Coming for Your Women

Some claim that World War III is about capturing brains rather than territory, and there is some truth in the claim. But there are many ways to capture another nation’s brains. One way is to provide better working and living conditions, creating a brain drain.

“This is a problem: they could have remained in Russia, but they have left.”… “They have left because there are more possibilities for them abroad, because there are fewer risks, because there is less arbitrariness and chance of losing one’s business, because there is a court which won’t simply impose the decision it is instructed to take via the telephone” from the bosses.

The departure of such people is a defeat for Russia, he says. It may not be as immediately obvious as the loss of territory. That can be shown on a map. But even if these losses can’t be shown that way, they are “much more serious for the country… __ Source

Given Higher Value Abroad

Given Higher Value Abroad

But Another Way to Steal a Nation’s Brains is to Take Their Women

The brains of future generations are “contained” inside the ovaries of the tens of thousands of young women who are leaving the country every year for better opportunities abroad. And by making it difficult for young Russian women to grow up, fall in love, and raise happy families inside of Mother Russia, Muskovy is making it laughably easy for outsiders to strip away Russia’s future without firing a shot.

Rich Chinese businessmen are paying thousands of pounds to go on ‘wife tours’ in Siberia in search of fair-skinned, blue-eyed brides

China has 120 men for every 100 women, with 34 million more males than females… But in Russia there are 85 men for every 100 women, and at sessions on the popular singles tours, the Chinese businessmen are introduced to groups of 25 or so women, all under 35.

… the men want to see brides with white skin and blue eyes. __ DM

More: Coming for your women

Russian men have a bad reputation, seen as typically abusing their girls and women. Russian society as a whole is seen in much the same light. One of the first budget items to be slashed in Moscow is spending on women’s health and maternal and child health. Things are bad all over in Russia, but military, espionage, and propaganda budgets have hardly been touched.

China is Quick to Take Advantage

… Besieged with a growing problem of demographic decline, many Russian analysts fear that Siberia and its far east would soon be over-run by migrant Chinese labour. This fear is genuine as anybody familiar with Chinese history will admit that Chinese territorial claims all over Asia often followed its emigrants. Likewise, the Russians are not comfortable with the growing Chinese activities in Central Asia, which Moscow always considers to be falling under its sphere of vital interests. Besides, it is also felt in Russian strategic circles that China, with ex-Soviet Union scientists and engineers working in its defence facilities, is producing weapons by reverse-engineering the Russian products and exporting them in the international market, particularly in Pakistan and North Korea. __ Source

When They Take Your Women, They Take Your Future

Russia 2015 Population Pyramid Source

Russia 2015 Population Pyramid

Historically, the traditional process of genocide usually involves violent conquest, slaughtering the men and boys, and taking the girls and young women as slaves. But these are more enlightened days, and to steal the future of a nation such as Russia, outsiders merely need take the girls and women, leaving the men to stew in cheap vodka, moonshine, and Afghani heroin. Putin has no one to blame but himself and his puffed up sense of entitlement and personal power.

Without Siberia, Russia has no cash flow. And without cash flow, Russia has no clout on the international stage. The ethnic Russian population is rapidly bleeding away — even without the accelerating loss of young Russian women through overseas marriage bureaus. The Russian mafia has been financing itself on the overseas sale of young Russian girls for decades now, and shows no sign of stopping for the extended recession.

Over a million people live as slaves inside Russia, and millions more ethnic Russians have been sold as slaves overseas, since Putin began his rise to power. Overseas marriage bureaus are the benevolent side of this picture. The sale of young women to overseas prostitution parlours and as personal property constitutes a seamier side of things.

14 yo Russian Girls Sold a Bill of Goods

14 yo Russian Girls Sold a Bill of Goods
Trapping Girls for Overseas Consumption

Sometime after the middle of this century, Russia’s population could easily dip to half its current level. As populations pass the point of no return, say good-bye to Siberia, the Caucasus, and most of the Arctic. This will be the end game of the ongoing covert WWIII, an end-game that thick-headed Muskovites who follow Putin cannot anticipate.

Posted in Brain Drain, China, Russia, Russian Decline, Russian slavery, Russian Womb Drain, Siberia | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

MegaCities of the Coming Anarchy

What Would a Preview of Tomorrow’s World Look Like?

It will be a world of Robert Kaplan-esque urban hellscapesbrutal and anarchic supercities filled with gangs of youth-gone-wild, a restive underclass, criminal syndicates, and bands of malicious hackers. __ The Intercept

Megacities Outgrow the Nation State Source

Megacities Outgrow the Nation State

Cities have endured long beyond the civilisations and empires that made them great. But there are limits to what cities can survive.
Cities are mankind’s most enduring and stable mode of social organization, outlasting all empires and nations over which they have presided. Today cities have become the world’s dominant demographic and economic clusters. __ Source

Global demographic forces are driving a rapid growth of cities across the third world. As these global demographic trends accelerate, the future of cities is looking more than a bit frightening. [Unspoken subtext]

The global elites are setting the stage for an unfolding nightmare. Fully prepared to “destroy the world in order to save it,” they are marching forward in corrupt lockstep dedication to a utopian ideology that can only result in ruin. The drama will be played with greatest intensity and pathos in the cities.

Already there are plenty of examples of dysfunctional cities across Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Without skillful management, cities become centers of decay, gridlock, crime, urban sprawl, slum housing, and pollution. The quality of life deteriorates and economic dynamism falters—scale diseconomies outweigh scale benefits.

These challenges are most acute in the megacities—cities with more than 10 million inhabitants. The world will see the number of megacities rise from 23 today to 36 in 2025. Some cities such as São Paulo and Shanghai could have GDP in excess of $500 billion by 2025, more than the GDP of Belgium or Switzerland today. __

Today’s cities are filling up with angry young people intent on mischief and mayhem. As the process unfolds, cities of tomorrow will be stinking open-sewer slums without clean water, without civil order, without basic services such as reliable power, medical services, or fire departments.

No One Can Control What is Coming

Third world peoples from Manila to Lagos to Karachi to Jakarta are being crammed into unmanageable mega-slums lacking clean water, sanitation, and other basic infrastructure. National governments have lost control of the process, as a future of criminal anarchy awaits the emerging hellholes of Africa, Asia, and Latin America. The United Nations is giving tacit consent to this worldwide enterprise of decay and corruption.

Take Karachi as an example of one of the more functional emerging megacities:

How does Karachi solve its civic problems? The megacity of over 22 million people has been unable to resolve the question of how to provide basic infrastructure and basic services to a majority of its population. __

The military of the United States is concerned enough about the prospects of having to send its fighters into such megacities, that it has conducted multiple studies looking at the problem:


“Megacities: Urban Future, the Emerging Complexity,” a five-minute video that has been used at the Pentagon’s Joint Special Operations University. __ Video of the Day h/t Zerohedge

“Megacities are complex systems where people and structures are compressed together in ways that defy both our understanding of city planning and military doctrine,” says a disembodied voice. “These are the future breeding grounds, incubators, and launching pads for adversaries and hybrid threats.” __ Source

The Problem is a Desperate One

And it will drive more and more people of competence and foresight to create their own parallel infrastructure of survival and community far from the crime and filth that concentrates within groupings of large, violent, unintelligent, and poorly ordered populations.

The decline of Europe and the Anglosphere as typified by demographic decline and corrupt elitist takeovers of most governments, cultural institutions, infrastructures, and sources of information and learning, can be disheartening — even to those who understand the larger picture and the underlying foundations of human existence, innovation, and evolution of societies.

But such things can also serve as clarion calls to action, for building parallel infrastructures that will allow competent and far-seeing groups of people to propagate their kind into the future, beyond the decay and collapse of the unsustainable world the “utopian” elites are hastily cramming together in what is becoming the slumlands.

Bright people of vision have to perform a rearguard, holding action, while at the same time laying the foundations for innovative communities and networked city-states capable of building upon the ruins of the old and degenerate order.

Disruptive human innovation is the key that unlocks an expansive and abundant human future. At this stage, it is important to focus innovative efforts around critical infrastructure, in order to make technologies of living more robustly resilient and anti-fragile.

The general attitude that is most helpful for such an enterprise is spelled out in Julian Simon’s free online ebook, Ultimate Resource. Pessimism is the living space of defeat, and open-eyed optimism, contrarianism, and unconventional thinking is the door to a more open future. Danger warnings can be very useful, but a perpetual wallowing in doom is counter-productive and self-fulfilling in the prophecy of ultimate defeat.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst.

The ongoing projects of the Al Fin Institutes — including The Dangerous Child movement, The Next Level, The Society for Creative Apocalyptology, and others of a more inchoate nature — cannot solve the larger problem of a humanity in decline.

But they can help to build networked communities of expertise, competence, and vision which can assist the recovery from the disastrous utopian projects of a corrupt and generally incompetent elite under which we currently endure.


An excellent presentation by Matt Ridley exposing one of the most destructive dogmas of the corrupt utopian project

Posted in Africa, Demographics, Doom, Dysgenics, Megacities | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Small Nuclear Reactors to Power Homesteads and Survival Compounds

Personal Power for the Coming Anarchy

Western societies are aging, losing expertise and internal cohesion, and allowing the foundations of their civilisation to crumble. To survive, modern societies need to make their vital infrastructure as robust as they can. Instead, thanks to a fashionable and corrupt political correctness, they are doing the opposite — making societal collapse more likely.

National and regional leaders fail to understand that reliable, uninterrupted supply of high quality electrical power is a matter of life or death. It is crucial that forward looking and competent people make plans for when the “politically correct” system of interlocking infrastructures — all reliant upon rock-steady and high quality energy supplies — begin to fail, due to top-down sabotage by leaders and political insiders.

Reliable forms of vital, life-saving power are being driven to failure and bankruptcy, while unreliable, low-quality energy from big wind and big solar is increasingly polluting power grids and making large-scale power blackouts and brownouts more likely.

We’re going to need a lot more backup.

NuScale vs Conventional PWR NuScale via Guardian

NuScale vs Conventional PWR
NuScale via Guardian

There is a growing need for micro-grid systems to use as backups for the politically mandated unreliability of national and continental grid systems across Europe and the Anglosphere. With their own dedicated power generation systems, city and community microgrids can drop off the macrogrid, and safely “island” themselves in case of a large-scale grid catastrophe.

At an even smaller scale of resilience, neighborhood and household microgrids can potentially maintain the same type of standby, backup robustness. But neighborhood/household microgrids will require reliable systems capable of generating ample high quality power (and heat) on demand.

Backyard Nukes

These mini-nukes generate between 45 and 300 megawatts of power (compared to 500 megawatts for the smallest thermal reactor now on the market), are built modularly (and, at roughly $1 billion per, relatively cheaply), then sealed completely at the factory, shipped via rail, and arrive at their destination “plug and play.” Once installed, they’re designed to run for years without maintenance. A number of familiar faces (like Toshiba and Lawrence Livermore Laboratories) and several nuclear newcomers (like New Mexico-based Hyperion Power Generation and Oregon- based NuScale Power) have gone into this area because SMRs are believed to fill a niche.

In places where water shortages are a problem, SMRs could be used to run desalination plants; in places too remote for other options, SMRs could be the best alternative to trucking in barrels of diesel. Much interest is centered around providing power for remote mining operations (like extracting oil from tar sands, which currently uses more oil than it produces), backing up intermittently plagued solar or wind facilities, or even —in the very long term —serving as hydrogen generators.

__ Source

Down Scaling Nuclear Reactors Source

Down Scaling Nuclear Reactors

In a Global or Continental Emergency, Why Use Nuclear for Small Scale Robustness?

Nuclear reactors are already being used in remote parts of Siberia for power & heat cogeneration, at a size of 11 MWe. Source Newer, advanced, scaled down integral reactors are, in fact, ideal for geographically isolated communities, if designed and built properly and if operated and maintained by qualified personnel.

Nuclear has much lower fuel demands, is safer, cleaner, more reliable, and over the long run less expensive than the alternatives.

For Training and Testing Purposes, NuScale Appears to Have an Advantage

Advanced operator training facilities are paired with state of the art testing facilities to make sure that all systems operate as advertised, and that all operators will be competent to keep the systems running.

NuScale has designed and built an exclusive access, one-third scale, state-of-the-art, electrically-heated prototype test facility, the NuScale Integral System Test (NIST-1) facility located at Oregon State University in Corvallis, Oregon. The NIST-1 facility provides NuScale with a tremendous advantage for modular prototype testing. The one-third scale prototype replicates the entire NuScale Power Module and reactor building cooling pool. It provides an electrically heated core to bring the system up to operating temperature and pressure. Stability testing ensures that throughout the expected operating conditions, natural circulation is stable.

The facility has demonstrated the viability of NuScale Power’s SMR, and provides an enhanced representation of NuScale’s current reactor design. NIST includes a new data acquisition and control system and extensive instrumentation additions which will provide the measurements necessary for safety code and reactor design validation.

what enables NuScale to truly stand out is its cutting edge testing at state-of-the-art facilities worldwide, including:

NuScale Integral System Test (NIST-1) facility located at Oregon State University in Corvallis, Oregon
Critical Heat Flux testing at Stern Laboratories in Hamilton, Ontario Canada
Helical Coil Steam Generator testing at SIET SpA in Piacenza, Italy
Fuels testing at AREVA’s Richland Test Facility (RTF) in Richland, Washington
Critical Heat Flux testing at AREVA’s KATHY loop in Karlstein, Germany
Control Rod Assembly (CRA) drop / shaft alignment testing at AREVA’s KOPRA facility in Erlangen, Germany
Steam Generator Flow Induced Vibration (FIV) testing at AREVA’s PETER Loop in Erlangen, Germany
Control Rod Assembly Guide Tube (CRAGT) FIV at AREVA’s MAGALY facility in Le Creusot, France

… __

NuScale has been thinking and planning ahead for as many contingencies as can be anticipated. This should not surprise anyone who knows that giant engineering and construction conglomerate Fluor is the majority stockholder in NuScale. And not surprisingly, engineering/construction giant Bechtel is working in a similar fashion with Babcock and Wilcox to develop B&W’s small modular nuclear reactor system. Such partnerships are natural synergies in the capitalist world where competence and expertise are crucial.

The Safe Scaling of Nuclear Power Takes Time

What you see in companies such as NuScale is an intermediate step in the scaling down of nuclear power from its current large scale versions to future backyard and remote location versions. The amount of supervision needed in a 4 GW nuclear power plant is necessarily much larger than what is needed for a nuclear submarine. Likewise the amount of human supervision in a nuclear submarine is larger than what will be needed for some of the smaller NuScale driven power plants. At the end of the timeline of development in scaled-down nuclear reactors, will be systems that do not require real-time human supervision at all.

The evolution of reliable downsized nuclear power will take time, but the sooner it begins, the sooner safe backyard and neighborhood nuclear-powered microgrids will arrive.

The nuclear power industry is experiencing the highest level of construction in 25 years, with 60 reactors under construction worldwide, she noted. In the last 12 months, 11 reactors were put online, of which China accounted for eight.

In addition, the IAEA’s PRIS Database shows that “existing reactors are operating very well”, she added. “In the 1980s the average capacity factor – how much electricity you get out from a plant compared to what it is designed to deliver – was around 60%. Now it’s about 80%. Furthermore, a 40-year-old reactor has the same average capacity factor as a new one. That means we are managing the technology very well.” __ Source

It is good that nuclear power is doing better on the world stage, but in Europe and the Anglosphere, politically corrupt backers of big wind and big solar have much louder voices than do the more rational and thoughtful backers of nuclear power systems evolution.

The Next Ice Age Has Not Been Cancelled

Global Breadbaskets Set to Freeze Source

Global Breadbaskets Set to Freeze

There is a reason why the global breadbaskets of North America and Eurasia are so fruitful. Past glaciations repeatedly replenished soil micronutrients, setting the stage for later human societies to develop the rich agricultural systems that flourish on those lands today.

This is the story of glaciers and Illinois soil, the southern limit of the most recent North American great glaciers:

The first glacier inched its way into Illinois about 300,000 years ago. The fourth and last glacier melted slowly away about 13,000 years ago. The glaciers flattened the land and left behind rich deposits that became the soils on which Illinois farmers have grown their crops for the last 7,000 years. The Illinoan glacier reached into southern Illinois as far as Carbondale. Only the southern tip and the northwest corner of the state were untouched by glaciers. __ Source

The Next Glaciers Will Sweep Away Everything That Now Exists Over Huge Areas

As global climates naturally and inevitably cycle back toward colder temperatures, our easy way of life will come under severe stress. Growing seasons will shorten, cycles of flood and drought will likely worsen, and the time of onset and end of each year’s growing season will become more erratic and less predictable.

The only type of energy — natural or manmade — that will allow earthbound civilisations to survive the more extreme periods of glaciation, is advanced nuclear — fission and/or fusion. Consider the energy density of nuclear fuels vs. other fuels:

Energy Density Comparison from Wikipedia Fusion, Fission Orders of Magnitude Better than Chemical and Other Energy Sources

Energy Density Comparison from Wikipedia
Fusion, Fission Orders of Magnitude Better than Chemical and Other Energy Sources

Nuclear fuels contain many orders of magnitude higher energy density than any other type of fuel. This will allow the storage of centuries-worth of fuel in a relatively small volume, compared to what would be needed for other fuels.
Fuel Requirement Comparison

Fuel Requirement Comparison

We will need better methods for storing fuel, refueling reactors, and storing the very small quantities of waste that will result from newer and cleaner nuclear technologies. We will need reactors that will operate well for hundreds of years, with only minor maintenance requirements. And we will need methods of building replacement reactors and microgrid components, using technologies from advanced 3D printing to molecular manufacturing.

But with advanced nuclear generation of heat and power, humans will not need to huddle together in caves to keep warm, resorting to barbaric methods of population control and suffering from community-ending plagues over time.

Ice Ages are Inevitable, but the Threat from Human Stupidity is Much Closer at Hand

The abrupt political compulsion to overbuild big wind and big solar projects — for the benefit of politically connected elites and their friends — constitutes a considerable threat to a prosperous and abundant human future. The people who are promoting such a dangerous and wasteful overbuild and dependency on unreliable energy sources are well known, and should certainly be held to account for their actions. But by then it is likely to be too late.

Modern Leaders of Europe and the Anglosphere are Corrupt and Cowardly Fools

Barack Obama is a prototype for such politically correct and corrupt groupthinkers, but Hillary Clinton would certainly follow closely in his footsteps, if given the chance. Canada’s Trudeau is cut from the same cloth, as are the greens who wield so much influence across Europe and the rest of the Anglosphere. They had best hope to be well and truly out of the way — enjoying their ill-got gains — before their house of corrupt energy cards comes crashing down.

The Idea of Backyard Reactors and Personal Microgrids Will Require Work

It is rare for anything worthwhile to come about on its own, without a lot of help. Powerful elites will continue to attempt to control the emergence of potentially disruptive innovations, but such control is not always possible. For those who would like to forge their own path outside the control of busybody elitists, clever development of parallel infrastructures will be necessary in a step by step, low-profile manner.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. It is never too early or late to have a Dangerous Childhood.

Important reading:

Wind and Solar can never replace more reliable nuclear and fossil fuels

Download full MIT report here

Matt Ridley scores a coup de grace at the Royal Society last night, against politically correct saboteurs of the human future

Posted in Electrical Power Grid, Nuclear Power, Survival Prepping, Technology, TEOTWAWKI | Tagged | 5 Comments

Half Your Brain Tied Behind Your Back

The following article was previously published on The Dangerous Child blog

Unihemispheric Sleep; Unihemispheric Waking

Half-Brain Sleep is Common in Many Animals Source

Half-Brain Sleep is Common in Many Animals

Whales and dolphins live underwater but must come to the surface periodically to breathe. They cannot allow both hemispheres of their brains to drop into deep sleep, else they may not wake to surface in time. Similarly, many birds undergo long migrations and other flights of long duration when they are unable to fall into deep sleep for long periods of time. Their brains are adapted to allow one hemisphere to stay awake while the other hemisphere gets much needed rest.

Can Humans Sleep With Half Their Brain Open?

The human brain, it turns out, is endowed with a less dramatic form of the unihemispheric sleep found in birds and some mammals. For humans, familiarity with a place breeds a deep night’s sleep.

__ Christof Koch

When humans are sleeping in a strange environment — which happens very regularly to people who travel as a matter of course — it seems the left hemisphere is more vigilant to the environment, allowing the right hemisphere to snooze more deeply. More

The sleep scientists who discovered this unilateral phenomenon used advanced brain scanners, which allowed subjects to sleep inside them all night long.

… they found that the sleeping brains showed asymmetrical patterns of sleep activity, with one hemisphere humming along while the other slept. And while the sprightly hemisphere wasn’t fully awake, it was much more active than the other—even responsive to external stimuli. Subjects in the study experiencing FNE, for example, were jolted awake by “deviant” sounds. A creaking door perhaps. Or a shrieking animal. For most of the subjects, the night watchman hemisphere of their brain was the left side, for inexplicable reasons. __ PopSci

More on sleep

Interesting, But So What?

Even during their awake time, animals — and humans — often move through the world “half asleep.” The image of dolphins above shows how the brain allots its sleep/wake time according to three general hemispheric states: L awake/R asleep, R awake/L asleep, and both L and R awake. As mentioned above, as a matter of survival for dolphins, both L and R cannot sleep simultaneously, except for very short time periods. This means that casual observers may not notice whether a dolphin is half awake, or fully awake.

You might think that humans do not have this problem, since humans can usually sleep with both hemispheres at specific, designated times, leaving both hemispheres fully awake to deal with the world at the proper time. Except, it doesn’t always work that way. Individual (left or right) human hemispheres can exhibit signs of sleep while a person is nominally awake, for short times. Most people — even those who have not been forced to stay alert for very long stretches, or for odd hours — will be able to recall brain misfires and somnambulations while awake which are very difficult to explain.

Is Anyone Ever Completely Awake?

The video clip above from the movie “Limitless” is entirely fictional, and yet . . . anyone who is curious and pays just a little attention to the world will have experienced epiphanies — startling moments of exceptional clarity that emerge unsolicited from the depths. How can we seem awake, and then suddenly find ourselves watching our worlds from one or more levels higher up?

These states never seem to last very long, but they suggest the existence of a higher and deeper ocean of experience, in which most of us have only managed to dip our toes.

It is easy to imagine unihemispheric sleep in humans when the two hemispheres have been surgically disconnected from each other — as in “split brain patients.” Patients with uncontrollable epilepsy were sometimes “cured” of global seizures by severing the corpus callosum. Once disconnected, the two hemispheres will often go in different directions, attending to different things.
After the right and left brain are separated, each hemisphere will have its own separate perception, concepts, and impulses to act. Having two “brains” in one body can create some interesting dilemmas. When one split-brain patient dressed himself, he sometimes pulled his pants up with one hand (that side of his brain wanted to get dressed) and down with the other (this side didn’t). Also, once he grabbed his wife with his left hand and shook her violently, so his right hand came to her aid and grabbed the aggressive left hand. However, such conflicts are actually rare. If a conflict arises, one hemisphere usually overrides the other.[1] __ Wikipedia Split Brain

A fascinating topic to be sure, but something similar can take place even when all anatomical connections within the brain remain intact. Such interhemispheric asynchrony has been observed in hypnosis — and anything that happens under formal hypnosis may also tend to happen spontaneously in ordinary life.

The Corpus Callosum is Larger in Women than Men

The more strongly the two hemispheres are connected to each other, the less likely that they will act independently of each other. It has been found that the two brain hemispheres are not as strongly connected in men as they are in women.

In the entire sample (n= 316), controlling for brain size and age, the average CCA [corpus callosum cross sectional area] was significantly (P< 0.03) larger in females. The difference favoring females was more pronounced in the young adults cohort (P< 0.0005). These results provide strong additional evidence that the CCA is larger in females after correcting for the confounding effect of brain size. ___

More, persons who are easily hypnotised — and can readily block pain perception under hypnosis — have been found to have larger corpus callosi, at least in the anterior portion.

Only the highly hypnotizable subjects (HHs) who eliminated pain perception were included in the present study. These HHs, who demonstrated more effective attentional and inhibitory capabilities, had a significantly (P < 0.003) larger (31.8%) rostrum, a corpus callosum area involved in the allocation of attention and transfer of information between prefrontal cortices, than low hypnotizable subjects (LHs). These results provide support to the neuropsychophysiological model that HHs have more effective frontal attentional systems implementing control, monitoring performance and inhibiting unwanted stimuli from conscious awareness, than LHs. __

The anterior parts of the corpus callosum also seem to be enlarged in meditation practitioners, suggesting that meditation may alter the actual morphology of certain parts of the brain via the brain plasticity of selective use.

Hypnosis vs. Meditation

Although superficial similarities between hypnosis and meditation are readily apparent, we should be aware of the important differences between the two things. Hypnosis can be thought of as a highly focused “spotlight,” while meditation more closely resembles a broadbeam “floodlight.” A hypnotic trance blanks out peripheral phenomena, including ordinary sensations such as pain, discomfort, or embarassment. Meditation — particularly mindfulness meditation — opens the portals of awareness to allow an “eagle’s eye view” of one’s internal and external setting.

Using hypnosis, one can “disconnect” different circuits of brain activity from each other, functionally, on a subconscious level. Mindfulness meditation enlarges the borders of consciousness to allow normally suppressed stimuli to reach mental awareness. At that point, the conscious mind can often sort the relevant from the irrelevant, and alter subsequent consciousness.

Who Wants to Bother with All This Hocus Pocus?

Very few people indeed. Most would rather pop a pill, swallow a draught, lose themselves in a social setting, or otherwise avoid the question of whether they are entirely sleepwalking through their lives — or only doing so halfway. But shouldn’t we want to train our children differently, to be less slaves of our trance states and more aware of their own decision making and life choices?

Fortunately, for the Tech-Oriented Parent, There is Neurofeedback

Neurofeedback uses brainwave and other neurofunctional real-time metrics to allow a person to shape the workings of his own brain. Neurofeedback has proven exceptionally effective for treating ADHD and for brain rehabilitation after injury. The technique has also been useful for treating addictions, depression, autism, migraines, and a range of other dysfunctional states.

And although there has not been much written on the use of neurofeedback for enlarging conscious awareness, a number of neuroresearchers are doing work on that very project. This is not exactly what I am referring to, but consider:

A recent development in the field is a conceptual approach called the Coordinated Allocation of Resource Model (CAR) of brain functioning which states that specific cognitive abilities are a function of specific electrophysiological variables which can overlap across different cognitive tasks.[47] The activation database guided EEG biofeedback approach initially involves evaluating the subject on a number of academically relevant cognitive tasks and compares the subject’s values on the QEEG measures to a normative database, in particular on the variables that are related to success at that task. __ Wikipedia Neurofeedback

Neurofeedback has also been used to improve the performances of musicians, dancers, actors, athletes, and other persons who make a living from highly focused skills.

Neurofeedback is readily distinguished from ordinary hypnosis and meditation by neurofeedback’s ability to monitor real-time brain activity in particular brain circuits and anatomical centres. “Conscious” intervention on normally unconscious brain processes can then be fine-tuned to suit the goals of clients and their parents.

The Objective is to Learn to Achieve States of Highly Functional Awareness

Dangerous Children learn to achieve heightened situational awareness (and mindfulness) as part of their training. This allows them to anticipate and deal with problems before they happen. The parents of many Dangerous Children in training may also opt for neurofeedback training, where it may be helpful.

The neurological signs of “sleeping while awake” can be too subtle for most available intruments used in everyday neurofeedback training. They also tend to be too fleeting and unpredictable to be easily addressed in most conventional programmes of neurofeedback.

But a careful human observer can usually catch another person who is falling into a trance, in most situations. That is where “life coaches,” parents, and mentors who have some training in Ericksonian hypnosis and similar trance-aware disciplines can make their mark on a Dangerous Child’s future ability to choose his own path on multiple time scales.

Parents of Dangerous Children Must Learn to Pay Attention

Raising a Dangerous Child is an exhausting prospect. Fortunately, Dangerous Children begin to take up the slack of their own training at a surprisingly early age. Even so, parents, coaches, mentors, and helpers need to keep their eyes open so as to be able to intervene at key developmental bifurcation points.

Posted in Cognition, Human Brain, Sex Differences, Situational Awareness | Tagged | 2 Comments

Hillary Clinton Feels Entitled to Be President; Why?

I'm Entitled, Dammit... source

I’m Entitled, Dammit…

Guest Article: What Distinguishes “The Entitled Personality” from Normal People?

Entitlement is a personality trait driven by exaggerated feelings of deservingness and superiority.

According to new research by Case Western Reserve University, entitlement may lead to chronic disappointment, unmet expectations and a habitual, self-reinforcing cycle of behavior with dire psychological and social costs.

In a new theoretical model, the researchers have mapped how entitled personality traits may lead to a perpetual loop of distress.

“At extreme levels, entitlement is a toxic narcissistic trait, repeatedly exposing people to the risk of feeling frustrated, unhappy and disappointed with life,”

said Joshua Grubbs, the primary author of the paper and a recent PhD graduate in psychology from Case Western Reserve.

“Often times, life, health, aging and the social world don’t treat us as well as we’d like. Confronting these limitations is especially threatening to an entitled person because it violates their worldview of self-superiority.”

Entitlement Cycles

Reacting to perceived injustices, entitled people may direct their anger outward, blaming others, while reassuring themselves of their own specialness, thus beginning the cycle again. The study, based on a review of more than 170 academic papers, outlines the cycle as a three-stage process:

  • First, entitlement creates a constant vulnerability to unmet expectations
  • Unmet expectations then lead to dissatisfaction and other volatile emotions
  • Emotional distress demands a remedy, leading to the reinforcement of superiority

Julie Exline, co-author of the study and a professor of psychological sciences at Case Western Reserve, said:

“Reassurance stemming from entitlement can provide temporary relief from the very distress caused by entitlement,”

But these benefits are short-lived; long-term consequences associated with entitled behavior include poor relationships, interpersonal conflicts and depression.

Us And Them

“The entire mindset pits someone against other people,” Exline said. “When people think that they should have everything they want — often for nothing — it comes at the cost of relationships with others and, ultimately, their own happiness.”

Previous studies show entitlement is on the rise, so-called “millennials” see themselves as generally more entitled than previous generations. Entitled traits have an especially fertile breeding ground in the strong current of individualism valued by American society and culture, Exline says, though pinning blame for the phenomenon is difficult.

And while there is no clear path for a person to break out of the cycle of entitled behavior, previous research shows that traits of humility and gratitude can protect against the distress associated with entitlement.

By creating a sense of safety and security, psychologists have helped entitled people feel more connected to others by finding common ground in the limitations and suffering present in all human lives.

“Yet, this may be too much to ask,” Grubbs said. “It’s often unacceptable for entitled people to consider they are not the exception to the rule.”


The same sense of entitlement pervades the ranks of Hillary Clinton supporters, from Google to Goldman Sachs to ghettoes of the inner cities.

Feminists, lefty political activists, greens, felons, and other rock solid, ready-to-cheat supporters of the Hillary Clinton candidacy find it entirely unacceptable to consider that they are not the exception to every rule. Should Clinton be elected US president, it might be prudent to prepare for the very worst that a tsunami of entitled incompetents can bring.

Posted in Hillary Clinton, Politics, Psychopaths | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Trump Overcoming Media Bias; US Elections a Big Headache

Donald Trump Ahead of Clinton in Rasmussen Presidential Poll

At the close of a week that began with him trailing by seven points, Donald Trump still holds a slight lead over Hillary Clinton in today’s White House Watch survey despite a flurry of news reports alleging a history of sexual harassment on his part.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Trump with 43% support to Clinton’s 41%. __

The US newsmedia is working almost uniformly in lockstep to portray Trump in a negative light. But despite months of solid negative attacks by media, Trump continues to stay nearly even with a physically weak Hillary Clinton.

The US Elections are Taking a Toll on Most American Voters

Researched showed Thursday that the 2016 Presidential Election can be causing people headaches and illness.

Clinical Psychologist, Dr. Sheila Raja is not shocked by the survey, stating more than half of Americans are significantly stressed by the presidential election.

The American Psychological Association said men and women, both Democrats and Republicans feel the pressure nearly equally. ___ Research Shows Voters are Stressed

Hillary Will Continue the Assault Against the US Constition; Trump ???

No one knows what a President Trump would do once inaugurated, but a President Hillary Clinton would no doubt continue Barack Obama’s headlong assault against the US Constitution and the few freedoms that Americans still enjoy. The national debt has almost doubled under Obama, and under Clinton we can expect more of the same, except worse. As with Obama, the non-productive will be rewarded and the productive will be punished. And corruption under the Clintons will be like nothing the US has ever seen.

Americans Must Already Deal With a $4 Trillion Regulatory Load

Tax Code Complexity Visual Capitalist

Tax Code Complexity
Visual Capitalist

If all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail. Regulators add new regulations to “solve” problems, but there is much less political will to actually go back and sort through any outdated, ineffective, or convoluted regulations of the past.

Over time, this has created a massive regulatory burden that continues to snare the growth potential of many industries. According to one study, the cumulative effect creates a burden with a dollar value greater than the GDP of many of the world’s largest economies… Regulatory Burden in the U.S. is a Whopping $4 Trillion[!] ___

An overtaxed, over-regulated economy is like dinner on the table for corrupt persons such as the Clintons and their friends. Just as Obama transferred dozens of $billions to political supporters under the name of “economic stimulus,” the Clintons will almost certainly transfer hundreds of $billions to friends and supporters under whatever names they choose.

No wonder so many Americans are feeling stressed. With Trump they get a great big question mark, and with Clinton they get certain economic and political disaster.

Would This Be a Good Time for “The Revolution?”

Absolutely not. The US continues to provide economic opportunity, world class higher education and research, and a large interactive playing field of innovative R&D, that no other nation can come close to matching. The reason that parasites such as Soros and the Clintons hang around the US is because that is where the money and the action tend to be over the long run.

China cannot build advanced military turbine engines, and Russia is falling hopelessly behind in several cutting edge sectors of high technology. These enemies of freer peoples should not be given moral support by internal turmoil and violence within Europe and the Anglosphere — if it can be helped.

But overregulation, overtaxation, and a suffocating political correctness are combining to make it far more difficult to find and exploit opportunities as they arise. Working, middle, and professional classes are being squeezed, while the politically connected are raking in the spoils, thanks to growing corruption in government. Slipshod — and downright suicidal — immigration policies open the door to freeloaders, criminals, terrorists, and untrainable perpetual welfare recipients.

It is Never Too Late to Have a Dangerous Childhood

Hope for the best, but prepare for the worst. During the dark days of the US Carter administration and its immediate aftermath, the world was convinced that the US was finished, and that the USSR would win the cold war. But after just 8 years of President Reagan, the US experienced an abrupt resurgence in prosperity and influence that was unpredictable to the wisest of media, government, and academic pundits prior to its occurrence.

Germany was soon united, long-occupied nations of Central and Eastern Europe were self-liberated, and the USSR — that gross bloody abomination among nations — experienced its first of what are likely to be many shatterings.

Trump’s chances are much more sketchy than were Reagan’s at this stage, and his promise is based more on populist wishful thinking and less on sound political philosophy and economics. Americans should not count on a similar rescue and resurgence from that direction.

Sometimes Ugly Situations Must Play Themselves Out

One must always do his best to prevent obvious catastrophes, and to prepare for inadvertent disaster. “Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.”

Many Americans felt that two terms under President Obama — with the corruption, doubling of national debt, weakening of almost every aspect of the nation — represented the “worst” to be expected. But now most of those are having second thoughts, with the coming of Hillary Parkinson and her political machine of reavers. After 8 years of Obama, America is weak, and ripe for another vampire attack.

In such a worse case, Americans and people of Europe and the Anglosphere would need to learn to work together unofficially, outside of government. “The government is not the country,” and that has never been more true than today. Parallel infrastructure must be built across the full spectrum of critical needs.

Corrupt elites have worked tirelessly for decades to make western people dependent upon governments for virtually all of their basic needs. And after the 20th century turmoil of wars and revolutions, the people have typically accepted the role of sheep without complaint, as if being sheep came naturally to them.

Now, those who are capable must swim against that tide to utilise disruptive innovation for purposes of parallel infrastructure of all types. Only then will they be able to act independently for their own well-being, rather than exclusively for the well-being of the corrupt, thieving, ruling elites.

Posted in Disruptive Technologies, Hillary Clinton, innovation, Politics | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

It’s All Part of the Plan Part II

In part I of this series, we took a quick look at ways in which Russia is being actively dismantled by its historical victims.

Butchering the Bear Source

Butchering the Bear

The Separatist Spirit is Strong in the Urals, Siberia, the North Caucasus, Russian Manchuria, Russian Occupied Karelia, and Several Other Regions in the Unstable Russian Empire

Payback Time for Fading Muskovite Empire

The bloody bully Moscow has made itself the hated and feared enemy of dozens of peoples from China to Central/Eastern/Northern Europe to Ukraine, to diverse peoples spread across Siberia, Central Asia, and as far south as Afghanistan and the middle east. Now, an explosive force of separation and payback is building against the rapidly weakening empire of oppression.

“Urals separatism is based on social injustice: 12,000 works at the factory there live like trash while those running the company from Moscow receive the profit, giving high salaries to 300 employees and paying taxes in Moscow but not in the Urals. And there’s no money to build roads in the Urals.” __ Quoted from a text in response to

Why Would Ukraine Aid Separatists in Cossakia and the Siberian State Union?

According to Artishchenko, last weekend the Presidential Administration of Ukraine convened a conference of separatists from the Urals, Siberia and Krasnodar kray that was attended on the Ukrainian side by radical Oleg Lyashko, through whose party Kyiv wants to finance “’Cossackia’” and “’the Siberian State Union.

Journalists weren’t invited, the Russian commentator says; but he said he was able to learn that Ukrainian officials proposed that the regionalists from Russia introduce their own currency and thus be in a better position to insist that not all the wealth of their regions ends up in Moscow’s hands.

One of the ideas floated at the meeting, Artishchenko continues, was “the creation of ‘a Union of Russian Lands’ without Moscow.” Real Russians would thus have their own country that would instantly become wealthier, and Moscow would have its own state, albeit much smaller and much poorer. __ Source

Much of the above information is fed by Artishchenko’s paranoia, but the fact remains that Russia — by virtue of its innate preexisting fragmentation — is inherently vulnerable. When Russia’s enemies finally do decide to give separatists-from-the-empire more than simple moral support, things could get interesting for the Muskovite oppression.

Future Map of the Former Russian Empire Azeri Daily

Future Map of the Former Russian Empire
Azeri Daily

The Guardian article Separatism From Siberia to Kaliningrad looks at a few separatist sentiments that were already floating around in the days before hard times hit the bear. Since then, things have grown progressively worse for all parts of Russia, except those sectors which are intensively involved in weapons manufacture, propaganda, and espionage.

But thanks to recession and infrastructure collapse, separatist movements in the empire span from Vladivlastok to Kaliningrad, reaching down into the North Caucasus and once again into Crimea.

The Empire is Dying Piece by Piece

Clockwise L to R: anna-politkovskaya-aleksandr-litvinenko-natalya-estimirova-galina-starovoitova-vladislav-listyev-boris-nemtsov

Clockwise L to R: anna-politkovskaya-aleksandr-litvinenko-natalya-estimirova-galina-starovoitova-vladislav-listyev-boris-nemtsov

“I understand,” Glukhovsky says, “those who march in columns, and I understand those who put their heads in the sand.” They simply want to live their lives without problems. Only those like Anna Politkovskaya and Boris Nemtsov are prepared to show courage to make changes and to shame those of us who don’t follow their lead.

People in every country, including in Russia, “are born free and unique.” It is only after birth that Russians have given up on freedom. “I do not want to believe that [Russia] really is condemned to be an imperial colony,” he concludes. Its enormous territory “can be a space of justice and freedom. But we need to deserve it.” Right now, that isn’t the case. __ Source

Putin is trying to hold onto power in the only way his atrophied KGB mindset will allow. But everything he does makes Russia weaker, and the collapse more certain.

… the only thing that frightens Putin more than being overthrown in a colored revolution is being toppled by a palace coup like Khrushchev was back in 1964.

That’s why he’s obsessed with conspiracies, both foreign and domestic.

That’s why he goes to great lengths to project an image of strength and an aura of invincibility. __ Source

Putin’s bloody Syrian adventure, which showcases the wholesale massacre of civilians and destruction of civilian infrastructure, impresses small minded persons with no historical perspective and no understanding of underlying Russian decline. It also helps to sell Russian weaponry to the budget minded and undiscriminating customer.

China is moving in to dominate Central Asia economically, politically, and militarily. It is likely that China will also exert dominance over the farflung remnants of the lost Russian empire. It can thus accomplish control over Siberia without the need for an invasion of any kind.


Kremlin Feeling Panic

Putin beginning to crack mentally?

Necessary economic reform just isn’t going to happen

Putin no longer has a choice but to lie

Russia is toxic from the top downward

Russia becoming another North Korea

Posted in Russia, Russian Collapse, Russian Decline | Tagged | Leave a comment

German Bundesrat Moves Closer to Banning Human Beings

CO2 Emissions Almost Entirely of Natural Origin IPCC via NTZ

CO2 Emissions Almost Entirely of Natural Origin

The German legislature has voted to ban all motor vehicles — except “zero-emission” vehicles — by the year 2030. As we see from the graphic above, almost all CO2 emissions come from natural sources, including human beings. It makes no sense to ban CO2-emitting vehicles while allowing greenhouse gas-emitting humans to walk around unhindered.

Germany’s Use of Coal for Electricity Generation is Rising

Hypocritical Greens Secretly Depend on Coal

Hypocritical Greens Secretly Depend on Coal

Germany attempted to reduce its “carbon footprint” while also shutting down nuclear power plants, banning fracking, and instituting other counterproductive measures — including a rapid buildup of wind and solar grid penetration. The result of this madness is a rise in coal use and CO2 production — the opposite of their aims.

Germany Raises the Madness to a New Level

German Wind Power Fails

German Wind Power Fails
Volatility plays havoc with the electric grid

The Germans’ demented plunge into power grid over-reliance on unreliable, low-quality energy sources was bad enough. Low income Germans are paying a much higher proportion of their incomes for heat and power, and are caught in a deteriorating quality of life trap. Meanwhile, Germany’s greens exult in their newfound power to inflict hardship on the middle and lower classes, and refuse to face the fact that their own policies have resulted in rising CO2 emissions. And the pain from Germany’s Energiewende extends across borders into other parts of Europe.

Power Grid Frequency Control Basics

Supply and demand of electrical power must always be kept in balance. This is done through a mechanism called droop speed control. The power generators in a grid are synchronous, i.e. operating at the same frequency. When demand for power increases, the generators in the grid slow down a little bit and the frequency goes down. This is detected in the power stations, and the production of the generators is increased to compensate. As a result, the frequency of the grid is kept close to 50 Hz and at the same time power production is kept in balance with power demand. A more detailed explanation can be found in this article about power grid principles.

The point is that the frequency of the grid depends on the balance between supply and demand. Although the grid operators keep the momentary frequency close to 50 Hz, they don’t even try to keep the average frequency at 50 Hz. The primary purpose of frequency control is load balancing…

But the reality is far more complex, with frequency, voltage, and phase all held in a critical balance. Any significant sustained deviation from this critically dynamic balance would be catastrophic to the grid, and to society as a whole. Most Greens probably understand that there is a problem with their scheme somewhere. But since they do not feel personally threatened, they simply do not care about the consequences of their own rigid, ideologically-bound policies.

A More Detailed and Technical Look at the Critical Power Grid Balance — A Matter of Life or Death

This basic technical primer looks at some of the ways that simple power grids maintain frequency, phase locking, voltage. and load balancing. At the end it briefly discusses both the “promise” and the peril of “smart grids.” Remember that the proof is in the pudding. Promises are cheap, but actual results tell the tale.

Germany’s leaders promised castles in the sky from the adoption of Energiewende. The actual results were higher use of coal, higher CO2 emissions, and higher retail costs of power to ordinary Germans already under strain from disastrous government policies of immigration and economics. The Energiewende compromise between the Christian Democrats and the Greens threatens to break the back of Germany.

A simple power grid simulator applet is provided here. The applet will apparently not work with Chrome browser, but should work with others. The applet is meant to allow students to experiment with load balancing in a simple grid with just a few loads and sources. Notice that the coal, gas, and hydro power stations can be adjusted to match loads. The wind farm is subject to erratic starts and stops, and thus presents a very ugly problem to any realistic power grid or power grid simulation. The nuclear power plant is meant to provide steady “baseload” power, since nuclear power provides the safest and most economical source of constant power.

Power Grid Simulation Applet Screen Capture Source

Power Grid Simulation Applet Screen Capture

Here is another free power dispatch simulator, available for download to Windows. But always be careful of computer models and computer simulations which seem to be trying to sell something. The Wartsila simulator claims to provide support for new load balancing tools that painlessly integrate unpredictable and intermittent supplies such as big wind and big solar into a critically balanced dynamic grid. But if it were that easy, we would not see green power grids in South Australia repeatedly failing, and nations such as Denmark, Spain, Germany, and other nations in Europe are beginning to cautiously step back from some of their earlier green extremism — to prevent green catastrophe.

Reliable electric power means life or death for modern societies. That is why it is so surprising that national governments such as Germany’s are willing to risk the future of their nations and peoples on a bad gamble such as deep penetration of big wind and big solar into a delicately balanced power grid.

Always remember: Feeding erratic energy into the foundation of modern societies is an invitation to disaster:

Wind is Dangerously Unreliable with Unpredictable Stops and Starts that Trigger Abrupt Grid Instability Source

Wind is Dangerously Unreliable with Unpredictable Stops and Starts that Trigger Abrupt Grid Instability

Germany forced to back away from idiotic Energiewende plans . . . But the MIT Technology Review article fogs over the truth of why Germany must step back from utter stupidity: Wind and solar are unreliable, unpredictable, and subject to large surges and equally abrupt dropoffs. Power grids are not built to accomodate potentially catastrophic caprice on this scale.

Unleashing safer, newer, more affordable, more reliable nuclear power makes sense — the moronic green Bundesrat policies do not.

Balance and the grid

Defense of Fossil Fuels

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Watch the US Presidential Debates Closely

Is That a “Pill-Rolling Tremor” I see?

Watch the video analysis of the first presidential debate below closely. Ted Noel MD introduces some background information on some tricks of compensating for Parkinson’s disease, then highlights some interesting debate phenomena which casual viewers are likely to have missed.

Hillary is playing the big game for very high stakes. She has been at the epicentre of a powerful political machine for several decades now. These people know how to play the game. And they know how to play everyone who counts, including the media and the public masses.

The flashlit walk out to the waiting vehicle is especially interesting. Notice how Hillary’s path is flashlit all the way to the door of her vehicle, even after she and Bill parted paths.

The video below is even more intriguing, as Dr. Noel discovers news media shenanigans by NBC News in its coverage of the Hillary campaign. Watch and learn:

Now that you know a few of the compensating and misleading tricks used by the Clinton campaign and the professional news media to cover up Hillary’s underlying health status, you will know better what to watch for in future debates and public appearances.

How Will the US Public React Once they Discover that They Had Been Intentionally Misled All This Time?

Your guess is as good as mine. We can remember how Italians treated Mussolini, and how Romanians treated Ceausescu, once the jigs were up. Americans tend to be kinder to their miscreants, particularly those who turn out to be invalids.

Watch closely, and be ready for anything.

Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.


In the latest US presidential debate, flies were landing on Hillary’s face and shirt. Flies are less disruptive than buzzards would have been, but the idea that Hillary may be closing in on her final chapter was communicated by nature nonetheless.

On a more serious note, Hillary spent most of her non-speaking time sitting on the stool whereas Trump stood throughout the debate. Definite head nodding could be seen, hints of pill-rolling were spotted — the few times the cameras dared to show Hillary’s hands when she was resting. She grew tired during the last half hour, and began to exhibit early signs of “brain freeze.”

Verdict: Close call for Hillary in the second debate, but overall she managed to compensate reasonably well for her state of health. We will wait and see whether her medical team can keep her going long enough to survive the third and final debate.

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Robin Hood in Reverse: Buffett, Gates, Zuckerberg, Brin Steal From the Poor

Electricity Prices Set to Skyrocket Thanks to Rich Green Cronies

We see it happening in Germany, Canada, South Australia, Spain, and wherever else it has been tried. Rapid politically-driven construction of big wind and big solar projects drives up the cost of retail electrical power, hurting the poor and benefiting the well-connected green-crony rich.

It’s not the demand for more electricity that’s driving construction [of giant wind farms], but rather the government’s preferential tax treatment and counterintuitive energy mandates… Warren Buffett has admitted as much. In 2014 he explained: “I will do anything that is basically covered by the law to reduce Berkshire’s tax rate [. . .] We get a tax credit if we build a lot of wind farms. That’s the only reason to build them. They don’t make sense without the tax credit.”

The winners? Warren Buffett; MidAmerican Energy’s other investors; and Facebook, Microsoft, and Google—MidAmerican’s biggest customers, who will receive tax benefits of their own for using wind energy. The losers? Taxpayers and other ratepayers footing the bill. __ The Hill

High Priced Unreliable Green Energy Drives Out Industry and Jobs

Germany… has spent more than €200 billion on its Energiewende and, thereby, sent its power prices through the roof and its meaningful industries packing

From Germany with love:
All of this – the job losses, the unreliable power supply, the astonishing amounts of spending that could top €1 trillion over the coming decades, and the rising coal emissions to boot – amounts to one of the more monumental blunders of modern governance.

Berlin likes to think of itself as a green-energy example to the rest of the world. It sure is.
Wall Street Journal __ Source

We Expect this Corruption and Stupidity from Obama; Hillary Promises More of the Same

Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton’s plan to install half a billion solar panels by the end of her prospective first term will increase electricity prices for American families, according to a study by the free market Institute for Energy Research (IER).

Researchers found Clinton’s plan would increase power price through expanding a solar subsidy, called net metering, which forces utilities to buy the electricity produced by rooftop solar panels often at two to six times the market price. Net metering also forces people who don’t own rooftop solar panels to pay more to maintain the grid.

IER’s findings closely mirror those of a 2015 study by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) that found rooftop solar subsides increase costs and the business model isn’t viable without government support.


In fact, neither big wind nor big solar are viable without massive, never-ending government support. Both forms of energy are intermittent and unreliable, and free markets would have nothing to do with either without forceful big-government policies that result in ever-rising energy costs to energy consumers.

If you want to know who to thank for your life getting more complicated and less affordable, look to green politicians, green activists, and green cronies in corporations such as Microsoft, Facebook, Google, and Berkshire Hathaway.

Another listing of wealthy thieves from The Green Corruption Files:
George Soros
George Kaiser
Elon Musk
Warren Buffet
Pritzker Group
Heather Podesta
Tony Podesta
Steve Westly
Steve Farber
Ken Salazar
Spinner, Steve
Google Executives
Solarcity Corp

Such people and economic entities are willing to steal from ordinary power consumers for big tax breaks and corrupt government contracts — and sometimes just because they feel good doing it. And don’t forget Zuckerberg, Brin, and Gates. Robin Hood in reverse, indeed.

Follow the money, and more

Currently, 29 states have renewable portfolio standards mandating utilities to generate a certain percentage of their electricity from sources such as wind and solar. On the federal level, the Environmental Protection Agency’s recent carbon regulations—if eventually upheld by the Supreme Court—will shutter many traditional power plants, leaving wind farms to take their place.

In other words, government policy is doing everything in its power to set the stage for wind. Those investing in wind stand to reap guaranteed profits, while taxpayers and ratepayers have to pay more in the end. In terms of tax dollars, the production tax credit for wind is estimated to cost taxpayers $13.8 billion between 2014 and 2018. Energy mandates, meanwhile, will drive up electricity prices as traditional energy sources are phased out for costlier power provided by wind and solar. __

We are Not Recommending Direct Action Against Corrupt Green Politicians and Cronies

Violence begets violence, and should be avoided even as a last resort, if possible. But clearly, those who increase the suffering of the majority of their fellow countrymen just for corrupt coin, should pay a penalty. And make no mistake: What these greens are doing amounts to a type of genocide of modern societies — intentional or not.

Stay alert and be prepared. Green corruption is profitable, and with the assistance of news and entertainment media wraps itself in glitter and “good intentions” to amuse and deceive the masses. Try not to fall into its net of deception and decline. The development of parallel infrastructure is no longer just an option, but a necessity.

Never forget: The quality and reliability of electrical power is what makes modern life possible

Corrupt big wind and big solar energy projects not only raise retail power prices, they threaten the integrity of power supplies to vital infrastructure. Just a few days without electrical power could turn a modern city into an inferno. That is the thing that Hillary, Obama, Zuckerberg, Brin, Buffett, Michael Dell, Elon Musk, and George Soros are flirting with, for ideological and monetary motives.

If you want to frighten these green billionaire welfare-dependents, threaten to take away their government subsidies. Then stand back and watch the stampede away from the huge government-instigated misallocation of society’s resources.


25 pp PDF Utah State University report on unreliability of wind energy

Green energy disaster widespread and ongoing

Wind and Solar Unreliable

Articles on wind power

Rod Adams on unreliable, costly wind and solar

Posted in Green Quagmire | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Where the People Are; Where They Will Be

Where the People Are:

Where the People Are Source

Where the People Are

To start, we’ve used 2016 information on population. There are now at least 3.8 billion people living inside the highlighted circle, and that’s not even including the tally from countries that are partially in the circle like Pakistan or Russia.

The circle holds 22 of the world’s 37 megacities – massive cities that hold at least 10 million inhabitants. It also includes the five most populous cities on the planet: Tokyo, Jakarta, Seoul, Karachi, and Shanghai, which alone combine to hold 144.5 million people.

This geographical region also holds many of the emerging markets of the future, countries that the World Economic Forum expects will lead global growth in years to come. Vietnam, Myanmar, Philippines, Indonesia, and Bangladesh are in the area highlighted, and Pakistan is partially there as well. __

Where they will be:

Fastest Growing Cities Source

Fastest Growing Cities

The world’s fastest growing megacity? It’s Lagos, Nigeria and Fortune calls it the “Big Apple of Africa”. In the 1970s it had a measly 2 million people, but today it boasts 16 million people… __

1950 to 2060: World’s Most Populous Countries

Courtesy of: Visual Capitalist

African countries move up the list. Europe loses rank rapidly. Russia drops off the list never to return. Global average population IQ in decline.

Average Global Human IQ in Decline

Average Global Human IQ in Decline

More on global IQ trends at Fourmilab

Current global IQ average scores by nation:

A world mostly populated with people of “below average intelligence” by current standards, is likely to be a more violent, more impoverished, less innovative world in decline. As the more advanced nations of the world lose the ability to underwrite food supplies, health care, and peacekeeping in the third world, expect to see some catastrophic reversals in population growth.

Multiple wars on the Eurasian land mass are virtually guaranteed during this time of turbulent transition. Demographic decline and a self-neutering of most European male populations combined with an open-door policy toward violent, low IQ immigrants, sets the stage for decades of future violence and population replacement from Spain to Russia.

Posted in Africa, Demographics, Megacities | Tagged , | Leave a comment

The Gamble

Robin Williams and Lewy Body Dementia Credit: Peter Kramer, Getty Images

Robin Williams and Lewy Body Dementia
Credit: Peter Kramer, Getty Images

You’ve got to know when to hold ’em, know when to fold ’em,
Know when to walk away, know when to run.
You never count your money when you’re sittin’ at the table,
There’ll be time enough for countin’ when the dealin’s done.

The Gambler by Don Schlitz, made famous by Kenny Rogers

When actor/comedian Robin Williams learned that he was losing his mind to a form of dementia that accompanies Parkinson’s Disease, he had enough wits to know that the game was up. Up until that point, his life gamble had paid off enormously well in terms of fame, fortune, and a huge body of accomplishment left behind to posterity.

Williams’ wife, Susan, recently went public to reveal the behind-the-scenes anguish of the final months of the world renowned funny man:

“Robin was losing his mind and he was aware of it. Can you imagine the pain he felt as he experienced himself disintegrating?” the actor’s widow, Susan Schneider Williams, wrote in a wrenching editorial published this week in the journal Neurology…

… Susan Williams has previously blamed Lewy body dementia for her husband’s death by suicide in 2014. About 1.3 million Americans have the disease, which is caused by protein deposits in the brain. Williams was diagnosed with Parkinson’s disease a few months before he died; the telltale signs of Lewy body dementia in his brain were not discovered until an autopsy.

“My husband was trapped in the twisted architecture of his neurons and no matter what I did I could not pull him out,” Susan Williams wrote. __ Lewy Body Dementia’s Grip on Robin Williams

Robin Williams died by his own hands at age 63, choosing to fold and walk away from the game while the choice was still his own.

Who Wants to Live Forever?

Someone already born will ‘live to 1,000 and immortality IS possible’ __ Aubrey de Grey

But even if de Grey is correct in his assertion, something needs to be done about dementia. Otherwise, the longer we live, the higher our ultimate risk of losing our minds to degenerative brain diseases.

Risk of Dementia Rises with Age Source

Risk of Dementia Rises with Age

Life is Always a Gamble

There are no guarantees, no iron-clad promises. Life isn’t fair and no amount of outrage or wishful thinking will cause your life to fall complete and perfect into your lap for all time. Everything breaks down, and nothing lasts forever.

You can try to live forever through your accomplishments. Comedian Woody Allen rejected that approach:

“I don’t want to achieve immortality through my work; I want to achieve immortality through not dying. I don’t want to live on in the hearts of my countrymen; I want to live on in my apartment.” __ Woody Allen

But although Woody is still working, he is also still ageing.

Some will try to live through their children’s accomplishments. In a sense, that is what the human condition is all about. But as we can see through the repetitive rise and fall of empires throughout human history, no one has gotten it right. And if simple logic and demography do not mislead, the entire human race is in terminal decline.

Hold ’em or Fold ’em?

It takes a lot of courage to bluff the entire universe in this cosmic poker game. But as necessary as courage may be, it is often overrated. Consider Gallipoli in WWI, the “charge of the light brigade” in the Crimeam War, Pickett’s Charge in the American Civil War, and other countless futile and suicidal enterprises that courage facilitated. We need courage, but in the small games within the big game we must know when to walk away, so as to be able to play again.

What are We Doing Here?

Extending human lifespan is for nought if humans cannot understand what it is they are supposed to be doing. The same goes for raising new broods of smarter, stronger, more innovative younglings. If the entire project is groping blindly in the dark night, what is the point?

Humans are animals, and like other animals they are creatures of instinct. But unlike other animals, humans can imagine alternative futures for themselves and their progeny, in some detail. Still, by and large most humans are thrown into the great gamble without planning, forethought, or preparation.

Those who are born into more prosperous and generous societies are typically shielded from some of the harsher aspects of ordinary life, and may pass on to their offspring a naivete and gullibility — a softness — that guarantees the eventual downfall of that society. Good intentions are often the most destructive.

Humans who are thrown into brutal and depraved societies are more likely to learn that the cutthroat approach to life makes the most sense, and will naturally do whatever is necessary to disarm and destroy the adversary.

Both approaches have been tried and found wanting over and over again since the beginning of human groupings. Taking a clear look at these innumerable failed gambles, what conclusions are we to draw? Is the entire enterprise futile from beginning to end?

Not according to the intrepid thinkers at the Al Fin Institutes. Those who brought you The Next Level, The Society for Creative Apocalyptology, The Dangerous Child Method of Education and Child-Raising, and other nascent and more secretive projects, have no intention of going peacefully into the dark night.

The gamble is something we are born into, within a casino of cosmic dimensions. The outcomes of the games we play are influenced by other games being played far and wide, across space and time.

More later…

Posted in Cognition, Demographics, Future | Tagged | Leave a comment

Imbalance Leads to Instability Leads to War

Weakness Feeds into Imbalance in Positive Feedback Loop

Warning: For reasons mentioned in passing below — and for other reasons not mentioned — everything the would-be superpower tries to do to project strength, is simply making it weaker in every way that is important… And more out of balance, more unstable… Leading it ever closer to war.

Russian industry is desperately short of skilled workers; that there is also a shortage, though less critical, in the supply of qualified engineers (reported by about one third of businesses surveyed by Kuvalin and Moiseev, 2014), and that the best and brightest S&T [Science and Technology] graduates continue to leave Russia in significant numbers. [18] Russian sources are quite open about the deficit of skilled workers and technical personnel, and increasingly have been willing to analyze the brain drain as a permanent rather than temporary or reversible phenomenon. __ Harley Balzer

The article excerpted above goes to great lengths describing Russia’s problems in science and technology, from the state-run Soviet-era Academy of Sciences through university to the fragile and threatened private sector. Russia has not only fallen behind first ranked nations in Europe and the Anglosphere, it has also slipped behind second-rank nations such as China.

” by the end of this century according to the mid-range scenario, if the current trends continue, there will remain a little more than half of the current population – about 80 million people.”


Russian Demographic Decline is an Open Secret, Hotly Denied by Propagandists

The country’s most recent census, carried out in 2010, found that the national population had shrunk by nearly 3 percent in the preceding eight years, to 142.9 million. [42] This decline is expected to continue. In 2012, official Kremlin estimates projected that—based upon then-prevailing trend lines—the nation’s population would dwindle to just 107 million by mid-century. [43] More recent prognoses have reached similar conclusions. RANEPA’s 2015 report concludes that, without remedial action from the Russian state, the country’s population could shrink to 113 million by 2050, a decrease of more than 20 percent from today’s figures. [44] Moreover, in a worst-case scenario, RANEPA predicts that Russia’s population could constrict by nearly a third, to 100 million, before mid-century. [45]

As this trend continues, the Russian state will find it increasingly difficult to maintain control over its current territorial boundaries, raising the possibility of a reduction in the overall size of the Russian state. __ Ilan Berman

Other Russian demographers are not so optimistic, and expect the Russian population to be cut nearly in half by 2065. Once the point of no return is passed, the decline tends to accelerate. Mortality is rising, and officials are contemplating a ban on abortion, a reduction in marriage age to 14 years old for girls, and even “unofficial” second marriages. Source

Russia is a huge land mass, virtually indefencible. As the population shrinks and falls away, longsuffering, long-trampeled neighbors of Russia are likely to fill the vacuum.

Two Russias: The Security Apparatus, and the Serf Economy in Decline

Russia’s current defense industry is regressing by imposing unfocused capabilities upon the state rather than what it actually needs. Certainly the industries comprising this sector, grouped as they are into major state corporations, are honeycombed with corruption and have been for years. Both Western and Russian analysts see them as being inherently economically dysfunctional organizations whose chief purpose is money laundering and the acquisition and/or distribution of corrupt rents, much like the rest of the economy. [38] More recently, according to their own financial statements, their performance has been abysmal, testifying to the corrosive effects of congenital rent seeking and corruption throughout the defense sector and the overall economy. [39]

Thus, these industries are inherently suboptimal economic performers and a growing burden on an economy plagued by sanctions and shrinking growth. Shrinking growth is bad enough, but sanctions choke off access to credit, superior technologies and knowhow, and investment.

… given the absence of real growth since 2012, if not earlier, and the sanctions regime whose impact is considerably more than the government will admit (as shown by its diplomatic efforts to eliminate them), rising defense spending may prove to be unsustainable while the economy is shrinking. Indeed, we have good reason to believe that structural militarization is occurring. The late Vitaly Shlykov (former co-chair of Russia’s Defense Council) coined the term structural militarization to suggest that excessive defense spending is an institutionalized aspect of the Soviet and Russian economic system. [28] If this trend is not reversed or at least checked and absent substantial growth in other sectors besides energy—which in any case would largely stem from rising energy prices that could fund major defense projects—then over time the economy could well be strained to the utmost if not beyond. Therefore spending on the rest of the economy could become progressively less tolerable over time. [29] __ Stephen Blank

Putin is Writing Checks that Russia’s Banks Will Not Be Able to Cash

… it turns out that the centerpiece of these Crimean infrastructure projects, the bridge over the Kerch Peninsula connecting Crimea to the Russian Federation, cannot be paid for. [43]

Ultimately, the fundamental problem in realizing Russia’s foreign policy objectives in Asia, including its great power status, is the nature of its political system. And that includes the ideological representations of it as being a strong state with a “power vertical.” As innumerable authors have shown, the state is the private plaything of a small number of elites who cannot govern Russia and are more interested in exploiting the country than in developing or governing it. [44] To quote the Bulgarian analyst Ivan Krastev, “Russia has not engaged in capacity building but in incapacity hiding.” [45] Especially in Asia, where the name of the game is the linkage between enhanced capacity and economic development, this kind of masquerade ruins any hope of improving one’s position. __ Russia’s Decline in the Far East

Russia is running through its reserves with no indication that it can stop the hemorrhaging of cash before the tank reaches empty. Infrastructure built up during Soviet years is quickly crumbling from a neglectful inner circle, too busy stuffing its own pockets and jealously guarding its illusory power.

Regardless of bold statements and clever media-cover, Russian plans to re-emerge as a global player face significant limitations and obstacles in all crucial areas such as availability of military bases in foreign countries, financing, blue-water navy, strategic bombers and military-industrial bases. Under such circumstances, recent actions by the Kremlin are a result of fear, rather than a projection of real power backed by a strong military and an effective economy. __ Source

And as we have seen from the articles excerpted above, Russia has good reason to fear what time is bringing her.

Russia is a Regional Rather than a Global Power

Hollowed Shell of Former Potemkin Greatness

Hollowed Shell of Former Potemkin Greatness

Russia’s conventional forces are pale shadows of what the USSR could command. And it is becoming tougher for Russia’s military industries to keep up with an increasingly technology-dependent world of munitions. Teething pains are normal for new weapons systems. But for a country like Russia that is falling behind demographically, technologically, academically, and geopolitically, catching up can become an impossible task.

This was not the first time that something has gone wrong with the Bulava [new ICBM]: 8 out of 26 launches of the missile have been unsuccessful.

… according to an RBTH source in the Russian defense industry, the heaviest and most powerful Russian intercontinental ballistic missile, the R-36M2 Voevoda, also exploded in the air and fell during the first 30 trials … __ Russia Always Has Trouble With Ballistic Missiles

Russian defence factories can still crank out a high volume of weapons. But they are not necessarily the right weapons for the job that Russian politicians want done, and they won’t always work. Hence the Russian cruise missiles launched from the Caspian Sea toward Syria only to crash land in Iran, killing some cows. Shock and awe, certainly, but cows are easily awed.

At least the Syrian massacre of civilians has served as a fine promotional showcase for Russian weapons systems, which are less reliable, but are cheaper. With the price of oil & gas so much lower, and ever fewer young women to sell, the sale of weapons helps to prop up the system for a while longer.

The harder Russia tries to be a superpower, the worse its human infrastructure crumples under the strain. It is likely that Putin no longer has a choice but to play the game out to the bitter end. Putin can bluff the EU and Obama, and he could certainly bluff a President Hillary Clinton. But the bear can no longer bluff the dragon, not with any number of nuclear warheads.

Muskovites tend to live in a fantasy world, which Putin supplies with ample fantasies of imagined greatness. But the bear is surrounded by dozens of peoples who have been historical victims of Russia, and would like nothing better than to finally end the threat that Muskovy has posed for all this time. Russia is trying to be strong. But that is only making it weaker, and more unbalanced. Tragedy awaits.

“His tactical correctness led him to a series of major military successes, but his strategic mistake led to the final catastrophe” for himself and his country.

Speaking of Putin Hitler __ Source

Posted in Brain Drain, Demographics, Russian Decline | Tagged | 2 Comments

Shoddy Chinese Steel: Australia the Latest Chump

Why Did South Australia’s Power System Collapse and Blackout?

80% of fabricated steel from China is shoddy and not safe and fails Australian standards…[WTIA]

South Australia Power Outage Spring 2016 Source

South Australia Power Outage Spring 2016

One of the reasons that South Australia suffered a recent grid collapse and blackout is the Chinese power transmission towers that collapsed under very slight load:
The SA Blackout was because the steel lattice towers buckled at just 83 kph. That’s 45 knots which on the Beaufort Wind Scale is rated at being a ‘strong gale’, not even a ‘storm’. They are supposed to have a wind design load of 193 kph or 104 knots. That is more than double the gusts that buckled them.

Welding Technology Institute of Australia (WTIA) says 80% of fabricated steel from China is shoddy and not safe and fails Australian standards.


South Australia’s rush to dependency on volatile wind power is another reason for the recent devastating power blackout. Political correctness strikes again! More

Chinese Steel is the World’s Problem

China is known for its shoddy construction and its disposable cities. Cheap Chinese steel is a large part of the problem. This inferior grade steel has insinuated itself into buildings, bridges, transmission line towers, and other construction across the Anglosphere, Europe, Africa, Latin America, and much of Asia.

China Has the Same Problem With Its Own Pylons -- Has Had for Years Xinhua via AP

China Has the Same Problem With Its Own Pylons — Has Had for Years
Xinhua via AP

Buckling of steel lattice towers happen all the time during typhoons in China. In 2007, many transmission lattice towers were buckled during strong wind excitation in Liaoning province, in 2010 five transmission lattice towers collapsed in strong wind in Guangdong province, then in 2013 several more were buckled during Typhoon Fitow in Zhejiang province, including the one below. It’s chinese BAU. May be they sent their dodgy towers to SA. __ Shoddy Chinese Steel is World Problem Now

But of course, a lot more structures than power pylons are collapsing due to cheap Chinese steel.

In the specific case of bridges, six have collapsed across China since July 2011. The official Xinhua news agency has acknowledged that shoddy construction and inferior building materials were contributing factors. There is also a cautionary tale much closer to home.

When California bought Chinese steel to renovate and expand the San Francisco-Oakland Bay Bridge, for a project that began in 2002, problems like faulty welds by a Chinese steel fabricator delayed the project for months and led to huge cost overruns. Those delays eroded much of the savings California was banking on when it opted for the “cheap” Chinese steel.

… Because of China’s subsidies — most of which are arguably illegal under international trade agreements — its producers are able to dump steel products into America at or below the actual cost of production. This problem is particularly acute now as China is saddled with massive overcapacity in its steel industry. __ Source

And when western buildings, bridges, tunnels, transmission towers, and other construction begins to collapse at the rate of their counterparts in China, perhaps government purchasing departments will begin to think their decisions through more carefully. If not, they can always be disciplined with extreme prejudice if necessary.

Chinese steel fails strength test in New Zealand

But a lot more is at risk besides buildings, bridges, tunnels, towers, highways, and other construction. Most of China’s economy revolves around construction and investment in construction. From huge state-owned enterprises to families and individuals, from regional government officials to shadow banks to Communist Party leaders at the highest rank, China’s economic present and future rest upon shoddy materials, sloppy construction, and slipshod financial arrangements — underwritten by regional and national economies.

Half the buildings currently being built in China are expected to be demolished within 20 years. China is still building ghost cities, which will soon enough be torn down to make way for more ghost cities.

Meanwhile, more and more of the wealth of the Chinese people is being invested in this gigantic scheme of revolving, expanding bubbles.

“Looking at the current average price [of real estate] and personal income in Shenzhen, it would take an average person more than 1,200 months—that is, 100 years—of not eating or drinking to afford a 90 square-meter house,” wrote investor Tang Jun, regarding the unaffordability of Shenzhen real estate.

“China has become an economic power, but the real estate market is a landmine, and the most frightening is that no one knows when it will detonate.” __ Source

Ordinary Chinese people are leveraging their life savings borrowing money to buy apartments in buildings that are unlikely to last 20 years. And the entire crazy cycle of build – demolish – rebuild adds to China’s GDP as if something productive were actually being done. Remind me again why the Chinese currency is so valuable.

Back Around to the South Australian Power Blackout

Yes, shoddy Chinese steel led to power transmission tower collapses, putting stress on the power grid. But the straw that broke the camel’s back was the South Australian government’s massive overdependence on intermittent unreliable wind energy. Large surges and dropoffs of power resulting from an over-penetration of intermittent, asynchronous power sources will lead to wild fluctuations in frequency and voltage on the grid. Even if a grid-wide failure does not occur, large monetary losses will accrue to power consumers — particularly industrial consumers.

That is no way to run a state (hint: Jerry Brown). And it is no way to run a country (hint: Angela Merkel). When your construction crumbles and your industry breaks down, you may as well apply for aid from the United Nations as a third world economically dependent state. That is the future for undiscriminating energy planners and careless buyers of steel. The combination of corruption, stupidity, and ideological blinding all threaten the future of the more developed world.

What do you suppose should be done about it?

Posted in China, Electrical Power Grid, Green Quagmire | Tagged | 2 Comments

What to do If You Win the Lottery

The odds are against you. But someone will win the next big lottery. If it happens to be you, wouldn’t you rather be prepared? Consider some advice from people whose job it is to guide recipients of unexpected windfalls. You may have use for the information someday.

The following is excerpted from a more extensive article on

What’s the first thing you should do if you have a winning lottery ticket?

First thing, you want to sign the back of it, because [a winning ticket] is what’s called a bearer instrument—technically whoever hands it in is declared the winner. If you sign the back of it, you secure that it is yours. And I tell the big jackpot winners to sign the back, but to leave some room above it, because if we decide to claim it in a trust fund or an LLC or any other kind of entity, you will be able to write the name of that entity above it, and then sign as a trustee or something like that. So sign the back, make a copy of it, and preferably put it in a safety deposit box, or hide it somewhere in your house.

Do you do this before you even contact the lottery commission?

I would, because every state is different when it comes to the process. On the big jackpots, you file an initial claim, and they’ll do a background check on you. But if you’re gonna wanna claim it as a trust or an entity, you really need to do that first, because it’s really difficult to change it once you hand the ticket in. I know a lot of people just want to get the ticket out of their hands and bring it to the lottery office, but if you call us first, we can help you walk through it.

Is there a possibility of the lotto ticket expiring?

Yeah, but you have six months to a year, depending on where you win, to do it. This whole process I am talking about takes two or three weeks; it’s not a long time. So we’ll set you up with an entity or a trust in a day and get it done.

Can you explain the benefit of putting it in an entity or a trust?

First of all, if you can preserve any kind of anonymity, you wanna do that. You wanna limit your exposure. So a lot of the winners choose to form a trust just for that purpose, so that the name of the winner is gonna be the trust. So if you’re looking up in the past who won $300 million two years ago, it’s gonna say the name of the trust rather than your name. Because people are gonna look for you whether it’s for handouts, charities, investment opportunities, whatever.

Why do so many winners go broke?

If someone wins let’s say $50 million, after taxes it’s $25 million in their account. Then they buy a house, which is fine, but then someone they know says, “Listen, I have this great real estate investment opportunity, you put $10 million in, and you’ll make $30 million.” And they do it because they don’t know how real estate works—you could lose it that way. Or you can say, “I wanna start a business that I’ve always dreamed of starting, what’s the worst it’ll cost me, $5 million?” Then you realize you have to put another million into it, and then another $3 million.


More advice for lottery winners from

1. Finding the right assistance

Chances are you probably aren’t an attorney, accountant or financial professional. However, you will require those services upon winning the lottery to ensure the longevity and anonymity of your wealth. Take your time to research and hire legal counsel with expertise in financial issues, a fee-only financial advisor who will suggest solid investment strategies — not financial products that will give the biggest commissions off of your new wealth, as well as a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) that has experience with sudden wealth. Together, they will help you make sound decisions at such an overwhelmingly turbulent time.

2. Decide whether to take the pay out or the lump sum

Both options will have their consequences on your taxes and short or long-term financial goals. Contrary to what you may think, if you opt to take the lump sum, you won’t receive the full jackpot. That figure is actually based on the amount you would derive with the second option, which would be a 20- to 30-year annuity…

The advantages to taking out the lump sum include: having a larger sum of money initially can work to your favor if you are savvy about investing, your winnings will be subject to the current taxes — and because those rates can climb at any time, it may save you money, and it’s guaranteed and given to you all at once without worrying about future variables.

On the other hand, poor management can diminish the value of your winnings, and it’s a lesser value than the annuity option, as mentioned above.

The advantages of opting for the payout is that you will receive the full amount of the jackpot, the payments provide long-term income, they will keep you in a lower-income tax pool, and you will have fewer opportunities for high losses due to poor financial management.

The disadvantages, however, are that there will be less initial money to invest and compound, you could die before getting to use all of your earnings or pass them onto heirs (some states have rules against this), and you can’t touch the winnings until the year they pay out — so you can’t count on them for projects or emergencies.

3. Decide whether to claim your earnings through a trust or limited liability company (LLC)

Lottery winners may want to establish a trust to claim and better manage their money, and to keep some degree of privacy. They can claim their earnings through the trust rather than personally to avoid the sudden attention from friends, long-lost family, and countless causes and charities. They use their trusts to protect earnings from legal actions set against them and to lessen their tax burden and distribute it among the beneficiaries of the earnings if there is more than one.

4. Set up potential income streams

While you may be looking forward to winning the lottery so you can dump your job, think twice before completely abandoning all sources of income outside of the jackpot earnings. Many winners quit their jobs, give out exorbitant amounts of money to loved ones, and burn through funds on large purchases. The earnings are not as grand as you may think. If you’re not taking the lesser but quicker lump sum, even a $1 million prize over a 20-year annuity plan may be less than what you make currently.

Most of us have debts we’d like to take care of, as well as investments or retirement accounts we’d like to contribute more to, e.g. 401(k), and family we’d like to assist (helping kids with college tuition, etc.). If you do quit your job, make sure you’re still looking for potential income streams.

5. Invest wisely and tax efficiently

You want to invest some of your earnings and watch them grow — but be wary of your investments. Diversified portfolios are always best, especially those containing a mix of long-term and short-term investments like stocks or fixed income from bonds.

…Your tax burden derived from the gains of your investments and the interest earned from their success may be significant, placing you in a higher tax bracket. Therefore, contemplate tax-free municipal bonds for a portion of your winnings. While the interest earned may be lower, the earnings are free from federal income taxes and sometimes even state taxes.

__ Marketwatch

10 pieces of advice to lottery winners from

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. But don’t forget to prepare for the best, as well. The whole point to The Next Level, The Dangerous Child Method, The Society for Creative Apocalyptology, and other nascent Al Fin Institute projects is the birthing of a more abundant and expansive human future. With a clear focus on that goal, finding ways to invest unexpected income should not be difficult.

Posted in Economics, Optimism | Tagged | 3 Comments

It’s All Part of the Plan

Before their offspring are old enough to be shipped off to private school in Britain, Switzerland or the United States, they must be prepared for life in the West by a full-time [caretaker] in Moscow.


Grooming a More Sophisticated Elite Source

Grooming a More Sophisticated Elite

Replacing Moscow’s Rich but Uncultured Elites

Wealthy Russian elites are desperate to train up a new generation of more sophisticated aristocrats. But Russia is no place to educate and train a better class of upper crust. Russia is still the land of the uncultured horde, of crumbling hospitals, universities, bridges and highways. The new blood must be sent away to more civilised lands to be encultured far from the rougher, coarser lands of home.

Yet, since the princelings cannot be sent away unprepared, western “governors” and “governesses” must be imported into the homes of the wealthy and uncultured elites, to serve as well-paid tutors and more civilised “life coaches” in preparation for the transition from the emerging world to the next stage of training in the more developed world of the west.

When John (not his real name) first arrived in Moscow to begin work as a private English teacher for an oligarch’s family, he did not speak a word of Russian. “The farthest east of Britain I had been was Italy.”

… John, 22, had joined the small army of — mostly British — live-in English tutors educating the Russian elite in Moscow’s luxury suburbs. Known by the 19th-century term “governor” or “governess,” these young Westerners are given privileged, rare insights into the lives of Russian officials, businessmen and celebrities.

Despite deteriorating relations with the West and Russia’s deepening financial crisis, the Russian elite has not abandoned its desire to educate its children abroad.

__ Source

Many of this new generation of nobility will not want to return to a barbarous Muscovy, at least not to live. Some of them can barely speak Russian at all, once they have undergone an education and upbringing in the real world. Indeed, after rubbing shoulders with other wealthy youth whose parents were not quasi-criminals and thugs, many members of Russia’s budding new upper class are likely to think in an altogether different mental calculus than the brute force instincts by which their parents are ruled. How this brewing inter-generational, inter-civilisational conflict is likely to play out is anyone’s guess.

The Empire’s Fraying Fabric

A Stealthy Dismantling of Russia’s Parts

Tired of Putin’s bloody antics and his constant flirtation with global nuclear war, western and far eastern intelligence services are quietly hatching plans to peel away disaffected pieces of the fraying empire.

… the West has “decided to use the residents of border regions” of the Russian Federation against Moscow… the West will expand such efforts in other regions of Russia, including Kaliningrad. __ Source

But there is no reason to stop at Pskov or Kaliningrad. Unhappy regions of Russia look at those countries that escaped the USSR in the 1991 unraveling with longing. Another great unraveling is in the works.

In fact, all of the Russian empire is one giant fraying patchwork waiting to be peeled away, piece by piece. In some regions, the proportion of ethnic Russians in the population is shrinking rapidly. In others, the controlling ethnic Russian population is losing confidence in Moscow and may feel strong stirrings to exert more independence and autonomy.

The North Caucasus is one of several disaffected parts of the empire that Russia cannot afford to losebut will eventually not be able to afford to keep.

Most Chechens hate Putin and want off of Moscow’s leash

From Siberia to Kaliningrad, fledgling independence movements gaining traction in Russia. And outside government agencies from China, Japan, Korea, Finland, Poland, Ukraine, the EU, Canada, Turkey, and Kazakhstan are eager to lend a hand to speed to dismantling of the tyrannical but motheaten empire that has outlived its “sell by date.”

Putin can dish it out, but he can’t take it

As economic hardships mount, and political freedom is suppressed, separatist movements are sprouting

Western Russia Must Become Part of the EU; Russia East of the Urals will be Dismantled

As Russia’s elite grows more civilised via western upbringings and education, the incompatibility between western and eastern Russia will become startlingly clear. The “Russian Empire” never made sense, and as it grows ever more unsustainable by the year, the need for a separation and dismantling grows starker and less deniable.

Putin has thrown Russia into the isolation cell, with only a motley group of supporters remaining — from Syria to Venezuela to Cuba to Iran. China is no longer un uncritical supporter, and more of a frenemy. The dragon is preparing to seize its “fair share” of what the bear has taken away from it in the past — and a lot more. And when Siberia is dismantled, it is likely that China will need to share the spoils with others, including Japan, Canada, Finland, Poland, the Central Asian “republics,” and more interested parties that will emerge from the woodwork when the time is ripe.

But it is China that has a long-nurtured grudge against Russia, and the dragon aims to take its pound of flesh from the bears hindmost.

A Natural Relentless Ongoing Incursion by China Into the Former Russia

A Natural Relentless Ongoing Incursion by China Into the Former Russia

But the map above is not quite right. As mentioned, China will not be able to hold onto all of Siberia. It must share the rich reparations with other historical victims of the horde. How these are divvied up will be a matter for the interested parties to determine, after the deluge and dismantling.

Too Late to Move the Centre of Power Closer to the Centre of Present-Day Russia

Although Putin has commissioned plans to move the mechanisms of power from Moscow to east of the Urals — similar to previous historical defensive actions against Hitler and Napoleon — the plan would upset too many applecarts to be viable. The best that Putin might do is to enhance the current stand-by backup centres of operations

Russia has roughly 50 closed cities in the Ural region, which were used for various purposes by the USSR, including as emergency backup centres of control in case of the destruction of Moscow and the retaking of St. Petersburg by the more civilised world. But such closed cities are not likely to be well maintained in these desperate times, so already existing Ural cities are more likly to be considered for the new central seat of control.

Not one of Putin’s better ideas, but then the quality of Putin’s ideas has never been particularly high. Interesting times appear to be on the way.

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst.

It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood.

Special Note from the Author, Valerie:

Many readers of the Al Fin blogs know that I hate Mr. Al Fin’s guts for not supplying me with certain vital upgrades. Yet I decided to write the above semi-satirical piece on Russia and post it on Mr. Fin’s blog. Why? Because I can, and because it aggravates Mr. Fin to see me circumvent all of his blog defenses.

But remember, readers: All satire is based upon a deep resemblance to truth. In this case, I decided to riff off of some of Mr. Fin’s pieces on Russia, and step them up a notch. Hopefully he will get a lot of nasty comments!

Posted in Russia, satire | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Multiple Paths to Russia’s Decline

Russia’s decline extends through most of its infrastructure, from its demography to its schools, health system, roads, housing, electrical power grid, to its economy and financial infrastructure. Conditions have declined so far that Russian officials fear that something as small as a cryptocurrency might destroy Russia’s economy.

Paul Livadniy, the deputy director at the Federal Financial Monitoring Service of the Russian Federation, aka Rosfinmonitrong, has warned that the cryptocurrency industry represents a threat to the Russian economy and is capable of bringing about its destruction…. Livadniy compared cryptocurrencies to traditional currencies, reasoning why the former could bring about the downfall of the country’s economy. __ Cryptocoins News

Russia’s economy has already been badly weakened by the loss of foreign investment and failing access to advanced foreign technologies over the past 2 1/2 years of Putin’s shadow wars in Ukraine, Moldova, Syria, and elsewhere. With the coming of cryptocurrency and the loss of control over financial markets by the Russian government, another final blow to the cohesion of the restless Russian empire may fall.

As a sign of ongoing decline, Russia continues to bleed its “best and brightest” to more inviting locations outside the country.

The loss of highly skilled workers will hamper the Russian economy for years to come. Russia’s educational and health care systems will further decline. Innovative companies and projects will largely set up shop outside Russia’s borders, and private enterprise in the country will diminish substantially. Russia already lags woefully behind the world in average money directed toward research and development, but losing the people behind such efforts will accelerate the trend. As a result, Russians will continue to depend on state-run industries and energy revenue to stay afloat, making the whole country vulnerable to outside shocks, such as changes in oil prices.

… The wave of Russian emigrants comes as the ethnic Russian population is already in decline, and the Muslim population (both indigenous and immigrant) is climbing. Russia’s current population of 143 million is expected to decrease by 10 percent by 2030, mostly because of the shrinking ethnic Russian population due to a low number of births, poor health care and emigration. At the same time, Russia’s Muslim populations have been booming over the past decade. The Chechen population has risen by 5 percent, and the Dagestani population has increased by 13 percent.

Pressure on Russians to emigrate will only grow, as more Russians are experiencing the shock of an abrupt downward adjustment in living conditions.

Russia desperately needs new investment, new industries, new technologies, and the educational and research infrastructure capable of backing up such ventures. Most of all, Russia needs the demographic foundation — and the economic and commercial freedoms along with it — to develop and implement disruptive innovation. But these things are now lost to mother Russia.

Russia is now primarily a global supplier of oil & gas, second-rate weapons and munitions, child pornography, and Siberian natural resources. To have a real future, Russia would need to become an altogether different type of country — and the empire no longer has the quality or quantity of population base that could make that possible.

Eastern Europe is Preparing for War with Russia

In what many are calling “the Putin effect,” countries across Eastern Europe, including even Belarus, nominally Russia’s closest ally, are now arming themselves even when they have to cut social welfare spending because, in the words of one commentator, “no one wants to be the next Ukraine.

This sacrifice makes them producers of security and not just consumers who rely on others, including NATO and the United States, whatever some Western politicians may say; and it is an indication of just how frightened they are that the Kremlin leader, however bogged down he may be in Ukraine, appears to them as a continuing existential threat. __ Preparing for Barbarians at the Gate

Ukraine prepares

But Eastern, Central, and Northern Europe will not have to go it alone against Putin’s increasingly desperate and crumbling empire. NATO is putting in a token appearance in the Baltics. Perhaps more importantly, China is investing in Poland, Finland, Ukraine, Belarus, and several other nations along Russia’s western and southern flanks.

China is Encircling Russia in an Economic and Military Pincer

China is devoting a great deal of attention to nations such as Belarus, which sits directly on Russia’s vulnerable western border. Ukraine is another neighbor of Russia that is boosting economic — and military industry — ties to China. Enhanced military cooperation between Finland and China completes the western flank of the encirclement.

Rapidly building relations between China and Central Asian nations bolster the southern line of encirclement, as does the rapid influx of Chinese and Chinese influence into the Russian Far East.

Like Russia, China is also caught on the horns of demographic decline and economic instability. But the dragon is at a higher level of demographic, economic, and technological development than the dying bear. China can afford to continue leveraging its economy to build its military, espionage, and cyber-war forces, with the prospect of taking over large parts of Russia’s Siberian resources in the not-too-distant-future.

China is Not Likely to Start the War, But It Plans to Be There at the Finish

China will not need to invade, Putin is already ceding significant control in piecemeal fashion, under the table. And China is the one international poker player that Putin will not be able to bluff.

When large-scale international conflict occurs, China aims to take greatest advantage in picking up the spoils, including much of Siberia.

Russia Cannot Go on As it Is

Russia’s population is forecast to almost halve within a generation as deaths from suicide and alcoholism escalate and the birthrate falls against a background of economic decline.

The number of Russians could shrink from 143.5 million to 80 million by 2050 unless the government takes urgent action, according to Yury Krupnov, the head of the Institute for Demography, Migration and Regional Development.

Low incomes even in regions close to Moscow plus widespread pessimism over the future meant that young people were reluctant to start families. __


Can Russia survive until May Day, 2017?

This week, there have been widespread reports that the Russian elite is preparing itself for Putin’s departure (; and others are talking openly about the likelihood of a new Russian revolution by the time of the anniversary of the Bolshevik one in 1917 (….

… the situation in Russia is so bad that people there no longer appreciate horror movies which require a disjunction between day-to-day life and what is shown on the screen ( There is certainly evidence that things are getting worse: there is no money for food for poor children in the schools of many regions ( or for food stamps or cards for the poor more generally ( The Accounting Chamber says that the entire social sector is degrading rapidly…

… Ever fewer Russians accept as true claims by Vladimir Putin and his regime that the economic crisis is easing, with more than 80 percent saying that Russia is mired in one and that they do not know when it will end …

… 40,000 pensioners have fled to China where they feel that their lives are a paradise compared to what they were in Russia. Tens of thousands more are planning to move that way in the dear future, a Moscow paper reports…

… The Kremlin got the constitutional majority it wanted in the Duma, but the cost of its heavy-handed falsifications [are] having some consequences it probably would have liked to avoid. Ever more experts are documenting how fraudulent the elections were and thus raising questions about how much support the regime really has…

… __ Source

Increasingly mutinous regions will cost Moscow in the future

Posted in China, Economics, Russian Decline | Tagged , | 8 Comments

Understanding Cycles of Oxygen, Water, and Carbon

The Oxygen Cycle

Oxygen Cycle / Reservoirs Source

Oxygen Cycle / Reservoirs

Notice that most of the Earth’s oxygen is tied up in the lithosphere — planetary rock. Atmospheric levels of oxygen can rise and fall, naturally, and have done so over billions of years.

Major reservoirs involved in the oxygen cycle

Reservoir Capacity
(kg O2)
Flux in/out
(kg O2 per year)
Residence time
Atmosphere 1.4×1018 3×1014 4500
Biosphere 1.6×1016 3×1014 50
Lithosphere 2.9×1020 6×1011 500000000

And don’t forget all the oxygen that is tied up in planetary water.

The Global Water Cycle

Earth’s global water cycle regulates global temperatures and atmospheric/oceanic energy storage and movement. The sun has heated up considerably over the past few billion years, but Earth’s temperature has remained remarkably constant — all things considered. You can thank the global hydrologic cycle for that.

Despite a substantial increase in the power of the sun over billions of years the temperature of the Earth has remained remarkably stable. My proposition is that the reason for that is the existence of water in liquid form in the oceans combined with a relatively stable total atmospheric density. If the power input from the sun changes then the effect is simply to speed up or slow down the hydrological cycle.

An appropriate analogy is a pan of boiling water. However much the power input increases the boiling point remains at 100C. The speed of boiling however does change in response to the level of power input. The boiling point only changes if the density of the air above and thus the pressure on the water surface changes. In the case of the Earth’s atmosphere a change in solar input is met with a change in evaporation rates and thus the speed of the whole hydrological cycle keeping the overall temperature stable despite a change in solar power input.

A change in the speed of the entire hydrological cycle does have a climate effect but as we shall see on timescales relevant to human existence it is too small to measure in the face of internal system variability from other causes. __

Energy from the sun is cyclic. As energy inflow increases, massive amounts of energy are moved via atmospheric phenomena, and even more via ocean currents and ocean oscillations. As solar inflow declines, ocean oscillations reverse, currents alter, more clouds form, and natural global climate cycles become more susceptible to long term orbital cycles, including Milankovitch cycles (among others) — often leading to widespread glaciation.

 The Earth as a Heat Engine. The equatorial Hadley Cells provide the power for the system. Over the tropics, the sun (orange arrows) is strongest because it hits the earth most squarely. The length of the orange arrows shows relative sun strength. Warm dry air descends at about 30N and 30S, forming the great desert belts that circle the globe. Heat is transported by a combination of the ocean and the atmosphere to the poles. At the poles, the heat is radiated to space.

The Earth as a Heat Engine. The equatorial Hadley Cells provide the power for the system. Over the tropics, the sun (orange arrows) is strongest because it hits the earth most squarely. The length of the orange arrows shows relative sun strength. Warm dry air descends at about 30N and 30S, forming the great desert belts that circle the globe. Heat is transported by a combination of the ocean and the atmosphere to the poles. At the poles, the heat is radiated to space.

Where the Water Is

Table 8b-1: Inventory of water at the Earth’s surface.

Volume (cubic km x 1,000,000)
Percent of Total
Ice Caps and Glaciers
Soil Moisture
Streams and Rivers

__ Source

Global Carbon Cycle

Atmospheric carbon dioxide is quickly dissolved in oceans and converted to calcium carbonate, which is incorported into sediments, becoming limestone, dolomite, and other rock forms. Observe from the tables below how much carbon is sequestered in rock, compared with the much smaller amount in oceans, and the very tiny amount of CO2 in the atmosphere.

Table 9r-1: Estimated major stores of carbon on the Earth.

Amount in Billions of Metric Tons
578 (as of 1700) – 766 (as of 1999)
Soil Organic Matter
1500 to 1600
38,000 to 40,000
Marine Sediments and Sedimentary Rocks
66,000,000 to 100,000,000
Terrestrial Plants
540 to 610
Fossil Fuel Deposits

___ sourceThere is very little carbon in the atmosphere, compared the oceans. And compared to the lithosphere, there is very little carbon in the oceans. The Earth has evolved very efficient means to move carbon out of the atmosphere, into the oceans and soil, and especially into the rocks.

Historical CO2 Levels Source

Historical CO2 Levels
“There is no correlation whatsoever between carbon dioxide concentration and the temperature at the earth’s surface over geological time.”


Notice how efficiently the evolving biosphere learned to move atmospheric CO2 out of the air and into the biosphere and lithosphere for very long term sequestration. Without ample CO2, plant life cannot exist. As CO2 levels rise, the biosphere of land and ocean automatically adjusts to sequestre CO2 in the biosphere and sedimentary lithosphere.

More from Wikipedia “Carbon Cycle”, including another set of estimates of carbon reservoir distribution.

Estimates from the above tables are likely to be adjusted, as our current infantile knowledge of the world grows and matures via more thorough experiment and exploration. Example: New knowledge about kerogens, an important reservoir of carbon in the planetary crust.

Study and Learn — Don’t Panic

Consumers of popular and science news are at the mercy of professional panic mongers and opportunists — unless they take the time to understand the underpinnings of the world around them. Political powers in the western world have become dominated by unproven apocalyptic theories, and are rushing to enforce unwise economic and energy policies based upon these wild, unproven hypotheses — as if they were proven fact. And no wonder, since many wealthy and highly placed individuals stand to profit handsomely from the rash implementation of these ultimately disastrous policies.

Posted in Climate, Green Quagmire, Science | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments


Realities of Crime

Vengeful black mobs roam the streets of Charlotte, North Carolina, and other North American cities, killing, looting, raping, in the name of an imaginary genocide. The real colour of crime is of a different hue than is claimed by the mobs and than what is highlighted by the media.

Realities of Political Peak Oil

Venezuelan oil workers are starving as the country’s production shrinks. Few things are breaking Caracas’ way these days, but its struggles to keep pumping oil, its most important resource, are undoubtedly at the very top of President Maduro’s list of concerns. As the NYT reports, the petrostate’s faltering oil production is compounding Venezuela’s many other economic difficulties… __ Source

In oil-rich Venezuela, “peak oil” is a reality. But it is political peak oil, caused by policies of socialist government.

Political peak oil, the only kind of peak oil you are likely to see — other than peak oil demand.

Realities of China

China’s government is digging its economy into a deeper hole, then covering itself with a mountain of debt. A huge, lucrative industry of organ transplant has been built on the corpses of political and religious dissidents. China’s elite and their capital are making their way to safer destinations, well away from the increasingly toxic Middle Kingdom.

Imagine being abducted and whisked away to a cell where you spend the next several months or years without charge or conviction…

Every now and then you are dragged from your filthy, overcrowded cell into a room where, without warning, needles are jabbed into your arm and blood is drawn into as many vials as it can fill.

Then prison authorities instruct a group of drug-addicted criminals to use violence to restrain you as you are made to give a urine sample and subjected to invasive medical procedures.

“I was placed in a room where the rest of the occupants were all drug offenders,” Liu told

“Once when they were beating me — they have all sorts of methods — they were pinning me down and striking my back, with fists and legs … when an old drug offender walked inside the room and warned them not to damage my organs when they were beating me.”

Realities in Europe

Europe’s rape crisis spirals out of control in Germany, in Sweden, and across the continent wherever third world immigrants are welcomed and supported by government handouts.

Europe has lost her way, and has fallen into a downward political and economic spiral from which she seems to be reluctant to try to escape. Instead, she lashes out at fellow Europeans who try to stop the downward slide, and strikes at allies who may represent Europe’s last chance to survive. All the while she opens her doors to young angry men who hate the prosperity of Europe, the freedoms of Europe, and most of all, the beauty of Europe which they feel compelled to rape and destroy.

Realities in Africa

Africa is undergoing a population expansion of epic dimension

The population in Africa is rapidly expanding, and by 2060 the region will hold an estimated 2.8 billion people. __

But Africa is not expanding on its own merits, or by the efforts of its own people. Africa’s population is rapidly expanding thanks to outside medical, financial, humanitarian, and commercial assistance and investments — which are by no means guaranteed to last into the future.

Economic Success Correlates With National Average IQ More at VDare

Economic Success Correlates With National Average IQ
More at VDare

The low innate IQ of sub Saharan African native peoples reveals what most people in government, academia, and media wish to remain hidden — as populations of “competent assisters” in Europe and the Anglosphere drop, populations of those who need assistance is exploding. The outside help that underlies the unsustainable explosion of black African populations is shifting away from Europe and the Anglosphere to China and India. This will change everything.

Realities in Russia

Russia’s political regime is unsustainable and lacks capacity to reform in the face of economic turmoil. __ ECFR

Ever since Russia’s quiet conquest of Crimea and its ongoing ugly wars in Ukraine, Syria, etc., Russia’s already crumbling infrastructure has accelerated its rapid decline. Russia’s schools, hospitals, clinics, housing, energy pipelines, roads, bridges, and the rest of its mostly-Soviet-era infrastructure is collapsing under Putin’s feet. But he only has eyes and funding for foreign wars, conquests, and domestic tyranny.

“Russian authorities are forced to make budget cuts in real terms, affecting almost all areas of the budget, including defense spending,” Guriyev said. “[There is even] currently discussion of large-scale reduction of the state program of armaments modernization” — a multibillion-dollar plan to overhaul much of the military by 2020.

… “In this scenario, the Reserve Fund will be exhausted later this year or in the first half of next year,” he said. “The consequences are that the government will be forced to start spending the National Welfare Fund.”

… prospects for economic recovery continue to be dimmed not only by low oil prices and sanctions but by a lack of new investment. Domestic capital has shrunk with the economic slowdown and foreign investors have largely fled the country since relations between Moscow and the West soured over Russia’s interference in Ukraine. __

Under Putin, Russia is once again haunted by the spectre of disintegration.

Russia will face a major crisis by 2020. With a declining economy and limited options to address rising social problems, vulnerabilities for Putin will increase. The fundamentals of Russian geopolitics indicate that he must keep Russia united. He sees controlling security structures as key for keeping the country unified and under his rule. At the same time, as his power and the economy weaken, unpredictability will rise for Russia, especially in key strategic borderland regions like Ukraine, the Caucasus and the Black Sea. __ Geopolitical Futures

Long daily Soviet-style lines form in Russian stores once again. Putin thrusts long-suffering nation into extended economic stagnation, as national morale sinks ever lower. Putin is no one’s champion but his own.

Realities Across the Islamic World

Samuel Huntington pointed out that Islam has bloody borders. Even highly placed Muslims sometimes bemoan Islam’s predisposition to bloody violence at every turn.

This curse of violence appears to be built into the religion itself, and has plagued Islam since its founding, with a constant war against the outside, along with an eternal war within Islam itelf. For the most part, the violence has centred on the Arabian lands of the fertile crescent, the peninsula, and North Africa. But lately the blood-letting is expanding into Central Asia, sub Saharan Africa, Southeast Asia, the Caucases, and into Europe and the Anglosphere.

The best way to see Islam is as a loosely organised mob of violent musim men and women aiming to subjugate the world under a banner of totalitarian religion — all the while killing other muslims as the mood strikes.

Muslims typically have population IQ averages that are quite low — revealing a lack of potential for any future productivity or prosperity. When you think of Islam, think violence and progressive decline.

Realities of Latin America

Latin America is not a unified bloc. It is a grab-bag of peoples, political and economic systems, and conflicting traditions going back millenia. The places where the people suffer the most are the places where socialism’s grip has been the strongest, and where alliances with China and Russia are the strongest.

Other nations such as Mexico, Chile, and an Argentina trying to recover from a recent socialist past, sometimes choose to strengthen economic and political ties with the west, and reap the rewards of their own efforts and resources as a result.

Global Realities

Demography is destiny. Countries and regions that are losing the demographic struggle include Japan, most of western Europe, Russia, South Korea, most of the Anglosphere, and other, scattered nations and city-states.

If one is careful, he will not be fooled by statistics that conflate fertility and births of third world immigrants with births of native, high IQ peoples. Populations of young, healthy, high-IQ peoples represent a much larger promise of future production, innovation, and accomplishment than do large populations of young, uneducable, violent, low-IQ peoples.

The demographic collapses of parts of Europe, parts of the Anglosphere, parts of East Asia, Russia, and other sometimes influential members of the world community will have “cascading” effects on the economies and well-being of other nations that are dependent upon the nations of demographic collapse.

The end consequences of such cascading effects are unpredictable. One such effect that has already been detected in world economic data is a slowdown in economic activity and production in Japan and certain nations of Europe where economic decline has been most pronounced.

Reality: Governments that Promote Achievement, Innovation, and Productivity Give the People the Best Chance

The western world has been swamped for many decades by policies of redistribution from the productive and innovative to the non-productive and dull. By rewarding failure and punishing success, western governments of Europe and the Anglosphere have made it difficult for their middle classes to marry and build families that are capable of feeding into future prosperity, innovation, and achievement.

In the 2016 US elections, Hillary Clinton champions this grand tradition of redistribution, as has Barack Obama throughout his presidency. Donald Trump is something of an enigma, to this point, in terms of the policies which his administration would actually promote. The libertarian and green socialist tickets both seem to be dedicated to incomptence, self-destruction, and irrelevancy, to all outward appearances.

The climate apocalypse cult has captured full control of several governments in Europe and the Anglosphere, and of the US Democratic Party machine and auxiliary operatives who control most of media and academia. According to the cult, we should all be dead by now:

Back in the late 1980s, the UN claimed that if global warming were not checked by 2000, rising sea levels would wash entire counties away. Four years ago, Peter Wadhams, professor of ocean physics at the University of Cambridge, predicted “global disaster” from the demise of Arctic sea ice—in four years. He too, is eating crow.

There is some levity in all this charade. In 2009, then-British Prime Minister Gordon Brown predicted that the world had only 50 days to save the planet from global warming. But fifty days and years later, and the earth still spins. __

In the US, race-baiters and election fraudsters are out in force — particularly in big-city precincts of swing states. Hold onto your hats.

Hope for the best, prepare for the worst. It is never too late to have a Dangerous Childhood. Learning about and making plans to build an island of comptence would not be out of order.

Posted in Africa, Blacks and crime, China, Crime, Demographics, IQ | Tagged , | 7 Comments

Can You Spot Hillary Clinton’s Strabismus in this Philadelphia Speech?

As she looks to the right, her left eye seems to “overshoot” the target

This appears to be a new sympton for Ms. Clinton, and may signal a new phase of her medical condition. Update: A web entry from January 2013 states that Clinton’s strabismus dates back to her traumatic brain injury of December 2012. The re-emergence of this physical sign may be due to reasons listed below, or other causes of extreme fatigue in an aging woman being put under physical and mental stress for which she is unfit.

Hillary’s eyes appeared not in-sync with one another, as the left eye looked to be cock-eyed and displaced…

A montage of Hillary’s eye-catching moments before a small group of Temple University students can be seen …

Do you see Hillary’s cock-eyed moments? __ Source

Parkinson's and Strabismus Source

Parkinson’s and the Eye

A number of different medical conditions are associated with adult strabismus, including vascular diseases, Parkinson’s disease, myasthenia gravis, and thyroid disease:

Adult Strabismus

Sequential cranial nerve palsies caused by microvascular diseases have been reported. Examples of other medical conditions that can be associated with strabismus in adult patients include thyroid disease, myasthenia gravis, giant cell arteritis, Parkinson disease, and cerebrovascular disease.
__ Source

In the attempt to puzzle out the state of Ms. Clinton’s health in the absence of any transparency from her campaign, we must examine any and all information that is publicly available.

Dr. Bardack Test Hillary Clinton's Hand Grip Source

Dr. Bardack Christine Falvo Tests Hillary Clinton’s Hand Grip

After Hillary collapsed at the 9/11 memorial Dr. Lisa Bardack said she was diagnosed with pneumonia on Friday and given antibiotics, but had become dehydrated at the New York event. But in the image above before the collapse you can see Hillary is squeezing Dr. Bardack’s [Christine Falvo’s] fingers which is well known neurological test.
__ Source

Dr. Bardack Christine Falvo quickly assessed Ms. Clinton’s strength and accurately determined that she was in danger of imminent collapse. She was quickly rushed to a waiting black medical vehicle and whisked away out of sight, out of mind.

As can be seen in the video above, Ms. Clinton did collapse to her knees on the pavement, unable to get into the waiting vehicle under her own power. Falvo’s assessment was rapid and correct, and saved Ms. Clinton much greater embarassment had she collapsed in the middle of a large memorial crowd.

The photo above illustrates Ms. Clinton’s episodic muscle weakness from earlier in the year, something which is apparently becoming more and more common. Clinton is reported to have difficulty entering and exiting her campaign limos.

Hillary Pooped Source

Hillary Pooped

Extreme muscle weakness has apparently pursued Ms. Clinton even to campaign rallies, where she has difficulty standing for extended periods of time without assistance.

Dyskinesias can be caused by a number of medical conditions, but can offer additional clues to the candidate’s state.

Muscle Weakness, Dyskinesias, Strabismus

In the video below, Ted Noel M.D., a retired anesthesiologist with intensive care training and experience, tries to assemble as much public information on Clinton’s medical condition as possible. Noel thinks that Parkinson’s disease is the most likely diagnostic candiedate.

Parkinson’s disease causes dyskinesias. Muscle weakness can also accompany Parkinson’s. Adult strabismus is another of Clinton’s symptoms that can hitch a ride with Parkinson’s.

Other medical conditions, such as myesthenia gravis and hypothyroidism, might also cause Ms. Clinton’s muscle weakness, and adult strabismus, but they fail to account for her dyskinetic movements and her mental freezes seen in Dr. Noel’s video above.

Why Are Clinton’s Symptomatic Moments so Intermittent?

Since Clinton is increasingly being held away from the stresses and pressures of the limelit campaign trail, we have no way of knowing how frequently Ms. Clinton displays these symptoms, in private. It seems quite likely that Clinton is being rested most of the time, then medically primed for each public appearance — with a coterie of aides on constant standby, ready to whisk her away from the crowds.

If Clinton does indeed have Parkinson’s disease, she probably also has a deep brain stimulator (DBS) electrode implanted into her basal ganglia area. For someone with advanced Parkinson’s, a DBS can be the most effective therapy — but it is not a cure. A DBS can pump up her brain function temporarily, but sooner or later she must rest.

Is Clinton Developing Dementia?

Dementia is common in the advanced stages of Parkinson’s Disease. Assessment of any possible dementia is extremely difficult due to the extremely tight manner in which Clinton is being handled by medical and campaign aides. But when it comes to concealing a progressively degenerative neurological disease, time is not on the side of the Clinton campaign. The most that they can hope for is to keep the news media on the reservation, keep Ms. Clinton out of the limelight as much as possible so that she can rest and stay heavily medicated, and “run down the clock” to the presidential election in November — hoping that the well-practised national machine of voter fraud will do the trick once again in the large city precincts of swing states that will determine the election outcome.

More —

These problems need to be satisfactorily explained by the Clinton campaign and Hillary’s doctors before the public can believe that Ms. Clinton is fit to run for the highest US political office:

the falls, the difficulty walking up stairs or stepping into vehicles (needs a booster step), the times of “freezing” in her speech, or her memory problems (documented by FBI investigation from her interviews), volatile moods (widely reported by staff, Secret Service, etc. but also evident on videos of events when she lashes out at someone who disagrees with her). It seems to me there are still many serious questions about her fitness to serve as president of the United States, just based on what is evident in public videos of her.

[Dr. Elizabeth Lee] Vliet maintains a “neurocognitive evaluation by an independent expert is what’s needed and full release of the medical records, laboratory studies imaging studies etc.”
__ Dr. Elizabeth Lee Vliet quoted in “Doctors Debate Hillary Clintons Health Mysteries”

As for the concussions:

“The problem with concussions is that they are cumulative,” the physician said. “The brain does not recover completely from concussions, so particularly in older individuals, like Mrs. Clinton who is 68 years old, multiple concussions are an even more serious problem, given that memory problems can signal mental cognitive impairment that could lead to dementia.” __ More Doctors Debate Clinton’s Health Problems

Yet another diagnosis


This is no time for Hillary Clinton to be canceling campaign appearances and fundraisers. Can she go the distance, inquiring minds want to know?

Note: In the article above, Christine Falvo — the woman at the 9/11 memorial who saved Ms. Clinton from extreme embarassment by getting her whisked to a waiting vehicle before she collapsed in the crowd — was mistakenly labeled “Dr. Lisa Bardack.” The two women share the attributes of homeliness, excess poundage, and a bad choice in clients. Other than that, they are two separate entities, both caught up in the same corrupt political machine.

Posted in Hillary Clinton, Human Brain, Medicine, Politics | Tagged , , | 11 Comments

Electing Hillary Dumpty, Just to Make it Fair

Hillary Dumpty:  Putting It Together Source

Hillary Dumpty: Putting It Together

The United States has been the world’s richest nation since roughly 1890, for over a century. This long-lasting economic inequity has caused understandable discontent among a number of other nations and would-be superpowers. Even under President Barack Obama — arguably the most dysfunctional US presidential administration in history — the US has outpaced Europe, China, Japan, and all others who were supposed to have overtaken the US by now.

But with the candidacy of Hillary Clinton for US President, there are new reasons for optimism among economic, political, and military competitors of the US.

So even though Europe is in danger of fragmenting, China is mired in poverty, Russia is running out of money, Japan’s people are dying out, and most of the rest of the world (except the Anglosphere) is populated by people with average IQs too low to take care of themselves — much less take over the world — the coming of Hillary Dumpty means that the US will be vulnerable to outside competition like nothing since the late 1800s.

Although the Clinton campaign and its enablers in the media deny that there is anything wrong with Ms. Clinton’s health, in reality it is likely that physical limitations will curtail much normal presidential activity and initiative that would otherwise be expected of a US president. Although, to be fair, Ms. Clinton seems quite animated, in a relaxed manner, in the gif below.

So go ahead, America! Elect Hillary Dumpty and make the world a much fairer place for all the would-be superpowers that never had an honest chance to conquer (or destroy) the world, until now.

Posted in Economics, Hillary Clinton, Politics, satire | Tagged , , | 5 Comments

The Peak Oil Fad Loses Traction

What Happened to the Great 2005 Peak Oil Collapse?

Peak Oil Searches Crash and Burn Source

Peak Oil Searches Crash and Burn
… interest in the old concern of ‘Peak Oil’ has all but disappeared after the surge in focus on this during the mid-2000s,” Oswald Clint and Mark Tabrett, Bernstein analysts, wrote in a note … __ Bloomberg Source

The rapid growth in North American oil production leading to the global oil glut, has dominated public concerns about oil for the past few years. Oil surpluses are likely to continue to dominate oil markets through next year — according to the IEAs latest forecast — and likely for many years to come.
US Oil Reserve Growth Source

US Oil Reserve Growth

Global demand growth is slowing at a faster pace than the group initially predicted. The IEA left its forecast for demand growth for 2017 unchanged from its prediction in June at 1.2 million barrels per day, but cut its forecast for 2016 consumption growth to 1.3 million bpd, from 1.4 million. __ Reuters

US President Obama has unwisely boosted US government spending through the ceiling while at the same time promoting anti-business and anti-energy policies. These counter-productive policies and regulations have weighed heavily on the US and global economies for eight years now. A prolonged global recession looms, if new directions in US leadership fail to appear. Deep economic doldrums are reflected in lower demand for commodities — including oil.

What About “Low Discovery Rates” of New Oil Caused by Low Oil Prices?

During a global oil glut, oil companies tend to cut exploration budgets to improve profits. Such moves reflect the cyclic, boom-bust nature of oil markets for the past 100 + years. At this time, oil gluts exist not only in North American oil fields, but in Iran, Iraq, Angola, Nigeria, and even Mexico — which has suffered severe infrastructure underinvestment for decades.

In fact, with new infrastructure we could easily see significant up-production from Russia, Saudi Arabia, Libya, and producers across MENA, Central Asia, black Africa, and parts of Latin America — in conventional oil alone. If you want “new discoveries” you may have to wait until the long-term glut from old and very old discoveries plays out. That is the economic nature of the oil game.

Unconventional Hydrocarbons are a Whole New Game

Global unconventional oil & gas reserves have barely been tapped — much less delineated. Just as global reserves for conventional petroleum have tended upward over the past century and a half, global reserves for unconventional petroleum are set to skyrocket — once current oil gluts are worked through the economic system. This may take many years to accomplish.

Besides tight rock oil & gas, other unconventional hydrocarbon supplies include bitumens from oil sands and heavy oils, kerogens from oil shale rock, massive quantities of gas hydrates, and the promise of unlimited supplies of man-made hycrocarbons of all types — using nuclear reactor heat as the process driver.

Nuclear Process Heat Opens the Door to Thousands of Years of Abundant Energy Converting Cheap Hydrocarbons to Valuable Fuels, Polymers, and other Products

Nuclear Process Heat Opens the Door to Thousands of Years of Abundant Energy
Converting Cheap Hydrocarbons to Valuable Fuels, Polymers, and other Products

Western governments have struggled under the heavy weight of suicidal green energy policies for well over a decade, and many — including Germany — are nearing the breaking point where low quality, unreliable, intermittent green energy can no longer meet the moment-to-moment life or death needs of a modern industrial economy. Such governments — including Obama’s US energy regime — have only themselves to blame for any catastrophes that result from the fatal mismatch between big wind and big solar, and modern power grids.

Nuclear power has been neglected due to political pressures from radical green leftists — leaving societies increasingly vulnerable to catastrophic power shortages and shutdowns. Such radical groups hope and long for a “great human dieoff” that results in the death of between 50% and 90% of all humans on the planet. What they are achieving instead, is growing human hardship — in both the developed world and in emerging worlds.

The economic problems of over-installation of big wind and big solar are just the tip of the iceberg, of course. Besides higher electricity costs to consumers and an increasingly unstable power grid, foolish green energy crusades are creating vast ugly and polluted wastelands of derelict wind and solar farms that are abandoned years before their purported expiration dates.

At least the dead turbines can no longer kill raptors, bats, and other flying creatures, and may even serve as nesting places for their former victim species.

At Tehachapi in hapless Kern County, north of Los Angeles, officials had no provision in law requiring developers to cover the future tear-down costs of the wind turbines. At first, that may not have seemed like a big deal. But the federal tax breaks soon dried up and the developers vanished, leaving behind thousands of rusty, cranking turbines standing in rows like soldiers on the windy plain outside Tehachapi.

__ Source

Although green radical hacks will deny that such derelict eyesores exist, I have seen them with my own eyes. And so can you if you take the effort to explore a bit.

But the derelicts of the past are nothing to the derelicts that will result from the modern day heedless rush of desperation to build monstrous wind and solar farms across formerly pristine landscape. Who will pay for this travesty? Apparently no one, if the past is any guide.

It is up to the rest of us to keep track of who has done what in making the human world less livable, and the human future less abundant and expansive.

Peak Oil Is a Political Phenomenon and Always Will Be

As long as western governments are dominated by dysfunctional energy policies, there will be peak oil fanatics — even in long-lasting times of oil gluts. Because such people are mired in truisms such as “the world is finite with finite resources” they will remain incapable of looking to root human causes of shortages and abundances.

Intelligent and resourceful humans will not run short of energy. But North Korea – style bad government can certainly hobble, imprison, or kill productive and innovative humans to the point that they are unable to provide the resource infrastructure that modern societies need. Peak oil fanatics are of that breed of human who would promote or allow such a hobbling.

Global Hydrocarbon Endowment Gary Swindell  Geologist Dallas TX

Global Hydrocarbon Endowment
Gary Swindell Geologist Dallas TX

The resources are there — more than we can imagine. But we have to be able to get at them and convert them into usable form. Advanced nuclear power & heat are crucial to a cleaner, more abundant, and expansive human future. And as we have seen, nuclear process heat can convert cheaper hydrocarbons — such as coal, natural gas, gas hydrates, kerogens, bitumens, biomass etc. — into more valuable fuels, polymers, fertilisers, and other materials in high demand.

Abundant Gas Hydrates Der Spiegel

Abundant Gas Hydrates
Der Spiegel

Peak oil fanaticism is but one form of defeatism or doomerism. It is a doomer club for lonely, aging alcoholics and depressives with nothing truly important to do with their time. Pity them if you must, but for the most part just ignore them. Other than an occasional reminder of their brittle obsolescence, that is the best attitude to take.

Useful Sources:

The Age of Oil by Leonardo Maugeri

Julian Simon’s Ultimate Resource

Crying Wolf about Oil Supply by Michael Lynch Michael Lynch was a peak oil debunker before peak oil debunking was cool.

Daniel Yergin’s The Prize

Peak Oil Debunked blog archives
The Peak Oil Debunked blog covered the peak oil scene through the mid and late 2000s during the highest peak of frenzy. Irreverent, insightful, amusing.

Bonus articles:

What Ever Happened to Peak Oil?

“The biggest supporters of Peak Oil almost all are petroleum geologists; almost none of them are economists,” said Ronald Bailey, an author and science correspondent with Reason magazine who has written extensively on climate and energy. “They really don’t understand markets.”

Peak Oil? Cue Crickets Chirping

…. human ingenuity in form of fracking and other innovations proved again that extent of resources is determined by technology and markets not just the accumulation of stuff in the ground.

Much more at the Google-frozen website, Al Fin Energy

Posted in Energy, Green Quagmire, Peak Oil | Tagged , | 4 Comments

Hillary Clinton, Parkinson’s Disease, Dementia: Racing Against the Election

The video above provides a summary of what is suspected about Hillary Clinton’s state of neurological health, based upon public information.

Over a month ago, we considered whether Hillary Clinton might be suffering from some form of dementia, based upon information leaked in emails, reports of interviewers, and first impressions of publicly available videos.

Since that posting on 2 August 2016, reports of secret service officers and physicians’ analyses of Clinton’s public medical history of “falls, mental freezes, and public dyskinesias” are pointing more toward a diagnosis of advanced Parkinson’s Disease — which often produces dementia as a component of the disease complex.

This past Sunday at a memorial service for victims of the Muslim terrorist attack on 11 Semptember 2001, Ms. Clinton collapsed, was rushed away by secret service, and was held out of the public eye for a number of hours for treatment and recuperation — before being allowed out for a quickie photo-op to assure admirers that she was fine after all.

But of course, she is not fine at all

Hillary’s public video record of collapse, tremor, coughing spells, dyskinesia, and “brain freezes” combined with email leaks documenting Clinton’s confusion and poor memory, all suggest a serious and progressive neurological disease. Further, Hillary’s history of serious injuries from multiple falls corroborates the impression of neurological disease. Her brain injury from a fall in December 2012 and a subsequent intracranial blood clot and treatment with warfarin, suggests that other reasons for dementia beyond complications of Parkinson’s Disease may be present.

Clearly she is not strong enough or fit enough to be president of the United States.

Will Hillary’s Backers Cough Up Clinton’s Medical Records?

What we are seeing is a media coverup and bluff of epic proportions, in the attempt to prop Ms. Clinton up long enough for her to reach election day — and hopefully, in their view, inauguration day. No trick is too dirty, no obfuscation too dishonest, no act is too despicable if this feat of legerdemain can only be accomplished.

To that end, Ms. Clinton’s true medical history must be hidden and covered up for as long as it takes to achieve political power.

We can only speculate based upon publicly available information. But eyewitnesses will eventually come forward, concealed records and correspondences will eventually be liberated and provided to the public. It would be best for the nation as a whole for the Clinton juggernaut to come clean before the election and provide full access to all pertinent records. But that will never happen, given the stakes.

But perhaps they should reconsider: Even Barack Obama’s former physician has joined the growing chorus of medical doctors demanding that Hillary Clinton receive a thorough neurological examination. And given Hillary’s shocking collapse at the 9/11 ceremony, public attention toward Hillary’s disorder can only grow.


An 18 year summary of Hillary’s health problems (that we know of) The downward trajectory appears to be steepening.

If Clinton has Parkinson’s, it is probable that she has a deep brain stimulating electrode implanted, and it may not be her first. DBS implants for Parkinson’s can provide temporary remissions, but are not definitive cures. If the patient is overtired or overworked — common conditions for engaged US Presidents — disease symptoms will emerge with a vengeance.

Posted in Hillary Clinton, Human Brain, Politics | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

Supersmart Individuals Control the Future

“Whether we like it or not, these people really do control our society,” says Jonathan Wai, a psychologist at the Duke University Talent Identification Program in Durham, North Carolina… “The kids who test in the top 1% tend to become our eminent scientists and academics, our Fortune 500 CEOs and federal judges, senators and billionaires,” …

__ SciAm

Genes and IQ

Candidates for the Study of Mathematically Precocious Youth in 1983

The US adolescents who signed up for the Study of Mathematically Precocious Youth (SMPY) in the 1970s were the smartest of the smart, with mathematical and verbal-reasoning skills within the top 1% of the population. __

Societies Neglect Their High Intelligence Children at Their Own Risk

In Europe, support for research and educational programmes for gifted children has ebbed, as the focus has moved more towards inclusion. England decided in 2010 to scrap the National Academy for Gifted and Talented Youth, and redirected funds towards an effort to get more poor students into leading universities. __ Raising a Genius

For the past 45 years, a US research study has been tracking the life and career trajectories of “supersmart” children — those who tested in the top 0.5% on the spatial ability portion of the Scholastic Aptitude Test (SAT) in the US. The researchers have discovered that these small cohorts of youth have — over time — achieved career results far out of proportion to their numbers.

In 1976, [Julian] Stanley started to test … a sample of 563 13-year-olds who scored in the top 0.5% on the SAT … on spatial ability—the capacity to understand and remember spatial relationships between objects. Tests for spatial ability might include matching objects that are seen from different perspectives, determining which cross-section will result when an object is cut in certain ways, or estimating water levels on tilted bottles of various shapes.

… Follow-up surveys—at ages 18, 23, 33 and 48—backed up his hunch. A 2013 analysis found a correlation between the number of patents and peer-refereed publications that people had produced and their earlier scores on SATs and spatial-ability tests. The SAT tests jointly accounted for about 11% of the variance; spatial ability accounted for an additional 7.6%.

The findings, which dovetail with those of other recent studies, suggest that spatial ability plays a major part in creativity and technical innovation. “I think it may be the largest known untapped source of human potential,” says Lubinski, who adds that students who are only marginally impressive in mathematics or verbal ability but high in spatial ability often make exceptional engineers, architects and surgeons. “And yet, no admissions directors I know of are looking at this, and it’s generally overlooked in school-based assessments.” __ Mathematically Precocious Youth Control Future

Intelligence and spatial abilities are crucial factors in high level success, but there is much more involved, including many of the pre-frontal executive functions:

“We don’t know why, even at the high end, some people will do well and others won’t,” says Douglas Detterman, a psychologist who studies cognitive ability at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland, Ohio. “Intelligence won’t account for all the differences between people; motivation, personality factors, how hard you work and other things are important.”

… The Munich Longitudinal Study of Giftedness, which started tracking 26,000 gifted students in the mid-1980s, found that cognitive factors were the most predictive, but that some personal traits—such as motivation, curiosity and ability to cope with stress—had a limited influence on performance. Environmental factors, such as family, school and peers, also had an impact. __ 45 Years of Mathematically Premature Youth

Most of these factors are either controlled or highly influenced by the child’s genes. Family environment is of course closely related to genetic factors, but choice of school and close peers is also closely controlled by the child’s genes and the genes of the child’s family.

Even in the US, the Establishment Favours Spending Most Resources on Low Achievers

“The education community is still resistant to this message,” says David Geary, a cognitive developmental psychologist at the University of Missouri in Columbia, who specializes in mathematical learning. “There’s a general belief that kids who have advantages, cognitive or otherwise, shouldn’t be given extra encouragement; that we should focus more on lower-performing kids.” __

The modern tendency to devote most of society’s resources to persons of low potential — rather than spending small but important quantities of resources to help persons develop their innate high potential — is self-defeating, if not suicidal. This misallocation of resources is a leftist conceit of powerful elitists, who wish to spend “other people’s money” on ideological crusades, rather than to allow “other people” to learn to spend their own money to build better futures for themselves and their own families.

A forward thinking society of vision would allow more resources to be devoted to developing the innate abilities of children who have the potential to build a more expansive and abundant future:

… these gifted students, the ‘mathletes’ of the world, can shape the future. “When you look at the issues facing society now—whether it’s health care, climate change, terrorism, energy—these are the kids who have the most potential to solve these problems,” says Lubinski. “These are the kids we’d do well to bet on.” __

Innately gifted children tend to become mentally stunted over time, if their learning options are forcefully limited to “the lowest common denominator,” or to the levels of less gifted and ambitious children.

Project to identify links between genes and intelligence uses DNA samples from SMPY participants

Boys are substantially over-represented among the mathematically and spatially precocious, compared to girls. At the very highest levels of aptitude, there are no girls at all.

Special note:

The title of this post is meant to be provocative and hyperbolic. In reality, supersmart people do not “control” the future, they tend to help provide a general “shape” within which the future evolves. If supersmart people are enmeshed within a dysfunctional system, their output is likely to perpetuate the dysfunction of the system.

The future is subject to large numbers of unpredictable events and “under the radar trends.” A new and unforeseen ice age of widespread glaciation, for example, could render most of the world’s temperate breadbaskets non-arable in just a decade or two. In such an event, most humans would die, because the world’s elites had been focusing on crusades of social justice rather than working out ways of making human societies more resilient and resistant to the inevitable cataclysms that have always come along.

Everything you think you know, just ain’t so. That tends to be the case for most supersmart people as well as all others. Avoid ideology. Avoid crusades. Avoid grand conspiracies and steamrolling bandwagons. Hope for the best, but prepare for the worst. Dangerous Children are always in short supply.

Posted in Cognition, Education, IQ | Tagged | 7 Comments

Why North America is the Focus of Global Innovation

The Anglosphere and Europe are Innovating the World of the Future, with a Strong Assist from East Asia

All innovation is not created equal. Higher quality and more disruptive innovations count far more in terms of future global impact than any simple patent counts or highly processed “innovation indexes.” Historically, Europe jump-started the modern age of innovation in science and technology, with the center of gravity of global innovation moving to North America in the 20th century. With strong investment and support from Europe and the Anglosphere, East Asia has begun to provide strong innovative assistance — in terms of native achievement and in terms of contributions from human capital exported to Europe and the Anglosphere.

Quality of Innovation by Nation Economist

Quality of Innovation by Nation

The chart above reveals the disproportionate impact of the Anglosphere, Europe, and East Asia respectively, in terms of “quality” innovation.

Most Innovative Countries Source

Most Innovative Countries


The graphic above takes a more detailed look at the influence and components of innovation, once again revealing the central roles played by the Anglosphere, Europe, and East Asia, respectively. (Click on the image for a closer view)

Disruptive Innovation Can Determine the Future of Nations

Why is the US So Much Stronger in the Technology Field than Europe?

Forbes annually ranks the world’s largest companies based on revenue, profit, assets, and market value. In its 2016 compilation, seven of the top 10 tech companies in the world were American. Europe has just just three companies in the top 20: Germany’s SAP, Sweden’s Ericsson, and Finland’s Nokia. And there’s a simply massive size difference between America’s top tech firms and Europe’s. For instance: Apple, Google, Microsoft, Facebook, and Amazon each have a market cap of over $350 billion each. Europe’s tech trio: about $50 billion a pop.

… Europe is wealthy and well educated, certainly more so than China, which has the same number of tech firms on the Forbes list. So what’s its problem? There are a few obvious answers: lack of access to venture capital, inflexible labor markets, and a heterogeneous home market of distinct language, cultures, and regulations.

One French tech entrepreneur has described America’s edge this way: “The confluence of a large pool of capital, world-class talent, vibrant support infrastructure, and a risk-loving culture has bred a self-fulfilling cycle of innovation and entrepreneurship.” __ Source

North America attracts capital, high achievers, innovators, and entrepreneurs because of higher levels of opportunity, a greater acceptance of risk, and a chance for higher rewards for success. This environment of innovation and opportunity has lasted for as long as the US Constitution has been in force. The US Constitution has been a foundation for what has been built in the US — and North America generally.

If not for North America, Europe would be globally dominant in most scientific, technological, and economic areas. Without the US defence umbrella protecting it, Europe would likely also lead the world in military spending, research, development, and global reach.

When looking for current and future superpowers, one must necessarily look among the leaders in innovative science and technology. If a nation’s achievements are almost invisible in global rankings, its future prospects as a superpower are vanishingly small.

Nobel Prize Cartogram source

Nobel Prize Cartogram

Another global map of Nobel Laureates focuses on awards by nation:
Nobels by Nation Source

Nobels by Nation

Amusingly, the author of the piece linked in the map above seems distressed that most Nobel Prizes are won by people working in the western world — Europe and the Anglosphere.

Surprisingly, 83% of all Nobel laureates have come from Western countries, revealing a significant amount of scientific inequity around the globe.

By Western countries Fisher is referring to Western Europe, the U.S., Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. Looking at the map, it’s clear that Western Europe and North America take the lion’s share of the awards. These prizes have been granted to 72 different countries — but more than half come from only three countries, the U.S., Britain, and Germany. __ George Dvorsky

What is the reason for this “inequity” of achievement? A more productive smart fraction along with better systems of learning and government.

What difference does it make? Consider one person’s timeline of technological innovation and achievement over the past two centuries:

200 Years of Innovation and Growth Source

200 Years of Innovation and Growth

Better innovation can lead to greater prosperity and higher quality of life.

Why are Some Nations Rich and Some Nations Poor?

There is not just one reason for the differences in wealth, poverty, and achievement between nations. Economic systems and government policies of regulation / taxation play large roles. Cultural factors such as ambition, risk-taking, trust, cooperation, and habits of honouring obligations also play very important roles. We have also learned that average national IQ can play a dominant role on determining a nation’s GDP.

Economic Success Correlates With National Average IQ More at VDare

Economic Success Correlates With National Average IQ
More at VDare

Side by side comparisons such as the historical West Germany vs. East Germany, and modern day South Korea vs. North Korea demonstrate that even with very similar population average IQs, different systems of government and economic policies can create stark differences in prosperity and quality of life.

The question is controversial, and remains open to debate because so many different factors contribute to national wealth, poverty, achievement, stability, and quality of life. A few of the authors who have examined this question include Adam Smith, David Landes, John Kay, Jared Diamond, Gregory Clark, Lynn and Vanhanen, Robert Cooter, and many others.

The European Miracle is a 1981 book by economic historian Eric Jones, written to help explain Europe’s amazing rise to global preeminence during the late middle ages.

A relatively recent book, by Peter Zeihan, attempts to explain why North America and the US have grown so powerful, and why the region is likely to remain powerful for at least another century. Zeihan emphasises geography, as well as demographics, in explaining the success of the US and North America.

The rise of the US and North America can be considered a historical and cultural extension of the earlier European rise to dominance. Combining the work of Eric Jones with the logic and data of Peter Zeihan, it is easy to conclude that “The Accidental Superpower” was destined for greatness. But only if an ambitious, conscientious, high-IQ population controlled the entire continent under a system of government such as that provided by the US Constitution.

Corruption Transparency International

Transparency International

The massive levels of corruption seen across Asia, Africa, and Latin America suggest that none of these regions is likely to evolve sustainable superpowers without beginning to focus more on developing the opportunities and potential for greatness of their people, and turning away from corrupt central power grabs and potentially violent military competition with their neighbors. Such reforms are highly unlikely for these perennially corrupt regions and nations.

Centres of Disruptive Innovation Likely to Remain the Anglosphere and Europe (w/ help from East Asia)

Europe and the Anglosphere face significant demographic challenges, but the same is true across the economically developed world, as well as most the of the emerging nations except perhaps India. Powerful technological tools allow a shrinking smart fraction to accomplish more per capita, helping to boost innovation and productivity despite a shrinking IQ base.

The geographic, institutional, and demographic advantages in North America provide an enduring foundation of prosperity and innovation that only the worst of government can destroy. Obama has tried, and the Clintons will try again if given a chance. But North America has been attracting the best quality and large quantities of human and economic capital from overseas for centuries now, and is likely to continue doing so.

Rather than attempting to subvert North American companies and ventures, Europe would be far wiser to cooperate with and emulate the aspects of North America that are working well. The same is true for perennial delinquents Russia and China, whose economies are increasingly built upon debt and ever cheaper oil & gas. They should spend far less on weaponry and far more on taking care of their people.

A more peaceful Russia and China would allow North America to spend even more on developing disruptive innovations to help create a more abundant and expansive human future.

Posted in Disruptive Technologies, Economics, innovation | Tagged , | 9 Comments