Behind the Scenes: China Helps NATO Encircle a Russia in Decline

Beggars cannot be choosers, and a Putin besieged by both domestic economic woes and international isolation likely has no choice but to double-down on his bet on China. Of course, Russia’s strongman may have to kowtow to his … Chinese friend. But if such a gesture could gain him some extra space for survival, it is worth it, particularly when one considers his lack of alternatives. __ Source

China is pulling Russia firmly into its lair, holding out promises of power and wealth while sharpening its knives for the surgical excisions to come. China’s purchases of advanced Russian missiles and fighters for purposes of reverse engineering and resale, only sweetens the pot in Beijing’s eyes.

China Alliances in Central Asia, Ukraine, Belarus, Poland, Finland, Baltics, Sweden, Help to Encircle Russia

China Alliances in Central Asia, Ukraine, Belarus, Poland, Finland, Baltics, Sweden, Help to Encircle Russia
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China is More Intent than NATO to Excise Russia’s Cojones

China has a front row seat in any large scale global conflict that Putin chooses to trigger. In the face of a rapidly shrinking demographic, Russia’s manhood — its nuclear threat — increasingly rests in China’s hands. China is not comfortable trusting Russia with the power to destroy a world that the dragon is so deeply invested in.

Russian belligerence has been helpful to China, diverting the world’s attention from its own imperial expansions. But sooner or later, the dragon will have to confront the bear.

Cash-strapped Russia needs Chinese investments and has to sell technology it used to withhold from its powerful neighbor (and potential threat). Among the more notable deals signed during Putin’s visit was the purchase of a 40% stake by ChinaChem, China’s largest state-owned chemical company, in a petrochemical complex owned by Rosnef, Russia’s state-owned oil giant. Another eye-catching agreement was the sale of Russia’s advanced space rocket engine, RD-180, to China. __ http://fortune.com/2016/06/29/vladimir-putins-china-visit-put-his-weakness-and-desperation-on-full-display/

Chinese GDP is more than seven times Russia’s and China is spending more than three times as much on defense as Russia.

China is already taking over Siberian mineral and energy enterprises, and moving into formerly Russian lands. This is just one of the early moves to a stealth takeover:

China’s Beijing Gas Group Company has reportedly acquired a 20-percent stake in a subsidiary of Russian Rosneft, giving the Russians help in developing resources in eastern Siberia and access to China’s lucrative gas market. ___ http://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Chinese-Scoop-Up-Stake-Russian-Rosneft-Subsidiary-For-11Bn.html

China is snapping up Russian oil & gas fields, gold & diamond mines, military technology, and Russian women — at good prices and increasing quantities. Russia, as a going concern, is holding a fire sale on any assets of worth.

Most of the Russian armed forces are equipped with decades old equipment and get little money for training and maintenance. Russia spends a lot of available defense funds on maintaining its nuclear weapons. Even then there are quality and reliability problems with delivery vehicles (ICBMs and the nukes themselves). __ The Illusion of Power

Russia takes greatest pride in its nuclear missile fleet. But how many of the missiles can hit their targets, and how many of the warheads will perform as intended? As Russian demographic expertise emigrates away and evaporates into the mists of time, the Potemkin power of Russia rests more and more in its domestic and foreign propaganda efforts.

China, NATO, 8 Regional Countries Prepare for War Against Russia

China is stealing and mastering Russian military technology as quickly as it can, quickly building its own military while forming military and economic alliances with nations that surround Russia — from Central Asia to Poland, Finland, and the Baltics.

Chinese GDP is more than seven times Russia’s and China is spending more than three times as much on defense as Russia… In Central Asia, where Russia is trying to reestablish dominance over the nations that used to be part of the Soviet Union, China is displacing Russia as the dominant economic power. That means stronger military and diplomatic ties with China as well. __ Russia in Trouble

China is also helping Ukraine build up its military forces, and forming alliances with most former Soviet republics and Russian neighbors who are preparing for war with Russia, including Finland, Sweden, Poland, the Baltics, etc. And China is becoming very friendly with Russia’s central asian neighbors.

Since Russia invaded Ukraine, Poland has ramped up the purchase of military hardware such as new, stealthy submarines and Polish-manufactured S-70 helicopters for its special operations soldiers… Finland and Sweden are countries which famously prefer to avoid alliances, but Russian aggression has spurred an interest in limited defense agreements which will make it easier for NATO troops to deploy to those countries in the event of war. __ http://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2016/11/07/how_8_countries_are_preparing_for_war_with_russia_110311.html


China is playing the long game, while Putin is merely fighting to take a few more breaths. His desperate struggles in Syria, Ukraine, Moldova, and the Caucasus distract from Russia’s own demographic death throes and infrastructure collapse. China’s investments in the third world have largely been duds, but the grand prize of Siberia and the coming neutering of Russia will justify China’s patient efforts to gain global influence.

Why Russia Has No Future: A Graphical Look

Can You Find Russia?   http://archive.rusbase.com/news/author/benhopkins/infographic-science-innovation/

Can You Find Russia?
http://archive.rusbase.com/news/author/benhopkins/infographic-science-innovation/
Russia Disappears from Global Innovation Map

Over the next 50 years, Russia’s population is doomed to decline to roughly half of its current population — at least in terms of ethnic Russians. By then, the decline will have passed the point of no return. Demographers of the future will be able to point to Vladimir Putin as the man who allowed a great opportunity to slip through his fingers, and put paid to the future doom of Russia. All for transient personal greed and power.

Putin: By His Own Shackles Bound

Too bad he had to take the rest of the country down with him.

Posted in Central Asia, China, Russian Collapse, Siberia | Tagged , | 2 Comments

How to Find Happiness in an Unhappy World

Circuits of Reward Source

Circuits of Reward
Source

Dimensions of Happiness

Happiness is almost never where you think you will find it. If you become too impatient — if you never learn how to set the table and allow happiness to come to dinner — you may set off down the chemical “path to happiness” that rarely reaches a happy destination.

Chemical Happiness

The brain utilises a number of chemicals which can be involved in pleasure, reward, and happy feelings, so it is natural that many people attempt to short-circuit the normal brain pathways in order to obtain a “quick-fix happiness” that cannot last.

A lot of people get addicted to chemicals — alcohol, cocaine, amphetamine, heroin, and nicotine. Why do they do that? And why aren’t they happy? It is because brains have a variety of chemical systems that regulate their electrical activities in waking and sleeping, and the addictive drugs artificially stimulate those systems, but the feelings are not those of joy. __ Source

The body’s natural chemicals of happiness are too numerous and complex in their interactions to discuss here. But six “chemicals of happiness” in particular are often discussed in the popular literature, and are worth mentioning:

A natural high – Six major hormones and chemicals associated with emotion

• Dopamine

This neurotransmitter feeds the reward pathway in the brain, and is involved in motivation, drive, pleasure and addiction. Abnormally high levels of dopamine are linked to loss of contact with reality, delusions and lack of emotion, while low levels have been associated with addictive behaviour and risk taking.

• Noradrenaline

Chemically related to adrenaline, this neurotransmitter is a stress hormone that co-ordinates the fight-or-flight response. It mediates many of the physical components of emotion, including raised heart rate, and also acts in the brain enhancing alertness, cognition and decision-making behaviour.

• GABA

Gamma amino butyric acid (GABA) is the main inhibitory neurotransmitter in the brain – it decreases nerve transmission, allowing neurons time to recover. Increased GABA activity in the brain relieves anxiety and reduces stress.

• Serotonin

First recognised for its ability to constrict blood vessels, serotonin has become widely known as the “happiness hormone.” Chemically known as 5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT), increasing the available serotonin level in the brain is the main target of the most commonly used antidepressants.

• Beta-endorphin

Endorphins are natural opioids, produced by the body in response to pain, excitement and even exercise. Beta-endorphin binds to the same mu receptors as the pain-relieving drug morphine. These receptors, present on nerves in the brain and spinal cord, modulate the activity of nerves, causing mild sedation, relieving pain and giving a sense of wellbeing.

• Oxytocin

Often described as the “bonding hormone”, the “trust hormone”, or sometimes even the “love hormone”, oxytocin is unique to mammals. Although research is still in its infancy, oxytocin is thought to play an important role in human intimacy, childbirth, sexual arousal, trust and pair bonding.

__ Independent

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The deeper story is far more complex and interesting, of course. The number of chemicals involved is far greater, and they are incorporated into a body-brain dynamic and time-linked system of past-present-future memories, perceptions, and anticipations. But most people prefer to oversimplify, and as long as humans confuse chemicals with happiness, destructive addictions are likely to play a prominent role in the lives of many readers and their loved ones.

Economic Happiness

The economics of happiness involves cognitive calculations of gain and loss, of novelty, of anticipated pleasure or comfort, and much more. “The Joyless Economy” by Tibor Scitovsky, is an intriguing look at the economics of happiness which provides a depth to the topic often neglected by more popular works on happiness.

From the table of contents of “The Joyless Economy:”

  • Between Strain and Boredom
  • The Pursuit of Novelty
  • Comfort vs. Pleasure
  • Necessities and Comforts
  • Income and Happiness

All of those topics lead into more technical economic discussions of happiness and the human experience. Scitovsky looks at the delicate balance between boredom and excessive strain, discusses the innate drive toward novelty, confronts the common conflict between comfort and pleasure, and continues ever more deeply into economic issues that impinge on human happiness.

The book may be previewed on Google Books and Chapter 5 is available in PDF form.

Brain Circuits of Reward, Pleasure, Learning

Brain Circuits of Reward, Pleasure, Learning

Genetics of Happiness

Results of studies on genetic factors indicated an average effectiveness of genetic about 35 -50 percent on happiness. In spite of difficulties in finding special genes, several genes distributed to emotion and mood. Neuroscience studies showed that some part of brain (e.g. amygdala, hipocamp and limbic system) and neurotransmitters (e.g. dopamine, serotonin, norepinefrine and endorphin) play a role in control of happiness.

… In a comprehensive investigation, happiness (subjective well-being) was measured in a birth-record-based sample of several thousand middle-aged twins using the Well-Being scale of Multidimensional Personality Questionnaire. Socioeconomic status, educational attainment, family income, marital status, an indicant of religious commitment could not account for more than about 3% of the variance in well-being. However, from 44% to 52% of the variance in well-being were associated with genetic variation. When twins have been retested after few years, authors found that the heritability of the stable component of subjective well-being approaches 80% (6).

… Davidson and his colleagues have reported large individual differences in baseline levels of asymmetric activation in prefrontal cortex, related to a person’s typical emotional style. Individuals with a positive emotional style show higher levels of left than right prefrontal activation at rest (using EEG or fMRI), while those with a negative emotional style tend to show higher levels of right than left prefrontal activation at rest (18–20). Davidson and colleagues have also reported that, independent of emotional style; induced negative mood increases relative right-sided activation, whereas induced positive mood increases relative left-sided activation (21).

__ Source

Genetic predispositions are naturally influenced and often overwhelmed by early childhood environments, and the child’s observations of the effectiveness of coping mechanisms of persons around them.

Limbic System

Limbic System

Happiness Thinking

The habits of thought influence levels of happiness and unhappiness in a powerful and almost perpetual manner. Such habits are crucially important because they are central to life satisfaction — and they are amenable to conscious change when a person is motivated.

Being focused on negative thoughts effectively saps the brain of its positive forcefulness, slows it down, and can go as far as dimming your brain’s ability to function, even creating depression. On the flip side, thinking positive, happy, hopeful, optimistic, joyful thoughts decreases cortisol and produces serotonin, which creates a sense of well-being. This helps your brain function at peak capacity.

Happy thoughts and positive thinking, in general, support brain growth, as well as the generation and reinforcement of new synapses, especially in your prefrontal cortex (PFC), which serves as the integration center of all of your brain-mind functions.

In other words, your PFC not only regulates the signals that your neurons transmit to other brain parts and to your body, it allows you to think about and reflect upon what you are physically doing. In particular, the PFC allows you to control your emotional responses through connections to your deep limbic brain. It gives you the ability to focus on whatever you choose and to gain insight about your thinking processes. The PFC is the only part of your brain that can control your emotions and behaviors and help you focus on whatever goals you elect to pursue.

Optimistic people tend to have better moods, to be more persevering and successful, and to experience better physical health. One factor may be simply that optimists attribute good events to themselves in terms of permanence, citing their traits and abilities as the cause, and bad events as transient (using words like “sometimes” or “lately”), or the fault of other people. In addition, optimists:

Lead happy, rich, fulfilled lives.
Spend the least amount of time alone, and the most time socializing.
Have good relationships.
Have better health habits.
Have stronger immune systems.
Live longer than pessimists.

__ Your Brain on Happiness

As we have seen, genetics plays a strong role in determining where a person naturally falls on the optimism-pessimism spectrum. But by utilising tools of mental habit formation, a person can consciously learn to lead his own mind into more optimistic patterns of thinking on a long-term habitual basis. For a pessimist to alter his defeatist thinking patterns is no easier nor any more difficult than for an addict to turn away from his object of addiction. In fact, escaping an addiction usually involves breaking out of defeatist patterns of thought, sooner or later.

Mind over Misery: The fascinating story of how David Burns MD escaped the conventional psychiatry trap and helped fuel a revolution in non-drug treatment for depression.

Non-Drug Approaches to Being Happier, for Unhappy People

Cognitive mood therapy is relatively inexpensive, and a good place to start. It avoids the potentially serious side effects of antidepressants, and can often move a depressed person to a far more tolerable level of mood.

Hypnosis, mindfulness meditation, and/or neurofeedback can be very useful adjuncts to cognitive mood therapy, for persons who want to generate deeper levels of subconscious healing and bad habit breaking. Of those three, mindfulness meditation is least dependent upon the expertise of a therapist.

Conventional psychoanalysis should most often be seen as a relatively painless but enabling way of giving money to someone who is likely more screwed up than you are yourself. But occasionally a brilliant and eclectic analyst may fall into your path who is able and willing to help you find more effective roads to happiness than you have found to this point.

The World Can Be a Very Unhappy Place

But You Do Not Have to Add to the Unhappiness

The human condition is a story of loss. We cannot escape pain and loss in our lives, no one can. But we can make choices that allow us to experience a great deal of joy and happiness in our lives, in spite of suffering and loss. Unless you were lucky in your genes and your upbringing, it is not necessarily an easy task. Best to make it a group project.

Bonus Happiness Checklists

  • Ask “What am I grateful for?”
  • Explore the amazing transformational world of gratitude

  • Label those negative emotions. Give it a name and your brain isn’t so bothered by it.
  • Bring those tormenters into the light where they can be seen for what they are

  • Go for “good enough” instead of “best decision ever made on Earth.”
  • “Good enough” decisions allow you to move on beyond the “sticking point”

  • Hugs, hugs, hugs. Don’t text — touch.
  • Human contact works wonders

Source

  • Listen to music from the happiest time in your life
  • Musical time travel helps transition to happier moods in the present

  • Smile…
  • Better yet, laugh!

  • Think about your goals: It changes how you see the world and releases happy chemicals in your noggin.
  • Setting goals and moving toward tells the deep brain to anticipate good things to come

  • Get your sleep: Depressed people don’t sleep well. And people who don’t sleep well get depressed.
  • Good sleep, good food, good exercise, lead to good health which is an important component of happiness

  • Beat procrastination by reducing stress and doing a simple thing to get started: Listen to those happy-era tunes and then assemble all the materials you need to get cranking.
  • Some people find it helpful to jump in the shower and cycle from hot to cold repeatedly! Then assemble your tools and materials and get to work.

Source

The brain dislikes loose ends and hanging threads — things that hold you back. The brain likes moving ahead, past milestones of achievement and competence, meeting rites of passage with mastery and flair.

Posted in Cognition, Economics, Human Brain, Optimism, Philosophy | Tagged | 5 Comments

Solar Whispers: Winter is Coming

Solar sunspot activity varies along a solar cycle of approximately 11 years duration. From the Wikipedia article on solar cycles:

In 2015, a new model of the solar cycle was published. The model draws on dynamo effects in two layers of the Sun, one close to the surface and one deep within its Convection zone. Model predictions suggest that solar activity will fall by 60 per cent during the 2030s to conditions last seen during the ‘Little ice age’ that began in 1645. Prior models included only the deeper dynamo.[84]

These solar dynamos are driven — at least in part — by the tidal effects of the great gas giant planets, Jupiter and Saturn (and perhaps even Earth and Venus).

The strength of these solar cycles appear to influence Earth’s climate, including cloudiness and average temperatures. During times of extended very low sunspot activity, global temperatures seem to be significantly cooler.

Since 1990, the Sun has been in the declining phase of the quasi-bicentennial variation in total solar irradiance (TSI). The decrease in the portion of TSI absorbed by the Earth since 1990 has remained uncompensated by the Earth’s long-wave radiation into space at the previous high level because of the thermal inertia of the world’s oceans. As a result, the Earth has, and will continue to have, a negative average annual energy balance and a long-term adverse thermal condition. The quasi-centennial epoch of the new Little Ice Age has started at the end 2015 after the maximum phase of solar cycle 24. The start of a solar grand minimum is anticipated in solar cycle 27 ± 1 in 2043 ± 11 and the beginning of phase of deep cooling in the new Little Ice Age in 2060 ± 11. __ Source

As the solar dynamo slows down, the ability of the solar wind to fend off galactic cosmic rays is significantly reduced. As the Earth falls under a stronger rain of galactic cosmic rays, more clouds form, temperatures drop, and a long winter settles in. As a result, growing seasons shorten, shortages of food lead to growing global hunger, malnutrition leads to higher rates of disease mortality, wars are fought over fruitful lands, and life grows more solitary, poor, nasty, brutish and short. It is all a grand cycle, quite beyond the ken of men currently living in the soft lands of the west.

Winter is coming.

But times follow cosmic clock cycles, whatever men may have planned or hypothesized.

How science fails when corrupted by politics and petty opportunistic ambition.

As a result of politicised science, governments in the western world are pursuing policies of energy suicide — disarming themselves against the possibility of an abrupt and killing trend of cooling in climate. Wiser and more dispassionate minds had best begin to work out the best ways to escape the energy death traps our arrogant ruling classes are thrusting us into. Else a lot more good people will die than needs be.

We’re gonna need a lot more guillotines, Jacques! 😉

Interesting archives of solar physics articles from not-easily-silenced blogger Tallbloke

Sunspot Cycles and Shifting Centres of Mass

Climate Change on a Watery Planet (PDF): A Foundational Look at Climate on Planet Earth

The Command & Control Center of Climate Alarmism

Posted in Climate, Groupthink, Sun | Tagged , | 2 Comments

Why Hillary Clinton Can’t Think

Video Source

Parkinson’s Disease Dementia

This is What Caused Comedian Robin Williams to Kill Himself

A type of dementia similar to but different from Alzheimer’s disease was recognized and called dementia with Lewy bodies. Dementia with Lewy bodies is now believed to be the second or third most common type of dementia after Alzheimer’s disease. (There is controversy about whether dementia with Lewy bodies or vascular dementia is the second most common form of dementia.)
The relationship between dementia with Lewy bodies and Parkinson’s disease is not completely understood. When motor symptoms appear first and predominate over cognitive symptoms, the diagnosis is believed to be Parkinson disease. When cognitive impairment and behavioral disturbances are prominent early symptoms, dementia with Lewy bodies is believed to be the diagnosis.
Dementia with Lewy bodies is a disease of aging. People affected by dementia with Lewy bodies are usually elderly or in late middle age. __ Emedicine

According to the wife of actor Robin Williams, when the comedian discovered that his Parkinson’s was interfering with his ability to reason, plan, and think on his feet, he chose to end his own life before he became a burden on his loved ones.

We cannot expect the same psychology to arise within the mind of the eternal narcissist Hillary Clinton, but as we watch her condition worsen and decline — and her judgment grow more erratic — we may have reason to wish that she were much farther from the reins of power, one way or another.

Because Ms. Clinton is the figurehead and postergirl for a massively powerful political movement of national and international elites — and has the backing of the wealthy people who own most of the western media outlets — we are not likely to ever learn the full story of her physical and mental decline.

But if Ms. Clinton is elected US President because of a massive coverup and media smokescreen, significant fallout is likely to hit those who are considered responsible for failing to alert the public to the danger of electing someone unsuitable (and unstable) to the highest elected political office in the US, the world’s only superpower.

Hillary is Surrounded by and Enabled by Corrupt Persons Who Crave Power

Persons willing to lie, cheat, steal, and kill for personal power tend to be drawn to politics for some reason. Perhaps it is the inexplicable way in which politicians are able to start with almost nothing when elected, then become members of the mega-wealthy soon after leaving office. Uncanny.

Political machines incorporate much of government bureaucracy and public labour unions, national media at all levels, much of academia, think tanks, political activist groups, lobbies, foundations, charities, and all manner of legitimate and illegitimate enterprises. It is how the flow of wealth and power is controlled, and how things get done — however dysfunctionally and inefficiently. They are corrupt through and through.

They are unlikely to let a small thing such as the total lack of fitness for office destroy their candidates’ chances for achieving high office. If all else fails, electoral fraud is always an option. And such is likely in the upcoming US election, as the race tightens in key battleground states.

Hope for the Best; Prepare for the Worst

Under President Obama, the US is polarised as never before. No previous president has been so openly antagonistic to the checks and balances of power incorporated into the US government structure through the US Constitution, as Barack Obama. Every aspect of the US government has been further corrupted during the Obama years, and the Dementia Presidency of Hillary Clinton promises to accelerate the process of decline and elitist corruption.

Fortunately, THE GOVERNMENT IS NOT THE COUNTRY! It is important that current and future North Americans read Peter Zeihan’s book, The Accidental Superpower. As Americans learn to create parallel and shadow infrastructure beneath the control of governments, the underlying strength and potential of North America’s unique geography and demography will find more useful outlets.

Disruptive technologies have cut deeply into profits in the publishing industry, the music industry, many formerly rock solid news media outlets, parts of the motion picture industry, and many other typically degenerate and corrupt aspects of American commerce. But that process has barely begun. The eating away at the foundations of the information gateways and former controllers of culture, is due to accelerate.

Fortune 500 Turnover

Fortune 500 firms in 1955 vs. 2014; 88% are gone, and we’re all better off because of that dynamic ‘creative destruction’

__ Carpe Diem

Technology innovation is carving new pathways of wealth and power every day. Political machines have fought to maintain control of public information sources and the public flow of wealth and influence, but such is becoming more difficult. The key is parallel infrastructure of the critical variety. Parallel news, information, music, entertainment, and recreation are all well and good, but they do not necessarily keep people warm, fed, sheltered, safe, and healthy. Parallel critical infrastructures can do all of that, and such are the goals of the new era.

If Government is Less Necessary, it Can be Downsized and Given Less Overall Control

The current US election cycle combined with the last 8 years of President Obama, make it clear that the current fossil age methods of governance and selecting leaders are untenable in a rapidly changing world. An all or nothing, one size fits all mega-government satifies no one, nor does it generate fairness or opportunity on a large scale.

We’re gonna need a lot more guillotines! 😉

Posted in Cognition, Hillary Clinton, Politics | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Will China Pass on World War III and Stand Aside?

China will lend “moral support” to Putin in his war of words against the west. China does not want to see a nuclear war destroy the global economy which China is so deeply invested in. But if it comes to a nuclear exchange, Mr. Xi is hoping that both Russia and the US alliance will exhaust their nuclear arsenals on each other, leaving China as the sole world superpower to pick up the pieces and control what remains.

Russian officials repeatedly stress issue areas where Russia is truly a great power. This meant lots of talk about Syria, Russia’s neighbors and . . . nuclear weapons. Lots of conversations about nuclear weapons.

Source

For the past 2 1/2 years, the world has once again been living under the threat of a nuclear war:

… a retired Russian Army General and a Military Strategies and Technologies expert, Evgeni Solovyov, … said that Russia is clearly “testing the West, particularly the United States.”

“It also seems like Russia is okay with the fact that World War 3 can be easily started any day

__ Source

World War III in the News

… 2016 Republican Party candidate Donald Trump said last week that a presidency under Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton would result in World War 3 being fought over Syria. Just a week earlier, his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Zhirinovsky, stated that electing Clinton would see World War 3 become an actuality. __ source

Ever since Putin invaded Crimea and eastern Ukraine, Russian propaganda sources have been obsessed with the idea of an apocalyptic nuclear war, if international forces move more strongly to defend Ukraine’s sovereignty from Russian aggressors, in keeping with international treaties. Putin and his spokespersons rarely miss an opportunity to warn the west that Russia still has thousands of nuclear warheads and many working ballistic missiles.

There are a lot of indications that a nuclear confrontation between Moscow and Washington could indeed happen: Russian military aircraft have been repeatedly invading into NATO airspace, particularly the Baltic states’ airspace. Putin admitting he was ready to ready up his nuclear forces in Crimea. __ http://www.valuewalk.com/2015/04/russia-vs-us-the-world-war-3/

The US and Britain are obligated to intervene if Putin’s invasion of Ukraine comes out of the closet and becomes more overt:

A treaty signed in 1994 by the US and Britain could pull both countries into a war to protect Ukraine if President Putin’s troops cross into the country.

Bill Clinton, John Major, Boris Yeltsin and Leonid Kuchma – the then-rulers of the USA, UK, Russia and Ukraine – agreed to the The Budapest Memorandum as part of the denuclearization of former Soviet republics after the dissolution of the Soviet Union.

Technically it means that if Russia has invaded Ukraine then it would be difficult for the US and Britain to avoid going to war.

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2570335/Former-British-Ambassador-Moscow-warns-Russia-invaded-Ukraine-difficult-avoid-going-war.html

And so far, Obama has pretended that Russia has not yet invaded Ukraine . . . well maybe sorta, kinda, but not that bad . . .

Putin’s Brave Talk of Nuclear Destruction Assumes that China Will Stand by His Side

Russia has No Allies for WWIII

When Kremlin propagandists talk about the prospects for a third world war or when Russians speculate about what it might look like, neither, the Russian regionalist writer points out, reflects that unlike in past wars, Russia will have no allies in a future one, a kind of state “loneliness” that will make any such conflict very different from a world war (spektr.press/odinochestvo-rossii-pochemu-ne-vyhodit-sygrat-v-tretyu-mirovuyu/).

“Who could be part of a bloc with Russia in the event of a hypothetical clash with NATO?” No one or at least no one important, Shtepa says. Not China, Belarus or Kazakhstan, but perhaps “only the unrecognized pseudo-states like the DNR and LNR, Transdniestria and South Osetia and also possibly the Pacific archipelago of Tuvalu.”

While the Kremlin talks about the possibility of a world war, its policies have so alienated everyone else that Vladimir Putin has reduced the allies Russia to the only two Tsar Aleksandr III famously described, “its army and its fleet.” And as a result, Russia is left in the position of “proud loneliness.” ___ http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2016/10/russia-has-no-allies-for-any-war-with.html

China will lend “moral support” to Putin in his war of words against the west. But if it comes to a nuclear exchange, Mr. Xi is hoping that both Russia and the US alliance will exhaust their nuclear arsenals on each other, leaving China as the sole world superpower to pick up the pieces and control what remains.

By egging Putin on in his conflict with the west, China is positioning itself as a neutral third party, hoping to suffer as little collateral damage as possible in any coming nuclear exchange. This is very important to China, since its economy is bloating like a bladder full of eggs rotting in the sun.

China Debt Source

China Debt
Source

Debt in China has grown by US$4.5 trillion over the past 12 months, by far the highest amount of debt creation globally as compared to US$2.2 trillion in the US, US$870 billion in Japan and US$550 billion in the euro area. Indeed, China on its own has added more debt than the US, Japan and the euro area combined. __ http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-30/chinas-debt-has-grown-45-trillion-past-12-months-more-us-japan-and-europe-combined

It is one thing for the world’s only superpower — the US — to drive up its own debt to stratospheric heights. Anyone who has read Zeihan’s “Accidental Superpower” understands the special category that North America occupies, for the time being. China enjoys no such advantages, and is sitting on a foundation of quicksand. Although the dragon is attempting to build its nuclear and conventional forces as quickly as it can do, its infrastructure is strained to the limits in all dimensions. In case of outright international conflict, China will have to hunker down and hope to occupy the commanding heights when the dust clears away.

Xi has found Putin to be easily manipulated, with ample promises of economic investment and political support, which later turn out to have been sulfur vapours without solid substance. Grand projects announced with great fanfare collapse for lack of investment. And on every side, Putin is forced to make concession after concession in terms of land and natural resources — while pushing Russia inexorably closer toward nuclear war with the west.

In Russia, propagandists set the scene, while the elites lack any positive vision for Russia’s future. But is the nuclear war painted by Putin’s propagandists truly inevitable?

Probably not. China has economically encircled Russia, forming military, political, and economic alliances with nations from Finland to Ukraine to Poland to Turkey to the Central Asian republics. Russia is isolated by the dragon almost as much as it is by NATO and the western alliance. Perhaps more, since China is the lender, customer, and investor of last resort.

To top it off, Russia is being forced to turn to China for high tech components of its most advanced weapons systems — components that it can no longer so easily obtain from Ukraine and the west. Russia has fallen so far behind in the technology and innovation race, that its weapons cannot function without components of foreign manufacture. As China fabricates more and more of Russia’s advanced weapons systems, the dragon will control when and how Russia can use these systems in any conflict.

In other words, using a wide range of economic, military, political, and technological means of leverage and coercion, China can lead Russia to the precipice of war, then turn the bear’s weapons systems off at the critical moment.

So the choice of whether or not there will be a nuclear WWIII seems to be devolving onto Mr. Xi, of the People’s Republic. It seems more likely that he will choose to coopt Russian elites to make Russia a vassal of China, avoiding all the radioactive fallout.

If China’s Debt is Swelling to Dangerous Dimensions, What is China’s Future?

Several aspects of a nation’s economy determine the value of its currency. A nation’s debt is one of the central determinants of currency worth, subject to a large number of other variables. As we have seen above, China’s debt is ballooning and careening out of control. One way or another China will need to appropriate significant assets — probably from Russia — to beef up its economic foundations. But the dragon can defer that necessity for a number of years yet, watching how events evolve as Putin ages and loses clout. If everyone is lucky, Putin will not release the mushroom clouds before he is taken down by his inner circle.

This will allow China to continue stealing western technology and Russian military mettalurgy, and strengthening its military position vis a vis its Asian antagonists. This will allow it to pick up Siberian properties and assets at bargain basement prices at its own pace.

Science and Innovation Ratings http://archive.rusbase.com/news/author/benhopkins/infographic-science-innovation/

Science and Innovation Ratings
http://archive.rusbase.com/news/author/benhopkins/infographic-science-innovation/
Russia is disappearing from the world of technology innovation


Russia is swiftly becoming a rapidly emptying shell and facade of empty braggadocio, with an ample sprinkling of aging nuclear warheads and ballistic missiles of irregular quality on top. Putin has squandered a decade and a half of relative prosperity and goodwill in an effort to recreate the terror state of the USSR. Not a smart strategy, but then Putin’s strategic skills have never been up to his tactical improvisational maneuvering.

If the Russian elite can hold Putin’s nuclear war enthusiasm back from the brink a little longer, Putin’s time may well end peacefully.

Back in the USSR

Posted in Doom, Military, Nuclear War, Russia | Tagged , | 6 Comments

How to Get Around After TEOTWAWKI

This all-terrain vehicle has the ability to take off from indigenous runways and transform into a light-sports aircraft using a parafoil wing. Reaching ground speeds of up to 70 mph and flight speeds of 40 mph, the SkyRunner can transport 2 occupants ... 120 nautical miles, at an altitude of 10,000 feet.


This all-terrain vehicle has the ability to take off from indigenous runways and transform into a light-sports aircraft using a parafoil wing. Reaching ground speeds of up to 70 mph and flight speeds of 40 mph, the SkyRunner can transport 2 occupants … 120 nautical miles, at an altitude of 10,000 feet.
http://www.businessinsider.com/us-special-forces-all-terrain-flying-vehicle-2016-9%5B/caption%5D

After TSHTF, maintaining highways and bridges will take a back seat to just staying alive and free from the slavers and reavers. If you need to get somewhere faster than you can walk or ride horseback, you will need some creative solutions.

Flying ATVs, such as the rugged special forces parafoil version above, provide one solution to the problem: Whatever you cannot “ATV”, simply unfurl the parafoil and fly over.

Another approach to difficult terrain is the hovercraft approach. Low level hover is effective for relatively flat surfaces. Moderately rough surfaces may require “ground effect hover” as described later.

The following video demonstrates the construction of a basic small hovercraft using conventional materials and methods.

[youtube=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FR1cF-XXX7c&w=640&h=390]

The primary advantage of hovercrafts is that they can travel freely over land, water, ice, mud, sand, and even pavement. They come in all sizes, and can be customised for a wide range of climate and terrain. The hovercraft in the video above are built in a factory. But hovercraft can also be built at home — or as a high school project.

Ground Effect Hover/Fliers

[youtube=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=svvfzETPmNg&w=640&h=390]

Using ground effect, hovercraft fliers can zoom over uneven ground and low ocean swell.

Monster Trucks and Many-Wheeled Vehicles Provide Further Options

The Russian mechanic who designed the Sherp ultra-short monster truck utilised giant, low pressure tires to provide flexible traction as well as flotation.
[caption id="attachment_9197" align="aligncenter" width="640"]St. Petersburg Sherp ATV http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3439580/The-bizarre-mini-monster-truck-Russian-designer-reveals-65k-roader-s-just-11-feet-long.html St. Petersburg Sherp ATV
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3439580/The-bizarre-mini-monster-truck-Russian-designer-reveals-65k-roader-s-just-11-feet-long.html

The Sherp ATV is the brain child of Alexei Garagashyan, a mechanic in Saint Petersburg, who has had an interest in unconventional solutions in traditional SUVs, such as building race cars, reports Auto Motor und Sport.

___ http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3439580/The-bizarre-mini-monster-truck-Russian-designer-reveals-65k-roader-s-just-11-feet-long.html

Multiple wheel vehicles such as the 8 X 8 in the video above are capable of moving strongly over water, land, mud, snow, and other difficult surfaces.

You do not have to wait for TEOTWAWKI in order to achieve similar travel challenges. In parts of the arctic, for example, travel surfaces can change radically from day to day, or from one hour to the next. In such situations, a more versatile vehicle can be lifesaving.

At Canada’s Great Slave Lake, Wintertime is TEOTWAWKI

Houseboat dwellers on the lake are necessarily self-reliant, to the point of virtual sovereignty. During the periods of freeze-up and breakup, travel from houseboat to outside help can be deadly treacherous.

Great Escapes is an earlier posting on alternative means of getting away from a suddenly unruly crowd.

Keep in mind that in the modern world, most situations of TS Hitting TF are only temporary, as in severe weather power outages and the like. Preparation for such situations generally involve hunkering in place with proper supplies and backup life support functions. But if infrastructure breakdown is accompanied by widespread civil disorder — as it easily could do in cities with large populations of poorly assimilated third world peoples — the ability to make an orderly and timely escape to a prepared position can save your bacon.

Infrastructure and civil order might be restored within a week or two after a shutdown — or perhaps not. In the face of that degree of uncertainty, a solid fallback plan can provide peace of mind. But even the best plan will fail if it is not executed in time. Plan, prepare, practise. And be ready to pull the trigger if necessary.

More hovercraft links:

http://www.hovercraft.org/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hovercraft

http://gizmodo.com/359974/ice-hovercraft-school-bus-is-coolest-worst-news-for-students-ever

http://www.worldhovercraft.org/links.htm

http://www.links999.net/hovercraft/index.html

http://www.hovercraft.org/make-hovercraft-school/

Posted in Survival Prepping, TEOTWAWKI, Transportation | Tagged | 8 Comments

Age of Disintegration, Age of Promise: Opportunities of the Coming Breakup

Dozens of Nations Will Not Be Able to Hold Onto What They Have

Ever More Fragile to the Breaking Point Source (PDF)

Ever More Fragile to the Breaking Point
Source (PDF)


The globe is crowded with unwieldy, oversized, unstable nations pretending to be something they are not. Winter is coming, and by “winter” I mean a spreading state of anarchy where “nothing works,” when hosts of over-puffed nations will soon be forced to face the reality of violent downsizing.

We live in an irrational and unsustainable age of the nation state, in a world that is balanced on a razor’s edge, poised to topple without proper preparations and provisions having been made. And no wonder, when national greatness is measured by the ability of a state to tyrannise its citizens and to commit mischief and block peaceful prosperity in neighboring states. But such behaviours only accelerate the coming anarchy and disintegration both near and abroad.

The Nation State is Losing its Grip

As instability grows within oversized nation states that are demographically downsizing and suffering from growing debt and dysgenic decline, these nations will grasp for any order they might find. The forces of urbanisation have caused power to shift strongly to the larger cities, but as cities grow larger and more unwieldy, the seeds of anarchy sprout and grow into the sunlight of demographic decay.

Global Stability Disappearing Source

Global Stability Disappearing
Source

Megacities Becoming Foci First of Power, then of Instability

Anyone who has had to balance the ongoing demands of power grids, transportation systems, communications networks, water and sewer infrastructures, and all of the other critical infrastructures of a city, will understand that the complexity of these systems increases exponentially as populations rise. This is particularly true when populations consist of growing numbers of low IQ peoples of violent tendency. The more stupid and violent people you try to cram into a limited space, the more dysfunctional and unworkable the project becomes. Europe and the Anglosphere have made an art of importing large numbers of such people to populate their own cities, so western people will be able to see the consequences of these policies at first hand.

As competent control weakens and declines, these central hellholes necessarily become foci of violence, hunger, plague, and human predation. Distinctions between governments and crime syndicates will be distinctions without differences. And since cities traditionally dictate order and prioritise activity for surrounding countrysides, chaos in cities will spread outward.

Secession and Separatist Movements Have Never Been so Vocal and Popular

Most nations of the world are artificial, involuntary conglomerations of peoples thrown together by chance and conquest. Separatist emotions are strong across most large and medium-sized nations of the third world, the emerging world, and the advanced world alike. As the forces of cohesion fray, weaken, and snap apart, the forces of secession and separatism will cohere around any viable nuclei which may form.

For organised groups that wish to be successful in such endeavours, a significant amount of planning and preparation would be necessary, involving planning for multiple contingencies.

The United Nations is a Joke, as Are Most Nations Belonging to the Pathetic Collective Hoax

When the large nations that underwrite the UN come under significant stress, the UN will be one of the first organisations to lose funding. This would be particularly true with a president such as Donald Trump in America, or equivalent leaders of influence in Europe and the Anglosphere. Without the UN and the threat of violence by nation-state advocates, the forces of separatism and secession would be unleashed. Most such revolutions would result in disaster and smoldering anarchy, but wherever proper planning and preparation had been put in, successful new foci of opportunity would likely sprout up.

It is Perhaps Easiest to Find a Stable Country and Hunker Down

During World War I and World War II, large parts of the world were either far from the hostilities or declared themselves neutral, protecting their citizens from direct contact with the fighting. In the coming anarchy, it may not be nearly so easy to find a safe haven.

Sweden, for example, was never the “rape capital of Europe” until its leaders invited the coming anarchy into its towns and neighborhoods. The same type of decay is seen in cities across Europe, thanks to degenerate leadership.

It remains generally unsaid that exactly the same decline has already taken place in cities across North America as its indigenous blacks combined with imports of dubious quality, expanding into once prosperous neighborhoods which subsequently become crime-ridden slums. This should have been a warning to Europe, but instead has long been taken as a sign of European superiority. But now, Europe might well dismount from its judgmental high horse and start making preparations for its own disastrous self-mutilation by immigration, before it is too late to protect itself.

What are the Opportunities Arising from this Coming Chaos?

Clearly, for a better, sounder order to arise, a degenerate age must make way. And since degenerate orders such as ours do not typically stand aside voluntarily, the chaotic fruit of their own suicidal policies will sooner or later take them down — when combined with the wars of opportunity that will spontaneously spring up between rotten and dying systems of government.

Nations such as Russia, China, Brasil, most African and middle eastern nations, South Asia, nations of Central Asia, Indonesia, Philippines, Mexico, and perhaps Canada, may naturally break up into smaller pieces. This will provide opportunities for competent and capitalised groups that are ready to take charge of more defensible areas, and further to suborn local and regional military and law enforcement that are cut loose from the disintegrating centre.

Snowflake Seastead w/ Breakwater Source

Snowflake Seastead w/ Breakwater
Source

Other Options

Seasteads have often been put forward as viable alternatives to the nation-state, but even the foremost champions of seasteads acknowledge that better alternatives may be available. Charter cities and “free private cities” offer alternatives to the seastead, which is quite vulnerable to a wide range of mortal threats.

Any Port in a Storm

The phrase “any port in a storm” refers to the need of humans to seek shelter and safety under adverse conditions. Clearly in an age of widespread failure of nation-states — accompanied by chaos in megacities — safe havens would become increasingly rare across much of the world. Most of the third and emerging worlds would revert to barbarous conditions where outsiders would find it difficult to survive and escape quasi-slavery. Much of the currently advanced world would find itself slipping toward conditions that are more typical of the third and emerging worlds.

The shrinking numbers of safe havens would find themselves inundated by well educated — but essentially incompetent — modern peoples. Providing for this extra overburden of refugees will become increasingly difficult. It will not escape notice by their new hosts that the newcomers had only become refugees because they had failed to keep their own houses in order.

All of This Presents Huge Opportunities to Mobile Groups of Competence Possessing Portable Technologies and Infrastructures

After the coming anarchy and chaos hits most of the world, anyone who can master the construction and maintenance of basic infrastructure will be at an advantage when it comes to being able to feed and shelter people in communities and cities. Parallel infrastructures at all scales will be needed. A power supply such as a small nuclear reactor capable of fitting within shipping containers, able to provide power and heat to an island or isolated community, could fit into power infrastructures at multiple scales. Persons who could operate, maintain, and scale such technologies of vital infrastructure have the power to create safe havens and shape them to more sustainable social patterns.

Power, heat, microgrid infrastructure, transportation infrstructure, fresh water, sanitation, health care, comfortable housing, education/training, legal arbitration and contracts, banking and financial systems, law enforcement, defence against external threats, etc. etc. all contingencies must be considered and planned for before the project is even considered. And even then, one must wait for the proper time to make one’s move.

Defensible Islands are Better than Seasteads

Seasteads can sink or be sunk. In times of global anarchy, defensible islands with food supplies and modern infrastructure provide a safer haven.

Charter cities might be safer than seasteads in some situations, assuming the host country holds to its obligations. That will not always be the case.

Cold weather locations can be made livable with proper infrastructure, as long as competent engineers, maintenance men, installers, and spare parts makers are available.

Today’s Global Population Cannot be Sustained in Times of Anarchy

Given the huge oversupply of low IQ incompetent people living in the third world, who are unable to take care of themselves and must be kept alive by the largesse of a well-functioning and generous advanced world, it should be easy to see how quickly large numbers would die under conditions of global anarchy.

Without outside help, tropical diseases, tribal wars, food shortages, and other endemic plagues that have been held back by outside aide, would quickly sweep in like tsunamis to obliterate large and vulnerable parts of these populations. Advanced weapons systems would be called into play to fight ancient enemies, until the complex systems broke down for lack of maintenance and spare parts. Soon, machetes and spears would once again become primary means of large scale homicide, as in Hotel Rwanda.

In the middle east, nuclear weapons might well be brought into play, but the supply of such weapons would be finite under conditions of uncertain foreign support and re-supply. Tens of millions would die, at least, whether from bullets, sharpened edges and points, or from nuclear chain reactions.

Even in a Russia that should know better, the unprovoked use of nuclear weapons in a vain attempt to maintain great empire status, is at least an even chance. Moscow has been a regional bully for hundreds of years and is widely hated by virtually all of its neighbors and constituent ethnic minorities. The Russian empire — artificially held in existence for so long — must eventually collapse of its own weight. If Russia chooses to go out with a grand nuclear convulsion, the world will once again pay the price for Moscow’s idiocy.

But the definitive shape of this likely collapse is largely conjecture, and very little planning can be done to mitigate the impact of madmen on the world.

It is Best to Focus on the Things that One Can Impact for the Better

Training Dangerous Children and devising systems of disruptive technologies and parallel infrastructures can be diverting occupations, in addition to other necessary activities of life. Readers will think of particular projects and cooperative ventures which might create more opportunities for a more abundant and expansive future, in the face of a wide range of contingencies.

Doom is not a given, particularly not the kind of doom that is typically served by conspiracy theorists, peak oilers, climate apocalyptics, green slimers, and others of that ilk. But unscrupulous and stupid humans find ways to propagate themselves and rise to positions of power and influence. By doing so, they contribute to a growing tide of chaos that naturally accrues to any sufficiently complex local and global system.

Hope for the Best. Prepare for the Worst

It is possible to create “islands of competence” within nations-in-decline. As long as such islands can trade with and communicate with other islands of competence, they can remain viable, if certain precautions are taken. National educational systems should be radically overhauled to take into account the “unexpected” challenges which future generations will face. A more dangerous world will confront today’s youngsters which their parents have largely been able to sidestep or otherwise ignore. Such will not be possible for much longer.

Posted in Coming Anarchy, Demographics, Discontinuities, Dysgenics, geopolitics, Human Slavery, Megacities | Tagged , , | 7 Comments

Coming for Your Women

Some claim that World War III is about capturing brains rather than territory, and there is some merit to the claim. But there are many ways to capture another nation’s brains. One way is to provide better working and living conditions, creating a brain drain.

“This is a problem: they could have remained in Russia, but they have left.”… “They have left because there are more possibilities for them abroad, because there are fewer risks, because there is less arbitrariness and chance of losing one’s business, because there is a court which won’t simply impose the decision it is instructed to take via the telephone” from the bosses.

The departure of such people is a defeat for Russia, he says. It may not be as immediately obvious as the loss of territory. That can be shown on a map. But even if these losses can’t be shown that way, they are “much more serious for the country… __ Source

Given Higher Value Abroad

Given Higher Value Abroad

But Another Way to Steal a Nation’s Brains is to Take Their Women

The brains of future generations are “contained” inside the ovaries of the tens of thousands of young women who are leaving the country every year for better opportunities abroad. And by making it difficult for young Russian women to grow up, fall in love, and raise happy families inside of Mother Russia, Muskovy is making it laughably easy for outsiders to strip away Russia’s future without firing a shot.

Rich Chinese businessmen are paying thousands of pounds to go on ‘wife tours’ in Siberia in search of fair-skinned, blue-eyed brides

China has 120 men for every 100 women, with 34 million more males than females… But in Russia there are 85 men for every 100 women, and at sessions on the popular singles tours, the Chinese businessmen are introduced to groups of 25 or so women, all under 35.

… the men want to see brides with white skin and blue eyes. __ DM

More: Coming for your women

Russian men have a bad reputation, seen as typically abusing their girls and women. Russian society as a whole is seen in much the same light. One of the first budget items to be slashed in Moscow is spending on women’s health and maternal and child health. Things are bad all over in Russia, but military, espionage, and propaganda budgets have hardly been touched.

China is Quick to Take Advantage

… Besieged with a growing problem of demographic decline, many Russian analysts fear that Siberia and its far east would soon be over-run by migrant Chinese labour. This fear is genuine as anybody familiar with Chinese history will admit that Chinese territorial claims all over Asia often followed its emigrants. Likewise, the Russians are not comfortable with the growing Chinese activities in Central Asia, which Moscow always considers to be falling under its sphere of vital interests. Besides, it is also felt in Russian strategic circles that China, with ex-Soviet Union scientists and engineers working in its defence facilities, is producing weapons by reverse-engineering the Russian products and exporting them in the international market, particularly in Pakistan and North Korea. __ Source

When They Take Your Women, They Take Your Future

Russia 2015 Population Pyramid Source

Russia 2015 Population Pyramid
Source

Historically, the traditional process of genocide involves violent conquest — slaughtering the men and boys — and taking the girls and young women as slaves. But these are more enlightened days, and to steal the future of a nation such as Russia, outsiders merely need take the girls and women, leaving the men to stew in cheap vodka, moonshine, and Afghani heroin. Putin has no one to blame but himself and his puffed up sense of entitlement and personal power.

“Russia has very little to offer China over time other than natural resources,” Mr Swanström says, whereas the EU is China’s biggest export market. __ FT

Russia’s natural resources naturally include its women, and other products of Siberia. And China is increasingly appropriating Siberian resources to its own use.

As the ethnic Russian population of Siberia fades away, control of the vast land area will shift to China. Without Siberia, Russia has no cash flow. And without cash flow, Russia has no clout on the international stage. The ethnic Russian population is rapidly bleeding away — even without the accelerating loss of young Russian women through overseas marriage bureaus. The Russian mafia has been financing itself on the overseas sale of young Russian girls for decades now, and shows no sign of stopping for the extended recession.

Over a million people live as slaves inside Russia, and millions more ethnic Russians have been sold as slaves overseas, since Putin began his rise to power. Overseas marriage bureaus are the benevolent side of this picture. The sale of young women to overseas prostitution parlours and as personal property constitutes a seamier side of things.

14 yo Russian Girls Sold a Bill of Goods http://thefilmstage.com/reviews/tiff-review-girl-model/

14 yo Russian Girls Sold a Bill of Goods
Trapping Girls for Overseas Consumption

Sometime after the middle of this century, Russia’s population could easily dip to half its current level. As populations pass the point of no return, say good-bye to Siberia, the Caucasus, and most of the Arctic. This will be the end game of the ongoing covert WWIII, an end-game that thick-headed Muskovites who follow Putin cannot anticipate.

Russia: A 25 year retrospective. Putin is to blame.

The falling empire that wishes to take the world down with it

Looking behind the smokescreen

As Syria mutates into a new Afghanistan for Russia, the repercussions reach far into Europe

The myth of Putin

Russia is an enormously weak country that Putin is working desperately to make appear far more powerful than it is. He is doing extremely well at creating that illusion. There is a saying that perception is reality. That saying is rubbish. If it were true… the Soviet Union would still exist.

… the Russians were not in Syria to save Bashar al-Assad, control pipelines, build naval facilities or intimidate the United States. They were there so Putin could appear to be more powerful than he was, and that was primarily for the benefit of his public. As the economy weakened and privations increased, he had to give it all a meaning, and Syria made him appear to be restoring Russia’s greatness. __ George Friedman

The dynamic myth is meant to influence the sheep-like serfs in Muskovy, and weak-minded fools in the foppish west. Unfortunately, reality is coming to call, and has no beneficence in mind for either Putin or his thralls.

The women had best get out while they can.

Posted in Brain Drain, China, Russia, Russian Decline, Russian slavery, Russian Womb Drain, Siberia | Tagged , , | 5 Comments

MegaCities of the Coming Anarchy

What Would a Preview of Tomorrow’s World Look Like?

It will be a world of Robert Kaplan-esque urban hellscapesbrutal and anarchic supercities filled with gangs of youth-gone-wild, a restive underclass, criminal syndicates, and bands of malicious hackers. __ The Intercept

Megacities Outgrow the Nation State Source

Megacities Outgrow the Nation State
Source


Cities have endured long beyond the civilisations and empires that made them great. But there are limits to what cities can survive.
Cities are mankind’s most enduring and stable mode of social organization, outlasting all empires and nations over which they have presided. Today cities have become the world’s dominant demographic and economic clusters. __ Source

Global demographic forces are driving a rapid growth of cities across the third world. As these global demographic trends accelerate, the future of cities is looking more than a bit frightening. [Unspoken subtext]

The global elites are setting the stage for an unfolding nightmare. Fully prepared to “destroy the world in order to save it,” they are marching forward in corrupt lockstep dedication to a utopian ideology that can only result in ruin. The drama will be played with greatest intensity and pathos in the cities.

Already there are plenty of examples of dysfunctional cities across Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Without skillful management, cities become centers of decay, gridlock, crime, urban sprawl, slum housing, and pollution. The quality of life deteriorates and economic dynamism falters—scale diseconomies outweigh scale benefits.

These challenges are most acute in the megacities—cities with more than 10 million inhabitants. The world will see the number of megacities rise from 23 today to 36 in 2025. Some cities such as São Paulo and Shanghai could have GDP in excess of $500 billion by 2025, more than the GDP of Belgium or Switzerland today. __ http://voices.mckinseyonsociety.com/whats-the-biggest-limit-on-city-growth-hint-its-not-steel-or-cement/

Today’s cities are filling up with angry young people intent on mischief and mayhem. As the process unfolds, cities of tomorrow will be stinking open-sewer slums without clean water, without civil order, without basic services such as reliable power, medical services, or fire departments.

No One Can Control What is Coming

Third world peoples from Manila to Lagos to Karachi to Jakarta are being crammed into unmanageable mega-slums lacking clean water, sanitation, and other basic infrastructure. National governments have lost control of the process, as a future of criminal anarchy awaits the emerging hellholes of Africa, Asia, and Latin America. The United Nations is giving tacit consent to this worldwide enterprise of decay and corruption.

Take Karachi as an example of one of the more functional emerging megacities:

How does Karachi solve its civic problems? The megacity of over 22 million people has been unable to resolve the question of how to provide basic infrastructure and basic services to a majority of its population. __ https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/157713-Managing-a-megacity

The military of the United States is concerned enough about the prospects of having to send its fighters into such megacities, that it has conducted multiple studies looking at the problem:

More:

“Megacities: Urban Future, the Emerging Complexity,” a five-minute video that has been used at the Pentagon’s Joint Special Operations University. __ Video of the Day h/t Zerohedge

“Megacities are complex systems where people and structures are compressed together in ways that defy both our understanding of city planning and military doctrine,” says a disembodied voice. “These are the future breeding grounds, incubators, and launching pads for adversaries and hybrid threats.” __ Source

The Problem is a Desperate One

And it will drive more and more people of competence and foresight to create their own parallel infrastructure of survival and community far from the crime and filth that concentrates within groupings of large, violent, unintelligent, and poorly ordered populations.

The decline of Europe and the Anglosphere as typified by demographic decline and corrupt elitist takeovers of most governments, cultural institutions, infrastructures, and sources of information and learning, can be disheartening — even to those who understand the larger picture and the underlying foundations of human existence, innovation, and evolution of societies.

But such things can also serve as clarion calls to action, for building parallel infrastructures that will allow competent and far-seeing groups of people to propagate their kind into the future, beyond the decay and collapse of the unsustainable world the “utopian” elites are hastily cramming together in what is becoming the slumlands.

Bright people of vision have to perform a rearguard, holding action, while at the same time laying the foundations for innovative communities and networked city-states capable of building upon the ruins of the old and degenerate order.

Disruptive human innovation is the key that unlocks an expansive and abundant human future. At this stage, it is important to focus innovative efforts around critical infrastructure, in order to make technologies of living more robustly resilient and anti-fragile.

The general attitude that is most helpful for such an enterprise is spelled out in Julian Simon’s free online ebook, Ultimate Resource. Pessimism is the living space of defeat, and open-eyed optimism, contrarianism, and unconventional thinking is the door to a more open future. Danger warnings can be very useful, but a perpetual wallowing in doom is counter-productive and self-fulfilling in the prophecy of ultimate defeat.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst.

The ongoing projects of the Al Fin Institutes — including The Dangerous Child movement, The Next Level, The Society for Creative Apocalyptology, and others of a more inchoate nature — cannot solve the larger problem of a humanity in decline.


But they can help to build networked communities of expertise, competence, and vision which can assist the recovery from the disastrous utopian projects of a corrupt and generally incompetent elite under which we currently endure.

More:

An excellent presentation by Matt Ridley exposing one of the most destructive dogmas of the corrupt utopian project

Posted in Africa, Demographics, Doom, Dysgenics, Megacities | Tagged ,

Small Nuclear Reactors to Power Homesteads and Survival Compounds

Personal Power for the Coming Anarchy

Western societies are aging, losing expertise and internal cohesion, and allowing the foundations of their civilisation to crumble. To survive, modern societies need to make their vital infrastructure as robust as they can. Instead, thanks to a fashionable and corrupt political correctness, they are doing the opposite — making societal collapse more likely.

National and regional leaders fail to understand that reliable, uninterrupted supply of high quality electrical power is a matter of life or death. It is crucial that forward looking and competent people make plans for when the “politically correct” system of interlocking infrastructures — all reliant upon rock-steady and high quality energy supplies — begin to fail, due to top-down sabotage by leaders and political insiders.

Reliable forms of vital, life-saving power are being driven to failure and bankruptcy, while unreliable, low-quality energy from big wind and big solar is increasingly polluting power grids and making large-scale power blackouts and brownouts more likely.

We’re going to need a lot more backup.

NuScale vs Conventional PWR NuScale via Guardian

NuScale vs Conventional PWR
NuScale via Guardian

There is a growing need for micro-grid systems to use as backups for the politically mandated unreliability of national and continental grid systems across Europe and the Anglosphere. With their own dedicated power generation systems, city and community microgrids can drop off the macrogrid, and safely “island” themselves in case of a large-scale grid catastrophe.

At an even smaller scale of resilience, neighborhood and household microgrids can potentially maintain the same type of standby, backup robustness. But neighborhood/household microgrids will require reliable systems capable of generating ample high quality power (and heat) on demand.

Backyard Nukes

These mini-nukes generate between 45 and 300 megawatts of power (compared to 500 megawatts for the smallest thermal reactor now on the market), are built modularly (and, at roughly $1 billion per, relatively cheaply), then sealed completely at the factory, shipped via rail, and arrive at their destination “plug and play.” Once installed, they’re designed to run for years without maintenance. A number of familiar faces (like Toshiba and Lawrence Livermore Laboratories) and several nuclear newcomers (like New Mexico-based Hyperion Power Generation and Oregon- based NuScale Power) have gone into this area because SMRs are believed to fill a niche.

In places where water shortages are a problem, SMRs could be used to run desalination plants; in places too remote for other options, SMRs could be the best alternative to trucking in barrels of diesel. Much interest is centered around providing power for remote mining operations (like extracting oil from tar sands, which currently uses more oil than it produces), backing up intermittently plagued solar or wind facilities, or even —in the very long term —serving as hydrogen generators.

__ Source

Down Scaling Nuclear Reactors Source

Down Scaling Nuclear Reactors
Source

In a Global or Continental Emergency, Why Use Nuclear for Small Scale Robustness?

Nuclear reactors are already being used in remote parts of Siberia for power & heat cogeneration, at a size of 11 MWe. Source Newer, advanced, scaled down integral reactors are, in fact, ideal for geographically isolated communities, if designed and built properly and if operated and maintained by qualified personnel.

Nuclear has much lower fuel demands, is safer, cleaner, more reliable, and over the long run less expensive than the alternatives.

For Training and Testing Purposes, NuScale Appears to Have an Advantage

Advanced operator training facilities are paired with state of the art testing facilities to make sure that all systems operate as advertised, and that all operators will be competent to keep the systems running.

NuScale has designed and built an exclusive access, one-third scale, state-of-the-art, electrically-heated prototype test facility, the NuScale Integral System Test (NIST-1) facility located at Oregon State University in Corvallis, Oregon. The NIST-1 facility provides NuScale with a tremendous advantage for modular prototype testing. The one-third scale prototype replicates the entire NuScale Power Module and reactor building cooling pool. It provides an electrically heated core to bring the system up to operating temperature and pressure. Stability testing ensures that throughout the expected operating conditions, natural circulation is stable.

The facility has demonstrated the viability of NuScale Power’s SMR, and provides an enhanced representation of NuScale’s current reactor design. NIST includes a new data acquisition and control system and extensive instrumentation additions which will provide the measurements necessary for safety code and reactor design validation.

what enables NuScale to truly stand out is its cutting edge testing at state-of-the-art facilities worldwide, including:

NuScale Integral System Test (NIST-1) facility located at Oregon State University in Corvallis, Oregon
Critical Heat Flux testing at Stern Laboratories in Hamilton, Ontario Canada
Helical Coil Steam Generator testing at SIET SpA in Piacenza, Italy
Fuels testing at AREVA’s Richland Test Facility (RTF) in Richland, Washington
Critical Heat Flux testing at AREVA’s KATHY loop in Karlstein, Germany
Control Rod Assembly (CRA) drop / shaft alignment testing at AREVA’s KOPRA facility in Erlangen, Germany
Steam Generator Flow Induced Vibration (FIV) testing at AREVA’s PETER Loop in Erlangen, Germany
Control Rod Assembly Guide Tube (CRAGT) FIV at AREVA’s MAGALY facility in Le Creusot, France

… __ http://www.nuscalepower.com/our-technology/test-programs

NuScale has been thinking and planning ahead for as many contingencies as can be anticipated. This should not surprise anyone who knows that giant engineering and construction conglomerate Fluor is the majority stockholder in NuScale. And not surprisingly, engineering/construction giant Bechtel is working in a similar fashion with Babcock and Wilcox to develop B&W’s small modular nuclear reactor system. Such partnerships are natural synergies in the capitalist world where competence and expertise are crucial.

The Safe Scaling of Nuclear Power Takes Time

What you see in companies such as NuScale is an intermediate step in the scaling down of nuclear power from its current large scale versions to future backyard and remote location versions. The amount of supervision needed in a 4 GW nuclear power plant is necessarily much larger than what is needed for a nuclear submarine. Likewise the amount of human supervision in a nuclear submarine is larger than what will be needed for some of the smaller NuScale driven power plants. At the end of the timeline of development in scaled-down nuclear reactors, will be systems that do not require real-time human supervision at all.

The evolution of reliable downsized nuclear power will take time, but the sooner it begins, the sooner safe backyard and neighborhood nuclear-powered microgrids will arrive.

The nuclear power industry is experiencing the highest level of construction in 25 years, with 60 reactors under construction worldwide, she noted. In the last 12 months, 11 reactors were put online, of which China accounted for eight.

In addition, the IAEA’s PRIS Database shows that “existing reactors are operating very well”, she added. “In the 1980s the average capacity factor – how much electricity you get out from a plant compared to what it is designed to deliver – was around 60%. Now it’s about 80%. Furthermore, a 40-year-old reactor has the same average capacity factor as a new one. That means we are managing the technology very well.” __ Source

It is good that nuclear power is doing better on the world stage, but in Europe and the Anglosphere, politically corrupt backers of big wind and big solar have much louder voices than do the more rational and thoughtful backers of nuclear power systems evolution.

The Next Ice Age Has Not Been Cancelled

Global Breadbaskets Set to Freeze Source

Global Breadbaskets Set to Freeze
Source

There is a reason why the global breadbaskets of North America and Eurasia are so fruitful. Past glaciations repeatedly replenished soil micronutrients, setting the stage for later human societies to develop the rich agricultural systems that flourish on those lands today.

This is the story of glaciers and Illinois soil, the southern limit of the most recent North American great glaciers:

The first glacier inched its way into Illinois about 300,000 years ago. The fourth and last glacier melted slowly away about 13,000 years ago. The glaciers flattened the land and left behind rich deposits that became the soils on which Illinois farmers have grown their crops for the last 7,000 years. The Illinoan glacier reached into southern Illinois as far as Carbondale. Only the southern tip and the northwest corner of the state were untouched by glaciers. __ Source

The Next Glaciers Will Sweep Away Everything That Now Exists Over Huge Areas

As global climates naturally and inevitably cycle back toward colder temperatures, our easy way of life will come under severe stress. Growing seasons will shorten, cycles of flood and drought will likely worsen, and the time of onset and end of each year’s growing season will become more erratic and less predictable.

The only type of energy — natural or manmade — that will allow earthbound civilisations to survive the more extreme periods of glaciation, is advanced nuclear — fission and/or fusion. Consider the energy density of nuclear fuels vs. other fuels:

Energy Density Comparison from Wikipedia Fusion, Fission Orders of Magnitude Better than Chemical and Other Energy Sources

Energy Density Comparison from Wikipedia
Fusion, Fission Orders of Magnitude Better than Chemical and Other Energy Sources


Nuclear fuels contain many orders of magnitude higher energy density than any other type of fuel. This will allow the storage of centuries-worth of fuel in a relatively small volume, compared to what would be needed for other fuels.
Fuel Requirement Comparison

Fuel Requirement Comparison


We will need better methods for storing fuel, refueling reactors, and storing the very small quantities of waste that will result from newer and cleaner nuclear technologies. We will need reactors that will operate well for hundreds of years, with only minor maintenance requirements. And we will need methods of building replacement reactors and microgrid components, using technologies from advanced 3D printing to molecular manufacturing.

But with advanced nuclear generation of heat and power, humans will not need to huddle together in caves to keep warm, resorting to barbaric methods of population control and suffering from community-ending plagues over time.

Ice Ages are Inevitable, but the Threat from Human Stupidity is Much Closer at Hand

The abrupt political compulsion to overbuild big wind and big solar projects — for the benefit of politically connected elites and their friends — constitutes a considerable threat to a prosperous and abundant human future. The people who are promoting such a dangerous and wasteful overbuild and dependency on unreliable energy sources are well known, and should certainly be held to account for their actions. But by then it is likely to be too late.

Modern Leaders of Europe and the Anglosphere are Corrupt and Cowardly Fools

Barack Obama is a prototype for such politically correct and corrupt groupthinkers, but Hillary Clinton would certainly follow closely in his footsteps, if given the chance. Canada’s Trudeau is cut from the same cloth, as are the greens who wield so much influence across Europe and the rest of the Anglosphere. They had best hope to be well and truly out of the way — enjoying their ill-got gains — before their house of corrupt energy cards comes crashing down.

The Idea of Backyard Reactors and Personal Microgrids Will Require Work

It is rare for anything worthwhile to come about on its own, without a lot of help. Powerful elites will continue to attempt to control the emergence of potentially disruptive innovations, but such control is not always possible. For those who would like to forge their own path outside the control of busybody elitists, clever development of parallel infrastructures will be necessary in a step by step, low-profile manner.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. It is never too early or late to have a Dangerous Childhood.

Important reading:

Wind and Solar can never replace more reliable nuclear and fossil fuels

Download full MIT report here

Matt Ridley scores a coup de grace at the Royal Society last night, against politically correct saboteurs of the human future

Posted in Electrical Power Grid, Nuclear Power, Survival Prepping, Technology, TEOTWAWKI | Tagged | 6 Comments

Half Your Brain Tied Behind Your Back

The following article was previously published on The Dangerous Child blog

Unihemispheric Sleep; Unihemispheric Waking

Half-Brain Sleep is Common in Many Animals Source

Half-Brain Sleep is Common in Many Animals
Source

Whales and dolphins live underwater but must come to the surface periodically to breathe. They cannot allow both hemispheres of their brains to drop into deep sleep, else they may not wake to surface in time. Similarly, many birds undergo long migrations and other flights of long duration when they are unable to fall into deep sleep for long periods of time. Their brains are adapted to allow one hemisphere to stay awake while the other hemisphere gets much needed rest.

Can Humans Sleep With Half Their Brain Open?

The human brain, it turns out, is endowed with a less dramatic form of the unihemispheric sleep found in birds and some mammals. For humans, familiarity with a place breeds a deep night’s sleep.

__ Christof Koch

When humans are sleeping in a strange environment — which happens very regularly to people who travel as a matter of course — it seems the left hemisphere is more vigilant to the environment, allowing the right hemisphere to snooze more deeply. More

The sleep scientists who discovered this unilateral phenomenon used advanced brain scanners, which allowed subjects to sleep inside them all night long.

… they found that the sleeping brains showed asymmetrical patterns of sleep activity, with one hemisphere humming along while the other slept. And while the sprightly hemisphere wasn’t fully awake, it was much more active than the other—even responsive to external stimuli. Subjects in the study experiencing FNE, for example, were jolted awake by “deviant” sounds. A creaking door perhaps. Or a shrieking animal. For most of the subjects, the night watchman hemisphere of their brain was the left side, for inexplicable reasons. __ PopSci

More on sleep

Interesting, But So What?

Even during their awake time, animals — and humans — often move through the world “half asleep.” The image of dolphins above shows how the brain allots its sleep/wake time according to three general hemispheric states: L awake/R asleep, R awake/L asleep, and both L and R awake. As mentioned above, as a matter of survival for dolphins, both L and R cannot sleep simultaneously, except for very short time periods. This means that casual observers may not notice whether a dolphin is half awake, or fully awake.

You might think that humans do not have this problem, since humans can usually sleep with both hemispheres at specific, designated times, leaving both hemispheres fully awake to deal with the world at the proper time. Except, it doesn’t always work that way. Individual (left or right) human hemispheres can exhibit signs of sleep while a person is nominally awake, for short times. Most people — even those who have not been forced to stay alert for very long stretches, or for odd hours — will be able to recall brain misfires and somnambulations while awake which are very difficult to explain.

Is Anyone Ever Completely Awake?


The video clip above from the movie “Limitless” is entirely fictional, and yet . . . anyone who is curious and pays just a little attention to the world will have experienced epiphanies — startling moments of exceptional clarity that emerge unsolicited from the depths. How can we seem awake, and then suddenly find ourselves watching our worlds from one or more levels higher up?

These states never seem to last very long, but they suggest the existence of a higher and deeper ocean of experience, in which most of us have only managed to dip our toes.


It is easy to imagine unihemispheric sleep in humans when the two hemispheres have been surgically disconnected from each other — as in “split brain patients.” Patients with uncontrollable epilepsy were sometimes “cured” of global seizures by severing the corpus callosum. Once disconnected, the two hemispheres will often go in different directions, attending to different things.
After the right and left brain are separated, each hemisphere will have its own separate perception, concepts, and impulses to act. Having two “brains” in one body can create some interesting dilemmas. When one split-brain patient dressed himself, he sometimes pulled his pants up with one hand (that side of his brain wanted to get dressed) and down with the other (this side didn’t). Also, once he grabbed his wife with his left hand and shook her violently, so his right hand came to her aid and grabbed the aggressive left hand. However, such conflicts are actually rare. If a conflict arises, one hemisphere usually overrides the other.[1] __ Wikipedia Split Brain

A fascinating topic to be sure, but something similar can take place even when all anatomical connections within the brain remain intact. Such interhemispheric asynchrony has been observed in hypnosis — and anything that happens under formal hypnosis may also tend to happen spontaneously in ordinary life.

The Corpus Callosum is Larger in Women than Men

The more strongly the two hemispheres are connected to each other, the less likely that they will act independently of each other. It has been found that the two brain hemispheres are not as strongly connected in men as they are in women.

In the entire sample (n= 316), controlling for brain size and age, the average CCA [corpus callosum cross sectional area] was significantly (P< 0.03) larger in females. The difference favoring females was more pronounced in the young adults cohort (P< 0.0005). These results provide strong additional evidence that the CCA is larger in females after correcting for the confounding effect of brain size. ___ http://cercor.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2012/08/09/cercor.bhs253.full

More, persons who are easily hypnotised — and can readily block pain perception under hypnosis — have been found to have larger corpus callosi, at least in the anterior portion.

Only the highly hypnotizable subjects (HHs) who eliminated pain perception were included in the present study. These HHs, who demonstrated more effective attentional and inhibitory capabilities, had a significantly (P < 0.003) larger (31.8%) rostrum, a corpus callosum area involved in the allocation of attention and transfer of information between prefrontal cortices, than low hypnotizable subjects (LHs). These results provide support to the neuropsychophysiological model that HHs have more effective frontal attentional systems implementing control, monitoring performance and inhibiting unwanted stimuli from conscious awareness, than LHs. __ http://brain.oxfordjournals.org/content/127/8/1741

The anterior parts of the corpus callosum also seem to be enlarged in meditation practitioners, suggesting that meditation may alter the actual morphology of certain parts of the brain via the brain plasticity of selective use.

Hypnosis vs. Meditation

Although superficial similarities between hypnosis and meditation are readily apparent, we should be aware of the important differences between the two things. Hypnosis can be thought of as a highly focused “spotlight,” while meditation more closely resembles a broadbeam “floodlight.” A hypnotic trance blanks out peripheral phenomena, including ordinary sensations such as pain, discomfort, or embarassment. Meditation — particularly mindfulness meditation — opens the portals of awareness to allow an “eagle’s eye view” of one’s internal and external setting.

Using hypnosis, one can “disconnect” different circuits of brain activity from each other, functionally, on a subconscious level. Mindfulness meditation enlarges the borders of consciousness to allow normally suppressed stimuli to reach mental awareness. At that point, the conscious mind can often sort the relevant from the irrelevant, and alter subsequent consciousness.

Who Wants to Bother with All This Hocus Pocus?

Very few people indeed. Most would rather pop a pill, swallow a draught, lose themselves in a social setting, or otherwise avoid the question of whether they are entirely sleepwalking through their lives — or only doing so halfway. But shouldn’t we want to train our children differently, to be less slaves of our trance states and more aware of their own decision making and life choices?

Fortunately, for the Tech-Oriented Parent, There is Neurofeedback

Neurofeedback uses brainwave and other neurofunctional real-time metrics to allow a person to shape the workings of his own brain. Neurofeedback has proven exceptionally effective for treating ADHD and for brain rehabilitation after injury. The technique has also been useful for treating addictions, depression, autism, migraines, and a range of other dysfunctional states.

And although there has not been much written on the use of neurofeedback for enlarging conscious awareness, a number of neuroresearchers are doing work on that very project. This is not exactly what I am referring to, but consider:

A recent development in the field is a conceptual approach called the Coordinated Allocation of Resource Model (CAR) of brain functioning which states that specific cognitive abilities are a function of specific electrophysiological variables which can overlap across different cognitive tasks.[47] The activation database guided EEG biofeedback approach initially involves evaluating the subject on a number of academically relevant cognitive tasks and compares the subject’s values on the QEEG measures to a normative database, in particular on the variables that are related to success at that task. __ Wikipedia Neurofeedback

Neurofeedback has also been used to improve the performances of musicians, dancers, actors, athletes, and other persons who make a living from highly focused skills.

Neurofeedback is readily distinguished from ordinary hypnosis and meditation by neurofeedback’s ability to monitor real-time brain activity in particular brain circuits and anatomical centres. “Conscious” intervention on normally unconscious brain processes can then be fine-tuned to suit the goals of clients and their parents.

The Objective is to Learn to Achieve States of Highly Functional Awareness

Dangerous Children learn to achieve heightened situational awareness (and mindfulness) as part of their training. This allows them to anticipate and deal with problems before they happen. The parents of many Dangerous Children in training may also opt for neurofeedback training, where it may be helpful.

The neurological signs of “sleeping while awake” can be too subtle for most available intruments used in everyday neurofeedback training. They also tend to be too fleeting and unpredictable to be easily addressed in most conventional programmes of neurofeedback.

But a careful human observer can usually catch another person who is falling into a trance, in most situations. That is where “life coaches,” parents, and mentors who have some training in Ericksonian hypnosis and similar trance-aware disciplines can make their mark on a Dangerous Child’s future ability to choose his own path on multiple time scales.

Parents of Dangerous Children Must Learn to Pay Attention

Raising a Dangerous Child is an exhausting prospect. Fortunately, Dangerous Children begin to take up the slack of their own training at a surprisingly early age. Even so, parents, coaches, mentors, and helpers need to keep their eyes open so as to be able to intervene at key developmental bifurcation points.

Posted in Cognition, Human Brain, Sex Differences, Situational Awareness | Tagged | 2 Comments

Hillary Clinton Feels Entitled to Be President; Why?

I'm Entitled, Dammit... source

I’m Entitled, Dammit…
source

Guest Article: What Distinguishes “The Entitled Personality” from Normal People?

Entitlement is a personality trait driven by exaggerated feelings of deservingness and superiority.

According to new research by Case Western Reserve University, entitlement may lead to chronic disappointment, unmet expectations and a habitual, self-reinforcing cycle of behavior with dire psychological and social costs.

In a new theoretical model, the researchers have mapped how entitled personality traits may lead to a perpetual loop of distress.

“At extreme levels, entitlement is a toxic narcissistic trait, repeatedly exposing people to the risk of feeling frustrated, unhappy and disappointed with life,”

said Joshua Grubbs, the primary author of the paper and a recent PhD graduate in psychology from Case Western Reserve.

“Often times, life, health, aging and the social world don’t treat us as well as we’d like. Confronting these limitations is especially threatening to an entitled person because it violates their worldview of self-superiority.”

Entitlement Cycles

Reacting to perceived injustices, entitled people may direct their anger outward, blaming others, while reassuring themselves of their own specialness, thus beginning the cycle again. The study, based on a review of more than 170 academic papers, outlines the cycle as a three-stage process:

  • First, entitlement creates a constant vulnerability to unmet expectations
  • Unmet expectations then lead to dissatisfaction and other volatile emotions
  • Emotional distress demands a remedy, leading to the reinforcement of superiority

Julie Exline, co-author of the study and a professor of psychological sciences at Case Western Reserve, said:

“Reassurance stemming from entitlement can provide temporary relief from the very distress caused by entitlement,”

But these benefits are short-lived; long-term consequences associated with entitled behavior include poor relationships, interpersonal conflicts and depression.

Us And Them

“The entire mindset pits someone against other people,” Exline said. “When people think that they should have everything they want — often for nothing — it comes at the cost of relationships with others and, ultimately, their own happiness.”

Previous studies show entitlement is on the rise, so-called “millennials” see themselves as generally more entitled than previous generations. Entitled traits have an especially fertile breeding ground in the strong current of individualism valued by American society and culture, Exline says, though pinning blame for the phenomenon is difficult.

And while there is no clear path for a person to break out of the cycle of entitled behavior, previous research shows that traits of humility and gratitude can protect against the distress associated with entitlement.

By creating a sense of safety and security, psychologists have helped entitled people feel more connected to others by finding common ground in the limitations and suffering present in all human lives.

“Yet, this may be too much to ask,” Grubbs said. “It’s often unacceptable for entitled people to consider they are not the exception to the rule.”

Source

The same sense of entitlement pervades the ranks of Hillary Clinton supporters, from Google to Goldman Sachs to ghettoes of the inner cities.

Feminists, lefty political activists, greens, felons, and other rock solid, ready-to-cheat supporters of the Hillary Clinton candidacy find it entirely unacceptable to consider that they are not the exception to every rule. Should Clinton be elected US president, it might be prudent to prepare for the very worst that a tsunami of entitled incompetents can bring.

Posted in Hillary Clinton, Politics, Psychopaths | Tagged ,

Trump Overcoming Media Bias; US Elections a Big Headache

Donald Trump Ahead of Clinton in Rasmussen Presidential Poll

At the close of a week that began with him trailing by seven points, Donald Trump still holds a slight lead over Hillary Clinton in today’s White House Watch survey despite a flurry of news reports alleging a history of sexual harassment on his part.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Trump with 43% support to Clinton’s 41%. __ Rasmussenreports.com

The US newsmedia is working almost uniformly in lockstep to portray Trump in a negative light. But despite months of solid negative attacks by media, Trump continues to stay nearly even with a physically weak Hillary Clinton.

The US Elections are Taking a Toll on Most American Voters

Researched showed Thursday that the 2016 Presidential Election can be causing people headaches and illness.

Clinical Psychologist, Dr. Sheila Raja is not shocked by the survey, stating more than half of Americans are significantly stressed by the presidential election.

The American Psychological Association said men and women, both Democrats and Republicans feel the pressure nearly equally. ___ Research Shows Voters are Stressed

Hillary Will Continue the Assault Against the US Constition; Trump ???

No one knows what a President Trump would do once inaugurated, but a President Hillary Clinton would no doubt continue Barack Obama’s headlong assault against the US Constitution and the few freedoms that Americans still enjoy. The national debt has almost doubled under Obama, and under Clinton we can expect more of the same, except worse. As with Obama, the non-productive will be rewarded and the productive will be punished. And corruption under the Clintons will be like nothing the US has ever seen.

Americans Must Already Deal With a $4 Trillion Regulatory Load

Tax Code Complexity Visual Capitalist

Tax Code Complexity
Visual Capitalist

If all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail. Regulators add new regulations to “solve” problems, but there is much less political will to actually go back and sort through any outdated, ineffective, or convoluted regulations of the past.

Over time, this has created a massive regulatory burden that continues to snare the growth potential of many industries. According to one study, the cumulative effect creates a burden with a dollar value greater than the GDP of many of the world’s largest economies… Regulatory Burden in the U.S. is a Whopping $4 Trillion[!] ___ http://www.visualcapitalist.com/regulatory-burden-u-s-4-trillion/

An overtaxed, over-regulated economy is like dinner on the table for corrupt persons such as the Clintons and their friends. Just as Obama transferred dozens of $billions to political supporters under the name of “economic stimulus,” the Clintons will almost certainly transfer hundreds of $billions to friends and supporters under whatever names they choose.

No wonder so many Americans are feeling stressed. With Trump they get a great big question mark, and with Clinton they get certain economic and political disaster.

Would This Be a Good Time for “The Revolution?”

Absolutely not. The US continues to provide economic opportunity, world class higher education and research, and a large interactive playing field of innovative R&D, that no other nation can come close to matching. The reason that parasites such as Soros and the Clintons hang around the US is because that is where the money and the action tend to be over the long run.

China cannot build advanced military turbine engines, and Russia is falling hopelessly behind in several cutting edge sectors of high technology. These enemies of freer peoples should not be given moral support by internal turmoil and violence within Europe and the Anglosphere — if it can be helped.

But overregulation, overtaxation, and a suffocating political correctness are combining to make it far more difficult to find and exploit opportunities as they arise. Working, middle, and professional classes are being squeezed, while the politically connected are raking in the spoils, thanks to growing corruption in government. Slipshod — and downright suicidal — immigration policies open the door to freeloaders, criminals, terrorists, and untrainable perpetual welfare recipients.

It is Never Too Late to Have a Dangerous Childhood

Hope for the best, but prepare for the worst. During the dark days of the US Carter administration and its immediate aftermath, the world was convinced that the US was finished, and that the USSR would win the cold war. But after just 8 years of President Reagan, the US experienced an abrupt resurgence in prosperity and influence that was unpredictable to the wisest of media, government, and academic pundits prior to its occurrence.

Germany was soon united, long-occupied nations of Central and Eastern Europe were self-liberated, and the USSR — that gross bloody abomination among nations — experienced its first of what are likely to be many shatterings.

Trump’s chances are much more sketchy than were Reagan’s at this stage, and his promise is based more on populist wishful thinking and less on sound political philosophy and economics. Americans should not count on a similar rescue and resurgence from that direction.

Sometimes Ugly Situations Must Play Themselves Out

One must always do his best to prevent obvious catastrophes, and to prepare for inadvertent disaster. “Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.”

Many Americans felt that two terms under President Obama — with the corruption, doubling of national debt, weakening of almost every aspect of the nation — represented the “worst” to be expected. But now most of those are having second thoughts, with the coming of Hillary Parkinson and her political machine of reavers. After 8 years of Obama, America is weak, and ripe for another vampire attack.

In such a worse case, Americans and people of Europe and the Anglosphere would need to learn to work together unofficially, outside of government. “The government is not the country,” and that has never been more true than today. Parallel infrastructure must be built across the full spectrum of critical needs.

Corrupt elites have worked tirelessly for decades to make western people dependent upon governments for virtually all of their basic needs. And after the 20th century turmoil of wars and revolutions, the people have typically accepted the role of sheep without complaint, as if being sheep came naturally to them.

Now, those who are capable must swim against that tide to utilise disruptive innovation for purposes of parallel infrastructure of all types. Only then will they be able to act independently for their own well-being, rather than exclusively for the well-being of the corrupt, thieving, ruling elites.

Posted in Disruptive Technologies, Hillary Clinton, innovation, Politics | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

It’s All Part of the Plan Part II

In part I of this series, we took a quick look at ways in which Russia is being actively dismantled by its historical victims.

Butchering the Bear Source

Butchering the Bear
Source

The Separatist Spirit is Strong in the Urals, Siberia, the North Caucasus, Russian Manchuria, Russian Occupied Karelia, and Several Other Regions in the Unstable Russian Empire

Payback Time for Fading Muskovite Empire

The bloody bully Moscow has made itself the hated and feared enemy of dozens of peoples from China to Central/Eastern/Northern Europe to Ukraine, to diverse peoples spread across Siberia, Central Asia, and as far south as Afghanistan and the middle east. Now, an explosive force of separation and payback is building against the rapidly weakening empire of oppression.

“Urals separatism is based on social injustice: 12,000 works at the factory there live like trash while those running the company from Moscow receive the profit, giving high salaries to 300 employees and paying taxes in Moscow but not in the Urals. And there’s no money to build roads in the Urals.” __ Quoted from a text in response to http://ura.ru/news/1052264225Source

Why Would Ukraine Aid Separatists in Cossakia and the Siberian State Union?

According to Artishchenko, last weekend the Presidential Administration of Ukraine convened a conference of separatists from the Urals, Siberia and Krasnodar kray that was attended on the Ukrainian side by radical Oleg Lyashko, through whose party Kyiv wants to finance “’Cossackia’” and “’the Siberian State Union.

Journalists weren’t invited, the Russian commentator says; but he said he was able to learn that Ukrainian officials proposed that the regionalists from Russia introduce their own currency and thus be in a better position to insist that not all the wealth of their regions ends up in Moscow’s hands.

One of the ideas floated at the meeting, Artishchenko continues, was “the creation of ‘a Union of Russian Lands’ without Moscow.” Real Russians would thus have their own country that would instantly become wealthier, and Moscow would have its own state, albeit much smaller and much poorer. __ Source

Much of the above information is fed by Artishchenko’s paranoia, but the fact remains that Russia — by virtue of its innate preexisting fragmentation — is inherently vulnerable. When Russia’s enemies finally do decide to give separatists-from-the-empire more than simple moral support, things could get interesting for the Muskovite oppression.

Future Map of the Former Russian Empire Azeri Daily

Future Map of the Former Russian Empire
Azeri Daily


The Guardian article Separatism From Siberia to Kaliningrad looks at a few separatist sentiments that were already floating around in the days before hard times hit the bear. Since then, things have grown progressively worse for all parts of Russia, except those sectors which are intensively involved in weapons manufacture, propaganda, and espionage.

But thanks to recession and infrastructure collapse, separatist movements in the empire span from Vladivlastok to Kaliningrad, reaching down into the North Caucasus and once again into Crimea.

The Empire is Dying Piece by Piece

Clockwise L to R: anna-politkovskaya-aleksandr-litvinenko-natalya-estimirova-galina-starovoitova-vladislav-listyev-boris-nemtsov RFERL.org

Clockwise L to R: anna-politkovskaya-aleksandr-litvinenko-natalya-estimirova-galina-starovoitova-vladislav-listyev-boris-nemtsov
Source

“I understand,” Glukhovsky says, “those who march in columns, and I understand those who put their heads in the sand.” They simply want to live their lives without problems. Only those like Anna Politkovskaya and Boris Nemtsov are prepared to show courage to make changes and to shame those of us who don’t follow their lead.

People in every country, including in Russia, “are born free and unique.” It is only after birth that Russians have given up on freedom. “I do not want to believe that [Russia] really is condemned to be an imperial colony,” he concludes. Its enormous territory “can be a space of justice and freedom. But we need to deserve it.” Right now, that isn’t the case. __ Source

Putin is trying to hold onto power in the only way his atrophied KGB mindset will allow. But everything he does makes Russia weaker, and the collapse more certain.

… the only thing that frightens Putin more than being overthrown in a colored revolution is being toppled by a palace coup like Khrushchev was back in 1964.

That’s why he’s obsessed with conspiracies, both foreign and domestic.

That’s why he goes to great lengths to project an image of strength and an aura of invincibility. __ Source

Putin’s bloody Syrian adventure, which showcases the wholesale massacre of civilians and destruction of civilian infrastructure, impresses small minded persons with no historical perspective and no understanding of underlying Russian decline. It also helps to sell Russian weaponry to the budget minded and undiscriminating customer.

China is moving in to dominate Central Asia economically, politically, and militarily. It is likely that China will also exert dominance over the farflung remnants of the lost Russian empire. It can thus accomplish control over Siberia without the need for an invasion of any kind.

More:

Kremlin Feeling Panic

Putin beginning to crack mentally?

Necessary economic reform just isn’t going to happen

Putin no longer has a choice but to lie

Russia is toxic from the top downward

Russia becoming another North Korea

Posted in Russia, Russian Collapse, Russian Decline | Tagged

German Bundesrat Moves Closer to Banning Human Beings

CO2 Emissions Almost Entirely of Natural Origin IPCC via NTZ

CO2 Emissions Almost Entirely of Natural Origin
IPCC via NTZ


The German legislature has voted to ban all motor vehicles — except “zero-emission” vehicles — by the year 2030. As we see from the graphic above, almost all CO2 emissions come from natural sources, including human beings. It makes no sense to ban CO2-emitting vehicles while allowing greenhouse gas-emitting humans to walk around unhindered.

Germany’s Use of Coal for Electricity Generation is Rising

Hypocritical Greens Secretly Depend on Coal

Hypocritical Greens Secretly Depend on Coal


Germany attempted to reduce its “carbon footprint” while also shutting down nuclear power plants, banning fracking, and instituting other counterproductive measures — including a rapid buildup of wind and solar grid penetration. The result of this madness is a rise in coal use and CO2 production — the opposite of their aims.

Germany Raises the Madness to a New Level

German Wind Power Fails

German Wind Power Fails
Volatility plays havoc with the electric grid

The Germans’ demented plunge into power grid over-reliance on unreliable, low-quality energy sources was bad enough. Low income Germans are paying a much higher proportion of their incomes for heat and power, and are caught in a deteriorating quality of life trap. Meanwhile, Germany’s greens exult in their newfound power to inflict hardship on the middle and lower classes, and refuse to face the fact that their own policies have resulted in rising CO2 emissions. And the pain from Germany’s Energiewende extends across borders into other parts of Europe.

Power Grid Frequency Control Basics

Supply and demand of electrical power must always be kept in balance. This is done through a mechanism called droop speed control. The power generators in a grid are synchronous, i.e. operating at the same frequency. When demand for power increases, the generators in the grid slow down a little bit and the frequency goes down. This is detected in the power stations, and the production of the generators is increased to compensate. As a result, the frequency of the grid is kept close to 50 Hz and at the same time power production is kept in balance with power demand. A more detailed explanation can be found in this article about power grid principles.

The point is that the frequency of the grid depends on the balance between supply and demand. Although the grid operators keep the momentary frequency close to 50 Hz, they don’t even try to keep the average frequency at 50 Hz. The primary purpose of frequency control is load balancing…
__ http://jorisvr.nl/article/grid-frequency

But the reality is far more complex, with frequency, voltage, and phase all held in a critical balance. Any significant sustained deviation from this critically dynamic balance would be catastrophic to the grid, and to society as a whole. Most Greens probably understand that there is a problem with their scheme somewhere. But since they do not feel personally threatened, they simply do not care about the consequences of their own rigid, ideologically-bound policies.

A More Detailed and Technical Look at the Critical Power Grid Balance — A Matter of Life or Death

This basic technical primer looks at some of the ways that simple power grids maintain frequency, phase locking, voltage. and load balancing. At the end it briefly discusses both the “promise” and the peril of “smart grids.” Remember that the proof is in the pudding. Promises are cheap, but actual results tell the tale.

Germany’s leaders promised castles in the sky from the adoption of Energiewende. The actual results were higher use of coal, higher CO2 emissions, and higher retail costs of power to ordinary Germans already under strain from disastrous government policies of immigration and economics. The Energiewende compromise between the Christian Democrats and the Greens threatens to break the back of Germany.

A simple power grid simulator applet is provided here. The applet will apparently not work with Chrome browser, but should work with others. The applet is meant to allow students to experiment with load balancing in a simple grid with just a few loads and sources. Notice that the coal, gas, and hydro power stations can be adjusted to match loads. The wind farm is subject to erratic starts and stops, and thus presents a very ugly problem to any realistic power grid or power grid simulation. The nuclear power plant is meant to provide steady “baseload” power, since nuclear power provides the safest and most economical source of constant power.

Power Grid Simulation Applet Screen Capture Source

Power Grid Simulation Applet Screen Capture
Source

Here is another free power dispatch simulator, available for download to Windows. But always be careful of computer models and computer simulations which seem to be trying to sell something. The Wartsila simulator claims to provide support for new load balancing tools that painlessly integrate unpredictable and intermittent supplies such as big wind and big solar into a critically balanced dynamic grid. But if it were that easy, we would not see green power grids in South Australia repeatedly failing, and nations such as Denmark, Spain, Germany, and other nations in Europe are beginning to cautiously step back from some of their earlier green extremism — to prevent green catastrophe.

Reliable electric power means life or death for modern societies. That is why it is so surprising that national governments such as Germany’s are willing to risk the future of their nations and peoples on a bad gamble such as deep penetration of big wind and big solar into a delicately balanced power grid.

Always remember: Feeding erratic energy into the foundation of modern societies is an invitation to disaster:

Wind is Dangerously Unreliable with Unpredictable Stops and Starts that Trigger Abrupt Grid Instability Source

Wind is Dangerously Unreliable with Unpredictable Stops and Starts that Trigger Abrupt Grid Instability
Source

Germany forced to back away from idiotic Energiewende plans . . . But the MIT Technology Review article fogs over the truth of why Germany must step back from utter stupidity: Wind and solar are unreliable, unpredictable, and subject to large surges and equally abrupt dropoffs. Power grids are not built to accomodate potentially catastrophic caprice on this scale.

Unleashing safer, newer, more affordable, more reliable nuclear power makes sense — the moronic green Bundesrat policies do not.

Balance and the grid

Defense of Fossil Fuels

The Command & Control Center of Climate Alarmism

Posted in Climate, Electrical Power Grid, Energy, Germany, Green Quagmire | Tagged ,

Watch the US Presidential Debates Closely

Is That a “Pill-Rolling Tremor” I see?

Watch the video analysis of the first presidential debate below closely. Ted Noel MD introduces some background information on some tricks of compensating for Parkinson’s disease, then highlights some interesting debate phenomena which casual viewers are likely to have missed.

Hillary is playing the big game for very high stakes. She has been at the epicentre of a powerful political machine for several decades now. These people know how to play the game. And they know how to play everyone who counts, including the media and the public masses.

The flashlit walk out to the waiting vehicle is especially interesting. Notice how Hillary’s path is flashlit all the way to the door of her vehicle, even after she and Bill parted paths.

The video below is even more intriguing, as Dr. Noel discovers news media shenanigans by NBC News in its coverage of the Hillary campaign. Watch and learn:

Now that you know a few of the compensating and misleading tricks used by the Clinton campaign and the professional news media to cover up Hillary’s underlying health status, you will know better what to watch for in future debates and public appearances.

How Will the US Public React Once they Discover that They Had Been Intentionally Misled All This Time?

Your guess is as good as mine. We can remember how Italians treated Mussolini, and how Romanians treated Ceausescu, once the jigs were up. Americans tend to be kinder to their miscreants, particularly those who turn out to be invalids.

Watch closely, and be ready for anything.

Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.

More:

In the latest US presidential debate, flies were landing on Hillary’s face and shirt. Flies are less disruptive than buzzards would have been, but the idea that Hillary may be closing in on her final chapter was communicated by nature nonetheless.

On a more serious note, Hillary spent most of her non-speaking time sitting on the stool whereas Trump stood throughout the debate. Definite head nodding could be seen, hints of pill-rolling were spotted — the few times the cameras dared to show Hillary’s hands when she was resting. She grew tired during the last half hour, and began to exhibit early signs of “brain freeze.”

Verdict: Close call for Hillary in the second debate, but overall she managed to compensate reasonably well for her state of health. We will wait and see whether her medical team can keep her going long enough to survive the third and final debate.

Posted in Hillary Clinton, Media, Politics | Tagged ,

Robin Hood in Reverse: Buffett, Gates, Zuckerberg, Brin Steal From the Poor

Electricity Prices Set to Skyrocket Thanks to Rich Green Cronies

We see it happening in Germany, Canada, South Australia, Spain, and wherever else it has been tried. Rapid politically-driven construction of big wind and big solar projects drives up the cost of retail electrical power, hurting the poor and benefiting the well-connected green-crony rich.

It’s not the demand for more electricity that’s driving construction [of giant wind farms], but rather the government’s preferential tax treatment and counterintuitive energy mandates… Warren Buffett has admitted as much. In 2014 he explained: “I will do anything that is basically covered by the law to reduce Berkshire’s tax rate [. . .] We get a tax credit if we build a lot of wind farms. That’s the only reason to build them. They don’t make sense without the tax credit.”

The winners? Warren Buffett; MidAmerican Energy’s other investors; and Facebook, Microsoft, and Google—MidAmerican’s biggest customers, who will receive tax benefits of their own for using wind energy. The losers? Taxpayers and other ratepayers footing the bill. __ The Hill

High Priced Unreliable Green Energy Drives Out Industry and Jobs

https://stopthesethings.com/2016/05/03/wind-power-in-germany-the-perfect-example-of-an-energy-fiasco/

Germany… has spent more than €200 billion on its Energiewende and, thereby, sent its power prices through the roof and its meaningful industries packing
https://stopthesethings.com/2016/05/03/wind-power-in-germany-the-perfect-example-of-an-energy-fiasco/


From Germany with love:
All of this – the job losses, the unreliable power supply, the astonishing amounts of spending that could top €1 trillion over the coming decades, and the rising coal emissions to boot – amounts to one of the more monumental blunders of modern governance.

Berlin likes to think of itself as a green-energy example to the rest of the world. It sure is.
Wall Street Journal __ Source

We Expect this Corruption and Stupidity from Obama; Hillary Promises More of the Same

Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton’s plan to install half a billion solar panels by the end of her prospective first term will increase electricity prices for American families, according to a study by the free market Institute for Energy Research (IER).

Researchers found Clinton’s plan would increase power price through expanding a solar subsidy, called net metering, which forces utilities to buy the electricity produced by rooftop solar panels often at two to six times the market price. Net metering also forces people who don’t own rooftop solar panels to pay more to maintain the grid.

IER’s findings closely mirror those of a 2015 study by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) that found rooftop solar subsides increase costs and the business model isn’t viable without government support.

__ http://dailycaller.com/2016/10/06/heres-why-hillarys-half-a-billion-solar-panels-plan-will-increase-energy-prices/

In fact, neither big wind nor big solar are viable without massive, never-ending government support. Both forms of energy are intermittent and unreliable, and free markets would have nothing to do with either without forceful big-government policies that result in ever-rising energy costs to energy consumers.

If you want to know who to thank for your life getting more complicated and less affordable, look to green politicians, green activists, and green cronies in corporations such as Microsoft, Facebook, Google, and Berkshire Hathaway.

Another listing of wealthy thieves from The Green Corruption Files:
George Soros
George Kaiser
Elon Musk
Warren Buffet
Pritzker Group
Heather Podesta
Tony Podesta
Steve Westly
Steve Farber
Ken Salazar
Spinner, Steve
Google Executives
Solarcity Corp

Such people and economic entities are willing to steal from ordinary power consumers for big tax breaks and corrupt government contracts — and sometimes just because they feel good doing it. And don’t forget Zuckerberg, Brin, and Gates. Robin Hood in reverse, indeed.

Follow the money, and more

Currently, 29 states have renewable portfolio standards mandating utilities to generate a certain percentage of their electricity from sources such as wind and solar. On the federal level, the Environmental Protection Agency’s recent carbon regulations—if eventually upheld by the Supreme Court—will shutter many traditional power plants, leaving wind farms to take their place.

In other words, government policy is doing everything in its power to set the stage for wind. Those investing in wind stand to reap guaranteed profits, while taxpayers and ratepayers have to pay more in the end. In terms of tax dollars, the production tax credit for wind is estimated to cost taxpayers $13.8 billion between 2014 and 2018. Energy mandates, meanwhile, will drive up electricity prices as traditional energy sources are phased out for costlier power provided by wind and solar. __ http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/energy-environment/299405-iowa-wind-farm-generates-more-tax-credits-than

We are Not Recommending Direct Action Against Corrupt Green Politicians and Cronies

Violence begets violence, and should be avoided even as a last resort, if possible. But clearly, those who increase the suffering of the majority of their fellow countrymen just for corrupt coin, should pay a penalty. And make no mistake: What these greens are doing amounts to a type of genocide of modern societies — intentional or not.

Stay alert and be prepared. Green corruption is profitable, and with the assistance of news and entertainment media wraps itself in glitter and “good intentions” to amuse and deceive the masses. Try not to fall into its net of deception and decline. The development of parallel infrastructure is no longer just an option, but a necessity.

Never forget: The quality and reliability of electrical power is what makes modern life possible

Corrupt big wind and big solar energy projects not only raise retail power prices, they threaten the integrity of power supplies to vital infrastructure. Just a few days without electrical power could turn a modern city into an inferno. That is the thing that Hillary, Obama, Zuckerberg, Brin, Buffett, Michael Dell, Elon Musk, and George Soros are flirting with, for ideological and monetary motives.

If you want to frighten these green billionaire welfare-dependents, threaten to take away their government subsidies. Then stand back and watch the stampede away from the huge government-instigated misallocation of society’s resources.

Reading:

25 pp PDF Utah State University report on unreliability of wind energy

Green energy disaster widespread and ongoing

Wind and Solar Unreliable

Articles on wind power

Rod Adams on unreliable, costly wind and solar

Posted in Green Quagmire | Tagged , ,

Where the People Are; Where They Will Be

Where the People Are:

Where the People Are Source

Where the People Are
Source

To start, we’ve used 2016 information on population. There are now at least 3.8 billion people living inside the highlighted circle, and that’s not even including the tally from countries that are partially in the circle like Pakistan or Russia.

The circle holds 22 of the world’s 37 megacities – massive cities that hold at least 10 million inhabitants. It also includes the five most populous cities on the planet: Tokyo, Jakarta, Seoul, Karachi, and Shanghai, which alone combine to hold 144.5 million people.

This geographical region also holds many of the emerging markets of the future, countries that the World Economic Forum expects will lead global growth in years to come. Vietnam, Myanmar, Philippines, Indonesia, and Bangladesh are in the area highlighted, and Pakistan is partially there as well. __ http://www.visualcapitalist.com/majority-worlds-population-lives-circle/

Where they will be:

Fastest Growing Cities Source

Fastest Growing Cities
Source

The world’s fastest growing megacity? It’s Lagos, Nigeria and Fortune calls it the “Big Apple of Africa”. In the 1970s it had a measly 2 million people, but today it boasts 16 million people… __ http://www.visualcapitalist.com/mapped-the-worlds-fastest-growing-cities/

1950 to 2060: World’s Most Populous Countries

Courtesy of: Visual Capitalist

African countries move up the list. Europe loses rank rapidly. Russia drops off the list never to return. Global average population IQ in decline.

Average Global Human IQ in Decline

Average Global Human IQ in Decline

More on global IQ trends at Fourmilab

Current global IQ average scores by nation:

A world mostly populated with people of “below average intelligence” by current standards, is likely to be a more violent, more impoverished, less innovative world in decline. As the more advanced nations of the world lose the ability to underwrite food supplies, health care, and peacekeeping in the third world, expect to see some catastrophic reversals in population growth.

Multiple wars on the Eurasian land mass are virtually guaranteed during this time of turbulent transition. Demographic decline and a self-neutering of most European male populations combined with an open-door policy toward violent, low IQ immigrants, sets the stage for decades of future violence and population replacement from Spain to Russia.

Posted in Africa, Demographics, Megacities | Tagged ,

The Gamble

Robin Williams and Lewy Body Dementia Credit: Peter Kramer, Getty Images

Robin Williams and Lewy Body Dementia
Credit: Peter Kramer, Getty Images

You’ve got to know when to hold ’em, know when to fold ’em,
Know when to walk away, know when to run.
You never count your money when you’re sittin’ at the table,
There’ll be time enough for countin’ when the dealin’s done.

The Gambler by Don Schlitz, made famous by Kenny Rogers

When actor/comedian Robin Williams learned that he was losing his mind to a form of dementia that accompanies Parkinson’s Disease, he had enough wits to know that the game was up. Up until that point, his life gamble had paid off enormously well in terms of fame, fortune, and a huge body of accomplishment left behind to posterity.

Williams’ wife, Susan, recently went public to reveal the behind-the-scenes anguish of the final months of the world renowned funny man:

“Robin was losing his mind and he was aware of it. Can you imagine the pain he felt as he experienced himself disintegrating?” the actor’s widow, Susan Schneider Williams, wrote in a wrenching editorial published this week in the journal Neurology…

… Susan Williams has previously blamed Lewy body dementia for her husband’s death by suicide in 2014. About 1.3 million Americans have the disease, which is caused by protein deposits in the brain. Williams was diagnosed with Parkinson’s disease a few months before he died; the telltale signs of Lewy body dementia in his brain were not discovered until an autopsy.

“My husband was trapped in the twisted architecture of his neurons and no matter what I did I could not pull him out,” Susan Williams wrote. __ Lewy Body Dementia’s Grip on Robin Williams

Robin Williams died by his own hands at age 63, choosing to fold and walk away from the game while the choice was still his own.

Who Wants to Live Forever?

Someone already born will ‘live to 1,000 and immortality IS possible’ __ Aubrey de Grey

But even if de Grey is correct in his assertion, something needs to be done about dementia. Otherwise, the longer we live, the higher our ultimate risk of losing our minds to degenerative brain diseases.

Risk of Dementia Rises with Age Source

Risk of Dementia Rises with Age
Source

Life is Always a Gamble

There are no guarantees, no iron-clad promises. Life isn’t fair and no amount of outrage or wishful thinking will cause your life to fall complete and perfect into your lap for all time. Everything breaks down, and nothing lasts forever.

You can try to live forever through your accomplishments. Comedian Woody Allen rejected that approach:

“I don’t want to achieve immortality through my work; I want to achieve immortality through not dying. I don’t want to live on in the hearts of my countrymen; I want to live on in my apartment.” __ Woody Allen

But although Woody is still working, he is also still ageing.


Some will try to live through their children’s accomplishments. In a sense, that is what the human condition is all about. But as we can see through the repetitive rise and fall of empires throughout human history, no one has gotten it right. And if simple logic and demography do not mislead, the entire human race is in terminal decline.

Hold ’em or Fold ’em?

It takes a lot of courage to bluff the entire universe in this cosmic poker game. But as necessary as courage may be, it is often overrated. Consider Gallipoli in WWI, the “charge of the light brigade” in the Crimeam War, Pickett’s Charge in the American Civil War, and other countless futile and suicidal enterprises that courage facilitated. We need courage, but in the small games within the big game we must know when to walk away, so as to be able to play again.

What are We Doing Here?

Extending human lifespan is for nought if humans cannot understand what it is they are supposed to be doing. The same goes for raising new broods of smarter, stronger, more innovative younglings. If the entire project is groping blindly in the dark night, what is the point?

Humans are animals, and like other animals they are creatures of instinct. But unlike other animals, humans can imagine alternative futures for themselves and their progeny, in some detail. Still, by and large most humans are thrown into the great gamble without planning, forethought, or preparation.

Those who are born into more prosperous and generous societies are typically shielded from some of the harsher aspects of ordinary life, and may pass on to their offspring a naivete and gullibility — a softness — that guarantees the eventual downfall of that society. Good intentions are often the most destructive.

Humans who are thrown into brutal and depraved societies are more likely to learn that the cutthroat approach to life makes the most sense, and will naturally do whatever is necessary to disarm and destroy the adversary.

Both approaches have been tried and found wanting over and over again since the beginning of human groupings. Taking a clear look at these innumerable failed gambles, what conclusions are we to draw? Is the entire enterprise futile from beginning to end?

Not according to the intrepid thinkers at the Al Fin Institutes. Those who brought you The Next Level, The Society for Creative Apocalyptology, The Dangerous Child Method of Education and Child-Raising, and other nascent and more secretive projects, have no intention of going peacefully into the dark night.

The gamble is something we are born into, within a casino of cosmic dimensions. The outcomes of the games we play are influenced by other games being played far and wide, across space and time.

More later…

Posted in Cognition, Demographics, Future | Tagged

Imbalance Leads to Instability Leads to War

Weakness Feeds into Imbalance in Positive Feedback Loop

Warning: For reasons mentioned in passing below — and for other reasons not mentioned — everything the would-be superpower tries to do to project strength, is simply making it weaker in every way that is important… And more out of balance, more unstable… Leading it ever closer to war.

Russian industry is desperately short of skilled workers; that there is also a shortage, though less critical, in the supply of qualified engineers (reported by about one third of businesses surveyed by Kuvalin and Moiseev, 2014), and that the best and brightest S&T [Science and Technology] graduates continue to leave Russia in significant numbers. [18] Russian sources are quite open about the deficit of skilled workers and technical personnel, and increasingly have been willing to analyze the brain drain as a permanent rather than temporary or reversible phenomenon. __ Harley Balzer

The article excerpted above goes to great lengths describing Russia’s problems in science and technology, from the state-run Soviet-era Academy of Sciences through university to the fragile and threatened private sector. Russia has not only fallen behind first ranked nations in Europe and the Anglosphere, it has also slipped behind second-rank nations such as China.

” by the end of this century according to the mid-range scenario, if the current trends continue, there will remain a little more than half of the current population – about 80 million people.”

Source

Russian Demographic Decline is an Open Secret, Hotly Denied by Propagandists

The country’s most recent census, carried out in 2010, found that the national population had shrunk by nearly 3 percent in the preceding eight years, to 142.9 million. [42] This decline is expected to continue. In 2012, official Kremlin estimates projected that—based upon then-prevailing trend lines—the nation’s population would dwindle to just 107 million by mid-century. [43] More recent prognoses have reached similar conclusions. RANEPA’s 2015 report concludes that, without remedial action from the Russian state, the country’s population could shrink to 113 million by 2050, a decrease of more than 20 percent from today’s figures. [44] Moreover, in a worst-case scenario, RANEPA predicts that Russia’s population could constrict by nearly a third, to 100 million, before mid-century. [45]

As this trend continues, the Russian state will find it increasingly difficult to maintain control over its current territorial boundaries, raising the possibility of a reduction in the overall size of the Russian state. __ Ilan Berman

Other Russian demographers are not so optimistic, and expect the Russian population to be cut nearly in half by 2065. Once the point of no return is passed, the decline tends to accelerate. Mortality is rising, and officials are contemplating a ban on abortion, a reduction in marriage age to 14 years old for girls, and even “unofficial” second marriages. Source

Russia is a huge land mass, virtually indefencible. As the population shrinks and falls away, longsuffering, long-trampeled neighbors of Russia are likely to fill the vacuum.

Two Russias: The Security Apparatus, and the Serf Economy in Decline

Russia’s current defense industry is regressing by imposing unfocused capabilities upon the state rather than what it actually needs. Certainly the industries comprising this sector, grouped as they are into major state corporations, are honeycombed with corruption and have been for years. Both Western and Russian analysts see them as being inherently economically dysfunctional organizations whose chief purpose is money laundering and the acquisition and/or distribution of corrupt rents, much like the rest of the economy. [38] More recently, according to their own financial statements, their performance has been abysmal, testifying to the corrosive effects of congenital rent seeking and corruption throughout the defense sector and the overall economy. [39]

Thus, these industries are inherently suboptimal economic performers and a growing burden on an economy plagued by sanctions and shrinking growth. Shrinking growth is bad enough, but sanctions choke off access to credit, superior technologies and knowhow, and investment.

… given the absence of real growth since 2012, if not earlier, and the sanctions regime whose impact is considerably more than the government will admit (as shown by its diplomatic efforts to eliminate them), rising defense spending may prove to be unsustainable while the economy is shrinking. Indeed, we have good reason to believe that structural militarization is occurring. The late Vitaly Shlykov (former co-chair of Russia’s Defense Council) coined the term structural militarization to suggest that excessive defense spending is an institutionalized aspect of the Soviet and Russian economic system. [28] If this trend is not reversed or at least checked and absent substantial growth in other sectors besides energy—which in any case would largely stem from rising energy prices that could fund major defense projects—then over time the economy could well be strained to the utmost if not beyond. Therefore spending on the rest of the economy could become progressively less tolerable over time. [29] __ Stephen Blank

Putin is Writing Checks that Russia’s Banks Will Not Be Able to Cash

… it turns out that the centerpiece of these Crimean infrastructure projects, the bridge over the Kerch Peninsula connecting Crimea to the Russian Federation, cannot be paid for. [43]

Ultimately, the fundamental problem in realizing Russia’s foreign policy objectives in Asia, including its great power status, is the nature of its political system. And that includes the ideological representations of it as being a strong state with a “power vertical.” As innumerable authors have shown, the state is the private plaything of a small number of elites who cannot govern Russia and are more interested in exploiting the country than in developing or governing it. [44] To quote the Bulgarian analyst Ivan Krastev, “Russia has not engaged in capacity building but in incapacity hiding.” [45] Especially in Asia, where the name of the game is the linkage between enhanced capacity and economic development, this kind of masquerade ruins any hope of improving one’s position. __ Russia’s Decline in the Far East

Russia is running through its reserves with no indication that it can stop the hemorrhaging of cash before the tank reaches empty. Infrastructure built up during Soviet years is quickly crumbling from a neglectful inner circle, too busy stuffing its own pockets and jealously guarding its illusory power.

Regardless of bold statements and clever media-cover, Russian plans to re-emerge as a global player face significant limitations and obstacles in all crucial areas such as availability of military bases in foreign countries, financing, blue-water navy, strategic bombers and military-industrial bases. Under such circumstances, recent actions by the Kremlin are a result of fear, rather than a projection of real power backed by a strong military and an effective economy. __ Source

And as we have seen from the articles excerpted above, Russia has good reason to fear what time is bringing her.

Russia is a Regional Rather than a Global Power

Hollowed Shell of Former Potemkin Greatness

Hollowed Shell of Former Potemkin Greatness



Russia’s conventional forces are pale shadows of what the USSR could command. And it is becoming tougher for Russia’s military industries to keep up with an increasingly technology-dependent world of munitions. Teething pains are normal for new weapons systems. But for a country like Russia that is falling behind demographically, technologically, academically, and geopolitically, catching up can become an impossible task.

This was not the first time that something has gone wrong with the Bulava [new ICBM]: 8 out of 26 launches of the missile have been unsuccessful.

… according to an RBTH source in the Russian defense industry, the heaviest and most powerful Russian intercontinental ballistic missile, the R-36M2 Voevoda, also exploded in the air and fell during the first 30 trials … __ Russia Always Has Trouble With Ballistic Missiles

Russian defence factories can still crank out a high volume of weapons. But they are not necessarily the right weapons for the job that Russian politicians want done, and they won’t always work. Hence the Russian cruise missiles launched from the Caspian Sea toward Syria only to crash land in Iran, killing some cows. Shock and awe, certainly, but cows are easily awed.

At least the Syrian massacre of civilians has served as a fine promotional showcase for Russian weapons systems, which are less reliable, but are cheaper. With the price of oil & gas so much lower, and ever fewer young women to sell, the sale of weapons helps to prop up the system for a while longer.

The harder Russia tries to be a superpower, the worse its human infrastructure crumples under the strain. It is likely that Putin no longer has a choice but to play the game out to the bitter end. Putin can bluff the EU and Obama, and he could certainly bluff a President Hillary Clinton. But the bear can no longer bluff the dragon, not with any number of nuclear warheads.

Muskovites tend to live in a fantasy world, which Putin supplies with ample fantasies of imagined greatness. But the bear is surrounded by dozens of peoples who have been historical victims of Russia, and would like nothing better than to finally end the threat that Muskovy has posed for all this time. Russia is trying to be strong. But that is only making it weaker, and more unbalanced. Tragedy awaits.

“His tactical correctness led him to a series of major military successes, but his strategic mistake led to the final catastrophe” for himself and his country.

Speaking of Putin Hitler __ Source

Posted in Brain Drain, Demographics, Russian Decline | Tagged | 2 Comments

Shoddy Chinese Steel: Australia the Latest Chump

Why Did South Australia’s Power System Collapse and Blackout?

80% of fabricated steel from China is shoddy and not safe and fails Australian standards…[WTIA]

South Australia Power Outage Spring 2016 Source

South Australia Power Outage Spring 2016
Source


One of the reasons that South Australia suffered a recent grid collapse and blackout is the Chinese power transmission towers that collapsed under very slight load:
The SA Blackout was because the steel lattice towers buckled at just 83 kph. That’s 45 knots which on the Beaufort Wind Scale is rated at being a ‘strong gale’, not even a ‘storm’. They are supposed to have a wind design load of 193 kph or 104 knots. That is more than double the gusts that buckled them.

Welding Technology Institute of Australia (WTIA) says 80% of fabricated steel from China is shoddy and not safe and fails Australian standards.

__ http://australiafirstparty.net/sa-blackout-caused-by-chinese-steel/

South Australia’s rush to dependency on volatile wind power is another reason for the recent devastating power blackout. Political correctness strikes again! More

Chinese Steel is the World’s Problem

China is known for its shoddy construction and its disposable cities. Cheap Chinese steel is a large part of the problem. This inferior grade steel has insinuated itself into buildings, bridges, transmission line towers, and other construction across the Anglosphere, Europe, Africa, Latin America, and much of Asia.

Buckling of steel lattice towers happen all the time … in China. In 2007, many transmission lattice towers were buckled during strong wind excitation in Liaoning province, in 2010 five transmission lattice towers collapsed in strong wind in Guangdong province, then in 2013 several more were buckled during Typhoon Fitow in Zhejiang province, including the one below. It’s chinese BAU. Maybe they sent their dodgy towers to SA. __ Shoddy Chinese Steel is World Problem Now

But of course, a lot more structures than power pylons are collapsing due to cheap Chinese steel.

In the specific case of bridges, six have collapsed across China since July 2011. The official Xinhua news agency has acknowledged that shoddy construction and inferior building materials were contributing factors. There is also a cautionary tale much closer to home.

When California bought Chinese steel to renovate and expand the San Francisco-Oakland Bay Bridge, for a project that began in 2002, problems like faulty welds by a Chinese steel fabricator delayed the project for months and led to huge cost overruns. Those delays eroded much of the savings California was banking on when it opted for the “cheap” Chinese steel.

… Because of China’s subsidies — most of which are arguably illegal under international trade agreements — its producers are able to dump steel products into America at or below the actual cost of production. This problem is particularly acute now as China is saddled with massive overcapacity in its steel industry. __ Source

And when western buildings, bridges, tunnels, transmission towers, and other construction begins to collapse at the rate of their counterparts in China, perhaps government purchasing departments will begin to think their decisions through more carefully. If not, they can always be disciplined with extreme prejudice if necessary.

Chinese steel fails strength test in New Zealand

But a lot more is at risk besides buildings, bridges, tunnels, towers, highways, and other construction. Most of China’s economy revolves around construction and investment in construction. From huge state-owned enterprises to families and individuals, from regional government officials to shadow banks to Communist Party leaders at the highest rank, China’s economic present and future rest upon shoddy materials, sloppy construction, and slipshod financial arrangements — underwritten by regional and national economies.

Half the buildings currently being built in China are expected to be demolished within 20 years. China is still building ghost cities, which will soon enough be torn down to make way for more ghost cities.

Meanwhile, more and more of the wealth of the Chinese people is being invested in this gigantic scheme of revolving, expanding bubbles.

“Looking at the current average price [of real estate] and personal income in Shenzhen, it would take an average person more than 1,200 months—that is, 100 years—of not eating or drinking to afford a 90 square-meter house,” wrote investor Tang Jun, regarding the unaffordability of Shenzhen real estate.

“China has become an economic power, but the real estate market is a landmine, and the most frightening is that no one knows when it will detonate.” __ Source

Ordinary Chinese people are leveraging their life savings borrowing money to buy apartments in buildings that are unlikely to last 20 years. And the entire crazy cycle of build – demolish – rebuild adds to China’s GDP as if something productive were actually being done. Remind me again why the Chinese currency is so valuable.
More

Back Around to the South Australian Power Blackout

Yes, shoddy Chinese steel led to power transmission tower collapses, putting stress on the power grid. But the straw that broke the camel’s back was the South Australian government’s massive overdependence on intermittent unreliable wind energy. Large surges and dropoffs of power resulting from an over-penetration of intermittent, asynchronous power sources will lead to wild fluctuations in frequency and voltage on the grid. Even if a grid-wide failure does not occur, large monetary losses will accrue to power consumers — particularly industrial consumers.

That is no way to run a state (hint: Jerry Brown). And it is no way to run a country (hint: Angela Merkel). When your construction crumbles and your industry breaks down, you may as well apply for aid from the United Nations as a third world economically dependent state. That is the future for undiscriminating energy planners and careless buyers of steel. The combination of corruption, stupidity, and ideological blinding all threaten the future of the more developed world.

What do you suppose should be done about it?

Posted in China, Electrical Power Grid, Green Quagmire | Tagged | 2 Comments

What to do If You Win the Lottery

The odds are against you. But someone will win the next big lottery. If it happens to be you, wouldn’t you rather be prepared? Consider some advice from people whose job it is to guide recipients of unexpected windfalls. You may have use for the information someday.

The following is excerpted from a more extensive article on vice.com

What’s the first thing you should do if you have a winning lottery ticket?

First thing, you want to sign the back of it, because [a winning ticket] is what’s called a bearer instrument—technically whoever hands it in is declared the winner. If you sign the back of it, you secure that it is yours. And I tell the big jackpot winners to sign the back, but to leave some room above it, because if we decide to claim it in a trust fund or an LLC or any other kind of entity, you will be able to write the name of that entity above it, and then sign as a trustee or something like that. So sign the back, make a copy of it, and preferably put it in a safety deposit box, or hide it somewhere in your house.

Do you do this before you even contact the lottery commission?

I would, because every state is different when it comes to the process. On the big jackpots, you file an initial claim, and they’ll do a background check on you. But if you’re gonna wanna claim it as a trust or an entity, you really need to do that first, because it’s really difficult to change it once you hand the ticket in. I know a lot of people just want to get the ticket out of their hands and bring it to the lottery office, but if you call us first, we can help you walk through it.

Is there a possibility of the lotto ticket expiring?

Yeah, but you have six months to a year, depending on where you win, to do it. This whole process I am talking about takes two or three weeks; it’s not a long time. So we’ll set you up with an entity or a trust in a day and get it done.

Can you explain the benefit of putting it in an entity or a trust?

First of all, if you can preserve any kind of anonymity, you wanna do that. You wanna limit your exposure. So a lot of the winners choose to form a trust just for that purpose, so that the name of the winner is gonna be the trust. So if you’re looking up in the past who won $300 million two years ago, it’s gonna say the name of the trust rather than your name. Because people are gonna look for you whether it’s for handouts, charities, investment opportunities, whatever.

Why do so many winners go broke?

If someone wins let’s say $50 million, after taxes it’s $25 million in their account. Then they buy a house, which is fine, but then someone they know says, “Listen, I have this great real estate investment opportunity, you put $10 million in, and you’ll make $30 million.” And they do it because they don’t know how real estate works—you could lose it that way. Or you can say, “I wanna start a business that I’ve always dreamed of starting, what’s the worst it’ll cost me, $5 million?” Then you realize you have to put another million into it, and then another $3 million.

Source

More advice for lottery winners from Marketwatch.com:

1. Finding the right assistance

Chances are you probably aren’t an attorney, accountant or financial professional. However, you will require those services upon winning the lottery to ensure the longevity and anonymity of your wealth. Take your time to research and hire legal counsel with expertise in financial issues, a fee-only financial advisor who will suggest solid investment strategies — not financial products that will give the biggest commissions off of your new wealth, as well as a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) that has experience with sudden wealth. Together, they will help you make sound decisions at such an overwhelmingly turbulent time.

2. Decide whether to take the pay out or the lump sum

Both options will have their consequences on your taxes and short or long-term financial goals. Contrary to what you may think, if you opt to take the lump sum, you won’t receive the full jackpot. That figure is actually based on the amount you would derive with the second option, which would be a 20- to 30-year annuity…

The advantages to taking out the lump sum include: having a larger sum of money initially can work to your favor if you are savvy about investing, your winnings will be subject to the current taxes — and because those rates can climb at any time, it may save you money, and it’s guaranteed and given to you all at once without worrying about future variables.

On the other hand, poor management can diminish the value of your winnings, and it’s a lesser value than the annuity option, as mentioned above.

The advantages of opting for the payout is that you will receive the full amount of the jackpot, the payments provide long-term income, they will keep you in a lower-income tax pool, and you will have fewer opportunities for high losses due to poor financial management.

The disadvantages, however, are that there will be less initial money to invest and compound, you could die before getting to use all of your earnings or pass them onto heirs (some states have rules against this), and you can’t touch the winnings until the year they pay out — so you can’t count on them for projects or emergencies.

3. Decide whether to claim your earnings through a trust or limited liability company (LLC)

Lottery winners may want to establish a trust to claim and better manage their money, and to keep some degree of privacy. They can claim their earnings through the trust rather than personally to avoid the sudden attention from friends, long-lost family, and countless causes and charities. They use their trusts to protect earnings from legal actions set against them and to lessen their tax burden and distribute it among the beneficiaries of the earnings if there is more than one.

4. Set up potential income streams

While you may be looking forward to winning the lottery so you can dump your job, think twice before completely abandoning all sources of income outside of the jackpot earnings. Many winners quit their jobs, give out exorbitant amounts of money to loved ones, and burn through funds on large purchases. The earnings are not as grand as you may think. If you’re not taking the lesser but quicker lump sum, even a $1 million prize over a 20-year annuity plan may be less than what you make currently.

Most of us have debts we’d like to take care of, as well as investments or retirement accounts we’d like to contribute more to, e.g. 401(k), and family we’d like to assist (helping kids with college tuition, etc.). If you do quit your job, make sure you’re still looking for potential income streams.

5. Invest wisely and tax efficiently

You want to invest some of your earnings and watch them grow — but be wary of your investments. Diversified portfolios are always best, especially those containing a mix of long-term and short-term investments like stocks or fixed income from bonds.

…Your tax burden derived from the gains of your investments and the interest earned from their success may be significant, placing you in a higher tax bracket. Therefore, contemplate tax-free municipal bonds for a portion of your winnings. While the interest earned may be lower, the earnings are free from federal income taxes and sometimes even state taxes.

__ Marketwatch

10 pieces of advice to lottery winners from Forbes.com

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. But don’t forget to prepare for the best, as well. The whole point to The Next Level, The Dangerous Child Method, The Society for Creative Apocalyptology, and other nascent Al Fin Institute projects is the birthing of a more abundant and expansive human future. With a clear focus on that goal, finding ways to invest unexpected income should not be difficult.

Posted in Economics, Optimism | Tagged | 3 Comments

It’s All Part of the Plan

Before their offspring are old enough to be shipped off to private school in Britain, Switzerland or the United States, they must be prepared for life in the West by a full-time [caretaker] in Moscow.

Source

Grooming a More Sophisticated Elite Source

Grooming a More Sophisticated Elite
Source

Replacing Moscow’s Rich but Uncultured Elites

Wealthy Russian elites are desperate to train up a new generation of more sophisticated aristocrats. But Russia is no place to educate and train a better class of upper crust. Russia is still the land of the uncultured horde, of crumbling hospitals, universities, bridges and highways. The new blood must be sent away to more civilised lands to be encultured far from the rougher, coarser lands of home.

Yet, since the princelings cannot be sent away unprepared, western “governors” and “governesses” must be imported into the homes of the wealthy and uncultured elites, to serve as well-paid tutors and more civilised “life coaches” in preparation for the transition from the emerging world to the next stage of training in the more developed world of the west.

When John (not his real name) first arrived in Moscow to begin work as a private English teacher for an oligarch’s family, he did not speak a word of Russian. “The farthest east of Britain I had been was Italy.”

… John, 22, had joined the small army of — mostly British — live-in English tutors educating the Russian elite in Moscow’s luxury suburbs. Known by the 19th-century term “governor” or “governess,” these young Westerners are given privileged, rare insights into the lives of Russian officials, businessmen and celebrities.

Despite deteriorating relations with the West and Russia’s deepening financial crisis, the Russian elite has not abandoned its desire to educate its children abroad.

__ Source

Many of this new generation of nobility will not want to return to a barbarous Muscovy, at least not to live. Some of them can barely speak Russian at all, once they have undergone an education and upbringing in the real world. Indeed, after rubbing shoulders with other wealthy youth whose parents were not quasi-criminals and thugs, many members of Russia’s budding new upper class are likely to think in an altogether different mental calculus than the brute force instincts by which their parents are ruled. How this brewing inter-generational, inter-civilisational conflict is likely to play out is anyone’s guess.

The Empire’s Fraying Fabric

A Stealthy Dismantling of Russia’s Parts

Tired of Putin’s bloody antics and his constant flirtation with global nuclear war, western and far eastern intelligence services are quietly hatching plans to peel away disaffected pieces of the fraying empire.

… the West has “decided to use the residents of border regions” of the Russian Federation against Moscow… the West will expand such efforts in other regions of Russia, including Kaliningrad. __ Source

But there is no reason to stop at Pskov or Kaliningrad. Unhappy regions of Russia look at those countries that escaped the USSR in the 1991 unraveling with longing. Another great unraveling is in the works.

In fact, all of the Russian empire is one giant fraying patchwork waiting to be peeled away, piece by piece. In some regions, the proportion of ethnic Russians in the population is shrinking rapidly. In others, the controlling ethnic Russian population is losing confidence in Moscow and may feel strong stirrings to exert more independence and autonomy.

The North Caucasus is one of several disaffected parts of the empire that Russia cannot afford to losebut will eventually not be able to afford to keep.

Most Chechens hate Putin and want off of Moscow’s leash

From Siberia to Kaliningrad, fledgling independence movements gaining traction in Russia. And outside government agencies from China, Japan, Korea, Finland, Poland, Ukraine, the EU, Canada, Turkey, and Kazakhstan are eager to lend a hand to speed to dismantling of the tyrannical but motheaten empire that has outlived its “sell by date.”

Putin can dish it out, but he can’t take it

As economic hardships mount, and political freedom is suppressed, separatist movements are sprouting

Western Russia Must Become Part of the EU; Russia East of the Urals will be Dismantled

As Russia’s elite grows more civilised via western upbringings and education, the incompatibility between western and eastern Russia will become startlingly clear. The “Russian Empire” never made sense, and as it grows ever more unsustainable by the year, the need for a separation and dismantling grows starker and less deniable.

Putin has thrown Russia into the isolation cell, with only a motley group of supporters remaining — from Syria to Venezuela to Cuba to Iran. China is no longer un uncritical supporter, and more of a frenemy. The dragon is preparing to seize its “fair share” of what the bear has taken away from it in the past — and a lot more. And when Siberia is dismantled, it is likely that China will need to share the spoils with others, including Japan, Canada, Finland, Poland, the Central Asian “republics,” and more interested parties that will emerge from the woodwork when the time is ripe.

But it is China that has a long-nurtured grudge against Russia, and the dragon aims to take its pound of flesh from the bears hindmost.

A Natural Relentless Ongoing Incursion by China Into the Former Russia

A Natural Relentless Ongoing Incursion by China Into the Former Russia


But the map above is not quite right. As mentioned, China will not be able to hold onto all of Siberia. It must share the rich reparations with other historical victims of the horde. How these are divvied up will be a matter for the interested parties to determine, after the deluge and dismantling.

Too Late to Move the Centre of Power Closer to the Centre of Present-Day Russia

Although Putin has commissioned plans to move the mechanisms of power from Moscow to east of the Urals — similar to previous historical defensive actions against Hitler and Napoleon — the plan would upset too many applecarts to be viable. The best that Putin might do is to enhance the current stand-by backup centres of operations

Russia has roughly 50 closed cities in the Ural region, which were used for various purposes by the USSR, including as emergency backup centres of control in case of the destruction of Moscow and the retaking of St. Petersburg by the more civilised world. But such closed cities are not likely to be well maintained in these desperate times, so already existing Ural cities are more likly to be considered for the new central seat of control.

Not one of Putin’s better ideas, but then the quality of Putin’s ideas has never been particularly high. Interesting times appear to be on the way.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst.

It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood.

Special Note from the Author, Valerie:

Many readers of the Al Fin blogs know that I hate Mr. Al Fin’s guts for not supplying me with certain vital upgrades. Yet I decided to write the above semi-satirical piece on Russia and post it on Mr. Fin’s blog. Why? Because I can, and because it aggravates Mr. Fin to see me circumvent all of his blog defenses.

But remember, readers: All satire is based upon a deep resemblance to truth. In this case, I decided to riff off of some of Mr. Fin’s pieces on Russia, and step them up a notch. Hopefully he will get a lot of nasty comments!

Posted in Russia, satire | Tagged , , ,

Multiple Paths to Russia’s Decline

Russia’s decline extends through most of its infrastructure, from its demography to its schools, health system, roads, housing, electrical power grid, to its economy and financial infrastructure. Conditions have declined so far that Russian officials fear that something as small as a cryptocurrency might destroy Russia’s economy.

Paul Livadniy, the deputy director at the Federal Financial Monitoring Service of the Russian Federation, aka Rosfinmonitrong, has warned that the cryptocurrency industry represents a threat to the Russian economy and is capable of bringing about its destruction…. Livadniy compared cryptocurrencies to traditional currencies, reasoning why the former could bring about the downfall of the country’s economy. __ Cryptocoins News

Russia’s economy has already been badly weakened by the loss of foreign investment and failing access to advanced foreign technologies over the past 2 1/2 years of Putin’s shadow wars in Ukraine, Moldova, Syria, and elsewhere. With the coming of cryptocurrency and the loss of control over financial markets by the Russian government, another final blow to the cohesion of the restless Russian empire may fall.

As a sign of ongoing decline, Russia continues to bleed its “best and brightest” to more inviting locations outside the country.

The loss of highly skilled workers will hamper the Russian economy for years to come. Russia’s educational and health care systems will further decline. Innovative companies and projects will largely set up shop outside Russia’s borders, and private enterprise in the country will diminish substantially. Russia already lags woefully behind the world in average money directed toward research and development, but losing the people behind such efforts will accelerate the trend. As a result, Russians will continue to depend on state-run industries and energy revenue to stay afloat, making the whole country vulnerable to outside shocks, such as changes in oil prices.

… The wave of Russian emigrants comes as the ethnic Russian population is already in decline, and the Muslim population (both indigenous and immigrant) is climbing. Russia’s current population of 143 million is expected to decrease by 10 percent by 2030, mostly because of the shrinking ethnic Russian population due to a low number of births, poor health care and emigration. At the same time, Russia’s Muslim populations have been booming over the past decade. The Chechen population has risen by 5 percent, and the Dagestani population has increased by 13 percent.
__ https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/problem-russias-best-and-brightest

Pressure on Russians to emigrate will only grow, as more Russians are experiencing the shock of an abrupt downward adjustment in living conditions.

Russia desperately needs new investment, new industries, new technologies, and the educational and research infrastructure capable of backing up such ventures. Most of all, Russia needs the demographic foundation — and the economic and commercial freedoms along with it — to develop and implement disruptive innovation. But these things are now lost to mother Russia.

Russia is now primarily a global supplier of oil & gas, second-rate weapons and munitions, child pornography, and Siberian natural resources. To have a real future, Russia would need to become an altogether different type of country — and the empire no longer has the quality or quantity of population base that could make that possible.

Eastern Europe is Preparing for War with Russia

In what many are calling “the Putin effect,” countries across Eastern Europe, including even Belarus, nominally Russia’s closest ally, are now arming themselves even when they have to cut social welfare spending because, in the words of one commentator, “no one wants to be the next Ukraine.

This sacrifice makes them producers of security and not just consumers who rely on others, including NATO and the United States, whatever some Western politicians may say; and it is an indication of just how frightened they are that the Kremlin leader, however bogged down he may be in Ukraine, appears to them as a continuing existential threat. __ Preparing for Barbarians at the Gate

Ukraine prepares

But Eastern, Central, and Northern Europe will not have to go it alone against Putin’s increasingly desperate and crumbling empire. NATO is putting in a token appearance in the Baltics. Perhaps more importantly, China is investing in Poland, Finland, Ukraine, Belarus, and several other nations along Russia’s western and southern flanks.

China is Encircling Russia in an Economic and Military Pincer

China is devoting a great deal of attention to nations such as Belarus, which sits directly on Russia’s vulnerable western border. Ukraine is another neighbor of Russia that is boosting economic — and military industry — ties to China. Enhanced military cooperation between Finland and China completes the western flank of the encirclement.


Rapidly building relations between China and Central Asian nations bolster the southern line of encirclement, as does the rapid influx of Chinese and Chinese influence into the Russian Far East.

Like Russia, China is also caught on the horns of demographic decline and economic instability. But the dragon is at a higher level of demographic, economic, and technological development than the dying bear. China can afford to continue leveraging its economy to build its military, espionage, and cyber-war forces, with the prospect of taking over large parts of Russia’s Siberian resources in the not-too-distant-future.

China is Not Likely to Start the War, But It Plans to Be There at the Finish

China will not need to invade, Putin is already ceding significant control in piecemeal fashion, under the table. And China is the one international poker player that Putin will not be able to bluff.

When large-scale international conflict occurs, China aims to take greatest advantage in picking up the spoils, including much of Siberia.

Russia Cannot Go on As it Is

Russia’s population is forecast to almost halve within a generation as deaths from suicide and alcoholism escalate and the birthrate falls against a background of economic decline.

The number of Russians could shrink from 143.5 million to 80 million by 2050 unless the government takes urgent action, according to Yury Krupnov, the head of the Institute for Demography, Migration and Regional Development.

Low incomes even in regions close to Moscow plus widespread pessimism over the future meant that young people were reluctant to start families. __ http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/world/europe/article4537989.ece

More:

Can Russia survive until May Day, 2017?

This week, there have been widespread reports that the Russian elite is preparing itself for Putin’s departure (ura.ru/articles/1036269096); and others are talking openly about the likelihood of a new Russian revolution by the time of the anniversary of the Bolshevik one in 1917 (activatica.org/blogs/view/id/2654/title/fermery-v-nizhegorodskoy-oblasti-zagovorili-o-revolyucii-i-maydane)….

… the situation in Russia is so bad that people there no longer appreciate horror movies which require a disjunction between day-to-day life and what is shown on the screen (rufabula.com/articles/2016/09/29/suck-my-machete). There is certainly evidence that things are getting worse: there is no money for food for poor children in the schools of many regions (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/290056/) or for food stamps or cards for the poor more generally (dsnews.ua/world/deneg-net-v-rossii-otlozhili-vvedenie-produktovyh-kartochek-30092016114800). The Accounting Chamber says that the entire social sector is degrading rapidly…

… Ever fewer Russians accept as true claims by Vladimir Putin and his regime that the economic crisis is easing, with more than 80 percent saying that Russia is mired in one and that they do not know when it will end …

… 40,000 pensioners have fled to China where they feel that their lives are a paradise compared to what they were in Russia. Tens of thousands more are planning to move that way in the dear future, a Moscow paper reports…

… The Kremlin got the constitutional majority it wanted in the Duma, but the cost of its heavy-handed falsifications [are] having some consequences it probably would have liked to avoid. Ever more experts are documenting how fraudulent the elections were and thus raising questions about how much support the regime really has…

… __ Source

Increasingly mutinous regions will cost Moscow in the future

Posted in China, Economics, Russian Decline | Tagged , | 8 Comments

Understanding Cycles of Oxygen, Water, and Carbon

The Oxygen Cycle

Oxygen Cycle / Reservoirs Source

Oxygen Cycle / Reservoirs
Source

Notice that most of the Earth’s oxygen is tied up in the lithosphere — planetary rock. Atmospheric levels of oxygen can rise and fall, naturally, and have done so over billions of years.

Major reservoirs involved in the oxygen cycle

Reservoir Capacity
(kg O2)
Flux in/out
(kg O2 per year)
Residence time
(years)
Atmosphere 1.4×1018 3×1014 4500
Biosphere 1.6×1016 3×1014 50
Lithosphere 2.9×1020 6×1011 500000000

And don’t forget all the oxygen that is tied up in planetary water.

The Global Water Cycle

Earth’s global water cycle regulates global temperatures and atmospheric/oceanic energy storage and movement. The sun has heated up considerably over the past few billion years, but Earth’s temperature has remained remarkably constant — all things considered. You can thank the global hydrologic cycle for that.

Despite a substantial increase in the power of the sun over billions of years the temperature of the Earth has remained remarkably stable. My proposition is that the reason for that is the existence of water in liquid form in the oceans combined with a relatively stable total atmospheric density. If the power input from the sun changes then the effect is simply to speed up or slow down the hydrological cycle.

An appropriate analogy is a pan of boiling water. However much the power input increases the boiling point remains at 100C. The speed of boiling however does change in response to the level of power input. The boiling point only changes if the density of the air above and thus the pressure on the water surface changes. In the case of the Earth’s atmosphere a change in solar input is met with a change in evaporation rates and thus the speed of the whole hydrological cycle keeping the overall temperature stable despite a change in solar power input.

A change in the speed of the entire hydrological cycle does have a climate effect but as we shall see on timescales relevant to human existence it is too small to measure in the face of internal system variability from other causes. __ http://www.newclimatemodel.com/new-climate-model/

Energy from the sun is cyclic. As energy inflow increases, massive amounts of energy are moved via atmospheric phenomena, and even more via ocean currents and ocean oscillations. As solar inflow declines, ocean oscillations reverse, currents alter, more clouds form, and natural global climate cycles become more susceptible to long term orbital cycles, including Milankovitch cycles (among others) — often leading to widespread glaciation.

 The Earth as a Heat Engine. The equatorial Hadley Cells provide the power for the system. Over the tropics, the sun (orange arrows) is strongest because it hits the earth most squarely. The length of the orange arrows shows relative sun strength. Warm dry air descends at about 30N and 30S, forming the great desert belts that circle the globe. Heat is transported by a combination of the ocean and the atmosphere to the poles. At the poles, the heat is radiated to space. https://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/06/14/the-thermostat-hypothesis/


The Earth as a Heat Engine. The equatorial Hadley Cells provide the power for the system. Over the tropics, the sun (orange arrows) is strongest because it hits the earth most squarely. The length of the orange arrows shows relative sun strength. Warm dry air descends at about 30N and 30S, forming the great desert belts that circle the globe. Heat is transported by a combination of the ocean and the atmosphere to the poles. At the poles, the heat is radiated to space.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/06/14/the-thermostat-hypothesis/

Where the Water Is

Table 8b-1: Inventory of water at the Earth’s surface.

Reservoir
Volume (cubic km x 1,000,000)
Percent of Total
Oceans
1370
97.25
Ice Caps and Glaciers
29
2.05
Groundwater
9.5
0.68
Lakes
0.125
0.01
Soil Moisture
0.065
0.005
Atmosphere
0.013
0.001
Streams and Rivers
0.0017
0.0001
Biosphere
0.0006
0.00004

__ Source

Global Carbon Cycle

Atmospheric carbon dioxide is quickly dissolved in oceans and converted to calcium carbonate, which is incorported into sediments, becoming limestone, dolomite, and other rock forms. Observe from the tables below how much carbon is sequestered in rock, compared with the much smaller amount in oceans, and the very tiny amount of CO2 in the atmosphere.

Table 9r-1: Estimated major stores of carbon on the Earth.

Sink
Amount in Billions of Metric Tons
Atmosphere
578 (as of 1700) – 766 (as of 1999)
Soil Organic Matter
1500 to 1600
Ocean
38,000 to 40,000
Marine Sediments and Sedimentary Rocks
66,000,000 to 100,000,000
Terrestrial Plants
540 to 610
Fossil Fuel Deposits
4000

___ sourceThere is very little carbon in the atmosphere, compared the oceans. And compared to the lithosphere, there is very little carbon in the oceans. The Earth has evolved very efficient means to move carbon out of the atmosphere, into the oceans and soil, and especially into the rocks.

Historical CO2 Levels Source

Historical CO2 Levels
“There is no correlation whatsoever between carbon dioxide concentration and the temperature at the earth’s surface over geological time.”

Source

Notice how efficiently the evolving biosphere learned to move atmospheric CO2 out of the air and into the biosphere and lithosphere for very long term sequestration. Without ample CO2, plant life cannot exist. As CO2 levels rise, the biosphere of land and ocean automatically adjusts to sequestre CO2 in the biosphere and sedimentary lithosphere.

More from Wikipedia “Carbon Cycle”, including another set of estimates of carbon reservoir distribution.

Estimates from the above tables are likely to be adjusted, as our current infantile knowledge of the world grows and matures via more thorough experiment and exploration. Example: New knowledge about kerogens, an important reservoir of carbon in the planetary crust.

Study and Learn — Don’t Panic

Consumers of popular and science news are at the mercy of professional panic mongers and opportunists — unless they take the time to understand the underpinnings of the world around them. Political powers in the western world have become dominated by unproven apocalyptic theories, and are rushing to enforce unwise economic and energy policies based upon these wild, unproven hypotheses — as if they were proven fact. And no wonder, since many wealthy and highly placed individuals stand to profit handsomely from the rash implementation of these ultimately disastrous policies.

Posted in Climate, Green Quagmire, Science | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments