How to Win the War on Drugs

Deaths in the War on Drugs
Portugal has the least deaths. The USA ranks highest in deaths from drugs.Image Source

The Drug War is Deadly

Anyone who has watched the television shows “Breaking Bad” or “Narcos” — or movies such as Traffic — will have an inkling of both the allure of the drug trade and some of its many vicious and unpleasant consequences.

Much of the violence that plagues the streets of cities from Detroit to Paris to Lagos is associated with the drug trade. A large proportion of property crimes such as theft arise due to the need of an addict to acquire his substance of abuse. Large numbers of girls are held in prostitution by their willing and unwilling addictions to chemical substances. Drug trafficking and human trafficking share many of the same smuggling routes and smuggling personnel.

The Drug War Cannot be “Won” as it is Fought Now

For several decades, government agents of more advanced nations have engaged in a multi-faceted “war” against the production, import, and distribution of illegal drugs of abuse. In all of that time, the only policies that seem to have long term impacts — in terms of harm reduction — are policies of drug liberalization. Portugal is a nation often held up as an example of harm reduction using this approach.

But “drug liberalization” is not actually a true winning of the drug war so much as a scaling down to a near armistice with users and small dealers. Drug producers, smugglers, distributors, and larger dealers are still being hunted and prosecuted. It is still a war, even in Portugal.

Actually Winning the War Will Require Higher Level Thought

Higher level thought is not generally a purview of governing bodies. Governments and their agents typically react to what happens, rather than creating the conditions that divert resources away from bad actors at all levels. And that is why governments get so little respect — especially from those who work for them or who live off government contracts.

One of the reasons for the clusterfuck nature of governments is that it is the bad actors themselves who help finance many of the candidates who eventually reach public office, or who are hired into various agencies of government, academia, foundations, and media. As long as the bad actors grow wealthy from bad government policies, then turn around and pack government and other public institutions with their own people, bad situations are just likely to grow worse. And that includes the drug war.

The Concept of “Good Crime” and “Good Criminals”

In order to “win” the war on drugs, it will be necessary to clean up this cesspool. But nothing seems to work. Is it possible that the only way to clean up the cesspool of these inbred and dysfunctional monstrous institutions, is to create a new breed of “good crime,” and “good criminals?” Not as a first resort, no. Not even as a second, third, or fourth resort.

Instead, it is important to use the blunt tools available within the law, the legal systems, governments, and other institutions of society, to perform an initial “de-bulking” of the purulent tumour. This process should undergo multiple iterations and improvements, as the entrenched institutions and kingpins of corruption seek to block each wave of change.

But there are interstitial places within the matrix for the use of “civil disobedience” and surgically precise actions which fall into gray areas of interpretation. And there are far more of these gray areas than one might think. It is important to map them out and to assemble a large number of coordinated potential actions to meet a wide range of contingencies and counter-actions.

Fighting Fire with Fire

“Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent,” as Isaac Asimov’s characters often said. In other words, foolish and low-level thinking tends to land one in corners where he must fight his way out. We should not be so stupid.

Rather than fighting a war that only expands opportunities for vicious criminals to grow ever wealthier, a smart society would give its citizens better options. As citizens choose these better options, would-be drug lords find themselves thrown back into lives of petty crime — rats fighting among other rats in the back alleys.

What might these “better options” be? You know, I find it very strange that this has not been the question that people have been asking themselves for the last 50 years or more. More, I find it strange that instead of trying a wide range of these “better options,” society has chosen to fight a drug war that has led to more and more gang and cartel violence, the need for ever larger and more costly prisons, and the degeneration large parts of cities across the developed world.

How might one “fight fire with fire?” By giving people something that is both good for them and preferable in their own eyes to the degraded life offered to them by the abuse of cocaine, methamphetamine, opiates, and other drugs. Alcohol abuse, by the way, is one of the worst problems of modern societies around the world. The same approach to fighting illicit drugs should be used to fight the abuse of legal drugs and prescription drugs.

The Cure Should be in the Hands of Ordinary People, Not Doctors

Better options should include things that persons can grow in their own flower box or garden, or build in their own small workshop. They should not have to expend their life savings for an over-rated rehab center or detox scam.

Besides those who were pushed into drug addiction by peers or criminals, most abusers of drugs are merely seeking something to help them to get through their days with less pain, or something to give them a sense of purpose — even if it is hunting down their next fix.

Life for many or most of these people, as it is, does not seem worth living. They feel that they must have something extra, even if it eventually kills them. If “better options” for providing the something extra are put within their capacity to provide for themselves — options that will allow them to continue to function within normal or even superior levels — the criminal infrastructure that depended upon their monetary contributions will begin to dry up.

Finding these “better options” should be one of the top priorities of spending by foundations and other research granting agencies. Shining a light on the search for “better options” should be one of the top priorities of media outlets. Helping to put these better options into the hands of ordinary people should be a top priority for religious groups, charitable organizations, and volunteer agencies.

We cannot solve the problems of today or tomorrow by doubling down on the failed thinking of yesterday, which created these problems in the first place.

Drug liberalization should be thought of as the first step of a 100 step approach to reversing this accelerated decline of cities and landscapes.

More information on the European drug problem in 2017

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National Fellatio League Prizes its Kneepads

The NFL appears confused as to its actual purpose in the great scheme of things. And if this grand confusion spreads to college football and other sports, we are likely to see the poverty spread from the sports entertainment industry to many higher education institutions — who depend upon income from football and basketball games to fund other parts of the university.

Whimpers from the Pittsburgh Kneelers to the Las Vegas Dealers are making NFL teams look like whining nellies.

On Your Knees, Bitches!
National Fellatio League Losing its Admirers

When the Pittsburgh Kneelers came out of the locker room, their fans booed them!

One Steeler stood tall and proud

Multi-millionaire Athletes’ Posturing Backfires

Television ratings and paid attendance to NFL games have been falling for a few years. But this year the NFL seems to be rushing to a full collapse. From ESPN to the NFL commissioner to team owners to the (mostly) barely literate players themselves, the entire league appears eager to whine itself into a deep pit of triviality and insignificance. And that spells relative p-o-v-e-r-t-y in more ways than one — most likely for an extended period of time.

The orchestrated display of ultra-feminine sensitivity displayed by grown football players is likely to achieve consequences diabolically opposite — not to mention diametrically opposite — to what the behind the scenes organizers intended. Ultimately, the people who provide the money for the ascendance of these affluent sports stars, their filthy rich teams, and the vast and corrupt sports entertainment structure, will only take so much abuse and disrespect for their values. Atlas can shrug, and the whining parasites can fall a long way.

In other news, the spirit of Black Lives Matter shows a more honest face. A woman going to church is shot in the back, then turned over and shot in the face.

Posted in Blacks and crime, Groupthink | Tagged | Leave a comment

Putin Asks “How Long Until They Eat Us?”

The New Look of the Human Apocalypse

May I Do Your Cleaning Now, Master?
Source

Vladimir Putin: “How Long Until They Eat Us?”

Vladimir Putin has expressed his fears over artificial intelligence by asking Russia’s largest technology firm how long it will be until smart robots ‘eat us’.

__ Source

Putin is not the only one who is worried that intelligent robots will eventually devour human beings and destroy human culture, in one way or another.

An Already Dying Japan is Exposing Itself to Ever More Techno-Sex

She’s always there, always listening, ready to cater to her husband’s every whim. Meet Azuma Hikari, Japan’s digital “wife of the future,” according to her inventor, Minori Takechi, who believes his AI construct can go some way toward solving Japan’s problem with loneliness. __ An Accelerated Extinction

There is nothing wrong with techno-sex as long as it does not keep people from procreating and training ever new generations into the future. But the Japanese appear to be using techno-sex as a substitute for real sex and procreation. And that is turning into a fatal choice of extinction for the island nation.

Russia is in a similar situation, only slightly behind Japan on the death curve.

Intelligent Sexbots a Growing Industry

From Japan to California, to the UK to Barcelona, intelligent sex robots are being designed and built for the increasingly alienated young males of the world. The end result of this trend will likely be lower rates of sex and marriage, and lower birth rates in the very populations which already suffer below-replacement birth rates.

Read about the new talking sex robot, Samantha, for example. While the state of the art in intelligent sexbots is still quite primitive, inventors around the world such as Sergi Santos believe that the demand is there to reward the first successful builder of intelligent and responsive sexbots.

In his home workshop on the hilly outskirts of Barcelona, Spanish scientist Dr Sergi Santos marvels at his proudest creation – a talking sex robot companion called Samantha. __ http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/646948/sex-robot-sergi-santos-workshop-lab-factory-home-barcelona-synthea-amatus

Matt McMullen’s RealDolls

Moral of the Story: Don’t Date Robots

Futurama – Don't date robots from John Pope on Vimeo.

At least, we mean to say, don’t date robots exclusively — if you want your people to survive and have a future.

More Reasons Russians Shouldn’t Date Robots

Note that the sources in the excerpts below are Russian-language websites. Utilise website translators whenever necessary to access these sources.

Every fifth Russian now uses one or another illegal drug, and as a result, Russia itself has become Europe’s “hub” for the drug trade (newsland.com/community/4765/content/kazhdyi-piatyi-rossiianin-narkoman-a-rossiia-narkoticheskii-khab-evropy/5986750). The number of abortions in Russia fell last year to 648,000 but that number is still half of the number of live births there and represents a national rate five times that of the European average (rusk.ru/newsdata.php?idar=78986).

Chemical and even radiological contamination is a problem (newizv.ru/news/city/13-09-2017/v-poiskah-neizvestnogo-kto-i-pochemu-portit-vozduh-v-moskve and https://takiedela.ru/2017/09/poligon-ispytaniy/). Demographic losses mean that Moscow is going to have to force more women and especially women pensioners work by 2030 in order to maintain the size of the labor force (gazeta.ru/business/2017/09 __ More at Windowoneurasia2

News out of Russia is highly laundered and filtered by Russian media, and strangely also highly slanted by international media, to ignore the problems at the rotten core of Russian society — the heart of extinction.

The population of ethnic Russians is already too small to maintain and defend the massive land area claimed by Russia. As that core population shrinks in ever accelerating fashion (behind the curtain of censorship and denial), the problem for Russia will reach the critical point of no return — just like Japan.

It has never been more important to save as many young Russian girls and women as now. Western men have become badgered and discriminated against to the point that more are resorting to artificial techno-sex, in a trend that grows to match the increasing sophistication of sexbots and virtual reality sex. The liberation of young Russian females may be the last hope to save western civilisation! 😉

BTW, President Putin does not need to worry about Russia being eaten by reliable hi-tech anytime soon. At least not by Russian-built hi-tech. Chinese hi-tech is a different matter.

Posted in Demographics, Future, Robots, Russia, Russian Decline, satire, Sex | Tagged , | 2 Comments

100% Intermittent Energy: Can it Work?

The extensively documented article below is excerpted from an article originally published in Low Tech Magazine

How (Not) to Run a Modern Society on Solar and Wind Power Alone

… [A] renewable power grid needs an oversized power generation and transmission capacity of up to ten times the peak demand. It also requires a balancing capacity of fossil fuel power plants, or its equivalent in energy storage… Consequently, matching supply to demand at all times makes renewable power production a complex, slow, expensive and unsustainable undertaking

100% Renewable Energy

It is widely believed that in the future, renewable energy production will allow modern societies to become independent from fossil fuels, with wind and solar energy having the largest potential. An oft-stated fact is that there’s enough wind and solar power available to meet the energy needs of modern civilisation many times over.

For instance, in Europe, the practical wind energy potential for electricity production on- and off-shore is estimated to be at least 30,000 TWh per year, or ten times the annual electricity demand. [1] In the USA, the technical solar power potential is estimated to be 400,000 TWh, or 100 times the annual electricity demand. [2]

Such statements, although theoretically correct, are highly problematic in practice. This is because they are based on annual averages of renewable energy production, and do not address the highly variable and uncertain character of wind and solar energy.

Annual averages of renewable energy production do not address the highly variable and uncertain character of wind and solar energy

Demand and supply of electricity need to be matched at all times, which is relatively easy to achieve with power plants that can be turned on and off at will. However, the output of wind turbines and solar panels is totally dependent on the whims of the weather.

Therefore, to find out if and how we can run a modern society on solar and wind power alone, we need to compare time-synchronised electricity demand with time-synchronised solar or wind power availability. [3][4] [5] In doing so, it becomes clear that supply correlates poorly with demand.


The intermittency of solar en wind energy compared to demand

Above: a visualisation of 30 days of superimposed power demand time series data (red), wind energy generation data (blue), and solar insolation data (yellow). Average values are in colour-highlighted black lines. Data obtained from Bonneville Power Administration, April 2010. Source: [21]


The Intermittency of Solar Energy

Solar power is characterised by both predictable and unpredictable variations. There is a predictable diurnal and seasonal pattern, where peak output occurs in the middle of the day and in the summer, depending on the apparent motion of the sun in the sky. [6] [7]

When the sun is lower in the sky, its rays have to travel through a larger air mass, which reduces their strength because they are absorbed by particles in the atmosphere. The sun’s rays are also spread out over a larger horizontal surface, decreasing the energy transfer per unit of horizontal surface area.

When the sun is 60° above the horizon, the sun’s intensity is still 87% of its maximum when it reaches a horizontal surface. However, at lower angles, the sun’s intensity quickly decreases. At a solar angle of 15°, the radiation that strikes a horizontal surface is only 25% of its maximum.

On a seasonal scale, the solar elevation angle also correlates with the number of daylight hours, which reduces the amount of solar energy received over the course of a day at times of the year when the sun is already lower in the sky. And, last but not least, there’s no solar energy available at night.

Cloud map

Image: Average cloud cover 2002 – 2015. Source: NASA.

Likewise, the presence of clouds adds unpredictable variations to the solar energy supply. Clouds scatter and absorb solar radiation, reducing the amount of insolation that reaches the ground below. Solar output is roughly 80% of its maximum with a light cloud cover, but only 15% of its maximum on a heavy overcast day. [8][9][10]

Due to a lack of thermal or mechanical inertia in solar photovoltaic (PV) systems, the changes due to clouds can be dramatic. For example, under fluctuating cloud cover, the output of multi-megawatt PV power plants in the Southwest USA was reported to have variations of roughly 50% in a 30 to 90 second timeframe and around 70% in a timeframe of 5 to 10 minutes. [6]

In London, a solar panel produces 65 times less energy on a heavy overcast day in December at 10 am than on a sunny day in June at noon.

The combination of these predictable and unpredictable variations in solar power makes it clear that the output of a solar power plant can vary enormously throughout time. In Phoenix, Arizona, the sunniest place in the USA, a solar panel produces on average 2.7 times less energy in December than in June. Comparing a sunny day at midday in June with a heavy overcast day at 10 am in December, the difference in solar output is almost twentyfold. [11]

In London, UK, which is a moderately suitable location for solar power, a solar panel produces on average 10 times less energy in December than in June. Comparing a sunny day in June at noon with a heavy overcast day in December at 10 am, the solar output differs by a factor of 65. [8][9]

The Intermittency of Wind Energy

Compared to solar energy, the variability of the wind is even more volatile. On the one hand, wind energy can be harvested both day and night, while on the other hand, it’s less predictable and less reliable than solar energy. During daylight hours, there’s always a minimum amount of solar power available, but this is not the case for wind, which can be absent or too weak for days or even weeks at a time. There can also be too much wind, and wind turbines then have to be shut down in order to avoid damage.

On average throughout the year, and depending on location, modern wind farms produce 10-45% of their rated maximum power capacity, roughly double the annual capacity factor of the average solar PV installation (5-30%). [6] [12][13][14] In practice, however, wind turbines can operate between 0 and 100% of their maximum power at any moment.


Hourly wind power output on 29 different days in april 2005 at a wind plant in california

Hourly wind power output on 29 different days in april 2005 at a wind plant in california. Source: [6]


For many locations, only average wind speed data is available. However, the chart above shows the daily and hourly wind power output on 29 different days at a wind farm in California. At any given hour of the day and any given day of the month, wind power production can vary between zero and 600 megawatt, which is the maximum power production of the wind farm. [6]

Even relatively small changes in wind speed have a large effect on wind power production: if the wind speed decreases by half, power production decreases by a factor of eight. [15] Wind resources also vary throughout the years. Germany, the Netherlands and Denmark show a wind speed inter-annual variability of up to 30%. [1] Yearly differences in solar power can also be significant. [16] [17]

How to Match Supply with Demand?

To some extent, wind and solar energy can compensate for each other. For example, wind is usually twice as strong during the winter months, when there is less sun. [18] However, this concerns average values again. At any particular moment of the year, wind and solar energy may be weak or absent simultaneously, leaving us with little or no electricity at all.

Electricity demand also varies throughout the day and the seasons, but these changes are more predictable and much less extreme. Demand peaks in the morning and in the evening, and is at its lowest during the night. However, even at night, electricity use is still close to 60% of the maximum.

At any particular moment of the year, wind and solar energy may be weak or absent simultaneously, leaving us with little or no electricity at all.

Consequently, if renewable power capacity is calculated based on the annual averages of solar and wind energy production and in tune with the average power demand, there would be huge electricity shortages for most of the time. To ensure that electricity supply always meets electricity demand, additional measures need to be taken.

First, we could count on a backup infrastructure of dispatchable fossil fuel power plants to supply electricity when there’s not enough renewable energy available. Second, we could oversize the renewable generation capacity, adjusting it to the worst case scenario. Third, we could connect geographically dispersed renewable energy sources to smooth out variations in power production. Fourth, we could store surplus electricity for use in times when solar and/or wind resources are low or absent.

As we shall see, all of these strategies are self-defeating on a large enough scale, even when they’re combined. If the energy used for building and maintaining the extra infrastructure is accounted for in a life cycle analysis of a renewable power grid, it would be just as CO2-intensive as the present-day power grid.

Strategy 1: Backup Power Plants

Up to now, the relatively small share of renewable power sources added to the grid has been balanced by dispatchable forms of electricity, mainly rapidly deployable gas power plants. Although this approach completely “solves” the problem of intermittency, it results in a paradox because the whole point of switching to renewable energy is to become independent of fossil fuels, including gas. [19]

Most scientific research focuses on Europe, which has the most ambitious plans for renewable power. For a power grid based on 100% solar and wind power, with no energy storage and assuming interconnection at the national European level only, the balancing capacity of fossil fuel power plants needs to be just as large as peak electricity demand. [12] In other words, there would be just as many non-renewable power plants as there are today.

Power plant capacity united states

Every power plant in the USA. Visualisation by The Washington Post.

Such a hybrid infrastructure would lower the use of carbon fuels for the generation of electricity, because renewable energy can replace them if there is sufficient sun or wind available. However, lots of energy and materials need to be invested into what is essentially a double infrastructure. The energy that’s saved on fuel is spent on the manufacturing, installation and interconnection of millions of solar panels and wind turbines.

Although the balancing of renewable power sources with fossil fuels is widely regarded as a temporary fix that’s not suited for larger shares of renewable energy, most other technological strategies (described below) can only partially reduce the need for balancing capacity.

Strategy 2: Oversizing Renewable Power Production

Another way to avoid energy shortages is to install more solar panels and wind turbines. If solar power capacity is tailored to match demand during even the shortest and darkest winter days, and wind power capacity is matched to the lowest wind speeds, the risk of electricity shortages could be reduced significantly. However, the obvious disadvantage of this approach is an oversupply of renewable energy for most of the year.

During periods of oversupply, the energy produced by solar panels and wind turbines is curtailed in order to avoid grid overloading. Problematically, curtailment has a detrimental effect on the sustainability of a renewable power grid. It reduces the electricity that a solar panel or wind turbine produces over its lifetime, while the energy required to manufacture, install, connect and maintain it remains the same. Consequently, the capacity factor and the energy returned for the energy invested in wind turbines and solar panels decrease. [20]

Installing more solar panels and wind turbines reduces the risk of shortages, but it produces an oversupply of electricity for most of the year.

Curtailment rates increase spectacularly as wind and solar comprise a larger fraction of the generation mix, because the overproduction’s dependence on the share of renewables is exponential. Scientists calculated that a European grid comprised of 60% solar and wind power would require a generation capacity that’s double the peak load, resulting in 300 TWh of excess electricity every year (roughly 10% of the current annual electricity consumption in Europe).

In the case of a grid with 80% renewables, the generation capacity needs to be six times larger than the peak load, while the excess electricity would be equal to 60% of the EU’s current annual electricity consumption. Lastly, in a grid with 100% renewable power production, the generation capacity would need to be ten times larger than the peak load, and excess electricity would surpass the EU annual electricity consumption. [21] [22] [23]

This means that up to ten times more solar panels and wind turbines need to be manufactured. The energy that’s needed to create this infrastructure would make the switch to renewable energy self-defeating, because the energy payback times of solar panels and wind turbines would increase six- or ten-fold.

For solar panels, the energy payback would only occur in 12-24 years in a power grid with 80% renewables, and in 20-40 years in a power grid with 100% renewables. Because the life expectancy of a solar panel is roughly 30 years, a solar panel may never produce the energy that was needed to manufacture it. Wind turbines would remain net energy producers because they have shorter energy payback times, but their advantage compared to fossil fuels would decrease. [24]

Strategy 3: Supergrids

The variability of solar and wind power can also be reduced by interconnecting renewable power plants over a wider geographical region. For example, electricity can be overproduced where the wind is blowing but transmitted to meet demand in becalmed locations. [19]

Interconnection also allows the combination of technologies that utilise different variable power resources, such as wave and tidal energy. [3] Furthermore, connecting power grids over large geographical areas allows a wider sharing of backup fossil fuel power plants.

Wind map europe saturday september 2 2017 23h48

Wind map of Europe, September 2, 2017, 23h48. Source: Windy.

Although today’s power systems in Europe and the USA stretch out over a large enough area, these grids are currently not strong enough to allow interconnection of renewable energy sources. This can be solved with a powerful overlay high-voltage DC transmission grid. Such “supergrids” form the core of many ambitious plans for 100% renewable power production, especially in Europe. [25] The problem with this strategy is that transmission capacity needs to be overbuilt, over very long distances. [19]

For a European grid with a share of 60% renewable power (an optimal mix of wind and solar), grid capacity would need to be increased at least sevenfold. If individual European countries would disregard national concerns about security of supply, and backup balancing capacity would be optimally distributed throughout the continent, the necessary grid capacity extensions can be limited to about triple the existing European high-voltage grid. For a European power grid with a share of 100% renewables, grid capacity would need to be up to twelve times larger than it is today. [21] [26][27]

Even in the UK, which has one of the best renewable energy sources in the world, combining wind, sun, wave and tidal power would still generate electricity shortages for 65 days per year.

The problems with such grid extensions are threefold. Firstly, building infrastructure such as transmission towers and their foundations, power lines, substations, and so on, requires a significant amount of energy and other resources. This will need to be taken into account when making a life cycle analysis of a renewable power grid. As with oversizing renewable power generation, most of the oversized transmission infrastructure will not be used for most of the time, driving down the transmission capacity factor substantially.

Secondly, a supergrid involves transmission losses, which means that more wind turbines and solar panels will need to be installed to compensate for this loss. Thirdly, the acceptance of and building process for new transmission lines can take up to ten years. [20][25] This is not just bureaucratic hassle: transmission lines have a high impact on the land and often face local opposition, which makes them one of the main obstacles for the growth of renewable power production.

Even with a supergrid, low power days remain a possibility over areas as large as Europe. With a share of 100% renewable energy sources and 12 times the current grid capacity, the balancing capacity of fossil fuel power plants can be reduced to 15% of the total annual electricity consumption, which represents the maximum possible benefit of transmission for Europe. [28]

Even in the UK, which has one of the best renewable energy sources in the world, interconnecting wind, sun, wave and tidal power would still generate electricity shortages for 18% of the time (roughly 65 days per year). [29] [30][31]

Strategy 4: Energy Storage

A final strategy to match supply to demand is to store an oversupply of electricity for use when there is not enough renewable energy available. Energy storage avoids curtailment and it’s the only supply-side strategy that can make a balancing capacity of fossil fuel plants redundant, at least in theory. In practice, the storage of renewable energy runs into several problems.

First of all, while there’s no need to build and maintain a backup infrastructure of fossil fuel power plants, this advantage is negated by the need to build and maintain an energy storage infrastructure. Second, all storage technologies have charging and discharging losses, which results in the need for extra solar panels and wind turbines to compensate for this loss.

Wind map usa

Live wind map of the USA.

The energy required to build and maintain the storage infrastructure and the extra renewable power plants need to be taken into account when conducting a life cycle analysis of a renewable power grid. In fact, research has shown that it can be more energy efficient to curtail renewable power from wind turbines than to store it, because the energy needed to manufacture storage and operate it (which involves charge-discharge losses) surpasses the energy that is lost through curtailment. [23]

If we count on electric cars to store the surplus of renewable electricity, their batteries would need to be 60 times larger than they are today

It has been calculated that for a European power grid with 100% renewable power plants (670 GW wind power capacity and 810 GW solar power capacity) and no balancing capacity, the energy storage capacity needs to be 1.5 times the average monthly load and amounts to 400 TWh, not including charging and discharging losses. [32] [33] [34]

To give an idea of what this means: the most optimistic estimation of Europe’s total potential for pumped hydro-power energy storage is 80 TWh [35], while converting all 250 million passenger cars in Europe to electric drives with a 30 kWh battery would result in a total energy storage of 7.5 TWh. In other words, if we count on electric cars to store the surplus of renewable electricity, their batteries would need to be 60 times larger than they are today (and that’s without allowing for the fact that electric cars will substantially increase power consumption).

Taking into account a charging/discharging efficiency of 85%, manufacturing 460 TWh of lithium-ion batteries would require 644 million Terajoule of primary energy, which is equal to 15 times the annual primary energy use in Europe. [36] This energy investment would be required at minimum every twenty years, which is the most optimistic life expectancy of lithium-ion batteries. There are many other technologies for storing excess electricity from renewable power plants, but all have unique disadvantages that make them unattractive on a large scale. [37] [38]

Matching Supply to Demand = Overbuilding the Infrastructure

In conclusion, calculating only the energy payback times of individual solar panels or wind turbines greatly overestimates the sustainability of a renewable power grid. If we want to match supply to demand at all times, we also need to factor in the energy use for overbuilding the power generation and transmission capacity, and the energy use for building the backup generation capacity and/or the energy storage. The need to overbuild the system also increases the costs and the time required to switch to renewable energy.

Calculating only the energy payback times of individual solar panels or wind turbines greatly overestimates the sustainability of a renewable power grid.

Combining different strategies is a more synergistic approach which improves the sustainability of a renewable power grid, but these advantages are not large enough to provide a fundamental solution. [33] [39] [40]

Building solar panels, wind turbines, transmission lines, balancing capacity and energy storage using renewable energy instead of fossil fuels doesn’t solve the problem either, because it also assumes an overbuilding of the infrastructure: we would need to build an extra renewable energy infrastructure to build the renewable energy infrastructure.

Adjusting Demand to Supply

However, this doesn’t mean that a sustainable renewable power grid is impossible. There’s a fifth strategy, which does not try to match supply to demand, but instead aims to match demand to supply. In this scenario, renewable energy would ideally be used only when it’s available.

If we could manage to adjust all energy demand to variable solar and wind resources, there would be no need for grid extensions, balancing capacity or overbuilding renewable power plants. Likewise, all the energy produced by solar panels and wind turbines would be utilised, with no transmission losses and no need for curtailment or energy storage.

Moulbaix Belgium  the windmill de la Marquise XVII XVIIIth centuries

Windmill in Moulbaix, Belgium, 17th/18th century. Image: Jean-Pol GrandMont.

Of course, adjusting energy demand to energy supply at all times is impossible, because not all energy using activities can be postponed. However, the adjustment of energy demand to supply should take priority, while the other strategies should play a supportive role. If we let go of the need to match energy demand for 24 hours a day and 365 days a year, a renewable power grid could be built much faster and at a lower cost, making it more sustainable overall.

If we could manage to adjust all energy demand to variable solar and wind resources, there would no need for energy storage, grid extensions, balancing capacity or overbuilding renewable power plants.

With regards to this adjustment, even small compromises yield very beneficial results. For example, if the UK would accept electricity shortages for 65 days a year, it could be powered by a 100% renewable power grid (solar, wind, wave & tidal power) without the need for energy storage, a backup capacity of fossil fuel power plants, or a large overcapacity of power generators. [29]

If demand management is discussed at all these days, it’s usually limited to so-called ‘smart’ household devices, like washing machines or dishwashers that automatically turn on when renewable energy supply is plentiful. However, these ideas are only scratching the surface of what’s possible.

Before the Industrial Revolution, both industry and transportation were largely dependent on intermittent renewable energy sources. The variability in the supply was almost entirely solved by adjusting energy demand. For example, windmills and sailing boats only operated when the wind was blowing. In the next article, I will explain how this historical approach could be successfully applied to modern industry and cargo transportation.

Kris De Decker (edited by Jenna Collett)


Sources:

[1] Swart, R. J., et al. Europe’s onshore and offshore wind energy potential, an assessment of environmental and economic constraints. No. 6/2009. European Environment Agency, 2009.

[2] Lopez, Anthony, et al. US renewable energy technical potentials: a GIS-based analysis. NREL, 2012. See also Here’s how much of the world would need to be covered in solar panels to power Earth, Business Insider, October 2015.

[3] Hart, Elaine K., Eric D. Stoutenburg, and Mark Z. Jacobson. “The potential of intermittent renewables to meet electric power demand: current methods and emerging analytical techniques.” Proceedings of the IEEE 100.2 (2012): 322-334.

[4] Ambec, Stefan, and Claude Crampes. Electricity production with intermittent sources of energy. No. 10.07. 313. LERNA, University of Toulouse, 2010.

[5] Mulder, F. M. “Implications of diurnal and seasonal variations in renewable energy generation for large scale energy storage.” Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy 6.3 (2014): 033105.

[6] INITIATIVE, MIT ENERGY. “Managing large-scale penetration of intermittent renewables.” (2012).

[7] Richard Perez, Mathieu David, Thomas E. Hoff, Mohammad Jamaly, Sergey Kivalov, Jan Kleissl, Philippe Lauret and Marc Perez (2016), “Spatial and temporal variability of solar energy“, Foundations and Trends in Renewable Energy: Vol. 1: No. 1, pp 1-44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/2700000006

[8] Sun Angle and Insolation. FTExploring.

[9]  Sun position calculator, Sun Earth Tools.

[10] Burgess, Paul. ” Variation in light intensity at different latitudes and seasons effects of cloud cover, and the amounts of direct and diffused light.” Forres, UK: Continuous Cover Forestry Group. Available online at http://www. ccfg. org. uk/conferences/downloads/P_Burgess. pdf. 2009.

[11] Solar output can be increased, especially in winter, by tilting solar panels so that they make a 90 degree angle with the sun’s rays. However, this only addresses the spreading out of solar irradiation and has no effect on the energy lost because of the greater air mass, nor on the amount of daylight hours. Furthermore, tilting the panels is always a compromise. A panel that’s ideally tilted for the winter sun will be less efficient in the summer sun, and the other way around.

[12] Schaber, Katrin, Florian Steinke, and Thomas Hamacher. “Transmission grid extensions for the integration of variable renewable energies in europe: who benefits where?.” Energy Policy 43 (2012): 123-135.

[13] German offshore wind capacity factors, Energy Numbers, July 2017

[14] What are the capacity factors of America’s wind farms? Carbon Counter, 24 July 2015.

[15] Sorensen, Bent. Renewable Energy: physics, engineering, environmental impacts, economics & planning; Fourth Edition. Elsevier Ltd, 2010.

[16] Jerez, S., et al. “The Impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on Renewable Energy Resources in Southwestern Europe.” Journal of applied meteorology and climatology 52.10 (2013): 2204-2225.

[17] Eerme, Kalju. “Interannual and intraseasonal variations of the available solar radiation.” Solar Radiation. InTech, 2012.

[18] Archer, Cristina L., and Mark Z. Jacobson. “Geographical and seasonal variability of the global practical wind resources.” Applied Geography 45 (2013): 119-130.

[19] Rugolo, Jason, and Michael J. Aziz. “Electricity storage for intermittent renewable sources.” Energy & Environmental Science 5.5 (2012): 7151-7160.

[20] Even at today’s relatively low shares of renewables, curtailment is already happening, caused by either transmission congestion, insufficient transmission availability, or minimal operating levels on thermal generators (coal and atomic power plants are designed to operate continuously). See: “Wind and solar curtailment”, Debra Lew et al., National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2013. For example, in China, now the world’s top wind power producer, nearly one-fifth of total wind power is curtailed. See: Chinese wind earnings under pressure with fifth of farms idle, Sue-Lin Wong & Charlie Zhu, Reuters, May 17, 2015.

[21] Barnhart, Charles J., et al. “The energetic implications of curtailing versus storing solar- and wind-generated electricity.” Energy & Environmental Science 6.10 (2013): 2804-2810.

[22] Schaber, Katrin, et al. “Parametric study of variable renewable energy integration in europe: advantages and costs of transmission grid extensions.” Energy Policy 42 (2012): 498-508.

[23] Schaber, Katrin, Florian Steinke, and Thomas Hamacher. “Managing temporary oversupply from renewables efficiently: electricity storage versus energy sector coupling in Germany.” International Energy Workshop, Paris. 2013.

[24] Underground cables can partly overcome this problem, but they are about 6 times more expensive than overhead lines.

[25] Szarka, Joseph, et al., eds. Learning from wind power: governance, societal and policy perspectives on sustainable energy. Palgrave Macmillan, 2012.

[26] Rodriguez, Rolando A., et al. “Transmission needs across a fully renewable european storage system.” Renewable Energy 63 (2014): 467-476.

[27] Furthermore, new transmission capacity is often required to connect renewable power plants to the rest of the grid in the first place — solar and wind farms must be co-located with the resource itself, and often these locations are far from the place where the power will be used.

[28] Becker, Sarah, et al. “Transmission grid extensions during the build-up of a fully renewable pan-European electricity supply.” Energy 64 (2014): 404-418.

[29] Zero Carbon britain: Rethinking the Future, Paul Allen et al., Centre for Alternative Technology, 2013

[30] Wave energy often correlates with wind power: if there’s no wind, there’s usually no waves.

[31] Building even larger supergrids to take advantage of even wider geographical regions, or even the whole planet, could make the need for balancing capacity largely redundant. However, this could only be done at very high costs and increased transmission losses. The transmission costs increase faster than linear with distance traveled since also the amount of peak power to be transported will grow with the surface area that is connected. [5] Practical obstacles also abound. For example, supergrids assume peace and good understanding between and within countries, as well as equal interests, while in reality some benefit much more from interconnection than others. [22]

[32] Heide, Dominik, et al. “Seasonal optimal mix of wind and solar power in a future, highly renewable Europe.” Renewable Energy 35.11 (2010): 2483-2489.

[33] Rasmussen, Morten Grud, Gorm Bruun Andresen, and Martin Greiner. “Storage and balancing synergies in a fully or highly renewable pan-european system.” Energy Policy 51 (2012): 642-651.

[34] Weitemeyer, Stefan, et al. “Integration of renewable energy sources in future power systems: the role of storage.” Renewable Energy 75 (2015): 14-20.

[35] Assessment of the European potential for pumped hydropower energy storage, Marcos Gimeno-Gutiérrez et al., European Commission, 2013

[36] The calculation is based on the data in this article: How sustainable is stored sunlight? Kris De Decker, Low-tech Magazine, 2015.

[37] Evans, Annette, Vladimir Strezov, and Tim J. Evans. “Assessment of utility energy storage options for increased renewable energy penetration.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 16.6 (2012): 4141-4147.

[38] Zakeri, Behnam, and Sanna Syri. “Electrical energy storage systems: A comparative life cycle cost analysis.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 42 (2015): 569-596.

[39] Steinke, Florian, Philipp Wolfrum, and Clemens Hoffmann. “Grid vs. storage in a 100% renewable Europe.” Renewable Energy 50 (2013): 826-832.

[40] Heide, Dominik, et al. “Reduced storage and balancing needs in a fully renewable European power system with excess wind and solar power generation.” Renewable Energy 36.9 (2011): 2515-2523.

Excerpted article originally published in Low Tech Magazine on 13 Sept 2017

Wind and solar are great for off-grid applications. But grid-scale energy is an entirely different animal. Understanding the basics of grid-scale energy allows a thinking person to see through the giga-scams of individuals such as Elon Musk, the Google founders, Tom Steyer, and a long list of green scammers who wish to transfer taxpayer and energy-consumer dollars into their own pockets. In the process they contribute to the degradation of grid stability and power quality while driving energy costs ever upward.

We’re gonna need a lot more guillotines! 😉

More: A future of disruptive change that energy forecasters cannot seem to understand

Posted in Energy, Green Quagmire | Tagged | 3 Comments

A More Relevant Ranking of Top US Universities

University of Chicago

Universities were once meant to expose young people to “the universe” of rational schools of thought. The diversity of ideas and freedom of expression were once of paramount importance, before political correctness took over. In the interest of full disclosure, university rankings should take into account the degree to which schools are devoted to exposing youth to a broad range of thinkers and to the principles of freedom of speech. Unfortunately, the major university rankings ignore this component of academia, and thus generally render themselves almost worthless to parents and prospective undergraduates.

The Heterodox Academy compiles a ranking of US universities which ranks universities by freedom of speech and levels of idea diversity at all levels — among students, faculty, and administrative staff. Methodology

Note: The shortened table below is truncated from the full table at the HeterodoxAcademy.org website.

Heterodox Academy Ranking of US Universities

HxA SCORE

SCHOOL

HxA MEMBERS

US News RANK

ENDORSED CHICAGO

FIRE RATING

ISI RATING

98 U of Chicago

Chicago IL

5 3 Yes GREEN GREEN GREEN GREEN
81 College of William and Mary

Williamsburg VA

2 32 No GREEN GREEN GREEN
81 George Mason U

Fairfax VA

7 140 No GREEN GREEN GREEN
81 U of Tennessee – Knoxville

Knoxville TN

2 103 No GREEN GREEN GREEN
78 Carnegie Mellon U

Pittsburgh PA

1 25 No GREEN GREEN
78 U of Florida

Gainesville FL

2 42 No GREEN GREEN
78 U of Mississippi – Oxford

University MS

0 145 No GREEN GREEN
78 U of North Carolina – Chapel Hill

Chapel Hill NC

2 30 No GREEN GREEN
78 U of Utah – Salt Lake City

Salt Lake City UT

3 110 No GREEN GREEN
78 U of Virginia

Charlottesville VA

9 25 No GREEN GREEN
69 Arizona State U

Tempe AZ

4 115 No GREEN UNRATED GREEN
69 U of Maryland – College Park

College Park MD

4 61 No GREEN GREEN RED RED
68 Purdue U

West Lafayette IN

1 56 Yes GREEN UNRATED GREEN
68 Washington U – St. Louis

St. Louis MO

3 18 Yes YELLOW GREEN GREEN
63 Villanova U

Villanova PA

3 46 No UNRATED GREEN GREEN
61 Oregon State U

Corvallis OR

1 145 No GREEN UNRATED RED
59 Princeton U

Princeton NJ

7 1 Yes RED GREEN GREEN RED
59 Texas
A & M

College Station TX

4 69 No YELLOW GREEN GREEN
59 U of Pennsylvania

Philadelphia PA

10 8 No GREEN YELLOW
59 Auburn U

Auburn AL

2 103 No YELLOW GREEN GREEN
55 California Institute of Technology

Pasadena CA

0 10 No YELLOW GREEN
55 Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Cambridge MA

3 5 No YELLOW GREEN
55 Southern Methodist U

Dallas TX

2 61 No YELLOW GREEN
55 SUNY – Binghamton

Binghamton NY

0 87 No YELLOW GREEN
55 U of Connecticut

Storrs CT

2 56 No YELLOW GREEN
55 U of Kentucky – Lexington

Lexington KY

7 133 No YELLOW GREEN
55 U of New Hampshire

Durham NH

0 103 No YELLOW GREEN
51 North Carolina State U

Raleigh NC

2 81 No YELLOW GREEN RED
51 U of Nebraska – Lincoln

Lincoln NE

4 124 No YELLOW GREEN RED
50 Louisiana State U

Baton Rouge LA

3 133 Yes RED GREEN RED
50 Pepperdine U

Malibu CA

2 46 No WARNING GREEN GREEN
50 U of Wisconsin – Madison

Madison WI

5 46 Yes YELLOW YELLOW GREEN
49 Columbia U

New York NY

9 5 Yes YELLOW YELLOW GREEN
48 Baylor U

Waco TX

7 75 No WARNING GREEN
48 Boston College

Chestnut Hill MA

4 32 No RED GREEN
48 Florida State U

Tallahassee FL

4 81 No RED GREEN
48 Tulane U

New Orleans LA

2 40 No RED GREEN
48 U of California – Santa Barbara

Santa Barbara CA

7 37 No YELLOW GREEN RED
48 U of Georgia – Athens

Athens GA

4 54 No RED GREEN
48 U of Kansas – Lawrence

Lawrence KS

0 115 No RED GREEN YELLOW
48 U of Michigan – Ann Arbor

Ann Arbor MI

9 28 No RED GREEN
48 U of Oklahoma – Norman

Norman OK

4 97 No YELLOW GREEN RED
48 Wake Forest U

Winston-Salem NC

1 27 No RED GREEN
46 Michigan State U

East Lansing MI

7 81 No YELLOW UNRATED GREEN
44 Duke U

Durham NC

9 9 No GREEN RED RED RED
44 Syracuse U

Syracuse NY

5 61 No RED UNRATED RED GREEN
44 U of Minnesota – Twin-Cities

Minneapolis MN

4 69 Yes YELLOW YELLOW RED GREEN
44 Virginia Tech

Blacksburg VA

5 69 No YELLOW UNRATED RED GREEN
43 The Ohio State U – Columbus

Columbus OH

9 54 No YELLOW YELLOW GREEN GREEN
43 Vanderbilt U

Nashville TN

5 14 Yes YELLOW RED GREEN
43 Washington State U

Pullman WA

1 140 No YELLOW UNRATED
41 Dartmouth College

Hanover NH

5 11 No YELLOW YELLOW GREEN
40 U of Rochester

Rochester NY

0 34 No YELLOW UNRATED RED
40 Johns Hopkins U

Baltimore MD

4 11 Yes RED YELLOW RED GREEN
40 Brandeis U

Waltham MA

1 34 No YELLOW YELLOW GREEN
39 American U

Washington D.C.

3 69 Yes RED UNRATED RED GREEN RED
39 Colorado State U

Fort Collins CO

2 124 No YELLOW UNRATED RED
38 Case Western Reserve U

Cleveland OH

2 37 No RED UNRATED GREEN
38 Loyola U – Chicago

Chicago IL

1 103 No UNRATED UNRATED RED
38 Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

Troy NY

0 42 No RED UNRATED GREEN
36 Iowa State U

Ames IA

4 115 No RED UNRATED GREEN RED
36 Stanford U

Palo Alto CA

7 5 No YELLOW YELLOW
36 Temple U

Philadelphia PA

3 115 No YELLOW YELLOW
36 U of Arizona – Tucson

Tucson AZ

4 124 No YELLOW YELLOW
36 U of Arkansas – Fayetteville

Fayetteville AR

2 133 No YELLOW YELLOW
36 U of Colorado – Boulder

Boulder CO

3 90 No YELLOW YELLOW
36 U of Delaware

Newark DE

2 81 No YELLOW YELLOW
36 U of Iowa

Iowa City IA

4 78 No YELLOW YELLOW YELLOW
36 U of Washington

Seattle WA

10 56 No YELLOW YELLOW
35 U of California – Irvine

Irvine CA

6 42 No YELLOW UNRATED RED
35 U of California – Santa Cruz

Santa Cruz CA

3 81 No YELLOW UNRATED RED
35 U of Massachusetts – Amherst

Amherst MA

2 75 No YELLOW RED GREEN YELLOW
35 Depaul U

Chicago IL

1 120 No UNRATED UNRATED RED RED
34 Georgetown U

Washington D.C.

3 20 Yes RED YELLOW GREEN RED
34 U of California – Davis

Davis CA

1 46 No YELLOW UNRATED RED RED
33 U of Illinois – Urbana-Champaign

Champaign IL

6 52 No YELLOW YELLOW RED
33 U of Missouri – Columbia

Columbia MO

7 120 Yes YELLOW RED RED
31 Drexel U

Philadelphia PA

0 94 No RED UNRATED RED
31 Pennsylvania State U

State College PA

8 52 No RED YELLOW GREEN
31 U of Southern California

Los Angeles CA

4 21 No YELLOW YELLOW RED
30 George Washington U

Washington D.C.

1 56 No RED UNRATED RED YELLOW
30 Indiana U – Bloomington

Bloomington IN

8 90 No YELLOW RED
30 St. Louis U

St. Louis MO

2 94 No WARNING UNRATED RED
30 SUNY – Buffalo

Buffalo NY

5 97 No RED UNRATED RED
30 U of Alabama – Tuscaloosa

Tuscaloosa AL

2 110 No YELLOW GREEN
30 U of California – San Diego

La Jolla CA

3 42 No YELLOW UNRATED RED RED
30 U of Vermont

Burlington VT

3 97 No YELLOW RED
29 Rice U

Houston TX

0 14 No RED YELLOW
29 U of Notre Dame

Notre Dame IN

4 18 No RED YELLOW
29 Tufts U

Medford MA

2 29 No RED YELLOW
29 U of Texas – Austin

Austin TX

10 56 No RED YELLOW
28 Brown U

Providence RI

3 14 No YELLOW YELLOW RED RED GREEN
28 Emory U

Atlanta GA

7 21 No RED YELLOW RED GREEN
28 Marquette U

Milwaukee WI

1 90 No RED UNRATED RED
28 U of California – Riverside

Riverside CA

3 124 No RED UNRATED RED
28 U of Tulsa

Tulsa OK

1 87 No RED UNRATED RED
26 Yale U

New Haven CT

4 3 No YELLOW YELLOW RED
25 Cornell U

Ithaca NY

8 14 No YELLOW YELLOW RED RED RED
25 Fordham U

New York NY

2 61 No RED YELLOW RED
24 Rutgers U – New Brunswick

New Brunswick NJ

5 69 No YELLOW RED RED RED
24 U of California – Los Angeles

Los Angeles CA

10 21 No YELLOW YELLOW RED RED
23 U of California – Berkeley

Berkeley CA

8 21 No YELLOW YELLOW RED YELLOW
22 Georgia Tech

Atlanta GA

4 34 No YELLOW RED RED
20 New York U

New York NY

12 30 No RED YELLOW RED RED
19 Northwestern U

Evanston IL

9 11 No RED YELLOW YELLOW RED
16 Harvard U

Cambridge MA

21 2 No RED YELLOW RED RED
15 U of Oregon – Eugene

Eugene OR

0 103 No RED RED RED

Full Table at HeterodoxAcademy.org

Foundation for Individual Rights in Education (FIRE)

ISI (Intercollegiate Studies Institute) Rankings

HeterodoxAcademy.org Home: Useful articles on the struggle to free universities from the grip of politically correct orthodoxy.

Support Free Speech at Berkeley:

Posted in Groupthink, Politics, University | Tagged | Leave a comment

Trump’s Long Game: Behind a Smokescreen of Tweets


Trump did not go through the arduous journey of running for office and being elected US President just so he could spend his time sending out tweets. Behind the curtain, some things are actually getting done.

Trump’s Long Game Achievements Have Just Begun

Trump’s New Constitution-Friendly Judges

President Trump’s federal judicial nominees promise to bring the US Constitution back into is rightful place in the judicial scheme of things.

So while the public watches Trump churn through White House staff members, his Administration is humming along nicely in filling federal judgeships, with the enthusiastic assistance of the Republican majority in the Senate. __ More Constitution-Friendly Judges

Suicidal Obama Employment Practices Being Shut Down

Obama’s job-killing machine is in the process of being shut down by a new Trump-designated Republican majority – yet another reason why employers are feeling more confident about the future these days.

Illegal Immigration Down

… back and forth analysis regarding the long-promised “wall” has diverted attention from the fundamental issue: how best to restore security to our southern border. Yet, illegal border crossings are down dramatically. It appears that jawboning from the president and improved morale among border patrol officers has made a difference.

Title IX Overreach Being Turned Back

New Education Secretary Betsy DeVos has promised to level the playing field – to the shock and dismay of progressive activists.

Obama’s Insane Housing Policy Reversed

The Obama-era Department of Housing and Urban Development was deeply interested in pre-empting local zoning ordinances. The narrative is familiar: pick any subdivision where racial housing patterns are not to the federal government’s liking, accuse the locals of discriminatory zoning practices, then negotiate a “settlement” that mandates the construction of new low-cost housing units even where there is no evidence of discrimination and the challenged local zoning laws are shown to be race-neutral. This mindset is a major departure from the notion that people should be free to live where they can afford to live. It is expected that Ben Carson’s HUD will re-establish this view. Score one for common sense, restored.

Source for above excerpts

The economy responds to Trump deregulation

59-item partial list of Trump’s accomplishments through early summer of 2017.

Trump’s Greatest Achievement is Trouncing Hillary

Keeping Hillary Clinton out of the White House gave Trump the opportunity to begin reversing Obama’s assault against the US Constitution, against the US economy, and against the US as a place of optimism and opportunity. Releasing the US from Obama’s suffocating shackles can go a long way toward restoring optimism and opportunity to American society. From there, reversing harmful Bush and Clinton-era policies would be most helpful.

Government spending is the biggest threat to long term prosperity in the US, but the nation is so deeply addicted to all the forms of entitlement, military, and special interest spending, that dismantling that booby-trapped can of worms will take decades.

Another deadly time bomb which President Trump must deal with, is the “divide and conquer” policy of leftist multicultural identity politics — meant to prevent domestic peace and stop the achievement of a harmonious broad-based prosperity. Ongoing race riots in St. Louis reveal the underlying threat of left-sponsored and incited violence which exists in large US cities from coast to coast. Obama helped to build this bomb and much wiser heads will have to defuse it.

Behind a Smokescreen of Tweets

Angry media birds screech and claw endlessly at Trump, hoping to score a fatal blow with their little beaks and claws. Obsessed over Trump’s tweets, media twits cannot get it into their bird brains that their own obviously biased coverage of news and politics is one of the largest reasons for the election of Trump in the first place.

While the news and entertainment media allows itself to be sidetracked by inconsequential tweets, President Trump’s US base is more firmly behind Trump than ever. And the general antipathy against the US news and entertainment media only grows — not because of Trump’s words, but because of transparent media bias.

Trump Has Been in Office almost 8 Months

In just 8 months President Trump has made a start to restoring US Constitutional values and “common sense” to much of the monstrously dysfunctional US government. In doing so, he has been attacked at every turn by news & entertainment media, by academia, by deep state government infiltrators, by leftist billionaire provocateurs, by Kim of North Korea, and by all the dictators of the one-party states of the world.

Trump has barely begun to upset the corrupt and vicious national and world orders that have been so comfortably ensconced during the Obama years and before. Time will tell how much he will be able to achieve along these lines.

In other news elsewhere:

Canada has lots of millionaires

China shows an ugly hand and potential investors are certain to notice.

Russia is [a] minor power in purely economic terms, with a $1.2 trillion GDP compared to $1.4 trillion for South Korea, $11 trillion for China and nearly $19 trillion for the United States. For Russia, the economic news is not the worst problem they face. The sanctions and corruption caused another serious problem that the Russian government would rather not discuss (but are well aware of); the flight of investors and talented people from Russia. The investors and talent are mainly seeking better opportunities. The corruption makes investors (be they Russian or foreign) uneasy because the lack or legal protections makes for a very unpredictable economic environment. The same incentives drive talent away. Since 2013 over a million such people (most of them Russian citizens the rest disillusioned foreigners) have gone and the exodus continues. ____Russia’s problems continue…

Ben Shapiro finally takes the stage at UC Berkeley:

Trump’s Quiet Triumphs

Posted in Donald Trump, Politics | Tagged | 1 Comment

Bernie Sanders: Still Honeymooning in the USSR

Bernie Sanders took his newlywed wife Jane to Yaroslavl, northeast of Moscow. It seemed an appropriate honeymoon spot to Burlington Vermont’s Marxist mayor. And so newly-wedded Bernie took his new bride to the USSR as an affirmation of their love and life together.

In his mind, Bernie is still honeymooning in the USSR.

Sanders made further globe-trotting expeditions to socialist countries. He visited Cuba, scoring a meeting with Havana’s mayor. In 1985 he attended the celebrations marking the sixth anniversary of the Sandinista revolution in Nicaragua.

__ Source

Besides Cuba, Nicaragua, and the USSR, Venezuela is another marxist paradise which Bernie Sanders loves and would like the US to emulate.

Times are Tough for Bernie

Bernie Helps to Resurrect Marxism from its Academic Tomb

Compared to Hillary Clinton, Sanders must have seemed like a fresh new political dream for many US youngsters, never exposed to the real world in any meaningful way. Bernie made them feel that socialism could work — if it were only done right!

Marxism isn’t done. It’s alive and well. Every time it fails, it re-brands itself, peddles itself to the next generation of wishful thinkers, and wrecks another country. Venezuela is the most recent, glaring example. The U.S. may be wrecked in time, too, because the proselytizers of Marxism (under various types of shiny Christmas wrapping) infest our university system, the entertainment establishment, the news media, and government. __ More at Source

Single Payer Universal Health Care Bernie’s Calling Card

There is a significant price to be paid for socialism — and it is always paid, eventually. But kindly looking hucksters such as Bernie never talk about such things in the sales pitch.

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) introduced new legislation yesterday to expand Medicare to everyone in the United States. The bill, which came with 15 Democratic co-sponsors, envisions universal coverage, paid for by tax increases, that would be far more generous than what is offered by any other first-world government-run health care system offers.

Notably absent from Sanders’ proposed single-payer system was a detailed plan to pay for it. The senator said he would lay out the tax hikes necessary to fund his new system in separate legislation. __ Reason

Spending Other People’s Money Until There is None Left

Marxist socialists assume that they can always dredge up more of “other people’s money” to throw at problems and to satisfy their enthusiastic naif backers. But as we have seen in failed socialist paradises such as Venezuela, Cuba, Nicaragua, the USSR, the several nations of the former Warsaw Pact, Pol Pot’s Cambodia, and the barely-saved-by-reforms Communist China, the bill always comes due. Default, bankruptcy, and upheaval generally follow.

Modern university students, graduates, and dropouts swarm in the streets in violent support of Bernie Sanders, and his many quasi-Marxist imitators in contemporary politics. They do not know any better, so do not necessarily deserve the consequences which their actions would ordinarily bring upon them. If they choose to stay in their academically spun cocoons of ignorance, however, their end will not be a pretty one.

The Bernie Sanders generation of new leftists: Making free speech a capital crime.

Posted in Groupthink, Medicine, Politics | Tagged | 1 Comment

The Engineering Apocalypse: David Goldman “Spengler”

Update:

Can the “Engineering Apocalypse” save China from its perfect storm?

According to the South China Morning Post, the impending economic crisis is rooted in expansive fiscal policy, increased government spending, rising property values, extremely lax monetary policies, record-high bank lending, and exploitation of regulatory loopholes. __ China’s Perfect Storm

How the World Ends?
Image Source


According to “Spengler:”

Only 8 percent of American undergraduates choose engineering as a major, compared to more than 30 percent in China (which now graduates four times as many engineers as the United States).

__ David Goldman’s Apocalypse

What about China’s engineers — the ones educated inside China?

China’s figures include graduates from 2 and 3 year programs and vocational fields such as car repair. U.S. numbers, in contrast, exclude computer science and information technology majors, which Gereffi and Wadhwa argue should fall under a broad definition of engineering. Their reanalysis of the 2004 numbers found that 137,000 students graduated from rigorous 4 year engineering programs in the United States compared with 351,000 in China and 112,000 in India.

Just how talented are the droves of overseas engineers? “The bottom line is that the Chinese increased quantity at the cost of quality,” says Wadhwa, whose team examined this topic in the January 2008 issue of the Journal of Engineering Education. __ Duke.edu PDF

This is why China sends its most promising young proto-engineers to the UK, US, Canada, Australia, and Europe for training. This will likely remain the case for many years or decades to come.

Inflated Numbers Plague China

China’s provinces lie about their GDP levels. Lying at the national level is perhaps as bad, but more subtle and difficult to prove. More

By looking at a number of underlying statistics — which were until recently not quite as subject to “fudging” by authorities as GDP figures — one begins to understand a small part of the grand deception being put on by “Potemkin China.” Quantities such as “rail car loadings, truck loadings, cement consumption, steel consumption, exports, natural gas consumption, electricity consumption” [Source] tell a different story than official government claims. These underlying economic statistics are now almost certainly being altered by government statisticians to fit official GDP pronouncements. But before 2016, they provided an intriguing window into official Chinese deception.

“It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out the growth in old China for the past year or so has been somewhere around zero — it’s nothing like 6.8 percent,” Straszheim said, explaining that the “new” China of services and consumer spending is tough to measure in the absence of robust data from the private sector. __ Source

China’s Quality Problem is the Real Story

Poor Quality Chinese Concrete Leads to Building Collapse. The problem is built into the system, particularly in the corrupt nature of the Party – Banking – Industrial complex. Chinese steel suffers from the same quality control problems as Chinese concrete.

Corners are cut at every level due to corrupt incentives.

“For every one Chinese company that is improving [product quality], there are probably 10 out there that are still cutting corners and two [other] new companies are coming into the market by cutting more corners.” __ Wharton Business School

Bottom Up Incentives are Just as Bad as Corrupt Top Down Incentive

Chinese consumers share part of the blame for the abysmal state of Chinese manufacturing.

Chinese consumers are not generally looking at quality; it is assumed that if you want quality, then you buy the best one; otherwise just buy the cheap one. So manufacturers are not rewarded for making incrementally better products.

… with lax enforcement of a lot of product safety requirements, many Chinese domestic suppliers become accustomed to cutting corners where possible. Plastic too expensive? Add some re-grind material back into the hopper. Solder hard to work with? Use the one with lead in it, as it flows better. Price of copper rising? Get thinner printed circuit boards. You get the idea. __ Low Quality in China

The same quality control problems occur at the university level, in the training of Chinese engineers. This is a problem that is not likely to be solved for decades more.

The China Bubble is Real at All Levels

The China Bubble extends far beyond real estate. At all levels, China inflates its image and its reality far beyond healthy levels — in an attempt to impress and intimidate particular troublesome, gullible, and potentially influential actors on the world stage.

China Steals, Pirates, Poisons, and Corrupts Everything

If you pay attention to mainstream media, you will miss 99% of what is important. The media has a particular narrative that its wealthy owners wish to promote. That narrative-agenda does not include informing the public, so most crucial information about what happens in the world is left out — including what is happening in China. Censorship takes many forms, and is not just ubiquitous in the usual one-party nations of oppression.

China grew rich economically via foreign direct investment and technology transfer. Its huge consumer market combined with a cheap and willing labour force enticed large and wealthy commercial powers to invest in China, and to take the chance of transferring critical technology to China. China Inc. turned around and stole – reverse engineered – pirated and otherwise co-opted the property of others for itself.

In the process of China’s rapid growth and expansion of the 1980s, 1990s, and 2000s, its air – water – soil – and food were poisoned. The toxicity and corruption that naturally grew up at all levels of Chinese society laid the groundwork for a near infinity of future problems that will never show up in the GDP calculations explicitly. But by poisoning and corrupting the things it controlled, China was forced to continue moving outward from the dead zones of destruction, seeking ever more pristine lands to spoil.

The nearly 50 million Chinese killed by Mao’s “cultural revolution” are considered something from the past, not likely to be repeated. But the ongoing “Bloody Harvest” of today’s political dissidents is constantly being airbrushed out of the picture. No, nothing has really changed. And that presents a problem — and a built-in limitation — on what China can ultimately achieve.

These are things that China promoters choose not to discuss publicly. But whether spoken of or not, reality follows its own path — regardless of the official narrative.

Remember: China is growing old before it can bring prosperity to the masses of its people. The one child policy has become engrained into the psyche of China, so that it continues in a de facto manor long after it is no longer law. In most of China there are no brothers and sisters, no cousins, no uncles or aunts, no family networks. It is a society of alienation where saying the wrong word can make you an organ provider.

China cannot help shooting itself in the foot. Hey Xing: Potential investors are paying attention!

http://www.chinaurbandevelopment.com/on-poor-quality-corruption-and-construction-in-china/

Posted in China, Economics | Tagged | 1 Comment

Kids Have Got Nothing to Live For

Nothing to Live For?

Kids need goals and values. Without them, a natural nihilism sets in which resonates wildly with others of their age cohort. Without direction, without self-discipline, without well developed pre-frontal executive functions, they are lost.

And so naturally they turn away from competent achievement and instead turn to drugs, drink, porn, sex, escapist entertainments, suicide, and a mindless radicalism. Who took away the young dreams and goals of childhood? Who ripped the precious potential from these youngsters and shoved their faces into the excrement? They called it the “cultural revolution.” What did it achieve?

Today, the consequences of that cultural revolution are all around us: lagging education levels, the lowest male work-force participation rate since the Great Depression, opioid abuse, and high illegitimacy rates. Wax and Alexander catalogue the self-defeating behaviors that leave too many Americans idle, addicted, or in prison: “the single-parent, antisocial habits, prevalent among some working-class whites; the anti-‘acting white’ rap culture of inner-city blacks; the anti-assimilation ideas gaining ground among some Hispanic immigrants.” __ Manhattan Institute

Rather than a “cultural revolution,” what was delivered to society was a cultural devolution and decline.

Or as we mentioned here in a recent posting: “A rabid and rampant postmodernism has been systematically taking away all the things that western people have traditionally lived for: Religion, family, opportunity, freedom to associate, rule of law, property rights, and much more. Escapism via drugs, fantasy, porn, and delusional ideological crusades are all that is left for too many. The Dangerous Child Movement is a direct counter to these irrational and nihilistic trends.”

University is the Cutting Edge of Cultural Decline

It is not correct to blame the 1960s radicals for the onset of the cultural decline of postmodernism. By the 1960s the process was already well underway among prominent intellectuals in university, media, and various levels of government. But it was not until the radicalised children of the ’60s took over university classrooms that the process of decline began its steep slide toward modern levels of pointlessness.

Greatest Sources of Decline: University, Media, Government

There is no avoiding this decline. It pervades the educational systems of the west at all levels. All forms of media drown society in escapism and ennui, utilising every trick in the book to distract minds from things that actually matter. And government policies make sure that there is no escaping the rot. Government regulations, taxation, suicidal monetary and fiscal policies, and preferential treatment favoring oppressing institutions and parasitic groups destroys most opportunity and sucks the energy out the entire population — except the elites who ride above it all.

These are the enemies of the future. Study them well. Pay attention to their influences, their strengths, their weaknesses. We’re gonna need a lot more guillotines! 🙂

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. It is never too late for a Dangerous Childhood.

Nothing to Live For
Source

Posted in Groupthink, University | Tagged , | 1 Comment

A Fundamental Misunderstanding of Disruptive Innovation

Brian Wang discusses future disruptive technologies as if the disruptors of the past will also be the disruptors of the future:

Technological disruptors like Elon Musk, Google and Amazon will force industries and companies to accelerate or die. Companies will have to accelerate innovation and move to bolder innovation and attempt to shift to technological leapfrogging and shoot for far more aggressive productivity gains.

_____ https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2017/08/technological-disruptors-and-not-tech-singularity-will-force-companies-to-accelerate-or-die.html

Unfortunately, the “technological disruptors” mentioned by Wang are no longer the young eager disruptors they may once have been:

For all its talk about “disruption,” Silicon Valley is increasingly about three things: money, hierarchy, and conformity. __ Evil Google and Friends

They have become just another part of the power monolith that crushes opportunity and genuine disruptive innovation.

Historically, disruptors too often turn into elitist oppressors. This retreat from disruption often sows the seeds of their own destruction. Successful disruptors of the past become so big and entrenched that they become hesitant to do anything that will “rock the boat” that brought them to the top of the market. They are forced by their success to invest in staid and mediocre “incremental innovation” at the expense of potentially “disruptive innovation.” Radical new technologies threaten the very foundations of their present wealth-generating machines, and siphon off investment and personnel which might have gone to making their golden geese lay ever larger eggs.

No, these rapidly fossilizing giants are doing incremental innovation — no matter how impressive the size of the factory or the rocketship.

Disruption is Not Just Bigger and Better

The thing about disruptive technology is it has to actually disrupt something, not just be different. The internet was disruptive, smart phone was disruptive, social media was disruptive, they were because they offered actual capabilities not possible on traditional platforms and those capabilities made the old way obsolete: the internet offered interactive visual rather than just audio and opened up an entirely new form of communication, the smart phone enabled you to go online not just at home, and social media created a new framework for talking to others. Amazon was disruptive too, not because it put certain items on sale, but because it offered fast shipping and convenience not possible in traditional big box stores. In other words, they all offered new capabilities, not just did something differently.

You can’t just call something disruptive because it either aims to disrupt, or just do something differently, disruptive technologies has to offer new capabilities, something once you use you’ll never go back, not just something neat but otherwise you can easily live without.__ Comment at NBF

Formerly disruptive companies who are now on top, no longer have the freedom to risk it all on a disruptive approach. They have too much to lose.

Distinctly Disruptive
Source

… The disruptive innovation can present an opportunity for startup companies since their resources are fresh and they can allocate it toward a new product development.

As one of the big barriers for startups is the competency with large and older enterprises, the disruptive innovation presents a back door for companies to enter the market with a new offering. According to the Performance/Time diagram, the disruptive innovation can achieve higher performance in shorter time comparing with the incremental innovation.

Conventional Wisdom on Disruptive Innovation

The standard mainstream “Clayton Christensen” conception of disruptive innovation is laid out clearly in the articles and websites below. It is a useful introduction to the idea. But if you look at the accompanying graphics within the articles you should notice a weakness within this mainstream approach:


more at Harvard Business Review

The HBR graphic above does not give an accurate picture of either incremental innovation or disruptive innovation. Notice how both “incremental” and “disruptive” innovations are represented by straight lines, have equal slopes, and that the incremental product proceeds merrily to infinity without being influenced at all by the disruptive product. This is not the real world being represented.

More background:

http://www.claytonchristensen.com/key-concepts/

http://disruptiveinnovation.org/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disruptive_innovation

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/06/what-is-disruptive-innovation

The graphic below combined with the topmost graphic on this page provide more realistic information:

In the real world, product growth trends are better represented by sigmoid curve — no matter how well the company implements incremental innovation. Likewise, in the real world, disruptive innovations cause old products, markets, and companies to crash and burn.

Historical Turnover in Fortune 500 Listings

The “survival curve” above demonstrates the accelerating turnover of Fortune 500 companies. It illustrates the effects of disruptive innovation — which is unlikely to slow down anytime soon.

… the Fortune 500 is turning over at a faster and faster rate over time. _ Wired

More

Companies such as Google can try to buck the trend and stay on top, but if their commitment to faux diversity as glimpsed in the James Damore firing is any example of Google’s “flexibility and innovativeness,” then the company is already in trouble. Google’s commitment to a range of green energy scams is another danger sign for the company’s future.

Companies tend to fossilize as soon as they achieve a certain level of success. Overnight successes based upon digital technologies appear particularly susceptible.

Elon Musk’s SpaceX stands apart from his other companies, as a company that provides a much-needed service in an increasingly reliable and affordable manner. It remains an “incremental innovator,” however, and is just as susceptible to disruptive innovations as any other economic enterprise.

Disruptive Innovation is Coming

Disruptive innovation is always coming. And it is a huge threat to the powers that be, and the way that things are done from top to bottom. The most monstrous of modern institutions — media, university, government, old guard corporations and foundations — are most in danger of being undercut. And that is a very good thing, at least for those who are paying attention.

A rabid and rampant postmodernism (video) has been systematically taking away all the things that western people have traditionally lived for: Religion, family, opportunity, freedom to associate, rule of law, property rights, and much more. Escapism via drugs, fantasy, porn, and delusional ideological crusades are all that is left for too many. The Dangerous Child Movement is a direct counter to these irrational and nihilistic trends.

The coming turbulence is not likely to be an opportunity to relax and rest on one’s laurels. Consider how much of your well-being is tied to large institutions, and devise a plan for a rational and measured disengagement. Change is inevitable.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood.

Posted in Disruptive Technologies, Google, Green Quagmire, Groupthink, innovation, Technology, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Simple Solution to Political Violence in America?

Leftists Want to Provoke Violence and Political Warfare
Source


A recent article at the Fabius Maximus website examines recent left-instigated violence in Charlottesville, Evergreen College, Berkeley, Portland OR, and several other locations. The common thread linking these violent episodes of political violence is a vicious leftist intent to deny free speech to anyone who has different beliefs than themselves.

Despite Media Smoke, It is Not About Fighting Nazis

The masked instigators of violence began acting up during the US presidential campaign of 2016. The leftist violence intensified when US President Trump was inaugurated, and has flared up again whenever centrists, libertarians, and conservatives have attempted to give legally permitted public speeches on campuses or in public areas.

According to the masked club-wielding rioters of the left, everyone who is not one of them is by definition a Nazi. And they are not completely sure about each other. 😉 Who are they? Some are frustrated Bernie Sanders supporters. Some are paid astroturfed protestors. Some are mentally ill, or are so steeped in self-righteousness that they may as well be insane. And some are just looking for some excitement.

Not Paradoxically, the Leftists ARE Now the Nazis

Here is a good example of the ilk:

“You failed us,” she continued. “All of you who stood by when we were like, ‘Please, please follow us. The Nazis are that way!’ F**k your f***ing Constitution, f**k your liberal Bernie bullshit. We are here to fight Nazis.”

The woman then declared that if progressives weren’t there to “throw down” with Antifa, then they are “masturbating in the streets.” Makes sense, no?

But that wasn’t the woman’s only crazed outburst. In another video, she is yelling and taunting the non-violent protesters with, “You just want to feel good! F*** you liberals, pink pussy hat bullshit!” __ Source

There is Reason to Believe that Leftists Want to Provoke Ongoing Deadly Violence

Masked Wannabe Killers
Source

Is the Left Marching the Nation to Civil War?

The left’s Marxist intolerance and premeditated violence for the last year and a half has been directed towards the supporters of first candidate Trump and now the President. There have been hundreds and hundreds of left-wing assaults against Trump supporters of all races, genders and creeds… At Berkeley, the Antifa destroyed property and caused millions of dollars worth of damage because they were unhappy that the right wing blogger Milo Yiannopoulos was going to speak there.

… The left claims to be tolerant, and so sensitive to everyone’s feelings and likes to throw around big words like diversity and inclusion, but in actuality, they are tyrants who would have found a home in Nazi Germany or the Soviet Union.

Anyone the left disagrees with must be silenced and usually by force. Anyone the left feels has aggrieved them, must be silenced and usually by force. Any law the left dislikes must be ignored. Any sentence to the US constitution the left despises must be twisted. Any history the left hates must be erased and disappeared permanently from the minds, museums and books of America. __ A Leftist Instigated Civil War

As we have pointed out before, large scale political violence is the fondest wish of leftists in media, university, government, and in other deeply corrupted institutions. Whatever happens will be selectively filtered, smokescreened, framed, and biased by the media. Universities, already the seat of leftist deep-rot, would become burning sewers of total left dominance and violent hate. Knee-jerk reactions by governments would only serve those in high places who long to grab more power for themselves and fellow travelers.

The “simple solution” proposed by the Editor of the Fabius Maximus blog, is to let people express their viewpoints as long as they do so peacefully and lawfully — and to have police and other law enforcement actively keep opposing groups separated. Good advice.

Is it enough to stop the leftist slide to total cultural and societal corruption and rot? How did we get to this point in the first place? The intriguing video below contains many useful clues:

The end result of the post-modernist movement is a “modern ideology of the left,” which is totally intolerant, well financed by leftist billionaires and multi-millionaires, and quite willing to send in the cannon fodder of young blacks, dropouts, and college students to stir up violent coup and counter-coup. This vile ideology has thoroughly infiltrated media organisations, universities and lower education, governments at all levels, many corporations — including the tech industry — and popular culture at large.

Students are being taught by these postmodern professors that there is no truth, that science and empirical facts are tools of oppression by the white patriarchy, and that nearly everyone in America is racist and bigoted, including their own professors, most of whom are liberals or progressives devoted to fighting these social ills.

… If you teach students to be warriors against all power asymmetries, don’t be surprised when they turn on their professors and administrators. This is what happens when you separate facts from values, empiricism from morality, science from the humanities. __ Scientific American

Manufactured Outrage

In other words, the rot simply goes too deep in society’s institutions — and is too well financed by ultra-wealthy ideologues — to expect it to die off by the utilisation of simple constitutional and common-sense means. Even more people are certain to be hurt and killed as a result of this modern leftist nazism and its determination to instigate deadly violence.

Beyond Common Sense and Constitutionalism, What Can be Done?

It is best to avoid violence whenever possible. If a situation seems likely to degenerate into a violent melee, the best course of action is to walk away. If your exit is blocked by violent extremists, it is best to utilise advanced skills of evasion and the absolute minimum of violence necessary to make your exit.

On both the left and the right, society is full of clueless naifs who have never worked an honest day, nor do they have any useful or practical skills or competencies. Losers flock to mass movements of violence, as was seen in the French and Russian revolutions, and in the Nazi ascendancy. The modern leftist and Islamist movements of violence provide further examples.

If one wants to move the battleground onto less violent and more rational terrain, some innovative strategies and tactics may be called for. Think about it.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. It is never too late for a Dangerous Childhood.

More on the postmodernist rot: Jordan Peterson interviews philosopher Stephen Hicks

Links to other exposures:

http://thefederalist.com/2017/08/21/nazi-hunting-fantasies-unhinged-left/

http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/national-party-news/347390-opinion-left-wing-assassination-fantasies-spill-over

http://dailycaller.com/2017/08/22/james-t-hodgkinson-attempted-assassin-of-steve-scalise-already-being-erased-from-history/?utm_source=site-share

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/450626/charlottesville-donald-trump-alt-right-blame-both-sides-wrong

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/450636/re-charlottesville-trump-and-anti-americanism

These days, leftist propaganda is the miasma within which we are forced to live and breathe. One must be much more than ordinary to rise above it. Unfortunately, not having had Dangerous Childhoods, most youth these days are far too ordinary and mediocre.

Posted in Groupthink, Ideology, Media, Politics, Propaganda | Tagged , | 4 Comments

As Much as 2 Trillion Barrels of Recoverable Oil in Texas, N.M.

In the Permian Basin alone, the southwestern US may eventually be found to contain as much as 2 trillion barrels of economically recoverable oil.

“The research we’ve done indicates that we have at least half a trillion barrels in the Permian at reasonable economics, and it could be as high as 2 trillion barrels. That is, as a practical matter, an infinite amount of resource, and it is something that has huge geopolitical consequence for the United States, in a very good way. It has a huge consequence in terms of GDP, and right now it is creating an American energy global ascendancy.” __ Allen Gilmer quoted in Forbes

Oil is Not the Fuel of the Far Future

Oil is the transportation fuel of today and the near to intermediate future. Over the coming decades, transportation will rely more and more on vehicles powered by natural gas and electricity. But between now and then, the world is going to need a lot of oil (and gas). And 2 trillion barrels of oil — in the Permian alone — is a lot of oil.

Advanced Nuclear Energy is the Future — Whether Today’s Obtuse Politicians Understand it or Not

China seems to understand the advantages of nuclear power, and has set aside $78 billion to construct 35 new reactors over the next 4 years! (Source) As nuclear engineers design and build newer and better nuclear reactors, eventually new generations of politicians in the west will come to understand that advanced nuclear power is the future of energy.

… next-gen reactors are more or less impregnable to the weaknesses of their predecessors.

… nuclear reactors would produce 90% of their rated energy capacities at all times compared to solar/wind, which only provides 20%, a figure that is still subject to fluctuations due to climate and weather. Then there’s the issue of compatibility. For generated power to reach the end consumer, it has to be transmitted, and while nuclear power plants connect seamlessly to already existent power grids, solar and wind farms require converters to bridge with the grid in most instances. The cost implications of this and other significant modifications like the implementation of smarter grids to facilitate redundancy make nuclear power more scalable and cost-efficient. __ Alexandro Pando

Modern Societies Are Built on Reliable, Affordable Electric Power and Transportation Fuels

Intelligent and responsible leaders and managers understand the weaknesses and dependencies of their societies — including critical infrastructures. Because they are responsible and intelligent, they avoid policies that would weaken the foundations of their societies’ prosperity and resilience.

Consider then the absurdity of economic, energy, and social policies enacted by Germany’s Merkel or California’s Brown, which cut at their jurisdictions’ ability to function as free and prosperous marketplaces of goods, services, and ideas. It is no accident that energy prices are skyrocketing in such places, and that the risks of power grid brownouts and blackouts are rising concomitantly.

Australia’s ongoing power crisis is of its own making, thanks to foolish political decisions by politicians and bureaucrats. Australia has plenty of uranium, coal, gas, and other reliable sources of energy and does not need to resort to this suicidal foolishness.

There is certainly no shortage of idiotic government officials who seem willing to destroy their societies for the sake of corruption and/or dysfunctional ideology.

We’re gonna need a lot more guillotines!

Note: It’s one thing to be like South Africa and have dangerous shortages of electric power. The average IQ of South Africans is around 72, which does not provide for very many competent engineers, scientists, or technicians. When South Australia — with an average IQ of around 100 — begins having some of the same problems with electric power supplies as South Africa, you know that someone with an IQ of 120 is behaving exactly like someone with an IQ of 80. And that is a big problem.

More:

Shale news

Shale Playes Lower 48

The video below looks at some of the effects of the shale revolution:

Posted in Energy, Nuclear Power, Shale Oil & Gas Revolution | Tagged | 6 Comments

Everything You Believe is Wrong — Laugh at Yourself!

Laugh at yourself and at life.

Not in the spirit of derision or whining self-pity,
but as a remedy, a miracle drug, that will ease your pain,
cure your depression, and help you to put in perspective
that seemingly terrible defeat and worry
with laughter at your predicaments,
thus freeing your mind to think clearly toward the solution
that is certain to come. Never take yourself too seriously.
Og Mandino

source

You may be unaware that like most people, you experience most of your life from inside a hypnotic trance. If you are like most people, you cannot help being in this state.

Laugh Your Way Out of the Bubble

Most babies and young children haven’t yet learned to suppress their natural instinct of joy. Adults have to teach all of that out of them, along with a great deal of brainwashing and trance programming. All of that is necessary in order to mould the child into the groupthinking somnambulism that allows them to be dominated by “their betters.”

But adults can re-learn natural and individual ways of escaping their hypnotic programmes. One of the best means of escape from groupthinking politically correct conformism is through meditation. And the best form of meditation for quick and reliable results is laughter.

Approaches to Laughter Meditation

Dr. Madan Kataria made it his mission in life to spread laughing meditation across the nation of India, and beyond. He incorporated laughter into a simple form of yoga meditation, starting a movement that has now spread to Europe, North America, and other distant regions.

Long History

Laughter meditation goes back many hundreds of years and more, in both the Zen tradition and the yoga tradition. In the west, the 1979 book “Anatomy of an Illness” by Norman Cousins, made laughter meditation respectable in the west — by looking at laughter as a form of therapy for serious illnesses.

Subsequent to the groundbreaking book by Norman Cousins, western medical science has discovered many benefits from laughter:

It reduces pain and allows us to tolerate discomfort.

It reduces blood sugar levels, increasing glucose tolerance in diabetics and nondiabetics alike.

It improves your job performance, especially if your work depends on creativity and solving complex problems. Its role in intimate relationships is vastly underestimated and it really is the glue of good marriages. It synchronizes the brains of speaker and listener so that they are emotionally attuned. __ https://www.psychologytoday.com/articles/200504/laughter-the-best-medicine

But breaking out of one’s lifelong programming in groupthink absurdity may be the most powerful function that laughter can perform for us — in addition to restoring more a more youthful and creative mental outlook to its practitioners.

Everything You Think You Know is a Lie

Don’t be offended — it is true for us all. We all suffer from inherent limitations in our emotional-cognitive systems. And we just don’t have time to think through everything we do and say — we have to let our automatic programming take over most of our lives. And that programming did not come from us.

It was necessary for adults to lie to us in order for them to get us to fall into line and not be so disruptive. So how ironic is it that even when we believe we are being disruptive, we are actually riding the rails of groupthink which were laid for us in our childhood.

The only way to escape this great hypnotic bubble of unthinking trance existence is to break through the indoctrinated habits of thought altogether. And that requires a level of awareness which is beyond words. Laughter is one way to reach such a level of awareness, and it is accessible to everyone. Another wonderful non-verbal approach to alternative awareness is through folk dances.

Whether you choose to watch your “funniest film clips” like Norman Cousins did when suffering from a serious illness — or indulge in laughter meditation or something similar — deep laughter is quick and effective. Where do you go from there? Wherever you want. Solitary laughter will have a different impact than profound laughter with friends and loved ones. The more comfortable and skilled you become with accessing the laughter state, the more uses you are likely to find for it.

Al Fin likes to tack a good belly laugh onto the end of a couple of sentic cycles during long walks in the woods. But there are endless ways of incorporating laughter into a person’s life.

If a person can reliably escape the group trance bubble of imprisoning words and thoughts, he has a chance to see the lies that make up his life — from the outside. And that larger, broader perspective can make a big difference when charting one’s course through life.

Important note: Bright and well-read persons will understand why the above article represents the opposite of nihilism. Every intelligent person should go back to the beginning from time to time, to keep himself honest. Mastering various ways of “nonverbal mind-clearing” are among the useful tools that allow potentially powerful people to find new and useful ways of looking at things.

Posted in Everything You Think You Know Just Ain't So, Groupthink | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Google Makes Another Huge Blunder: Firing Damore

First Mistake: They Forced Him to Go to a “Diversity Seminar”

Harvard and MIT trained engineer James Damore loved working for Google. He felt free to work on things he enjoyed doing, and liked the people he worked with. But Google’s management made a huge blunder: They forced him to go to a “diversity seminar,” where white males are sent to be made to feel shame and guilt.

Anyone With a Brain Knows that “Diversity Seminars” Are a Stupid Idea

Diversity seminars not only fail to stop bad workplace behaviours and attitudes — they actually make them worse!

… five years after instituting required training for managers, companies saw no improvement in the proportion of white women, black men, and Hispanics in management, and the share of black women actually decreased by 9%, on average, while the ranks of Asian-American men and women shrank by 4% to 5%. Trainers tell us that people often respond to compulsory courses with anger and resistance—and many participants actually report more animosity toward other groups afterward. __ Harvard Business Review

More reasons to put the brakes on the diversity training scam

But Google’s managers apparently fail to use their brains, at least when it comes to topics related to “diversity.” And so they sent elite young engineer Damore to one of these shaming sessions. He didn’t like it. What’s worse, he compiled his thoughts on the topic in a memo, which was made available to other workers at Google. Read the memo in full.

Too Many Workers at Google Started Agreeing With Damore’s Memo

Google’s unthinking managers now had a problem on their hands — the makings of a modest, non-violent mutiny. A mutiny consisting of thoughtful ideas being communicated within the workforce, but ideas that did not conform with management’s conception of what employees should think. In essence, thought crimes were being committed. And so Google fired their elite young engineer, out of fear that more employees might begin to publicly question Google’s groupthink bubble.

A Predictable Public Firestorm Erupts after Firing

Subsequently, James Damore has filed a complaint against Google with the US government’s NLRB. And contributions are pouring in to Damore’s legal defence fund, even while the young engineer hits YouTube and the airwaves explaining his case to the larger public. A New York Times columnist is now calling for Google’s CEO to resign after he justified firing Damore!

The engineer may well have a valid legal case for suing his former employer, the Groupthinking Monolith Now Known as Goolag:

Damore has two viable legal claims, evident from comments he made to The New York Times: “I have a legal right to express my concerns about the terms and conditions of my working environment and to bring up potentially illegal behavior, which is what my document does.” Damore added that before his firing, he filed a complaint with the National Labor Relations Board, alleging Google was “misrepresenting and shaming me in order to silence my complaints.” He noted that it was “illegal to retaliate” against him for filing the NLRB charge. __ More at The Federalist

Google Has Already Lost in Court of Public Opinion

Google’s management lives in an echo chambre, which may explain some of its colossal blunders. A survey of workers in prominent Silicon Valley firms indicates that management has a steep uphill battle on its hands:

Blind, an anonymous chat app, surveyed over 4,000 employees of Silicon Valley companies in the wake of Damore’s firing to see where they stood on it. Fifty-six percent of the Google employees who participated in the survey oppose Damore’s firing. True, this survey was voluntary, and is therefore scientifically meaningless, but it does make you wonder how many people within Google are upset with what was done to Damore, but who now know that they must keep their mouths shut if they want to avoid the same fate.

Damore’s great sin here was in saying out loud things that may be true, or at least well within the bounds of debate, but not popular within his social environment. __ Rod Dreher in American Conservative

Science supports the modest claims made by James Damore in his relatively timid and respectful memo. But the way that Google’s management acted — both in forcing Damore to attend a “shaming session” and in firing him for circulating his modest suggestions aftwerward — was anything but respectful to its employees or to the workplace environment. Heads should roll.

More on diversity training:

Diversity training doesn’t extinguish prejudice. It promotes it,” says Peter Bregman in Psychology Today. He’s not alone in his belief. Walter Olson at Overlawyered.com has collected numerous articles detailing why diversity training doesn’t actually make people more tolerant. In fact, it can open your company to lawsuits, as the Federal Aviation Administration found out way back in 1995.

A study of 829 companies over 31 years showed that diversity training had “no positive effects in the average workplace.” Millions of dollars a year were spent on the training resulting in, well, nothing. Attitudes — and the diversity of the organizations — remained the same.

It gets worse. The researchers — Frank Dobbin of Harvard, Alexandra Kalev of Berkeley, and Erin Kelly of the University of Minnesota — concluded that “In firms where training is mandatory or emphasizes the threat of lawsuits, training actually has negative effects on management diversity.”

__ Source

Note: The lucrative scam of “diversity training” has been diverting scarce resources away from productive activities and into the hands of con artists for many decades now. It is nothing more than a tool of indoctrination serving the dominant politically correct groupthink monoculture of the left, which currently controls most of academia, large numbers of corporate boardrooms and management, most of the news and entertainment media, and the core of the deep state behind most governments of the EU and the Anglosphere.

More:

Google’s management pathetically stupid

Google deserves what is coming to them

Posted in Google, Groupthink | Tagged , | 4 Comments

Can Millenials Be Saved from Themselves?

Message to Millenials


University of Toronto professor and licensed clinical psychologist Jordan Peterson, wants to help the lost generation of millenials — and subsequent generations. Peterson wants to accomplish this by a two-pronged strategy:

  1. By starving the corrupt politically correct elements of education in humanities and social science
  2. By starting a new — not politically correct — online university

By helping to reduce the damage done to students by universities, Peterson will boost the human future significantly. By providing improved open access collateral paths to deeper knowledge, paths that bypass the indoctrination of conventional universities, he will benefit the future even more.

Starving the Corrupt and Life Ruining Aspects of University

Universities have been diverted and corrupted by brainwashing ideologies. Instead of teaching students how to think about and understand a complex reality, too many university departments now specialise in academic lobotomies — brainwashing and indoctrinating students into narrow-minded, dead end ideologies.

Those university disciplines which have been “corrupted” by what he calls the Post-Modernist (neo-Marxist) academics include Women’s Studies, Racial Studies, Sociology, Anthropology and English Literature — with the very “worst offenders” based in the faculties of education.

“(The neo-Marxist) professors are playing these insane bordering on murderous intellectual games (with their students), he told a crowd of nearly 700 at the first free speech summit in downtown Toronto Wednesday evening.

“It’s a cult and a war of ideas and freshmen coming in from high school should be encouraged to stay away from them (these disciplines).” __ Jordan Peterson (in Toronto Sun)

Starting a Politically Incorrect Online University

Jordan Peterson is using internet “crowdsourcing” to help finance new teaching videos, and to devise strategies for building the new, politically incorrect online university.

About Jordan Peterson

Dr. Jordan B Peterson has been a dishwasher, gas jockey, bartender, short-order cook, beekeeper, oil derrick bit re-tipper, plywood mill labourer and railway line worker. He’s taught mythology to lawyers, doctors and businessmen, consulted for the UN Secretary General’s High Level Panel on Sustainable Development, helped his clinical clients manage depression, obsessive-compulsive disorder, anxiety, and schizophrenia, served as an advisor to senior partners of major Canadian law firms, identified thousands of promising entrepreneurs on six different continents, and lectured extensively in North America and Europe.

He has flown a hammer-head roll in a carbon-fiber stunt plane, piloted a mahogany racing sailboat around Alcatraz Island, explored an Arizona meteorite crater with a group of astronauts, built a Native American Long-House on the upper floor of his Toronto home, and been inducted into the coastal Pacific Kwakwaka’wakw tribe.

With his students and colleagues, Dr. Peterson has published more than a hundred scientific papers, transforming the modern understanding of personality, and revolutionized the psychology of religion with his now-classic book, Maps of Meaning: The Architecture of Belief. As a Harvard professor, he was nominated for the prestigious Levinson Teaching Prize, and is regarded by his current University of Toronto students as one of three truly life-changing teachers. ___
Jordan Peterson’s website

More on Peterson from Wikipedia

Research citations in Google Scholar (via Wikipedia)

Posted in Education, University | Tagged | Leave a comment

China Preparing for Next Great Leap Forward?

Can China Reverse its Present Stall?

China is experiencing an unexpected slowdown in its global ambitions. The very nature of economic growth in China has changed in an ominous way. A closer look at the fixed causes behind China’s unhealthy economic shift suggests that China’s current stall could easily turn into a dangerous spin.

The root cause of China’s global stall is this continued inability to let markets be markets. Meddling in the allocation of finance has ensured that much-needed capital gets gobbled up by the politically connected, not the competitive. Then the government tries to rectify the damage with more government. In an effort to rejuvenate exports, China has unleashed a subsidy-rich industrial program to upgrade its manufacturing called “Made in China 2025.” To help companies expand around the region, the government has cooked up the Belt and Road Initiative, an infrastructure-building scheme that looks to many like a boondoggle…

In fact, the entire Chinese export machine is sputtering. Between 2006 and 2011, China’s total merchandise exports nearly doubled, powering the country through the Great Recession. Since then, they’ve increased less than 11 percent, according to World Trade Organization data.

The same trend holds for China’s currency. In late 2014, the renminbi broke into the top five most-used currencies for global payments, reaching an almost 2.2 percent share. China seemed well on the way to achieving its long-stated goal of turning the yuan into a true rival to the dollar. But that progress has reversed. In June, the renminbi chalked up only a 2 percent share, according to Swift, slipping behind the Canadian dollar. __ China’s Ascent Stalling?

China runs a great public relations campaign. In Australia, for example, Chinese Communist Party influence in politics, news outlets, universities, and commercial enterprises is becoming a looming scandal. This covert invasion of Australia by the long arms of Chinese communism would be largely illegal in countries such as the US, but so far seems to be mostly legal in Australia. “Using these inroads… the CCP’s “main purpose” is to “reduce or even eradicate the ‘bias’ and ‘prejudices’ against China that are seen as pervasive in Western media.””

But if China’s economic rockets are losing their “wunderthrust,” bribes and public relations spending will only get it so far.

What’s at play are the operations of the CCP’s overt spy departments, which are mainly run under its United Front Work Department and its Overseas Chinese Affairs Office. These two departments, in turn, run operations through the CCP’s overseas embassies and work to create a “united front” for the CCP by subverting and influencing elements in foreign societies to work on behalf of the Chinese regime’s interests—often unknowingly. __ http://www.theepochtimes.com/n3/2260058-chinese-front-operations-exposed-in-australia-part-of-a-global-problem-2/

Everyone Remembers China’s Last Great Leap Forward

It was the deadliest act of genocide in history, resulting in almost 50 million Chinese deaths.

It is not merely the extent of the catastrophe that dwarfs earlier estimates, but also the manner in which many people died: between two and three million victims were tortured to death or summarily killed, often for the slightest infraction. When a boy stole a handful of grain in a Hunan village, local boss Xiong Dechang forced his father to bury him alive. The father died of grief a few days later. The case of Wang Ziyou was reported to the central leadership: one of his ears was chopped off, his legs were tied with iron wire, a ten kilogram stone was dropped on his back and then he was branded with a sizzling tool – punishment for digging up a potato.

Economic Stall + Debt Mountain + Multiple Bubbles and Pyramids

It has come to the point where one must wonder if anything in China is not a bubble. From real estate to the stock markets to bonds to the shadow banking industry to the Chinese currency itself, the communist party state is built on shifting economic sands — and each grain of sand is a hollow bubble.

Virtually all of China’s GDP growth is illusory, based upon debt and bubbles. State owned enterprises must often take out new loans to pay the interest on old loans, to avoid default. Wasteful overproduction is the order of the day, and even in a dictatorial economy, someone must pay the piper. Local and regional government officials base much of their wealth on the rotting carcasses of rigid state ownership, and debt has erupted to dangerous levels for those government entities.

China’s People are Bright, Energetic, and Ambitious

But they have been hobbled by an obsolete party-driven system of government which no amount of surface level economic liberalisation can overcome. As a result, China’s leadership rightly see their own people as the greatest threat to their continued rule — just as that leadership is the greatest threat to the future prosperity of the Chinese people.

When you read all the “happy-happy” stories about China’s ascendancy and the inevitability of Chinese domination of the future, can you be sure that the writers of such articles have looked at all the facts? Can you even be sure that they are not receiving some sort of under the table compensation for their glowing reports on China’s present and future? Of course not. Knowing how the CCP works, one can never be sure.

Keep Your Eyes Open and Your Mind Your Own

Authority is easily corrupted in virtually any field. Best to give most authority the same respect you would give to the stuff that comes out of the hind end of a cow.

Always collect your own evidence as best you can, and make up your own mind.

A few of China’s problems, not even its greatest ones:

  1. Rising Wages Remove Advantages of Location
  2. Poor Quality Products
  3. Housing Bubble
  4. Explosion of Debt
  5. Loss of popular trust in the party
  6. Demographic trap
  7. Markets are not free to self-correct
  8. Regional insurgencies threaten breakout
  9. Threat of energy bottlenecks
  10. Competition from younger neighbors

China is caught in multiple traps, only some of which were created by the CCP.


When the bubble bursts, the consequences will likely be catastrophic from its epicentre outward.

Posted in China | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Every Day of Trump is a Day Without Hillary

And That’s Reason Enough to Smile

Al Fin was never fond of Trump, until the election. But watching Hillary Clinton and her band of ugly malcontents lose the election somehow created — not a soft spot, but — a spot that wasn’t as hard in my heart for Trump. Then observing many of his appointments for cabinet positions and judicial positions, I began to give the man some grudging respect.

Still, the most positive achievement of the Trump presidency to this point is the prevention of the massive disaster — a Clinton presidency — by its very existence. Any positive accomplishments by Trump beyond that, are just icing on the cake.

Take illegal border crossings, as an example. Since the Trump inauguration — and the return to enforcing border laws — illegal crossings have dropped some 60% to 70%. No wall? No problem. Apparently just talking tough and actually enforcing the laws already on the books are having a measurable impact already.

And what about federal judges? “As of August 1, 2017, the United States Senate has confirmed 5 Article III judges nominated by Trump, including 1 Associate Justice of the Supreme Court, 3 judges for the United States Courts of Appeals, 1 judge for the United States district courts…” Source And he’s just getting started.

At the 100 day mark of his presidency, Trump had already helped pass more legislation into law than any President since Truman. Source Despite being surrounded by turmoil from within and without, Trump seems to thrive on the atmosphere of controversy.

As neurosurgeon and US HUD Secretary puts it: “I’m glad that Trump is drawing all the fire so I can get stuff done.” Washington Examiner More But as we have seen, Trump is not only distracting the riff-raff so that competent underlings can get things done — he is getting a lot of things done himself, behind the scenes.

A recent interesting plot twist in the ongoing “Trump Saga,” is the new sheriff in town, former Marine General John Kelly — now Chief of Staff at the White House. Perhaps Trump finally has someone nearby whom he respects — which might help to smooth some rough spots and help with a more efficient application of force to the problems which the administration faces.

Peter Zeihan Knocked off His Stride

Fresh from a summer backpacking vacation in Wyoming, Peter Zeihan attempted to take in all the domestic US political news of July, 2017, in one sitting. It was almost too much for the geopolitical analyst. But don’t feel bad, Peter. Trying to assimilate that much mainstream media vitriol at one time would be almost fatally toxic to almost anyone — especially when compared to a few weeks of the pristine air and sky of the Tetons!

The media may be unaware of how much credibility it is losing, in the eyes of intelligent people who choose not to succumb to groupthink. And those are the only people who matter in the long run, at least to those who think Dangerously.

Flawed, yes. But I like him too!

Can US politics be made to serve the interests of people who still value the US Constitution? After the seemingly interminable years of Obama, Bush, Clinton, and Bush, that is a difficult question to answer. But here is one perspective on what a president might do.

Most of the US Presidents since Eisenhower may or may not have had a good inkling of how governments work. But for the most part they had no idea how the world works or how prosperous economies work. Which may explain the huge black hole of entitlement spending, unfunded mandates, and other ruinous irrational policies of government which Trump has inherited from his predecessors.

Trump has only been in office about 6 months. He has yet to reach his stride. Trump is the only US President since Reagan to have accomplished anything of any significance outside of government politics, before reaching the White House. There are many important things about government that Trump does not know — yet. But if he is surrounded by knowledgeable and rational men whom he respects — who also have the best interest of the country at heart — he is more than capable of learning what he will need to know.

As for Media Hysteria, Keep it Coming!

The swirling maelstrom of media hysteria keeps the rubes and the dupes well occupied, so that the deeper business of reform can be mapped out and executed. The media is losing respect and making enemies with every day that passes.

Violent Bernie Sanders supporters have been killing people in Portland and Alexandria, and mobbing and assaulting people in numerous other locations. But socialism has always brought out the darker side of human nature, and it may be better for such violent miscreants to come out in the open where they can be dealt with.

As for Trump, don’t get me wrong. I only trust Trump to be Trump, nothing more. He is not particularly enlightened or wise — outside of his areas of expertise. But he is at least not so malevolently destructive as Obama and the Clintons, and not as much in the pocket of the country club good old boys as the two Bush presidents. If he gets it right only 50% of the time, that is still 100% better than most of what his predecessors did.

And as for keeping Hillary out of the White House? PRICELESS!!!

More:

http://thefederalistpapers.org/us/economy-adds-209000-jobs-unemployment-drops-16-year-low

Trump’s quiet triumphs

Trump does not hate the police like Obama and Clinton did. The same for other law enforcement groups, as well as the military. Those who serve appreciate the difference.

Posted in Donald Trump, Politics | Tagged | 13 Comments

Dangerous Child Method vs. Robinson Curriculum

The following article is cross-posted from The Dangerous Child blog

The Robinson Curriculum Teaches the Basics

The homeschool curriculum devised by Arthur Robinson, PhD., prepares children and youth to excel in the challenging modern world of rapidly advancing science and technology. By teaching children to teach themselves, the Robinson Curriculum gives them the powerful thinking and self-disciplinary tools they need to learn virtually any subject on their own.

The six Robinson children were the prototype students in the early development of the curriculum. Each of the 6 children was taking college physics and math courses by age 16 — if not before — and each typically took only 2 years on-campus to finish undergraduate classwork.
Source

Think of the Robinson Curriculum as an Excellent “Learning Core”

Parents who wish to raise Dangerous Children can choose between any number of “learning cores,” or basic learning curricula. The Robinson Curriculum seems to be quite good in its preparation for the modern world of rapidly changing science, math, and technology. The central theme of “teaching them to teach themselves,” in particular, represents an invaluable gift to every child and youth who must face a world of rapid changes.

Dangerous Children Require More

The skills and knowledge provided by the Robinson Curriculum are priceless. Any child would benefit from such powerful core knowledge and skilled learning disciplines of self-teaching. Dangerous Children can use those things, but they will require additional training in particular areas if they are to be truly prepared for what they are likely to face as adults.

Particular Skills of Dangerous Children

  • Mastery of at least 3 means of financial independence by age 18
  • High levels of competence in business and financial skills
  • Skilled proficiency in firearms operation, maintenance, and tactics
  • Navigation and travel skills on land, sea, air
  • Proficiency in rescue and first aid
  • Experience in forming and running multiple businesses before age 18
  • Competence in maintaining equipment and infrastructure of a basic household inside or outside of city environs
  • Basic prepping and survival skills for various time scales
  • Competence in forming a competent and resilient community
  • Competence in networking multiple competent and resilient communities
  • Ability to form ad hoc cooperative groups able to plan and implement parallel critical infrastructures as needed

Much more is involved in becoming a Dangerous Child, and as you can imagine, such children have quite full days. Unless you understand that Dangerous Child training begins quite early in life — before birth (or even conception) if possible — you may not understand how one can pack all the skills needed into one short childhood.

The family is central to the life of a Dangerous Child, although as the child grows older, his powers of independence and self-direction will grow.

Paradoxically, Dangerous Children learn to deal skillfully with a wide range of personalities, persons of multiple social and educational levels, and many different cultures. They are fluent in at least three languages besides their native tongue, and should have little trouble traveling through almost any neighborhood, environment, or climate.

Vision and Advanced Preparation are Key

The conventional method of child-raising seems to be one of “benign neglect,” somehow assuming that a child can fritter away his childhood with trivial amusements and mass production education/indoctrination, and somehow be ready for competent adulthood in a treacherous world, when he comes of age.

Conventional wisdom is quite stupid in that regard, and a parent would be wise to go his own way far apart from mainstream methods.

The Robinson Curriculum is a Good Start

Arthur Robinson provided an excellent core for youngsters. His thoughts on self-teaching are exemplary.

There are many other excellent core curricular methods available to parents, so that it is not necessary for them to reinvent the wheel in order to evade the common rot that pervades government schools and many private schools. Close scrutiny is always required in the choice.

Dangerous Child training is not for every child, of course. But for those who make that choice, it is important to provide a strong core of learning and discipline around which one can build a sound multi-competent and well-skilled young life.

More on The Dangerous Child Method at The Dangerous Child blog.

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Arthur Robinson PhD: A Competent Man

A Portrait of Competence

Art Robinson received a BS in Chemistry from Cal Tech — where he was a student of Linus Pauling — and a PhD in Chemistry from UCSD, where he taught chemistry for a few years before teaming with Linus Pauling to form the Linus Pauling Institute in Menlo Park. After working with Pauling for several years, and finding no evidence to substantiate Pauling’s claims that Vitamin C cures cancer, Robinson and Pauling had a parting of the ways. Robinson and his wife Lauralee — also a scientist — moved to Oregon in 1980 with young sons Zachary and Noah.

A Sudden, Unexpected Tragedy

Between 1980 and 1988, Robinson and his wife lived happily on the farm — creating a family of 6 young children, operating the farm and various scientific and other miscellaneous ventures. Then in 1988 within 24 hours of developing flu-like symptoms, Robinson‘s wife died of hemorrhagic pancreatitis. Their children at that time ranged between 18 months and 12 years of age. The older children were being home-schooled by Lauralee, and the youngest was still in diapers.

Art Robinson picked himself up from this sudden tragedy and shouldered the additional responsibilities of single parenthood of 6 young children, most in homeschool.

Art Robinson, lives on a 350 acre farm in Southern Oregon. The Robinson family has long maintained hundreds of sheep and lambs, over a dozen milk cows, dozens of wild turkeys, and miscellaneous dogs. Robinson has raised and homeschooled 6 children on the farm: [Ed.: paraphrased] Zachary has a doctorate in veterinary medicine and Noah has a PhD in chemistry. Arynne trained in veterinary medicine, twins Joshua and Bethany have both worked toward PhDs in nuclear engineering, and Matthew worked to receive a BS in chemistry.

Each of the 6 children was taking college physics and math courses by age 16 — if not before — and each typically took only 2 years on-campus to finish undergraduate classwork.

Homeschooling Curriculum

Art structured the curriculum and format of the school so that in fact the children were able to teach themselves, for the most part. Then, with the children’s help, Art packaged the family’s complete homeschool curriculum — The Robinson Curriculum — and has been selling thousands of the 22 CD sets a year, at $195 a set. Sales of the homeschool curriculum plus several other enterprising ventures have put Art’s scientific career on a self-sustaining basis.

Suffice it to say that Art Robinson has recovered his financial independence. He no longer needs government grants to pursue the unresolved scientific questions that were put on hold over 20 years ago. In fact, his independence as a scientist is now greater than it would be if he were still at a large research institution. Whether the institution is nominally private, or publicly funded, he points out, most scientific research is held captive by heavy infusions of federal money.

Around the time he heard that the Proceedings of the National Academy would publish the article, Art said: “If we just had a few thousand scientists pursuing their own goals, we’d really be able to get some new research done in this country. As it is, most of them are trapped.”

…Art took over Access to Energy in 1993, at the request of its ailing proprietor Petr Beckmann, a professor of electrical engineering at the University of Colorado. Beckmann had printed the newsletter on his own press for 20 years. A defector from Communist Czechoslovakia, he valued the First Amendment highly—and exercised it through a printing press in the basement. Until recently, Noah continued to print the newsletter on the same press, which was hauled from Boulder to Oregon. The letter was always a lively read, and Robinson has preserved that quality. It is something you gladly reach for in the mailbox. A subscription costs $35 for individuals, $150 for tax-subsidized organizations (one or two do pay full freight).

…Art’s warrior instincts also came to the fore after his daughter Arynne enrolled at Southern Oregon University. To graduate, she was told, she had to take a course called “colloquium,” an exercise “specifically designed to destroy her faith, her innocence, her self-respect, and her happiness in her way of life,” Art says. Advance placement had allowed the boys to skip this insult. So why not remove her from the school? As it happened, the science faculty was excellent, the university’s proximity was convenient, and his tax dollars were paying for this travesty. “What can a student do if the science, engineering and mathematics courses are held hostage by the ‘humanities’ departments?”

Art informed the university administration that they faced law suits, adverse publicity, and “an ever increasing telephone, fax, and letter campaign.” The first two did not worry them, Art says-they had the lawyers and the media. But the third did. It would have involved many thousands of inquiries, and they would be needing extra telephone lines and secretaries. The president backed down at the last minute. “We won this fight without firing a shot,” Art told his friends, “but only because we were prepared to shoot.” And they were able to do so only because a large number of his subscribers and home-schooling friends “were available to help.

… _IndependentScientist

Robinson and his son Noah — also a PhD chemist — work together studying the molecular clock of aging. They have their own lab on the farm — complete with a very powerful mass spectrometer, and other instruments. They have published multiple papers together in various journals, including the National Academy of Sciences Proceedings and the Journal of Peptide Research.

Art has also been instrumental in countering the mass hysteria of Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming, circulating a petition against CAGW with tens of thousands of scientists signing. Many more potential movements and enterprises are being worked out and knocked about inside his head — much to the chagrin of the dieoff leftists of the world.

Most information for this story comes from A Scientist Finds Independence

Other information comes from an update on the Robinson Curriculum home site.

The above was excerpted from the original Al Fin blog posting: Portrait of Competence: Art Robinson (cached page)

Arthur Robinson, Current Links:

http://www.accesstoenergy.com/

The Robinson Self Taught Homeschool Curriculum

Nuclear War Survival Skills from the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine

Publications

Looking at Art Robinson’s work as a parent, educator, rancher, scientist, publisher, and a tireless activist against groupthink idiocy, one cannot help but be impressed by his ability to rise above challenges and tragedies to accomplish great things.

Posted in Competence, Education, Optimism | Tagged , | 2 Comments

Africa’s “Complex Transition” Into the Modern World

Africa Unplugged
A Darkness That Abides
https://www.masterresource.org/ via

Darkest Africa and for Very Good Reasons

When President Macron of France suggested that black Africa has “civilisational problems,” he was immediately attacked by the usual suspects of the politically correct mindset. But Macron was merely saying in a polite way what most intelligent observers have known for decades now: Africa is a bloody disaster, and is unlikely to get better in the foreseeable future.

… the reality is that in far too many of [black African] countries we see the same problems over and over: mass poverty, gross inequality, endemic corruption, weak institutions, generally inefficient and insensitive governance, and overpopulation in relation to available resources.

Defensiveness and denial are not helping the hundreds of millions of impoverished Africans living in want, insecurity, and fear. At best, this kind of attitude allows Africa’s middle-class intellectuals and privileged classes to avoid the public airing of uncomfortable and sometimes embarrassing truths about the continent where they live. __ Remi Adekoya in Foreign Policy

Nothing Seems to Help

Black Africa is dominated by corruption, rampant violence and poverty, frighteningly high disease rates, and a level of general ignorance / illiteracy / apathy that prevents meaningful change or “civilisational improvement.”

Foreign Aid to Africa is a Disaster

To date, the continent has received well over $600 billion in outside assistance. World Bank data show that a majority of African countries’ government spending comes directly from foreign aid. Yet much of Africa remains impoverished, and rampant corruption continues.

I his 2013 book Doing Bad by Doing Good, the George Mason University economist Christopher Coyne explains why measures intended to alleviate suffering often go so wrong… In [economist Dambisa Moyo‘s] 2009 book Dead Aid: Why Aid Is Not Working and How There Is a Better Way to Help Africa, the Zambian-born economist characterizes foreign aid to Africa as an “unmitigated economic, political, and humanitarian disaster” that has actually made the continent poorer.

… The problems caused by poverty and natural disasters are enormous, but aid’s track record suggests that it too often only makes matters worse. __ Foreign Aid is a Failure

International Trade and Infrastructure Projects Likewise Fail

Neither are ordinary black Africans receiving much benefit from international trade deals from China, Europe, or Anglospheric countries. Profits from oil and mineral wealth are skimmed by corrupt leaders and their associates, leaving most black Africans to live in perpetual poverty. Impressive infrastructure projects such as new railways, high rises, electrical generating stations, and so on, are typically left to decay and collapse for lack of routine care and maintenance.

All along the way, wreckage was strewn beside the tracks—railway cars hauled from where they’d derailed or broken down, and left to decay like great, dead beasts.

As we looked out at these rusting carcasses, my cabinmates began talking about the railroad, and what it said about their societies. “This is a good train,” said Isaac, with a trace of bitterness, “but like any piece of equipment, it needs maintenance.” Daniel Simwinga, a voluble, Bible-toting Zambian, responded, “Everyone knows you can’t keep getting milk from a cow without feeding it grass.” (Daniel was bringing a shipment of auto parts and other goods south. As a commercial trader, he rides the Tazara as often as twice a month, and is well versed in its shortcomings.)

“As soon as we have problems, we ask someone else to take care of them for us,” Isaac continued. “We ask the Europeans. We ask the Americans. We ask the Chinese. We will run this train into the ground, and then we will tell the Chinese we need another one. This is not development.” I thought of the wreckage by the tracks. In China, there is no such thing as metallic waste. Armies of migrant workers scour the countryside with hammers and chisels, collecting and selling every scrap to the insatiable smelters that feed the country’s industries. Here, by contrast, was a land without industry.

The World Bank and the United Nations did surveys for a Tazara-like line in the early 1960s, and both concluded that such a railway would be neither economically feasible nor sustainable. But China built the line, between 1970 and 1975, at the behest of two African leaders: Julius Kambarage Nyerere, the first president of Tanzania, who wanted to open up the remote south of his country and bolster his pan-African credentials; and President Kenneth Kaunda of Zambia, whose landlocked country was seeking an alternative to the trade routes south through white-ruled Rhodesia.

Within a decade, the line was suffering from repeated breakdowns, landslides, and management failures. Planners had envisioned running 17 trains a day, but by 1978 there were only two. __TheAtlantic

More on the failure of maintenance in Africa

African Birthrates Promise A Global Explosion of Dysfunction

Global_homicide Mises Institute


Europe is the current recipient of Africa’s dysfunctional human overflow. Rape and violence are becoming more common in previously safe and sedate communities in Germany, Sweden, France, and many other European nations. Since Europe is so easily accessible from Africa, we should expect to see rising rates in Europe of the same kinds of problems so commonly seen inside black Africa itself. And we do.

“The fault, dear Brutus, is not in our stars, but in ourselves.”
― William Shakespeare, Julius Caesar

via

Shakespeare might have said the same thing about black Africa, in explanation for the dark continent’s perpetual failure. Politically correct excuses for Africa tell us more about the slavish dogmatic inanity of today’s babbling classes, than about the reality of root causes.

IQ is Not the Whole Story

Economic Success Correlates With National Average IQ
More at VDare


Low population IQs have real world consequences. The same is true for poor pre-frontal executive functions, which often accompany low IQ in many populations.

One must expect to see both genetic and environmental underpinnings of the widespread dysfunction and misery that plague the dark continent. Disease, poverty, corruption, and violence are both causes and effects of suboptimal genetics. “Genetic load” has become a burden on the older populations of man. In this context, it is no wonder that foreign aid has such a deleterious effect on the demographics of Africa — in this case contributing to a dysfunctional overpopulation.

Until Africans Are Allowed to Find Their Own Level . . .

Consider any of the critical infrastructures:

electricity generation, transmission and distribution;
gas production, transport and distribution;
oil and oil products production, transport and distribution;
telecommunication;
water supply (drinking water, waste water/sewage, stemming of surface water (e.g. dikes and sluices));
agriculture, food production and distribution;
heating (e.g. natural gas, fuel oil, district heating);
public health (hospitals, ambulances);
transportation systems (fuel supply, railway network, airports, harbours, inland shipping);
financial services (banking, clearing);
security services (police, military).

In general, Africans themselves cannot manage modern infrastructures without outside help. And as long as low population average IQ and poor population executive functions remain the problems that they are, modern infrastructure will remain beyond the reach of most African nations. Even South Africa — once relatively wealthy and advanced — is suffering rapid infrastructure decline and failure.

Africa has abundant riches of oil, precious metals, diamonds, useful minerals, uranium, and a massive potential for global agricultural production and trade. But Africans have been generally unable to manage most of this economic trade and activity themselves, to the benefit of general populations. Wealth is seized by those in power, while the people live on a few dollars a day. Foreign aide and foreign trade only facilitate this ongoing mismanagement.

It is clear that a new and more sustainable type of infrastructure must be developed for Africans, which Africans themselves are capable of building, maintaining, and operating. Such a sustainable “African Infrastructure” would not support the type of population explosions currently taking place in so many African cities and nations. But until such a thing becomes a reality, keeping African nations from destroying themselves will remain the geopolitical equivalent of making water run uphill.

Europe lies in the direct path of destruction.


h/t Abelard Lindsey in comments

More:

Why is Kenya spending a $billion on elections?

Posted in Africa, Demographics, Executive Functions, Fertility, Genetics and Gene Expression, IQ | Tagged , | 5 Comments

What is Happening Behind the Scenes in Russia?

In the US, fake news rules the networks – papers – most websites. Important news is more often neglected as a result. And one can certainly not believe official Kremlin-approved news outlets. Other than occasional uncensored glimpses behind the scenes, one must often sift through Russian language news oneself to determine even a small part of what is happening behind the curtain.

The links below are examples of interesting discoveries found by one Russian speaker, looking behind the curtain. Use a web translator as necessary.

Despite Kremlin claims, the Russian economy continued to deteriorate this week, with almost all basic indicators heading in a negative direction and human suffering as a result on the rise.

Russian language news links courtesy of Window on Eurasia

  • Russia’s regions are losing jobs and population (regnum.ru/news/society/2300544.html)
  • The Russian state statistical agency says that the size of the Russian working-age population will decline by 400,000 or more [per year] beginning in the mid-2030s and extending as far into the future as its experts can predict (ng.ru/economics/2017-07-13/4_7028_starenie.html).
  • Capital flight rose by 70 times from two weeks ago (rosbalt.ru/business/2017/07/10/1629327.html)
  • There is no money in the government budget for roads or other infrastructure projects (nakanune.ru/news/2017/7/10/22475742/ and ng.ru/omics/2017-07-11/4_7026_ways.html)
  • The Kudrin Center says the Russian economy is rapidly degrading (newizv.ru/article/general/12-07-2017/tsentr-kudrina-finansovyy-rynok-rossii-prodolzhaet-degradirovat)
  • Residents of the Russian capital are buying boots and anti-depressants at a record rate, experts say (newizv.ru/news/economy/12-07-2017/moskvichi-massovo-skupayut-dozhdeviki-rezinovye-sapogi-i-antidepressanty).
  • Experts say that the situation in the health sector is so dire because of Putin’s “optimization” program that “the greatest healthcare crisis in Russia today is denying that there is one” (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=59687860E3135).
  • London experts say that Russia must modernize its navy if it hopes to be able to replicate its Syrian support operation a decade from now (svpressa.ru/war21/article/176525/)

More revealed news from behind the curtain

The Decline of Russia Rolling in From the East and South

While most eyes are turned toward Ukraine and Syria, the actual threat to Russia is coming from other directions:

China, the only real threat to Russia, quietly makes progress advancing from the east. China has claims on much of the Russian Far East and is openly replacing Russia as the primary economic, military and political force in Central Asia. This area, which used to be part of the Soviet Union, has become an economic and diplomatic battleground for Russia and China and China is winning. This is something Russia doesn’t like to discuss, but among Russians the real threat is from the east, not the west. According to recent reports from the Russian government China has already become the dominant supplier and trading partner with the Central Asian states…

These days Russia is minor power in purely economic terms, with a $1.2 trillion GDP compared to $11 trillion for China and nearly $19 trillion for the United States. For Russia, the economic news is even worse. Because of overdependence on oil and gas exports (and the sharp drop in oil and gas prices since 2013) plus sanctions (because of aggression against Ukraine and other neighbors) Russian GDP is still shrinking.

____ Source

A weakling bear

More sources for oft-censored and ignored Russian news:

http://www.stopfake.org/en/news/

https://nobsrussia.com/

https://www.rferl.org/p/5547.html

https://inmoscowsshadows.wordpress.com/

https://jamestown.org/region/russia/

https://robertamsterdam.com/n140717/

http://russialist.org/

Russian propagandists and Kremlin trolls put on a good Potemkin front — and are aided in that effort by western news organisations. But corruption is no sound foundation on which to build a nation, at least not as a going concern for long. Any educated person should have understood that.

Reading between the lines, it is clear that critical infrastructure is in terminal decline, and demographic decline is following the same downward trend. Always read between the lines. Most mainstream information sources serve largely as goads and distractions.

Posted in Russia | Tagged | 3 Comments

The Teacher’s Job is to Prevent Students from Learning

Schools today are based on the underlying assumption that students should learn answers. This commonsensical assumption is wrong. Students should instead learn how to ask questions and pursue their own answers. __ Roger Schank

Children begin learning while in the womb. Immediately after birth, a child’s learning rates shoot up exponentially, as more and more sensory information washes over the tiny brain. Infants and toddlers devour information like sponges. Motivation for learning comes naturally — because youngsters want to learn how to do all the things they see older people doing so effortlessly and purposely. To that end, they develop a natural system of learning that is built on asking questions first, then pursuing the answers to those questions.

Children Learn Naturally; Schools Teach Artificially

Schools cannot simply tell the answers, they have to motivate the questions first. Schools that fail to do this will simply not work.

In their eagerness to fill students with knowledge, schools typically try to short-circuit the natural learning process. When we learn naturally, we start by developing an interest in what we are learning about. We try things out and get hands-on experience. We suffer expectation failures and we ask questions. Schools are not built around steps such as these. Instead, they try to cut to the chase. They rush to present answers to questions students have not asked and generalizations about experiences students have not had…

… Because schools were designed around economic considerations, and because curricula are inevitably controlled by the list-makers who want to tell us what everyone should know, school learning has traditionally been something quite different than “real world” learning.

Schools have not attempted to provide an environment within which natural learning can operate.

__ Failure of Schools

Schools focus on the goals of the school system. To achieve the goals of the system, schools must first rip down the “natural learning methods” which children have spent 5 or 6 years successfully and painstakingly building up. And that is exactly what they do — and one of the reasons why society has come to such a dreadful impasse.

Learning is One Thing; Accurate Understanding is Something Else

Roger Schank: The Importance of Experience in Learning

Children check the answers they are given against their own experience. Part of their experience includes answers they have found for themselves in the course of their own research. Another part of their experience involves direct observation.

The development of flexible, inquiring minds has rarely been the primary consideration in the design of educational systems. Making students into proper members of society has usually been of much greater concern than developing students who are creative thinkers.

Source

Because schools destructively bend the minds of children away from natural learning, and force their minds into patterns of unnatural “school-centric” learning, the act of sitting in classrooms soon becomes a stressful experience. And as we know, stress is toxic to the type of deep learning which minds can retain and use constructively.

We have been programmed for so long to accept the type of teaching which school systems enforce, that we have been conditioned not to question whether there are better ways to help our children (and ourselves) to learn the kind of things that would make us better, more independent, more competent thinkers and actors in the world.

Posted in Childhood Development, Competence, Education | Tagged | 1 Comment

Slay the Monsters, Save the Future: Part I

Modern societies are dying from within, being choked to death by monstrous institutional entities of their own making. The particular monster of today’s discussion is the university, a corrupt bastion of ideological indoctrination, massive misallocation of funds into the $trillions, destroyer of untold numbers of young lives, and home to loathsome parasitic creatures in need of slaying.

“Our higher education system is still stuck in the Middle Ages.”

Our current university system has not changed significantly in over 1000 years, [Christine] Ortiz said. __ Former Dean of Graduate Education at MIT

How to Kill the University and Save the Future

To kill the university monster, one must stop its heart, cut it out, and burn it. Where can one find the heart of the monster? Start looking in the lecture halls. Lectures are a fit tool for mass indoctrination, daydreaming, and large scale babysitting for college-aged youth. But fit for little else.

Lecture, rote memorization, and (largely ineffective) short-term study habits are still the norm in college instruction and learning today. __ Critical Thinking


Universities are teaching lies and getting away with it

It is unfortunate that modern university faculties have become dominated by a monoculture of ideologues intent on turning students into drone-like cannon fodder to serve their cause. The lecture is a perfect tool to that end, when combined with a mandated regurgitation by rote of the professor’s notes — rather than independent and considered points of view, as one would expect from a well-educated group of students.

Imagine a university without classrooms, lectures, disciplinary departments, or majors.

Our current university system has not changed significantly in over 1000 years, Ortiz said. So she and her colleagues are building a nonprofit university that:

  • focuses on the transdisciplinary interface between technology and humanity
  • emphasizes personalized, holistic and research-based pedagogy
  • employs dynamic organizational structures and a high quality, low cost, scalable financial model, to serve more underserved and underprivileged students

__ Techrepublic

The new approach to education described by Dean Ortiz above is not unique in its attempt to revolutionise an obsolete and destructive system of higher education. The Minerva Schools represent another approach to higher learning that has eliminated lectures altogether. Instead, Minerva focuses on critical thinking, interdisciplinary problem-solving, project orientation, and world travel to help youth understand more perspectives of thinking.

San Francisco’s Holberton School is another approach that eliminates lectures. The school has no teachers, no lectures, no tuition:

Harvard’s Dean of Applied Physics, Eric Mazur, is another strenuous critic of the lecture system. Mazur wants to move teaching away from lectures and rote memorisation, toward conceptually rich problem-solving methods of learning.

… if we really want students to learn through problem-solving, classrooms will have to change at every level of education. “I think you see that the learning at a very young age takes place very differently—not by asking how but by asking why—and driving parents and teachers crazy. After they get to middle school, all that curiosity has been erased, probably because people discourage the question ‘why?’” says Mazur.

“I consider that my most important task—reawakening their curiosity.” ___ https://www.asme.org/career-education/articles/undergraduate-students/the-death-of-the-lecture

Modern Universities are Obsolete and Destructive Inbred Monstrosities

One cannot build an abundant and expansive future upon systems of learning which dominate today’s higher education landscape. $Trillions of dollars are being diverted away from more productive enterprises toward the dead end rat-hole which modern universities have come to represent.

If you want to save the future, slay a monster. While many modern universities could survive without lectures, they would lose much of the mystique which allows them to currently abuse and defraud so many hundreds of thousands of students, parents, and society in general. It is the future — the long-postponed abundant and expansive human future — which we are missing. Sadly, in today’s world of predatory institutional monsters, most people will never know that such a future was ever possible.

Modern universities have become places where youth go to binge, fornicate, burn through hundreds of $thousands of someone else’s money, and receive a world class indoctrination. At the end of it all, the lucky ones receive a piece of paper to hang on the wall of their basement or garage bedrooms — a mocking reminder of failed promises made to them by monsters they had failed to slay.

Backlash against campus revolt

Universities making war on the people who write their checks

DON’T GO TO COLLEGE! said the self-made millionaire

Students forced to endure — and pay for — “diversity training” indoctrination

Diversity training scam examined

Posted in Education, Future, Groupthink, University | Tagged | 5 Comments

Startling In Eleven Dimensions: Forever Restless Brain

The Blue Brain Project in Lausanne is opening a new window on the mammalian brain: Multi-dimensional algebraic topology. They are still in the early stages of using this tool, but their discoveries are already startling — in 11 dimensions!

On the left is a digital representation of the neocortex in the brain, and on the right is a series of shapes and structures that represent objects of between 1D and 7D – the black hole is the cavity(Credit: Blue Brain Project)

According to various theories, physics only makes sense if there are other dimensions out there that we can’t really picture or even perceive. They don’t really have names since they’re only used in somewhat specialized situations, but in addition to time there could be as many as 10 spatial dimensions. __ http://newatlas.com/brain-learn-11-dimensions/50100/

The 11th dimension is presumably “time.” Of course, in mathematics we can have as many dimensions as we wish. The trick in applied algebraic topology is to make the “dimensions” count for something real.

“We found a world that we had never imagined,” says neuroscientist Henry Markram, director of Blue Brain Project and professor at the EPFL in Lausanne, Switzerland, “there are tens of millions of these objects even in a small speck of the brain, up through seven dimensions. In some networks, we even found structures with up to eleven dimensions.”

Markram suggests this may explain why it has been so hard to understand the brain. “The mathematics usually applied to study networks cannot detect the high-dimensional structures and spaces that we now see clearly.” __ https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2017-06/f-bbt060617.php

Opening this particular door onto the workings of the brain is likely to be especially fruitful, since it displays levels of neuronal network functioning that could never be revealed through conventional studies of brain imaging or “connectomics.”

Full research study from Frontiers in Computational Neuroscience

Meanwhile Back in Conventional Neuroscience . . .

Researchers at Frankfurt’s Max Planck Institute for Brain Research are devising faster ways of mapping out the mammalian brain’s “connectome.” Using advanced electron microscopy, they are building faster and more detailed maps of how a brain’s many neurons actually connect.

Billions of nerve cells are working in parallel inside our brains in order to achieve behaviours as impressive as hypothesizing, predicting, detecting, thinking. These neurons form a highly complex network, in which each nerve cell communicates with about one thousand others. Signals are sent along ultrathin cables, called axons, which are sent from each neuron to its about one thousand „followers“.

Only thanks to recent developments in electron microscopy, researchers can aim at mapping these networks in detail. __ https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2017/06/10-fold-speed-up-for-the-reconstruction-of-neuronal-networks.html

The Max Planck research utilises advanced graphical interfaces to allow human observers to more quickly detect connections and branching points of the connectome. Faster and more detailed mapping will help provide some of the underpinnings for more advanced dynamic models of micro-level neuronal networks such as described above at the Blue Brain Project in Lausanne.

Meanwhile in Minority Report Brain Territory

The ability to “mind-read” is something of a holy grail for government prosecutors and law enforcement officers. Solving crimes is one thing, but predicting them before they happen — and preventing them — would change the face of society.

latest research led by CMU’s Marcel Just builds on the pioneering use of machine learning algorithms with brain imaging technology to “mind read.” The findings indicate that the mind’s building blocks for constructing complex thoughts are formed by the brain’s various sub-systems and are not word-based. Published in Human Brain Mapping and funded by the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA), the study offers new evidence that the neural dimensions of concept representation are universal across people and languages. __ https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2017/06/mind-reading-technology-to-decode-complex-thoughts.html

The Carnegie Mellon University research is not at all revolutionary or particularly advanced — and it rests upon a number of tenuous assumptions. Nevertheless, it is suggestive. Rather than proving or disproving any particular hypothesis, this type of research is useful for suggesting newer iterations of studies and techniques.

The suggestion that the mind’s building blocks for complex thoughts are not word-based is insightful, but also quite obvious. It may take many years and decades, however, for mainstream society to catch up with that basic and seminal insight — if it ever does.

The Brain Never Sleeps

Even in sleep, coma, and deep anesthesia, the brain never sleeps. Patterns of mammalian brain activity are constantly changing and shifting, from the emergence of neuronal networks in utero until the death of the organism. We have barely begun to learn where we need to start if we are to come to a useful understanding of our own brains — just in small part.

Brain Science is Racing Ahead of the Human Herd

The potential for authentic breakthroughs in cognitive neuroscience will remain high as long as ideological bias is kept out. We have seen the destructiveness of politically correct oversight in climate science, the psychology of gender, genetics, anthropology, and other badly distorted fields of science. Ideology has no place in science — although try telling that to a fanatical Title IX advocate.

What science desperately needs, however, is an enlightened and liberating “philosophy” which helps to sort out the wheat from the chaff, the fertile from the wasteful. The honest from the fraudulent.

High quality cutting edge cognitive neuroscience has immense disruptive potential, but it is also very difficult to understand for most humans. As advanced concepts from mathematics, computing, physics, and other areas of knowledge integrate themselves into cognitive science, expect the difficulty levels to increase. This is why in the future, the only educated human will be the multi-disciplined human. One-field specialists are apt to become too quickly obsolete and replaced by generalist/machine combinations.

More: The Challenge of Current and Future Knowledge


It is bad enough that only 1% of scientific papers are published. Much worse, perhaps one tenth of 1% of published papers actually follow the scientific method.

Fewer than 1 percent of papers published in scientific journals follow the scientific method, according to research by Wharton School professor and forecasting expert J. Scott Armstrong.

Professor Armstrong, who co-founded the peer-reviewed Journal of Forecasting in 1982 and the International Journal of Forecasting in 1985, made the claim in a presentation about what he considers to be “alarmism” from forecasters over man-made climate change.

“We also go through journals and rate how well they conform to the scientific method. I used to think that maybe 10 percent of papers in my field … were maybe useful. Now it looks like maybe, one tenth of one percent follow the scientific method” said Armstrong in his presentation, which can be watched in full below. “People just don’t do it.” __ Quoted from Speech at 12th International Conference on Climate Change

Relationships Among Scientific Paradigms


Source

Dangerous Children — competent multi-disciplined politically incorrect humans who network in groups, communities, and societies — have never been in greater demand.

Posted in Connectome, Discovery, Human Brain | Tagged , | 2 Comments

Solar Panels: 300X More Toxic Waste Than Nuclear

Governments of Europe and California are willing to lay waste to their economies in pursuit of unreliable and destructive forms of energy — big solar and big wind. We already knew that these untrustworthy forms of energy bring instability to life-or-death critical power grids. But now we are learning how they are poisoning our landscapes, our waters, and the air we breathe.

EP estimated the total number of operational solar panels in 2016 and assumed they would all be retired in 25 years — the average lifespan of a solar panel. EP then estimated the total amount of spent nuclear fuel assemblies that would be generated over a 25 year period. EP then divided both estimates by the quantity of electricity they produced to come up with the waste per unit of energy measure.

While nuclear waste is contained in heavy drums and regularly monitored, solar waste outside of Europe today ends up in the larger global stream of electronic waste.

Solar panels contain toxic metals like lead, which can damage the nervous system, as well as chromium and cadmium, known carcinogens.All three are known to leach out of existing e-waste dumps into drinking water supplies.

__ http://www.theenergycollective.com/energybants/2407383/headed-solar-waste-crisis

China, Japan, Germany, India, and California are among the worst offenders.

Hacking/Disabling Big Wind Turbines Chillingly Easy

Governments have thrown hundreds of $billions into the mandated and subsidised construction of big wind farms — even though the deadly monstrosities could never pay for themselves in a competitive market place. Now we are learning how pathetically easy it is to take the bloody monsters down with a few simple tricks:

“When we started poking around, we were shocked. A simple tumbler lock was all that stood between us and the wind farm control network,” says Staggs. “Once you have access to one of the turbines, it’s game over.”

… The researchers developed three proof-of-concept attacks to demonstrate how hackers could exploit the vulnerable wind farms they infiltrated. One tool they built, called Windshark, simply sent commands to other turbines on the network, disabling them or repeatedly slamming on their brakes to cause wear and damage. Windworm, another piece of malicious software, went further: It used telnet and FTP to spread from one programmable automation controller to another, until it infected all of a wind farm’s computers. A third attack tool, called Windpoison, used a trick called ARP cache poisoning, which exploits how control systems locate and identify components on a network. Windpoison spoofed those addresses to insert itself as a man-in-the-middle in the operators’ communications with the turbines. That would allow hackers to falsify the signals being sent back from the turbines, hiding disruptive attacks from the operators’ systems.

While the Tulsa researchers shut off only a single turbine at a time in their tests, they point out that their methods could easily paralyze an entire wind farm, cutting off as much as hundreds of megawatts of power.
__ https://www.wired.com/story/wind-turbine-hack/

The more deeply dependent societies allow themselves to become on intermittent, indefensible energy sources, the more easily a malicious attack could bring down not only an entire wind farm — but an entire power grid that depended upon those hundreds of megawatts of power to keep from collapsing at that moment of sudden shutdown.

Wind Kills Entire Economies

The massive kills of endangered birds, useful bats, and occasional humans, are readily ignored by the news media. Perhaps worse than destruction of wildlife and habitat by government-subsidised $billionaire wind developers is the littering of priceless landscape as wind turbines break down and become worthless eyesores after a short ten or twenty years of destabilising use as energy sources. Even worse is the inevitable jacking up of electric power prices, often squeezing less affluent customers into choosing between staying warm/cool or being well fed.
More on the green energy scam

Lithium Batteries: Global Race to Dominance

Elon Musk and many others involved in the subsidised energy scam, claim that lithium batteries in automobiles, homes, and elsewhere, will facilitate the economic use of these toxic solar panels and risky/destructive wind turbines. In fact, he has leveraged his personal ownership in SpaceX — his only worthwhile large enterprise — to save his lithium battery-based enterprises. But nobody told Elon that China was stealing a lot of steps on him, and is even now preparing to eat his lunch!

Chinese companies have plans for additional factories with the capacity to pump out more than 120 gigawatt-hours a year by 2021, according to a report published this week by Bloomberg Intelligence. That’s enough to supply batteries for around 1.5 million Tesla Model S vehicles or 13.7 million Toyota Prius Plug-in Hybrids per year, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance.

By comparison, when completed in 2018, Tesla Inc.’s Gigafactory will crank out up to 35 gigawatt-hours of battery cells annually. __ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-28/china-is-about-to-bury-elon-musk-in-batteries

More

Elon Musk has mortgaged ownership in his good company — SpaceX — to support his bad companies, which are dependent upon government handouts, mandates, subsidies, tax breaks, and protectionist policies for their survival. He had better hope that a more delusional and soft-brained government (like Obama’s) comes to power in the US soon, or he is in trouble.

Wind and Solar are Deathly Toxic to an Abundant Human Future

Big wind and big solar cannot provide safe and reliable electric power for advanced technological societies — unless it is always fully backed up by reliable power generators — and the total backup of one form of generation by another is exorbitantly expensive. Why would any rational society risk its life or death critical infrastructures on unreliable and intermittent energy producers which cannot even provide a “black start” in case of grid shutdown?

These untrustworthy and short-lived technologies destroy economies, landscapes, squander resources, destabilise power grids, kill wildlife, and poison air-water-land.

Big wind and big solar are politically correct “feel good” technologies, which are lauded by most governments, media, school teachers and university professors, and others of a parasitic nature who have never had to work an honest day’s labour in their entire lives. To persons entrapped within verbal prisons, an assertion must be true if an emotionally persuasive verbal argument can be made supporting it. This is particularly true for the modern young, who typically lack critical thinking skills.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the Worst

It is never too late for a Dangerous Childhood. The best prophylaxis against an incompetent society is the instilling of a competence-based confidence into as many children and youth as possible. This will require many radical changes to the way things are currently being done — on the part of parents, communities, and larger societies if possible.

Posted in Electrical Power Grid, Energy | Tagged