Why are Some Nations Rich and Others Poor?

Judging only by wealth per capita, most people might choose to live in Switzerland, Lichtenstein, or Luxembourg. But residency is tightly restricted in the smaller two nations of the three, and gaining permanent residency is Switzerland is not particularly easy. It is a small, landlocked country, for all the clean mountain air.

Discovering Why Particular Nations are Wealthy is More Difficult than Determining Which Ones are Richer

Below is a list of several books that attempt to answer the question. The authors of the books used a variety of criteria to explain why some nations are wealthy while others are not.

Most of the ideas discussed in the books above can be summarised in reasonably short lists. But to understand the importance of the various factors, one must look at many examples and study the reasoning behind the more technical factors underlying success or failure. Your own level of interest must help you choose between a “CliffsNotes” understanding of the issue and a deeper, more detailed level of comprehension.

Example lists of reasons for why some nations are rich

  1. Worker productivity
  2. Technical expertise
  3. Appropriate population
  4. Committed and efficient workforce
  5. Efficient utilisation of natural resources
  6. Educated population
  7. Population actively involved in politics and running of society
  8. Stable government
  9. Resistance to outside interference
  10. Rule of law

__ Adapted from Source

Here is a shorter list of reasons for “Why Some Countries are Rich . . . :”

  1. Quality of Capital
  2. Quality of Labour
  3. Efficiency of capital and labour
  4. Economic and government institutions

__ Adapted from Source

Another short list:

  1. Technology and productivity
  2. Institutions and Culture
  3. Geography and natural resources
  4. Freedoms and Capabilities

__ Source

If looked at closely, the above lists overlap and restate each other using different phrasings. They are the conventional reasons for why some nations are rich and others poor. Trade, natural resources, worker productivity, access to capital and technology, rule of law, geography, stable government etc. are all relatively non-controversial factors generally recognised as typically involved in national prosperity — and they are all discussed in detail within at least one of the above books.

Here is a short, non-controversial video course on why some countries are rich and others are poor, emphasizing the commonly accepted narrative:

But the quality of human capital is crucial, and most writers give short shrift to the reasons why some human populations contribute more to societal prosperity than others.

Examining Human Capital from the Viewpoint of IQ or Executive Function: Not Politically Correct

Correlations between GDP and average national IQ are quite obvious, although politically incorrect. Wealthy high IQ nations might consider “building a high wall to block illegal low-IQ immigration, and encouraging high IQ couples to have more children.”

Economic Success Correlates With National Average IQ More at VDare

Economic Success Correlates With National Average IQ
More at VDare

But high average IQ may not be the most important ingredient for building human capital to support a prosperous, thriving society. A set of brain processes referred to as “executive functions” are at least as important as IQ.

Executive Functions (EF) are mediated by the pre-frontal lobes of the brain and other key brain centres. Examples of EF include:

  1. Those that involve planning or decision making
  2. Those that involve error correction or troubleshooting
  3. Situations where responses are not well-rehearsed or contain novel sequences of actions
  4. Dangerous or technically difficult situations
  5. Situations that require the overcoming of a strong habitual response or resisting temptation.

__ Wikipedia Executive Functions

Executive functions have been found to be roughly 90% heritable, as opposed to IQ which is generally found to be between 50% and 80% heritable, with heritability of IQ increasing as a person ages. EF can be more important to life success than IQ, given a certain baseline intelligence level.

Much of a nation’s human capital is tied up in the genes which help determine IQ and EF. If populations of high average IQ and EF do not procreate, massive amounts of genetic wealth are being dissipated to no apparent benefit.

Even worse, politically correct governments are seeking to displace the “genes of prosperity” and to replace them with “genes of poverty, violence, and corruption.” It is not easy to displace intelligent, orderly, hard-working, and innovative populations in an open and transparent manner — and so governments often go about the process in very underhanded ways (consider immigration in Germany, the Netherlands, and Sweden, or US immigration under Obama).

Low IQ and low EF nations, such as those in sub Saharan Africa and the Caribbean, should look more toward improving their trade policies, economic/governmental institutions, legal systems, and toward cleaning up corruption [eg Zimbabwe]. Highly recommended for low-IQ nations is the policy of attracting market-dominant minorities through the use of free trade zones, where government kleptocrats are kept at arms’ reach. The opportunities that arise from the creation of “non-natural resource oriented private enterprises” will provide a broader economic boost within the population at large than current state-controlled enterprises.

When Considering the Lists of Reasons for Prosperity vs. Poverty, Don’t Forget the Effects of IQ and EF

The Credit Suisse global map of national GDPs at the top of this posting is a snapshot image of recent global economic data. But everything changes, and nothing is quite so dynamic as the flow of money and wealth. What goes up often comes down, and what is down sometimes goes up. Much depends upon decisions that are made in high places of government, and on disruptive technological innovations that are developed in favourable economic climates.

IQ roughly corresponds to intelligence, and EF roughly corresponds to self-discipline, goal orientation, impulse control, and self-starting. Both are highly heritable, and need to be trained early in childhood to achieve optimal outcomes in terms of life success and achievement. They are crucial ingredients of a nation’s human capital and future economic prospects, and are typically neglected by most western nations — out of leftist political correctness.

Perhaps US president-elect Trump can bring the balance of human investment back into a more rational range. You get less of what you tax and more of what you subsidise, after all.

But it is best for you yourself to take control of the future of your immediate world, if you can, and stop trusting authority to do things for you. That is what the Al Fin blogs have always been about, and at this time in particular, The Dangerous Child blog.

Choose a Good Location, and A Couple of Fallback Locations

In locations such as Europe and the Anglosphere, it is possible to choose prime and fallback locations for various eventualities — including general prosperity, recession, and outright depression/collapse. One should make preparations for most likely possibilities, including the worst and the best. Preppers and survivalists typically make the mistake of focusing exclusively on doom, and miss out on much of the expansive life they might have had. Cornucopians often make the opposite mistake by failing to prepare for inevitable setbacks, and suffer needlessly as a result.


Sometime around the year 1500 AD, the world entered the modern era of European ascendancy. This long-lasting turn of fortune is often referred to as “The European Miracle”, after a book by historian Eric Jones. The massive shift in global wealth away from Asia toward Europe, and the rise in broad European prosperity and influence that began around the year 1500 has puzzled and astounded mainstream conventional thinkers for centuries now.

Loosening of Governmental Ties Over Commerce

The conquest and development of “new worlds” by Europeans opened large areas for economic development far beyond the effective reach of established governments. The wealth thus created was applied to the creation of a much more loosely controlled system of commerce and practical economics which fed on itself to build whole empires of dynamic prosperity.

Thus over roughly one hundred years, the tiny relatively undeveloped former British colonies in North America developed into the most prosperous nation in the world, between 1790 and 1890. Since then, the US has saved Europe from itself twice (WWI, WWII) and from the USSR once (Cold War I). And now with the most recent ongoing decline of China, the US wealth gap is widening once again.

Peter Zeihan’s book, The Accidental Superpower, explains the many severe problems of Europe, China, Russia, Latin America, Africa, and most of Asia, and reveals why the US wealth gap is likely to widen significantly throughout the present century.

Future Global Stability Peter Zeihan

Future Global Stability
Peter Zeihan

Such things as The European Miracle and The Accidental Superpower do not just happen without reasons.

All of the people who foolishly bet their money and aspirations on Russia, China, Brasil, Venezuela, Nazi Germany, or any other corrupt and despotic nations have clearly failed to learn the lessons of wealth creation over time.

Into the Future


One man’s attempt to kickstart future innovations

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst (and best). It is never too late (or too early) to have a Dangerous Childhood — wherever it may be.


A few reasons why president-elect Trump may consider getting tougher on China while learning to make accomodations with Mexico

Trans-border trade with Mexico offers many strong advantages to the current arrangement with China.

The cost of a “free press” south of the border

Posted in Demographics, Economics, Executive Functions, Genetics and Gene Expression, IQ, Wealth of Nations | Tagged , , | 7 Comments

China’s Global Economic Leadership is a Fable

China is aging, wages are rising to uncompetitive levels, capital is fleeing, and the CCP is propping up a bubble economy that is losing ground.

China’s economic importance [is] falling — not rising slowly, nor staying stable, but falling.

…. For decades, China has reported much faster growth in gross domestic product. By 2015, the difference in the two countries’ GDP measured only $7 trillion. But GDP shows activity, not prosperity. For example, if a building is built and torn down over and over, every senseless iteration adds to GDP.

If this criticism seems like a stretch, it’s less of one in the PRC, as evidenced by what would be a property bubble anywhere else. More generally, it is telling that China can report GDP growth above 6.5 percent, yet independent observers see stagnant private wealth, and even the government admits debt has soared for six years. China has a very active economy, but not a very productive one. __ China Losing Ground

Shoddy Construction Boosts China GDP Source

Shoddy Construction Boosts China GDP

In China, land is owned by the government. The government only makes money when land is leased for new construction and from the “up-front” full tax payments from real estate sales. So the more often the land can be recycled in a build – demolish – build cycle of endless reconstruction, the more money the government can make from land leases and property taxes. So buildings are only designed and constructed to last between about two decades.

Seen in this light, huge Chinese “ghost cities” make perfect sense, as long as the massive credit stimulus behind this perennial construction boom can be kept alive.

Everyone seems to profit from these “disposable cities,” he writes. Contractors and developers save money by cutting corners on building materials, labor and craftsmanship. The Chinese government buys back properties to resell to developers. The steady demolition and construction helps to inflate employment levels. __ http://citiscope.org/citisignals/2015/chinas-disposable-cities-are-not-built-last

To be clear: property taxes are paid in full when purchasers buy real estate properties. This boon to the government is another incentive for making sure that the property does not last very long before being demolished — so that another property can take its place to keep the eternal cycle of taxation going.

China’s two steadfast pillars of growth, exports and domestic investment clearly show cracks in their veneers. China’s exports for October slumped 7.3 percent from the previous earlier, despite the yuan’s depreciation during the past year. This is reflected in the stock of foreign exchange reserves, which peaked over a year ago at $4 trillion but have now fallen to $3.1 trillion.

Imports have also been falling—clear evidence that domestic demand has slowed more than the authorities or headline numbers acknowledge. Despite stringent capital controls, capital flight has clearly accelerated as affluent Chinese have lost confidence in the domestic economy.

Fixed-asset investment is still running at 45 percent of GDP, leading to significant excess capacity in industries ranging from steel to solar panels. Earlier objectives to lay off six million workers in state-owned enterprises early in President Xi’s term have not materialized, and state-owned banks continue directing credit to prop them up.

So, is the Chinese economy entering a period of stagnation?

Because the credit spigots cannot gush indefinitely and much of the mounting debt will likely go bad, it appears reasonably likely. And the window to solve these problems is quickly closing. __ http://dailysignal.com/2016/12/02/is-the-chinese-economy-hitting-stagnation/

China's Buildings Too Often "Demolish Themselves" Source

China’s Buildings Too Often “Demolish Themselves”

More on China’s shoddy construction

Last year, China Economic Review reported on a controversial study that said poor building quality and China’s short-sighted land-lease system would lead developers in major urban areas to neglect reinvestment in city centers. The study, published by an international team of scholars, said the conditions would push investment to the outskirts of cities, leading to urban sprawl. More alarming, it could also cause city centers to decay into slums.

The following bears repeating:

Fixed-asset investment is still running at 45 percent of GDP, leading to significant excess capacity in industries ranging from steel to solar panels. Earlier objectives to lay off six million workers in state-owned enterprises early in President Xi’s term have not materialized, and state-owned banks continue directing credit to prop them up.

Official state growth statistics place Chinese economic growth near 7% per year. More reliable sources put the figure closer to 4% per year. But if you take a very close look at “productive growth” as opposed to “manic growth” and misallocation, you will see that productive growth in China is less than 2% — and may even be less than 0%.

There are data, grounded in real-world calculations, that show China’s economic importance falling — not rising slowly, nor staying stable, but falling. __ RealClearWorld

There is a cost to be paid for devoting so much credit to propping up growth numbers by building shoddy ghost cities, corrupt state owned enterprises, and other fixed-asset investments of questionable value. If China’s leaders misjudge events, they could have a large-scale insurrection on their hands when the bubble bursts.

Why US and other foreign companies are fleeing China

Not long after multinationals showed up in China, they were made to hand over much of their technology to native competitors (almost all of which are directly or indirectly owned by the Chinese government) … Proprietary technology is the most valuable asset owned by many multinationals. So China truly offered a lose-lose choice for these companies — either they could miss out on the Chinese market in the short term, or give away technologies that would allow Chinese competitors to challenge them all over the world in the medium term. Of course, given China’s high rate of industrial espionage, the penalty for operating in China was even higher than official government policy would suggest.


China might do better by taking a more cooperative tone with the US president-elect. Foreign investment and voluntary technology transfer by foreign corporations are the things that fueled China’s recent rise. Both of those things are slipping away, and the running dog neo-imperialism of China’s leaders is only making it worse.

Pretence vs reality



Posted in China, Economics, Empire | Tagged

Illegal Voting Significant; Covered Up by Obama and Media

Update: Election Fraud is Real and Ongoing

California voter fraud created illusion that “Clinton won popular vote.”
Subtracting the results of California’s fraudulent voting system, Trump won the national popular vote by roughly 1.5 million votes.

… 13% of noncitizens said they were registered to vote. That matches closely the Old Dominion/George Mason study, in which 15.6% of noncitizens said they were registered.


As many as 3 million illegals — perhaps more — may have voted for Hillary Clinton on November 9. Here’s how it could have happened:

The following excerpt comes from a Wall Street Journal original news article:

…there is a real chance that significant numbers of noncitizens and others are indeed voting illegally, perhaps enough to make up the margin in some elections.

There’s no way of knowing for sure. The voter-registration process in almost all states runs on the honor system. The Obama administration has done everything it can to [prevent meaningful reform]. The Obama Justice Department has refused to file a single lawsuit to enforce the requirement of the National Voter Registration Act that states maintain the accuracy of their voter-registration lists. This despite a 2012 study from the Pew Center on the States estimating that one out of every eight voter registrations is inaccurate, out-of-date or duplicate.

About 2.8 million people are registered in more than one state, according to the study, and 1.8 million registered voters are dead. In most places it’s easy to vote under the names of such people with little risk of detection.

An undercover video released in October by the citizen-journalist group Project Veritas shows a Democratic election commissioner in New York City saying at a party, “I think there is a lot of voter fraud.” A second video shows two Democratic operatives mulling how it would be possible to get away with voter fraud.

The Justice Department has opposed every effort by states—such as Kansas, Arizona, Alabama and Georgia—to verify the citizenship of those registering to vote. This despite evidence that noncitizens are indeed registering and casting ballots. In 2015 one Kansas county began offering voter registration at naturalization ceremonies. Election officials soon discovered about a dozen new Americans who were already registered—and who had voted as noncitizens in multiple elections.

How common is this? If only we knew. Political correctness has squelched probes of noncitizen voting, so most cases are discovered accidentally instead of through a systematic review of election records.

The danger looms large in states such as California, which provides driver’s licenses to noncitizens, including those here illegally, and which also does nothing to verify citizenship during voter registration. In a 1996 House race, then-challenger Loretta Sanchez defeated incumbent Rep. Bob Dornan by under 1,000 votes. An investigation by a House committee found 624 invalid votes by noncitizens, nearly enough to overturn the result.

A September report from the Public Interest Legal Foundation found more than 1,000 noncitizens who had been removed from the voter rolls in eight Virginia counties. Many of them had cast ballots in previous elections, but none was referred for possible prosecution.

The lack of prosecutions is no surprise. In 2011, the Electoral Board in Fairfax County, Va., sent the Justice Department, under then-Attorney General Eric Holder, information about 278 noncitizens registered to vote in Fairfax County, about half of whom had cast ballots in previous elections. There is no record that the Justice Department did anything.

A 2014 study by three professors at Old Dominion University and George Mason University used extensive survey data to estimate that 6.4% of the nation’s noncitizens voted in 2008 and that 2.2% voted in 2010…. the Heritage Foundation maintains a list of more than 700 recent convictions for voter fraud.

A postelection survey conducted by Americas Majority Foundation found that 2.1% of noncitizens voted in the Nov. 8 election. In the battleground states of Michigan and Ohio, 2.5% and 2.1%, respectively, of noncitizens reported voting. In 2013, pollster McLaughlin & Associates conducted an extensive survey of Hispanics on immigration issues. Its voter-profile tabulation shows that 13% of noncitizens said they were registered to vote. That matches closely the Old Dominion/George Mason study, in which 15.6% of noncitizens said they were registered.

Fixing this problem is very straightforward. The Trump administration should direct the Department of Homeland Security to cooperate with states that want to verify the citizenship of registered voters. Since this will only flag illegal immigrants who have been detained at some point and legal noncitizens, states should pass laws, similar to the one in Kansas, that require proof of citizenship when registering to vote. The Justice Department, instead of ignoring the issue, should again start prosecuting these cases.

… There are people—like those caught voting illegally—who are willing to exploit these weaknesses that damage election integrity.

Mr. von Spakovsky, a former member of the Federal Election Commission, is a senior legal fellow at the Heritage Foundation. Mr. Fund is the national affairs columnist for National Review. They are the authors of “Who’s Counting? How Fraudsters and Bureaucrats Put Your Vote at Risk” (Encounter, 2012). __ Wall Street Journal

Another source for the above, with links

California Makes it Easy for Illegals to Vote

California provides drivers’ licenses to illegal aliens and does nothing to verify citizenship at the polling place. In states with such policies, there is no reliable way to determine how many illegals are actually voting. And that is just the way the people who run California want it.

Under These Conditions, Popular Vote Counts are Badly Tainted and Unreliable

Up until now, politicians have been either too corrupt, or too frightened of voting fraud promoters to take a serious stance against policies that make polling fraud easy — sometimes easy enough to swing elections. Time will tell whether president-elect Trump will follow through on his promises to act against illegal aliens from the third world, and their many shenanigans and misdeeds.

Clearly any popular vote tally that includes states such as California, cannot be trusted to determine any issues of importance. Corruption in California is the state-level equivalent of corruption in Chicago or Detroit. Californians may tolerate it for now, but much of the rest of the country is increasingly ready to act to counter the unfortunate national blowback caused by such seediness.

Posted in Politics | Tagged

Leftist Alienation in the Age of Trump

Matthew Horn, a software engineer from Boulder, Colo., canceled Christmas plans with his family in Texas. Nancy Sundin, a social worker in Spokane, Wash., has called off Thanksgiving with her mother and brother. Ruth Dorancy, a software designer in Chicago, decided to move her wedding so that her fiancé’s grandmother and aunt, strong Trump supporters from Florida, could not attend. [quoted from New York Times article]

The Times acknowledges that this phenomenon is one-sided, saying, “[Leftists] have dug in their heels, and in some cases are refusing to sit across the table from relatives who voted for President elect Donald J. Trump.” A number of people who voted for Trump called my show to tell me that their daughters had informed them they would no longer allow their parents to see their grandchildren. And one man sent me an e-mail reporting that his brother-in-law’s mother told him that she “no longer had a son.”

__ Source

Persistent Nightmares and Delusions Psypost

Persistent Nightmares and Delusions

American leftists are severing close and lifelong relationships with people formerly loved and cherished — on the basis of political philosophy and choice. Why are leftists choosing this road of alienation and hatred?

Most left-wing positions are emotion-based. That’s a major reason people who hold leftist views will sever relations with people they previously cared for or even loved. Their emotions (in this case, irrational fear and hatred) simply overwhelm them.


Certainly the abrupt severing of ties of family and friendship based upon differences of political opinion smacks of childish tantrum and the lashing out of an immature mind.

Young Leftist Voters Turning to Colouring Books, Play-Dough, and Safe Zones

The University of Michigan offered its traumatized students coloring books and Play-Doh to calm them. [Are its students in college or kindergarten?]
The University of Kansas reminded its stressed-out kids that therapy dogs, a regular campus feature, were available.
Cornell University, an Ivy League school, held a campus-wide “cry-in,” with officials handing out tissues and hot chocolate.
Tufts University offered its devastated students arts and crafts sessions. (OK, not kindergarten — more like summer camp.)
At campuses from elite Yale to Connecticut to Iowa and beyond, professors canceled classes and/or exams — either because students asked or because instructors were too distraught to teach.
__ NYP

Young people have been thoroughly steeped and indoctrinated in political correctness. But they have learned nothing about how to live and prosper in the real world, where their pampered/sheltered sensibilities are not universally honoured — and where the school of hard knocks often takes precedence.

No wonder the graduates of such centres of academic lobotomy try to force the larger outer world to fit the tiny shapings of their own indoctrinated minds. “Reality” — when it does not conform to that which they have been programmed to see by professors and others who fit them for ideological strait-jackets — cannot be allowed to exist. And so they shut out anyone or anything who introduces contrarian thought or cognitive dissonance into their crippled thought processes.

The Left associates human decency not so much with personal integrity as with having correct — i.e. progressive — political positions. Therefore, if you don’t hold progressive positions, you lack decency. Ask your left-wing friends if they’d rather their high-school son or daughter cheat on tests or support Trump.

___ Source

US President Barack Obama has been quoted as saying that Hillary Clinton would have won 500 US Electoral College votes, if the election had been restricted to only “young voters.” And election experts at the Al Fin Institutes of Government go even further to state that Ms. Clinton would have won the November 9 election by a landslide, if only 6 month old lesbian feminists had been allowed to vote — being assisted in casting their vote by adult professors of women’s studies at elite and exclusive universities, of course.

Children are born with minds wide open to delusional thoughts and magical thinking. It is usually only when they reach adolescence and early adulthood that they can begin to break away from their childhood indoctrination. But that can only occur if they are not further indoctrinated by mind-binding ideologues at university, seminary, madrasas, or wherever else cynical older minds gather to indoctrinate young people in their own sick delusional ideologies. And unfortunately, modern universities are full of faculty and staff who have taken on the role of mind-programmers and academic lobotomists.

Too Many Young People are Coming Out of University Incompetent to Judge Reality

Of course that has always been true. Today’s young people cannot possibly know all they need to know to face the world, unless they have been trained to be Dangerous©. Time and experience are vital in the development of judgment and perspective, assuming that youth have not lost their natural scepticism and contrarianism to an academic indoctrination.

And so large segments of entire generations have been cast adrift with strong senses of arrogant self-righteousness, but no historical perspective and no ability to see through the politically correct smokescreen in which they are suffocating. Consider it a form of “pseudo-psychosis,” or alienation from reality via programmed rigidity.

It has been said for many decades that “if a 20 year old is not a socialist, he has no soul. If a 30 year old is still a socialist, he has no brain.” Up until recently, one could follow the underlying moral of that aphorism and be reasonably correct. But in a world where large numbers of intelligent young people are purposely crippled — taught by authority not to question, but to blindly and doggedly believe what they are taught by this same authority — a brain may survive to any age believing in politically correct leftist hogswallop, with the brain taking on a tragically crippled form, perhaps for life.

It is never too late (or too early) to have a Dangerous Childhood. FAQs


The poor little munchkins can never get enough pampering

Posted in Competence, Politics, University | Tagged , | 1 Comment

A Tale of Two National Economies: Central vs. Distributed

Russia’s Economy Is Focused on the Core

Russia's Lopsided Economy Source

Russia’s Lopsided Economy

According to the latest available data from the Federal State Statistical Service, the Central Federal District accounts for 35 percent of the entire Russian economy. Located in this district, Moscow alone accounts for 21.7 percent of the entire Russian economy.

… The regime that rules from Moscow possesses a great deal of wealth in absolute terms, but it is not enough to govern the rest of Russia without a firm grip that will have to tighten as Russia burns through reserves and cuts more social spending. __ Source

Like the overall population of Russia, Russia’s wealth is grossly lopsided — and growing more so each year under President Putin. This dynamically worsening distortion has many repercussions for life in Russia for anyone living outside of Moscow.

Wealth in the US is More Distributed

US Wealth Distribution by Region Source

US Wealth Distribution by Region

What stands out in the map above is that while the U.S. certainly has regions that account for a greater share of the U.S. economy, overall, economic activity is much more spread out. The Southeast region, even without Texas, actually contributes the most to total GDP.

… almost every U.S. region has a major state economy. In Russia, the Central Federal District and a few far-flung oil-producing regions produce the country’s wealth. In the U.S., wealth is far more spread out. __ GeopoliticalFutures

Power — like wealth and population — is another highly concentrated feature of life in Russia, much more than in the US. Can you imagine a political maverick such as Donald Trump coming from out of nowhere in Russia, bucking the tsunami of both incumbency and elitist power of every kind to win the presidency by relatively transparent and constitutional means? It would be impossible in Russia, since in the motherland elections are foregone conclusions and natural outgrowths of the power structure as it exists.

Russia’s Closed Cities Represent a Hedging of the Bets

Not all Russian economic strength has been lavished on the core area of Russia. Closed cities and single-industry cities represent efforts to distribute Russian economic activity, very much like was done in the “Hunger Games” fictional world.

They are called “forbidden cities” and “closed cities”, a Soviet phenomenon that still exists today. In modern Russia, most of these cities are now open, or almost … They are called “ZATO” (closed administrative territorial entities). Surrounded by barbed wire, protected by armed guards, the entry of these secret areas is strictly forbidden to foreigners. Such prohibited cities are located in remote areas, without any official way to access them. To enter there, the Russians must have special permission. Moving out of these closed cities is also not easy, as you need a special document from the authorities. __ http://weirdrussia.com/2015/08/10/the-closed-cities-of-russia/

Closed Cities -- Nuclear Division Source

Closed Cities — Nuclear Division

Closed cities deal in a wide range of activities, from nuclear weapons research to illegal bioweapons research, to the dirtiest of industrial activity, to other projects thought to be best left in darkness.

Consider that the city you live in is officially a ‘closed city’, not allowing tourists without invitation. Consider living in one of the most polluted placed on earth. In reality such a city exists in Siberia, Russia. Norilsk, a city with 175.000 inhabitants, situated high above the Polar Circle, is an industrial city largely dominated by mining practices. __ Norilsk [Closed City]

More details on closed cities from Wikipedia
Some of the closed cities are designated as “fallback areas” or secondary centres of government in the case of the fall of Moscow and St. Petersburg.

Single Industry Cities Another Example of Russian Distributed Economy

The single-industry cities are another way in which the “eggs in Russia’s baskets” were distributed away from the centre. But as the economics of global production has changed, so have the future prospects for most of these single-industry cities.

Most of Russia’s single-industry towns are at risk of economic collapse that would cause massive social dislocation and see millions of Russians lose their livelihoods, Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev was quoted as saying Wednesday.

Some 14 million Russians live in the 319 Russian towns that, in a holdover from the Soviet era, rely on one industry, and often a single factory, for their economic survival. Many of these require subsidies to survive, and Russia’s recession has worsened their plight. __ https://themoscowtimes.com/articles/russian-single-industry-towns-face-crisis-48457

Russia’s Oil & Gas Wealth Somewhat Distributed

Russia is critically dependent upon oil & gas revenues for its existence as an empire, as we know it. Recent global price reductions in oil & gas markets have driven the Kremlin to desperate measures in the attempt to maintain some measure of global relevance. But as ethnic Russians continue to move from the periphery to the centre, resource-rich regions will lose most of their ethnic Russian populations. As ethnic Russians fall into the minority, Moscow’s control over these resource-rich regions will inevitably decline.

More on Hyper-Centralisation in Russia

Some now are inclined to “call Russia ‘the Horde Turned Upside Down,” to the extent that there has been erected a similar power vertical but with a capital not in Saray but in Moscow.” However, it should be remembered that the Tatar tribute was about 10 percent; now, Tatarstan send “more than 73 percent of its taxes” to the federal treasury.

… “From weak regions,” Khakimov says, “a strong Russia cannot emerge.” Only if the regions are strong will the country flourish. And he offers the following “simple slogan” for the future “’Strong Regions for a Strong Russia.”
__ http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2016/11/russias-current-hyper-centralization.html

This approach is, of course, the opposite direction to that in which the Kremlin’s boat is currently sailing. Russia’s regions are being sucked dry in vampire fashion by an insatiable, bloated centre. As the strapped and flogged regions begin to understand more fully how much the central region depends upon their assets, they will inevitably begin to assert more power over these crucial assets. Independence-minded ethnic Russians in these regions are likely to increasingly join with non-Russians in pulling back from Moscow’s brutal control.

Meanwhile, as Russia is being whip-snapped by rapidly accelerating demographic and political forces, China will continue its inexorable ingress into the Far East. China will reclaim — with Putin’s reluctant blessing — the lands lost to Russia in recent historical times. But China is also likely to covertly encourage separatist movements in the resource rich areas of the Far East and other parts of Siberia. China needs water, land, oil & gas, coal, minerals (uranium, diamonds, gold etc.), lumber, and other wealth that soon-to-be former parts of Russia have to offer.


Russia’s involvement in Syria is getting far more complicated This whole escapade was planned to have been completed a year ago. But it is looking more and more like another bloody quagmire.

Posted in Economics, geopolitics, Russia | Tagged ,

Whittling Off a Rotten Sliver of California for Secession

California was once the mythical land of sun and sand. A rich, fun playground for North Americans and world travelers alike, California was the model that other places tried to mimic.

But over time, the gold turned into rust, and California’s adventurous spirit turned into a mass power grab by a strange alliance of eco-fascist lobbies, government unions, and federally funded immigrant/minority activist networks. This queer melange of authoritarian collectivists portends a progressively darker future for a once-shining gateway of opportunity. __ Source

A Yellow Sliver for Secession Six Californias

A Yellow Sliver for Secession

Six Californias

At Least Part of California Will Secede

One way or another . . .

California is a state long at war with itself. Just like the country of Iraq, it really shouldn’t exist as one united entity. Coasties hate inlanders, mountain people hate flatlanders, northerners hate southies, desert people hate the city people who steal their water just for green lawns, a race war between chicanos and blacks is heating up, and the state government has no way to pay its pensions short of a federal bailout. The place is a bloody mess, with a few shrinking plums of success floating in the carnage.

Financially distressed cities of California — several more have yet to reveal their true status, of course.

“Instead of trying to work together and fix our problems, it seems like everyone just wants to run away because they don’t like what happened [in the 2016 election],” Wilson said.

California history has been full of crazy, unsuccessful schemes to [run away].


Drunken Delusions of Bay Area Leftists Source

Drunken Delusions of Bay Area Leftists

The most recent California secession petition is one of the more interesting ways in which bay area leftists have refused to accept the rejection of their vision by voters in most counties and states in the US.

Destined for Nuclear Obliteration or Seismic Subtraction? The Bay Area May be Doomed Regardless

For years, the bay area has been sinking steadily into depraved chaos.

… this is no place for children, as Market Street has many bums urinating and young ladies openly injecting drugs into their arms. __ San Francisco After the Deluge

The streets of San Francisco, Oakland, Richmond, and much of the rest of the bay area are not safe, regardless of who wins elections. Some days it seems the homeless and illegal aliens outnumber legal residents. And these people want to secede from the nation that underwrites their existence!

But yes, bay area leftoids actually are yet again flirting with the idea of seceding from the US, and taking the entire state with them.

Nuclear Secession, Seismic Secession, Political Secession: Pick Your Poison

California’s annual share of the U.S defense budget is $72 billion, Koshgarian said. That, of course, raises the question: How much would California be willing to pay for its own military – not to mention its own postal service, social security program and diplomatic corps? __ Source

Since much of US defence spending centres around the San Francisco Bay area, the San Francisco Bay area is a prime target for Russian, Chinese, and North Korean nuclear missiles. But if it is lucky, and nuclear incineration is not its fate, it is doomed to be obliterated by the mother of all earthquakes, sooner or later. It has to go, one way or another, and if it wishes to go the way of certain fecal decay like Cuba or Venezuela, then perhaps that is as good a way to wait in stupour — for these people — than some of the other fates that destiny may have in mind.

If Trump Wanted Revenge on Bay Area Leftists, He Would Demand a Detailed State-Wide Vote Audit

Vote recounts seem to be all the rage in states that gave Trump the US presidency — even though no tangible evidence of fraud on the Trump side is suspected, even by the Obama administration. The root purpose of the recount drive against Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania vote results seems to be to perpetuate confusion, distraction, civil disorder, and to make it more difficult for Trump’s transition team to form a new government. But certain unanticipated blowback effects against Jill Stein, her moneybag backers, and the Clinton campaign may arise.

Genuine voter fraud is likely to have taken place inside the inner city precincts of swing states, inner city precincts where Clinton achieved the majority of votes. Too close an examination of those precincts might bring to light significant fraudulent machinations that Obama and the Democratic Party would rather leave in the shadows — until the next time they are needed.

Likewise, voter verification experts are claiming that millions of illegal alien votes were cast for Clinton, in states such as California where voting oversight is very lax — to say the least. In other words, the much-vaunted “popular vote majority” claimed for Clinton may very well be based upon fraudulent votes.

The possibility of an uncovering of these deceitful workings of Democratic Party voter precinct heads is one of the ultimate dangers to the powerful financial elites who pull the strings in the background for campaigns across the US. That is probably why Obama is vocally opposed to the recount facades in three of the battleground states won by Trump. Things better left unexposed might accidentally come into the light, hurting prospects for future Democrat Party candidates and reducing fundraising efficacy for everyone connected to the DP — including Obama.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. It is never too late (or early) to have a Dangerous Childhood©


Clintons and Obama fight tooth and nail over ghost legacies

All news is fake news

Jill Stein Gave Trump the Victory in Michigan and Wisconsin

Clinton’s Win in Nevada Officially Challenged by Pending Recount

Posted in Government, Politics, Secession | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Making Government Unnecessary: Disruptive Innovations

Alexei Kudrov, a brilliant and honest Russian, speaking of the potential effects of blockchain technology on governments:

“Soon technology will replace many of the functions of government. The technology of block chains can almost completely replace the state bureaucracy. Society will be able on its own to solve various issues as well as make contracts and agreements.” __ Alexei Kudrin quoted here

More: Could the blockchain end bureaucracy?

Although the whole topic of blockchains seems exceedingly technical and boring to most persons, blockchain technology has earned its place on Wikipedia’s long list of emerging-disruptive technologies.

How Can Something So Boring Be a Threat to the Existence of Government as We Know It?

Blockchains are a type of encrypted public digital database, but they open the doors to changes in the modern world that most people cannot yet imagine or conceptualise. When used to underpin digital currencies, blockchains remove the middlemen — such as Visa or Mastercharge. The potential disruption of that change to the established order should be clear to anyone with the slightest knowledge of modern finance and economics.

Blockchains also have the potential to clean up a very messy modern supply chain for consumer and commercial goods. Consider how relieved you would be, for example, to know that your elderly parent is taking an authentic pharmaceutical, rather than a toxic Chinese counterfeit drug. Millions are put at risk every year through that supply chain scam alone.

But When Applied to Contracts and Bureaucratic Processes, Blockchains Present a Real Threat to Government as We Know It

Consider blockchains applied to “smart contracts:”

A smart contract can store records on who owns what. It can store promises to pay, and promises to deliver without having middleman or exposing people to the risk of fraud. It can automatically move funds in accordance with instructions given long in the past, like a will or a futures contract. For pure digital assets there is no “counterparty risk” because the value to be transferred can be locked into the contract when it is created, and released automatically when the conditions and terms are met: if the contract is clear, then fraud is impossible, because the program actually has real control of the assets involved rather than requiring trustworthy middle men like ATM machines or car rental agents.

And this system runs globally, with tens and eventually hundreds of thousands of computers sharing the workload and, more importantly, backing up the cultural memory of who promised what to whom. Yes, fraud is still possible, at the edge of the digitial, but many kinds of outright banditry are likely to simply die out: you can check the blockchain and find out if the house has been sold twice, for example. Who really owns this bridge in Brooklyn? What happens if this loan defaults? All there, as clear as crystal, in a single shared global blockchain. __ https://medium.com/consensys-media/programmable-blockchains-in-context-ethereum-s-future-cd8451eb421e

Applications of blockchains to the workings of government bureaucracy are only just being imagined and devised:

In January, the [UK] Government’s chief scientific adviser published ‘Distributed Ledger Technology: Beyond Blockchain’, setting out a number of possible applications of the software concept.

In April, Cabinet Office Minister Matthew Hancock, explained that blockchain is being explored as a way to streamline the distribution of government grants and track aid spending to ensure it is spent correctly. The last Government wanted “blockchain brainstorming” to explore further options.

One overlooked application is in replacing administrative work in the civil service. This alone accounted for 170,000 staff at a cost of £3.25bn in 2014-15…

… Governments across the globe have begun experimenting with using the software to record property ownership. This is administratively light as it is automatically documented by the blockchain and it skips the current need for people to use central registers to access information.

The Government could use this approach to more efficiently spend Land Registry’s £13m annual staffing bill. Sweden believes this can be done while cutting the time it takes to complete real estate deals.

The real win, however, comes from streamlining the running of the biggest departments, which are most heavily weighted toward administration. __ http://www.coindesk.com/blockchains-disrupt-bureaucracy/

Imagine the disruption of replacing hundreds of thousands of bureaucrats with a more affordable, smoother working, and more secure encrypted digital database system which is perfectly transparent to the public in all of its transactions! Cozy relationships between government worker-unions and political parties and power blocs would be obliterated, and the international puppetmasters, the elite financiers behind government power, would lose one of their strongest finger-holds on control within national and trans-national governmental agencies.

This technology continues to experience growing pains — such as this recent accidental blockchain splitting. But the people at Ethereum responded to the problem almost immediately, in a transparent and decisive manner.

The blockchain concept has come a long way since Satoshi Nakamoto introduced the concept in 2008, leading to the digital currency bitcoin — which has experienced its own set of growing pains since 2009.

But whenever truly disruptive technologies push their way onto the stage, one can expect a number of missteps, pushbacks, and contretemps of all kinds.

We should observe, however, that blockchain technologies are under particularly close scrutiny, and due to their “open-source” and public nature they invite close scrutiny. When problems inevitably arise, they are more likely to be publicly addressed and swiftly dealt with — in contrast with much of “business as usual,” where coverups of destructive and disastrous mistakes can go on for years or longer.

Downsizing Government Should be a Top Priority Around the World

In most countries, people attempt to go into government — or insert a trusted associate or family member into government — because that is the most reliable way to become wealthy and secure from persecution. This is true in nations from Russia to North Korea to the sub Saharan African dictatorships to the Islamic Republics, to the Latin American kleptocracies. Find any nation where state-owned enterprises and banks make up a large part of the GDP, and you will find corruption out the ears and eyesockets — and probably degrading public infrastructure with decaying quality of life.

The answer to this world of corrupt governments is a whole spectrum of disruptive technologies that make governments (and other megalithic controlling entities) entirely unnecessary. Any intelligent person who is not engaged in the imagining, designing, and implementing of such technologies is probably not someone very interesting, or even trustworthy in the long run.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. It is never too late (or early) to have a Dangerous Childhood.


True disruptive technology is the human brain/body collaboration: The human mind and its tendency to insist upon its own innovative originality.

The video above highlights a business that bypasses US government controls of firearms production and distribution. But in particular it highlights the human mind which pushes the innovative and unconventional mindset of the innovative non-conformist. (h/t Nick Land)

Posted in Disruptive Technologies, Economics, Government, innovation, Technology | Tagged , | 1 Comment

A World According to Peter Thiel

Peter Thiel is not Afraid to Stand Out from the Crowd

One of the few Silicon Valley giants to support political reformer Donald Trump, Peter Thiel risked irritating a lot of powerful and wealthy people in the establishment in order to create conditions more suitable to radical change. Where did Thiel come from, and what does he really want?

Peter Thiel Source

Peter Thiel

Venture capitalist and entrepreneur Peter Thiel was born in Frankfurt, Germany. And just like South Africa born Elon Musk, he got to the US just as fast as he could. But unlike Musk, Thiel turned away from nanny government and political correctness, and moved in very unexpected ways.

Once Thiel got established in the US as a youth, he had to work out what he wanted to do with his life:

He studied philosophy at Stanford University, graduating with a B.A. in 1989. He then went on to the Stanford Law School, and received his J.D. in 1992. After graduation, he worked as a judicial clerk for Judge James Larry Edmondson, a securities lawyer for Sullivan & Cromwell, a speechwriter for former-United States Secretary of Education William Bennett and as a derivatives trader at Credit Suisse prior to founding Thiel Capital Management in 1996. He then co-founded PayPal in 1998, and served as chief executive officer until its sale to eBay in 2002 for $1.5 billion. __ Wikipedia Peter Thiel

No Death, No Taxes, Infinite Energy!

“… Almost everyone either thinks by analogy or follows the crowd. Peter is much more willing to look at things from a first-principle standpoint.” [Elon] Musk [says], “I’m somewhat libertarian, but Peter’s extremely libertarian.”

… Thiel, who runs Founders Fund with Sean Parker and four others, poured his energy into a group of audacious projects that had less to do with financial returns than with utopian ideas. He invested in nanotechnology, space exploration, and robotics.

Thiel also gave three and a half million dollars to the Methuselah Foundation, whose goal is to reverse human aging. He became an early patron of the Seasteading Institute, a libertarian nonprofit group that was founded, in 2008, by Patri Friedman, a former Google engineer and Milton Friedman’s grandson. “Seasteading” refers to the founding of new city-states on floating platforms in international waters—communities beyond the reach of laws and regulations. __ New Yorker

Thiel wants to jump-start a new world using disruptive technologies. And rather than waiting for these technologies to come about by themselves, as if by magick, he is instead sending out venture-seed probes into the darkness, and harvesting the best, one-by-one.

Infinite Energy!

Energy Return on Energy Invested Source

Energy Return on Energy Invested

One of Thiel’s most speculative and long-term ventures is his investment in small scale, unconventional nuclear fusion, via Helion Energy. Nuclear fusion potentially provides the most abundant, high quality energy of all the reliable and important energy sources: fission, coal, natural gas.

Helion hopes to make a fusion generator that’s 1,000 times smaller, 500 times cheaper, and 10 times faster than more conventional, massive projects, according to its website. The company is building a “magneto-inertial fusion” generator. It produces power by injecting heated hydrogen and helium at high speed (a million miles an hour) into a “burn chamber,” where a strong magnetic field compresses the plasma to a temperature high enough to initiate fusion. Energy from the reaction is used to generate electricity. __ Bloomberg

Information on Helion Fusion technology from the company

Helion Energy Helionenergy.com

Helion Energy

Clean, Abundant, Reliable, Scalable, Portable Electrical Energy is Crucial to the Human Future

Advanced nuclear fission and scalable nuclear fusion will be critical foundations for radical new human infrastructures — both in the Earth environment and beyond. At the same time, humans who think broadly and unconventionally need to be freed from frivolous and counter-productive government regulation/taxation/mandates etc., and freed from suicidal politically correct coercion by both governments and other institutions of society.

Peter Thiel recognises that humans can only escape the pit they have dug for themselves by radically reforming all aspects of government, and many aspects of society — including higher education:

… for Thiel, the bubble that has taken the place of housing is the higher education bubble. “A true bubble is when something is overvalued and intensely believed,” he says. “Education may be the only thing people still believe in in the United States. To question education is really dangerous. It is the absolute taboo. It’s like telling the world there’s no Santa Claus.”

Like the housing bubble, the education bubble is about security and insurance against the future. Both whisper a seductive promise into the ears of worried Americans: Do this and you will be safe. The excesses of both were always excused by a core national belief that no matter what happens in the world, these were the best investments you could make. Housing prices would always go up, and you will always make more money if you are college educated.

Like any good bubble, this belief– while rooted in truth– gets pushed to unhealthy levels. Thiel talks about consumption masquerading as investment during the housing bubble, as people would take out speculative interest-only loans to get a bigger house with a pool and tell themselves they were being frugal and saving for retirement. Similarly, the idea that attending Harvard is all about learning? Yeah. No one pays a quarter of a million dollars just to read Chaucer. The implicit promise is that you work hard to get there, and then you are set for life. It can lead to an unhealthy sense of entitlement. “It’s what you’ve been told all your life, and it’s how schools rationalize a quarter of a million dollars in debt,” Thiel says. __ TC

This is one of the reasons why Thiel started the ThielFellowship. He wanted to encourage youth with big ideas to pursue them early, unsullied by university indoctrination (academic lobotomy).

The modern system of educational indoctrination — in place across the western world — is one of the primary reasons for groupthink political correctness and general echo-choir dull mindedness of modern societies, particularly among youth and young adults. Thiel is well aware that this massive, wasteful, financially ruinous, life-destroying system requires radical reform. The administration of a new, reform-minded US president is one of the best places to start — and Thiel is involved in Donald Trump’s transitional team.

Here is what Peter Thiel was intelligent enough to see:

[New leaders] are a rare breed, and their efforts always face innumerable challenges, whether from entrenched interests at home or from headwinds in the global economy… The probablility of successful sustained reform is higher under fresh leaders rather than stale leaders, under leaders with a mass base rather than well-credentialed technocrats… __ The Rise and Fall of Nations Chapter 2

The book above goes on to describe how new, reform-minded leaders can often wrench a rut-bound nation out of its mire, and propel it on a new path of prosperity and achievement. And it is certainly true that after 28 years of Clinton-Obama-Bush, the US has a lot of pent-up energy waiting to be released, once the counter-productive governmental and societal shackles have been loosened.

Multiple disruptive innovations are long overdue, once Luddite, die-off style policies of government are overthrown, and a more innovative future-oriented system of incentives is put in place.

A World According to Peter Thiel

Peter Thiel’s world would allow most persons almost innumerable options to discover and fulfill their goals and ambitions, which currently do not exist in the artificially limited, politically correct world of modern times. Thiel is aware that radical reform is necessary to break the stifling webs of control within government, media, academia, and other social institutions. He is likely aware that such a radical revolution of empowerment has to occur largely from the middle class, where most of a society’s talent tends to rest. But he is willing to attempt a top-down impetus in order to get the process rolling.

The tyrannies of Asia, MENA, SSA, and Latin America would feel threatened by a resurgence of US innovation, production, and economic expansion. And the established powers of the international economic order will certainly resist such a transformation to its dying breath. But it is the essence of the world that everything changes. And although humans are somewhat limited in their ability to influence the way the world will change, the ones who are pressing for a more abundant and expansive human future should not be shy about using the influence they may have.

Note: When Putin first gained power in Russia, he was a reform president. His flat income tax of 13% combined with his vital assurances of support for investment and new commerce, reassured foreign and domestic investors and entrepreneurs alike. Investment and prosperity soared for awhile, even before oil & gas prices shot upward. Then after oil & gas prices spiked, the oil curse set in, and despotic corruption came to rule in Moscow. A badly needed new reformer for Russia is unlikely until Putin croaks or a new grand crisis hits the fading bear.


Hopes spike for Americans after election

Posted in Nuclear Fusion, Ocean, Politics | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Destroying These Threats Before They Destroy the Human Future

The Three Faces of Challenge

Three powerful forces seek to dominate — or conquer — today’s world. Each of the three should be considered deadly enemies to an abundant and expansive human future. The tactics and strategies used to meet each deadly challenge must be adapted and customised to the specific threat:

1. The ruling elite of Russia and China, and particularly the secret services of these two countries.
2. The Western financial elite, as represented particularly in the Bilderberg Club, the Council on Foreign Relations and the Trilateral Commission.
3. The Muslim Brotherhood, the religious leaders of several Islamic countries and the governments of some Muslim countries.

…. each of the three agents tends to construe in its own terms the plans and actions of the other two, partly for deliberate propaganda purposes, partly due to a genuine misunderstanding of the situation. The strategic analyses by all involved each reflect the ideological bias that is proper to it. Even though they attempt to take into account the totality of available factors, the Russian-Chinese scheme stresses the geopolitical and military viewpoint, the Western scheme the economic, and the Islamic scheme the dispute among religions. __ The USA and The New World Order (PDF) via

That these three greatest threats to the human future might be divided into the military, the economic, and the religious, is an intriguing perspective. The distinction is not quite so clear-cut, of course, but it serves as a springboard.

Looking at the “spheres of influence” for numbers 1-2-3, we see that most of Asia falls under the control of #1 (China/Russia), Europe and the Anglosphere fall largely under the control of #2 (western financial elites), and MENA and much of South/Central Asia are most strongly influenced by #3 (Islamist ideologues). Subsaharan Africa and Latin America are largely up for grabs, and will be battlegrounds of the future between the three competing power blocs and their ideologies du jour.

It should be noted that George Soros can be used as a “personal proxy” for the puppetmasters of #2 above — the western financial elite. The reality is far more complex, but for a quick running analysis watching what Soros does and says will serve reasonably well (until he is dead of course).

The strong resistance and antagonism of the western financial elite to the Donald Trump presidential campaign in the US, strongly suggests that a Trump presidency represents a significant threat to the long-term goals of these puppetmasters. We can expect the backstage ruling class to utilise western governments, media, academia, foundations, NGOs, environmental groups, and every other type of activist group in the effort to cripple the ability of the Trump presidency to make meaningful changes to the Clinton-Bush-Obama policy trends inside the US of the past 28 years.

More: The USA and The New World Order(s) (PDF)

How Can Intelligent and Independent Humans Combat These 3 Juggernauts?

First of all, the election of Donald Trump in the 2016 US presidential elections suggests that the US public and many US institutions have not fallen completely under the ideological thrall of the western financial elites. Careful and timely reforms of US government policies, bureaucratic structures, immigration rules, and international treaties, can potentially turn the clock back significantly, on the plans of the Anglo-European puppetmasters. But it will be no easy task. Already the legions of Soros are working at all levels — from the streets to the newsrooms to the classrooms to the halls of government — to delegitimise the duly elected government of the US for the next four years. Efforts on the streets have all the markings of an attempt to provoke violent clashes along ideological, political, and racial lines — by the agents of Soros.

Next, the forces of economics and demographics militate against the slave-takers of Russia — and to a lesser extent against the human organ-takers of China. Neither ruling class of #1 understand how to run a prosperous economy without massive theft of technology and assets from outsiders. Cooperation and a toning down of militancy would certainly draw in massive amounts of foreign investment and technology transfer — as it did for Russia between 1991 and 2014, and for China between 1979 and 2009. But neither Putin nor Xi has the confidence in his own ability to survive in power without adopting highly militant nationalistic postures.

Thus the natural course of demographic decline will continue to deplete the working-age and military-age populations of both xenophobic nations, forcing the question of the use of large scale military force with escalation to regional and global war.

... the exponentially rising rate of change means more sectors, businesses, and lives are being transformed at greater speed through an ever-widening cascade of disruptions... Source

… the exponentially rising rate of change means more sectors, businesses, and lives are being transformed at greater speed through an ever-widening cascade of disruptions…

But the strongest force of opposing change to the three horsemen of the conquering apocalypse above is the disruptive impact of technological innovation.

The Soviet Union fell for the lack of bread, sausages, and toilet paper — and for the humiliation of interminable queues for the most basic of staple goods. It was the technologies of radio, television, and the perestroika press that disrupted the complacent servitude of the Soviet peoples. Once they discovered how people in the west were living — and began to experience freedom of expression again — the bird had already flown. First the Warsaw Pact nations stampeded for the exits, then the oppressed republics of the USSR itself, one by one. All because of relatively primitive technologies of communication combined with a natural, ongoing economic collapse of the USSR itself.

The Disruptive Technologies of Today and Tomorrow Promise Massive Headaches for the Overlords

Social media assisted the campaign of Donald Trump for US President, against the mighty forces of a nearly united mainstream media of the western world. For the first time, the mighty mainstream media suffered a decisive defeat at the hands of alternative media. As a result, the elitist overlords have ordered mainstream media to double down against the coming Trump presidential administration in an unprecedented manner. Naturally, academicians, activists, Silicon Valley and Wall Street tycoons, and government officials are falling into lockstep with the overlords’ dictates.

But the technologies of disruption have barely begun to be imagined, much less developed and put in production. The incumbent overlords are in just as much danger of being overturned as were the Fortune 500 magnates of 1955. And that is what they are deathly afraid of — particularly since the previously inconceivable election of Donald Trump as US president.

Incumbents often go to great lengths to suppress disruptions, even if they themselves attained the position through some previous disruption. Whenever an incumbent industry has a misguided belief that disruption can be prevented outright by going to the government to get protectionist barriers erected around it, that industry merely experiences a temporary delay in the disruption, after which the reversion to the trendline is necessarily sharper. The script unfolds predictably. The incumbents focus more on political favors than innovation, which is usually a poor strategy when multiple industries are simultaneously seeking favors from the same government. In the meantime, the successors ascend to great heights at a speed the regulatory complex cannot handle, and the entire situation becomes more headline-grabbing than it otherwise may have been. Examples of such industries include publishing, taxis, and universities, all of which predictably ended up seeing their disruption happen in a compressed time, with the post-disruption landscape ending up where the general trendline would have predicted anyway…

… All Technological Disruptions are Interconnected : In the midst of a technological disruption, neither the incumbents nor the disruptors pay much attention to parallel creative destruction in distant industries and countries, under the assumption that it is entirely unrelated. On the contrary, my proprietary research has discovered that all technological advancement, and all creative destruction, is interlinked by varying degrees of distance. It is not a constellation of many isolated techno-centers operating in different industries and geographies, but one unified ATOM [Accelerating TechnOnomic Medium], where one successful cycle of creative destruction strengthens the prospects of each subsequent candidate technology in the pipeline. __ Pervasive and Deepening Technological Disruption

The Futurist” at the link above highlights these specific disruptive technologies:

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • 3D Printing
  • Ongoing Computing Revolution
  • Disruptive Educational Technologies
  • Transportation Innovations
  • Financial Services
  • Healthcare Innovations Including Genetic Medicine and Robotic Surgery
  • Energy
  • Space Exploration including Asteroid Mining

It is important to stress that the author of the blog above — although radical and revolutionary in some regards — is also quite thoroughly ensconced within the overall schema of the western economic and governmental puppetmaster elites. And yet, he stresses the importance of creative destruction and technological disruption in sculpting an entirely new structural set of elites in the future — which is a reasonable line of thought.

If he were to go further and understand that governments themselves will be radically overhauled — not just corporations, professions, vocations, non-governmental institutions, and individuals — he would take one step closer to a more remarkable vista than he appears to have reached thus far.

Accelerating Disruptive Innovation Empowers the Coming City-State

In 2010, the original Al Fin blog published an article about the fall of the nation state alongside a simultaneous rise of city-states. To read that original article you will need to go to the Google cache or to the Wayback Machine on archive.org. In that article, we excerpted parts of a Foreign Policy article on city-states:

The 21st century will not be dominated by America or China, Brazil or India, but by the city. In an age that appears increasingly unmanageable, cities rather than states are becoming the islands of governance on which the future world order will be built. This new world is not — and will not be — one global village, so much as a network of different ones…

the advent of global hubs and megacities forces us to rethink whether state sovereignty or economic might is the new prerequisite for participating in global diplomacy. The answer is of course both, but while sovereignty is eroding and shifting, cities are now competing for global influence alongside states

_FP __

The throwing off of nation-state sovereignty from a large number of prosperous and powerful cities will not break the hold of the global economic elite, of course. But it will force members of that elite to be more competitive against each other, and cause them to be more careful about alienating citizens by foolish self-defeating policies.

The same forces of national governmental disintegration will operate in full force within China and Russia, as they will within the Anglo-European ascendancy. Islamic nations will never truly unite before they begin their phase of disintegration. The fallout of this tri-partite breakup that reaches to the more primitive nations of sub Saharan Africa and Latin America will have severe repercussions — very much living up to the much overused phrase, “The Coming Anarchy.”

The Truly Disruptive Technologies Will be Those of Downsized Self-Sufficiency

Down through all of history, wherever international and inter city-state trade was necessary and fashionable, such trade facilitated power and prosperity. This has been true from the days of ancient Egypt to the city-states of ancient Greece, to the ancient silk road to India and China, to the East India companies, to the international trade for middle eastern oil and western technologies and manufactured goods — most recently outsourced to China, Mexico, and parts East and South.

Peter Zeihan Explains How North America (Canada-US-Mexico) can Largely Retreat from Global Trade if Necessary

You would need to examine Zeihan’s argument from the beginning to understand how he can make such outrageous claims as he does in the video below. But nothing claimed by Zeihan approaches the counter-intuitive outrage that a prediction of a Donald Trump election victory would have elicited just one year ago!

A Minor Digression

Speaking of Donald Trump, the new US president will be fighting an uphill battle if he tries to stop the movement of US manufacturers into Mexico. In fact, much of the movement of US manufacturing into Mexico is coming at the expense of China, which is losing foreign manufacturers due to rising wage demands inside China. As much as Trump wants to keep manufacturing jobs inside the US, only a radical rise in US worker productivity can achieve that goal in an economically non-suicidal fashion. That is something that US labour unions cannot allow without losing many members and considerable clout to management. Thus the need for Mexican workers to stay inside of Mexico.

That does not mean that Trump should not severely curtail illegal immigration across the US – Mexican border. Of course he should do so. But the laws of economics cannot be trumped by any ideology, no matter how strongly held.


Invading the World; Neo-Colonialism at Work

According to Peter Zeihan, it is North America that is likely to isolate itself from the world. But what if a revitalised and rejuvenated North America decided instead to re-colonise the parts of the world at-risk for the coming anarchy, using the creative destruction of disruptive innovation? Armies of ex-pats on the prowl?

Armed with massively disruptive technologies — and the skills and will to use them — Dangerous and quasi-Dangerous peoples of North America and Europe would set out to re-colonise the more primitive and violent parts of the emerging and third worlds, and tame them anew to the new technologies. The alternative to such a masterful move is to allow the coming-emerging anarchy to sweep over and destroy all the erstwhile gains of the developed world, under a submissive banner of surrender to multicultural barbarism. And that is not acceptible.

Another alternative future: Anti-Puritan’s Neocameral Future. Here, the emphasis is on “social technology innovations,” which should certainly not be neglected.

Bonus: The “Fake News” Offensive

The mighty mainstream media is attempting to shut down alternative sources of information by attaching a label of “fake news” to anything that contradicts the official approved narrative. But in a world where all news is fake news, everyone still on the clearer side of senile already takes all things mainstream with heavy doses of salt grains.

List of Mainstream News “Journalists” Who Actively Collaborated with the Clinton Campaign in an Attempt to Shape the Election Outcome

Sorry, skanks. Attempts to reclaim monopoly status over information flows will no longer succeed. While you are fighting tooth and nail to stamp out every little brushfire, ever more powerful technologies of disruption are cropping up just outside your awareness. And the process is accelerating.

You open the newspaper to an article on some subject you know well. In Murray’s case, physics. In mine, show business. You read the article and see the journalist has absolutely no understanding of either the facts or the issues. Often, the article is so wrong it actually presents the story backward—reversing cause and effect. I call these the “wet streets cause rain” stories. Paper’s full of them.

In any case, you read with exasperation or amusement the multiple errors in a story, and then turn the page to national or international affairs, and read as if the rest of the newspaper was somehow more accurate about Palestine than the baloney you just read. You turn the page, and forget what you know. __ Living the Dream

It is, of course, all fake news. Follow the money. Cui bono?

Posted in China, Coming Anarchy, Demographics, Disruptive Technologies, Empire, Europe, Future, geopolitics, Government, Groupthink, Human Slavery, Ideology, Idiocracy, innovation, Islam's Bloody Borders, Media | Tagged , ,

Core v. Periphery VS. IQ and the Wealth of Nations

Core v. Periphery

The world can be perceived as a core / periphery dichotomy where core countries are characterized by high levels of development, a capacity at innovation and a convergence of trade flows. The core has a level of dominance over the periphery which is reflected in trade and transportation. Accessibility is higher within the elements of the core than within the periphery. Most of high level economic activities and innovations are located at the core, with the periphery subjugated to those processes at various levels.

__ Core/Periphery

The core v. periphery perspective of the world looks at development, innovation, and confluence of global trade currents. The map of core v. periphery resembles maps of “developed world” v. “emerging world” v. “developing world” fairly closely. Eastern Europe, Chile, and parts of Russia might well have been shortchanged by the above map.

IQ and the Wealth of Nations

Economic Success Correlates With National Average IQ More at VDare

Economic Success Correlates With National Average IQ
More at VDare

The IQ and the Wealth of Nations perspective presents IQ as a “causative” factor in determining the fates of different nations. This approach is refined by La Griffe du Lion, where he introduces “the smart fraction” concept as a “tweak factor,” and asserts that the relationship between IQ and national GDP is an exponential upward curve, rather than a straight line incline.

La Griffe du Lion Correlates average IQ Scores and GDP

La Griffe du Lion Correlates average IQ Scores and GDP

Why the Discrepancy Between Maps?

The core v. periphery concept does not actually explain why certain nations are more developed, innovate more, produce more, and occupy more central global positions of trade and economy, other than discussing vague concepts of “accessibility.”

The “IQ and the Wealth of Nations” concept posits IQ as an important explanatory principle, and a direct cause of differences in wealth between nations. But IQ does not act alone. If governmental policies affecting economics, capital, education, and trade are not up to par, a high average IQ population may be handicapped — for example in North Korea or Russia.

More on National Innovation

Scientific Paper Trail Source

Scientific Paper Trail

The number of well cited scientific papers being published is a reflection of high quality research being carried out.

Genetic Technology Revolution Spiegel

Genetic Technology Revolution

Specific areas of innovation such as genetic technologies (above), or medical research and innovation, can also provide a glimpse into relative “wealth” or “centrality” of nations.

The above graphic compares the leading nations in some aspects of science and innovation, and discovers that Russia may truly be slipping into the periphery, despite the relatively high average IQ of its ethnic Russian population. The graphic illustrates how crippling governmental policies can hamstring an otherwise fairly capable population — its smart fraction in particular.

Nobel Prize Winners by Nation

Nobel Prize Winners by Nation


Another way of comparing scientific discovery and innovation is by looking at the number of scientific, mathematical, and engineering prize-winners. The Nobel Prize is often used as an example.

Foreign Direct Investment

Foreign Direct Investment

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) can be used as a rough estimate for future economic development and possible innovation/production. When FDI drops off steeply — as it has done recently for Russia and China — it suggests significant problems in the relationship between the governments in question and foreign investors.

China’s rapid development since the 1980s owes more to foreign investment and foreign technology transfer than any other single variable. Likewise, Russia’s quasi-renaissance of the first decade in the 21st century owes as much to foreign investment and technology transfer as to the price of oil & gas. The turning to violent militancy by Russia and the threat of such a turn by China, have reversed their formerly lucky streaks.

Peter Zeihan‘s map of global stability above is a global combination of most of the concepts above, except for IQ (at least not overtly). Zeihan’s geopolitical theory utilises the “core v. periphery” concept, and emphasises the geographical accessibility aspect of wealth and trade quite thoroughly. He only hints at any importance of average population IQ when discussing the demographic wealth of nations.

Gregory Cochran has a nice discussion of IQ and national innovation/success in the blog posting, Our Dumb World. In his inimitable way, Cochran points out how well national average IQs correlate with national achievement — in the real world.

National IQs Calculated and Validated for 108 Nations (PDF)

So, Why the Discrepancy Between the Two Maps?

IQ is important, but it is not the only important determinant of national GDP. Large oil & gas or mineral deposits, for example, can raise national GDP at least temporarily. So can the discovery of gold & silver — as for the Spaniards soon after the discovery of the new world. Good seaports can contribute to trade, assuming the nation has anything to trade and has favourable trade policies.

Why Are Some Nations Rich and Some Poor?

The question is controversial, and remains open to debate because so many different factors contribute to national wealth, poverty, achievement, stability, and quality of life. The book authors linked below attempted to answer the question in different ways:

… and many others.

The European Miracle is a 1981 book by economic historian Eric Jones, written to help explain Europe’s amazing rise to global preeminence during the late middle ages. __ North America to Remain Innovation Centre

There are many reasons why some nations occupy the “core” of global wealth and power, and why others forever languish at the periphery. An evolutionary legacy of very low IQ is almost a certain sentence to poverty, unless a capable “smart fraction” or “market dominant minority” can be attracted somehow. Unfortunately, for nations such as Zimbabwe, Uganda, Russia, South Africa, and too many other poorly run nations, smart fractions and market dominant minorities are more likely to be killed, exiled, or driven to extinction.

But for some high to medium IQ nations, bad government overrides all efforts by the population to rise above poverty and deprivation. For many decades, the governments of North Korea, Russia, the Islamic Republics, Cuba, Venezuela — and any other hellholes where despotism, socialism, or Islamism has taken root — have destroyed most opportunities for their people to rise and prosper.

Posted in Africa, Economics, innovation, IQ, Peter Zeihan, Wealth of Nations | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Future Power: Particle Beams and Solid Ion Conductors

Without Abundant, Reliable, Affordable High Quality Power, Humans Have No Future

Today’s article looks at some technologies that can make power systems more reliable, affordable, and more prolific creators of high quality power. To create an abundant and expansive human future, people must create technologies that go far beyond the limited and unreliable energies from wind, water, and sun. We will look at two such technologies: particle beam injectors and solid ion conductors.

Particle Beam Injectors to be Used for Both Fusion and Fission Reactors

Neutral Beam Injection Tokamak Image Source

Making a plasma. This can be done by microwaving a low pressure gas.
Electrostatic ion acceleration. This is done dropping the positively charged ions towards negative plates. As the ions fall, the electric field does work on them, heating them to fusion temperatures.
Reneutralizing the hot plasma by adding in the opposite charge. This gives the fast moving beam no charge.
Injecting the fast moving hot neutral beam in the machine.

Image Source

Particle Beams in Conventional Fusion Reactors

Energy and momentum in DIII-D’s magnetically contained plasma is delivered by large neutral-particle beams systems, and GA’s recent demonstration of precise control of injected power and torque is a first. Scientists are now able to pre-program these inputs over the duration of plasma discharges (called “shots”). GA led the development effort in collaboration with scientists from the University of California-Irvine and Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory.

___ http://phys.org/news/2016-10-atomics-breakthrough-enables-greater-fusion.html


The use of controlled particle beams into conventional magnetically confined plasma chambres is a technology that is being refined at research centres around the world. The research described above is an example of continual refinement of a pre-existing technology in the pursuit of abundant, controlled fusion power.

Tri-Alpha Fusion Euro-Fusion.org

Tri-Alpha Fusion

Particle Beams in Non-Conventional Fusion Reactors

TAE [Tri-Alpha Energy] uses a linear field-reversed configuration (FRC) in combination with an intense neutral beam injection to create a well-confined plasma. It relies on the build-up of a fast ion population within the FRC to sustain the very energetic plasma. The fusion energy comes in the form of energetic photons which can be converted to generate power. FRCs have been investigated since the 1960s but were unable to achieve long-lasting and stable plasmas. In August 2015, the company demonstrated sustained plasma performance for up to 11 milliseconds in its C-2U national lab-scale machine. Their next step is to scale up their experiments and install stronger beams to heat the plasma and demonstrate the performance at higher temperatures. TAE is currently constructing a new machine, called C-2W, and expects to demonstrate this next milestone within the next three years. __ Tri-Alpha in Eurofusion

Other unconventional fusion reactors, including colliding plasma beams

Particle Beams in Fission Reactors

Accelerator Driven Thorium Fission Reactor Image Source

Accelerator Driven Thorium Fission Reactor
Image Source

So-called subcritical fission reactors utilise neutron beams to transmute “fertile” isotopes such as Thorium 233 into “fissile” isotopes such as Uranium 233. Such a reactor would be easily controlled simply by controlling the neutron beam.

A thorium reactor would work by having Th-232 capture a neutron to become Th-233 which decays to uranium-233, which fissions. (The process of converting fertile isotopes such as Th-232 to fissile ones is known as ‘breeding’.)

An alternative [to a fast neutron breeder reactor] is provided by the use of accelerator-driven systems [ADS]. The concept of using an ADS based on the thorium-U-233 fuel cycle was first proposed by Professor Carlo Rubbia, but at a national level, India is the country with most to gain, due to its very large thorium resources. India is actively researching ADSs as an alternative to its main fission program focused on thorium.

… What was claimed to be the world’s first ADS experiment was begun in March 2009 at the Kyoto University Research Reactor Institute (KURRI), utilizing the Kyoto University Critical Assembly (KUCA). The research project was commissioned by Japan’s Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT) six years earlier. The experiment irradiates a high-energy proton beam (100 MeV) from the accelerator on to a heavy metal target set within the critical assembly, after which the neutrons produced by spallation are bombarded into a subcritical fuel core.

__ http://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/current-and-future-generation/accelerator-driven-nuclear-energy.aspx

More on Thorium reactors

Next: Grid Scale Batteries Using Solid Ion Conductors

Redox Vanadium Flow Battery Source

Redox Vanadium Flow Battery

The second intriguing future energy technology we will look at is solid ion conductors. This technology will eliminate the risk of spontaneous explosions of lithium ion batteries, as well as empowering grid-scale “flow batteries” for load leveling of the power grid, and large-scale power backup for critical infrastructure facilities, for grid backup to allow time for islanding to micro-grids in emergencies, and for full temporary backup for micro-grids at all scales.

Last month, for example, ARPA-E announced US $37 million in funding for research into a new class of solids in which some ions are mobile and thus can store and conduct energy.

The announcement follows up on the 2011 discovery of ion-conducting solids. In fact, the Japanese team that discovered the material noted in the paper documenting the discovery that it could act as a solid, non-volatile, and non-explosive battery electrolyte.

… A second application for the new materials, Albertus says, involves solving a longstanding problem in flow batteries, probably the gold-standard grid battery technology today. Flow batteries, like the current-generation of vanadium and iron-based batteries ARPA-E has helped develop, use a liquid electrolyte on the cathode side and a liquid electrolyte on the anode side. Both solutions can be scaled up by simply adding more tanks of electrolyte. This cheap and easy expandability is one of the main selling points for energy storage banks that need enough flexibility to power an entire neighborhood or office park during nights or cloudy or windless days.

One of the essential ingredients for any flow battery, says Albertus, is the membrane that separates the electrolyte on the cathode side from that on the anode side. It should selectively let ions pass, but shouldn’t facilitate any reactions that might degrade the battery materials, change electrolyte’s pH, or reduce the battery’s performance. For most materials, though, this is too tall an order.

“The chemistries of today’s flow batteries are limited by the selectivity of the membrane,” Albertus says. “When the active materials pass through the membrane, they can react in a reversible or irreversible manner. Current membranes are not very selective, limiting the active materials to chemistries with the same element on both sides of the membrane such as the all-vanadium flow battery. Even a tiny amount of crossover—say, 0.01 percent per cycle—over the course of 5000 cycles leads to unacceptably high degradation. If the membrane had higher selectivity, a new paradigm allowing the use of a far wider range of active materials would be enabled, especially those that are less expensive, such as iron and chromium.” __ IEEE.org

Advanced Fission/Fusion Reactors Produce Power; Solid Ion Conductors Facilitate Sophisticated Ways of Storing, Distributing, and Utilising Electrical Power

An advanced human culture that is committed to and capable of moving to an abundant and expansive future, will need to master a wide range of new, empowering technologies.

Of all the critical infrastructures that modern human societies are built upon, reliable-affordable-high quality energy is the foundation of the foundation.

Wise and forward-thinking humans understand the need to move to scalable and transportable energy technologies that can be used in a wide range of settings — from the bottom of the oceans to nuclear powered generation spaceships, capable of moving human civilisation beyond our solar system.

Wind, water, and sun have served our species well over tens of thousands of years. But they are too limited and unreliable to power humans into the abundant and expansive future that long-term survival will demand.

Ah, but a man’s reach should exceed his grasp,
Or what’s a heaven for? __ R. Browning

For humans to have a future, they must expand their reach and their grasp both, in an eternal cycle of evolving.

Posted in Electrical Power Grid, Energy, Nuclear Power | Tagged , | 2 Comments

Russia is Reshaping Itself


HIV Explodes in 2016 Russia Russia HIV 2016

HIV Explodes in 2016 Russia
Russia HIV 2016

Russian Economy Now So Bad That Russians are Losing Faith in the Future. Every day brings fresh indications that the Russian economy under Vladimir Putin is disastrous now and will become more disastrous in the future. The World Bank says half of Russians are now at risk of falling into poverty (themoscowtimes.com/news/half-of-russians-risk-poverty-says-world-bank-56064), and polls show that three out of four Russians say they are already suffering (rufabula.com/news/2016/11/16/crisis). Surveys also show the faith Russians have in the future is rapidly slipping away (tvrain.ru/teleshow/vedomosti_na_dozhde/kak_rossijane_gotovjatsja_k_dolgomu_krizisu-421252/). Among other bad news stories this week are the following: Britain has now passed Russia as the second biggest arms exporter (independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/britain-is-now-the-second-biggest-arms-dealer-in-the-world-a7225351.html), Russian gols and silver production are down sharply (regnum.ru/news/economy/2206467.html), poor Russians are now selling themselves as marriage partners to immigrants who want to gain permanent residence status in Russia (ng.ru/economics/2016-11-17/4_6861_passport.html), Russia is now the largest economy in the world that doesn’t produce its own machine tools (newsland.com/community/2100/content/rossiia-stala-krupneishei-stranoi-mira-importiruiushchei-stanki/5558393), hidden forms of slavery are spreading throughout the Russian Federation (meduza.io/feature/2016/11/17/18-tysyach-rubley-za-cheloveka)

_____ http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.ca/2016/11/a-bakers-dozen-of-neglected-russian_18.html

70 percent of youth cohorts have left the regional periphery for good after graduating from school, and there was no significant return to the demographically depleted periphery in the young working ages… We can only imagine the future of the population where just 30 percent of the youth are willing to stay. The demographic development of hinterland doesn’t seem to be sustainable.

Source (PDF)

Not only will the hinterland not be developed, but what is already developed will be abandoned. And it is not only rapid youth out-migration that is causing depopulation of ethnic Russians from the periphery. Older Russians are also being forced out as their proportions of regional populations declines, leading to a “tipping point” phenomenon.

Russian Flight is Driving Ethnic Russians from the Periphery Toward the Centre

Across large parts of the former USSR, Russians are no longer welcome. Relatively low Russian birthrates lead to an increasing imbalance between Russians and non-Russians, leading to a “tipping point” that signals a rapid flight of Russians from the territory.

In many villages and districts, the non-Russians now outnumber the Russians, often significantly, and when that tipping point is reached, Russian flight accelerates and the influx of non-Russians increases as well.

There is a deeper reason for this shift than many may think, Yefimov says. Russians remain focused on the state to take care of them while the non-Russians only need land to make a profit and to live well. Given the weakness of the state, the Russians feel themselves cast adrift; but the non-Russians think that this gives them the space to act as they want. __ Source

Corruption is a Malignant Illness That Prevents Positive Evolution of Nations

Corruption is endemic in the third and emerging worlds, including most of Eurasia and Africa.

Transparency International Corruption Map 2015

Transparency International
Corruption Map 2015

The fact that corruption in Russia is as bad as almost anywhere in the third world suggests that Russia has no future as a partner in any advanced world coalition. China, for example, is rapidly outstripping Russia in terms of economy, sci-tech innovation, military strength, and international relations.

“Putin’s Russia is a seriously ill country. The illness is called Putinism. Putin doesn’t manage anything but is simply a primary malignant tumor, one that arose first in the Kremlin thanks to Boris Nikolayevich and the ‘family’ and then thanks to television metasticizing first in Crimea and the Donbass and now throughout all of Russia.”

… “The malignant tumor of Putnism must be removed by surgical means. The alternative is the disappearance from the globe of a country called Russia,” the only other way this cancer can be stopped. __ Source

Russian Decline Irreversible

Under Putin’s years of rule, the combination of dysfunctional action and failure to take productive action have put Russia in an untenable position, where only multiple and radical reversals of course would allow Russia any freedom of movement toward a better world for Russians to work, procreate, and innovate creatively and cooperatively.

Russia has entered a period of prolonged decline that will take many years to reverse even if it could be stopped soon, which is unlikely. The decline is man-made and predates Russian aggression in Ukraine and Western sanctions; it is the aggregation and interaction of a variety of negative systemic trends in Russian society already in existence. Reversing these trends, the experts concluded, will be extremely difficult if not impossible. Russia’s decline is likely permanent.

Vladimir Putin’s rule accelerated and deepened Russia’s declinePutin’s great luck in the first half of his rule (1999–2008) was the rapid increase in the price of hydrocarbons, Russia’s single significant cash crop. Oil that traded at $12-$14/barrel when Putin ascended to power rose steadily to $147/barrel in May of 2008. For a few years, GDP growth rates of 7% per annum and rising incomes ensued. This reliance on oil and gas exports, which increased from less than 50% of exports in 1999 to 68% today, convinced him that state control of the economy was essential to his ability to hold on to power.

This classic bubble burst when hydrocarbon prices collapsed, empowering all the built-in inefficiencies and pathologies of Putin’s top-down model to come into full play. __ Russia in Decline Summarised by Alex Alexiev

Broad, well-informed overview of Russian decline from The Jamestown Foundation

The creeping tragedy: The Four Russias

Putin is likely to attempt to cling to power to the bitter end. This means that he will use every means at his disposal — including global thermonuclear war, if allowed by the siloviki — in an attempt to maintain power and relevance for himself at the head of the failing state until the final collapse.

Western Russophiles cannot comprehend this ongoing downfall of Potemkin Russia, just as most political and media analysts in the USA could not comprehend the possibility of a Donald Trump presidency. Everything they think they know, just ain’t so.

Russia’s horrific healthcare system

Bonus Question: Does the excerpt below describe the state of health care in Africa or in Russia?

One family doctor told me that she once led an instructional seminar for medical students at the University of [XXXXXX]. During the seminar they reviewed several problematic cases, one of which involved a patient who had died due to mistakes made by a doctor. The case was included as a warning to the students to be careful in following established treatment protocols and surgical procedures.

After the seminar, one of the medical students approached the doctor and told her that after reading the case file, she realized that the patient in the case study was actually a close relative of hers. She said that the doctors who treated him told her family he had died of natural causes, and she was very traumatized to find he had actually died from malpractice. The doctor running the seminar sympathized with the student’s grief and anger, but told her it would be better if she kept quiet and made no complaint against the hospital. To do so would be to risk being labeled a political dissident or a counterrevolutionary. The student reluctantly concurred. __ Source

Medical statistics from places such as Russia, Africa, Cuba, Venezuela, etc. are not reliable. State ideology and state security are too important to be compromised by honest reporting.

Yet another reason why all news is fake news.

Posted in Russia, Russian Decline | Tagged , | 2 Comments

Privileged, Arrogant Silicon Valley Goes Half Cocked

Deranged Supporters of Hillary also Sore Losers

Silicon Valley calls for secession from America

Tech CEOs and executives supported Hillary Clinton’s campaign most generously with financial largesse and copious verbiage. One might expect some degree of maturity in people who have reached high levels of success in such a competitive field, but these privileged nerdle-heads are coming off as bad as the worst spoiled brats, after the US presidential election.

The industry, which largely supported Hillary Clinton during her presidential campaign, may also face higher hurdles for expanding their footprints… __ Bloomberg

Some tech CEOs are threatening to force pro-Trump employees to resign, while others have threatened to kill President-Elect Trump with a sniper rifle. Silicon Valley prima donnas threatened a revolution against Peter Thiel in retaliation for favourable comments made by Thiel about Trump.

Twitter attempts to revoke 1st amendment to US Constitution For the jokers at Google, Twitter, etc. political correctness trumps reality.

What is Wrong With These Pampered Putzes?

Tech companies are certainly getting rich off American consumers, but their effect on the US economy is not an unmitigated good. If you factor in the destructive effects of their environmental fanaticism, they can even have a net negative effect on the economy.

… the wage earning jobs created by the technocrats either go overseas or are largely nonexistent. Robotics technology now being developed by Google has creepy-looking robots doing the work of $22/hour warehouse laborers. This is an unstoppable trend, and there are strong arguments on both sides, but the undeniable truth is that we’re witnessing the death of American labor.

… Running the gauntlet of environmentalists will be daunting. Theirs is an inherently angry crowd and it doesn’t help that their defacto leaders don’t bother with nuisances like the truth. Disinformation and fear mongering are their hallmarks. Unfortunately the oil and gas industry is such an easy target. We’re not good at defending and explaining ourselves. But we are good at taking a beating. __ According to Doyle

Amazon stock value down $35 Billion!

Amazon Chief Executive Officer Jeff Bezos clashed with Trump during the election. Shares of the online retailer have lost more than $30 billion in value since Tuesday’s vote. __ Tech Stock Meltdown

Whatever possessed Jeff Bezos — a reasonably intelligent nerd — to wage warfare against a raging political phenomenon on the other man’s home turf? Time will tell how high a price Bezos and his stockholders will have to pay before the storm settles. Regardless, it is something that Bezos brought on himself.

As far as personal monetary loss, hedge fund tycoon Tom Steyer may have taken the cake:

Steyer and his super PAC NextGen Climate Action poured about $100 million into the election effort. The fact that most of that money came from Steyer’s own checkbook suggests that climate change isn’t much of a priority among other Democratic donors. Indeed, only 6% of Democrats listed climate change as their top concern, according to a Fox News poll of more than 1,000 registered voters taken just a year ahead of the election.

… This isn’t the first time Steyer has failed spectacularly. During the 2014 midterm election, in which he was also the largest individual donor, he dumped more than $73 million in an effort in which very few of the candidates he backed won and in which climate change action actually dropped as a priority (from 37% of Americans before the election season to just 28% by election’s end).
__ Source

Pepsico Products Source

Pepsico Products

Pepsi Cola CEO Indra Nooyi has come perilously close to a similar melt-down moment for Pepsico’s company stocks when she involved herself personally in the presidential debate. These successful but pampered CEOs keep forgetting that consumers vote on their products and stocks every day of every week of every year. If they cannot stick to business, they risk losing it all.

The Hysteria of Celebrities, CEOs, and Other Public Figures Drives Violence on the Street

Physical attacks on Trump supporters by angry leftists have become commonplace from coast to coast. We expect such things to happen in Portland OR because Eugene’s mad anarchists are so close to hand. But oddly, the largest proportion of Portland protestors were non-voters who were bussed in from out of state. The financiers of chaos are growing desperate.

In Oakland, Chicago, Los Angeles, and in multicultural neighborhoods across the land. The anger of the elite is transferred to the multicultural underclasses, who take it out on any object of opportunity that comes into view.

It seems that elite leftists take perverse pleasure in their ability to drive other leftists to violence. Certainly leftist media outlets refuse to expose the sordid results of their own angry partisanism.

Nonetheless, Pampered Idiots are Letting Their Pet Ideologies Overrule Common Sense

Leftists in Silicon Valley tech companies, in media outlets across the country, in academia, and in activist organisations, cannot seem to stop shooting themselves in the foot.

And the [people on the] left don’t get it. They keep pushing the same false narratives, the same garbage stories, the same slurs. If they continue to do so, America will keep reacting just the way the left fears. __ http://www.dailywire.com/news/10716/lefts-ridiculous-response-trump-election-why-he-ben-shapiro#

Speaking of old, broken-down leftoid fruitcakes:

Film director and writer Paul Schrader, who used to be somebody many years ago in Hollywood, has taken to Facebook to call for “violent resistance” to protest the election of Donald Trump. Actually, the keyboard guerilla has gone to the extent of claiming to be willing to take up arms. Schrader claims to be enraged by “alt.right nut jobs” but as you can see in his Friday (ironically Veteran’s Day) Facebook post, Schrader is obviously living out his violent fantasies in an alt.world:

I have spent the last five days meditating on Trump’s election. Upon consideration, I believe this is a call to violence. I felt the call to violence in the 60’s and I feel it now again. This attack on liberty and tolerance will not be solved by appeasement. Obama tried that for eight years. We should finance those who support violence resistance. We should be willing to take arms. Like Old John Brown, I am willing to battle with my children. Alt right nut jobs swagger violence. It’s time to actualize that violence, Like by Civil War Michigan predecessors I choose to stand with the black, the brown and the oppressed.

__ http://www.newsbusters.org/blogs/nb/pj-gladnick/2016/11/14/film-director-writer-paul-schrader-calls-violence-protest-against

Americans are tired of pampered elites in media, academia, government, and the private sector pissing on ordinary people’s legs then claiming it is raining. Perhaps it is time to piss on the elites for a change, although I would personally prefer using a pressure washer loaded with high strength disinfectant concentrate. Moving down the list of the corrupt. More here and here. Focus on Elon Musk

More evidence of the astro-turfed, wealthy outsider elite financing of violent protest

Privileged leftists inside and outside of the Nerd Turd Brigade have come to believe that their money and celebrity can buy them anything at all. Perhaps they should understand that personal and monetary risk and hazard are something else the flagrant abuse of their money can buy, and that the arrogant misuse of their personal power and influence can achieve.

Government policies provided the opportunity for leftist insiders to make hundreds of $millions and $billions. More rational government policies may well take away such corrupt opportunities and siphon off comparable amounts from their pocketbooks. Everything changes. Get used to it and move on.


Young father’s death caused by pro-Hillary rioters

Who finances these riots with their vandalism, violence, disruption, and intimidation?

Protestors are full of hatred

Portland protestors non-voters bussed in from out of state

Dissection of the elites

Posted in Economics, Hillary Clinton, Ideology, Politics, Technology | Tagged | 1 Comment

Illegal Aliens Cast 3 Million Votes in 2016 US Election — All for Hillary?

Three million votes in the U.S. presidential election were cast by illegal aliens, according to Greg Phillips of the VoteFraud.org [ed: votestand.com] organization.

If true, this would mean that Donald Trump still won the contest despite widespread vote fraud and almost certainly won the popular vote.

“We have verified more than three million votes cast by non-citizens,” tweeted Phillips after reporting that the group had completed an analysis of a database of 180 million voter registrations. __ votestand.com via Source

More on this story

3 million fraudulent votes should be considered a minimum estimate, with likely over 95% of those fraudulent votes cast for Hillary Clinton. At Al Fin Election Headquarters, we have been sceptical of Clinton’s claim that she won the popular vote — for the very reason of widespread, large-scale voter fraud perpetrated by Democratic Party precinct officials.

President Obama actually encouraged illegals to vote in this election, and the state of California has actively facilitated fraudulent voting by illegals in recent years.

What is a unique situation is the possibility that millions of illegal immigrants successfully voted in 2016. It will be quite interesting to see if the final report from VoteStand and True The Vote proves Phillips’ allegations.


Violent Anti-Trump Protests Fueled and Astro-Turfed by Soros’ Groups

Look at all the Soros’ funded buses in the video below!

“I have a video of 5 city blocks on the West side of Chicago lined with busses from Wisconsin (Badger Bus Lines) bringing in protestors. The Sears tower is visible in the background.”

The video was taken at 3:30pm on South Canal Street in Chicago on Saturday. As our reader points out, hundreds of the participants that took part in the downtown Chicago protests from November 12 were bused in using these vehicles. Other arrived by train. __ Source

Is George Soros Sabotaging the Peace?

Astroturfing Protest

The press prostitutes continue to lie to us. They pretend that the anti-Trump protests are real spontaneous events although the prostitutes know that the “protests” are orchestrated by George Soros and front groups for the Oligarchy such as change.org and other fake progressive groups funded by the oligarchs.

Soros, change.org and various progressive and leftwing fronts for the oligarchs pretend to be for democracy, but they are acting in behalf of Oligarchy. We are witnessing a direct attack on American democracy. These protesters are the hired mercenary enemy of the American people. __ http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-11-13/has-george-soros-committed-treason

For George Soros to bus thousands of people into a city for purposes of protest, vandalism, intimidation, and physical violence, is a vile and vicious attack on the peace and prosperity of the cities of America. It is possible that he will need to face legal consequences if he cannot restrain himself soon.

Here is another perspective on the election that contrasts with that of George Soros:

If We are Lucky, This Could Be the Beginning of Something Really Special

The leader of the populist Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) party, Frauke Petry, predicted that Trump’s victory would result in a political change in Europe too. On Facebook, she wrote:

“It was high time that in the United States of America, people who feel disaffected withdrew their vote for the political establishment. While 93% of voters in Washington, DC voted for Clinton in order to retain their own power structures, the majority of voters across the country want a political new beginning, an economic recovery for the stricken middle class and an end of division in what is still the most powerful country in the world.

“This election result is encouraging for Germany and for Europe, because Trump really has the cards for political sea-change in his hand. I congratulate Donald Trump on his election victory and on this historic chance….

“Like Americans, citizens of Germany must have the courage to put a tick in the ballot box and not remain complacent. Their opinion counts, even if political correctness would appear to have elevated the decreed consensus to the level of a new doctrine.”

Beatrix von Storch, an AfD Member of the European Parliament, wrote:

“Donald Trump’s victory is a clear signal that citizens of the Western world want political change. This is a surprise only to the establishment. In the USA as well as Germany, citizens wish for secure borders, less globalism, and politics that focus with common sense on issues in their own country.”

Hungary. Prime Minister Viktor Orbán wrote on Facebook: “What great news. Democracy is still alive.”

Italy. The founder of the anti-establishment 5-Star Movement, Beppe Grillo, hailed Trump’s victory. He wrote:

“This is proof that these millions of demagogues are not the people, they are journalists, intellectuals, anchored to a world that no longer exists. There are similarities between these events in America and our movement…. We are going to govern and they will ask: ‘But how did they do it?’ They channelled the collective anger.”

The Netherlands. Dutch lawmaker Geert Wilders said:

“America regained its national sovereignty, its identity, it reclaimed its own democracy, that’s why I call it a revolution.

“Now there is a leader, despite all the negativity spread about him by the political elite and the press, that has only one concern, and that is the national interest of the voters of America who are concerned about immigration, who are concerned about the job loss as a result of globalization, who are concerned about the Islamization of their society. And he tends to say the truth and convince people that if they start moving, anything is possible, and I believe the historical event of yesterday will have an enormous effect on European politics as well.

“The lesson for Europe is, what America can do we can do as well.” __ The Ball is in Europe’s Court

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. It is never too late (or too early) to have a Dangerous Childhood.

More– Trump plan begins to take form:

  1. A Constitutional Amendment to impose term limits on all members of Congress
  2. A hiring freeze on all federal employees to reduce federal workforce through attrition (exempting military, public safety, and public health)
  3. A requirement that for every new federal regulation, two existing regulations must be eliminated
  4. A five year ban on White House and Congressional officials becoming lobbyists after they leave government service
  5. A lifetime ban on the White House officials lobbying on behalf of a foreign government
  6. A complete ban on foreign lobbyists raising money for American elections
  7. Cancel billions in payments to U.N. climate change programs and use the money to fix America’s water and environmental infrastructure
  8. __ http://dailycaller.com/2016/11/14/soros-prepares-for-trump-war/

It looks like a good start, as long as they put sharp teeth into the penalties for breaking the bans. But just a start. The US Federal Government has bloated to monstrous proportions and must be slashed savagely.

Posted in Crime, Groupthink, Hillary Clinton, Politics | Tagged | 2 Comments

Solid Competents vs. Worthless Snowflakes: Working Out the Future

If you are young and not Dangerous, your dreams and passions are almost certainly pathetic shite. If you are not Dangerous, you have probably never been exposed to the full-spectrum world out there. So, here’s a word of advice: Don’t follow your passion. Discover the real world first, then you can start to work out how you might fit in that world.

Mike Rowe is a TV personality who championed the concept of “dirty jobs” — jobs that frighten or repel most people, need to be done, typically pay well, and are very low down on the list of most persons’ “dream jobs.”

Mike Rowe has a foundation, the mikeroweWORKS Foundation, which is dedicated to promoting “skills jobs,” work that doesn’t require a 4 year college diploma — but instead requires real world competence and skills. Rowe wants to repair the mismatch he sees:

* A trillion dollars in student loans.
* Record high unemployment.
* Three million good jobs that no one seems to want.

The mikeroweWORKS Foundation started the Profoundly Disconnected® campaign to challenge the absurd belief that a four-year degree is the only path to success. The Skills Gap is here, and if we don’t close it, it’ll swallow us all. Which is a long way of saying, we could use your help… __ MikeRowWORKS Foundation

Skilled workers are growing closer to retirement age. Farmers, welders, skilled construction workers, skilled maintenance workers, and a host of other pivotal “dirty jobs” requiring competence and expertise are growing older and retiring. They are not being replaced fast enough with good enough young replacements.

… the hardest segment of the workforce for employers to staff with skilled talent hasn’t been registered nurses or engineers or even web developers. It’s been the skilled trades – the welders, electricians, machinists, etc. that are so prevalent in manufacturing and construction.

But if these skilled-trades workers are difficult to find now, as Manpower MAN +2.25%’s survey indicates, just wait a few years. The skills gap is likely to become more acute.

In 2012, 53 percent of skilled-trade workers in the U.S. were 45 years and older, according to EMSI, and 18.6 percent were between the ages of 55 and 64. (We are using the Virginia Manufacturers Association’s definition of skilled trades, which encompasses 21 particular occupations.) __ Joshua Wright

Too many young people cannot focus on one thing long enough to develop competent expertise, cannot go long enough without using drugs to pass either a scheduled or a random urine test, and cannot be trusted with hazardous machinery, materials, or tools. But if young people were exposed to the real world of responsibilities and consequences early enough to understand what it takes to earn, save, and go independent — their attitudes might well undergo a significant adjustment for the better.

A lot of the “dirty-jobs” people that Rowe highlighted on his TV show episodes were unheralded multi-millionaires. The money goes to where needs are filled, and glamour often doesn’t enter into it.

Rowe is an advocate for blue-collar workers and is the CEO of the MikeRoweWorks Foundation, which he started in 2008 to help connect people with skilled jobs. Rowe also uses it to challenge, what he calls, America’s “dysfunctional relationship with work.” __ Source

Mike Rowe has some unconventional ideas which could contribute to the improvement and prosperity of virtually any country’s educational policies. And he offers these ideas freely to every US president — whether Democrat or Republican.

“When the dust settles, and The White House gets a new tenant, I’ll make the same offer to President Trump that I did to President Obama — to assist as best I can in any attempt to reinvigorate the skilled trades, and shine a light on millions of good jobs that no one seems excited about pursuing,” he said. __ Variety

Mike Rowe wants to match people with jobs. But he also wants to improve skills training in the US, starting at the high school age level. Because of this and many of his other ideas, Rowe is light years ahead of most of his contemporaries in television and the entertainment media when it comes to contributing to useful change.

Mike Rowe goes beyond the surface fluff of politics, media, academia, and activism, and gets down and dirty in the real world. He is opening minds one by one. Perhaps if President-Elect Trump decides to give him a louder voice, he can open more minds and empower more people to develop practical skills and find ways of using them profitably.

Make no mistake: There are a lot of things that Mike Rowe knows which he cannot easily communicate to modern youth and workers, raised as they have been in a milieu of short-attention-span frivolity and superficiality. But he is working hard to overcome the gap, and does us all a great service by continuing in what he is doing.

Dangerous Children Start Earlier and Go Much Farther

Dangerous Children know more than just blue collar skills, of course, although they cannot achieve their fullest potential without developing a wide range of practical skills and competencies — regardless of what careers, professions, vocations, and working pathways they may “ultimately” choose. And Dangerous Children have the utmost respect for other people who master practical skills, do dirty jobs, run their own businesses, and personally keep communities and societies running through their own competence.

But somebody needs to go beyond the way things are and how they could be better. Someone must understand how the larger workings might break and how to build the parallel infrastructures and disruptive intermeshing technologies that would allow societies to re-form and self-organise along more practical and self-sustaining and self-reforming avenues of development.

This is a higher level of the “dirty job” concept, but sooner or later it will be needed.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. It is never too late (or early) to have a Dangerous Childhood.

This article was cross-posted from Al Fin’s The Dangerous Child blog

Posted in careers, Competence, Dangerous Child, University | Tagged | 2 Comments

Siberia to Experience a Change in “Ownership”

Imagine Siberia Slipping Russia’s Leash, Becoming One Giant Patchwork Economic Free Trade Zone

As for the massive Siberian resources, can the Russians be their guardians forever?

… where Westerners have trouble imagining anything other than a flag – Chinese, Russian or Turkish – flying over the Siberian territory, wouldn’t it be better to see this desert like a sea, an open space of communication, criss-crossed by human flow and exchange of goods and information, accelerated by these communication channels in which Chinese are currently investing.

Siberia might appear as a laboratory for this kind of experience, in this case: a sea full of fish managed by a community of residents gathered around the same table … __ Russia China Future

Siberia as an international trade zone? That might be exactly what China would like to see. Certainly Russia is becoming less and less able to fend off Chinese intrusions, nor can Moscow stop the growing separatist movements across Siberia forever.

Chinese immigration into the Russian Far East — both legal and illegal — is accelerating beyond Moscow’s ability to control. When combined with growing Chinese domination of Central Asia, and increasing Chinese alliances with Ukraine, Poland, Finland, and other Eastern and Central European nations, the conversion of the “Russian Far East” to “Novo China” has ominous overtones for the future of the grand Russian Empire.

“China’s efforts will undermine Russia’s military influence…, potentially derailing the two countries’ strategic partnership in the process.”


In the nearly three decades since Chinese-Russian relations began improving, a number of Russians still worry that Chinese migration could result in a takeover of Russian territory.

On the Chinese side, commentators and bloggers continue to note that Tsarist Russia had annexed nearly 600,000 square miles of Chinese territory in the late 19th century.

And some Chinese can still remember that at the end of World War II, Russian troops who fought the Japanese in Manchuria had carted off factory equipment and railroad tracks that rightly belonged to China.

… Despite initial Soviet misgivings, thousands of Chinese migrants are now employed as farmers in vast and lightly populated Siberia and the Russian Far East. And many of them do work that most Russians would prefer not to do. __ http://www.rfa.org/english/commentaries/china-russia-08302016160340.html

The Alternative to a Multi-National Free Trade Zone for Siberia

If Putin continues with his wasteful out-of-country military expenditures, to the sorrow of the Russian economy and infrastructure, it is likely that China will obtain outright ownership of large swathes of Siberia via purchases and investments that Russia cannot avoid. In such a case, China’s control over Siberian resources will become almost exclusive.

Alternative News from Russia Behind the Propaganda Curtain

Russia’s economic slump has become so deep that one Moscow commentator this week said that Russia may have wanted to become the Third Rome but it has ended up as “the second Zimbabwe” (economics-prorok.com/2016/11/blog-post_84.html).

Budget cuts in the health sector are pushing up mortality rates across the board, officials say, with some now speaking of a health care disaster in Russia (regnum.ru/news/economy/2202329.html).

Moscow officials have refused groups which want to hold protests against Putin’s war in Syria, an indication both of shifting Russian attitudes about that conflict and official concern about that shift (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=5825855130AB5). Meanwhile, on the first anniversary of their original protest, long-route truckers in St. Petersburg have resumed their demonstrations against Moscow’s taxes and fees (rosbalt.ru/piter/2016/11/11/1566276.html).

Ever more repressive and illiberal ideas are being enshrined in Russian laws even though they contradict not only the Russian constitution but Moscow’s undertakings as a signatory to various international rights accords.

A Catalonian activist has visited several non-Russian republics, something that reflects Moscow’s support of separatism in the West but that may provoke even more interest in separatism among non-Russians and Russian regionalists in Russia itself (kavpolit.com/articles/dagestan_glazami_katalontsa-29399/).

Military and educational officials say that history is now “a zone of military operations” in which Moscow must fight off everything they deem to be a falsification of Russian history and must promote myths rather than facts in order to serve the Kremlin (novayagazeta.ru/articles/2016/11/07/70441-falsifitsiruya-edinstvo and http://avmalgin.livejournal.com/6589552.html).

__ More

Russia is a wild brawl of a country, nothing at all like what Kremlin propaganda outlets and trolls attempt to project. As the ethnic Russian population in Siberia (and other parts of the periphery) rapidly shrinks, the effective control of those regions is slowly but surely shifting away from Moscow. Growing movements of separatism and independence from Muskovy are not conflicts that nuclear weapons were meant to solve.

Putin recklessly set raging wild fires in Ukraine, Syria, Moldova, Georgia, etc., but forgot about the brushfire raging out of control within Russia’s own borders. Now the chickens from those overseas wildfires are coming home to roost, and Putin has no idea how to put out the pre-existing fires within Russia itself.

“There are from 2,000 to 4,000 Russian nationals fighting in ISIS ranks, mostly Chechens and representatives of other North Caucasus republics,” said Vladimir Akhmedov.

As the group is suffering military defeats in Syria and Iraq, it is very likely that militants will be returning to Russia to carry out attacks there __ Russia Behind the Headlines

ISIS is not something that can be killed by bombs. It is a deep reflection of Islamic belief, a violent acting out of a bloody desert religion practised by over a billion people across the world. Cut off its head and a dozen heads will grow up. Putin painted himself into a corner with his unnecessary entanglements in the internecine Muslim civil war. His tactical opportunism overpowered any sense of longer term strategy which he may possess, and now Russia is well and truly quagmired.

Russia is aging rapidly. Its working-age population is on track to shrink by 14% over the next 35 years, posing a real risk to economic growth.

“Russia will have the largest implosion of population in the history of the world,” Gundlach said last week at ETF.com’s Fixed Income Conference. The legendary investor said that’s excluding war, famine or disease. __ http://money.cnn.com/2015/11/08/investing/russia-jeffrey-gundlach/

Posted in Siberia | Tagged

The Government Is Not the Country

My kind of loyalty was to one’s country, not to its institutions or its officeholders. The country is the real thing, the substantial thing, the eternal thing; it is the thing to watch over, and care for, and be loyal to; institutions are extraneous, they are its mere clothing, and clothing can wear out, become ragged, cease to be comfortable, cease to protect the body from winter, disease, and death. ___ Mark Twain quoted_in_Ain’tNobody’sBusinessIfYouDo

US Relief Map Source

US Relief Map

When philosophers first discussed concepts of personal liberty, long ago, few persons were able to grasp the idea that a person could be independent of a government or king, a prince or duke, a lord or overseer. The founders of the young American republic discovered the concept, and later popular writers such as Mark Twain helped to propagate the spirit of liberty to later generations. But the idea never truly caught on in Europe, Asia, Africa, or most of South America. Oceanian nations New Zealand and Australia possess a fair share of independence-minded persons, as does Canada. The USA probably contains the most adherents to philosophies of liberty than any other nation — both in terms of absolute numbers and in proportionate terms.

But the numbers have diminished with the years, and clearly even in the US, there were not enough lovers of liberty to prevent the onslaught of the Obama – Clinton green reich of dieoff leftist hyper-statism. Personal and economic freedoms are being siphoned off in the name of social justice and environmental justice, and without recent changes Americans might have soon found themselves stripped of their beloved freedoms of speech and association — just like many Europeans, Russians, citizens of Muslim countries, and the Chinese.

The government is not the country. The government derives its powers from the consent of the people. If the government seizes its powers against the consent of the governed, it loses its legitimacy.

The US Constitution is the most sophisticated instrument of government for governing a pluralistic population that has yet been devised. But multicultural, multi-ethnic, multi-religious, multi-ideological countries are difficult to govern. And unfortunately, the current government of the US has been largely antagonistic toward the very aspects of the US Constitution which provide the vital protections to a nation’s pluralism, for the past 85 years.

Modern governments presume too much, attempt too much, seize too much authority and power. This has almost always been true of governments past a certain size, prior to the US Constitution. Now, even in the US, limits on government are being hammered away by power-hungry despots of unlimited ambition.

The US Tea Party movement, for example, has been largely despised and reviled by the mainstream media and the pseudo-intelligentsia of academia, politics, and culture. And yet for years, the US Tea Party has represented perhaps the last best chance to prevent a massive and irrevocable schism between the slaves-of-the-state and the dwindling but still potent students of liberty. This will probably continue to be true under the Trump administration — which is far less a radical departure from the status quo than most observers understand.

The incredible economic growth of the US throughout the 19th and 20th centuries illustrated the power of a free people to innovate and produce. As that freedom has been gradually shut down by the growth of the state, the innovation and the ability to produce within the limits of extant technologies, has steadily diminished. Government economic statistics are, of course, not trustworthy — you must read between the lines and make significant corrections in order to understand the underlying reality.

The government is not the country. Most governments have become over-sized parasites upon the country, and must be cut down to size before they suffocate the life out of the country. How will this “cutting down” be accomplished? That is a good question.


This article has been adapted from an original Al Fin article first published in February, 2010. While searching Google for this article, I discovered that Google Cache has been systematically deleting alfin2100.blogspot.com articles from the Google Cache. It seems that Google can only stand so much political incorrectness before it starts to break down.

The original text for the article above was retrieved from the wayback machine at http://archive.org.

Some elements within Google are becoming threats to an abundant and expansive human future, just as large as George Soros, just as large as the global climate apocalypse cult, just as large as the coming anarchy deriving from global dysgenic decline of populations, and just as large as the regressive governments of the EU and the US (under Obama).

As far as backlashes go, the election of Donald Trump (along with Brexit) represent very mild backlashes. But the awareness and the concerns of the more aware people within Europe, the Anglosphere, and the brighter, freer parts of Asia and Latin America, are just beginning to warm up.

Remember: The objective is not to convert the entire world to your way of thinking. That would be the way of the religious and political fanatics. The objective is to create an opening wide enough to move through into a more abundant and expansive human future that just keeps spreading and getting bigger across the solar system and beyond.

Governments and dictatorial religions have been at war against this expansive and abundant human future for millenia. Is it any surprise that Google feels threatened by an opening of human potential? Now, if Google would drop its support for the genocidal climate apocalypse cult, we might have some common ground for discussion. Unfortunately, the company is so badly infested with politically correct vermin, that recovery may be impossible.

More: A relatively recent look at escaping government from this blog. Disruptive technologies tend to be taken up by a wide range of independent groups, making them difficult for any one organisation or group to control.

A deeper look at why some societies/civilisations succeed and why others fail — many provocative links and videos

Posted in Government, Groupthink, Ideology, Philosophy, Politics | Tagged , ,

Protesting Against Reality: Leftists Resent Real World Feedback

The recent American election was a peaceful backlash against the US government’s ruinous and intrusive unconstitutional policies. Leftwing activist groups cannot tolerate this feedback — this reality — so they are taking to the streets in violent protest, marching toward a Pyrrhic contest they are hoping will overturn the express will of hard-working people whose fairly placed votes were counted.

… it was not black versus white, rich versus poor, feminism versus patriarchy, illegal versus citizen; rather, it was those who produce nothing believing themselves entitled, without appreciation, to the goods produced by others versus those who actually produce. __ Source

Leftists Lose Control Source

Leftists Lose Control

Beatings in Chicago, Shootings in Seattle, Riots in Oakland, Murder Threats in LA

Twitter is exploding with people calling for president-elect Donald Trump to be assassinated.

The Republican real-estate billionaire beat Hillary Clinton handily to become the next president of the United States, but that hasn’t stopped lots of people calling for somebody to murder him. __ http://dailycaller.com/2016/11/09/twitter-erupts-with-calls-for-donald-trump-to-be-assassinated/

Riots, mayhem, death threats, disruptive marches to keep ordinary people from going about their business: Is this the way to Win Friends and Influence People??? Perhaps in some alternative universe where Mr. Spock wears a goatee.

In this universe, in a relatively prosperous and hard-working country, ordinary people are repelled by violent thugs and political assassins. Especially thugs who are unwilling to wait long enough for a president-elect to actually be inaugurated and begin taking political action, before they begin their violent and bitter rampages against their sense of broken personal entitlement.

George Soros’ Black Lives Matter Shares Much Credit for Getting Trump Elected

Black Lives Matter helped propel Donald Trump’s unforeseen ascent to the White House. The public understood the threat to law and order posed by the movement’s calumnies about the nation’s police …

Hillary Clinton embraced the Black Lives Matter movement. She regularly accused the nation’s cops of systemic, lethal racism. Last July, when the toll of officers murdered by Black Lives Matter-inspired assassins had reached five in that one month alone, Clinton told the NAACP that we need to “root out implicit [police] bias and stop the killings of African-Americans.” …

Black Lives Matter is not going to go quietly into the night. The movement may even grow more extreme, fueled by a university culture devoted to racial victimology. Hate-filled chants like the one recently uttered in Chicago—“CPD, KKK, How many kids did you kill today?”—will continue to plague city streets. But the absence of an echo chamber in the White House for such falsehoods may go far toward curbing the rising violence of the last two years.

… Trump expressed concern about the growing homicide toll in black neighborhoods. He was promptly called a racist for doing so. Undeterred, in his victory speech early this morning, he again pledged to “fix our inner cities”—which means, first and foremost, honoring the desire of the millions of law-abiding residents of high-crime areas for assertive, and respectful, police protection. __ http://www.city-journal.org/html/law-order-and-trump-14842.html

This is what race baiters and race war impresarios are afraid of. If Trump improves conditions for blacks, latinos, and others in the inner cities, leftists are likely to lose much of their expendible cannon fodder which they had been counting on to fuel unrest and insurgency. Many blacks, latinos, and others of the underclass are growing tired of being so abused by leftist ideological activists who care nothing about the people they claim to champion.

Young Leftist Snowflakes Experiencing Panic Attacks of Their Own Making

“No violence” is a common request. But it often ends in violence.

Windows were smashed around the city and as the clean-up was completed on Wednesday morning, the protests kicked off all over again. __ http://www.news.com.au/world/north-america/flag-burned-as-protests-breakout-across-the-us/news-story/7207fa8f6208de3f26aa256a89d2cb74

It would be one thing if these mental larvae were willing to wait for Trump to enter office and start taking actions with which they disagree. But the people who finance this type of movement are not willing to pause to think before they pull the trigger. This is likely to rebound back on them — particularly if Trump keeps quiet and allows them to continue shooting themselves in the feet, genitals, and faces.

Americans Went to the Polls to Vote Against Elitists’ All-Encompassing Statism

The violent protestors we have seen so far appear to be angry at an implied threat to the massive US state apparatus, which is hugely tilted toward the parasitic classes and against the productive classes. These “deplorables” as Hillary Clinton describes them, just want to go about living their lives in peace. Unless the financiers of these violent protests — such as George Soros — come to their senses soon, everything they have been working for over their entire lives will crumble to dust without Donald Trump having to lift a finger.


The video below comes from the days before the election. In the video, a (?homeless?) black woman defends Donald Trump’s star on the walk of fame in Hollywood. Clearly, the California crowd is not in a tolerant mood toward this peaceful sidewalk demonstrator.

Now, after the election, instead of shoving her and shouting at her, Hillary Clinton supporters seem more in the mood to physically assault her in typically self-righteous manner. They are going too far, and promise to go much farther.

At this point it is best not to provoke these aggrieved and entitled parasites with political rhetoric or argument. The election is over. But don’t be afraid to defend yourself when they inevitably take their righteous indignation too far. But keep things in proportion to the actual threat.

Even more idiocy from the left:

“As a white, queer person, we need unity with people of color, we need to stand up,” said Claire Bye, a 15-year-old sophomore at Academy High School. “I’m fighting for my rights as an LGBTQ person. I’m fighting for the rights of brown people, black people, Muslim people.” ___ http://www.cbsnews.com/news/riot-declared-in-portland-oregon-amid-new-wave-of-anti-trump-demos/

Are you kidding me?

Apparently, these losers are very slow to comprehend that acting out with violence, vandalism, and obstructing everyday people going about their lives, just makes their cause so much less attractive to anyone who may have otherwise been sympathetic.

They have been pampered and allowed to shrivel back into their amniotic sacks for so long now that they are essentially useless in any real economy. No wonder they turn to violent, self-defeating protest. The world has failed to warp itself around their precious little entitled selves. So the world will have to pay!

More: College Students Today are Pathetic!

 The University of Michigan offered its traumatized students coloring books and Play-Doh to calm them. (Are its students in college or kindergarten?)
 The University of Kansas reminded its stressed-out kids that therapy dogs, a regular campus feature, were available.
 Cornell University, an Ivy League school, held a campus-wide “cry-in,” with officials handing out tissues and hot chocolate.
 Tufts University offered its devastated students arts and crafts sessions. (OK, not kindergarten — more like summer camp.)
 At campuses from elite Yale to Connecticut to Iowa and beyond, professors canceled classes and/or exams — either because students asked or because instructors were too distraught to teach.
__ NYP

Is it possible to expect anything substantive from fragile little wastrels such as those described above? But wait! It is university staff who are promoting these little cry-ins and temper tantrums. Universities who pamper to the most useless infantile instincts of students represent larger targets, with greater vulnerabilities. Needless to say, parents need to rethink where they send their children for higher education, and potential contributors to universities need to become far more selective.

Regressive departments in university in particular can be made to feel the results of their own savage destructiveness against the student body.


Professional activists form the backbone of this astroturf titmouse revolution

Posted in Blacks and crime, Crime, Government, Hillary Clinton, Ideology, Politics, Racial Myths, University | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Almost a Real Election

US Election Results: Red - 279 Blue - 218 RealClearPolitics

US Election Results:
Red – 279 280
Blue – 218 228

The US Republican Party gained the White House and held on to the Senate and House. It added 3 governors to its pre-existing majority of state governors across the country. Here is a closer geographical look at American repudiation of Clinton and outright rejection of Obama’s policies and the elite establishment in Washington DC.
Finer Grained Geographical Analysis of Trump's Election Victory Source

Finer Grained Geographical Analysis of Trump’s Election Victory

Trump’s Majority Exceeded the Ability of the DP to Cheat

Voter fraud is a routine part of US Democratic Party strategy. And just as in 2012, voter fraud has been prominent in the news for the 2016 cycle. But it just wasn’t enough to bring the elitist candidate — Hillary Clinton — to her lifelong dream. Bill, of course, is totally crushed.

US Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg Now Wants to Move to New Zealand

“Now it’s time for us to move to New Zealand,” [Ginsburg] said quoting her husband who died in 2010. “I can’t imagine what the country would be with Donald Trump as our president. For the country, it could be four years. For the court, it could be — I don’t even want to contemplate that.”

Hispanic comedian George Lopez said Trump “won’t have to worry about immigration” if he takes the White House because “we’ll all go back.”

Miley Cyrus wrote in an emotional Instagram post in March that tears were running down her cheek and she was unbelievably scared and sad. “I am moving if he is president,” the young pop star said. “I don’t say things I don’t mean!”

Samuel L. Jackson slammed Trump for running a “hate”-filled campaign and said he would move to South Africa if he wins. “If that motherf—er becomes president, I’m moving my black ass to South Africa,” the movie star quipped to Jimmy Kimmel. __ More at the link

If Ginsburg Resigns, Trump Will Waste No Time Nominating a Replacement

Peter Thiel issued a call to arms:

“Congratulations to President-elect Donald Trump. He has an awesomely difficult task, since it is long past time for us to face up to our country’s problems. We’re going to need all hands on deck.” __ Source

It is highly unlikely that Trump will do even 5% of the controversial acts he promised to do during the campaign. He will not be able to put Hillary in jail, for example, because outgoing President Obama will have pardoned the former first lady.

Pollsters Suffer Huge Embarassment

Only two prominent polling organisations came close to predicting the actual election results — and they were off because they neglected to factor in the amount of polling fraud perpetrated by democratic precinct officials within the inner cities of swing states.

Going into Election Day, a strong majority of pollsters and election modelers forecast that Hillary Clinton would coast to victory, with many predicting she would sweep the battlegrounds and win north of 300 electoral votes.

The final University of Virginia Center for Politics model had Clinton winning 322 electoral votes to 216 for Trump, with Clinton winning Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin – all states that she lost.

Liberals lashed out at data guru Nate Silver for giving Trump a 35 percent chance of victory heading into Election Day, claiming he was putting his thumb on the scale for Trump by making the race appear closer than it was.

Of the 11 national polls to be released in the final week of the race, only two – a Los Angeles Times-USC survey and one from IBD/TIPP – showed Trump with the lead.
__ Source

Here’s How the Demographics Played Out

America is a nation of many economies, but those that produce real, tangible things — food, fiber, energy and manufactured goods — went overwhelmingly for Trump. He won virtually every state from Appalachia to the Rockies, with the exceptions of heavily Hispanic Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico, and President Obama’s home base of Illinois.

Some of his biggest margins were in energy states — Texas, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Wyoming, North Dakota — where the fracking revolution created a burst of prosperity. Generally speaking, the more carbon-intensive the economy, the better the Republicans did. Many of his biggest wins took place across the energy-producing regions of the country, including Ohio, Texas, Louisiana, Wyoming, Idaho, and especially West Virginia, where he won by a remarkable margin of 68% to 27%. The energy industry could well be the biggest financial winner in the election.

Trump either won, or closely contested all the traditional manufacturing states — Ohio, Wisconsin, Indiana, Iowa and even Michigan, where union voters did not support Clinton as they had Obama and where trade was also a big issue. Trump did consistently better than Romney in all these states, even though Romney was a native of Michigan. Perhaps the most significant turnaround was in Ohio, which Obama won with barely 51% of the vote in 2012. This year Trump reversed this loss and won by over seven points.

Agricultural states, reeling from the decline of commodity prices, not surprisingly, also went for the New Yorker.

… Trump owes his election to what one writer has called “the leftover people.” These may be “deplorables” to the pundits but their grievances are real – their incomes and their lifespans have been decreasing. They have noticed, as Thomas Frank has written, that the Democrats have gone “from being the party of Decatur to the party of Martha’s Vineyard.”

Many of these voters were once Democrats, and feel they have been betrayed. And they include a large swath of the middle class, whose fury explains much of what happened tonight. Trump has connected better with these voters than Romney, who won those making between $50,000 and $90,000 by a narrow 52 percent margin. Early analysis of this year’s election shows Trump doing better among these kind of voters. __ http://www.forbes.com/sites/joelkotkin/2016/11/09/donald-trumps-presidenti-victory-demographics/#50c16fb079a8

Donald Trump is not Ronald Reagan

Ronald Reagan saved the US from a rapid decline similar in many ways to what has taken place under Obama. But Reagan had been involved in politics since his screen guild days, and had served as governor of California for two terms before serving two terms as US President. Trump, by contrast, has traded in real estate and worked in the reality TV industry. He has a lot of learning to do in terms of how the country works and should be working. But Trump is far more capable of learning and making savvy decisions than Hillary Clinton would have been, had she been elected.

The Most Extraordinary Election of Our Lifetime?

The answer depends upon how long your lifetime might have been so far. Certainly Donald Trump upended the expectations of most pollsters, journalists, pundits, investment bankers, celebrities, and effete elitists of all types.

Skankstream Media Agonal, Buried Alive, On Subterranean Life Suppport Source

Skankstream Media Agonal, Buried Alive, On Subterranean Life Suppport

After 30 years of arrogant misrule and wantonly planting the seeds of economic and financial ruin throughout Flyover America, the Wall Street/Washington establishment and its mainstream media tools have been repudiated like never before in modern history. __ David Stockman

A few morning-after newspaper covers

Adoring Faces Look to Clinton

Adoring Faces Look to Clinton

The mainstream skankstream media went all-out for Clinton. They loved her and broke all the rules to try to get her elected. What the consequences will be for the skankstream remains to be seen. Trump plays by a different set of rules than the media understands.

The media is comfortable in a world of posturing, media smokescreen, lies, exaggerations, and outright fraud. Trump wanders too closely to reality for their taste.

All in all, it was almost like a real election.


Interesting analysis of election results from The Federalist.

It should be pointed out that during the primaries, Clinton operatives and Democratic Party operatives attempted to influence Republican primary results to help Trump become the Republican nominee — assuming that Trump would be most easily defeated in the generals. That strategy seems to have backfired on them. But then, we should remember that many prominent Republicans in 2008 tried to steer the Democratic nomination to Obama, believing he would be easier to defeat than Hillary Clinton in the general election. Turnabout, fair play, and all that.

Many thanks to Dr. Ted Noel and his Vidzette.com website videos (also on YouTube) dissecting Hillary’s state of health from public information. Here is a recent video discussing the probability that Ms. Clinton has a DBS — something that Al Fin has been suggesting for some time now.

Posted in Hillary Clinton, Politics | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Behind the Scenes: China Helps NATO Encircle a Russia in Decline

Beggars cannot be choosers, and a Putin besieged by both domestic economic woes and international isolation likely has no choice but to double-down on his bet on China. Of course, Russia’s strongman may have to kowtow to his … Chinese friend. But if such a gesture could gain him some extra space for survival, it is worth it, particularly when one considers his lack of alternatives. __ Source

China is pulling Russia firmly into its lair, holding out promises of power and wealth while sharpening its knives for the surgical excisions to come. China’s purchases of advanced Russian missiles and fighters for purposes of reverse engineering and resale, only sweetens the pot in Beijing’s eyes.

China Alliances in Central Asia, Ukraine, Belarus, Poland, Finland, Baltics, Sweden, Help to Encircle Russia

China Alliances in Central Asia, Ukraine, Belarus, Poland, Finland, Baltics, Sweden, Help to Encircle Russia

China is More Intent than NATO to Excise Russia’s Cojones

China has a front row seat in any large scale global conflict that Putin chooses to trigger. In the face of a rapidly shrinking demographic, Russia’s manhood — its nuclear threat — increasingly rests in China’s hands. China is not comfortable trusting Russia with the power to destroy a world that the dragon is so deeply invested in.

Russian belligerence has been helpful to China, diverting the world’s attention from its own imperial expansions. But sooner or later, the dragon will have to confront the bear.

Cash-strapped Russia needs Chinese investments and has to sell technology it used to withhold from its powerful neighbor (and potential threat). Among the more notable deals signed during Putin’s visit was the purchase of a 40% stake by ChinaChem, China’s largest state-owned chemical company, in a petrochemical complex owned by Rosnef, Russia’s state-owned oil giant. Another eye-catching agreement was the sale of Russia’s advanced space rocket engine, RD-180, to China. __ http://fortune.com/2016/06/29/vladimir-putins-china-visit-put-his-weakness-and-desperation-on-full-display/

Chinese GDP is more than seven times Russia’s and China is spending more than three times as much on defense as Russia.

China is already taking over Siberian mineral and energy enterprises, and moving into formerly Russian lands. This is just one of the early moves to a stealth takeover:

China’s Beijing Gas Group Company has reportedly acquired a 20-percent stake in a subsidiary of Russian Rosneft, giving the Russians help in developing resources in eastern Siberia and access to China’s lucrative gas market. ___ http://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Chinese-Scoop-Up-Stake-Russian-Rosneft-Subsidiary-For-11Bn.html

China is snapping up Russian oil & gas fields, gold & diamond mines, military technology, and Russian women — at good prices and increasing quantities. Russia, as a going concern, is holding a fire sale on any assets of worth.

Most of the Russian armed forces are equipped with decades old equipment and get little money for training and maintenance. Russia spends a lot of available defense funds on maintaining its nuclear weapons. Even then there are quality and reliability problems with delivery vehicles (ICBMs and the nukes themselves). __ The Illusion of Power

Russia takes greatest pride in its nuclear missile fleet. But how many of the missiles can hit their targets, and how many of the warheads will perform as intended? As Russian demographic expertise emigrates away and evaporates into the mists of time, the Potemkin power of Russia rests more and more in its domestic and foreign propaganda efforts.

China, NATO, 8 Regional Countries Prepare for War Against Russia

China is stealing and mastering Russian military technology as quickly as it can, quickly building its own military while forming military and economic alliances with nations that surround Russia — from Central Asia to Poland, Finland, and the Baltics.

Chinese GDP is more than seven times Russia’s and China is spending more than three times as much on defense as Russia… In Central Asia, where Russia is trying to reestablish dominance over the nations that used to be part of the Soviet Union, China is displacing Russia as the dominant economic power. That means stronger military and diplomatic ties with China as well. __ Russia in Trouble

China is also helping Ukraine build up its military forces, and forming alliances with most former Soviet republics and Russian neighbors who are preparing for war with Russia, including Finland, Sweden, Poland, the Baltics, etc. And China is becoming very friendly with Russia’s central asian neighbors.

Since Russia invaded Ukraine, Poland has ramped up the purchase of military hardware such as new, stealthy submarines and Polish-manufactured S-70 helicopters for its special operations soldiers… Finland and Sweden are countries which famously prefer to avoid alliances, but Russian aggression has spurred an interest in limited defense agreements which will make it easier for NATO troops to deploy to those countries in the event of war. __ http://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2016/11/07/how_8_countries_are_preparing_for_war_with_russia_110311.html

China is playing the long game, while Putin is merely fighting to take a few more breaths. His desperate struggles in Syria, Ukraine, Moldova, and the Caucasus distract from Russia’s own demographic death throes and infrastructure collapse. China’s investments in the third world have largely been duds, but the grand prize of Siberia and the coming neutering of Russia will justify China’s patient efforts to gain global influence.

Why Russia Has No Future: A Graphical Look

Can You Find Russia?   http://archive.rusbase.com/news/author/benhopkins/infographic-science-innovation/

Can You Find Russia?
Russia Disappears from Global Innovation Map

Over the next 50 years, Russia’s population is doomed to decline to roughly half of its current population — at least in terms of ethnic Russians. By then, the decline will have passed the point of no return. Demographers of the future will be able to point to Vladimir Putin as the man who allowed a great opportunity to slip through his fingers, and put paid to the future doom of Russia. All for transient personal greed and power.

Putin: By His Own Shackles Bound

Too bad he had to take the rest of the country down with him.

Posted in Central Asia, China, Russian Collapse, Siberia | Tagged , | 2 Comments

How to Find Happiness in an Unhappy World

Circuits of Reward Source

Circuits of Reward

Dimensions of Happiness

Happiness is almost never where you think you will find it. If you become too impatient — if you never learn how to set the table and allow happiness to come to dinner — you may set off down the chemical “path to happiness” that rarely reaches a happy destination.

Chemical Happiness

The brain utilises a number of chemicals which can be involved in pleasure, reward, and happy feelings, so it is natural that many people attempt to short-circuit the normal brain pathways in order to obtain a “quick-fix happiness” that cannot last.

A lot of people get addicted to chemicals — alcohol, cocaine, amphetamine, heroin, and nicotine. Why do they do that? And why aren’t they happy? It is because brains have a variety of chemical systems that regulate their electrical activities in waking and sleeping, and the addictive drugs artificially stimulate those systems, but the feelings are not those of joy. __ Source

The body’s natural chemicals of happiness are too numerous and complex in their interactions to discuss here. But six “chemicals of happiness” in particular are often discussed in the popular literature, and are worth mentioning:

A natural high – Six major hormones and chemicals associated with emotion

• Dopamine

This neurotransmitter feeds the reward pathway in the brain, and is involved in motivation, drive, pleasure and addiction. Abnormally high levels of dopamine are linked to loss of contact with reality, delusions and lack of emotion, while low levels have been associated with addictive behaviour and risk taking.

• Noradrenaline

Chemically related to adrenaline, this neurotransmitter is a stress hormone that co-ordinates the fight-or-flight response. It mediates many of the physical components of emotion, including raised heart rate, and also acts in the brain enhancing alertness, cognition and decision-making behaviour.


Gamma amino butyric acid (GABA) is the main inhibitory neurotransmitter in the brain – it decreases nerve transmission, allowing neurons time to recover. Increased GABA activity in the brain relieves anxiety and reduces stress.

• Serotonin

First recognised for its ability to constrict blood vessels, serotonin has become widely known as the “happiness hormone.” Chemically known as 5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT), increasing the available serotonin level in the brain is the main target of the most commonly used antidepressants.

• Beta-endorphin

Endorphins are natural opioids, produced by the body in response to pain, excitement and even exercise. Beta-endorphin binds to the same mu receptors as the pain-relieving drug morphine. These receptors, present on nerves in the brain and spinal cord, modulate the activity of nerves, causing mild sedation, relieving pain and giving a sense of wellbeing.

• Oxytocin

Often described as the “bonding hormone”, the “trust hormone”, or sometimes even the “love hormone”, oxytocin is unique to mammals. Although research is still in its infancy, oxytocin is thought to play an important role in human intimacy, childbirth, sexual arousal, trust and pair bonding.

__ Independent


The deeper story is far more complex and interesting, of course. The number of chemicals involved is far greater, and they are incorporated into a body-brain dynamic and time-linked system of past-present-future memories, perceptions, and anticipations. But most people prefer to oversimplify, and as long as humans confuse chemicals with happiness, destructive addictions are likely to play a prominent role in the lives of many readers and their loved ones.

Economic Happiness

The economics of happiness involves cognitive calculations of gain and loss, of novelty, of anticipated pleasure or comfort, and much more. “The Joyless Economy” by Tibor Scitovsky, is an intriguing look at the economics of happiness which provides a depth to the topic often neglected by more popular works on happiness.

From the table of contents of “The Joyless Economy:”

  • Between Strain and Boredom
  • The Pursuit of Novelty
  • Comfort vs. Pleasure
  • Necessities and Comforts
  • Income and Happiness

All of those topics lead into more technical economic discussions of happiness and the human experience. Scitovsky looks at the delicate balance between boredom and excessive strain, discusses the innate drive toward novelty, confronts the common conflict between comfort and pleasure, and continues ever more deeply into economic issues that impinge on human happiness.

The book may be previewed on Google Books and Chapter 5 is available in PDF form.

Brain Circuits of Reward, Pleasure, Learning

Brain Circuits of Reward, Pleasure, Learning

Genetics of Happiness

Results of studies on genetic factors indicated an average effectiveness of genetic about 35 -50 percent on happiness. In spite of difficulties in finding special genes, several genes distributed to emotion and mood. Neuroscience studies showed that some part of brain (e.g. amygdala, hipocamp and limbic system) and neurotransmitters (e.g. dopamine, serotonin, norepinefrine and endorphin) play a role in control of happiness.

… In a comprehensive investigation, happiness (subjective well-being) was measured in a birth-record-based sample of several thousand middle-aged twins using the Well-Being scale of Multidimensional Personality Questionnaire. Socioeconomic status, educational attainment, family income, marital status, an indicant of religious commitment could not account for more than about 3% of the variance in well-being. However, from 44% to 52% of the variance in well-being were associated with genetic variation. When twins have been retested after few years, authors found that the heritability of the stable component of subjective well-being approaches 80% (6).

… Davidson and his colleagues have reported large individual differences in baseline levels of asymmetric activation in prefrontal cortex, related to a person’s typical emotional style. Individuals with a positive emotional style show higher levels of left than right prefrontal activation at rest (using EEG or fMRI), while those with a negative emotional style tend to show higher levels of right than left prefrontal activation at rest (18–20). Davidson and colleagues have also reported that, independent of emotional style; induced negative mood increases relative right-sided activation, whereas induced positive mood increases relative left-sided activation (21).

__ Source

Genetic predispositions are naturally influenced and often overwhelmed by early childhood environments, and the child’s observations of the effectiveness of coping mechanisms of persons around them.

Limbic System

Limbic System

Happiness Thinking

The habits of thought influence levels of happiness and unhappiness in a powerful and almost perpetual manner. Such habits are crucially important because they are central to life satisfaction — and they are amenable to conscious change when a person is motivated.

Being focused on negative thoughts effectively saps the brain of its positive forcefulness, slows it down, and can go as far as dimming your brain’s ability to function, even creating depression. On the flip side, thinking positive, happy, hopeful, optimistic, joyful thoughts decreases cortisol and produces serotonin, which creates a sense of well-being. This helps your brain function at peak capacity.

Happy thoughts and positive thinking, in general, support brain growth, as well as the generation and reinforcement of new synapses, especially in your prefrontal cortex (PFC), which serves as the integration center of all of your brain-mind functions.

In other words, your PFC not only regulates the signals that your neurons transmit to other brain parts and to your body, it allows you to think about and reflect upon what you are physically doing. In particular, the PFC allows you to control your emotional responses through connections to your deep limbic brain. It gives you the ability to focus on whatever you choose and to gain insight about your thinking processes. The PFC is the only part of your brain that can control your emotions and behaviors and help you focus on whatever goals you elect to pursue.

Optimistic people tend to have better moods, to be more persevering and successful, and to experience better physical health. One factor may be simply that optimists attribute good events to themselves in terms of permanence, citing their traits and abilities as the cause, and bad events as transient (using words like “sometimes” or “lately”), or the fault of other people. In addition, optimists:

Lead happy, rich, fulfilled lives.
Spend the least amount of time alone, and the most time socializing.
Have good relationships.
Have better health habits.
Have stronger immune systems.
Live longer than pessimists.

__ Your Brain on Happiness

As we have seen, genetics plays a strong role in determining where a person naturally falls on the optimism-pessimism spectrum. But by utilising tools of mental habit formation, a person can consciously learn to lead his own mind into more optimistic patterns of thinking on a long-term habitual basis. For a pessimist to alter his defeatist thinking patterns is no easier nor any more difficult than for an addict to turn away from his object of addiction. In fact, escaping an addiction usually involves breaking out of defeatist patterns of thought, sooner or later.

Mind over Misery: The fascinating story of how David Burns MD escaped the conventional psychiatry trap and helped fuel a revolution in non-drug treatment for depression.

Non-Drug Approaches to Being Happier, for Unhappy People

Cognitive mood therapy is relatively inexpensive, and a good place to start. It avoids the potentially serious side effects of antidepressants, and can often move a depressed person to a far more tolerable level of mood.

Hypnosis, mindfulness meditation, and/or neurofeedback can be very useful adjuncts to cognitive mood therapy, for persons who want to generate deeper levels of subconscious healing and bad habit breaking. Of those three, mindfulness meditation is least dependent upon the expertise of a therapist.

Conventional psychoanalysis should most often be seen as a relatively painless but enabling way of giving money to someone who is likely more screwed up than you are yourself. But occasionally a brilliant and eclectic analyst may fall into your path who is able and willing to help you find more effective roads to happiness than you have found to this point.

The World Can Be a Very Unhappy Place

But You Do Not Have to Add to the Unhappiness

The human condition is a story of loss. We cannot escape pain and loss in our lives, no one can. But we can make choices that allow us to experience a great deal of joy and happiness in our lives, in spite of suffering and loss. Unless you were lucky in your genes and your upbringing, it is not necessarily an easy task. Best to make it a group project.

Bonus Happiness Checklists

  • Ask “What am I grateful for?”
  • Explore the amazing transformational world of gratitude

  • Label those negative emotions. Give it a name and your brain isn’t so bothered by it.
  • Bring those tormenters into the light where they can be seen for what they are

  • Go for “good enough” instead of “best decision ever made on Earth.”
  • “Good enough” decisions allow you to move on beyond the “sticking point”

  • Hugs, hugs, hugs. Don’t text — touch.
  • Human contact works wonders


  • Listen to music from the happiest time in your life
  • Musical time travel helps transition to happier moods in the present

  • Smile…
  • Better yet, laugh!

  • Think about your goals: It changes how you see the world and releases happy chemicals in your noggin.
  • Setting goals and moving toward tells the deep brain to anticipate good things to come

  • Get your sleep: Depressed people don’t sleep well. And people who don’t sleep well get depressed.
  • Good sleep, good food, good exercise, lead to good health which is an important component of happiness

  • Beat procrastination by reducing stress and doing a simple thing to get started: Listen to those happy-era tunes and then assemble all the materials you need to get cranking.
  • Some people find it helpful to jump in the shower and cycle from hot to cold repeatedly! Then assemble your tools and materials and get to work.


The brain dislikes loose ends and hanging threads — things that hold you back. The brain likes moving ahead, past milestones of achievement and competence, meeting rites of passage with mastery and flair.

Posted in Cognition, Economics, Human Brain, Optimism, Philosophy | Tagged | 5 Comments

Solar Whispers: Winter is Coming

Solar sunspot activity varies along a solar cycle of approximately 11 years duration. From the Wikipedia article on solar cycles:

In 2015, a new model of the solar cycle was published. The model draws on dynamo effects in two layers of the Sun, one close to the surface and one deep within its Convection zone. Model predictions suggest that solar activity will fall by 60 per cent during the 2030s to conditions last seen during the ‘Little ice age’ that began in 1645. Prior models included only the deeper dynamo.[84]

These solar dynamos are driven — at least in part — by the tidal effects of the great gas giant planets, Jupiter and Saturn (and perhaps even Earth and Venus).

The strength of these solar cycles appear to influence Earth’s climate, including cloudiness and average temperatures. During times of extended very low sunspot activity, global temperatures seem to be significantly cooler.

Since 1990, the Sun has been in the declining phase of the quasi-bicentennial variation in total solar irradiance (TSI). The decrease in the portion of TSI absorbed by the Earth since 1990 has remained uncompensated by the Earth’s long-wave radiation into space at the previous high level because of the thermal inertia of the world’s oceans. As a result, the Earth has, and will continue to have, a negative average annual energy balance and a long-term adverse thermal condition. The quasi-centennial epoch of the new Little Ice Age has started at the end 2015 after the maximum phase of solar cycle 24. The start of a solar grand minimum is anticipated in solar cycle 27 ± 1 in 2043 ± 11 and the beginning of phase of deep cooling in the new Little Ice Age in 2060 ± 11. __ Source

As the solar dynamo slows down, the ability of the solar wind to fend off galactic cosmic rays is significantly reduced. As the Earth falls under a stronger rain of galactic cosmic rays, more clouds form, temperatures drop, and a long winter settles in. As a result, growing seasons shorten, shortages of food lead to growing global hunger, malnutrition leads to higher rates of disease mortality, wars are fought over fruitful lands, and life grows more solitary, poor, nasty, brutish and short. It is all a grand cycle, quite beyond the ken of men currently living in the soft lands of the west.

Winter is coming.

But times follow cosmic clock cycles, whatever men may have planned or hypothesized.

How science fails when corrupted by politics and petty opportunistic ambition.

As a result of politicised science, governments in the western world are pursuing policies of energy suicide — disarming themselves against the possibility of an abrupt and killing trend of cooling in climate. Wiser and more dispassionate minds had best begin to work out the best ways to escape the energy death traps our arrogant ruling classes are thrusting us into. Else a lot more good people will die than needs be.

We’re gonna need a lot more guillotines, Jacques! 😉

Interesting archives of solar physics articles from not-easily-silenced blogger Tallbloke

Sunspot Cycles and Shifting Centres of Mass

Climate Change on a Watery Planet (PDF): A Foundational Look at Climate on Planet Earth

The Command & Control Center of Climate Alarmism

Posted in Climate, Groupthink, Sun | Tagged , | 2 Comments

Why Hillary Clinton Can’t Think

Video Source

Parkinson’s Disease Dementia

This is What Caused Comedian Robin Williams to Kill Himself

A type of dementia similar to but different from Alzheimer’s disease was recognized and called dementia with Lewy bodies. Dementia with Lewy bodies is now believed to be the second or third most common type of dementia after Alzheimer’s disease. (There is controversy about whether dementia with Lewy bodies or vascular dementia is the second most common form of dementia.)
The relationship between dementia with Lewy bodies and Parkinson’s disease is not completely understood. When motor symptoms appear first and predominate over cognitive symptoms, the diagnosis is believed to be Parkinson disease. When cognitive impairment and behavioral disturbances are prominent early symptoms, dementia with Lewy bodies is believed to be the diagnosis.
Dementia with Lewy bodies is a disease of aging. People affected by dementia with Lewy bodies are usually elderly or in late middle age. __ Emedicine

According to the wife of actor Robin Williams, when the comedian discovered that his Parkinson’s was interfering with his ability to reason, plan, and think on his feet, he chose to end his own life before he became a burden on his loved ones.

We cannot expect the same psychology to arise within the mind of the eternal narcissist Hillary Clinton, but as we watch her condition worsen and decline — and her judgment grow more erratic — we may have reason to wish that she were much farther from the reins of power, one way or another.

Because Ms. Clinton is the figurehead and postergirl for a massively powerful political movement of national and international elites — and has the backing of the wealthy people who own most of the western media outlets — we are not likely to ever learn the full story of her physical and mental decline.

But if Ms. Clinton is elected US President because of a massive coverup and media smokescreen, significant fallout is likely to hit those who are considered responsible for failing to alert the public to the danger of electing someone unsuitable (and unstable) to the highest elected political office in the US, the world’s only superpower.

Hillary is Surrounded by and Enabled by Corrupt Persons Who Crave Power

Persons willing to lie, cheat, steal, and kill for personal power tend to be drawn to politics for some reason. Perhaps it is the inexplicable way in which politicians are able to start with almost nothing when elected, then become members of the mega-wealthy soon after leaving office. Uncanny.

Political machines incorporate much of government bureaucracy and public labour unions, national media at all levels, much of academia, think tanks, political activist groups, lobbies, foundations, charities, and all manner of legitimate and illegitimate enterprises. It is how the flow of wealth and power is controlled, and how things get done — however dysfunctionally and inefficiently. They are corrupt through and through.

They are unlikely to let a small thing such as the total lack of fitness for office destroy their candidates’ chances for achieving high office. If all else fails, electoral fraud is always an option. And such is likely in the upcoming US election, as the race tightens in key battleground states.

Hope for the Best; Prepare for the Worst

Under President Obama, the US is polarised as never before. No previous president has been so openly antagonistic to the checks and balances of power incorporated into the US government structure through the US Constitution, as Barack Obama. Every aspect of the US government has been further corrupted during the Obama years, and the Dementia Presidency of Hillary Clinton promises to accelerate the process of decline and elitist corruption.

Fortunately, THE GOVERNMENT IS NOT THE COUNTRY! It is important that current and future North Americans read Peter Zeihan’s book, The Accidental Superpower. As Americans learn to create parallel and shadow infrastructure beneath the control of governments, the underlying strength and potential of North America’s unique geography and demography will find more useful outlets.

Disruptive technologies have cut deeply into profits in the publishing industry, the music industry, many formerly rock solid news media outlets, parts of the motion picture industry, and many other typically degenerate and corrupt aspects of American commerce. But that process has barely begun. The eating away at the foundations of the information gateways and former controllers of culture, is due to accelerate.

Fortune 500 Turnover

Fortune 500 firms in 1955 vs. 2014; 88% are gone, and we’re all better off because of that dynamic ‘creative destruction’

__ Carpe Diem

Technology innovation is carving new pathways of wealth and power every day. Political machines have fought to maintain control of public information sources and the public flow of wealth and influence, but such is becoming more difficult. The key is parallel infrastructure of the critical variety. Parallel news, information, music, entertainment, and recreation are all well and good, but they do not necessarily keep people warm, fed, sheltered, safe, and healthy. Parallel critical infrastructures can do all of that, and such are the goals of the new era.

If Government is Less Necessary, it Can be Downsized and Given Less Overall Control

The current US election cycle combined with the last 8 years of President Obama, make it clear that the current fossil age methods of governance and selecting leaders are untenable in a rapidly changing world. An all or nothing, one size fits all mega-government satifies no one, nor does it generate fairness or opportunity on a large scale.

We’re gonna need a lot more guillotines! 😉

Posted in Cognition, Hillary Clinton, Politics | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Will China Pass on World War III and Stand Aside?

China will lend “moral support” to Putin in his war of words against the west. China does not want to see a nuclear war destroy the global economy which China is so deeply invested in. But if it comes to a nuclear exchange, Mr. Xi is hoping that both Russia and the US alliance will exhaust their nuclear arsenals on each other, leaving China as the sole world superpower to pick up the pieces and control what remains.

Russian officials repeatedly stress issue areas where Russia is truly a great power. This meant lots of talk about Syria, Russia’s neighbors and . . . nuclear weapons. Lots of conversations about nuclear weapons.


For the past 2 1/2 years, the world has once again been living under the threat of a nuclear war:

… a retired Russian Army General and a Military Strategies and Technologies expert, Evgeni Solovyov, … said that Russia is clearly “testing the West, particularly the United States.”

“It also seems like Russia is okay with the fact that World War 3 can be easily started any day

__ Source

World War III in the News

… 2016 Republican Party candidate Donald Trump said last week that a presidency under Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton would result in World War 3 being fought over Syria. Just a week earlier, his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Zhirinovsky, stated that electing Clinton would see World War 3 become an actuality. __ source

Ever since Putin invaded Crimea and eastern Ukraine, Russian propaganda sources have been obsessed with the idea of an apocalyptic nuclear war, if international forces move more strongly to defend Ukraine’s sovereignty from Russian aggressors, in keeping with international treaties. Putin and his spokespersons rarely miss an opportunity to warn the west that Russia still has thousands of nuclear warheads and many working ballistic missiles.

There are a lot of indications that a nuclear confrontation between Moscow and Washington could indeed happen: Russian military aircraft have been repeatedly invading into NATO airspace, particularly the Baltic states’ airspace. Putin admitting he was ready to ready up his nuclear forces in Crimea. __ http://www.valuewalk.com/2015/04/russia-vs-us-the-world-war-3/

The US and Britain are obligated to intervene if Putin’s invasion of Ukraine comes out of the closet and becomes more overt:

A treaty signed in 1994 by the US and Britain could pull both countries into a war to protect Ukraine if President Putin’s troops cross into the country.

Bill Clinton, John Major, Boris Yeltsin and Leonid Kuchma – the then-rulers of the USA, UK, Russia and Ukraine – agreed to the The Budapest Memorandum as part of the denuclearization of former Soviet republics after the dissolution of the Soviet Union.

Technically it means that if Russia has invaded Ukraine then it would be difficult for the US and Britain to avoid going to war.

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2570335/Former-British-Ambassador-Moscow-warns-Russia-invaded-Ukraine-difficult-avoid-going-war.html

And so far, Obama has pretended that Russia has not yet invaded Ukraine . . . well maybe sorta, kinda, but not that bad . . .

Putin’s Brave Talk of Nuclear Destruction Assumes that China Will Stand by His Side

Russia has No Allies for WWIII

When Kremlin propagandists talk about the prospects for a third world war or when Russians speculate about what it might look like, neither, the Russian regionalist writer points out, reflects that unlike in past wars, Russia will have no allies in a future one, a kind of state “loneliness” that will make any such conflict very different from a world war (spektr.press/odinochestvo-rossii-pochemu-ne-vyhodit-sygrat-v-tretyu-mirovuyu/).

“Who could be part of a bloc with Russia in the event of a hypothetical clash with NATO?” No one or at least no one important, Shtepa says. Not China, Belarus or Kazakhstan, but perhaps “only the unrecognized pseudo-states like the DNR and LNR, Transdniestria and South Osetia and also possibly the Pacific archipelago of Tuvalu.”

While the Kremlin talks about the possibility of a world war, its policies have so alienated everyone else that Vladimir Putin has reduced the allies Russia to the only two Tsar Aleksandr III famously described, “its army and its fleet.” And as a result, Russia is left in the position of “proud loneliness.” ___ http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2016/10/russia-has-no-allies-for-any-war-with.html

China will lend “moral support” to Putin in his war of words against the west. But if it comes to a nuclear exchange, Mr. Xi is hoping that both Russia and the US alliance will exhaust their nuclear arsenals on each other, leaving China as the sole world superpower to pick up the pieces and control what remains.

By egging Putin on in his conflict with the west, China is positioning itself as a neutral third party, hoping to suffer as little collateral damage as possible in any coming nuclear exchange. This is very important to China, since its economy is bloating like a bladder full of eggs rotting in the sun.

China Debt Source

China Debt

Debt in China has grown by US$4.5 trillion over the past 12 months, by far the highest amount of debt creation globally as compared to US$2.2 trillion in the US, US$870 billion in Japan and US$550 billion in the euro area. Indeed, China on its own has added more debt than the US, Japan and the euro area combined. __ http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-30/chinas-debt-has-grown-45-trillion-past-12-months-more-us-japan-and-europe-combined

It is one thing for the world’s only superpower — the US — to drive up its own debt to stratospheric heights. Anyone who has read Zeihan’s “Accidental Superpower” understands the special category that North America occupies, for the time being. China enjoys no such advantages, and is sitting on a foundation of quicksand. Although the dragon is attempting to build its nuclear and conventional forces as quickly as it can do, its infrastructure is strained to the limits in all dimensions. In case of outright international conflict, China will have to hunker down and hope to occupy the commanding heights when the dust clears away.

Xi has found Putin to be easily manipulated, with ample promises of economic investment and political support, which later turn out to have been sulfur vapours without solid substance. Grand projects announced with great fanfare collapse for lack of investment. And on every side, Putin is forced to make concession after concession in terms of land and natural resources — while pushing Russia inexorably closer toward nuclear war with the west.

In Russia, propagandists set the scene, while the elites lack any positive vision for Russia’s future. But is the nuclear war painted by Putin’s propagandists truly inevitable?

Probably not. China has economically encircled Russia, forming military, political, and economic alliances with nations from Finland to Ukraine to Poland to Turkey to the Central Asian republics. Russia is isolated by the dragon almost as much as it is by NATO and the western alliance. Perhaps more, since China is the lender, customer, and investor of last resort.

To top it off, Russia is being forced to turn to China for high tech components of its most advanced weapons systems — components that it can no longer so easily obtain from Ukraine and the west. Russia has fallen so far behind in the technology and innovation race, that its weapons cannot function without components of foreign manufacture. As China fabricates more and more of Russia’s advanced weapons systems, the dragon will control when and how Russia can use these systems in any conflict.

In other words, using a wide range of economic, military, political, and technological means of leverage and coercion, China can lead Russia to the precipice of war, then turn the bear’s weapons systems off at the critical moment.

So the choice of whether or not there will be a nuclear WWIII seems to be devolving onto Mr. Xi, of the People’s Republic. It seems more likely that he will choose to coopt Russian elites to make Russia a vassal of China, avoiding all the radioactive fallout.

If China’s Debt is Swelling to Dangerous Dimensions, What is China’s Future?

Several aspects of a nation’s economy determine the value of its currency. A nation’s debt is one of the central determinants of currency worth, subject to a large number of other variables. As we have seen above, China’s debt is ballooning and careening out of control. One way or another China will need to appropriate significant assets — probably from Russia — to beef up its economic foundations. But the dragon can defer that necessity for a number of years yet, watching how events evolve as Putin ages and loses clout. If everyone is lucky, Putin will not release the mushroom clouds before he is taken down by his inner circle.

This will allow China to continue stealing western technology and Russian military mettalurgy, and strengthening its military position vis a vis its Asian antagonists. This will allow it to pick up Siberian properties and assets at bargain basement prices at its own pace.

Science and Innovation Ratings http://archive.rusbase.com/news/author/benhopkins/infographic-science-innovation/

Science and Innovation Ratings
Russia is disappearing from the world of technology innovation

Russia is swiftly becoming a rapidly emptying shell and facade of empty braggadocio, with an ample sprinkling of aging nuclear warheads and ballistic missiles of irregular quality on top. Putin has squandered a decade and a half of relative prosperity and goodwill in an effort to recreate the terror state of the USSR. Not a smart strategy, but then Putin’s strategic skills have never been up to his tactical improvisational maneuvering.

If the Russian elite can hold Putin’s nuclear war enthusiasm back from the brink a little longer, Putin’s time may well end peacefully.

Back in the USSR

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How to Get Around After TEOTWAWKI

This all-terrain vehicle has the ability to take off from indigenous runways and transform into a light-sports aircraft using a parafoil wing. Reaching ground speeds of up to 70 mph and flight speeds of 40 mph, the SkyRunner can transport 2 occupants ... 120 nautical miles, at an altitude of 10,000 feet.

This all-terrain vehicle has the ability to take off from indigenous runways and transform into a light-sports aircraft using a parafoil wing. Reaching ground speeds of up to 70 mph and flight speeds of 40 mph, the SkyRunner can transport 2 occupants … 120 nautical miles, at an altitude of 10,000 feet.

After TSHTF, maintaining highways and bridges will take a back seat to just staying alive and free from the slavers and reavers. If you need to get somewhere faster than you can walk or ride horseback, you will need some creative solutions.

Flying ATVs, such as the rugged special forces parafoil version above, provide one solution to the problem: Whatever you cannot “ATV”, simply unfurl the parafoil and fly over.

Another approach to difficult terrain is the hovercraft approach. Low level hover is effective for relatively flat surfaces. Moderately rough surfaces may require “ground effect hover” as described later.

The following video demonstrates the construction of a basic small hovercraft using conventional materials and methods.


The primary advantage of hovercrafts is that they can travel freely over land, water, ice, mud, sand, and even pavement. They come in all sizes, and can be customised for a wide range of climate and terrain. The hovercraft in the video above are built in a factory. But hovercraft can also be built at home — or as a high school project.

Ground Effect Hover/Fliers


Using ground effect, hovercraft fliers can zoom over uneven ground and low ocean swell.

Monster Trucks and Many-Wheeled Vehicles Provide Further Options

The Russian mechanic who designed the Sherp ultra-short monster truck utilised giant, low pressure tires to provide flexible traction as well as flotation.
[caption id="attachment_9197" align="aligncenter" width="640"]St. Petersburg Sherp ATV http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3439580/The-bizarre-mini-monster-truck-Russian-designer-reveals-65k-roader-s-just-11-feet-long.html St. Petersburg Sherp ATV

The Sherp ATV is the brain child of Alexei Garagashyan, a mechanic in Saint Petersburg, who has had an interest in unconventional solutions in traditional SUVs, such as building race cars, reports Auto Motor und Sport.

___ http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3439580/The-bizarre-mini-monster-truck-Russian-designer-reveals-65k-roader-s-just-11-feet-long.html

Multiple wheel vehicles such as the 8 X 8 in the video above are capable of moving strongly over water, land, mud, snow, and other difficult surfaces.

You do not have to wait for TEOTWAWKI in order to achieve similar travel challenges. In parts of the arctic, for example, travel surfaces can change radically from day to day, or from one hour to the next. In such situations, a more versatile vehicle can be lifesaving.

At Canada’s Great Slave Lake, Wintertime is TEOTWAWKI

Houseboat dwellers on the lake are necessarily self-reliant, to the point of virtual sovereignty. During the periods of freeze-up and breakup, travel from houseboat to outside help can be deadly treacherous.

Great Escapes is an earlier posting on alternative means of getting away from a suddenly unruly crowd.

Keep in mind that in the modern world, most situations of TS Hitting TF are only temporary, as in severe weather power outages and the like. Preparation for such situations generally involve hunkering in place with proper supplies and backup life support functions. But if infrastructure breakdown is accompanied by widespread civil disorder — as it easily could do in cities with large populations of poorly assimilated third world peoples — the ability to make an orderly and timely escape to a prepared position can save your bacon.

Infrastructure and civil order might be restored within a week or two after a shutdown — or perhaps not. In the face of that degree of uncertainty, a solid fallback plan can provide peace of mind. But even the best plan will fail if it is not executed in time. Plan, prepare, practise. And be ready to pull the trigger if necessary.

More hovercraft links:







Posted in Survival Prepping, TEOTWAWKI, Transportation | Tagged | 8 Comments