Hijab Hate Crimes

European Invasion Source

European Invasion
Source

But There is a Real Problem With Hate Crimes — Just Not the Kind the Media Likes to Portray

Rape, murder, theft, assault, and terrorism are all on the rise in Europe, thanks to quasi-genocidal immigration policies of the EU, with member states Germany, Sweden, Netherlands, and bordering states particularly at fault and at risk. In Italy:

A study released last month in Italy found a striking correlation between an increased immigrant population and a spike in the crime rate. … the crime rate among legal immigrants is nearly double the rate among Italian citizens, the study found, with 4.3 convicted criminals per 1000 Italian citizens and 8.5 criminals per 1000 legal immigrants. Among illegal immigrants, however, the crime rate soars to more than 50 percent of the population (148 criminals out of every 247 persons), the study revealed.

One of the more troubling discoveries of the study was that for the first time, the crime rate in the north of Italy, which has the highest concentration of immigrants and asylum seekers, is surpassing that of the south. ___ Pew Migrant Crisis Europe

The Third World Has Always Been an Impoverished Bloody Mess for a Very Good Reason

In a world of biological evolution, different breeding populations who evolved in different environments, tend to sort themselves out according to relative levels of fitness for the particular environment they find themselves in now. Populations who evolved in sub Saharan Africa, for example, tend to stratify at the lowest levels of achievement and highest levels of violence wherever they may go in the more modern world. From an evolutionary perspective, this is far easier to understand than one would be led to believe by most journalists, politicians, sociology professors, and social justice activists. If different breeding populations are “differently evolved,” then remarkable differences in life outcomes are to be expected.

Global IQ by National Average IQ Scores

Global IQ by National Average IQ Scores

One finds the lowest population average IQs among sub Saharan African populations within Africa and wherever they may emigrate. Next lowest IQ averages are found among peoples of the middle east, north Africa, and much of central and southern Asia. In addition, several Latin American nations display relatively low population average IQ levels. Not coincidentally, one typically finds low levels of achievement and high levels of poverty corresponding to low-IQ populations. From an evolutionary perspective, this should not be surprising.

What Does This Have to Do With Fake Hate Crimes?

Underachieving third world peoples are told by academics, politicians, journalists, and activists that their poverty and general incompetence is a direct result of “european supremacy.” If the facts do not bear out such claims, then “the facts” must be adjusted in whichever manner leads to drawing the “correct conclusion.”

Such fraudulent victims as are pictured at the top of this article are merely the bare tip of the iceberg. The sentiment of having been victimised is widespread among violent, impoverished, underachieving peoples. And why not, when every sociology professor, every journalist, every social justice warrior inside and outside of politics tells them it is so. Victimhood is a booming enterprise that parasitises politically correct societies and provides ample excuse to “the oppressed” for not doing their best — and for doing their worst.

Large US Cities that Voted Overwhelmingly for Hillary Clinton are Most at Risk

Places like Baltimore, Detroit, Washington D.C., New York, Philadelphia and other cities across the map are still deeply divided often police and race issues. Many have seen serious riots, looting and unrest. These social wedge issues are still being pushed from moneyed political interests, while political divide after the direction of the country has become sharp. __ Source … Quoted here

Link to The Color of Crime 2016 ed. US DOJ statistics revealing information that government spokespersons, journalists, and academicians choose to obscure.

Sweet Home Obama Chicago Obama revitalised gang killings, black on other murders and rapes, and bloody muslim jihad.

What Percent of Black Males Commit Crimes? Between 35% and 50%, according to some estimates.

Carjacking and Home Invasion are Two Particularly Troubling Trends, in Addition to Black on Other Hate Crimes

Blacks and Muslims are the major perpetrators of modern hate crimes. But muslim terrorism takes place in public places, most often in nations such as France and Germany that have been verly sloppy in their immigration policies. Home invasion and carjacking, on the other hand, take place where you live and shop.

Shopping malls are scenes of multiple riots by usual suspects

Another Example: Queen Latifah’s car was hijacked at a petrol station in Atlanta

Consoling Queen Latifah Journal Constitution

Consoling Queen Latifah
Journal Constitution

If not for black crime, the rates of crime in the US would be comparable to those in northern Europe. The increasing race hatred displayed by blacks against others is particularly troublesome.

Long list of fake hate crimes reported over the past month and a half.

Posted in Blacks and crime, Coming Anarchy, Crime, Demographics, Europe, Fertility, Germany, Human Slavery, Islam's Bloody Borders, Propaganda, Racial Myths | Tagged , | 5 Comments

The Gentleman Assassin: Part I

The Unbreakable Umbrella

the_avengers_john_steed
The umbrella has proved a useful tool for heroes including Sherlock Holmes, John Steed, and many others. It is an unremarkable accessory for any gentleman (or lady), can be carried onto airplanes, and has many uses besides physical defence and attack. It can even be used as a walking stick, or to keep water from falling on your head!


Thomas Kurz with his Unbreakable® Walking-Stick Umbrella on an airplane. Whenever he travels he takes it with him and he has never had anyone question him about it. __ http://unbreakableumbrella.com/

Several more videos here

Normally when we think of “concealed carry,” we think of firearms. And certainly, concealed firearms are very useful in a situation when faced with a dangerous adversary, including those who are carrying a knife or a gun. But many places we go, we will have to do without firearms. It is a good idea to carry at least 10 different concealed weapons.

There is a wide range of “wearable” weapons, including knives and sharp jabbing implements. There are also creative weapons such as this self-defence cap, these steel knuckle gloves, or this key chain baton.

As you can imagine, this does not by any means exhaust the list of potential concealed weapons. Credit cards, for example, have been used as deadly weapons, as have writing pens, eyeglass frames, heavy belt buckles, and even concealed dental floss.

If you do happen to have a concealed carry permit for firearms, and want to be stylish about it, here is one gentlemen’s guide to stylish concealed carry (for firearms). __ Adapted from Original Al Fin Blog

[To read the original posting use Google Cache or the Wayback Machine]

Note: Google has blocked public access to the original Al Fin blog, but “CachedView” and the “Wayback Machine” still provide access to most of the cached articles from that blog.

We Are Not Actually Training Assassins

But we would like for readers to be better able to defend themselves against the kind of assaults which are becoming more common these days. Islamic terror and black-on-other interracial attacks are just two varieties of deadly attack which modern people should be aware of. Self-protection starts with enhanced awareness of one’s surroundings — both immediate and extended surroundings. Know where you are, and where you are going.
In Sweden or Germany, one must worry not only about criminals and muslim terrorists — one must also worry about one’s own government and the autogenocidal policies adopted recently by governments in the EU. In nations of the Anglosphere, inter-ethnic antagonisms simmer in North America, Australia, New Zealand, and elsewhere. One cannot escape risks altogether. Thus one should be both aware, and prepared.

Hope for the Best. Prepare for the Worst

It is never too late (or early) to have a Dangerous Childhood.

More: A quiet private supersonic aircraft for rapid insertion of secret operatives —

Posted in Dangerous Child, Weapons | Tagged

Here at the End of All Things

A Massive Transformation of Two Empires that Will End One World Order and Make Way for a New One to Come

The United States of Stagnant Corruption

The United States of America is tentatively stepping back from an interminable gray future of Obamaesque stagnation and decline, courtesy of a national populist uprising at the voting polls. The corrupt ideological system of government-media-academia threatening to drown the US in a fecal flood of identity politics, apocalyptic climate cultism, corrupt green energy decay, fake and partisan mainstream news, and a defeatist malaise across all parts of society except the crony-elite — that system was chastised soundly in an election quake felt around the world.

Geographic Landslide

Geographic Landslide

In a thorough rebuke to the bastions of elitist power, most of America cast its votes against the establishment, and for a rather poorly-defined but stimulating and provocative populist revolution. It is far too early to tell how things will turn out, here “at the end of all things,” and at the beginning of all things.

Below you can see another glimpse of the pits of elitist corruption and rent-seeking stagnation that want to keep the empire mired in an eternal quagmire of suffocating futility and despair.

Hillary Archipelago h/t Instapundit.com

Hillary Archipelago
h/t Instapundit.com

Useful Knowledge Intentionally Obscured by Media and Education Establishment

The wealth of a nation cannot be counted in barrels of oil, tonnes of precious metals, fields of gem stones, or other conventional measures.

Wealth consists in assets that promise a future stream of income. The flows of [natural resource] money do not become an enduring asset of the nation until they can be converted into a stock of remunerative capital — industries, ports, roads, schools, and working skills — that offer a future flow of support when the [natural resources] run out. Four hundred years ago, Spain was rich like Saudi Arabia, swamped by a similar flood of money in the form of silver from the mines of Potosi in its Latin American colonies. But Spain failed to achieve wealth and soon fell back into its previous doldrums, while industry triumphed in apparently poorer parts of Europe. __ G. Gilder, “Wealth and Poverty” Chap 5

This is why nations such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, Venezuela, Iran, Iraq, etc. are doomed. They have chosen an almost total dependency on natural resource income, rather than to develop their human resources — which would be the only enduring source of wealth they could depend upon.

… the crucial source of creativity and initiative in any economic system is the individual investor [and entrepreneur, inventor, innovator etc.]. Economies do not grow of their own accord or by dint of government influence. They grow in response to the enterprise of men willing to take risks, to transform ideas into monopolies, and monopolies into industries, and to give before they know what they will get in return [ie take risks]. — George Gilder, “Wealth and Poverty” Chapt. 4

And this is why a nation led by an Obama, a Bush, or a Clinton, could never possibly rise out of the quicksand of debt and crony inbred decline. Such people are not leaders, but are rather figureheads for ideological movements of rent-seeking corruption. Their supporters and followers seek only secure and guaranteed incomes, at the expense of any opportunity for innovation and real economic and societal growth.

… the government uses a political process to decide whom it pays and how much [so] there is little incentive for rent seekers to push for greater efficiency or innovation. This is a problem in part because the public and the private sectors compete for the same financial and human capital. That is to say, they compete for the same pile of money and the same group of innovative [people]… When profits are relatively easy to make in government contract work, there are fewer innovators willing to spend their time and their capital developing the next new innovation that could revolutionize an entire industry. __ Brendan Miniter “Why We Grow” in Chapter 1 of “Unleashing the Economic Growth America Needs”

The governments of the Obamas, Bushes, Clintons, and the rest of the inbred system attempt to use the tools of government to achieve their own particular ends. But even if we assume good intentions on their part, they are doomed to fail — because government does not create prosperity. Government can only — at its best — create an environment where “rule of law” prevails and a stable monetary system, protection from violence and fraud, and a few other limited and specific services are provided.

The United States of Stagnant Corruption has grown far beyond any reasonable size and scope of powers. The government is strangling innovation and opportunity, while promoting corrupt rent-seeking and widespread dependency on the state for subsistence. That path of ruin has been recognised since well before the days of President Reagan, but most of America’s elites have been too busy scooping up the spoils of corruption to concern themselves with the ultimate end of such behaviours.

Time will tell whether these elitist fools can be constrained before they destroy all possible futures of human expansion and prosperity. The Bolshevik and French revolutions were wakeup calls to their respective aristocracies. We must hope that such a discontinuity will never be necessary in “more civilised” modern times.

The Empire of Muscovy Teeters on the Brink

In Soviet times, the USSR parasitised the Warsaw Pact nations. At the same time, Russia parasitised the USSR. Finally, Moscow has always parasitised Russia. In the post-USSR age, Moscow continues to parasitise the rest of Russia in a most blatant fashion. And it is not likely to go on indefinitely, for many reasons.

… in 1991, the city of Moscow separated itself from Rus. A change in power took place. The overthrow was made by native Muscivtes for Muscovites and only in the interests of native Muscovites. Russians elsewhere weren’t asked” how they felt (publizist.ru/blogs/109386/16146/-).

Everyone in the Russian Federation was given “a new document” in the form of a passport but “native Muscovites received another one, ‘the Muscovite card,’ thus signaling the division of the population and the country, one in which the Muscovites were “the victors” and everyone else was a loser.

As the victors, the Muscovites engaged in pillaging over the Rus they had defeated. Having disbanded Gosplan, they paralyzed trade; and this liquidated the industry of Russia. That suited Moscow,” because it led to an influx of goods that Moscow could control and tax for its own benefit. Thus, “the native Muscovites enriched themselves at the expense of Russians.”

“The artificial bankrupting of Russian industry followed by its being bought up by Muscovites and the registration of these firms in Moscow added to the wealth of the native Muscovites.” But it had another and more important consequence, Burlutsky says. It marked “the appearance of a new nation, the nation of ‘native Muscovites.’” __ http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2016/12/how-1991-looks-beyond-ring-road-moscow.html


In the late 1980s and early 1990s, the first to peel away from the empire were the Warsaw Pact nations, such as East Germany, Poland, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, etc. Then, in 1991, the opportunity finally arose for long-suffering occupied nations such as Latvia, Ukraine, Lithuania, Estonia, etc. to break away from the empire. Those were the first and second steps to dissolution of a corrupt, barbaric Bolshevik abomination.

In modern times, a long-suffering Russian population suffers under the whip of a belligerent Muscovy. The Russian Empire has always been a colonial enterprise, with non-Russian nations subjugated under ethnic Russian overlords. But now it is far-flung ethnic Russians themselves who are beginning to take the initiative to throw off the chains of Muscovy.

Having overlearned the results of the demise of the USSR in 1991, many in Moscow and the West constantly look for signs of separatism among non-Russian nations within the borders of the Russian Federation. They exist, but as the AfterEmpire portal notes, “the main separatists” are ethnic Russians (afterempire.info/2016/12/17/buriat-separatism/).

They draw that conclusion on the basis of their own research and on the recognition of some in Moscow of that reality. In particular, they cite the argument of Aleksey Verkhoyantsev that “the absence of a supra-national idea is making the situation in the country extremely vulnerable” given that Siberians and others “willingly believe” Moscow is stealing what belongs to them (svpressa.ru/politic/article/148762/).

This problem, Verkhoyantsev says, “exists even in those regions where ethnic Russians form the majority” … __ http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2016/12/buryats-are-accused-of-separatism-but.html

There has never been anything natural or inevitable about the Russian Empire. In the time of Putin, the only thing that holds the ongoing abortion to life support is oil & gas profits filtched by Moscow and returned to the regions in the form of bribes and top-down oppression.

But we know that the price of oil & gas has fallen far from the $120 bbl days which allowed Putin to make his plans of reconquista and neo-imperialism. Fiscal reality has crashed down upon the heads of Muscovy’s economy, although particularly thick-skulled dunces such as Putin have not yet awakened from their dreams of global conquest.

Russia is becoming the epi-centre of suffering and misery within all but the very worst of the third world. And Russians are slowly becoming aware of where to look for the source of their suffering. Everything changes, here at the end of all things.

Two Empires, Two Drastic Revisions Coming, A World Order Overturned

The election of Trump has exposed the naked corruption of Obama’s administration, and has revealed pathways to drastic change within government, and within the policies of government that have immense effects upon opportunities within the larger society. Dominoes will topple, but it is far too early to see the end result.

Inside a massively corrupt Russia, the deep undertows of decay were already well in force by 2010. Putin had turned away from the development of Russia’s people in favour of an utter centralisation of political and economic power based upon Russia’s natural resource wealth. It was a fundamental mistake, but one that could have been corrected up until 2014.

With Putin’s reinstatement to the presidency in 2012, the forces of collapse accelerated. With Putin’s decision to conquer Crimea and invade Ukraine, the utter destruction of Russia-as-we-know-it was virtually guaranteed. Nothing more is needed, the underlying forces are now unstoppable.

Wise and Clear Heads Should Begin to See Some Possible Futures Unfolding

A clear-headed but certainly not wise George Soros has not given up on his dream of bringing down the US under a crushing load of opportunity-killing top-down regulations. But things are not going his way, and the old man is getting older and more petulant. His family and others around him are growing more aware that there is much wealth to be divvied up between them, and under those conditions the ideological goals of the patriarch take on less importance. Especially when much of the substance of his dreams appear to be crumbling anyway.

Peter Thiel — “the anti-George Soros” — has called for “all hands on deck” in a full-scale implementation of a Trumpian revolution of opportunity and slashing back on government overreach of all kinds. Whether such a thing is still possible in the age of elitist control of media, academia, foundations, and bureaucracies of both public and private nature, is yet to be determined.

But as mentioned above, some dominoes are certain to fall, each falling monolith affecting large areas of entrenched interests in its path. Change is a certainty.

Watch closely, and be prepared to move with the evolutions as they happen.

More:

Ray Dalio predicts massive global changes as a result of Trump’s election

A Pivotal Turning Point in Human History?

This election didn’t merely expose the failure of six months of campaigning by the Democratic Party. This election exposed the failure of SIX DECADES of leftist propaganda to have any cumulative effect at all.

And the earthquake extends deep into the future as well. Thanks to Trump’s history-shattering victory, we now know that the Gramscian model and the Frankfurt School model don’t work. Every single thing the Left has done since the 1950s has been catastrophically wrongheaded and misconceived. It has all backfired. Which means that going into future, when they will (as they surely will) continue their failed strategy on autopilot, it will all be for naught. Why? Because these techniques only work if the victims don’t know they’re being propagandized. Yet the public in recent years has become much more sophisticated. Now we do know. And we can never un-know, once our eyes have been opened.

The New York Times’ Maureen Dowd takes a strong dose of reality medicine from her brother Kevin

Dismantling the US government bureaucracy of overregulation

The election of Trump will echo through Europe and the Anglosphere, revealing the EU to be an empty and defenceless shell, and the politically correct faux environmentalist left to be a corrupty crony con-game.

… when we look at Russia more clearly, we see a country with a failing economy, a weak military and which desperately spends money to rapidly rectify its weakness, even though rapid rectification is impossible. When we look at China, we see a similar profile. __ George Friedman

A geopolitical analysis of the next 30 years taking into account the election of Trump:
Talk starts at 1 hour and 7 minutes into the video.

Posted in Empire, Politics, Russian Collapse | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Exterminator-Elect Moves to Drain Swamp — With a Vengeance

He ran against the system, both parties, and almost all the media and the polls, to “drain the swamp,” against the OBushtons: all the Clintons and Obamas and Bushes and the Republican and Democratic lookalike also-rans (Carter, Dukakis, Quayle, Gore, Kerry, McCain, Romney).

Source

He was opposed by the Republican Party establishment, by Fox News, and by every variety of parasitic rent-seeking vermin imaginable on all ends of the political spectrum. These well-heeled blood-suckers of media, government, academia, and foundations/activist groups are increasingly desperate to prevent the Trump Revolution from taking place. But the extermination of large numbers of America’s parasitic class is moving closer to reality, by popular demand.

 

Each major domestic-policy department of government is being entrusted to people dedicated to radical change, to the uprooting of a whole generation of error

.

Education will go to a great champion of chartered schools (Betsy DeVos), in the hope of wrenching the country’s failed public-education system from the palsied hands of the Democratic party’s decayed allies in the teachers’ unions.

Labor itself will be in the hands of someone (Andrew Puzder) who supports the workers by guaranteeing their rights and liberating them from the corrupt enemies of workplace efficiency and cooperation in organized labor – a barely living group reduced now to the infestation of public-sector unions (only 6.7 percent of the country’s shrinking work force is now unionized).

The Environmental Protection Agency will be in the hands of someone (Scott Pruitt) who does not believe the unsubstantiated ecoterrorism about global warming and will protect the environment without throwing millions of people in carbon-related energy into unemployment in the fatuous professed expectation that they will be reemployed building windmills and solar panels. Health care will be in the hands of the greatest expert in the Congress (Tom Price) on how to introduce a dual-payer (where affordable to the insured family) universal-health-care system that does not lie to the taxpayer, separate the patients from their doctors, or preserve statewide insurance fiefdoms.

Taxation, campaign-finance reform, and the budget will be in the hands of people (Steven Mnuchin at Treasury) who will raise revenue from elective transactions and reduce taxes for small personal and business income earners. Apart from 1960, 1968, and 1980, all transitions from 1932 to this one have been mere changes of personnel.

This is a revolution[!]

Read more at: Source

Shake it Up Source

Shake it Up
Source

More on Rex Tillerson

 

And about time, too. Under the Bush-Clinton-Obama cabal, the US government has become the epicentre of corrupt parasitic rent-seeking of every imaginable variety. The blood-sucking and corrupt parasites of government, media, academia, need quick extermination, followed rapidly by a thorough draining of the swamp that made their existence possible and allowed them to thrive at the taxpayers’ expense.

Professional bureaucrats want what any manager wants — more power and control, bigger budgets, and a larger staff. These bureaucrats use political arguments to make their case, and the entire system supports these efforts.

When the economy hits a crisis, even though it is clear that government was deeply involved in the events leading to that crisis, politicians and media blame the private sector. This, then, creates a feedback loop that argues for more government management.

… Voters in America decided it’s time for a new strategy. In effect, those voters said, “Let’s stop counting on the professional, academic-elite bureaucrats and put this country in the hands of someone who has actually succeeded in the real world of business or the military.” __ https://spectator.org/revenge-of-the-adjunct-professors/

Rent-Seeking: A Primer

… rent-seeking tends over time to encourage growing numbers of ordinary people to engage in it, trying to acquire political power either to gain advantages over the less powerful or as redress against the mounting advantages and political power of others. It thereby sets into motion a troubling dynamic that over time progressively erodes respect for the rule of law, limited government, and private property.

This is the philosophy of “looters” as opposed to “creators” or innovators. It is how people such as the Clintons or Harry Reid can start with so little, and rapidly amass large fortunes trading political influence for contributions from wealthy lobbyists who seek unfair advantage in all kinds of transactions.

The Clinton Foundation is being investigated by the FBI in New York State. This would never have happened had the Clintons been able to rally the millions of dead and illegal voters who put Barack Obama over the top in 2012.

More seasoned and better informed readers may recall that the Clintons barely escaped federal indictment in 1992. After Bill Clinton was elected US President he summarily shut down all the federal investigations into his and Hillary’s shenanigans in Arkansas. This time around, the Clintons may not be so lucky.

Barack Obama and Bill Clinton Both Had Close Ties with Persons Involved in Organised Crime

Organised crime, organised labour, and the US Democrat Party have for over a century maintained an unholy triumvirate of power which has been almost impossible to crack. Any close elections which are determined by inner city precincts in Detroit, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Chicago, or other corrupt Democrat Party strongholds can never ever truly be trusted. A case in point was the election in 2012 which kept Barack Obama in the White House for a second term.

The same type of fraud occurred in 2016, and was exposed in multiple cities including Detroit. Unfortunately for Hillary, the fraud was insufficient to overcome a tsunami of authentic votes for Trump by a very angry and bady served American electorate.

The devil is in the details, and draining a swamp that is so deeply entrenched and so hugely bloated by ill-gotten loot, will not be an easy task.

A Mere Beginning:

A Constitutional Amendment to impose term limits on all members of Congress
A hiring freeze on all federal employees to reduce federal workforce through attrition (exempting military, public safety, and public health)
A requirement that for every new federal regulation, two existing regulations must be eliminated
A five year ban on White House and Congressional officials becoming lobbyists after they leave government service
A lifetime ban on the White House officials lobbying on behalf of a foreign government
A complete ban on foreign lobbyists raising money for American elections
Cancel billions in payments to U.N. climate change programs and use the money to fix America’s water and environmental infrastructure

Source

The climate apocalypse cult is one of the more egregious swamp-creatures dwelling in the stinking backwaters of government corruption.

Climate models are like political polling. Models are projections based, presumably, on some scientific data. All models are fact checked based on real observed data. When this is done, checking the climate models with observed temperature data, the 102 climate models of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, fail the test of reliability. We all learned of the limits of political polling during the last election cycle.

During his presentation, MIT professor Dr. Richard Lindzen, said, “the only meaningful question would be whether we are seeing anything sufficiently unusual to warrant concern and the answer to this is unambiguously no.” He ended his presentation by quoting Eric Hoffer who said, “Every great cause begins as a movement, becomes a business, and eventually degenerates into a racket. And those who benefit in the racket will defend it with passion.” __ http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/energy-environment/310068-climate-change-speaking-truth-to-power

The entire swamp is full of such corrupt racketeering parasitic families of creatures, who would destroy the fabric of prosperity, freedom, and rule of law if they only could.

How New Trump Energy Policies Could Impact on the Climate Apocalypse Cult

 

  • Goodbye to the Clean Power Plan. The EPA’s Clean Power Plan was political poison for Democrats in the November elections. In 14 Senate races highlighted before the elections by the liberal website Mother Jones as being especially important in the global warming debate, 11 were won by candidates opposing the Clean Power Plan. The Clean Power Plan was decisively damaging to Hillary Clinton in Great Lakes battleground states like Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin. The American public supports government taking some steps to reduce the carbon dioxide emissions that cause some global warming, but Donald Trump realized expensive, highly partisan, top-down restrictions are an unpopular prescription. Expect Trump to fulfill his campaign promise to retract the Clean Power Plan immediately upon taking office. Don’t be surprised, however, if he extends an olive branch to people concerned about global warming by offering alternative policies that address carbon dioxide emissions in a more affordable, fair, free-market manner.
  • Increased energy production on federal lands. Oil and natural gas prices have fallen dramatically thanks to the fracking revolution and increased production. This increased production, however, has occurred in spite of – rather than because of – Obama administration policies. Fortunately for American consumers, increased production on privately owned and state-owned lands has more than compensated for the Obama administration increasing the percentage of federal-owned lands rendered off-limits to oil and gas production. Expect the Trump administration to open up more federal lands to energy production, which will further increase domestic oil and natural gas production. This will in turn lower energy prices, increase royalty payments to offset our national debt, and bolster the American economy.
  • Coal gets a reprieve. Restrictions on coal production and coal power have reached unprecedented severity under the Obama administration. Coal is unlikely to be saddled with any new environmental restrictions under the Trump administration. Just as importantly, the Trump administration is likely to rescind many of the restrictions imposed by the Obama administration, such as a new slate of restrictions announced last week. This may not revive coal power, which faces strong competition from inexpensive natural gas. Nevertheless, coal will face fewer regulatory restrictions under the Trump administration.

 

 

  • Wind power industry loses its free pass to kill bald eagles. Private individuals, oil producers, natural gas producers, and everybody else in America justifiably pay severe penalties for killing bald eagles, even inadvertently. Not so the wind power industry. In the ironic name of environmentalism, wind power gets a free pass on the 1.4 million birds and bats the industry kills each year, including endangered and protected species like the bald eagle. The Obama administration last week dramatically increased the number of bald eagles wind power companies can kill without penalty. Expect the Trump administration to reverse this course and make the wind power industry accountable to the same environmental protections that apply to everyone else.
  • Wind and solar power loses disproportionate subsidies. Wind and solar subsidies during the past decade have dwarfed those of all other energy sources, imposing expensive and unreliable power on American consumers. The wind and solar industries claim their products are falling in price and insist they can provide power on a cost-competitive basis with conventional power. Expect the Trump administration to hold the wind and solar industries to their word, reducing subsidies and restoring a level playing field for competing energy sources.

 

Recommended by Forbes

 

  • Ethanol gets closer scrutiny. The 2007 Energy Independence and Security Act, enacted into law with the support of the Bush administration, imposes costly ethanol requirements on America’s gasoline consumers. Since passage of the Energy Independence and Security Act, research has proven ethanol is in many ways worse for air pollution and the environment than gasoline. Consumer advocates, free-marketers, and environmental groups have united in opposition to ethanol, yet the ethanol requirements remain. Not only do they remain, but the Obama administration recently increased the amount of ethanol that must be blended into gasoline. Expect the Trump administration to take a hard look at ethanol and consider rolling back federal ethanol mandates.
  • Yucca Mountain finally begins accepting nuclear waste. Nuclear power is currently hampered by strong government headwinds. The Yucca Mountain storage facility for spent nuclear fuel is essentially ready to accept spent fuel but the Obama administration and Obama’s Senate ally Harry Reid have blocked Yucca Mountain from accepting spent fuel. Some states have enacted laws prohibiting the construction of new nuclear power facilities until Yucca Mountain is available to accept spent fuel. Expect the Trump administration to streamline the opening of Yucca Mountain, relieving states and local communities from the burden of storing spent nuclear fuel.
  • Next-generation nuclear power surges forward. Nuclear power faces many obstacles in addition to spent fuel issues. Energy economics and excessive government regulation make traditional large nuclear power plants uncompetitive with coal and natural gas power. However, there is substantial promise for small, next-generation nuclear reactors utilizing new technologies. For example, many scientists, economists, and environmentalists see tremendous promise for small molten salt reactors powered by thorium. Any new nuclear technologies, however, must receive government scrutiny and approval. To date, the federal government has been dragging its feet studying and approving new nuclear reactor designs. Expect the Trump administration to prioritize removing government obstacles to new nuclear power designs, which coincidentally would provide more emissions-free power.
  • Hydro power reverses its long decline. The Obama administration has presided over the removal of existing hydropower dams despite hydropower providing affordable, emissions-free electricity. The U.S. Department of Energy reports opportunities exist to increase hydropower production by 50 percent in the near future with minimal environmental impact. Expect the Trump administration to reverse federal energy policy that hinders hydropower production. Hydropower could be poised for a major comeback.
  • Natural gas exports increase. Natural gas is in high global demand to reduce pollution in an affordable manner. Asia in particular suffers extreme air pollution exacerbated by Chinese coal. In Europe, our friends and allies are overly dependent on Russian natural gas, making them vulnerable to aggressive Russian foreign policy. The Obama administration has blocked the construction of natural gas export terminals that would allow American energy companies to deliver natural gas to countries that need it. Expect the Trump administration to reverse course on this short-sighted policy. More natural gas exports will bring environmental and strategic political relief to countries abroad, while simultaneously providing America economic and strategic political benefits.

__ Source 

Trump understands that coal, oil, and gas are all vital to the US energy mix — because unlike wind and solar, hydrocarbons work!   Abundant, high quality, affordable energy is a matter of life and death.  Climate apocalypse crusaders fail to understand the existential nature of reliable, affordable energy — either that or they are intentionally trying to bring about a great human dieoff.

Watch the vile squirming miscreants closely, for they will do anything at all to retain and enlarge their political and economic advantages at the expense of productive people who actually work for a living. They are most prominent in government, media, academia, political lobbying and activist groups, foundations involved in political manipulations, and faux environmental groups. But the full range of corrupt rent-seeking parasitic species have not yet been discovered. Perhaps after the swamp is drained, parasitologists can examine the residue for a more thoroughgoing taxonomy — if there is enough time and interest at that time.

Between the Years 1800 and 1900 the US Grew to Be the Wealthiest Nation on Earth

The US began as a tiny, heavily indebted cluster of mismatched colonies, with very little in the way of actual wealth. But under the original US Constitution, the nation attracted talent and capital and provided an environment where innovation flourished under a strong rule of law quite alien to the typical corrupt monarchies of the old world.

Table 1 summarizes Real GDP growth for the 19th and 20th centuries.

Table 1. Real GDP, Gains and Growth Rates by Century
Period Start GDP
(mil. 2005 $)
End GDP
(mil. 2005 $)
Gain Annualized
Growth Rate
1800-1900 7,994 456,861 57x 4.1% p.a.
1900-2000 456,861 12,559,700 27x 3.3% p.a.

Key Observation: The rate of growth of U.S. Real GDP was lower during the 20th century than during the 19th century. In the 19th century, GDP was multiplied by 57x, but only by 27x in the 20th century. Has economic growth been decelerating? Let’s looked more closely at each century.

Source

By the 20th century, corrupt rent-seekers had already made significant inroads into the American political economy, and under Clinton-Bush-Obama the parasites have thrived. Under Obama, the swamp of thieves has expanded exponentially. And as swamp-dwellers George Soros and his friends have made clear, they will not leave the stage quietly.

 

 

Watch closely, and try to keep up with the changes.

More:

Draining the climate apocalypse swamp

Meanwhile on the foreign front, comparing Rex Tillerson as Secretary of State with feather-weights Hillary Clinton and John Kerry is beyond laughable.

Obama’s entire cabinet, his entire tenure as president, has been a massively corrupt joke on the American people and the constitutional republic.

Special note:

We have already drawn a distinction between Trump’s aggressive stance against US domestic corruption, as opposed to his apparent support for US international corporate interests. For the time being, we are examining Trump’s foreign policies separately from his domestic policies, without attempting to reconcile any apparent contradictions. This is the only rational approach to the ongoing discovery of President Trump — looking at all the pieces of his plan in semi-isolated fashion while suspending judgment for now — since he will not actually be inaugurated for more than a month from now.

If we seem to be cheering on the disruption of the tightly knit system of corruption within all interlocking institutions of American society, it is because we are. Such a disruption — with extreme prejudice — is long overdue.

Posted in Draining the Swamp, Economics, Government, Groupthink, Idiocracy, Politics | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

Through the Looking Glass: The Black Swan Called Trump

No One Believed Peter Zeihan Until Now

In the 2014 book “The Accidental Superpower,” Zeihan predicted the withdrawal of the US from a wide range of longstanding international agreements, leading to a weakening of the present world order. With the US election of Donald Trump, suddenly such predictions do not seem nearly so outlandish.

Zeihan’s ideas take on a new significance, in the age of Donald Trump. If you have been reading and observing Peter Zeihan all this time, you are not nearly so likely to be surprised by many of the things that will completely flabbergast almost everyone else you know. Most people cannot imagine the US stepping back from most of the rest of the world. But whether it is something they wish or not, they are likely to see first-hand what it will be like.

There are a couple of things going on simultaneously. First, because of demographic aging on a global scale, the United States is emerging as the only market over the long-term. Second, the United States is backing away from the world. It is reducing the American footprint overseas while its ability to intervene increases. What we have done with Special Forces, what we are doing with drones, what we are doing with satellite tech—the ability to reach out is higher than it has been for decades. But our need to do that with troops on the ground or maintaining the day-to-day order of the international system is going away. __ Recent Forbes Interview with Peter Zeihan

Trump has already disavowed NATO, the UN, internationl trade agreements, climate agreements, and many other key bulwarks to the modern international order. Under President Trump, there are good reasons to believe that many of Zeihan’s predictions regarding American retrenchment-in-earnest will come about.

What was seen under President Obama is likely to be remembered as “a tentative or pretend retrenchment.” From the link:

Altogether, and in spite of rhetorical assertions to the contrary, the reality of American strategic retrenchment under President Obama – together with his persistent search for diplomatic accommodation with Iran, China, and Russia – have disconcerted numerous US allies in East Asia, the Middle East, and Central-Eastern Europe. The question on everyone’s mind is whether the US will actually support its allies in a crisis situation.

Trump has said that Germany needs to take over the defence of Europe, Japan should be allowed to defend itself, and South Korea should pay the US if it wants the sole superpower to continue to act as a shield against N. Korea and China. Most of all, under a Trump administration, the US seems more likely to let the chips fall where they may.

Countries like South Korea, Germany and other NATO partners, assuming that the US remains as part of the alliance, will have to pay the US for their protection. __ Disavowing Unilateral International Obligations

When the cat’s away, the mice will play!

US is “Leaving the Building”

In the ensuing vacuum bloody chaos is coming to most regions of the world. Age-long blood feuds are reasserting themselves — and neo-imperial wannabes are exploring possible expansions of their “spheres of influence” in preparation for larger struggles to come. Islamic terror is set to explode across the globe, particularly in the third world and in a badly weakened EU that has rolled over on its back, exposing its soft underbelly to anyone who looks the least bit threatening. And to the surprise of most observers, it seems more and more that the US is unlikely to do very much about any of it.

The Political Foundations of the US Itself are Shifting

The shaky coalitions that have patched together US governments on both sides of the aisle are falling apart. Trump’s neo-populist coalition poaches from both Democrat Party and Republican Party coalitions, and promises more of the same in the future. Nothing is set in stone. These turnings will be reflected in foreign policies of all kinds.

The political system is breaking down. The Republican coalition tends to win elections because it is made up of five independent coalitions—the business community, those concerned for national security, populists, evangelicals, and pro-lifers (those opposed to legalized abortion). They do not undermine each other. For example, the business folks do not really care what you do with your personal life, whereas the pro-lifers do not want to shut down the US Marine Corps.

With these groups, a platform that does not contradict itself is easy to contrive, and individuals all show up to vote. So, Republicans tend to win.

The Democratic coalition side is broader, but it is a much more fractious coalition, including African-Americans, the LGBT (lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender) community, socialists, environmental advocates (or “greens”), pro-choicers (those in favor of preserving legal abortion), people under 30, union members, and unmarried women. African-Americans and the LGBT community tend to have different concepts of the meaning of civil rights. The greens and the unions disagree on almost everything, especially when it comes to industrial policy.

Then, in the middle, there are the groups that Republicans and Democrats try to swing to them—Hispanics and Catholics. Both groups tend to be economically liberal, and they tend to be socially conservative, but they are both very amorphous.

This system is how politics has worked in the United States since the 1930s. What is happening right now in the political system is that these “traditional” party coalitions are already broken beyond repair. The last time this happened to the United States was in the 1930s. There was the Great Depression, and the country moved into World War II. The United States had the most popular president in its history, Franklin Delano Roosevelt. It took the United States 15 years for the parties to settle into their new form, the form that we know today.

Even if the United States was convinced that its economic and physical security required international engagement, it is about to step out to lunch, and it is going to be a very, very long lunch. Just as the rest of the world needs the United States, it is leaving the building. __ http://www.cfapubs.org/doi/10.2469/cp.v33.n4.1

Donald Trump appears in many cases to be appointing cabinet officials who will try to maintain the international US corporate status quo, while shaking up the domestic rats’ nests in media, government, and perhaps academia. But looks can be deceiving. If Trump does nothing more than push hard on the parasitic Chinese relationship with Europe and the US, and drops out of a catastrophic climate agreement, a lot of dominoes will begin to fall. And it is likely that after that, the process of maintaining the globalist order will be much of a lost cause.

If you don’t want to be caught with your pants down when the world you think you know suddenly starts unraveling, you may wish to read this book. The process has been underway for decades, but it is getting ready to accelerate.


US commitment to NATO was already rapidly waning — until the reconquista of Crimea and the less than stealth invasion of eastern Ukraine. Suddenly, new life was breathed into the near-corpse, and NATO began to strike a strong pose along the threatened Baltic region. But such a revival is likely to be only temporary, for many reasons.

The US has been in the process of abandoning military bases in Germany and western Europe for over 50 years. Confident that the US will always be around to protect it, Germany is turning some of the old bases into new age hippie communes. Very pretty. But can they fight?

Sears

Sears

Attention! This is Not a Drill!

Trump is taking a lot of the trends that already existed in American politics and kicked them up a notch. We are already going through this period of new isolationism and here comes a trade warrior who wants to renegotiate every trade deal on the books, specifically fingering Mexico and China, two of our three biggest trading partners.

__ Peter Zeihan Interview Forbes, 5 Dec. 2016

Donald Trump is exactly the kind of US president who will do the sort of things that Zeihan has been predicting for almost ten years now:

  1. Step back from costly asymmetrical trade deals with China — setting immense political and economic instabilities in motion inside of China
  2. Back away from a number of US overseas commitments of various types — military, economic, climate, etc.
  3. Drastically reduce the US role of “global policeman”
  4. The US will be a much tougher trade partner in general — “No more Mr. Nice Guy on trade”, or diplomacy of any kind for that matter
  5. The US together with Canada (and necessarily Mexico) will form a far more self-sufficient economic bloc than exists anywhere else in the world — at the expense of China
  6. Stop wasting money on apocalyptic climate hysteria and green energy scams

And much more besides…. One of Zeihan’s most interesting post-2016 election predictions, is that the “immigration wall” will more likely be built and patrolled along Mexico’s 500 mile southern borders, rather than along the 2,000 mile long border of the US with Mexico. Mexico is even more paranoid about illegal immigration within its borders, than the alt.right in the US. It might not work because of rampant corruption throughout the entire Mexican government, but it is an interesting idea.

Aleppo and Donbass May Well Become the New Norm

Russia and China in particular may feel emboldened by a genuine American retrenchment under President Trump. As Putin has shown, he is not afraid of breaking a large number of eggs in order to cook the particular neo-imperial omelette that he longs for. Unfortunately for Putin and the grand Russian empire, under Trump China is likely to feel pressured to assert itself more widely in its neighborhood in the quest for critical resources and breathing space. Siberia itself will suddenly be up for grabs. In fact, all of Asia from the Indian Ocean to the Arctic to the China Seas and Pacific will be at risk of lighting up — at particularly strategic hot spots — when the bear and the dragon get down to existential tacks.

Putin understands that Russia faces literal extinction, and when it comes it is far more likely to come at the hands of China — with an assist from the Turks, Iranians, and the much abused peoples of eastern and northern Europe.

A vast country of accelerating emptiness

http://www.forbes.com/sites/peterhigh/2016/12/05/reasons-why-the-us-will-dominate-the-world-economy-for-the-foreseeable-future/#4d531dac3841

https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2016/11/24/peter-zeihan-the-geopolitics-of-a-fragmenting-world/

http://www.cfapubs.org/doi/10.2469/cp.v33.n4.1

Posted in Coming Anarchy, Everything You Think You Know Just Ain't So, geopolitics, Idiocracy, Peter Zeihan, Siberia | Tagged , | 9 Comments

Why are Some Nations Rich and Others Poor?


Judging only by wealth per capita, most people might choose to live in Switzerland, Lichtenstein, or Luxembourg. But residency is tightly restricted in the smaller two nations of the three, and gaining permanent residency is Switzerland is not particularly easy. It is a small, landlocked country, for all the clean mountain air.

Discovering Why Particular Nations are Wealthy is More Difficult than Determining Which Ones are Richer

Below is a list of several books that attempt to answer the question. The authors of the books used a variety of criteria to explain why some nations are wealthy while others are not.

Most of the ideas discussed in the books above can be summarised in reasonably short lists. But to understand the importance of the various factors, one must look at many examples and study the reasoning behind the more technical factors underlying success or failure. Your own level of interest must help you choose between a “CliffsNotes” understanding of the issue and a deeper, more detailed level of comprehension.

Example lists of reasons for why some nations are rich

  1. Worker productivity
  2. Technical expertise
  3. Appropriate population
  4. Committed and efficient workforce
  5. Efficient utilisation of natural resources
  6. Educated population
  7. Population actively involved in politics and running of society
  8. Stable government
  9. Resistance to outside interference
  10. Rule of law

__ Adapted from Source

Here is a shorter list of reasons for “Why Some Countries are Rich . . . :”

  1. Quality of Capital
  2. Quality of Labour
  3. Efficiency of capital and labour
  4. Economic and government institutions

__ Adapted from Source

Another short list:

  1. Technology and productivity
  2. Institutions and Culture
  3. Geography and natural resources
  4. Freedoms and Capabilities

__ Source

If looked at closely, the above lists overlap and restate each other using different phrasings. They are the conventional reasons for why some nations are rich and others poor. Trade, natural resources, worker productivity, access to capital and technology, rule of law, geography, stable government etc. are all relatively non-controversial factors generally recognised as typically involved in national prosperity — and they are all discussed in detail within at least one of the above books.

Here is a short, non-controversial video course on why some countries are rich and others are poor, emphasizing the commonly accepted narrative:

But the quality of human capital is crucial, and most writers give short shrift to the reasons why some human populations contribute more to societal prosperity than others.

Examining Human Capital from the Viewpoint of IQ or Executive Function: Not Politically Correct

Correlations between GDP and average national IQ are quite obvious, although politically incorrect. Wealthy high IQ nations might consider “building a high wall to block illegal low-IQ immigration, and encouraging high IQ couples to have more children.”

Economic Success Correlates With National Average IQ More at VDare

Economic Success Correlates With National Average IQ
More at VDare


But high average IQ may not be the most important ingredient for building human capital to support a prosperous, thriving society. A set of brain processes referred to as “executive functions” are at least as important as IQ.

Executive Functions (EF) are mediated by the pre-frontal lobes of the brain and other key brain centres. Examples of EF include:

  1. Those that involve planning or decision making
  2. Those that involve error correction or troubleshooting
  3. Situations where responses are not well-rehearsed or contain novel sequences of actions
  4. Dangerous or technically difficult situations
  5. Situations that require the overcoming of a strong habitual response or resisting temptation.

__ Wikipedia Executive Functions

Executive functions have been found to be roughly 90% heritable, as opposed to IQ which is generally found to be between 50% and 80% heritable, with heritability of IQ increasing as a person ages. EF can be more important to life success than IQ, given a certain baseline intelligence level.

Much of a nation’s human capital is tied up in the genes which help determine IQ and EF. If populations of high average IQ and EF do not procreate, massive amounts of genetic wealth are being dissipated to no apparent benefit.

Even worse, politically correct governments are seeking to displace the “genes of prosperity” and to replace them with “genes of poverty, violence, and corruption.” It is not easy to displace intelligent, orderly, hard-working, and innovative populations in an open and transparent manner — and so governments often go about the process in very underhanded ways (consider immigration in Germany, the Netherlands, and Sweden, or US immigration under Obama).

Low IQ and low EF nations, such as those in sub Saharan Africa and the Caribbean, should look more toward improving their trade policies, economic/governmental institutions, legal systems, and toward cleaning up corruption [eg Zimbabwe]. Highly recommended for low-IQ nations is the policy of attracting market-dominant minorities through the use of free trade zones, where government kleptocrats are kept at arms’ reach. The opportunities that arise from the creation of “non-natural resource oriented private enterprises” will provide a broader economic boost within the population at large than current state-controlled enterprises.

When Considering the Lists of Reasons for Prosperity vs. Poverty, Don’t Forget the Effects of IQ and EF

The Credit Suisse global map of national GDPs at the top of this posting is a snapshot image of recent global economic data. But everything changes, and nothing is quite so dynamic as the flow of money and wealth. What goes up often comes down, and what is down sometimes goes up. Much depends upon decisions that are made in high places of government, and on disruptive technological innovations that are developed in favourable economic climates.

IQ roughly corresponds to intelligence, and EF roughly corresponds to self-discipline, goal orientation, impulse control, and self-starting. Both are highly heritable, and need to be trained early in childhood to achieve optimal outcomes in terms of life success and achievement. They are crucial ingredients of a nation’s human capital and future economic prospects, and are typically neglected by most western nations — out of leftist political correctness.

Perhaps US president-elect Trump can bring the balance of human investment back into a more rational range. You get less of what you tax and more of what you subsidise, after all.

But it is best for you yourself to take control of the future of your immediate world, if you can, and stop trusting authority to do things for you. That is what the Al Fin blogs have always been about, and at this time in particular, The Dangerous Child blog.

Choose a Good Location, and A Couple of Fallback Locations

In locations such as Europe and the Anglosphere, it is possible to choose prime and fallback locations for various eventualities — including general prosperity, recession, and outright depression/collapse. One should make preparations for most likely possibilities, including the worst and the best. Preppers and survivalists typically make the mistake of focusing exclusively on doom, and miss out on much of the expansive life they might have had. Cornucopians often make the opposite mistake by failing to prepare for inevitable setbacks, and suffer needlessly as a result.

More:

Sometime around the year 1500 AD, the world entered the modern era of European ascendancy. This long-lasting turn of fortune is often referred to as “The European Miracle”, after a book by historian Eric Jones. The massive shift in global wealth away from Asia toward Europe, and the rise in broad European prosperity and influence that began around the year 1500 has puzzled and astounded mainstream conventional thinkers for centuries now.

Loosening of Governmental Ties Over Commerce

The conquest and development of “new worlds” by Europeans opened large areas for economic development far beyond the effective reach of established governments. The wealth thus created was applied to the creation of a much more loosely controlled system of commerce and practical economics which fed on itself to build whole empires of dynamic prosperity.

Thus over roughly one hundred years, the tiny relatively undeveloped former British colonies in North America developed into the most prosperous nation in the world, between 1790 and 1890. Since then, the US has saved Europe from itself twice (WWI, WWII) and from the USSR once (Cold War I). And now with the most recent ongoing decline of China, the US wealth gap is widening once again.

Peter Zeihan’s book, The Accidental Superpower, explains the many severe problems of Europe, China, Russia, Latin America, Africa, and most of Asia, and reveals why the US wealth gap is likely to widen significantly throughout the present century.

Future Global Stability Peter Zeihan

Future Global Stability
Peter Zeihan

Such things as The European Miracle and The Accidental Superpower do not just happen without reasons.

All of the people who foolishly bet their money and aspirations on Russia, China, Brasil, Venezuela, Nazi Germany, or any other corrupt and despotic nations have clearly failed to learn the lessons of wealth creation over time.

Into the Future

via

One man’s attempt to kickstart future innovations

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst (and best). It is never too late (or too early) to have a Dangerous Childhood — wherever it may be.

More:

A few reasons why president-elect Trump may consider getting tougher on China while learning to make accomodations with Mexico

Trans-border trade with Mexico offers many strong advantages to the current arrangement with China.

The cost of a “free press” south of the border

Posted in Demographics, Economics, Executive Functions, Genetics and Gene Expression, IQ, Wealth of Nations | Tagged , , | 7 Comments

China’s Global Economic Leadership is a Fable

China is aging, wages are rising to uncompetitive levels, capital is fleeing, and the CCP is propping up a bubble economy that is losing ground.

China’s economic importance [is] falling — not rising slowly, nor staying stable, but falling.

…. For decades, China has reported much faster growth in gross domestic product. By 2015, the difference in the two countries’ GDP measured only $7 trillion. But GDP shows activity, not prosperity. For example, if a building is built and torn down over and over, every senseless iteration adds to GDP.

If this criticism seems like a stretch, it’s less of one in the PRC, as evidenced by what would be a property bubble anywhere else. More generally, it is telling that China can report GDP growth above 6.5 percent, yet independent observers see stagnant private wealth, and even the government admits debt has soared for six years. China has a very active economy, but not a very productive one. __ China Losing Ground

Shoddy Construction Boosts China GDP Source

Shoddy Construction Boosts China GDP
Source


In China, land is owned by the government. The government only makes money when land is leased for new construction and from the “up-front” full tax payments from real estate sales. So the more often the land can be recycled in a build – demolish – build cycle of endless reconstruction, the more money the government can make from land leases and property taxes. So buildings are only designed and constructed to last between about two decades.

Seen in this light, huge Chinese “ghost cities” make perfect sense, as long as the massive credit stimulus behind this perennial construction boom can be kept alive.

Everyone seems to profit from these “disposable cities,” he writes. Contractors and developers save money by cutting corners on building materials, labor and craftsmanship. The Chinese government buys back properties to resell to developers. The steady demolition and construction helps to inflate employment levels. __ http://citiscope.org/citisignals/2015/chinas-disposable-cities-are-not-built-last

To be clear: property taxes are paid in full when purchasers buy real estate properties. This boon to the government is another incentive for making sure that the property does not last very long before being demolished — so that another property can take its place to keep the eternal cycle of taxation going.

China’s two steadfast pillars of growth, exports and domestic investment clearly show cracks in their veneers. China’s exports for October slumped 7.3 percent from the previous earlier, despite the yuan’s depreciation during the past year. This is reflected in the stock of foreign exchange reserves, which peaked over a year ago at $4 trillion but have now fallen to $3.1 trillion.

Imports have also been falling—clear evidence that domestic demand has slowed more than the authorities or headline numbers acknowledge. Despite stringent capital controls, capital flight has clearly accelerated as affluent Chinese have lost confidence in the domestic economy.

Fixed-asset investment is still running at 45 percent of GDP, leading to significant excess capacity in industries ranging from steel to solar panels. Earlier objectives to lay off six million workers in state-owned enterprises early in President Xi’s term have not materialized, and state-owned banks continue directing credit to prop them up.

So, is the Chinese economy entering a period of stagnation?

Because the credit spigots cannot gush indefinitely and much of the mounting debt will likely go bad, it appears reasonably likely. And the window to solve these problems is quickly closing. __ http://dailysignal.com/2016/12/02/is-the-chinese-economy-hitting-stagnation/

China's Buildings Too Often "Demolish Themselves" Source

China’s Buildings Too Often “Demolish Themselves”
Source

More on China’s shoddy construction

Last year, China Economic Review reported on a controversial study that said poor building quality and China’s short-sighted land-lease system would lead developers in major urban areas to neglect reinvestment in city centers. The study, published by an international team of scholars, said the conditions would push investment to the outskirts of cities, leading to urban sprawl. More alarming, it could also cause city centers to decay into slums.

The following bears repeating:

Fixed-asset investment is still running at 45 percent of GDP, leading to significant excess capacity in industries ranging from steel to solar panels. Earlier objectives to lay off six million workers in state-owned enterprises early in President Xi’s term have not materialized, and state-owned banks continue directing credit to prop them up.

Source
Official state growth statistics place Chinese economic growth near 7% per year. More reliable sources put the figure closer to 4% per year. But if you take a very close look at “productive growth” as opposed to “manic growth” and misallocation, you will see that productive growth in China is less than 2% — and may even be less than 0%.

There are data, grounded in real-world calculations, that show China’s economic importance falling — not rising slowly, nor staying stable, but falling. __ RealClearWorld

There is a cost to be paid for devoting so much credit to propping up growth numbers by building shoddy ghost cities, corrupt state owned enterprises, and other fixed-asset investments of questionable value. If China’s leaders misjudge events, they could have a large-scale insurrection on their hands when the bubble bursts.

Why US and other foreign companies are fleeing China

Not long after multinationals showed up in China, they were made to hand over much of their technology to native competitors (almost all of which are directly or indirectly owned by the Chinese government) … Proprietary technology is the most valuable asset owned by many multinationals. So China truly offered a lose-lose choice for these companies — either they could miss out on the Chinese market in the short term, or give away technologies that would allow Chinese competitors to challenge them all over the world in the medium term. Of course, given China’s high rate of industrial espionage, the penalty for operating in China was even higher than official government policy would suggest.

More:

China might do better by taking a more cooperative tone with the US president-elect. Foreign investment and voluntary technology transfer by foreign corporations are the things that fueled China’s recent rise. Both of those things are slipping away, and the running dog neo-imperialism of China’s leaders is only making it worse.

Pretence vs reality

http://www.theepochtimes.com/n3/2194802-why-china-cannot-lead-globalization-in-a-post-trump-world/

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-12-06/why-china-should-heed-lessons-of-pearl-harbor

Posted in China, Economics, Empire | Tagged

Illegal Voting Significant; Covered Up by Obama and Media

Update: Election Fraud is Real and Ongoing

California voter fraud created illusion that “Clinton won popular vote.”
Subtracting the results of California’s fraudulent voting system, Trump won the national popular vote by roughly 1.5 million votes.

… 13% of noncitizens said they were registered to vote. That matches closely the Old Dominion/George Mason study, in which 15.6% of noncitizens said they were registered.

Source

As many as 3 million illegals — perhaps more — may have voted for Hillary Clinton on November 9. Here’s how it could have happened:

The following excerpt comes from a Wall Street Journal original news article:

…there is a real chance that significant numbers of noncitizens and others are indeed voting illegally, perhaps enough to make up the margin in some elections.

There’s no way of knowing for sure. The voter-registration process in almost all states runs on the honor system. The Obama administration has done everything it can to [prevent meaningful reform]. The Obama Justice Department has refused to file a single lawsuit to enforce the requirement of the National Voter Registration Act that states maintain the accuracy of their voter-registration lists. This despite a 2012 study from the Pew Center on the States estimating that one out of every eight voter registrations is inaccurate, out-of-date or duplicate.

About 2.8 million people are registered in more than one state, according to the study, and 1.8 million registered voters are dead. In most places it’s easy to vote under the names of such people with little risk of detection.

An undercover video released in October by the citizen-journalist group Project Veritas shows a Democratic election commissioner in New York City saying at a party, “I think there is a lot of voter fraud.” A second video shows two Democratic operatives mulling how it would be possible to get away with voter fraud.

The Justice Department has opposed every effort by states—such as Kansas, Arizona, Alabama and Georgia—to verify the citizenship of those registering to vote. This despite evidence that noncitizens are indeed registering and casting ballots. In 2015 one Kansas county began offering voter registration at naturalization ceremonies. Election officials soon discovered about a dozen new Americans who were already registered—and who had voted as noncitizens in multiple elections.

How common is this? If only we knew. Political correctness has squelched probes of noncitizen voting, so most cases are discovered accidentally instead of through a systematic review of election records.

The danger looms large in states such as California, which provides driver’s licenses to noncitizens, including those here illegally, and which also does nothing to verify citizenship during voter registration. In a 1996 House race, then-challenger Loretta Sanchez defeated incumbent Rep. Bob Dornan by under 1,000 votes. An investigation by a House committee found 624 invalid votes by noncitizens, nearly enough to overturn the result.

A September report from the Public Interest Legal Foundation found more than 1,000 noncitizens who had been removed from the voter rolls in eight Virginia counties. Many of them had cast ballots in previous elections, but none was referred for possible prosecution.

The lack of prosecutions is no surprise. In 2011, the Electoral Board in Fairfax County, Va., sent the Justice Department, under then-Attorney General Eric Holder, information about 278 noncitizens registered to vote in Fairfax County, about half of whom had cast ballots in previous elections. There is no record that the Justice Department did anything.

A 2014 study by three professors at Old Dominion University and George Mason University used extensive survey data to estimate that 6.4% of the nation’s noncitizens voted in 2008 and that 2.2% voted in 2010…. the Heritage Foundation maintains a list of more than 700 recent convictions for voter fraud.

A postelection survey conducted by Americas Majority Foundation found that 2.1% of noncitizens voted in the Nov. 8 election. In the battleground states of Michigan and Ohio, 2.5% and 2.1%, respectively, of noncitizens reported voting. In 2013, pollster McLaughlin & Associates conducted an extensive survey of Hispanics on immigration issues. Its voter-profile tabulation shows that 13% of noncitizens said they were registered to vote. That matches closely the Old Dominion/George Mason study, in which 15.6% of noncitizens said they were registered.

Fixing this problem is very straightforward. The Trump administration should direct the Department of Homeland Security to cooperate with states that want to verify the citizenship of registered voters. Since this will only flag illegal immigrants who have been detained at some point and legal noncitizens, states should pass laws, similar to the one in Kansas, that require proof of citizenship when registering to vote. The Justice Department, instead of ignoring the issue, should again start prosecuting these cases.

… There are people—like those caught voting illegally—who are willing to exploit these weaknesses that damage election integrity.

Mr. von Spakovsky, a former member of the Federal Election Commission, is a senior legal fellow at the Heritage Foundation. Mr. Fund is the national affairs columnist for National Review. They are the authors of “Who’s Counting? How Fraudsters and Bureaucrats Put Your Vote at Risk” (Encounter, 2012). __ Wall Street Journal

Another source for the above, with links

California Makes it Easy for Illegals to Vote

California provides drivers’ licenses to illegal aliens and does nothing to verify citizenship at the polling place. In states with such policies, there is no reliable way to determine how many illegals are actually voting. And that is just the way the people who run California want it.

Under These Conditions, Popular Vote Counts are Badly Tainted and Unreliable

Up until now, politicians have been either too corrupt, or too frightened of voting fraud promoters to take a serious stance against policies that make polling fraud easy — sometimes easy enough to swing elections. Time will tell whether president-elect Trump will follow through on his promises to act against illegal aliens from the third world, and their many shenanigans and misdeeds.

Clearly any popular vote tally that includes states such as California, cannot be trusted to determine any issues of importance. Corruption in California is the state-level equivalent of corruption in Chicago or Detroit. Californians may tolerate it for now, but much of the rest of the country is increasingly ready to act to counter the unfortunate national blowback caused by such seediness.

Posted in Politics | Tagged